Midweek racing in Melbourne from Sandown Lakeside. A competitive midweek meeting before Golden Slipper. Plenty of value to be found.

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Race 1

3:25pm

Suggested

Pelonomena (No.1) & Dunlani (No.4)

Dangers

Argyle Belle (No.2) & Hot Blonde (No.6)

A big weekend ahead of us with the massive Golden Slipper meeting coming from Rosehill where all the focus will be but hopefully we can build a bank here and at The Valley on Friday night to give us plenty to play with. The rail is in the true position after last racing here on February 6 where the rail was out six metres so I would anticipate there being no disadvantage to horses up on speed with that fresh ground in play. Certainly look for this track to play a little differently to how we have seen the Hillside track play recently. I am kicking off in the first race which is a race for the fillies and mares over the 2100m. I am certainly not going to pull any great shocks here as I think the race will be won by either Pelonomena or Dunlani who dominate the market. I am surprised though that there is such a big gap between them in the market and I am hoping that is where we might be able to extract some value from the race. Dunlani certainly looks to be a filly with real upside. She was only second up when winning at Moonee Valley last start and did so in strong fashion. She held off Blue Bear with a big gap to the third horse Bianco Nouvo. The latter has come out and won subsequently to that here on the Sandown Hillside track so the form reads quite strong. Everything did fall into place for her that night though, in saying that though she clearly looks to have plenty of upside and will be hard to beat here so I don’t want to lose on the race should she salute. I have to admit I went into doing the form for the race thinking she was probably a moral and then I looked at the win of Pelonomena last start at Echuca. It was seriously impressive. She was well backed that day second up off a bit of a freshen up and she looked to be in all sorts of trouble coming to the home turn. She was ripped across heels in the straight after being held up, got to the outside, picked herself up and gunned the leaders down to win easily and running away. For a staying mare to pick up so effectively and so quickly after being held up for a fairly sustained period was really impressive. She has come up close to $5 in the early markets here while Dunlani is odds on. I have them much closer and as such I will stake to win more off Pelonomena here in the first.

Betting strategy

I think the $4.80 about Pelonomena is a fair price and will lock that in with SportsBet and have $40 the win on her! I will cover that bet with $50 the win on Dunlani!

Race Outlay

$90

Race 2

4:00pm

Suggested

Hurricane Fighter (No.3) & Frivolosophy (No.5)

Dangers

Chap’s Dream (No.4) & Skyway Star (No.8)

This is a small field over the 1300m. It is a maiden for the three year olds but it is an intriguing little race. I think we might have a couple of handy ones going around here. The Hawkes stable which is going at a 20% winning strike rate over their last fifty runners saddle up a debutante here in Frivolosophy who has shown a bit in her recent Flemington jump outs to suggest that she will come to the races and be very competitive here. She has taken on some capable gallopers in those jump outs and more than matched it with them. She has shown good speed in the jump outs suggesting that she can use gate one to her advantage here and hold a position up on speed. I fancy she might be pretty talented and saw enough in those two jump outs where she looked to have plenty in hand to give me the confidence to back her here on debut. I think the main danger might come from Hurricane Fighter who resumes from a spell here having shown good ability in his debut campaign. He took on some handy gallopers in that first campaign. He ran third to Divine Mr Tycoon on debut before running into Prince Of Caviar in a handy Bendigo maiden at start number two. At his last run before a spell he just failed to run down Asgard Massif who made the most of a leader advantaged track at Cranbourne. That is all form which looks more than strong enough to stand up here. He has been given a quiet time in a couple of recent jump outs and would expect him to roll forward and be up on speed here which could be an advantage. I expect him to be right in the finish and certainly want him on side.

Betting strategy

I am pretty keen on this two bet play here and will have $40 the win on both Frivolosophy and Hurricane Fighter!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 5

5:30pm

Suggested

Savvy Oak (No.1) & Grinzinger Star (No.3)

Dangers

Pressure (No.5) & Feather (No.7)

This is another small field but again it is a pretty intriguing race. It is over the mile and the real interest comes here in the engagement of a few three year olds who showed good staying promise through the spring. We have Savvy Oak and Grinzinger Star who competed in the VRC Derby while Pressure is a three year old filly that was competitive against the likes of Greysful Glamour, Verry Elleegant and Aristia. Throw in the Hawkes stable switching down from Sydney this lightly raced mare in Feather and we have a real race on our hands. I was pretty keen to oppose Feather particularly at the price. I understand she is advantaged by having two runs under her belt this time in and can see why the market respects her and the stable for bringing her down for what looks a suitable race. I do however think that the class of the three year olds and their upside will prove more telling. I think Savvy Oak is clearly the horse to beat. This is a horse that made giant strides through his first campaign. He impressed winning on debut before going on taking on the likes of Extra Brut, Stars Of Carrum and co. in some of the main staying three year old races. His campaign culminated with a good run in the Derby where he was only four lengths from the winner. He was well supported to win first up at Pakenham last start and I thought he was perhaps a little unlucky. He jumped well and landed in a good spot not far off the leaders in a small field and slowly run race but he just kept continually getting shuffled back until he ended up near last. He then just couldn’t get himself into the clear in the straight early enough to build full momentum and as such was unable to run down Jungle Fish. When he got clear late though he really picked up and was charging through the line. It was a good return. I think if he goes on from that this is his race. He draws gate two so he will need a tactically aware ride from Michael Walker as he will probably want to stay close to the speed and be out in daylight in plenty of time to build momentum. I think if he gets the right run and luck he will be winning, but that is certainly the risk. I am going to keep the other male on side in Grinzinger Star ahead of the filly in Pressure. I have been quite taken by this horse’s trial and jump out recently. He is another who in his debut campaign went through the grades and it all culminated in a run in the VRC Derby where he was well beaten. He has been gelded in the break and I think we might see a more polished racehorse this time in. He showed a bit of speed in a Cranbourne trial before just holding his own late but his most recent jump out at Flemington really caught my eye. He was slow out and held well off the speed but he picked up ground very quickly and strongly late and was motoring through the line. I like the fact he resumes over the mile, Ollie rides first up and I just feel he might have been the horse to really improve in the break and come back a better animal this time around so happy to have him on side

Betting strategy

I will have $55 the win on Savvy Oak and $25 the win on Grinzinger Star here!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 6

6:00pm

Suggested

Hostar (No.3) & Stocktaka (No.6)

Dangers

Toorak Warrior (No.4) & Zoumanor (No.12)

This is another small field and probably a race I wrestled with a bit over whether to include in the preview. I ended up going with it. I ended up with Stocktaka almost a bit by default. He is a lightly raced three year old who has done nothing wrong at his first two starts and he strikes a pretty ordinary race here. He ran well on debut when well backed and just failing to run down Makfi Amour at Pakenham before coming to Sandown Hillside as a short priced favourite and racing three wide on speed the journey when just getting the upper hand from Judge O’Reilly. He didn’t do anything spectacular on the clock that day but he toughed it out strongly after being wide outside the leaders the whole way. I was probably prepared to take him on wherever he went at his next start but I am compelled to back him again here more for the fact he just seems to have a lack of opposition. He also looks the right horse on the map providing Damian Lane rides him positively like he did last start. There doesn’t look a lot of speed in the race and I had him landing in front with Zoumanor coming over and sitting outside of him. I think if he can get to the front and control the tempo he will be pretty hard to run down so happy to be with him again. I thought Hostar was certainly the horse in the race that come up well over the odds. This galloper was a good winner first up last campaign and then went on to race well against the likes of Five Kingdom and Declares War thorugh the summer months which reads as pretty good form for a race of this nature. Even his last start run on New Year’s Day he wasn’t beaten far behind Diplomac Jack and Laure Me In which is a race that has produced quite a few winners that he wasn’t far away from in Pure Scot and Wetakemanhattan. He went well in a recent Camperdown jump out and from a middle gate here I can see him landing just behind the speed in a stalking position poised to pounce. I think the $9 being bet is an excellent price and I am more than happy to have something on him.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Stocktaka here and $25 the win on Hostar and I am going to lock in the $9.50 with SportsBet about the latter!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 7

6:30pm

Suggested

Lord Tennyson (No.2), Heir To The Throne (No.3) & Andaz (No.7)

Dangers

Indian Thunder (No.1) & Our Sea Goddess (No.8)

This race is over the 1300m and there is a fair bit of depth to this race. Seven of the ten runners resume which makes it a little bit tricky and I probably couldn’t rule out any of the ten runners as a winning chance. It is a good race. Andaz hasn’t been a horse that has endeared himself to punters and I have to admit I almost surprised myself when I came up with him in this race but if he runs to his best and you can cast his winning record or lack thereof aside he looks hard to beat. He is certainly a horse that is blessed with a fair bit of natural talent he has just seemed to pick and choose through his career when he shows it. His last start run in the Greys’ race on Oaks Day before going for a spell was really good and a similar level of performance here would certainly see him go close. He jumped out nicely at Flemington before he was given a very quiet time in a recent 1190m trial at Cranbourne where he certainly looked to have a fair bit more to give. I think with that 1190m trial under his belt he is going to come to the races ready to rumble here first up. He draws a nice middle gate to land in a good position off speed and if he can be close enough to reel off a good finishing split I think he can get over the top of them here. It looks a winnable race for him so I will be in his corner. Heir To The Throne is a lightly raced galloper that I am not sure we have seen the best of just yet. He won well first up on the Hillside track back in December when coming from off the speed before he tried to make the running all of the way at Flemington on New Year’s Day and was just run down late but was clearly the best of the on pace brigade. That was only a two run campaign and he resumes here. He seems to like his runs well spaced and has a liking for racing on the fresh side. He draws out here which I am hoping compels Mark Zahra to roll forward on him. With so many horses resuming here the map does look a little bit tricky. Won Ball from gate one looks the likely leader but then it is all a bit up in the air. I think if Zahra is positive and gets this horse up on speed he will be pretty hard to get past in the straight so I certainly want to have him on side. The horse that is clearly over the odds for mine in the race is Lord Tennyson. A bit like his stable mate Hostar in the previous race I was really surpised at the odds that this horse has come up. Looking back through his form card there is competitive runs against the likes of Octabello, Streets Of Avalon, Rox The Castle and Hang Man which reads very well for a race of this nature. I was particularly keen on this horse last start at Caulfield on Boxing Day where I was on at good early odds and he was just touched off by Hang Man. He hasn’t raced since then but jumped out really well at Camperdown last week. He looked strong in that. The slight concern is that he typically improves significantly from his first up run to his second up run. If he was second up here I would nearly declare him. In any case he has come up double figure odds from gate two with Damian Lane on board and at that price I think he is well worth a ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $30 the win on Heir To The Throne, $25 the win on Andaz and $20 the win on Lord Tennyson locking in the $11 about the latter!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 1

3:25pm

Suggested

Pelonomena (No.1) & Dunlani (No.4)

Dangers

Argyle Belle (No.2) & Hot Blonde (No.6)

A big weekend ahead of us with the massive Golden Slipper meeting coming from Rosehill where all the focus will be but hopefully we can build a bank here and at The Valley on Friday night to give us plenty to play with. The rail is in the true position after last racing here on February 6 where the rail was out six metres so I would anticipate there being no disadvantage to horses up on speed with that fresh ground in play. Certainly look for this track to play a little differently to how we have seen the Hillside track play recently. I am kicking off in the first race which is a race for the fillies and mares over the 2100m. I am certainly not going to pull any great shocks here as I think the race will be won by either Pelonomena or Dunlani who dominate the market. I am surprised though that there is such a big gap between them in the market and I am hoping that is where we might be able to extract some value from the race. Dunlani certainly looks to be a filly with real upside. She was only second up when winning at Moonee Valley last start and did so in strong fashion. She held off Blue Bear with a big gap to the third horse Bianco Nouvo. The latter has come out and won subsequently to that here on the Sandown Hillside track so the form reads quite strong. Everything did fall into place for her that night though, in saying that though she clearly looks to have plenty of upside and will be hard to beat here so I don’t want to lose on the race should she salute. I have to admit I went into doing the form for the race thinking she was probably a moral and then I looked at the win of Pelonomena last start at Echuca. It was seriously impressive. She was well backed that day second up off a bit of a freshen up and she looked to be in all sorts of trouble coming to the home turn. She was ripped across heels in the straight after being held up, got to the outside, picked herself up and gunned the leaders down to win easily and running away. For a staying mare to pick up so effectively and so quickly after being held up for a fairly sustained period was really impressive. She has come up close to $5 in the early markets here while Dunlani is odds on. I have them much closer and as such I will stake to win more off Pelonomena here in the first.

Betting strategy

I think the $4.80 about Pelonomena is a fair price and will lock that in with SportsBet and have $40 the win on her! I will cover that bet with $50 the win on Dunlani!

Race Outlay

$90

Race 2

4:00pm

Suggested

Hurricane Fighter (No.3) & Frivolosophy (No.5)

Dangers

Chap’s Dream (No.4) & Skyway Star (No.8)

This is a small field over the 1300m. It is a maiden for the three year olds but it is an intriguing little race. I think we might have a couple of handy ones going around here. The Hawkes stable which is going at a 20% winning strike rate over their last fifty runners saddle up a debutante here in Frivolosophy who has shown a bit in her recent Flemington jump outs to suggest that she will come to the races and be very competitive here. She has taken on some capable gallopers in those jump outs and more than matched it with them. She has shown good speed in the jump outs suggesting that she can use gate one to her advantage here and hold a position up on speed. I fancy she might be pretty talented and saw enough in those two jump outs where she looked to have plenty in hand to give me the confidence to back her here on debut. I think the main danger might come from Hurricane Fighter who resumes from a spell here having shown good ability in his debut campaign. He took on some handy gallopers in that first campaign. He ran third to Divine Mr Tycoon on debut before running into Prince Of Caviar in a handy Bendigo maiden at start number two. At his last run before a spell he just failed to run down Asgard Massif who made the most of a leader advantaged track at Cranbourne. That is all form which looks more than strong enough to stand up here. He has been given a quiet time in a couple of recent jump outs and would expect him to roll forward and be up on speed here which could be an advantage. I expect him to be right in the finish and certainly want him on side.

Betting strategy

I am pretty keen on this two bet play here and will have $40 the win on both Frivolosophy and Hurricane Fighter!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 5

5:30pm

Suggested

Savvy Oak (No.1) & Grinzinger Star (No.3)

Dangers

Pressure (No.5) & Feather (No.7)

This is another small field but again it is a pretty intriguing race. It is over the mile and the real interest comes here in the engagement of a few three year olds who showed good staying promise through the spring. We have Savvy Oak and Grinzinger Star who competed in the VRC Derby while Pressure is a three year old filly that was competitive against the likes of Greysful Glamour, Verry Elleegant and Aristia. Throw in the Hawkes stable switching down from Sydney this lightly raced mare in Feather and we have a real race on our hands. I was pretty keen to oppose Feather particularly at the price. I understand she is advantaged by having two runs under her belt this time in and can see why the market respects her and the stable for bringing her down for what looks a suitable race. I do however think that the class of the three year olds and their upside will prove more telling. I think Savvy Oak is clearly the horse to beat. This is a horse that made giant strides through his first campaign. He impressed winning on debut before going on taking on the likes of Extra Brut, Stars Of Carrum and co. in some of the main staying three year old races. His campaign culminated with a good run in the Derby where he was only four lengths from the winner. He was well supported to win first up at Pakenham last start and I thought he was perhaps a little unlucky. He jumped well and landed in a good spot not far off the leaders in a small field and slowly run race but he just kept continually getting shuffled back until he ended up near last. He then just couldn’t get himself into the clear in the straight early enough to build full momentum and as such was unable to run down Jungle Fish. When he got clear late though he really picked up and was charging through the line. It was a good return. I think if he goes on from that this is his race. He draws gate two so he will need a tactically aware ride from Michael Walker as he will probably want to stay close to the speed and be out in daylight in plenty of time to build momentum. I think if he gets the right run and luck he will be winning, but that is certainly the risk. I am going to keep the other male on side in Grinzinger Star ahead of the filly in Pressure. I have been quite taken by this horse’s trial and jump out recently. He is another who in his debut campaign went through the grades and it all culminated in a run in the VRC Derby where he was well beaten. He has been gelded in the break and I think we might see a more polished racehorse this time in. He showed a bit of speed in a Cranbourne trial before just holding his own late but his most recent jump out at Flemington really caught my eye. He was slow out and held well off the speed but he picked up ground very quickly and strongly late and was motoring through the line. I like the fact he resumes over the mile, Ollie rides first up and I just feel he might have been the horse to really improve in the break and come back a better animal this time around so happy to have him on side

Betting strategy

I will have $55 the win on Savvy Oak and $25 the win on Grinzinger Star here!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 6

6:00pm

Suggested

Hostar (No.3) & Stocktaka (No.6)

Dangers

Toorak Warrior (No.4) & Zoumanor (No.12)

This is another small field and probably a race I wrestled with a bit over whether to include in the preview. I ended up going with it. I ended up with Stocktaka almost a bit by default. He is a lightly raced three year old who has done nothing wrong at his first two starts and he strikes a pretty ordinary race here. He ran well on debut when well backed and just failing to run down Makfi Amour at Pakenham before coming to Sandown Hillside as a short priced favourite and racing three wide on speed the journey when just getting the upper hand from Judge O’Reilly. He didn’t do anything spectacular on the clock that day but he toughed it out strongly after being wide outside the leaders the whole way. I was probably prepared to take him on wherever he went at his next start but I am compelled to back him again here more for the fact he just seems to have a lack of opposition. He also looks the right horse on the map providing Damian Lane rides him positively like he did last start. There doesn’t look a lot of speed in the race and I had him landing in front with Zoumanor coming over and sitting outside of him. I think if he can get to the front and control the tempo he will be pretty hard to run down so happy to be with him again. I thought Hostar was certainly the horse in the race that come up well over the odds. This galloper was a good winner first up last campaign and then went on to race well against the likes of Five Kingdom and Declares War thorugh the summer months which reads as pretty good form for a race of this nature. Even his last start run on New Year’s Day he wasn’t beaten far behind Diplomac Jack and Laure Me In which is a race that has produced quite a few winners that he wasn’t far away from in Pure Scot and Wetakemanhattan. He went well in a recent Camperdown jump out and from a middle gate here I can see him landing just behind the speed in a stalking position poised to pounce. I think the $9 being bet is an excellent price and I am more than happy to have something on him.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Stocktaka here and $25 the win on Hostar and I am going to lock in the $9.50 with SportsBet about the latter!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 7

6:30pm

Suggested

Lord Tennyson (No.2), Heir To The Throne (No.3) & Andaz (No.7)

Dangers

Indian Thunder (No.1) & Our Sea Goddess (No.8)

This race is over the 1300m and there is a fair bit of depth to this race. Seven of the ten runners resume which makes it a little bit tricky and I probably couldn’t rule out any of the ten runners as a winning chance. It is a good race. Andaz hasn’t been a horse that has endeared himself to punters and I have to admit I almost surprised myself when I came up with him in this race but if he runs to his best and you can cast his winning record or lack thereof aside he looks hard to beat. He is certainly a horse that is blessed with a fair bit of natural talent he has just seemed to pick and choose through his career when he shows it. His last start run in the Greys’ race on Oaks Day before going for a spell was really good and a similar level of performance here would certainly see him go close. He jumped out nicely at Flemington before he was given a very quiet time in a recent 1190m trial at Cranbourne where he certainly looked to have a fair bit more to give. I think with that 1190m trial under his belt he is going to come to the races ready to rumble here first up. He draws a nice middle gate to land in a good position off speed and if he can be close enough to reel off a good finishing split I think he can get over the top of them here. It looks a winnable race for him so I will be in his corner. Heir To The Throne is a lightly raced galloper that I am not sure we have seen the best of just yet. He won well first up on the Hillside track back in December when coming from off the speed before he tried to make the running all of the way at Flemington on New Year’s Day and was just run down late but was clearly the best of the on pace brigade. That was only a two run campaign and he resumes here. He seems to like his runs well spaced and has a liking for racing on the fresh side. He draws out here which I am hoping compels Mark Zahra to roll forward on him. With so many horses resuming here the map does look a little bit tricky. Won Ball from gate one looks the likely leader but then it is all a bit up in the air. I think if Zahra is positive and gets this horse up on speed he will be pretty hard to get past in the straight so I certainly want to have him on side. The horse that is clearly over the odds for mine in the race is Lord Tennyson. A bit like his stable mate Hostar in the previous race I was really surpised at the odds that this horse has come up. Looking back through his form card there is competitive runs against the likes of Octabello, Streets Of Avalon, Rox The Castle and Hang Man which reads very well for a race of this nature. I was particularly keen on this horse last start at Caulfield on Boxing Day where I was on at good early odds and he was just touched off by Hang Man. He hasn’t raced since then but jumped out really well at Camperdown last week. He looked strong in that. The slight concern is that he typically improves significantly from his first up run to his second up run. If he was second up here I would nearly declare him. In any case he has come up double figure odds from gate two with Damian Lane on board and at that price I think he is well worth a ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $30 the win on Heir To The Throne, $25 the win on Andaz and $20 the win on Lord Tennyson locking in the $11 about the latter!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 1

3:25pm

Suggested

Pelonomena (No.1) & Dunlani (No.4)

Dangers

Argyle Belle (No.2) & Hot Blonde (No.6)

A big weekend ahead of us with the massive Golden Slipper meeting coming from Rosehill where all the focus will be but hopefully we can build a bank here and at The Valley on Friday night to give us plenty to play with. The rail is in the true position after last racing here on February 6 where the rail was out six metres so I would anticipate there being no disadvantage to horses up on speed with that fresh ground in play. Certainly look for this track to play a little differently to how we have seen the Hillside track play recently. I am kicking off in the first race which is a race for the fillies and mares over the 2100m. I am certainly not going to pull any great shocks here as I think the race will be won by either Pelonomena or Dunlani who dominate the market. I am surprised though that there is such a big gap between them in the market and I am hoping that is where we might be able to extract some value from the race. Dunlani certainly looks to be a filly with real upside. She was only second up when winning at Moonee Valley last start and did so in strong fashion. She held off Blue Bear with a big gap to the third horse Bianco Nouvo. The latter has come out and won subsequently to that here on the Sandown Hillside track so the form reads quite strong. Everything did fall into place for her that night though, in saying that though she clearly looks to have plenty of upside and will be hard to beat here so I don’t want to lose on the race should she salute. I have to admit I went into doing the form for the race thinking she was probably a moral and then I looked at the win of Pelonomena last start at Echuca. It was seriously impressive. She was well backed that day second up off a bit of a freshen up and she looked to be in all sorts of trouble coming to the home turn. She was ripped across heels in the straight after being held up, got to the outside, picked herself up and gunned the leaders down to win easily and running away. For a staying mare to pick up so effectively and so quickly after being held up for a fairly sustained period was really impressive. She has come up close to $5 in the early markets here while Dunlani is odds on. I have them much closer and as such I will stake to win more off Pelonomena here in the first.

Betting strategy

I think the $4.80 about Pelonomena is a fair price and will lock that in with SportsBet and have $40 the win on her! I will cover that bet with $50 the win on Dunlani!

Race Outlay

$90

Race 2

4:00pm

Suggested

Hurricane Fighter (No.3) & Frivolosophy (No.5)

Dangers

Chap’s Dream (No.4) & Skyway Star (No.8)

This is a small field over the 1300m. It is a maiden for the three year olds but it is an intriguing little race. I think we might have a couple of handy ones going around here. The Hawkes stable which is going at a 20% winning strike rate over their last fifty runners saddle up a debutante here in Frivolosophy who has shown a bit in her recent Flemington jump outs to suggest that she will come to the races and be very competitive here. She has taken on some capable gallopers in those jump outs and more than matched it with them. She has shown good speed in the jump outs suggesting that she can use gate one to her advantage here and hold a position up on speed. I fancy she might be pretty talented and saw enough in those two jump outs where she looked to have plenty in hand to give me the confidence to back her here on debut. I think the main danger might come from Hurricane Fighter who resumes from a spell here having shown good ability in his debut campaign. He took on some handy gallopers in that first campaign. He ran third to Divine Mr Tycoon on debut before running into Prince Of Caviar in a handy Bendigo maiden at start number two. At his last run before a spell he just failed to run down Asgard Massif who made the most of a leader advantaged track at Cranbourne. That is all form which looks more than strong enough to stand up here. He has been given a quiet time in a couple of recent jump outs and would expect him to roll forward and be up on speed here which could be an advantage. I expect him to be right in the finish and certainly want him on side.

Betting strategy

I am pretty keen on this two bet play here and will have $40 the win on both Frivolosophy and Hurricane Fighter!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 5

5:30pm

Suggested

Savvy Oak (No.1) & Grinzinger Star (No.3)

Dangers

Pressure (No.5) & Feather (No.7)

This is another small field but again it is a pretty intriguing race. It is over the mile and the real interest comes here in the engagement of a few three year olds who showed good staying promise through the spring. We have Savvy Oak and Grinzinger Star who competed in the VRC Derby while Pressure is a three year old filly that was competitive against the likes of Greysful Glamour, Verry Elleegant and Aristia. Throw in the Hawkes stable switching down from Sydney this lightly raced mare in Feather and we have a real race on our hands. I was pretty keen to oppose Feather particularly at the price. I understand she is advantaged by having two runs under her belt this time in and can see why the market respects her and the stable for bringing her down for what looks a suitable race. I do however think that the class of the three year olds and their upside will prove more telling. I think Savvy Oak is clearly the horse to beat. This is a horse that made giant strides through his first campaign. He impressed winning on debut before going on taking on the likes of Extra Brut, Stars Of Carrum and co. in some of the main staying three year old races. His campaign culminated with a good run in the Derby where he was only four lengths from the winner. He was well supported to win first up at Pakenham last start and I thought he was perhaps a little unlucky. He jumped well and landed in a good spot not far off the leaders in a small field and slowly run race but he just kept continually getting shuffled back until he ended up near last. He then just couldn’t get himself into the clear in the straight early enough to build full momentum and as such was unable to run down Jungle Fish. When he got clear late though he really picked up and was charging through the line. It was a good return. I think if he goes on from that this is his race. He draws gate two so he will need a tactically aware ride from Michael Walker as he will probably want to stay close to the speed and be out in daylight in plenty of time to build momentum. I think if he gets the right run and luck he will be winning, but that is certainly the risk. I am going to keep the other male on side in Grinzinger Star ahead of the filly in Pressure. I have been quite taken by this horse’s trial and jump out recently. He is another who in his debut campaign went through the grades and it all culminated in a run in the VRC Derby where he was well beaten. He has been gelded in the break and I think we might see a more polished racehorse this time in. He showed a bit of speed in a Cranbourne trial before just holding his own late but his most recent jump out at Flemington really caught my eye. He was slow out and held well off the speed but he picked up ground very quickly and strongly late and was motoring through the line. I like the fact he resumes over the mile, Ollie rides first up and I just feel he might have been the horse to really improve in the break and come back a better animal this time around so happy to have him on side

Betting strategy

I will have $55 the win on Savvy Oak and $25 the win on Grinzinger Star here!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 6

6:00pm

Suggested

Hostar (No.3) & Stocktaka (No.6)

Dangers

Toorak Warrior (No.4) & Zoumanor (No.12)

This is another small field and probably a race I wrestled with a bit over whether to include in the preview. I ended up going with it. I ended up with Stocktaka almost a bit by default. He is a lightly raced three year old who has done nothing wrong at his first two starts and he strikes a pretty ordinary race here. He ran well on debut when well backed and just failing to run down Makfi Amour at Pakenham before coming to Sandown Hillside as a short priced favourite and racing three wide on speed the journey when just getting the upper hand from Judge O’Reilly. He didn’t do anything spectacular on the clock that day but he toughed it out strongly after being wide outside the leaders the whole way. I was probably prepared to take him on wherever he went at his next start but I am compelled to back him again here more for the fact he just seems to have a lack of opposition. He also looks the right horse on the map providing Damian Lane rides him positively like he did last start. There doesn’t look a lot of speed in the race and I had him landing in front with Zoumanor coming over and sitting outside of him. I think if he can get to the front and control the tempo he will be pretty hard to run down so happy to be with him again. I thought Hostar was certainly the horse in the race that come up well over the odds. This galloper was a good winner first up last campaign and then went on to race well against the likes of Five Kingdom and Declares War thorugh the summer months which reads as pretty good form for a race of this nature. Even his last start run on New Year’s Day he wasn’t beaten far behind Diplomac Jack and Laure Me In which is a race that has produced quite a few winners that he wasn’t far away from in Pure Scot and Wetakemanhattan. He went well in a recent Camperdown jump out and from a middle gate here I can see him landing just behind the speed in a stalking position poised to pounce. I think the $9 being bet is an excellent price and I am more than happy to have something on him.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Stocktaka here and $25 the win on Hostar and I am going to lock in the $9.50 with SportsBet about the latter!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 7

6:30pm

Suggested

Lord Tennyson (No.2), Heir To The Throne (No.3) & Andaz (No.7)

Dangers

Indian Thunder (No.1) & Our Sea Goddess (No.8)

This race is over the 1300m and there is a fair bit of depth to this race. Seven of the ten runners resume which makes it a little bit tricky and I probably couldn’t rule out any of the ten runners as a winning chance. It is a good race. Andaz hasn’t been a horse that has endeared himself to punters and I have to admit I almost surprised myself when I came up with him in this race but if he runs to his best and you can cast his winning record or lack thereof aside he looks hard to beat. He is certainly a horse that is blessed with a fair bit of natural talent he has just seemed to pick and choose through his career when he shows it. His last start run in the Greys’ race on Oaks Day before going for a spell was really good and a similar level of performance here would certainly see him go close. He jumped out nicely at Flemington before he was given a very quiet time in a recent 1190m trial at Cranbourne where he certainly looked to have a fair bit more to give. I think with that 1190m trial under his belt he is going to come to the races ready to rumble here first up. He draws a nice middle gate to land in a good position off speed and if he can be close enough to reel off a good finishing split I think he can get over the top of them here. It looks a winnable race for him so I will be in his corner. Heir To The Throne is a lightly raced galloper that I am not sure we have seen the best of just yet. He won well first up on the Hillside track back in December when coming from off the speed before he tried to make the running all of the way at Flemington on New Year’s Day and was just run down late but was clearly the best of the on pace brigade. That was only a two run campaign and he resumes here. He seems to like his runs well spaced and has a liking for racing on the fresh side. He draws out here which I am hoping compels Mark Zahra to roll forward on him. With so many horses resuming here the map does look a little bit tricky. Won Ball from gate one looks the likely leader but then it is all a bit up in the air. I think if Zahra is positive and gets this horse up on speed he will be pretty hard to get past in the straight so I certainly want to have him on side. The horse that is clearly over the odds for mine in the race is Lord Tennyson. A bit like his stable mate Hostar in the previous race I was really surpised at the odds that this horse has come up. Looking back through his form card there is competitive runs against the likes of Octabello, Streets Of Avalon, Rox The Castle and Hang Man which reads very well for a race of this nature. I was particularly keen on this horse last start at Caulfield on Boxing Day where I was on at good early odds and he was just touched off by Hang Man. He hasn’t raced since then but jumped out really well at Camperdown last week. He looked strong in that. The slight concern is that he typically improves significantly from his first up run to his second up run. If he was second up here I would nearly declare him. In any case he has come up double figure odds from gate two with Damian Lane on board and at that price I think he is well worth a ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $30 the win on Heir To The Throne, $25 the win on Andaz and $20 the win on Lord Tennyson locking in the $11 about the latter!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 1

3:25pm

Suggested

Pelonomena (No.1) & Dunlani (No.4)

Dangers

Argyle Belle (No.2) & Hot Blonde (No.6)

A big weekend ahead of us with the massive Golden Slipper meeting coming from Rosehill where all the focus will be but hopefully we can build a bank here and at The Valley on Friday night to give us plenty to play with. The rail is in the true position after last racing here on February 6 where the rail was out six metres so I would anticipate there being no disadvantage to horses up on speed with that fresh ground in play. Certainly look for this track to play a little differently to how we have seen the Hillside track play recently. I am kicking off in the first race which is a race for the fillies and mares over the 2100m. I am certainly not going to pull any great shocks here as I think the race will be won by either Pelonomena or Dunlani who dominate the market. I am surprised though that there is such a big gap between them in the market and I am hoping that is where we might be able to extract some value from the race. Dunlani certainly looks to be a filly with real upside. She was only second up when winning at Moonee Valley last start and did so in strong fashion. She held off Blue Bear with a big gap to the third horse Bianco Nouvo. The latter has come out and won subsequently to that here on the Sandown Hillside track so the form reads quite strong. Everything did fall into place for her that night though, in saying that though she clearly looks to have plenty of upside and will be hard to beat here so I don’t want to lose on the race should she salute. I have to admit I went into doing the form for the race thinking she was probably a moral and then I looked at the win of Pelonomena last start at Echuca. It was seriously impressive. She was well backed that day second up off a bit of a freshen up and she looked to be in all sorts of trouble coming to the home turn. She was ripped across heels in the straight after being held up, got to the outside, picked herself up and gunned the leaders down to win easily and running away. For a staying mare to pick up so effectively and so quickly after being held up for a fairly sustained period was really impressive. She has come up close to $5 in the early markets here while Dunlani is odds on. I have them much closer and as such I will stake to win more off Pelonomena here in the first.

Betting strategy

I think the $4.80 about Pelonomena is a fair price and will lock that in with SportsBet and have $40 the win on her! I will cover that bet with $50 the win on Dunlani!

Race Outlay

$90

Race 2

4:00pm

Suggested

Hurricane Fighter (No.3) & Frivolosophy (No.5)

Dangers

Chap’s Dream (No.4) & Skyway Star (No.8)

This is a small field over the 1300m. It is a maiden for the three year olds but it is an intriguing little race. I think we might have a couple of handy ones going around here. The Hawkes stable which is going at a 20% winning strike rate over their last fifty runners saddle up a debutante here in Frivolosophy who has shown a bit in her recent Flemington jump outs to suggest that she will come to the races and be very competitive here. She has taken on some capable gallopers in those jump outs and more than matched it with them. She has shown good speed in the jump outs suggesting that she can use gate one to her advantage here and hold a position up on speed. I fancy she might be pretty talented and saw enough in those two jump outs where she looked to have plenty in hand to give me the confidence to back her here on debut. I think the main danger might come from Hurricane Fighter who resumes from a spell here having shown good ability in his debut campaign. He took on some handy gallopers in that first campaign. He ran third to Divine Mr Tycoon on debut before running into Prince Of Caviar in a handy Bendigo maiden at start number two. At his last run before a spell he just failed to run down Asgard Massif who made the most of a leader advantaged track at Cranbourne. That is all form which looks more than strong enough to stand up here. He has been given a quiet time in a couple of recent jump outs and would expect him to roll forward and be up on speed here which could be an advantage. I expect him to be right in the finish and certainly want him on side.

Betting strategy

I am pretty keen on this two bet play here and will have $40 the win on both Frivolosophy and Hurricane Fighter!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 5

5:30pm

Suggested

Savvy Oak (No.1) & Grinzinger Star (No.3)

Dangers

Pressure (No.5) & Feather (No.7)

This is another small field but again it is a pretty intriguing race. It is over the mile and the real interest comes here in the engagement of a few three year olds who showed good staying promise through the spring. We have Savvy Oak and Grinzinger Star who competed in the VRC Derby while Pressure is a three year old filly that was competitive against the likes of Greysful Glamour, Verry Elleegant and Aristia. Throw in the Hawkes stable switching down from Sydney this lightly raced mare in Feather and we have a real race on our hands. I was pretty keen to oppose Feather particularly at the price. I understand she is advantaged by having two runs under her belt this time in and can see why the market respects her and the stable for bringing her down for what looks a suitable race. I do however think that the class of the three year olds and their upside will prove more telling. I think Savvy Oak is clearly the horse to beat. This is a horse that made giant strides through his first campaign. He impressed winning on debut before going on taking on the likes of Extra Brut, Stars Of Carrum and co. in some of the main staying three year old races. His campaign culminated with a good run in the Derby where he was only four lengths from the winner. He was well supported to win first up at Pakenham last start and I thought he was perhaps a little unlucky. He jumped well and landed in a good spot not far off the leaders in a small field and slowly run race but he just kept continually getting shuffled back until he ended up near last. He then just couldn’t get himself into the clear in the straight early enough to build full momentum and as such was unable to run down Jungle Fish. When he got clear late though he really picked up and was charging through the line. It was a good return. I think if he goes on from that this is his race. He draws gate two so he will need a tactically aware ride from Michael Walker as he will probably want to stay close to the speed and be out in daylight in plenty of time to build momentum. I think if he gets the right run and luck he will be winning, but that is certainly the risk. I am going to keep the other male on side in Grinzinger Star ahead of the filly in Pressure. I have been quite taken by this horse’s trial and jump out recently. He is another who in his debut campaign went through the grades and it all culminated in a run in the VRC Derby where he was well beaten. He has been gelded in the break and I think we might see a more polished racehorse this time in. He showed a bit of speed in a Cranbourne trial before just holding his own late but his most recent jump out at Flemington really caught my eye. He was slow out and held well off the speed but he picked up ground very quickly and strongly late and was motoring through the line. I like the fact he resumes over the mile, Ollie rides first up and I just feel he might have been the horse to really improve in the break and come back a better animal this time around so happy to have him on side

Betting strategy

I will have $55 the win on Savvy Oak and $25 the win on Grinzinger Star here!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 6

6:00pm

Suggested

Hostar (No.3) & Stocktaka (No.6)

Dangers

Toorak Warrior (No.4) & Zoumanor (No.12)

This is another small field and probably a race I wrestled with a bit over whether to include in the preview. I ended up going with it. I ended up with Stocktaka almost a bit by default. He is a lightly raced three year old who has done nothing wrong at his first two starts and he strikes a pretty ordinary race here. He ran well on debut when well backed and just failing to run down Makfi Amour at Pakenham before coming to Sandown Hillside as a short priced favourite and racing three wide on speed the journey when just getting the upper hand from Judge O’Reilly. He didn’t do anything spectacular on the clock that day but he toughed it out strongly after being wide outside the leaders the whole way. I was probably prepared to take him on wherever he went at his next start but I am compelled to back him again here more for the fact he just seems to have a lack of opposition. He also looks the right horse on the map providing Damian Lane rides him positively like he did last start. There doesn’t look a lot of speed in the race and I had him landing in front with Zoumanor coming over and sitting outside of him. I think if he can get to the front and control the tempo he will be pretty hard to run down so happy to be with him again. I thought Hostar was certainly the horse in the race that come up well over the odds. This galloper was a good winner first up last campaign and then went on to race well against the likes of Five Kingdom and Declares War thorugh the summer months which reads as pretty good form for a race of this nature. Even his last start run on New Year’s Day he wasn’t beaten far behind Diplomac Jack and Laure Me In which is a race that has produced quite a few winners that he wasn’t far away from in Pure Scot and Wetakemanhattan. He went well in a recent Camperdown jump out and from a middle gate here I can see him landing just behind the speed in a stalking position poised to pounce. I think the $9 being bet is an excellent price and I am more than happy to have something on him.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Stocktaka here and $25 the win on Hostar and I am going to lock in the $9.50 with SportsBet about the latter!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 7

6:30pm

Suggested

Lord Tennyson (No.2), Heir To The Throne (No.3) & Andaz (No.7)

Dangers

Indian Thunder (No.1) & Our Sea Goddess (No.8)

This race is over the 1300m and there is a fair bit of depth to this race. Seven of the ten runners resume which makes it a little bit tricky and I probably couldn’t rule out any of the ten runners as a winning chance. It is a good race. Andaz hasn’t been a horse that has endeared himself to punters and I have to admit I almost surprised myself when I came up with him in this race but if he runs to his best and you can cast his winning record or lack thereof aside he looks hard to beat. He is certainly a horse that is blessed with a fair bit of natural talent he has just seemed to pick and choose through his career when he shows it. His last start run in the Greys’ race on Oaks Day before going for a spell was really good and a similar level of performance here would certainly see him go close. He jumped out nicely at Flemington before he was given a very quiet time in a recent 1190m trial at Cranbourne where he certainly looked to have a fair bit more to give. I think with that 1190m trial under his belt he is going to come to the races ready to rumble here first up. He draws a nice middle gate to land in a good position off speed and if he can be close enough to reel off a good finishing split I think he can get over the top of them here. It looks a winnable race for him so I will be in his corner. Heir To The Throne is a lightly raced galloper that I am not sure we have seen the best of just yet. He won well first up on the Hillside track back in December when coming from off the speed before he tried to make the running all of the way at Flemington on New Year’s Day and was just run down late but was clearly the best of the on pace brigade. That was only a two run campaign and he resumes here. He seems to like his runs well spaced and has a liking for racing on the fresh side. He draws out here which I am hoping compels Mark Zahra to roll forward on him. With so many horses resuming here the map does look a little bit tricky. Won Ball from gate one looks the likely leader but then it is all a bit up in the air. I think if Zahra is positive and gets this horse up on speed he will be pretty hard to get past in the straight so I certainly want to have him on side. The horse that is clearly over the odds for mine in the race is Lord Tennyson. A bit like his stable mate Hostar in the previous race I was really surpised at the odds that this horse has come up. Looking back through his form card there is competitive runs against the likes of Octabello, Streets Of Avalon, Rox The Castle and Hang Man which reads very well for a race of this nature. I was particularly keen on this horse last start at Caulfield on Boxing Day where I was on at good early odds and he was just touched off by Hang Man. He hasn’t raced since then but jumped out really well at Camperdown last week. He looked strong in that. The slight concern is that he typically improves significantly from his first up run to his second up run. If he was second up here I would nearly declare him. In any case he has come up double figure odds from gate two with Damian Lane on board and at that price I think he is well worth a ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $30 the win on Heir To The Throne, $25 the win on Andaz and $20 the win on Lord Tennyson locking in the $11 about the latter!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 1

3:25pm

Suggested

Pelonomena (No.1) & Dunlani (No.4)

Dangers

Argyle Belle (No.2) & Hot Blonde (No.6)

A big weekend ahead of us with the massive Golden Slipper meeting coming from Rosehill where all the focus will be but hopefully we can build a bank here and at The Valley on Friday night to give us plenty to play with. The rail is in the true position after last racing here on February 6 where the rail was out six metres so I would anticipate there being no disadvantage to horses up on speed with that fresh ground in play. Certainly look for this track to play a little differently to how we have seen the Hillside track play recently. I am kicking off in the first race which is a race for the fillies and mares over the 2100m. I am certainly not going to pull any great shocks here as I think the race will be won by either Pelonomena or Dunlani who dominate the market. I am surprised though that there is such a big gap between them in the market and I am hoping that is where we might be able to extract some value from the race. Dunlani certainly looks to be a filly with real upside. She was only second up when winning at Moonee Valley last start and did so in strong fashion. She held off Blue Bear with a big gap to the third horse Bianco Nouvo. The latter has come out and won subsequently to that here on the Sandown Hillside track so the form reads quite strong. Everything did fall into place for her that night though, in saying that though she clearly looks to have plenty of upside and will be hard to beat here so I don’t want to lose on the race should she salute. I have to admit I went into doing the form for the race thinking she was probably a moral and then I looked at the win of Pelonomena last start at Echuca. It was seriously impressive. She was well backed that day second up off a bit of a freshen up and she looked to be in all sorts of trouble coming to the home turn. She was ripped across heels in the straight after being held up, got to the outside, picked herself up and gunned the leaders down to win easily and running away. For a staying mare to pick up so effectively and so quickly after being held up for a fairly sustained period was really impressive. She has come up close to $5 in the early markets here while Dunlani is odds on. I have them much closer and as such I will stake to win more off Pelonomena here in the first.

Betting strategy

I think the $4.80 about Pelonomena is a fair price and will lock that in with SportsBet and have $40 the win on her! I will cover that bet with $50 the win on Dunlani!

Race Outlay

$90

Race 2

4:00pm

Suggested

Hurricane Fighter (No.3) & Frivolosophy (No.5)

Dangers

Chap’s Dream (No.4) & Skyway Star (No.8)

This is a small field over the 1300m. It is a maiden for the three year olds but it is an intriguing little race. I think we might have a couple of handy ones going around here. The Hawkes stable which is going at a 20% winning strike rate over their last fifty runners saddle up a debutante here in Frivolosophy who has shown a bit in her recent Flemington jump outs to suggest that she will come to the races and be very competitive here. She has taken on some capable gallopers in those jump outs and more than matched it with them. She has shown good speed in the jump outs suggesting that she can use gate one to her advantage here and hold a position up on speed. I fancy she might be pretty talented and saw enough in those two jump outs where she looked to have plenty in hand to give me the confidence to back her here on debut. I think the main danger might come from Hurricane Fighter who resumes from a spell here having shown good ability in his debut campaign. He took on some handy gallopers in that first campaign. He ran third to Divine Mr Tycoon on debut before running into Prince Of Caviar in a handy Bendigo maiden at start number two. At his last run before a spell he just failed to run down Asgard Massif who made the most of a leader advantaged track at Cranbourne. That is all form which looks more than strong enough to stand up here. He has been given a quiet time in a couple of recent jump outs and would expect him to roll forward and be up on speed here which could be an advantage. I expect him to be right in the finish and certainly want him on side.

Betting strategy

I am pretty keen on this two bet play here and will have $40 the win on both Frivolosophy and Hurricane Fighter!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 5

5:30pm

Suggested

Savvy Oak (No.1) & Grinzinger Star (No.3)

Dangers

Pressure (No.5) & Feather (No.7)

This is another small field but again it is a pretty intriguing race. It is over the mile and the real interest comes here in the engagement of a few three year olds who showed good staying promise through the spring. We have Savvy Oak and Grinzinger Star who competed in the VRC Derby while Pressure is a three year old filly that was competitive against the likes of Greysful Glamour, Verry Elleegant and Aristia. Throw in the Hawkes stable switching down from Sydney this lightly raced mare in Feather and we have a real race on our hands. I was pretty keen to oppose Feather particularly at the price. I understand she is advantaged by having two runs under her belt this time in and can see why the market respects her and the stable for bringing her down for what looks a suitable race. I do however think that the class of the three year olds and their upside will prove more telling. I think Savvy Oak is clearly the horse to beat. This is a horse that made giant strides through his first campaign. He impressed winning on debut before going on taking on the likes of Extra Brut, Stars Of Carrum and co. in some of the main staying three year old races. His campaign culminated with a good run in the Derby where he was only four lengths from the winner. He was well supported to win first up at Pakenham last start and I thought he was perhaps a little unlucky. He jumped well and landed in a good spot not far off the leaders in a small field and slowly run race but he just kept continually getting shuffled back until he ended up near last. He then just couldn’t get himself into the clear in the straight early enough to build full momentum and as such was unable to run down Jungle Fish. When he got clear late though he really picked up and was charging through the line. It was a good return. I think if he goes on from that this is his race. He draws gate two so he will need a tactically aware ride from Michael Walker as he will probably want to stay close to the speed and be out in daylight in plenty of time to build momentum. I think if he gets the right run and luck he will be winning, but that is certainly the risk. I am going to keep the other male on side in Grinzinger Star ahead of the filly in Pressure. I have been quite taken by this horse’s trial and jump out recently. He is another who in his debut campaign went through the grades and it all culminated in a run in the VRC Derby where he was well beaten. He has been gelded in the break and I think we might see a more polished racehorse this time in. He showed a bit of speed in a Cranbourne trial before just holding his own late but his most recent jump out at Flemington really caught my eye. He was slow out and held well off the speed but he picked up ground very quickly and strongly late and was motoring through the line. I like the fact he resumes over the mile, Ollie rides first up and I just feel he might have been the horse to really improve in the break and come back a better animal this time around so happy to have him on side

Betting strategy

I will have $55 the win on Savvy Oak and $25 the win on Grinzinger Star here!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 6

6:00pm

Suggested

Hostar (No.3) & Stocktaka (No.6)

Dangers

Toorak Warrior (No.4) & Zoumanor (No.12)

This is another small field and probably a race I wrestled with a bit over whether to include in the preview. I ended up going with it. I ended up with Stocktaka almost a bit by default. He is a lightly raced three year old who has done nothing wrong at his first two starts and he strikes a pretty ordinary race here. He ran well on debut when well backed and just failing to run down Makfi Amour at Pakenham before coming to Sandown Hillside as a short priced favourite and racing three wide on speed the journey when just getting the upper hand from Judge O’Reilly. He didn’t do anything spectacular on the clock that day but he toughed it out strongly after being wide outside the leaders the whole way. I was probably prepared to take him on wherever he went at his next start but I am compelled to back him again here more for the fact he just seems to have a lack of opposition. He also looks the right horse on the map providing Damian Lane rides him positively like he did last start. There doesn’t look a lot of speed in the race and I had him landing in front with Zoumanor coming over and sitting outside of him. I think if he can get to the front and control the tempo he will be pretty hard to run down so happy to be with him again. I thought Hostar was certainly the horse in the race that come up well over the odds. This galloper was a good winner first up last campaign and then went on to race well against the likes of Five Kingdom and Declares War thorugh the summer months which reads as pretty good form for a race of this nature. Even his last start run on New Year’s Day he wasn’t beaten far behind Diplomac Jack and Laure Me In which is a race that has produced quite a few winners that he wasn’t far away from in Pure Scot and Wetakemanhattan. He went well in a recent Camperdown jump out and from a middle gate here I can see him landing just behind the speed in a stalking position poised to pounce. I think the $9 being bet is an excellent price and I am more than happy to have something on him.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Stocktaka here and $25 the win on Hostar and I am going to lock in the $9.50 with SportsBet about the latter!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 7

6:30pm

Suggested

Lord Tennyson (No.2), Heir To The Throne (No.3) & Andaz (No.7)

Dangers

Indian Thunder (No.1) & Our Sea Goddess (No.8)

This race is over the 1300m and there is a fair bit of depth to this race. Seven of the ten runners resume which makes it a little bit tricky and I probably couldn’t rule out any of the ten runners as a winning chance. It is a good race. Andaz hasn’t been a horse that has endeared himself to punters and I have to admit I almost surprised myself when I came up with him in this race but if he runs to his best and you can cast his winning record or lack thereof aside he looks hard to beat. He is certainly a horse that is blessed with a fair bit of natural talent he has just seemed to pick and choose through his career when he shows it. His last start run in the Greys’ race on Oaks Day before going for a spell was really good and a similar level of performance here would certainly see him go close. He jumped out nicely at Flemington before he was given a very quiet time in a recent 1190m trial at Cranbourne where he certainly looked to have a fair bit more to give. I think with that 1190m trial under his belt he is going to come to the races ready to rumble here first up. He draws a nice middle gate to land in a good position off speed and if he can be close enough to reel off a good finishing split I think he can get over the top of them here. It looks a winnable race for him so I will be in his corner. Heir To The Throne is a lightly raced galloper that I am not sure we have seen the best of just yet. He won well first up on the Hillside track back in December when coming from off the speed before he tried to make the running all of the way at Flemington on New Year’s Day and was just run down late but was clearly the best of the on pace brigade. That was only a two run campaign and he resumes here. He seems to like his runs well spaced and has a liking for racing on the fresh side. He draws out here which I am hoping compels Mark Zahra to roll forward on him. With so many horses resuming here the map does look a little bit tricky. Won Ball from gate one looks the likely leader but then it is all a bit up in the air. I think if Zahra is positive and gets this horse up on speed he will be pretty hard to get past in the straight so I certainly want to have him on side. The horse that is clearly over the odds for mine in the race is Lord Tennyson. A bit like his stable mate Hostar in the previous race I was really surpised at the odds that this horse has come up. Looking back through his form card there is competitive runs against the likes of Octabello, Streets Of Avalon, Rox The Castle and Hang Man which reads very well for a race of this nature. I was particularly keen on this horse last start at Caulfield on Boxing Day where I was on at good early odds and he was just touched off by Hang Man. He hasn’t raced since then but jumped out really well at Camperdown last week. He looked strong in that. The slight concern is that he typically improves significantly from his first up run to his second up run. If he was second up here I would nearly declare him. In any case he has come up double figure odds from gate two with Damian Lane on board and at that price I think he is well worth a ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $30 the win on Heir To The Throne, $25 the win on Andaz and $20 the win on Lord Tennyson locking in the $11 about the latter!

Race Outlay

$75

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