Select a Race Meeting

Race 1

11:20am

Suggested

Darabad (No.2) & Double Bluff (No.3)

Dangers

Andrea Mantegna (No.1)

It is finally here. The mighty May racing carnival from The Bool kicks off today with ten pretty challenging races as always. It will be interesting to see how the track plays. With the Jumps Racing now in Victoria the track has to be rated soft when they race so you would imagine with The Brierly later in the day that the track will be pretty soft to start the day. Typically on day one the inside is not too bad and then it can chop out as the day progresses. Graham Hoy’s track report says maybe coming more than five horses off the fence in lanes six and wider could be beneficial but it will require close watching through the day. As per usual I am kicking off in the maiden hurdle which is split into three divisions. The preview will be a little bit briefer than normal over the three days just given the time constraints required to get everything out and do the form through the week. The market looks to have really settled on three runners here and they are the ones mentioned above. I was pretty keen to be with Darabad here. This horse had a big boom on him when kicking off his jumps racing career last season but was unable to break through and that may prove a blessing as he can now salute in a maiden hurdle over the carnival. I liked the way he jumped and picked up ground late in his recent trial over the jumps here at The Bool and would suggest he would be hard to beat here. Double Bluff makes his jumps debut and is another that has looked good in the trials. He is pretty short in the market and it isn’t a market with a lot of fat in it but he is locally trained and has looked strong in both jumps trials recently as mentioned. His flat form is quite strong and he should prove hard to beat so I don’t want to lose on him should he salute.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on both Darabad and Double Bluff here going for the bigger result with Darabad at bigger odds!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 2

12:00pm

Suggested

Cheners (No.2), Dodge City (No.4) & Golden Flag (No.5)

Dangers

Hursley (No.6) & Social Element (No.8)

I thought this was the trickiest of the maiden hurdles. It looked wide open with no real stand out and perhaps the race where there might be a bit of value on offer in terms of bigger prices. Golden Flag lost the rider at his only jumps start so far when starting a heavily backed favourite. His flat form prior to that and flat run since have all been quite good and I liked his jumps trial here last week. I think he looks well placed to break through and happy to be in his corner. I am playing a bit wider with the saving bets. Dodge City has looked good at the trials as well in my opinion and makes his jumps debut for the local Purcell yard. He is double figure odds in the market and can run well. Cheners is an interesting runner from the Musgrove yard that has come up massive odds. His flat form is awful but I thought he went well enough in a recent trial and at the $20-30 on offer I was happy to have something on him here in a tricky race.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Golden Flag here and save with $15 the win on Dodge City and $10 the win on Cheners!

Race Outlay

$65

Race 3

12:40pm

Suggested

Aloft (No.1)

Dangers

Big Bad Baz (No.2) & Euroman (No.3)

This looks a pretty strong maiden hurdle. Off the trials I was pretty keen to back Euroman wherever he went but he has run into Aloft here who has looked exceptional in his jumps trials and looks pretty hard to go past here. Steve Pateman was down to ride a few of these runners in this race hoping they would be split up into other maiden hurdles but they all lobbed in the one. He has elected to ride Aloft and I think we can take that as a pretty positive lead. He has just looked really strong in his trials. The first trial he led them up a merry dance and then what was pleasing in his most recent one was that he tracked up behind them and finished off nicely. I think he is clearly the one they all have to beat and pretty keen to be with him. He looks one of the better bets on the program.

Betting strategy

I will have $95 the win on Aloft here as a stand out bet!

Race Outlay

$95

Race 4

1:15pm

Suggested

Chortomic (No.1), Nicajon (No.5), Young Lucas (No.12), Sweet Venom (No.16) & Good To Dream (No.17)

Dangers

Lord Of The Turf (No.10) & Make It Count (No.18)

This is the first flat race of the carnival and we are already going to try and get a short priced favourite rolled. Lord Of The Turf is obviously a great winning chance. He has been good a t both starts, is locally trained and gets the blinkers on for the first time. It looks a likeable setup for him but at the same time he is very short. The thought process was do I load up on him or spread the bets a bit wider for a similar outlay and result. I went with the latter option as I think he is probably under the odds. Chortomic is a horse I have been following for a little while now. His form last campaign was quite strong and I have no doubt that he has a maiden win in him. He has jumped out well in preparation for this first up run and happy to be in his corner around $12 mark. Nicajon is another interesting runner resuming for the Quinny Scott stable. I love the way he got through the line at his debut run here and he was immediately spelled following that run. I reckon a maiden in carnival week has been the aim and he looked to have a bit in hand in a recent jump out at Terang. He is drawn out but will be back off the speed and if coming a bit wider is the place to be then he could be advantaged to want to be with him. Young Lucas is making his debut for the local Beriman yard and I haven’t been able to find a jump out for him. I have no stats on this but I feel the  Beriman stable has always had a horse go well in this race in previous years and if that is the case then this bloke has to be respected. He has been kept pretty safe in the market and I don’t want to be losing on the race should he salute. Sweet Venom got through the line nicely first up at Terang. I like the way she finished off there and that was her first run for around eighteen months so it was a pleasing return. If she has gone on from that I think she can be in the finish. Last but not least is Good To Dream. This is the stable mate of the favourite who did nothing on debut back in January but I thought showed a bit in a recent jump out. I just thought at $40-50 she came up silly odds and was worth a ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $25 the win on Nicajon, $20 the win on Sweet Venom, $15 the win on Chotormic and $10 the win on Young Lucas and Good To Dream!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 6

2:20pm

Suggested

Gold Medals (No.1) & I’ll’ava’alf (No.4)

Dangers

Bit Of A Lad (No.2) & Newbury (No.7)

This is the first of the big feature jumps races for the week. It is the Brierly Steeplechase over the 3450m. Gold Medals was a good result in this race last year for us and I see no reason why he won’t be hard to beat again here. He seems to thrive here at this track at this time of year and his recent Terang Cup run on the flat suggested to me he is pretty close to the same sort of form that he was in when racing here over the carnival last year and completing the big Brierly-Grand Annual double. His recent jumps trial he was just given a soft time but certainly looked to have a fair bit more in the tank. I don’t think this looks an overly strong Brierly and with only four and a half kilos above the minimum I think he looks well weighted for a horse that really does have the score on the board. Happy to be with him. I will save on the old favourite I’ll’ava’alf. I don’t think for those that have subscribed for a few years that we have gone a Warrnambool carnival without having something on I’ll’ava’alf. It feels like I back him every year. He skipped around here in a recent jumps trial winning by a big margin and looking impressive. He comes into this relatively fresh as his first jumps race of the season and I don’t mind that and I was a little surprised he went up such good odds. I think he will make his presence felt so happy to be with him.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Gold Medals here and $25 the win on I'll'ava'alf!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 7

2:55pm

Suggested

Nashville Sound (No.3) & Truly High (No.7)

Dangers

Mirimar (No.8) & Count Zero (No.13)

This kicks off the Quaddie here as we get back into the flat races. I think we have a few favourites coming up here at this stage of the day that I really struggled to look past and that makes me a bit nervous. Nashville Sound looks really hard to beat here. He just fits the bill of a horse you want to be on in this sort of race. The race is over the 2350m and there are a few slow horses in this that have been well exposed and certainly reached their limit. Nashville Sound on the other hand is a lightly raced horse that seems to be very much on the rise. He was pretty dominant in the Penola Cup last start when winning by a big margin which probably could have been more. He draws out here but he is a big horse so I would see that an advantage and I think with normal luck in running he is clearly the horse they have to beat so happy to be in his corner. Truly High is the horse I am going to save on. He is still early in his campaign and has been trialling over the hurdles as he looks to progress to a jumping career. I thought he actually got through the line quite well at Cranbourne last start and given he has come up around the $12-15 mark in early markets I thought he was worth a saving ticket but Nashville Sound has been heavily backed overnight and this morning and after $3+ was bet yesterday he is into close to even money now. If the money is right and I think it might be, he should be winning.

Betting strategy

I will have $80 the win on Nashville Sound here and save with $15 the win on Truly High!

Race Outlay

$95

Race 9

4:00pm

Suggested

Honorable Mention (No.1) & Aerospeed (No.10)

Dangers

Sweet Snitty (No.8) & Boots Tarrington (No.11)

I have skipped race eight. I just couldn’t split Guizot and Paremuus Boy and the x-factor of Jumbo Prince also had me a bit concerned. So I just left that race alone. I am much keener on this race which is over the 1200m. Henry Dwyer brings Honorable Mention into the race first up as he did for the horse’s last campaign and he won by panels. I am hoping history can repeat itself. He jumped out well recently at Camperdown in preparation for this and if he rocks up in similar vein to what he did first up last campaign I think he will be hard to hold out. Keen. I am saving on Aerospeed who is first up. Gee, if you look through this horse’s form from last campaign he was so consistent against some pretty handy types. I am anticipating he will roll forward from a wide gate and get up on speed and at double figure odds he should hopefully give a sight up on speed. Happy to save on him in a good race behind Honorable Mention.

Betting strategy

I will have $60 the win on Honorable Mention here and save with $15 the win on Aerospeed!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 10

4:30pm

Suggested

Prince Of Venice (No.5), Manhattan Spirit (No.13), Laoban Tai Tai (No.14) & Atomic Wizard (No.16)

Dangers

Grandview Avenue (No.4) & Royal Boss (No.17)

This isn’t an easy race to finish the day on and as you can see I am playing it quite wide. I think ability wise Prince Of Venice is probably just about the best horse but how ready will he be first up off a long break? He is a horse that showed a lot of ability early on in his career but seemed to really put it together last campaign. He only had the two runs at Hamilton but won both of them comfortably. He has had a couple of jump outs to get him ready for this first up assignment and if he is within striking distance he will be hard to hold out late. Happy to be with him. Manhattan Spirit matched motors with him in a recent jump out at Terang and I want her on side. She was a winner on this day last year when fresh and that is the setup she finds herself in here. If backing Prince Of Venice I think you have to have something on her also. Laoban Tai Tai finally broke through for two wins at the end of her last campaign and now that she has broken through I am hoping she might go on with the job this campaign. She has jumped out particularly well and happy to be with her at double figure odds. The other horse I want on side is Atomic Wizard who won by a big margin on debut at Mount Gambier last start. That race was only over the 900m but she won it very easily. She showed good speed that day and if she can be fired across from the wide draw she could prove hard to run down here. She has been kept very safe in the market too so I would rather be with her than against her.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on Prince Of Venice,$20 the win on Atomic Wizard and $15 the win on Manhattan Spirit and Laboan Tai Tai!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 1

11:20am

Suggested

Darabad (No.2) & Double Bluff (No.3)

Dangers

Andrea Mantegna (No.1)

It is finally here. The mighty May racing carnival from The Bool kicks off today with ten pretty challenging races as always. It will be interesting to see how the track plays. With the Jumps Racing now in Victoria the track has to be rated soft when they race so you would imagine with The Brierly later in the day that the track will be pretty soft to start the day. Typically on day one the inside is not too bad and then it can chop out as the day progresses. Graham Hoy’s track report says maybe coming more than five horses off the fence in lanes six and wider could be beneficial but it will require close watching through the day. As per usual I am kicking off in the maiden hurdle which is split into three divisions. The preview will be a little bit briefer than normal over the three days just given the time constraints required to get everything out and do the form through the week. The market looks to have really settled on three runners here and they are the ones mentioned above. I was pretty keen to be with Darabad here. This horse had a big boom on him when kicking off his jumps racing career last season but was unable to break through and that may prove a blessing as he can now salute in a maiden hurdle over the carnival. I liked the way he jumped and picked up ground late in his recent trial over the jumps here at The Bool and would suggest he would be hard to beat here. Double Bluff makes his jumps debut and is another that has looked good in the trials. He is pretty short in the market and it isn’t a market with a lot of fat in it but he is locally trained and has looked strong in both jumps trials recently as mentioned. His flat form is quite strong and he should prove hard to beat so I don’t want to lose on him should he salute.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on both Darabad and Double Bluff here going for the bigger result with Darabad at bigger odds!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 2

12:00pm

Suggested

Cheners (No.2), Dodge City (No.4) & Golden Flag (No.5)

Dangers

Hursley (No.6) & Social Element (No.8)

I thought this was the trickiest of the maiden hurdles. It looked wide open with no real stand out and perhaps the race where there might be a bit of value on offer in terms of bigger prices. Golden Flag lost the rider at his only jumps start so far when starting a heavily backed favourite. His flat form prior to that and flat run since have all been quite good and I liked his jumps trial here last week. I think he looks well placed to break through and happy to be in his corner. I am playing a bit wider with the saving bets. Dodge City has looked good at the trials as well in my opinion and makes his jumps debut for the local Purcell yard. He is double figure odds in the market and can run well. Cheners is an interesting runner from the Musgrove yard that has come up massive odds. His flat form is awful but I thought he went well enough in a recent trial and at the $20-30 on offer I was happy to have something on him here in a tricky race.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Golden Flag here and save with $15 the win on Dodge City and $10 the win on Cheners!

Race Outlay

$65

Race 3

12:40pm

Suggested

Aloft (No.1)

Dangers

Big Bad Baz (No.2) & Euroman (No.3)

This looks a pretty strong maiden hurdle. Off the trials I was pretty keen to back Euroman wherever he went but he has run into Aloft here who has looked exceptional in his jumps trials and looks pretty hard to go past here. Steve Pateman was down to ride a few of these runners in this race hoping they would be split up into other maiden hurdles but they all lobbed in the one. He has elected to ride Aloft and I think we can take that as a pretty positive lead. He has just looked really strong in his trials. The first trial he led them up a merry dance and then what was pleasing in his most recent one was that he tracked up behind them and finished off nicely. I think he is clearly the one they all have to beat and pretty keen to be with him. He looks one of the better bets on the program.

Betting strategy

I will have $95 the win on Aloft here as a stand out bet!

Race Outlay

$95

Race 4

1:15pm

Suggested

Chortomic (No.1), Nicajon (No.5), Young Lucas (No.12), Sweet Venom (No.16) & Good To Dream (No.17)

Dangers

Lord Of The Turf (No.10) & Make It Count (No.18)

This is the first flat race of the carnival and we are already going to try and get a short priced favourite rolled. Lord Of The Turf is obviously a great winning chance. He has been good a t both starts, is locally trained and gets the blinkers on for the first time. It looks a likeable setup for him but at the same time he is very short. The thought process was do I load up on him or spread the bets a bit wider for a similar outlay and result. I went with the latter option as I think he is probably under the odds. Chortomic is a horse I have been following for a little while now. His form last campaign was quite strong and I have no doubt that he has a maiden win in him. He has jumped out well in preparation for this first up run and happy to be in his corner around $12 mark. Nicajon is another interesting runner resuming for the Quinny Scott stable. I love the way he got through the line at his debut run here and he was immediately spelled following that run. I reckon a maiden in carnival week has been the aim and he looked to have a bit in hand in a recent jump out at Terang. He is drawn out but will be back off the speed and if coming a bit wider is the place to be then he could be advantaged to want to be with him. Young Lucas is making his debut for the local Beriman yard and I haven’t been able to find a jump out for him. I have no stats on this but I feel the  Beriman stable has always had a horse go well in this race in previous years and if that is the case then this bloke has to be respected. He has been kept pretty safe in the market and I don’t want to be losing on the race should he salute. Sweet Venom got through the line nicely first up at Terang. I like the way she finished off there and that was her first run for around eighteen months so it was a pleasing return. If she has gone on from that I think she can be in the finish. Last but not least is Good To Dream. This is the stable mate of the favourite who did nothing on debut back in January but I thought showed a bit in a recent jump out. I just thought at $40-50 she came up silly odds and was worth a ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $25 the win on Nicajon, $20 the win on Sweet Venom, $15 the win on Chotormic and $10 the win on Young Lucas and Good To Dream!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 6

2:20pm

Suggested

Gold Medals (No.1) & I’ll’ava’alf (No.4)

Dangers

Bit Of A Lad (No.2) & Newbury (No.7)

This is the first of the big feature jumps races for the week. It is the Brierly Steeplechase over the 3450m. Gold Medals was a good result in this race last year for us and I see no reason why he won’t be hard to beat again here. He seems to thrive here at this track at this time of year and his recent Terang Cup run on the flat suggested to me he is pretty close to the same sort of form that he was in when racing here over the carnival last year and completing the big Brierly-Grand Annual double. His recent jumps trial he was just given a soft time but certainly looked to have a fair bit more in the tank. I don’t think this looks an overly strong Brierly and with only four and a half kilos above the minimum I think he looks well weighted for a horse that really does have the score on the board. Happy to be with him. I will save on the old favourite I’ll’ava’alf. I don’t think for those that have subscribed for a few years that we have gone a Warrnambool carnival without having something on I’ll’ava’alf. It feels like I back him every year. He skipped around here in a recent jumps trial winning by a big margin and looking impressive. He comes into this relatively fresh as his first jumps race of the season and I don’t mind that and I was a little surprised he went up such good odds. I think he will make his presence felt so happy to be with him.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Gold Medals here and $25 the win on I'll'ava'alf!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 7

2:55pm

Suggested

Nashville Sound (No.3) & Truly High (No.7)

Dangers

Mirimar (No.8) & Count Zero (No.13)

This kicks off the Quaddie here as we get back into the flat races. I think we have a few favourites coming up here at this stage of the day that I really struggled to look past and that makes me a bit nervous. Nashville Sound looks really hard to beat here. He just fits the bill of a horse you want to be on in this sort of race. The race is over the 2350m and there are a few slow horses in this that have been well exposed and certainly reached their limit. Nashville Sound on the other hand is a lightly raced horse that seems to be very much on the rise. He was pretty dominant in the Penola Cup last start when winning by a big margin which probably could have been more. He draws out here but he is a big horse so I would see that an advantage and I think with normal luck in running he is clearly the horse they have to beat so happy to be in his corner. Truly High is the horse I am going to save on. He is still early in his campaign and has been trialling over the hurdles as he looks to progress to a jumping career. I thought he actually got through the line quite well at Cranbourne last start and given he has come up around the $12-15 mark in early markets I thought he was worth a saving ticket but Nashville Sound has been heavily backed overnight and this morning and after $3+ was bet yesterday he is into close to even money now. If the money is right and I think it might be, he should be winning.

Betting strategy

I will have $80 the win on Nashville Sound here and save with $15 the win on Truly High!

Race Outlay

$95

Race 9

4:00pm

Suggested

Honorable Mention (No.1) & Aerospeed (No.10)

Dangers

Sweet Snitty (No.8) & Boots Tarrington (No.11)

I have skipped race eight. I just couldn’t split Guizot and Paremuus Boy and the x-factor of Jumbo Prince also had me a bit concerned. So I just left that race alone. I am much keener on this race which is over the 1200m. Henry Dwyer brings Honorable Mention into the race first up as he did for the horse’s last campaign and he won by panels. I am hoping history can repeat itself. He jumped out well recently at Camperdown in preparation for this and if he rocks up in similar vein to what he did first up last campaign I think he will be hard to hold out. Keen. I am saving on Aerospeed who is first up. Gee, if you look through this horse’s form from last campaign he was so consistent against some pretty handy types. I am anticipating he will roll forward from a wide gate and get up on speed and at double figure odds he should hopefully give a sight up on speed. Happy to save on him in a good race behind Honorable Mention.

Betting strategy

I will have $60 the win on Honorable Mention here and save with $15 the win on Aerospeed!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 10

4:30pm

Suggested

Prince Of Venice (No.5), Manhattan Spirit (No.13), Laoban Tai Tai (No.14) & Atomic Wizard (No.16)

Dangers

Grandview Avenue (No.4) & Royal Boss (No.17)

This isn’t an easy race to finish the day on and as you can see I am playing it quite wide. I think ability wise Prince Of Venice is probably just about the best horse but how ready will he be first up off a long break? He is a horse that showed a lot of ability early on in his career but seemed to really put it together last campaign. He only had the two runs at Hamilton but won both of them comfortably. He has had a couple of jump outs to get him ready for this first up assignment and if he is within striking distance he will be hard to hold out late. Happy to be with him. Manhattan Spirit matched motors with him in a recent jump out at Terang and I want her on side. She was a winner on this day last year when fresh and that is the setup she finds herself in here. If backing Prince Of Venice I think you have to have something on her also. Laoban Tai Tai finally broke through for two wins at the end of her last campaign and now that she has broken through I am hoping she might go on with the job this campaign. She has jumped out particularly well and happy to be with her at double figure odds. The other horse I want on side is Atomic Wizard who won by a big margin on debut at Mount Gambier last start. That race was only over the 900m but she won it very easily. She showed good speed that day and if she can be fired across from the wide draw she could prove hard to run down here. She has been kept very safe in the market too so I would rather be with her than against her.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on Prince Of Venice,$20 the win on Atomic Wizard and $15 the win on Manhattan Spirit and Laboan Tai Tai!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 1

11:20am

Suggested

Darabad (No.2) & Double Bluff (No.3)

Dangers

Andrea Mantegna (No.1)

It is finally here. The mighty May racing carnival from The Bool kicks off today with ten pretty challenging races as always. It will be interesting to see how the track plays. With the Jumps Racing now in Victoria the track has to be rated soft when they race so you would imagine with The Brierly later in the day that the track will be pretty soft to start the day. Typically on day one the inside is not too bad and then it can chop out as the day progresses. Graham Hoy’s track report says maybe coming more than five horses off the fence in lanes six and wider could be beneficial but it will require close watching through the day. As per usual I am kicking off in the maiden hurdle which is split into three divisions. The preview will be a little bit briefer than normal over the three days just given the time constraints required to get everything out and do the form through the week. The market looks to have really settled on three runners here and they are the ones mentioned above. I was pretty keen to be with Darabad here. This horse had a big boom on him when kicking off his jumps racing career last season but was unable to break through and that may prove a blessing as he can now salute in a maiden hurdle over the carnival. I liked the way he jumped and picked up ground late in his recent trial over the jumps here at The Bool and would suggest he would be hard to beat here. Double Bluff makes his jumps debut and is another that has looked good in the trials. He is pretty short in the market and it isn’t a market with a lot of fat in it but he is locally trained and has looked strong in both jumps trials recently as mentioned. His flat form is quite strong and he should prove hard to beat so I don’t want to lose on him should he salute.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on both Darabad and Double Bluff here going for the bigger result with Darabad at bigger odds!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 2

12:00pm

Suggested

Cheners (No.2), Dodge City (No.4) & Golden Flag (No.5)

Dangers

Hursley (No.6) & Social Element (No.8)

I thought this was the trickiest of the maiden hurdles. It looked wide open with no real stand out and perhaps the race where there might be a bit of value on offer in terms of bigger prices. Golden Flag lost the rider at his only jumps start so far when starting a heavily backed favourite. His flat form prior to that and flat run since have all been quite good and I liked his jumps trial here last week. I think he looks well placed to break through and happy to be in his corner. I am playing a bit wider with the saving bets. Dodge City has looked good at the trials as well in my opinion and makes his jumps debut for the local Purcell yard. He is double figure odds in the market and can run well. Cheners is an interesting runner from the Musgrove yard that has come up massive odds. His flat form is awful but I thought he went well enough in a recent trial and at the $20-30 on offer I was happy to have something on him here in a tricky race.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Golden Flag here and save with $15 the win on Dodge City and $10 the win on Cheners!

Race Outlay

$65

Race 3

12:40pm

Suggested

Aloft (No.1)

Dangers

Big Bad Baz (No.2) & Euroman (No.3)

This looks a pretty strong maiden hurdle. Off the trials I was pretty keen to back Euroman wherever he went but he has run into Aloft here who has looked exceptional in his jumps trials and looks pretty hard to go past here. Steve Pateman was down to ride a few of these runners in this race hoping they would be split up into other maiden hurdles but they all lobbed in the one. He has elected to ride Aloft and I think we can take that as a pretty positive lead. He has just looked really strong in his trials. The first trial he led them up a merry dance and then what was pleasing in his most recent one was that he tracked up behind them and finished off nicely. I think he is clearly the one they all have to beat and pretty keen to be with him. He looks one of the better bets on the program.

Betting strategy

I will have $95 the win on Aloft here as a stand out bet!

Race Outlay

$95

Race 4

1:15pm

Suggested

Chortomic (No.1), Nicajon (No.5), Young Lucas (No.12), Sweet Venom (No.16) & Good To Dream (No.17)

Dangers

Lord Of The Turf (No.10) & Make It Count (No.18)

This is the first flat race of the carnival and we are already going to try and get a short priced favourite rolled. Lord Of The Turf is obviously a great winning chance. He has been good a t both starts, is locally trained and gets the blinkers on for the first time. It looks a likeable setup for him but at the same time he is very short. The thought process was do I load up on him or spread the bets a bit wider for a similar outlay and result. I went with the latter option as I think he is probably under the odds. Chortomic is a horse I have been following for a little while now. His form last campaign was quite strong and I have no doubt that he has a maiden win in him. He has jumped out well in preparation for this first up run and happy to be in his corner around $12 mark. Nicajon is another interesting runner resuming for the Quinny Scott stable. I love the way he got through the line at his debut run here and he was immediately spelled following that run. I reckon a maiden in carnival week has been the aim and he looked to have a bit in hand in a recent jump out at Terang. He is drawn out but will be back off the speed and if coming a bit wider is the place to be then he could be advantaged to want to be with him. Young Lucas is making his debut for the local Beriman yard and I haven’t been able to find a jump out for him. I have no stats on this but I feel the  Beriman stable has always had a horse go well in this race in previous years and if that is the case then this bloke has to be respected. He has been kept pretty safe in the market and I don’t want to be losing on the race should he salute. Sweet Venom got through the line nicely first up at Terang. I like the way she finished off there and that was her first run for around eighteen months so it was a pleasing return. If she has gone on from that I think she can be in the finish. Last but not least is Good To Dream. This is the stable mate of the favourite who did nothing on debut back in January but I thought showed a bit in a recent jump out. I just thought at $40-50 she came up silly odds and was worth a ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $25 the win on Nicajon, $20 the win on Sweet Venom, $15 the win on Chotormic and $10 the win on Young Lucas and Good To Dream!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 6

2:20pm

Suggested

Gold Medals (No.1) & I’ll’ava’alf (No.4)

Dangers

Bit Of A Lad (No.2) & Newbury (No.7)

This is the first of the big feature jumps races for the week. It is the Brierly Steeplechase over the 3450m. Gold Medals was a good result in this race last year for us and I see no reason why he won’t be hard to beat again here. He seems to thrive here at this track at this time of year and his recent Terang Cup run on the flat suggested to me he is pretty close to the same sort of form that he was in when racing here over the carnival last year and completing the big Brierly-Grand Annual double. His recent jumps trial he was just given a soft time but certainly looked to have a fair bit more in the tank. I don’t think this looks an overly strong Brierly and with only four and a half kilos above the minimum I think he looks well weighted for a horse that really does have the score on the board. Happy to be with him. I will save on the old favourite I’ll’ava’alf. I don’t think for those that have subscribed for a few years that we have gone a Warrnambool carnival without having something on I’ll’ava’alf. It feels like I back him every year. He skipped around here in a recent jumps trial winning by a big margin and looking impressive. He comes into this relatively fresh as his first jumps race of the season and I don’t mind that and I was a little surprised he went up such good odds. I think he will make his presence felt so happy to be with him.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Gold Medals here and $25 the win on I'll'ava'alf!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 7

2:55pm

Suggested

Nashville Sound (No.3) & Truly High (No.7)

Dangers

Mirimar (No.8) & Count Zero (No.13)

This kicks off the Quaddie here as we get back into the flat races. I think we have a few favourites coming up here at this stage of the day that I really struggled to look past and that makes me a bit nervous. Nashville Sound looks really hard to beat here. He just fits the bill of a horse you want to be on in this sort of race. The race is over the 2350m and there are a few slow horses in this that have been well exposed and certainly reached their limit. Nashville Sound on the other hand is a lightly raced horse that seems to be very much on the rise. He was pretty dominant in the Penola Cup last start when winning by a big margin which probably could have been more. He draws out here but he is a big horse so I would see that an advantage and I think with normal luck in running he is clearly the horse they have to beat so happy to be in his corner. Truly High is the horse I am going to save on. He is still early in his campaign and has been trialling over the hurdles as he looks to progress to a jumping career. I thought he actually got through the line quite well at Cranbourne last start and given he has come up around the $12-15 mark in early markets I thought he was worth a saving ticket but Nashville Sound has been heavily backed overnight and this morning and after $3+ was bet yesterday he is into close to even money now. If the money is right and I think it might be, he should be winning.

Betting strategy

I will have $80 the win on Nashville Sound here and save with $15 the win on Truly High!

Race Outlay

$95

Race 9

4:00pm

Suggested

Honorable Mention (No.1) & Aerospeed (No.10)

Dangers

Sweet Snitty (No.8) & Boots Tarrington (No.11)

I have skipped race eight. I just couldn’t split Guizot and Paremuus Boy and the x-factor of Jumbo Prince also had me a bit concerned. So I just left that race alone. I am much keener on this race which is over the 1200m. Henry Dwyer brings Honorable Mention into the race first up as he did for the horse’s last campaign and he won by panels. I am hoping history can repeat itself. He jumped out well recently at Camperdown in preparation for this and if he rocks up in similar vein to what he did first up last campaign I think he will be hard to hold out. Keen. I am saving on Aerospeed who is first up. Gee, if you look through this horse’s form from last campaign he was so consistent against some pretty handy types. I am anticipating he will roll forward from a wide gate and get up on speed and at double figure odds he should hopefully give a sight up on speed. Happy to save on him in a good race behind Honorable Mention.

Betting strategy

I will have $60 the win on Honorable Mention here and save with $15 the win on Aerospeed!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 10

4:30pm

Suggested

Prince Of Venice (No.5), Manhattan Spirit (No.13), Laoban Tai Tai (No.14) & Atomic Wizard (No.16)

Dangers

Grandview Avenue (No.4) & Royal Boss (No.17)

This isn’t an easy race to finish the day on and as you can see I am playing it quite wide. I think ability wise Prince Of Venice is probably just about the best horse but how ready will he be first up off a long break? He is a horse that showed a lot of ability early on in his career but seemed to really put it together last campaign. He only had the two runs at Hamilton but won both of them comfortably. He has had a couple of jump outs to get him ready for this first up assignment and if he is within striking distance he will be hard to hold out late. Happy to be with him. Manhattan Spirit matched motors with him in a recent jump out at Terang and I want her on side. She was a winner on this day last year when fresh and that is the setup she finds herself in here. If backing Prince Of Venice I think you have to have something on her also. Laoban Tai Tai finally broke through for two wins at the end of her last campaign and now that she has broken through I am hoping she might go on with the job this campaign. She has jumped out particularly well and happy to be with her at double figure odds. The other horse I want on side is Atomic Wizard who won by a big margin on debut at Mount Gambier last start. That race was only over the 900m but she won it very easily. She showed good speed that day and if she can be fired across from the wide draw she could prove hard to run down here. She has been kept very safe in the market too so I would rather be with her than against her.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on Prince Of Venice,$20 the win on Atomic Wizard and $15 the win on Manhattan Spirit and Laboan Tai Tai!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 1

11:20am

Suggested

Darabad (No.2) & Double Bluff (No.3)

Dangers

Andrea Mantegna (No.1)

It is finally here. The mighty May racing carnival from The Bool kicks off today with ten pretty challenging races as always. It will be interesting to see how the track plays. With the Jumps Racing now in Victoria the track has to be rated soft when they race so you would imagine with The Brierly later in the day that the track will be pretty soft to start the day. Typically on day one the inside is not too bad and then it can chop out as the day progresses. Graham Hoy’s track report says maybe coming more than five horses off the fence in lanes six and wider could be beneficial but it will require close watching through the day. As per usual I am kicking off in the maiden hurdle which is split into three divisions. The preview will be a little bit briefer than normal over the three days just given the time constraints required to get everything out and do the form through the week. The market looks to have really settled on three runners here and they are the ones mentioned above. I was pretty keen to be with Darabad here. This horse had a big boom on him when kicking off his jumps racing career last season but was unable to break through and that may prove a blessing as he can now salute in a maiden hurdle over the carnival. I liked the way he jumped and picked up ground late in his recent trial over the jumps here at The Bool and would suggest he would be hard to beat here. Double Bluff makes his jumps debut and is another that has looked good in the trials. He is pretty short in the market and it isn’t a market with a lot of fat in it but he is locally trained and has looked strong in both jumps trials recently as mentioned. His flat form is quite strong and he should prove hard to beat so I don’t want to lose on him should he salute.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on both Darabad and Double Bluff here going for the bigger result with Darabad at bigger odds!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 2

12:00pm

Suggested

Cheners (No.2), Dodge City (No.4) & Golden Flag (No.5)

Dangers

Hursley (No.6) & Social Element (No.8)

I thought this was the trickiest of the maiden hurdles. It looked wide open with no real stand out and perhaps the race where there might be a bit of value on offer in terms of bigger prices. Golden Flag lost the rider at his only jumps start so far when starting a heavily backed favourite. His flat form prior to that and flat run since have all been quite good and I liked his jumps trial here last week. I think he looks well placed to break through and happy to be in his corner. I am playing a bit wider with the saving bets. Dodge City has looked good at the trials as well in my opinion and makes his jumps debut for the local Purcell yard. He is double figure odds in the market and can run well. Cheners is an interesting runner from the Musgrove yard that has come up massive odds. His flat form is awful but I thought he went well enough in a recent trial and at the $20-30 on offer I was happy to have something on him here in a tricky race.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Golden Flag here and save with $15 the win on Dodge City and $10 the win on Cheners!

Race Outlay

$65

Race 3

12:40pm

Suggested

Aloft (No.1)

Dangers

Big Bad Baz (No.2) & Euroman (No.3)

This looks a pretty strong maiden hurdle. Off the trials I was pretty keen to back Euroman wherever he went but he has run into Aloft here who has looked exceptional in his jumps trials and looks pretty hard to go past here. Steve Pateman was down to ride a few of these runners in this race hoping they would be split up into other maiden hurdles but they all lobbed in the one. He has elected to ride Aloft and I think we can take that as a pretty positive lead. He has just looked really strong in his trials. The first trial he led them up a merry dance and then what was pleasing in his most recent one was that he tracked up behind them and finished off nicely. I think he is clearly the one they all have to beat and pretty keen to be with him. He looks one of the better bets on the program.

Betting strategy

I will have $95 the win on Aloft here as a stand out bet!

Race Outlay

$95

Race 4

1:15pm

Suggested

Chortomic (No.1), Nicajon (No.5), Young Lucas (No.12), Sweet Venom (No.16) & Good To Dream (No.17)

Dangers

Lord Of The Turf (No.10) & Make It Count (No.18)

This is the first flat race of the carnival and we are already going to try and get a short priced favourite rolled. Lord Of The Turf is obviously a great winning chance. He has been good a t both starts, is locally trained and gets the blinkers on for the first time. It looks a likeable setup for him but at the same time he is very short. The thought process was do I load up on him or spread the bets a bit wider for a similar outlay and result. I went with the latter option as I think he is probably under the odds. Chortomic is a horse I have been following for a little while now. His form last campaign was quite strong and I have no doubt that he has a maiden win in him. He has jumped out well in preparation for this first up run and happy to be in his corner around $12 mark. Nicajon is another interesting runner resuming for the Quinny Scott stable. I love the way he got through the line at his debut run here and he was immediately spelled following that run. I reckon a maiden in carnival week has been the aim and he looked to have a bit in hand in a recent jump out at Terang. He is drawn out but will be back off the speed and if coming a bit wider is the place to be then he could be advantaged to want to be with him. Young Lucas is making his debut for the local Beriman yard and I haven’t been able to find a jump out for him. I have no stats on this but I feel the  Beriman stable has always had a horse go well in this race in previous years and if that is the case then this bloke has to be respected. He has been kept pretty safe in the market and I don’t want to be losing on the race should he salute. Sweet Venom got through the line nicely first up at Terang. I like the way she finished off there and that was her first run for around eighteen months so it was a pleasing return. If she has gone on from that I think she can be in the finish. Last but not least is Good To Dream. This is the stable mate of the favourite who did nothing on debut back in January but I thought showed a bit in a recent jump out. I just thought at $40-50 she came up silly odds and was worth a ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $25 the win on Nicajon, $20 the win on Sweet Venom, $15 the win on Chotormic and $10 the win on Young Lucas and Good To Dream!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 6

2:20pm

Suggested

Gold Medals (No.1) & I’ll’ava’alf (No.4)

Dangers

Bit Of A Lad (No.2) & Newbury (No.7)

This is the first of the big feature jumps races for the week. It is the Brierly Steeplechase over the 3450m. Gold Medals was a good result in this race last year for us and I see no reason why he won’t be hard to beat again here. He seems to thrive here at this track at this time of year and his recent Terang Cup run on the flat suggested to me he is pretty close to the same sort of form that he was in when racing here over the carnival last year and completing the big Brierly-Grand Annual double. His recent jumps trial he was just given a soft time but certainly looked to have a fair bit more in the tank. I don’t think this looks an overly strong Brierly and with only four and a half kilos above the minimum I think he looks well weighted for a horse that really does have the score on the board. Happy to be with him. I will save on the old favourite I’ll’ava’alf. I don’t think for those that have subscribed for a few years that we have gone a Warrnambool carnival without having something on I’ll’ava’alf. It feels like I back him every year. He skipped around here in a recent jumps trial winning by a big margin and looking impressive. He comes into this relatively fresh as his first jumps race of the season and I don’t mind that and I was a little surprised he went up such good odds. I think he will make his presence felt so happy to be with him.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Gold Medals here and $25 the win on I'll'ava'alf!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 7

2:55pm

Suggested

Nashville Sound (No.3) & Truly High (No.7)

Dangers

Mirimar (No.8) & Count Zero (No.13)

This kicks off the Quaddie here as we get back into the flat races. I think we have a few favourites coming up here at this stage of the day that I really struggled to look past and that makes me a bit nervous. Nashville Sound looks really hard to beat here. He just fits the bill of a horse you want to be on in this sort of race. The race is over the 2350m and there are a few slow horses in this that have been well exposed and certainly reached their limit. Nashville Sound on the other hand is a lightly raced horse that seems to be very much on the rise. He was pretty dominant in the Penola Cup last start when winning by a big margin which probably could have been more. He draws out here but he is a big horse so I would see that an advantage and I think with normal luck in running he is clearly the horse they have to beat so happy to be in his corner. Truly High is the horse I am going to save on. He is still early in his campaign and has been trialling over the hurdles as he looks to progress to a jumping career. I thought he actually got through the line quite well at Cranbourne last start and given he has come up around the $12-15 mark in early markets I thought he was worth a saving ticket but Nashville Sound has been heavily backed overnight and this morning and after $3+ was bet yesterday he is into close to even money now. If the money is right and I think it might be, he should be winning.

Betting strategy

I will have $80 the win on Nashville Sound here and save with $15 the win on Truly High!

Race Outlay

$95

Race 9

4:00pm

Suggested

Honorable Mention (No.1) & Aerospeed (No.10)

Dangers

Sweet Snitty (No.8) & Boots Tarrington (No.11)

I have skipped race eight. I just couldn’t split Guizot and Paremuus Boy and the x-factor of Jumbo Prince also had me a bit concerned. So I just left that race alone. I am much keener on this race which is over the 1200m. Henry Dwyer brings Honorable Mention into the race first up as he did for the horse’s last campaign and he won by panels. I am hoping history can repeat itself. He jumped out well recently at Camperdown in preparation for this and if he rocks up in similar vein to what he did first up last campaign I think he will be hard to hold out. Keen. I am saving on Aerospeed who is first up. Gee, if you look through this horse’s form from last campaign he was so consistent against some pretty handy types. I am anticipating he will roll forward from a wide gate and get up on speed and at double figure odds he should hopefully give a sight up on speed. Happy to save on him in a good race behind Honorable Mention.

Betting strategy

I will have $60 the win on Honorable Mention here and save with $15 the win on Aerospeed!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 10

4:30pm

Suggested

Prince Of Venice (No.5), Manhattan Spirit (No.13), Laoban Tai Tai (No.14) & Atomic Wizard (No.16)

Dangers

Grandview Avenue (No.4) & Royal Boss (No.17)

This isn’t an easy race to finish the day on and as you can see I am playing it quite wide. I think ability wise Prince Of Venice is probably just about the best horse but how ready will he be first up off a long break? He is a horse that showed a lot of ability early on in his career but seemed to really put it together last campaign. He only had the two runs at Hamilton but won both of them comfortably. He has had a couple of jump outs to get him ready for this first up assignment and if he is within striking distance he will be hard to hold out late. Happy to be with him. Manhattan Spirit matched motors with him in a recent jump out at Terang and I want her on side. She was a winner on this day last year when fresh and that is the setup she finds herself in here. If backing Prince Of Venice I think you have to have something on her also. Laoban Tai Tai finally broke through for two wins at the end of her last campaign and now that she has broken through I am hoping she might go on with the job this campaign. She has jumped out particularly well and happy to be with her at double figure odds. The other horse I want on side is Atomic Wizard who won by a big margin on debut at Mount Gambier last start. That race was only over the 900m but she won it very easily. She showed good speed that day and if she can be fired across from the wide draw she could prove hard to run down here. She has been kept very safe in the market too so I would rather be with her than against her.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on Prince Of Venice,$20 the win on Atomic Wizard and $15 the win on Manhattan Spirit and Laboan Tai Tai!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 1

11:20am

Suggested

Darabad (No.2) & Double Bluff (No.3)

Dangers

Andrea Mantegna (No.1)

It is finally here. The mighty May racing carnival from The Bool kicks off today with ten pretty challenging races as always. It will be interesting to see how the track plays. With the Jumps Racing now in Victoria the track has to be rated soft when they race so you would imagine with The Brierly later in the day that the track will be pretty soft to start the day. Typically on day one the inside is not too bad and then it can chop out as the day progresses. Graham Hoy’s track report says maybe coming more than five horses off the fence in lanes six and wider could be beneficial but it will require close watching through the day. As per usual I am kicking off in the maiden hurdle which is split into three divisions. The preview will be a little bit briefer than normal over the three days just given the time constraints required to get everything out and do the form through the week. The market looks to have really settled on three runners here and they are the ones mentioned above. I was pretty keen to be with Darabad here. This horse had a big boom on him when kicking off his jumps racing career last season but was unable to break through and that may prove a blessing as he can now salute in a maiden hurdle over the carnival. I liked the way he jumped and picked up ground late in his recent trial over the jumps here at The Bool and would suggest he would be hard to beat here. Double Bluff makes his jumps debut and is another that has looked good in the trials. He is pretty short in the market and it isn’t a market with a lot of fat in it but he is locally trained and has looked strong in both jumps trials recently as mentioned. His flat form is quite strong and he should prove hard to beat so I don’t want to lose on him should he salute.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on both Darabad and Double Bluff here going for the bigger result with Darabad at bigger odds!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 2

12:00pm

Suggested

Cheners (No.2), Dodge City (No.4) & Golden Flag (No.5)

Dangers

Hursley (No.6) & Social Element (No.8)

I thought this was the trickiest of the maiden hurdles. It looked wide open with no real stand out and perhaps the race where there might be a bit of value on offer in terms of bigger prices. Golden Flag lost the rider at his only jumps start so far when starting a heavily backed favourite. His flat form prior to that and flat run since have all been quite good and I liked his jumps trial here last week. I think he looks well placed to break through and happy to be in his corner. I am playing a bit wider with the saving bets. Dodge City has looked good at the trials as well in my opinion and makes his jumps debut for the local Purcell yard. He is double figure odds in the market and can run well. Cheners is an interesting runner from the Musgrove yard that has come up massive odds. His flat form is awful but I thought he went well enough in a recent trial and at the $20-30 on offer I was happy to have something on him here in a tricky race.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Golden Flag here and save with $15 the win on Dodge City and $10 the win on Cheners!

Race Outlay

$65

Race 3

12:40pm

Suggested

Aloft (No.1)

Dangers

Big Bad Baz (No.2) & Euroman (No.3)

This looks a pretty strong maiden hurdle. Off the trials I was pretty keen to back Euroman wherever he went but he has run into Aloft here who has looked exceptional in his jumps trials and looks pretty hard to go past here. Steve Pateman was down to ride a few of these runners in this race hoping they would be split up into other maiden hurdles but they all lobbed in the one. He has elected to ride Aloft and I think we can take that as a pretty positive lead. He has just looked really strong in his trials. The first trial he led them up a merry dance and then what was pleasing in his most recent one was that he tracked up behind them and finished off nicely. I think he is clearly the one they all have to beat and pretty keen to be with him. He looks one of the better bets on the program.

Betting strategy

I will have $95 the win on Aloft here as a stand out bet!

Race Outlay

$95

Race 4

1:15pm

Suggested

Chortomic (No.1), Nicajon (No.5), Young Lucas (No.12), Sweet Venom (No.16) & Good To Dream (No.17)

Dangers

Lord Of The Turf (No.10) & Make It Count (No.18)

This is the first flat race of the carnival and we are already going to try and get a short priced favourite rolled. Lord Of The Turf is obviously a great winning chance. He has been good a t both starts, is locally trained and gets the blinkers on for the first time. It looks a likeable setup for him but at the same time he is very short. The thought process was do I load up on him or spread the bets a bit wider for a similar outlay and result. I went with the latter option as I think he is probably under the odds. Chortomic is a horse I have been following for a little while now. His form last campaign was quite strong and I have no doubt that he has a maiden win in him. He has jumped out well in preparation for this first up run and happy to be in his corner around $12 mark. Nicajon is another interesting runner resuming for the Quinny Scott stable. I love the way he got through the line at his debut run here and he was immediately spelled following that run. I reckon a maiden in carnival week has been the aim and he looked to have a bit in hand in a recent jump out at Terang. He is drawn out but will be back off the speed and if coming a bit wider is the place to be then he could be advantaged to want to be with him. Young Lucas is making his debut for the local Beriman yard and I haven’t been able to find a jump out for him. I have no stats on this but I feel the  Beriman stable has always had a horse go well in this race in previous years and if that is the case then this bloke has to be respected. He has been kept pretty safe in the market and I don’t want to be losing on the race should he salute. Sweet Venom got through the line nicely first up at Terang. I like the way she finished off there and that was her first run for around eighteen months so it was a pleasing return. If she has gone on from that I think she can be in the finish. Last but not least is Good To Dream. This is the stable mate of the favourite who did nothing on debut back in January but I thought showed a bit in a recent jump out. I just thought at $40-50 she came up silly odds and was worth a ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $25 the win on Nicajon, $20 the win on Sweet Venom, $15 the win on Chotormic and $10 the win on Young Lucas and Good To Dream!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 6

2:20pm

Suggested

Gold Medals (No.1) & I’ll’ava’alf (No.4)

Dangers

Bit Of A Lad (No.2) & Newbury (No.7)

This is the first of the big feature jumps races for the week. It is the Brierly Steeplechase over the 3450m. Gold Medals was a good result in this race last year for us and I see no reason why he won’t be hard to beat again here. He seems to thrive here at this track at this time of year and his recent Terang Cup run on the flat suggested to me he is pretty close to the same sort of form that he was in when racing here over the carnival last year and completing the big Brierly-Grand Annual double. His recent jumps trial he was just given a soft time but certainly looked to have a fair bit more in the tank. I don’t think this looks an overly strong Brierly and with only four and a half kilos above the minimum I think he looks well weighted for a horse that really does have the score on the board. Happy to be with him. I will save on the old favourite I’ll’ava’alf. I don’t think for those that have subscribed for a few years that we have gone a Warrnambool carnival without having something on I’ll’ava’alf. It feels like I back him every year. He skipped around here in a recent jumps trial winning by a big margin and looking impressive. He comes into this relatively fresh as his first jumps race of the season and I don’t mind that and I was a little surprised he went up such good odds. I think he will make his presence felt so happy to be with him.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Gold Medals here and $25 the win on I'll'ava'alf!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 7

2:55pm

Suggested

Nashville Sound (No.3) & Truly High (No.7)

Dangers

Mirimar (No.8) & Count Zero (No.13)

This kicks off the Quaddie here as we get back into the flat races. I think we have a few favourites coming up here at this stage of the day that I really struggled to look past and that makes me a bit nervous. Nashville Sound looks really hard to beat here. He just fits the bill of a horse you want to be on in this sort of race. The race is over the 2350m and there are a few slow horses in this that have been well exposed and certainly reached their limit. Nashville Sound on the other hand is a lightly raced horse that seems to be very much on the rise. He was pretty dominant in the Penola Cup last start when winning by a big margin which probably could have been more. He draws out here but he is a big horse so I would see that an advantage and I think with normal luck in running he is clearly the horse they have to beat so happy to be in his corner. Truly High is the horse I am going to save on. He is still early in his campaign and has been trialling over the hurdles as he looks to progress to a jumping career. I thought he actually got through the line quite well at Cranbourne last start and given he has come up around the $12-15 mark in early markets I thought he was worth a saving ticket but Nashville Sound has been heavily backed overnight and this morning and after $3+ was bet yesterday he is into close to even money now. If the money is right and I think it might be, he should be winning.

Betting strategy

I will have $80 the win on Nashville Sound here and save with $15 the win on Truly High!

Race Outlay

$95

Race 9

4:00pm

Suggested

Honorable Mention (No.1) & Aerospeed (No.10)

Dangers

Sweet Snitty (No.8) & Boots Tarrington (No.11)

I have skipped race eight. I just couldn’t split Guizot and Paremuus Boy and the x-factor of Jumbo Prince also had me a bit concerned. So I just left that race alone. I am much keener on this race which is over the 1200m. Henry Dwyer brings Honorable Mention into the race first up as he did for the horse’s last campaign and he won by panels. I am hoping history can repeat itself. He jumped out well recently at Camperdown in preparation for this and if he rocks up in similar vein to what he did first up last campaign I think he will be hard to hold out. Keen. I am saving on Aerospeed who is first up. Gee, if you look through this horse’s form from last campaign he was so consistent against some pretty handy types. I am anticipating he will roll forward from a wide gate and get up on speed and at double figure odds he should hopefully give a sight up on speed. Happy to save on him in a good race behind Honorable Mention.

Betting strategy

I will have $60 the win on Honorable Mention here and save with $15 the win on Aerospeed!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 10

4:30pm

Suggested

Prince Of Venice (No.5), Manhattan Spirit (No.13), Laoban Tai Tai (No.14) & Atomic Wizard (No.16)

Dangers

Grandview Avenue (No.4) & Royal Boss (No.17)

This isn’t an easy race to finish the day on and as you can see I am playing it quite wide. I think ability wise Prince Of Venice is probably just about the best horse but how ready will he be first up off a long break? He is a horse that showed a lot of ability early on in his career but seemed to really put it together last campaign. He only had the two runs at Hamilton but won both of them comfortably. He has had a couple of jump outs to get him ready for this first up assignment and if he is within striking distance he will be hard to hold out late. Happy to be with him. Manhattan Spirit matched motors with him in a recent jump out at Terang and I want her on side. She was a winner on this day last year when fresh and that is the setup she finds herself in here. If backing Prince Of Venice I think you have to have something on her also. Laoban Tai Tai finally broke through for two wins at the end of her last campaign and now that she has broken through I am hoping she might go on with the job this campaign. She has jumped out particularly well and happy to be with her at double figure odds. The other horse I want on side is Atomic Wizard who won by a big margin on debut at Mount Gambier last start. That race was only over the 900m but she won it very easily. She showed good speed that day and if she can be fired across from the wide draw she could prove hard to run down here. She has been kept very safe in the market too so I would rather be with her than against her.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on Prince Of Venice,$20 the win on Atomic Wizard and $15 the win on Manhattan Spirit and Laboan Tai Tai!

Race Outlay

$85

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