Select a Race Meeting

Race 2

11:50am

Suggested

High Done (No.3), Lucky Plutus (No.5) & Vassa Blue (No.11)

Dangers

Busta Move (No.1) & El Vincitore (No.3)

We get to day two of the carnival after a mixed bag on day one from a punting perspective. It all started well with Darabad and we got Nashville Sound home but a couple of cruel beats with Nicajon and Gold Medals made things tough and obviously got the maiden hurdles wrong and the last two races so a real mixed bag but hopefully can bounce back on day two. It doesn’t look easy and the track has chopped up a bit from all reports. The inside is expected to play well early in the day but will chop out as the day progresses and lanes six and wider will come into play. Anyway I am a bit behind time so let’s push on with this preview. I am kicking off in the second race which is a maiden over the 1700m. El Vincitore has come up as favourite in the early markets but I am just concerned about gate one with him. High Done has had the run over 1700m already under his belt and did it tough that day sitting wide on speed last start. He fought on bravely and as these conditions get a little bit tougher, I think he is the one that might prove that little bit too strong. Lucky Plutus was given little hope at Stawell when ridden cold out the back last start. He looks to have come up good odds around the $15-20 mark so will keep him on side. Vassa Blue also ran well at Stawell on Cup Day there over the shorter trip and certainly gave the indication it was looking for further so happy to have something on it also at double figure odds.

Betting strategy

I am not surprised to see the market has come for High Done this morning! I will have $65 the win on him, $15 the win on Blue Vassa and $10 the win on Lucky Plutus!

Race Outlay

$90

Race 3

12:20pm

Suggested

Brilliant Concept (No.2), Harbour Views (No.7), Lonroadtofly (No.12) & Lucky Rose (No.13)

Dangers

Bowing (No.1) & Shamal Lass (No.14)

This is a tricky maiden over the 1400m. There is a good mix of resuming runners coming up against some lightly raced commodities. Beetroot Williams looks to have a good hand in the race and I am pretty keen on three of his runners in the race actually. Harbour Views has jumped out really nicely and been heavily supported in pre post markets. He is an imported galloper on debut and he quickened up nicely from off the speed in a recent Terang jump out. He looks to have a good deal of ability. He is probably short enough at the moment but I want to make sure I am not losing on the race should he salute. I will probably stake to win a bit more off a couple of his stable mates at bigger odds. I thought Brilliant Concept jumped out really nicely. He showed enough in his debut campaign and looks to have come back well based on that recent jump out and looked worth a bet around that $12 mark. Lonroadtofly hit the line strongly first up at Terang when well backed in from a long price on Cup Day. That maiden was run in good time for the day and she beat home Sweet Venom there who we saw run really well yesterday. I think she can certainly run well here with Pikey on board. The mad roughie in the race is Lucky Rose. I have plenty of time for the Jenny Gow-Whyte stable and this horse did a good job first up at Mount Gambier. She should be improved by that effort after being wide all the way and still finishing off well and around the $31 mark looks worth a ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Harbour Views here! I will also have $15 the win on Lonroadtofly and Brilliant Concept and $10 the win on Lucky Rose!

Race Outlay

$90

Race 4

12:55pm

Suggested

Police Camp (No.4) & Ascot Red (No.5)

Dangers

Solar Coaster (No.1) & John Monash (No.3)

We get to the first of the jumps races on the program today here. This is a steeple over the 3450m. Ascot Red is a horse that has shown good promise so far in his short jumping career. He has been thereabouts over the hurdles and now graduates to the bigger sticks. He trialled well here at Warrnambool last week in my opinion. He really respected the jumps and leaped over them well and I think he has a bit more scope than a few of his rivals so happy to be with him on his steeple debut here. Police Camp is a horse that showed good promise last campaign and comes into this race second up after just having the one flat run at Terang this time in. He trialled very nicely here last week also and around the $9 mark I am happy to be saving on him.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Ascot Red and $25 the win on Police Camp here!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 5

1:30pm

Suggested

Tee Train (No.6) & Florida Dream (No.9)

Dangers

The Closer (No.1)

Interesting race this one. The Closer obviously represents the class in the race coming back from stakes races. The form around Amphitrite and the likes certainly read well for a race of this nature. It is just as to whether this is a bit of an afterthought coming up against horses who may have been set and primed for this race. Given The Closer has come up odds on and Tee Train who is a horse that looks set and primed for this race has come up around $6 I am going to side with Tee Train. He won over this carnival last year on debut and then returned in early February and didn’t do a lot before running well at Stawell off a freshen up last start. The money suggested he would run well but was just left a little bit flat footed when they straightened up. The key addition of blinkers here should hopefully help with that. He draws gate one which is probably not ideal given The Closer draws out but Andrew Mallyon is an astute jockey with the whip in the left hand which should help him be able to move away from the fence and should be in the finish. Happy to be with him. Florida Dream is a bit of an x-factor runner in the race. He showed good ability last campaign which culminated in him running in a stakes race behind Global Exchange. I think the small field here suits and he might be the one bombing over the top of them late so happy to keep him on side.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Tee Train and $15 the win on Florida Dream here!

Race Outlay

$55

Race 6

2:05pm

Suggested

Goodwood Zodiac (No.6) & Big Blue (No.7)

Dangers

Self Sense (No.2)

I am going for somewhat of a boilover here in the  feature hurdle race of the carnival The Galleywood. Self Sense is obviously flying on the flat before a bit of an out of character run on Anzac Day when well beaten. That may have been a “set for The Bool” run but his form prior to that was exceptional and his jumps for is obviously impeccable. He comes up here against the x-factor of Goodwood Zodiac who won by thirty lengths on his jumps debut. He is going to be a long way in front in this race for a long way. He still has to improve his jumping technique but if he has he is going to give you a great sight and plenty cheer about so happy to be with him. Big Blue is a horse I have a lot of time for and I reckon he might have just needed that jumps run at Pakenham last start which should have him cherry ripe for today. I think he will also be in front of Self Sense in the run and that just might be a little bit of an advantage. At the better odds I am going to back those two to roll Self Sense in what promises to be a very exciting Galleywood.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Goodwood Zodiac and Big Blue here!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 8

3:20pm

Suggested

Inn Keeper (No.7) & Grey Shadow (No.10)

Dangers

Steel Frost (No.6) & I Am Someone (No.11)

This is the feature sprint race of the carnival here. It is the Wangoom and we have a big field engaged. Despite the big field I think it is a pretty skinny race. I don’t think there are a lot of winning chances and I think the market probably has it spot on. It is hard to go past the local in Inn Keeper who has clearly been set for this race second up. He ran well at Caulfield first up when up on speed and stuck on well and that should have him primed for this race second up. He draws ideally in a middle gate to push forward and land on speed and I think if you back him there is little doubt you will have something to cheer about at the top of the straight. He is well enough found now in the market but I just find it too hard to go around him so happy to be with him. Grey Shadow is the horse that I think will represent a big danger. I thought her win at Caulfield first up was pretty dominant. She went to the front and controlled the race and won easily. I think she is probably a better horse coming from off the speed and with that in mind here in the bigger field plus the extra fitness I think she is going to be right in the finish here. The middle gate looks ideal and I can see her finishing strongly late. I think she is a great bet around that $7 mark.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Inn Keeper and $30 the win on Grey Shadow!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 9

4:00pm

Suggested

Hostar (No.5) & Arty Lucas (No.8)

Dangers

Timor Gold (No.3) & Saint Peter (No.9)

This is another big field and looks a typical Bool race over the 1700m. The issue is I have again struggled to find anything different to the market. I think the market is bang on here. Hostar is a horse I have been following this campaign and he just looks primed to deliver a massive run here third up. He ran well first up at Sandown before going to Adelaide last start and really finding the line nicely. The concern for me here is that he does draw gate one. I am just not sure by this stage of the day that will be the place to be but gee, he looks so well placed. He gets the winkers on for the first time he looks primed to deliver a peak performance on the home track third up and I am just hoping that luck comes his way and Damien Thornton can get him to the right part of the track in the straight and if that is the case he will be hard to hold out. Arty Lucas was beaten by Timor Gold first up but I will back him in to turn the tables here from their Terang meeting. The betting suggested he was going to need that run and it certainly looked that way. With that under his belt I think he will improve significantly here. He draws out which given his racing pattern and also how the track might be playing by this stage of the day doesn’t look to be a negative. I would  expect him to really improve off that first up run and if that is the case he is a horse with some scope so I certainly am happy to be with him here.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Hostar and Arty Lucas here!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 10

Suggested

Connery (No.9), Czechoslovakia (No.10) & Souffrant (No.12)

Dangers

Sunday Night Tea (No.2) & Northern River (No.14)

This is a more open race to finish the day on. Connery comes into this race off a freshen up and looks well placed in my opinion. He had a recent jump out at Stawell where I thought he went particularly well and it looks as if he has been set for this race fresh. He draws out which should be the right part of the track come this time of the day and given that I am happy to be with him here. Czechoslovakia looked to have every chance first up at Pakenham. He got the gap at the top of the straight to go through but probably just peaked on his run first up. He is a horse that to my eye showed some ability last campaign and I am hoping that run would have brought him on nicely for this assignment second up. He also draws out and with Jamie Kah on board I think he can run well. The other horse in the race I want to have something on at odds is Souffrant. He is another that I thought did enough first up and will be improved by that here. He has a couple of gear changes for today and looks to have come up big odds around the $15-20 mark so at that price I think he is well worth a small ticket to finish the day on.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Connery here! I will also have $20 the win on Czechoslovakia and $15 the win on Souffrant!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 2

11:50am

Suggested

High Done (No.3), Lucky Plutus (No.5) & Vassa Blue (No.11)

Dangers

Busta Move (No.1) & El Vincitore (No.3)

We get to day two of the carnival after a mixed bag on day one from a punting perspective. It all started well with Darabad and we got Nashville Sound home but a couple of cruel beats with Nicajon and Gold Medals made things tough and obviously got the maiden hurdles wrong and the last two races so a real mixed bag but hopefully can bounce back on day two. It doesn’t look easy and the track has chopped up a bit from all reports. The inside is expected to play well early in the day but will chop out as the day progresses and lanes six and wider will come into play. Anyway I am a bit behind time so let’s push on with this preview. I am kicking off in the second race which is a maiden over the 1700m. El Vincitore has come up as favourite in the early markets but I am just concerned about gate one with him. High Done has had the run over 1700m already under his belt and did it tough that day sitting wide on speed last start. He fought on bravely and as these conditions get a little bit tougher, I think he is the one that might prove that little bit too strong. Lucky Plutus was given little hope at Stawell when ridden cold out the back last start. He looks to have come up good odds around the $15-20 mark so will keep him on side. Vassa Blue also ran well at Stawell on Cup Day there over the shorter trip and certainly gave the indication it was looking for further so happy to have something on it also at double figure odds.

Betting strategy

I am not surprised to see the market has come for High Done this morning! I will have $65 the win on him, $15 the win on Blue Vassa and $10 the win on Lucky Plutus!

Race Outlay

$90

Race 3

12:20pm

Suggested

Brilliant Concept (No.2), Harbour Views (No.7), Lonroadtofly (No.12) & Lucky Rose (No.13)

Dangers

Bowing (No.1) & Shamal Lass (No.14)

This is a tricky maiden over the 1400m. There is a good mix of resuming runners coming up against some lightly raced commodities. Beetroot Williams looks to have a good hand in the race and I am pretty keen on three of his runners in the race actually. Harbour Views has jumped out really nicely and been heavily supported in pre post markets. He is an imported galloper on debut and he quickened up nicely from off the speed in a recent Terang jump out. He looks to have a good deal of ability. He is probably short enough at the moment but I want to make sure I am not losing on the race should he salute. I will probably stake to win a bit more off a couple of his stable mates at bigger odds. I thought Brilliant Concept jumped out really nicely. He showed enough in his debut campaign and looks to have come back well based on that recent jump out and looked worth a bet around that $12 mark. Lonroadtofly hit the line strongly first up at Terang when well backed in from a long price on Cup Day. That maiden was run in good time for the day and she beat home Sweet Venom there who we saw run really well yesterday. I think she can certainly run well here with Pikey on board. The mad roughie in the race is Lucky Rose. I have plenty of time for the Jenny Gow-Whyte stable and this horse did a good job first up at Mount Gambier. She should be improved by that effort after being wide all the way and still finishing off well and around the $31 mark looks worth a ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Harbour Views here! I will also have $15 the win on Lonroadtofly and Brilliant Concept and $10 the win on Lucky Rose!

Race Outlay

$90

Race 4

12:55pm

Suggested

Police Camp (No.4) & Ascot Red (No.5)

Dangers

Solar Coaster (No.1) & John Monash (No.3)

We get to the first of the jumps races on the program today here. This is a steeple over the 3450m. Ascot Red is a horse that has shown good promise so far in his short jumping career. He has been thereabouts over the hurdles and now graduates to the bigger sticks. He trialled well here at Warrnambool last week in my opinion. He really respected the jumps and leaped over them well and I think he has a bit more scope than a few of his rivals so happy to be with him on his steeple debut here. Police Camp is a horse that showed good promise last campaign and comes into this race second up after just having the one flat run at Terang this time in. He trialled very nicely here last week also and around the $9 mark I am happy to be saving on him.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Ascot Red and $25 the win on Police Camp here!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 5

1:30pm

Suggested

Tee Train (No.6) & Florida Dream (No.9)

Dangers

The Closer (No.1)

Interesting race this one. The Closer obviously represents the class in the race coming back from stakes races. The form around Amphitrite and the likes certainly read well for a race of this nature. It is just as to whether this is a bit of an afterthought coming up against horses who may have been set and primed for this race. Given The Closer has come up odds on and Tee Train who is a horse that looks set and primed for this race has come up around $6 I am going to side with Tee Train. He won over this carnival last year on debut and then returned in early February and didn’t do a lot before running well at Stawell off a freshen up last start. The money suggested he would run well but was just left a little bit flat footed when they straightened up. The key addition of blinkers here should hopefully help with that. He draws gate one which is probably not ideal given The Closer draws out but Andrew Mallyon is an astute jockey with the whip in the left hand which should help him be able to move away from the fence and should be in the finish. Happy to be with him. Florida Dream is a bit of an x-factor runner in the race. He showed good ability last campaign which culminated in him running in a stakes race behind Global Exchange. I think the small field here suits and he might be the one bombing over the top of them late so happy to keep him on side.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Tee Train and $15 the win on Florida Dream here!

Race Outlay

$55

Race 6

2:05pm

Suggested

Goodwood Zodiac (No.6) & Big Blue (No.7)

Dangers

Self Sense (No.2)

I am going for somewhat of a boilover here in the  feature hurdle race of the carnival The Galleywood. Self Sense is obviously flying on the flat before a bit of an out of character run on Anzac Day when well beaten. That may have been a “set for The Bool” run but his form prior to that was exceptional and his jumps for is obviously impeccable. He comes up here against the x-factor of Goodwood Zodiac who won by thirty lengths on his jumps debut. He is going to be a long way in front in this race for a long way. He still has to improve his jumping technique but if he has he is going to give you a great sight and plenty cheer about so happy to be with him. Big Blue is a horse I have a lot of time for and I reckon he might have just needed that jumps run at Pakenham last start which should have him cherry ripe for today. I think he will also be in front of Self Sense in the run and that just might be a little bit of an advantage. At the better odds I am going to back those two to roll Self Sense in what promises to be a very exciting Galleywood.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Goodwood Zodiac and Big Blue here!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 8

3:20pm

Suggested

Inn Keeper (No.7) & Grey Shadow (No.10)

Dangers

Steel Frost (No.6) & I Am Someone (No.11)

This is the feature sprint race of the carnival here. It is the Wangoom and we have a big field engaged. Despite the big field I think it is a pretty skinny race. I don’t think there are a lot of winning chances and I think the market probably has it spot on. It is hard to go past the local in Inn Keeper who has clearly been set for this race second up. He ran well at Caulfield first up when up on speed and stuck on well and that should have him primed for this race second up. He draws ideally in a middle gate to push forward and land on speed and I think if you back him there is little doubt you will have something to cheer about at the top of the straight. He is well enough found now in the market but I just find it too hard to go around him so happy to be with him. Grey Shadow is the horse that I think will represent a big danger. I thought her win at Caulfield first up was pretty dominant. She went to the front and controlled the race and won easily. I think she is probably a better horse coming from off the speed and with that in mind here in the bigger field plus the extra fitness I think she is going to be right in the finish here. The middle gate looks ideal and I can see her finishing strongly late. I think she is a great bet around that $7 mark.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Inn Keeper and $30 the win on Grey Shadow!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 9

4:00pm

Suggested

Hostar (No.5) & Arty Lucas (No.8)

Dangers

Timor Gold (No.3) & Saint Peter (No.9)

This is another big field and looks a typical Bool race over the 1700m. The issue is I have again struggled to find anything different to the market. I think the market is bang on here. Hostar is a horse I have been following this campaign and he just looks primed to deliver a massive run here third up. He ran well first up at Sandown before going to Adelaide last start and really finding the line nicely. The concern for me here is that he does draw gate one. I am just not sure by this stage of the day that will be the place to be but gee, he looks so well placed. He gets the winkers on for the first time he looks primed to deliver a peak performance on the home track third up and I am just hoping that luck comes his way and Damien Thornton can get him to the right part of the track in the straight and if that is the case he will be hard to hold out. Arty Lucas was beaten by Timor Gold first up but I will back him in to turn the tables here from their Terang meeting. The betting suggested he was going to need that run and it certainly looked that way. With that under his belt I think he will improve significantly here. He draws out which given his racing pattern and also how the track might be playing by this stage of the day doesn’t look to be a negative. I would  expect him to really improve off that first up run and if that is the case he is a horse with some scope so I certainly am happy to be with him here.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Hostar and Arty Lucas here!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 10

Suggested

Connery (No.9), Czechoslovakia (No.10) & Souffrant (No.12)

Dangers

Sunday Night Tea (No.2) & Northern River (No.14)

This is a more open race to finish the day on. Connery comes into this race off a freshen up and looks well placed in my opinion. He had a recent jump out at Stawell where I thought he went particularly well and it looks as if he has been set for this race fresh. He draws out which should be the right part of the track come this time of the day and given that I am happy to be with him here. Czechoslovakia looked to have every chance first up at Pakenham. He got the gap at the top of the straight to go through but probably just peaked on his run first up. He is a horse that to my eye showed some ability last campaign and I am hoping that run would have brought him on nicely for this assignment second up. He also draws out and with Jamie Kah on board I think he can run well. The other horse in the race I want to have something on at odds is Souffrant. He is another that I thought did enough first up and will be improved by that here. He has a couple of gear changes for today and looks to have come up big odds around the $15-20 mark so at that price I think he is well worth a small ticket to finish the day on.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Connery here! I will also have $20 the win on Czechoslovakia and $15 the win on Souffrant!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 2

11:50am

Suggested

High Done (No.3), Lucky Plutus (No.5) & Vassa Blue (No.11)

Dangers

Busta Move (No.1) & El Vincitore (No.3)

We get to day two of the carnival after a mixed bag on day one from a punting perspective. It all started well with Darabad and we got Nashville Sound home but a couple of cruel beats with Nicajon and Gold Medals made things tough and obviously got the maiden hurdles wrong and the last two races so a real mixed bag but hopefully can bounce back on day two. It doesn’t look easy and the track has chopped up a bit from all reports. The inside is expected to play well early in the day but will chop out as the day progresses and lanes six and wider will come into play. Anyway I am a bit behind time so let’s push on with this preview. I am kicking off in the second race which is a maiden over the 1700m. El Vincitore has come up as favourite in the early markets but I am just concerned about gate one with him. High Done has had the run over 1700m already under his belt and did it tough that day sitting wide on speed last start. He fought on bravely and as these conditions get a little bit tougher, I think he is the one that might prove that little bit too strong. Lucky Plutus was given little hope at Stawell when ridden cold out the back last start. He looks to have come up good odds around the $15-20 mark so will keep him on side. Vassa Blue also ran well at Stawell on Cup Day there over the shorter trip and certainly gave the indication it was looking for further so happy to have something on it also at double figure odds.

Betting strategy

I am not surprised to see the market has come for High Done this morning! I will have $65 the win on him, $15 the win on Blue Vassa and $10 the win on Lucky Plutus!

Race Outlay

$90

Race 3

12:20pm

Suggested

Brilliant Concept (No.2), Harbour Views (No.7), Lonroadtofly (No.12) & Lucky Rose (No.13)

Dangers

Bowing (No.1) & Shamal Lass (No.14)

This is a tricky maiden over the 1400m. There is a good mix of resuming runners coming up against some lightly raced commodities. Beetroot Williams looks to have a good hand in the race and I am pretty keen on three of his runners in the race actually. Harbour Views has jumped out really nicely and been heavily supported in pre post markets. He is an imported galloper on debut and he quickened up nicely from off the speed in a recent Terang jump out. He looks to have a good deal of ability. He is probably short enough at the moment but I want to make sure I am not losing on the race should he salute. I will probably stake to win a bit more off a couple of his stable mates at bigger odds. I thought Brilliant Concept jumped out really nicely. He showed enough in his debut campaign and looks to have come back well based on that recent jump out and looked worth a bet around that $12 mark. Lonroadtofly hit the line strongly first up at Terang when well backed in from a long price on Cup Day. That maiden was run in good time for the day and she beat home Sweet Venom there who we saw run really well yesterday. I think she can certainly run well here with Pikey on board. The mad roughie in the race is Lucky Rose. I have plenty of time for the Jenny Gow-Whyte stable and this horse did a good job first up at Mount Gambier. She should be improved by that effort after being wide all the way and still finishing off well and around the $31 mark looks worth a ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Harbour Views here! I will also have $15 the win on Lonroadtofly and Brilliant Concept and $10 the win on Lucky Rose!

Race Outlay

$90

Race 4

12:55pm

Suggested

Police Camp (No.4) & Ascot Red (No.5)

Dangers

Solar Coaster (No.1) & John Monash (No.3)

We get to the first of the jumps races on the program today here. This is a steeple over the 3450m. Ascot Red is a horse that has shown good promise so far in his short jumping career. He has been thereabouts over the hurdles and now graduates to the bigger sticks. He trialled well here at Warrnambool last week in my opinion. He really respected the jumps and leaped over them well and I think he has a bit more scope than a few of his rivals so happy to be with him on his steeple debut here. Police Camp is a horse that showed good promise last campaign and comes into this race second up after just having the one flat run at Terang this time in. He trialled very nicely here last week also and around the $9 mark I am happy to be saving on him.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Ascot Red and $25 the win on Police Camp here!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 5

1:30pm

Suggested

Tee Train (No.6) & Florida Dream (No.9)

Dangers

The Closer (No.1)

Interesting race this one. The Closer obviously represents the class in the race coming back from stakes races. The form around Amphitrite and the likes certainly read well for a race of this nature. It is just as to whether this is a bit of an afterthought coming up against horses who may have been set and primed for this race. Given The Closer has come up odds on and Tee Train who is a horse that looks set and primed for this race has come up around $6 I am going to side with Tee Train. He won over this carnival last year on debut and then returned in early February and didn’t do a lot before running well at Stawell off a freshen up last start. The money suggested he would run well but was just left a little bit flat footed when they straightened up. The key addition of blinkers here should hopefully help with that. He draws gate one which is probably not ideal given The Closer draws out but Andrew Mallyon is an astute jockey with the whip in the left hand which should help him be able to move away from the fence and should be in the finish. Happy to be with him. Florida Dream is a bit of an x-factor runner in the race. He showed good ability last campaign which culminated in him running in a stakes race behind Global Exchange. I think the small field here suits and he might be the one bombing over the top of them late so happy to keep him on side.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Tee Train and $15 the win on Florida Dream here!

Race Outlay

$55

Race 6

2:05pm

Suggested

Goodwood Zodiac (No.6) & Big Blue (No.7)

Dangers

Self Sense (No.2)

I am going for somewhat of a boilover here in the  feature hurdle race of the carnival The Galleywood. Self Sense is obviously flying on the flat before a bit of an out of character run on Anzac Day when well beaten. That may have been a “set for The Bool” run but his form prior to that was exceptional and his jumps for is obviously impeccable. He comes up here against the x-factor of Goodwood Zodiac who won by thirty lengths on his jumps debut. He is going to be a long way in front in this race for a long way. He still has to improve his jumping technique but if he has he is going to give you a great sight and plenty cheer about so happy to be with him. Big Blue is a horse I have a lot of time for and I reckon he might have just needed that jumps run at Pakenham last start which should have him cherry ripe for today. I think he will also be in front of Self Sense in the run and that just might be a little bit of an advantage. At the better odds I am going to back those two to roll Self Sense in what promises to be a very exciting Galleywood.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Goodwood Zodiac and Big Blue here!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 8

3:20pm

Suggested

Inn Keeper (No.7) & Grey Shadow (No.10)

Dangers

Steel Frost (No.6) & I Am Someone (No.11)

This is the feature sprint race of the carnival here. It is the Wangoom and we have a big field engaged. Despite the big field I think it is a pretty skinny race. I don’t think there are a lot of winning chances and I think the market probably has it spot on. It is hard to go past the local in Inn Keeper who has clearly been set for this race second up. He ran well at Caulfield first up when up on speed and stuck on well and that should have him primed for this race second up. He draws ideally in a middle gate to push forward and land on speed and I think if you back him there is little doubt you will have something to cheer about at the top of the straight. He is well enough found now in the market but I just find it too hard to go around him so happy to be with him. Grey Shadow is the horse that I think will represent a big danger. I thought her win at Caulfield first up was pretty dominant. She went to the front and controlled the race and won easily. I think she is probably a better horse coming from off the speed and with that in mind here in the bigger field plus the extra fitness I think she is going to be right in the finish here. The middle gate looks ideal and I can see her finishing strongly late. I think she is a great bet around that $7 mark.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Inn Keeper and $30 the win on Grey Shadow!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 9

4:00pm

Suggested

Hostar (No.5) & Arty Lucas (No.8)

Dangers

Timor Gold (No.3) & Saint Peter (No.9)

This is another big field and looks a typical Bool race over the 1700m. The issue is I have again struggled to find anything different to the market. I think the market is bang on here. Hostar is a horse I have been following this campaign and he just looks primed to deliver a massive run here third up. He ran well first up at Sandown before going to Adelaide last start and really finding the line nicely. The concern for me here is that he does draw gate one. I am just not sure by this stage of the day that will be the place to be but gee, he looks so well placed. He gets the winkers on for the first time he looks primed to deliver a peak performance on the home track third up and I am just hoping that luck comes his way and Damien Thornton can get him to the right part of the track in the straight and if that is the case he will be hard to hold out. Arty Lucas was beaten by Timor Gold first up but I will back him in to turn the tables here from their Terang meeting. The betting suggested he was going to need that run and it certainly looked that way. With that under his belt I think he will improve significantly here. He draws out which given his racing pattern and also how the track might be playing by this stage of the day doesn’t look to be a negative. I would  expect him to really improve off that first up run and if that is the case he is a horse with some scope so I certainly am happy to be with him here.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Hostar and Arty Lucas here!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 10

Suggested

Connery (No.9), Czechoslovakia (No.10) & Souffrant (No.12)

Dangers

Sunday Night Tea (No.2) & Northern River (No.14)

This is a more open race to finish the day on. Connery comes into this race off a freshen up and looks well placed in my opinion. He had a recent jump out at Stawell where I thought he went particularly well and it looks as if he has been set for this race fresh. He draws out which should be the right part of the track come this time of the day and given that I am happy to be with him here. Czechoslovakia looked to have every chance first up at Pakenham. He got the gap at the top of the straight to go through but probably just peaked on his run first up. He is a horse that to my eye showed some ability last campaign and I am hoping that run would have brought him on nicely for this assignment second up. He also draws out and with Jamie Kah on board I think he can run well. The other horse in the race I want to have something on at odds is Souffrant. He is another that I thought did enough first up and will be improved by that here. He has a couple of gear changes for today and looks to have come up big odds around the $15-20 mark so at that price I think he is well worth a small ticket to finish the day on.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Connery here! I will also have $20 the win on Czechoslovakia and $15 the win on Souffrant!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 2

11:50am

Suggested

High Done (No.3), Lucky Plutus (No.5) & Vassa Blue (No.11)

Dangers

Busta Move (No.1) & El Vincitore (No.3)

We get to day two of the carnival after a mixed bag on day one from a punting perspective. It all started well with Darabad and we got Nashville Sound home but a couple of cruel beats with Nicajon and Gold Medals made things tough and obviously got the maiden hurdles wrong and the last two races so a real mixed bag but hopefully can bounce back on day two. It doesn’t look easy and the track has chopped up a bit from all reports. The inside is expected to play well early in the day but will chop out as the day progresses and lanes six and wider will come into play. Anyway I am a bit behind time so let’s push on with this preview. I am kicking off in the second race which is a maiden over the 1700m. El Vincitore has come up as favourite in the early markets but I am just concerned about gate one with him. High Done has had the run over 1700m already under his belt and did it tough that day sitting wide on speed last start. He fought on bravely and as these conditions get a little bit tougher, I think he is the one that might prove that little bit too strong. Lucky Plutus was given little hope at Stawell when ridden cold out the back last start. He looks to have come up good odds around the $15-20 mark so will keep him on side. Vassa Blue also ran well at Stawell on Cup Day there over the shorter trip and certainly gave the indication it was looking for further so happy to have something on it also at double figure odds.

Betting strategy

I am not surprised to see the market has come for High Done this morning! I will have $65 the win on him, $15 the win on Blue Vassa and $10 the win on Lucky Plutus!

Race Outlay

$90

Race 3

12:20pm

Suggested

Brilliant Concept (No.2), Harbour Views (No.7), Lonroadtofly (No.12) & Lucky Rose (No.13)

Dangers

Bowing (No.1) & Shamal Lass (No.14)

This is a tricky maiden over the 1400m. There is a good mix of resuming runners coming up against some lightly raced commodities. Beetroot Williams looks to have a good hand in the race and I am pretty keen on three of his runners in the race actually. Harbour Views has jumped out really nicely and been heavily supported in pre post markets. He is an imported galloper on debut and he quickened up nicely from off the speed in a recent Terang jump out. He looks to have a good deal of ability. He is probably short enough at the moment but I want to make sure I am not losing on the race should he salute. I will probably stake to win a bit more off a couple of his stable mates at bigger odds. I thought Brilliant Concept jumped out really nicely. He showed enough in his debut campaign and looks to have come back well based on that recent jump out and looked worth a bet around that $12 mark. Lonroadtofly hit the line strongly first up at Terang when well backed in from a long price on Cup Day. That maiden was run in good time for the day and she beat home Sweet Venom there who we saw run really well yesterday. I think she can certainly run well here with Pikey on board. The mad roughie in the race is Lucky Rose. I have plenty of time for the Jenny Gow-Whyte stable and this horse did a good job first up at Mount Gambier. She should be improved by that effort after being wide all the way and still finishing off well and around the $31 mark looks worth a ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Harbour Views here! I will also have $15 the win on Lonroadtofly and Brilliant Concept and $10 the win on Lucky Rose!

Race Outlay

$90

Race 4

12:55pm

Suggested

Police Camp (No.4) & Ascot Red (No.5)

Dangers

Solar Coaster (No.1) & John Monash (No.3)

We get to the first of the jumps races on the program today here. This is a steeple over the 3450m. Ascot Red is a horse that has shown good promise so far in his short jumping career. He has been thereabouts over the hurdles and now graduates to the bigger sticks. He trialled well here at Warrnambool last week in my opinion. He really respected the jumps and leaped over them well and I think he has a bit more scope than a few of his rivals so happy to be with him on his steeple debut here. Police Camp is a horse that showed good promise last campaign and comes into this race second up after just having the one flat run at Terang this time in. He trialled very nicely here last week also and around the $9 mark I am happy to be saving on him.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Ascot Red and $25 the win on Police Camp here!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 5

1:30pm

Suggested

Tee Train (No.6) & Florida Dream (No.9)

Dangers

The Closer (No.1)

Interesting race this one. The Closer obviously represents the class in the race coming back from stakes races. The form around Amphitrite and the likes certainly read well for a race of this nature. It is just as to whether this is a bit of an afterthought coming up against horses who may have been set and primed for this race. Given The Closer has come up odds on and Tee Train who is a horse that looks set and primed for this race has come up around $6 I am going to side with Tee Train. He won over this carnival last year on debut and then returned in early February and didn’t do a lot before running well at Stawell off a freshen up last start. The money suggested he would run well but was just left a little bit flat footed when they straightened up. The key addition of blinkers here should hopefully help with that. He draws gate one which is probably not ideal given The Closer draws out but Andrew Mallyon is an astute jockey with the whip in the left hand which should help him be able to move away from the fence and should be in the finish. Happy to be with him. Florida Dream is a bit of an x-factor runner in the race. He showed good ability last campaign which culminated in him running in a stakes race behind Global Exchange. I think the small field here suits and he might be the one bombing over the top of them late so happy to keep him on side.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Tee Train and $15 the win on Florida Dream here!

Race Outlay

$55

Race 6

2:05pm

Suggested

Goodwood Zodiac (No.6) & Big Blue (No.7)

Dangers

Self Sense (No.2)

I am going for somewhat of a boilover here in the  feature hurdle race of the carnival The Galleywood. Self Sense is obviously flying on the flat before a bit of an out of character run on Anzac Day when well beaten. That may have been a “set for The Bool” run but his form prior to that was exceptional and his jumps for is obviously impeccable. He comes up here against the x-factor of Goodwood Zodiac who won by thirty lengths on his jumps debut. He is going to be a long way in front in this race for a long way. He still has to improve his jumping technique but if he has he is going to give you a great sight and plenty cheer about so happy to be with him. Big Blue is a horse I have a lot of time for and I reckon he might have just needed that jumps run at Pakenham last start which should have him cherry ripe for today. I think he will also be in front of Self Sense in the run and that just might be a little bit of an advantage. At the better odds I am going to back those two to roll Self Sense in what promises to be a very exciting Galleywood.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Goodwood Zodiac and Big Blue here!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 8

3:20pm

Suggested

Inn Keeper (No.7) & Grey Shadow (No.10)

Dangers

Steel Frost (No.6) & I Am Someone (No.11)

This is the feature sprint race of the carnival here. It is the Wangoom and we have a big field engaged. Despite the big field I think it is a pretty skinny race. I don’t think there are a lot of winning chances and I think the market probably has it spot on. It is hard to go past the local in Inn Keeper who has clearly been set for this race second up. He ran well at Caulfield first up when up on speed and stuck on well and that should have him primed for this race second up. He draws ideally in a middle gate to push forward and land on speed and I think if you back him there is little doubt you will have something to cheer about at the top of the straight. He is well enough found now in the market but I just find it too hard to go around him so happy to be with him. Grey Shadow is the horse that I think will represent a big danger. I thought her win at Caulfield first up was pretty dominant. She went to the front and controlled the race and won easily. I think she is probably a better horse coming from off the speed and with that in mind here in the bigger field plus the extra fitness I think she is going to be right in the finish here. The middle gate looks ideal and I can see her finishing strongly late. I think she is a great bet around that $7 mark.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Inn Keeper and $30 the win on Grey Shadow!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 9

4:00pm

Suggested

Hostar (No.5) & Arty Lucas (No.8)

Dangers

Timor Gold (No.3) & Saint Peter (No.9)

This is another big field and looks a typical Bool race over the 1700m. The issue is I have again struggled to find anything different to the market. I think the market is bang on here. Hostar is a horse I have been following this campaign and he just looks primed to deliver a massive run here third up. He ran well first up at Sandown before going to Adelaide last start and really finding the line nicely. The concern for me here is that he does draw gate one. I am just not sure by this stage of the day that will be the place to be but gee, he looks so well placed. He gets the winkers on for the first time he looks primed to deliver a peak performance on the home track third up and I am just hoping that luck comes his way and Damien Thornton can get him to the right part of the track in the straight and if that is the case he will be hard to hold out. Arty Lucas was beaten by Timor Gold first up but I will back him in to turn the tables here from their Terang meeting. The betting suggested he was going to need that run and it certainly looked that way. With that under his belt I think he will improve significantly here. He draws out which given his racing pattern and also how the track might be playing by this stage of the day doesn’t look to be a negative. I would  expect him to really improve off that first up run and if that is the case he is a horse with some scope so I certainly am happy to be with him here.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Hostar and Arty Lucas here!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 10

Suggested

Connery (No.9), Czechoslovakia (No.10) & Souffrant (No.12)

Dangers

Sunday Night Tea (No.2) & Northern River (No.14)

This is a more open race to finish the day on. Connery comes into this race off a freshen up and looks well placed in my opinion. He had a recent jump out at Stawell where I thought he went particularly well and it looks as if he has been set for this race fresh. He draws out which should be the right part of the track come this time of the day and given that I am happy to be with him here. Czechoslovakia looked to have every chance first up at Pakenham. He got the gap at the top of the straight to go through but probably just peaked on his run first up. He is a horse that to my eye showed some ability last campaign and I am hoping that run would have brought him on nicely for this assignment second up. He also draws out and with Jamie Kah on board I think he can run well. The other horse in the race I want to have something on at odds is Souffrant. He is another that I thought did enough first up and will be improved by that here. He has a couple of gear changes for today and looks to have come up big odds around the $15-20 mark so at that price I think he is well worth a small ticket to finish the day on.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Connery here! I will also have $20 the win on Czechoslovakia and $15 the win on Souffrant!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 2

11:50am

Suggested

High Done (No.3), Lucky Plutus (No.5) & Vassa Blue (No.11)

Dangers

Busta Move (No.1) & El Vincitore (No.3)

We get to day two of the carnival after a mixed bag on day one from a punting perspective. It all started well with Darabad and we got Nashville Sound home but a couple of cruel beats with Nicajon and Gold Medals made things tough and obviously got the maiden hurdles wrong and the last two races so a real mixed bag but hopefully can bounce back on day two. It doesn’t look easy and the track has chopped up a bit from all reports. The inside is expected to play well early in the day but will chop out as the day progresses and lanes six and wider will come into play. Anyway I am a bit behind time so let’s push on with this preview. I am kicking off in the second race which is a maiden over the 1700m. El Vincitore has come up as favourite in the early markets but I am just concerned about gate one with him. High Done has had the run over 1700m already under his belt and did it tough that day sitting wide on speed last start. He fought on bravely and as these conditions get a little bit tougher, I think he is the one that might prove that little bit too strong. Lucky Plutus was given little hope at Stawell when ridden cold out the back last start. He looks to have come up good odds around the $15-20 mark so will keep him on side. Vassa Blue also ran well at Stawell on Cup Day there over the shorter trip and certainly gave the indication it was looking for further so happy to have something on it also at double figure odds.

Betting strategy

I am not surprised to see the market has come for High Done this morning! I will have $65 the win on him, $15 the win on Blue Vassa and $10 the win on Lucky Plutus!

Race Outlay

$90

Race 3

12:20pm

Suggested

Brilliant Concept (No.2), Harbour Views (No.7), Lonroadtofly (No.12) & Lucky Rose (No.13)

Dangers

Bowing (No.1) & Shamal Lass (No.14)

This is a tricky maiden over the 1400m. There is a good mix of resuming runners coming up against some lightly raced commodities. Beetroot Williams looks to have a good hand in the race and I am pretty keen on three of his runners in the race actually. Harbour Views has jumped out really nicely and been heavily supported in pre post markets. He is an imported galloper on debut and he quickened up nicely from off the speed in a recent Terang jump out. He looks to have a good deal of ability. He is probably short enough at the moment but I want to make sure I am not losing on the race should he salute. I will probably stake to win a bit more off a couple of his stable mates at bigger odds. I thought Brilliant Concept jumped out really nicely. He showed enough in his debut campaign and looks to have come back well based on that recent jump out and looked worth a bet around that $12 mark. Lonroadtofly hit the line strongly first up at Terang when well backed in from a long price on Cup Day. That maiden was run in good time for the day and she beat home Sweet Venom there who we saw run really well yesterday. I think she can certainly run well here with Pikey on board. The mad roughie in the race is Lucky Rose. I have plenty of time for the Jenny Gow-Whyte stable and this horse did a good job first up at Mount Gambier. She should be improved by that effort after being wide all the way and still finishing off well and around the $31 mark looks worth a ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Harbour Views here! I will also have $15 the win on Lonroadtofly and Brilliant Concept and $10 the win on Lucky Rose!

Race Outlay

$90

Race 4

12:55pm

Suggested

Police Camp (No.4) & Ascot Red (No.5)

Dangers

Solar Coaster (No.1) & John Monash (No.3)

We get to the first of the jumps races on the program today here. This is a steeple over the 3450m. Ascot Red is a horse that has shown good promise so far in his short jumping career. He has been thereabouts over the hurdles and now graduates to the bigger sticks. He trialled well here at Warrnambool last week in my opinion. He really respected the jumps and leaped over them well and I think he has a bit more scope than a few of his rivals so happy to be with him on his steeple debut here. Police Camp is a horse that showed good promise last campaign and comes into this race second up after just having the one flat run at Terang this time in. He trialled very nicely here last week also and around the $9 mark I am happy to be saving on him.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Ascot Red and $25 the win on Police Camp here!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 5

1:30pm

Suggested

Tee Train (No.6) & Florida Dream (No.9)

Dangers

The Closer (No.1)

Interesting race this one. The Closer obviously represents the class in the race coming back from stakes races. The form around Amphitrite and the likes certainly read well for a race of this nature. It is just as to whether this is a bit of an afterthought coming up against horses who may have been set and primed for this race. Given The Closer has come up odds on and Tee Train who is a horse that looks set and primed for this race has come up around $6 I am going to side with Tee Train. He won over this carnival last year on debut and then returned in early February and didn’t do a lot before running well at Stawell off a freshen up last start. The money suggested he would run well but was just left a little bit flat footed when they straightened up. The key addition of blinkers here should hopefully help with that. He draws gate one which is probably not ideal given The Closer draws out but Andrew Mallyon is an astute jockey with the whip in the left hand which should help him be able to move away from the fence and should be in the finish. Happy to be with him. Florida Dream is a bit of an x-factor runner in the race. He showed good ability last campaign which culminated in him running in a stakes race behind Global Exchange. I think the small field here suits and he might be the one bombing over the top of them late so happy to keep him on side.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Tee Train and $15 the win on Florida Dream here!

Race Outlay

$55

Race 6

2:05pm

Suggested

Goodwood Zodiac (No.6) & Big Blue (No.7)

Dangers

Self Sense (No.2)

I am going for somewhat of a boilover here in the  feature hurdle race of the carnival The Galleywood. Self Sense is obviously flying on the flat before a bit of an out of character run on Anzac Day when well beaten. That may have been a “set for The Bool” run but his form prior to that was exceptional and his jumps for is obviously impeccable. He comes up here against the x-factor of Goodwood Zodiac who won by thirty lengths on his jumps debut. He is going to be a long way in front in this race for a long way. He still has to improve his jumping technique but if he has he is going to give you a great sight and plenty cheer about so happy to be with him. Big Blue is a horse I have a lot of time for and I reckon he might have just needed that jumps run at Pakenham last start which should have him cherry ripe for today. I think he will also be in front of Self Sense in the run and that just might be a little bit of an advantage. At the better odds I am going to back those two to roll Self Sense in what promises to be a very exciting Galleywood.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Goodwood Zodiac and Big Blue here!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 8

3:20pm

Suggested

Inn Keeper (No.7) & Grey Shadow (No.10)

Dangers

Steel Frost (No.6) & I Am Someone (No.11)

This is the feature sprint race of the carnival here. It is the Wangoom and we have a big field engaged. Despite the big field I think it is a pretty skinny race. I don’t think there are a lot of winning chances and I think the market probably has it spot on. It is hard to go past the local in Inn Keeper who has clearly been set for this race second up. He ran well at Caulfield first up when up on speed and stuck on well and that should have him primed for this race second up. He draws ideally in a middle gate to push forward and land on speed and I think if you back him there is little doubt you will have something to cheer about at the top of the straight. He is well enough found now in the market but I just find it too hard to go around him so happy to be with him. Grey Shadow is the horse that I think will represent a big danger. I thought her win at Caulfield first up was pretty dominant. She went to the front and controlled the race and won easily. I think she is probably a better horse coming from off the speed and with that in mind here in the bigger field plus the extra fitness I think she is going to be right in the finish here. The middle gate looks ideal and I can see her finishing strongly late. I think she is a great bet around that $7 mark.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Inn Keeper and $30 the win on Grey Shadow!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 9

4:00pm

Suggested

Hostar (No.5) & Arty Lucas (No.8)

Dangers

Timor Gold (No.3) & Saint Peter (No.9)

This is another big field and looks a typical Bool race over the 1700m. The issue is I have again struggled to find anything different to the market. I think the market is bang on here. Hostar is a horse I have been following this campaign and he just looks primed to deliver a massive run here third up. He ran well first up at Sandown before going to Adelaide last start and really finding the line nicely. The concern for me here is that he does draw gate one. I am just not sure by this stage of the day that will be the place to be but gee, he looks so well placed. He gets the winkers on for the first time he looks primed to deliver a peak performance on the home track third up and I am just hoping that luck comes his way and Damien Thornton can get him to the right part of the track in the straight and if that is the case he will be hard to hold out. Arty Lucas was beaten by Timor Gold first up but I will back him in to turn the tables here from their Terang meeting. The betting suggested he was going to need that run and it certainly looked that way. With that under his belt I think he will improve significantly here. He draws out which given his racing pattern and also how the track might be playing by this stage of the day doesn’t look to be a negative. I would  expect him to really improve off that first up run and if that is the case he is a horse with some scope so I certainly am happy to be with him here.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Hostar and Arty Lucas here!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 10

Suggested

Connery (No.9), Czechoslovakia (No.10) & Souffrant (No.12)

Dangers

Sunday Night Tea (No.2) & Northern River (No.14)

This is a more open race to finish the day on. Connery comes into this race off a freshen up and looks well placed in my opinion. He had a recent jump out at Stawell where I thought he went particularly well and it looks as if he has been set for this race fresh. He draws out which should be the right part of the track come this time of the day and given that I am happy to be with him here. Czechoslovakia looked to have every chance first up at Pakenham. He got the gap at the top of the straight to go through but probably just peaked on his run first up. He is a horse that to my eye showed some ability last campaign and I am hoping that run would have brought him on nicely for this assignment second up. He also draws out and with Jamie Kah on board I think he can run well. The other horse in the race I want to have something on at odds is Souffrant. He is another that I thought did enough first up and will be improved by that here. He has a couple of gear changes for today and looks to have come up big odds around the $15-20 mark so at that price I think he is well worth a small ticket to finish the day on.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Connery here! I will also have $20 the win on Czechoslovakia and $15 the win on Souffrant!

Race Outlay

$75

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