A comprehensive review of the Warrnambool Racing Carnival and Brisbane Winter Carnival. An opportunity to reflect on May performance. Currently sitting at just over 12% POT for the year and the aim is to have that at 15% by year’s end. See the latest results here.
Warrnambool Racing May Carnival Review
The start of May was always going to be busy with the Warrnambool racing carnival. We gave ourselves a good start to the month at The Bool. The first day of the carnival went according to plan highlighted by the wins of Night Falls, Big Hammer & Jaws Of Steel. The common theme here was Darren Weir was on fire. Overall Day 1 giving us a +$200 result and 37% POT.
We came back to earth on the second day though. Tata Da Goose was a moral beaten. Think Babe failed to get it done for us in the last. Stellar Collision was narrowly touched off by Handsome Thief in The Wangoom. Luckily Lucky For All (pardon the pun) saluted as the best of the day. All winnings from Day 1 were given back plus a bit more meaning. We went into the final day around $50 in arrears.
The final day saw us finish very strongly. Big collects from La Fleurette, Gold Medals and Arkham Knight along with Inn Keeper and Fifty Stars saluting. We finished +$500 for the day and +$443 for the Warrnambool racing carnival. An overall profit of 27% POT for the carnival which I will take form The Bool any day.
Review of Saturday May 5
We were on the quick back up from The Bool on the Saturday and it was certainly a case of thanking the Gold Coast. Land Of Plenty was the only winner I found at Flemington, a string of painful placings at Rosehill meant there were no winners there. Luckily the Gold Coast was a complete fill-up with Divine Unicorn, Guard Of Honour, Champagne Cuddles and Anatola all doing the job meaning we went four from four. Sopressa got the job done for us in Adelaide and we scraped the nose out $50 in front for the day, but pretty lucky to get away with that one.
Review of Saturday May 12 including Doomben 10,000 day
This proved to be the biggest winning day of the month with a +$602 result and 57% POT for the day. Hear The Chant was a big result winning at $9 at Caulfield while Inn Keeper saluting as favourite cemented a winning day. Scone was kind with Osborne Bulls saluting and more importantly To Excess who I was really keen on winning well at good early overs in the last race. Sheiswhatsheis, Youngstar and most importantly Dark Dream all won at Doomben securing a good result. Leicester saluting in the Derby in Adelaide meant it was a good day across all four states and easily the most complete punting day of the month.
Review of Wednesday May 16
This was a bit of a nothing day. We got three favourites home out of five races at Sandown which meant profits weren’t great. Stykinglee’s narrow second and Think Babe failing to deliver again meant it was a losing day. This flowed through to Warwick Farm where Commander was narrowly touched off at good odds and Desert Lord was probably a bit unlucky meaning we had no collects from two races there. It meant we gave back -$184 for the day.
Review of Saturday May 19 including Doomben Cup day
This turned out to be a battle of a day. Special Missile’s defeat in a deceptive photo finish at Rosehill proved the difference between winning and losing on the day. I was probably guilty of not being brace enough to launch into Iconoclasm at Flemington and also not including Adelaide in the preview as quite a few I liked there ended up saluting.
It was really Doomben that let me down. Éclair Calling and First Among Equals ensure the nose was in front at Flemington while Lisdoonvarna and Epidemic meant a winning day there which would have been huge had Special Missile won. Doomben was disappointing though with only Winter Bride saluting at decent odds. Divine Unicorn and Winter Bride were big bets that didn’t salute and it meant we were down -$159 for the day.
Review of Saturday May 26 including Queensland Oaks day
This was probably the most inconsistent punting day of the month. Don’t Be Shy, Pedrena and Peacock were all super results and decent collects. The only other winner I found on the day was The Autumn Sun at pretty short odds for a small profit at Randwick.
Again Doomben was disappointing with Le Romain narrowly touched off and Sony Legend very unlucky at big odds in the first. Not backing Perast in the last annoyed me and as a result we finished down -$235 for the day which was quite disappointing when you find good priced winners like Don’t Be Shy and Pedrena.
Overall performance for May
It was the fifth consecutive winning month of the year, but after being well ahead in the middle of the month, I was disappointed to end with three consecutive losing days. It meant we finished with a result of +$514 for the month and an 8% POT. While happy to get a fifth consecutive winning month under the belt I really thought we might have been in for the monster month to set the year up halfway through. Don’t forget to check out the latest results here.
Looking ahead in June
This is always a tricky time of the year in racing. Synthetic track form comes into play in Melbourne and Queensland has its ongoing track issues. All these little extra complexities make the challenge of #TheGreatGame great! So while difficult I certainly don’t expect it to stop me finding winners. It just means there are a few extra elements to factor in.
The challenge is there though to reproduce a sixth consecutive month. I may even trial on certain days even just posting one or two bets that I like. A couple of Sundays ago I was quite keen on Maid Of Ore at Nowra and just tweeted it out where clearly priority should be given to paid subscribers, so I may try to incorporate one or two bets on one particular day if I like something rather than limiting myself to the full comprehensive previews as part of the service.