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Select Race Meeting Event

Race 3

1:40pm

Suggested

Mamzelle Tess (No.3) & Alma’s Rossa (No.8)

Dangers

Spanish Reef (No.4) & Sharing (No.6)

Racing in Melbourne comes from Flemington this Saturday with the running of the Black Caviar Lightning at Group One level the highlight. We saw the Melbourne Festival of Racing kick off with a great day at Caulfield last Saturday and it continues here at Flemington on Saturday. I have to admit I was a bit underwhelmed by this meeting as a whole. The two three year old races are cracking contests. The Lightning is going to be interesting but from a betting point of view it is isn’t something I want to get too involved in given Redzel is so short and I can’t really find much to beat him. The rest of the program is pretty stock standard. There are probably two horses on the program that I am really keen on and aside from that it is really about trying to find a little bit of value. The weather in Melbourne is dry and aside from a crazy but brief wind storm on Wednesday it has been perfect. The rail is true and the track is good and we will be racing on a perfect track.

I am kicking the day off in the third race of the day which is for the fillies and mares over the 1400m. Certainly one of the main form references for this race looks to be the race won by Jester Halo at Caulfield three weeks back. Two of the main chances in betting in Mamzelle Tess and Sharing come through that race. Both didn’t have the ideal set up in that race. Mamzelle Tess took up the running but had no piece at all out in front and was ultimately left a sitting shot for Sharing and Jester Halo to run over the top of her. Sharing meanwhile was forced to go a little bit too far back in the run from the wide draw which gave that positional advantage to Jester Halo which proved crucial in the final outcome.

I think both will be hard to beat here but lean to Mamzelle Tess who should be rock hard fit and ready to rumble here with that strong 1400m run under her belt from last start. She looks to have come back from a spell in really good form. She was excellent first up at Caulfield over the 1100m behind Creativity before backing that performance up second up with a strong win over the same course and distance. I backed her last start but the nagging doubt in my mind was always the fact that she was stepping up to 1400m from the 1100m and that ultimately proved pretty decisive late. Jester Halo and Sharing had been running in strong 1400m races in the lead up to that race and that platform they had allowed them to get over the top of Mamzelle Tess late who had done plenty of work in the run.

Like I said, with that strong run under her belt now she should be primed to deliver a peak performance here over this 1400m trip at her fourth run back. She draws out but the only two other speed runners are Miss Adequate and Spanish Reef and with Spanish Reef drawn outside if her she should either land outside of Miss Adequate or come across and lead if that mare hands up. From either of those positions I think she can really control the race and be hard to get past in the straight. I am keen to be in her corner.

I am going to save on Alma’s Rossa at double figure odds. This mare looks to be putting it all together. She has always displayed a good deal of talent but has often got a long way back in her races and been spotting rivals a long start which hasn’t helped her winning strike rate. Her last couple of runs when aided by good draws she has shown the ability to sit closer to the speed and when able to do that coupled with her strong finish it led to a dominant victory at Ballarat last start over the 1500m. She comes back slightly in trip here but I think this will be a genuinely run 1400m race. I see her landing midfield one off the fence and for mine she is the one that will be peeling to the middle of the track and really closing off strongly late. That looks a good scenario for me and given she has come up around the $10-12 mark here I think she looks a really good saving bet in the race.

Betting strategy

I will have $45 the win on Mamzelle Tess here and save with $15 the win on Alma’s Rossa!

Race Outlay

$60

Race 3

2:00pm

Suggested

The Bandit (No.3), Almost Court (No.7) & Ready For Success (No.10)

Dangers

Emperor’s Way (No.1) & High Opinion (No.8)

Racing in Sydney comes from Randwick this Saturday for what looks a particularly juicy meeting. There are some very interesting races with good field sizes that make for some quality betting races. The rail is in the true position and we will be racing on a good track with fine weather prevailing in Sydney throughout the week and on race day. Rail true at Randwick can often be a tricky proposition depending on how much manual input is had to the track. It can often be overwatered on the inside which leads to the middle lanes coming into play but when left firm it can be pretty dynamite up against the fence so the early races should tell a tale.

I am kicking the day off in the third race of the day which is over the 2000m. There look to be some different form lines coming together here and a couple of horses that should be ready to improve stepping up in distance and fitter for earlier runs in their campaign. I think there is a bit of value to be had in this race. I am betting around the favourites and all the horses I am backing have actually come up double figure odds. It won’t be a large outlay race but I fancy we will get a decent result if one of these can salute.

Almost Court is a former New Zealand galloper that has been racing quite well since making Australia home down on the south coast of New South Wales and after two runs back from a spell I think he might give some cheek here third up from a spell up on speed. He resumed with a dominant win at Moruya first up this time in after winning three of his four starts in his first campaign down under. Last start he stepped up to the mile of the Bega Cup and after looking the winner halfway down the straight was just run down late by Makeadane who got a dream run through along the rails from off the speed. That run should have brought him on fitness wise but I am still slightly concerned about him jumping so sharply from the mile to the 2000m. That is my only concern though. Aside from that I think he should be able to get up on the speed and roll along in front without too much competition and that should see him pretty hard to roll down. At double figure odds I am happy to be with him.

I had something on Ready For Success first up two weeks ago off the back of a sharp trial at big odds and he ran particularly well finding the line strongly for third behind Bye See. He typically has never performed that well fresh so couple that good first up run with the good trial and it is pretty evident that he has come back in good order this time in. Unfortunately his second up record doesn’t make for inspiring reading either but his 2000m form is excellent. He has won two of four and placed on one other occasion. He draws to get a perfect run stalking the speed from gate two and I would anticipate from there he would just need a touch of luck getting clear galloping room to figure in the finish. He has again come up around the $12-15 mark here and at those odds I am happy to be in his corner.

The other horse I am going to have something on is The Bandit who I thought improved significantly at his second up run last start behind Emperor’s Way. This will be his third run back off a long break and I like the improvement he showed form his first up run into last start. He is a horse that will certainly appreciate getting up to the 2000m and we know that John Thompson has an excellent record with these staying types. I think he should be able to get across and land in a good position on speed and if he can improve again into this third up run then I don’t think he is without some hope here. He is around the $15-20 mark here and I think he is worth a small ticket.

Emperor’s Way is clearly the horse to beat. He is on the way up and is only at his sixth run of the campaign. He will be back along the inside though from gate one which could be tricky and he is starting to get up in the weights now so I wasn’t overly keen to chime into him. As such I am happy to bet on those other three above at decent odds and hope we can get a result rolling a couple of those more favoured runners in the market.

Betting strategy

The $11 about Almost Court looks juicy! I will have $20 the win on him with half of that at the $11 and the other half at Top Fluc! I will save with $15 the win on Ready For Success and $10 the win on The Bandit!

Race Outlay

$45

Race 3

2:42pm

Suggested

Skate To Paris (No.4), Setoga (No.8) & Don’t Leave Me Out (No.10)

Dangers

Sista Act (No.1) & Alleviator (No.5)

Racing in Brisbane comes from Doomben again this Saturday. Gee, we have seen some extreme weather up in Brisbane this week. There has been rain and some extremely hot conditions up in the sunshine state. As I write this preview early on Friday morning the track is rated as soft but there doesn’t look to be too much more rain arriving before Saturday. I think that could potentially see us get into the good range come Saturday but I would still expect the track to have a nice cushion and give to it. The rail is out five metres the entire circuit. If the track does dry out, the track could certainly advantage those horses up on speed with the rail out that far. This meeting certainly doesn’t reach the heights of what we have in Melbourne and Sydney and the method of being pretty selective as to what races to bet into in Brisbane in recent weeks has proved to be quite successful. As a result I have again narrowed it down to just three races to bet into.

The first of those is the third race of the day which is for the three year olds over the 1050m. This looks a really interesting race as we have quite a few horses resuming that showed good talent as two year olds through the Brisbane winter carnival and they take on a couple of in form horses that have been going through their grades nicely. I thought of the fit horses with recent racing under their belt that Don’t Leave Me Out looked to be good odds here and well worth a ticket. This is a horse that has shown good talent in his career to date and I know the stable have a decent opinion of him. He won impressively on debut at the Sunshine Coast over the 1000m back in November. He was then freshened up and ran in a race there over the 1000m at his second start where he was well supported but was probably the victim of poor tactics in the race. He jumped well but was restrained and he got a bit keen and despite looming to win the race just didn’t finish it off.

Last start at Ipswich he stepped up to the 1200m but got very keen with the blinkers on and led at a very fast tempo which set the race up for Johnny Whitesox to sit off him and come over the top of him. The blinkers come off him here and he drops back to the 1050m. Both of those looks positives. He draws ideally in gate two and from that gate he should be able to roll through and take up the running. I think he will be much stronger at the end of this trip and could be hard to run down. As I said, the $9 on offer about him looks pretty juicy and I am happy to be with him.

Of the resuming runners I thought Skate To Paris trialled up really nicely and I would expect her to be able to run well here fresh. Her last two runs before going for a spell saw her only just be touched off by Pardoe and Cellargirl. That is pretty strong form and her recent trial was good. She was given a very easy time and tracked up along behind Snitzkraft and looked to have plenty more to give. She draws ideally for Larry Cassidy to get a gun run in behind the speed and from there I think she can be strong late and capable of getting over the top of them so happy to have her on side also.

I also want to be with Setoga who also trialled really nicely. He may be a little bit more wound up than a couple of his other resuming rivals as he has the two trials under his belt. His most recent one was quite stylish too. He tracked up in behind the speed and was held up for a run in the early parts of the straight but once the gap came I love the way that he picked up and went through that and finished off strongly through the line. He also draws nicely to get a run just off the speed and I would expect him to come to the races ready to rumble with those two trials under his belt. He showed enough talent in two runs in his first campaign to suggest that he has a good level of talent and with improvement in the break I think he can be competitive here so happy to be with him.

Betting strategy

I will have $30 the win on Skate To Paris here! I will also have $25 the win on Don’t Leave Me Out and $20 the win on Setoga!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 3

1:40pm

Suggested

Mamzelle Tess (No.3) & Alma’s Rossa (No.8)

Dangers

Spanish Reef (No.4) & Sharing (No.6)

Racing in Melbourne comes from Flemington this Saturday with the running of the Black Caviar Lightning at Group One level the highlight. We saw the Melbourne Festival of Racing kick off with a great day at Caulfield last Saturday and it continues here at Flemington on Saturday. I have to admit I was a bit underwhelmed by this meeting as a whole. The two three year old races are cracking contests. The Lightning is going to be interesting but from a betting point of view it is isn’t something I want to get too involved in given Redzel is so short and I can’t really find much to beat him. The rest of the program is pretty stock standard. There are probably two horses on the program that I am really keen on and aside from that it is really about trying to find a little bit of value. The weather in Melbourne is dry and aside from a crazy but brief wind storm on Wednesday it has been perfect. The rail is true and the track is good and we will be racing on a perfect track.

I am kicking the day off in the third race of the day which is for the fillies and mares over the 1400m. Certainly one of the main form references for this race looks to be the race won by Jester Halo at Caulfield three weeks back. Two of the main chances in betting in Mamzelle Tess and Sharing come through that race. Both didn’t have the ideal set up in that race. Mamzelle Tess took up the running but had no piece at all out in front and was ultimately left a sitting shot for Sharing and Jester Halo to run over the top of her. Sharing meanwhile was forced to go a little bit too far back in the run from the wide draw which gave that positional advantage to Jester Halo which proved crucial in the final outcome.

I think both will be hard to beat here but lean to Mamzelle Tess who should be rock hard fit and ready to rumble here with that strong 1400m run under her belt from last start. She looks to have come back from a spell in really good form. She was excellent first up at Caulfield over the 1100m behind Creativity before backing that performance up second up with a strong win over the same course and distance. I backed her last start but the nagging doubt in my mind was always the fact that she was stepping up to 1400m from the 1100m and that ultimately proved pretty decisive late. Jester Halo and Sharing had been running in strong 1400m races in the lead up to that race and that platform they had allowed them to get over the top of Mamzelle Tess late who had done plenty of work in the run.

Like I said, with that strong run under her belt now she should be primed to deliver a peak performance here over this 1400m trip at her fourth run back. She draws out but the only two other speed runners are Miss Adequate and Spanish Reef and with Spanish Reef drawn outside if her she should either land outside of Miss Adequate or come across and lead if that mare hands up. From either of those positions I think she can really control the race and be hard to get past in the straight. I am keen to be in her corner.

I am going to save on Alma’s Rossa at double figure odds. This mare looks to be putting it all together. She has always displayed a good deal of talent but has often got a long way back in her races and been spotting rivals a long start which hasn’t helped her winning strike rate. Her last couple of runs when aided by good draws she has shown the ability to sit closer to the speed and when able to do that coupled with her strong finish it led to a dominant victory at Ballarat last start over the 1500m. She comes back slightly in trip here but I think this will be a genuinely run 1400m race. I see her landing midfield one off the fence and for mine she is the one that will be peeling to the middle of the track and really closing off strongly late. That looks a good scenario for me and given she has come up around the $10-12 mark here I think she looks a really good saving bet in the race.

Betting strategy

I will have $45 the win on Mamzelle Tess here and save with $15 the win on Alma’s Rossa!

Race Outlay

$60

Race 3

2:00pm

Suggested

The Bandit (No.3), Almost Court (No.7) & Ready For Success (No.10)

Dangers

Emperor’s Way (No.1) & High Opinion (No.8)

Racing in Sydney comes from Randwick this Saturday for what looks a particularly juicy meeting. There are some very interesting races with good field sizes that make for some quality betting races. The rail is in the true position and we will be racing on a good track with fine weather prevailing in Sydney throughout the week and on race day. Rail true at Randwick can often be a tricky proposition depending on how much manual input is had to the track. It can often be overwatered on the inside which leads to the middle lanes coming into play but when left firm it can be pretty dynamite up against the fence so the early races should tell a tale.

I am kicking the day off in the third race of the day which is over the 2000m. There look to be some different form lines coming together here and a couple of horses that should be ready to improve stepping up in distance and fitter for earlier runs in their campaign. I think there is a bit of value to be had in this race. I am betting around the favourites and all the horses I am backing have actually come up double figure odds. It won’t be a large outlay race but I fancy we will get a decent result if one of these can salute.

Almost Court is a former New Zealand galloper that has been racing quite well since making Australia home down on the south coast of New South Wales and after two runs back from a spell I think he might give some cheek here third up from a spell up on speed. He resumed with a dominant win at Moruya first up this time in after winning three of his four starts in his first campaign down under. Last start he stepped up to the mile of the Bega Cup and after looking the winner halfway down the straight was just run down late by Makeadane who got a dream run through along the rails from off the speed. That run should have brought him on fitness wise but I am still slightly concerned about him jumping so sharply from the mile to the 2000m. That is my only concern though. Aside from that I think he should be able to get up on the speed and roll along in front without too much competition and that should see him pretty hard to roll down. At double figure odds I am happy to be with him.

I had something on Ready For Success first up two weeks ago off the back of a sharp trial at big odds and he ran particularly well finding the line strongly for third behind Bye See. He typically has never performed that well fresh so couple that good first up run with the good trial and it is pretty evident that he has come back in good order this time in. Unfortunately his second up record doesn’t make for inspiring reading either but his 2000m form is excellent. He has won two of four and placed on one other occasion. He draws to get a perfect run stalking the speed from gate two and I would anticipate from there he would just need a touch of luck getting clear galloping room to figure in the finish. He has again come up around the $12-15 mark here and at those odds I am happy to be in his corner.

The other horse I am going to have something on is The Bandit who I thought improved significantly at his second up run last start behind Emperor’s Way. This will be his third run back off a long break and I like the improvement he showed form his first up run into last start. He is a horse that will certainly appreciate getting up to the 2000m and we know that John Thompson has an excellent record with these staying types. I think he should be able to get across and land in a good position on speed and if he can improve again into this third up run then I don’t think he is without some hope here. He is around the $15-20 mark here and I think he is worth a small ticket.

Emperor’s Way is clearly the horse to beat. He is on the way up and is only at his sixth run of the campaign. He will be back along the inside though from gate one which could be tricky and he is starting to get up in the weights now so I wasn’t overly keen to chime into him. As such I am happy to bet on those other three above at decent odds and hope we can get a result rolling a couple of those more favoured runners in the market.

Betting strategy

The $11 about Almost Court looks juicy! I will have $20 the win on him with half of that at the $11 and the other half at Top Fluc! I will save with $15 the win on Ready For Success and $10 the win on The Bandit!

Race Outlay

$45

Race 3

2:42pm

Suggested

Skate To Paris (No.4), Setoga (No.8) & Don’t Leave Me Out (No.10)

Dangers

Sista Act (No.1) & Alleviator (No.5)

Racing in Brisbane comes from Doomben again this Saturday. Gee, we have seen some extreme weather up in Brisbane this week. There has been rain and some extremely hot conditions up in the sunshine state. As I write this preview early on Friday morning the track is rated as soft but there doesn’t look to be too much more rain arriving before Saturday. I think that could potentially see us get into the good range come Saturday but I would still expect the track to have a nice cushion and give to it. The rail is out five metres the entire circuit. If the track does dry out, the track could certainly advantage those horses up on speed with the rail out that far. This meeting certainly doesn’t reach the heights of what we have in Melbourne and Sydney and the method of being pretty selective as to what races to bet into in Brisbane in recent weeks has proved to be quite successful. As a result I have again narrowed it down to just three races to bet into.

The first of those is the third race of the day which is for the three year olds over the 1050m. This looks a really interesting race as we have quite a few horses resuming that showed good talent as two year olds through the Brisbane winter carnival and they take on a couple of in form horses that have been going through their grades nicely. I thought of the fit horses with recent racing under their belt that Don’t Leave Me Out looked to be good odds here and well worth a ticket. This is a horse that has shown good talent in his career to date and I know the stable have a decent opinion of him. He won impressively on debut at the Sunshine Coast over the 1000m back in November. He was then freshened up and ran in a race there over the 1000m at his second start where he was well supported but was probably the victim of poor tactics in the race. He jumped well but was restrained and he got a bit keen and despite looming to win the race just didn’t finish it off.

Last start at Ipswich he stepped up to the 1200m but got very keen with the blinkers on and led at a very fast tempo which set the race up for Johnny Whitesox to sit off him and come over the top of him. The blinkers come off him here and he drops back to the 1050m. Both of those looks positives. He draws ideally in gate two and from that gate he should be able to roll through and take up the running. I think he will be much stronger at the end of this trip and could be hard to run down. As I said, the $9 on offer about him looks pretty juicy and I am happy to be with him.

Of the resuming runners I thought Skate To Paris trialled up really nicely and I would expect her to be able to run well here fresh. Her last two runs before going for a spell saw her only just be touched off by Pardoe and Cellargirl. That is pretty strong form and her recent trial was good. She was given a very easy time and tracked up along behind Snitzkraft and looked to have plenty more to give. She draws ideally for Larry Cassidy to get a gun run in behind the speed and from there I think she can be strong late and capable of getting over the top of them so happy to have her on side also.

I also want to be with Setoga who also trialled really nicely. He may be a little bit more wound up than a couple of his other resuming rivals as he has the two trials under his belt. His most recent one was quite stylish too. He tracked up in behind the speed and was held up for a run in the early parts of the straight but once the gap came I love the way that he picked up and went through that and finished off strongly through the line. He also draws nicely to get a run just off the speed and I would expect him to come to the races ready to rumble with those two trials under his belt. He showed enough talent in two runs in his first campaign to suggest that he has a good level of talent and with improvement in the break I think he can be competitive here so happy to be with him.

Betting strategy

I will have $30 the win on Skate To Paris here! I will also have $25 the win on Don’t Leave Me Out and $20 the win on Setoga!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 3

1:40pm

Suggested

Mamzelle Tess (No.3) & Alma’s Rossa (No.8)

Dangers

Spanish Reef (No.4) & Sharing (No.6)

Racing in Melbourne comes from Flemington this Saturday with the running of the Black Caviar Lightning at Group One level the highlight. We saw the Melbourne Festival of Racing kick off with a great day at Caulfield last Saturday and it continues here at Flemington on Saturday. I have to admit I was a bit underwhelmed by this meeting as a whole. The two three year old races are cracking contests. The Lightning is going to be interesting but from a betting point of view it is isn’t something I want to get too involved in given Redzel is so short and I can’t really find much to beat him. The rest of the program is pretty stock standard. There are probably two horses on the program that I am really keen on and aside from that it is really about trying to find a little bit of value. The weather in Melbourne is dry and aside from a crazy but brief wind storm on Wednesday it has been perfect. The rail is true and the track is good and we will be racing on a perfect track.

I am kicking the day off in the third race of the day which is for the fillies and mares over the 1400m. Certainly one of the main form references for this race looks to be the race won by Jester Halo at Caulfield three weeks back. Two of the main chances in betting in Mamzelle Tess and Sharing come through that race. Both didn’t have the ideal set up in that race. Mamzelle Tess took up the running but had no piece at all out in front and was ultimately left a sitting shot for Sharing and Jester Halo to run over the top of her. Sharing meanwhile was forced to go a little bit too far back in the run from the wide draw which gave that positional advantage to Jester Halo which proved crucial in the final outcome.

I think both will be hard to beat here but lean to Mamzelle Tess who should be rock hard fit and ready to rumble here with that strong 1400m run under her belt from last start. She looks to have come back from a spell in really good form. She was excellent first up at Caulfield over the 1100m behind Creativity before backing that performance up second up with a strong win over the same course and distance. I backed her last start but the nagging doubt in my mind was always the fact that she was stepping up to 1400m from the 1100m and that ultimately proved pretty decisive late. Jester Halo and Sharing had been running in strong 1400m races in the lead up to that race and that platform they had allowed them to get over the top of Mamzelle Tess late who had done plenty of work in the run.

Like I said, with that strong run under her belt now she should be primed to deliver a peak performance here over this 1400m trip at her fourth run back. She draws out but the only two other speed runners are Miss Adequate and Spanish Reef and with Spanish Reef drawn outside if her she should either land outside of Miss Adequate or come across and lead if that mare hands up. From either of those positions I think she can really control the race and be hard to get past in the straight. I am keen to be in her corner.

I am going to save on Alma’s Rossa at double figure odds. This mare looks to be putting it all together. She has always displayed a good deal of talent but has often got a long way back in her races and been spotting rivals a long start which hasn’t helped her winning strike rate. Her last couple of runs when aided by good draws she has shown the ability to sit closer to the speed and when able to do that coupled with her strong finish it led to a dominant victory at Ballarat last start over the 1500m. She comes back slightly in trip here but I think this will be a genuinely run 1400m race. I see her landing midfield one off the fence and for mine she is the one that will be peeling to the middle of the track and really closing off strongly late. That looks a good scenario for me and given she has come up around the $10-12 mark here I think she looks a really good saving bet in the race.

Betting strategy

I will have $45 the win on Mamzelle Tess here and save with $15 the win on Alma’s Rossa!

Race Outlay

$60

Race 3

2:00pm

Suggested

The Bandit (No.3), Almost Court (No.7) & Ready For Success (No.10)

Dangers

Emperor’s Way (No.1) & High Opinion (No.8)

Racing in Sydney comes from Randwick this Saturday for what looks a particularly juicy meeting. There are some very interesting races with good field sizes that make for some quality betting races. The rail is in the true position and we will be racing on a good track with fine weather prevailing in Sydney throughout the week and on race day. Rail true at Randwick can often be a tricky proposition depending on how much manual input is had to the track. It can often be overwatered on the inside which leads to the middle lanes coming into play but when left firm it can be pretty dynamite up against the fence so the early races should tell a tale.

I am kicking the day off in the third race of the day which is over the 2000m. There look to be some different form lines coming together here and a couple of horses that should be ready to improve stepping up in distance and fitter for earlier runs in their campaign. I think there is a bit of value to be had in this race. I am betting around the favourites and all the horses I am backing have actually come up double figure odds. It won’t be a large outlay race but I fancy we will get a decent result if one of these can salute.

Almost Court is a former New Zealand galloper that has been racing quite well since making Australia home down on the south coast of New South Wales and after two runs back from a spell I think he might give some cheek here third up from a spell up on speed. He resumed with a dominant win at Moruya first up this time in after winning three of his four starts in his first campaign down under. Last start he stepped up to the mile of the Bega Cup and after looking the winner halfway down the straight was just run down late by Makeadane who got a dream run through along the rails from off the speed. That run should have brought him on fitness wise but I am still slightly concerned about him jumping so sharply from the mile to the 2000m. That is my only concern though. Aside from that I think he should be able to get up on the speed and roll along in front without too much competition and that should see him pretty hard to roll down. At double figure odds I am happy to be with him.

I had something on Ready For Success first up two weeks ago off the back of a sharp trial at big odds and he ran particularly well finding the line strongly for third behind Bye See. He typically has never performed that well fresh so couple that good first up run with the good trial and it is pretty evident that he has come back in good order this time in. Unfortunately his second up record doesn’t make for inspiring reading either but his 2000m form is excellent. He has won two of four and placed on one other occasion. He draws to get a perfect run stalking the speed from gate two and I would anticipate from there he would just need a touch of luck getting clear galloping room to figure in the finish. He has again come up around the $12-15 mark here and at those odds I am happy to be in his corner.

The other horse I am going to have something on is The Bandit who I thought improved significantly at his second up run last start behind Emperor’s Way. This will be his third run back off a long break and I like the improvement he showed form his first up run into last start. He is a horse that will certainly appreciate getting up to the 2000m and we know that John Thompson has an excellent record with these staying types. I think he should be able to get across and land in a good position on speed and if he can improve again into this third up run then I don’t think he is without some hope here. He is around the $15-20 mark here and I think he is worth a small ticket.

Emperor’s Way is clearly the horse to beat. He is on the way up and is only at his sixth run of the campaign. He will be back along the inside though from gate one which could be tricky and he is starting to get up in the weights now so I wasn’t overly keen to chime into him. As such I am happy to bet on those other three above at decent odds and hope we can get a result rolling a couple of those more favoured runners in the market.

Betting strategy

The $11 about Almost Court looks juicy! I will have $20 the win on him with half of that at the $11 and the other half at Top Fluc! I will save with $15 the win on Ready For Success and $10 the win on The Bandit!

Race Outlay

$45

Race 3

2:42pm

Suggested

Skate To Paris (No.4), Setoga (No.8) & Don’t Leave Me Out (No.10)

Dangers

Sista Act (No.1) & Alleviator (No.5)

Racing in Brisbane comes from Doomben again this Saturday. Gee, we have seen some extreme weather up in Brisbane this week. There has been rain and some extremely hot conditions up in the sunshine state. As I write this preview early on Friday morning the track is rated as soft but there doesn’t look to be too much more rain arriving before Saturday. I think that could potentially see us get into the good range come Saturday but I would still expect the track to have a nice cushion and give to it. The rail is out five metres the entire circuit. If the track does dry out, the track could certainly advantage those horses up on speed with the rail out that far. This meeting certainly doesn’t reach the heights of what we have in Melbourne and Sydney and the method of being pretty selective as to what races to bet into in Brisbane in recent weeks has proved to be quite successful. As a result I have again narrowed it down to just three races to bet into.

The first of those is the third race of the day which is for the three year olds over the 1050m. This looks a really interesting race as we have quite a few horses resuming that showed good talent as two year olds through the Brisbane winter carnival and they take on a couple of in form horses that have been going through their grades nicely. I thought of the fit horses with recent racing under their belt that Don’t Leave Me Out looked to be good odds here and well worth a ticket. This is a horse that has shown good talent in his career to date and I know the stable have a decent opinion of him. He won impressively on debut at the Sunshine Coast over the 1000m back in November. He was then freshened up and ran in a race there over the 1000m at his second start where he was well supported but was probably the victim of poor tactics in the race. He jumped well but was restrained and he got a bit keen and despite looming to win the race just didn’t finish it off.

Last start at Ipswich he stepped up to the 1200m but got very keen with the blinkers on and led at a very fast tempo which set the race up for Johnny Whitesox to sit off him and come over the top of him. The blinkers come off him here and he drops back to the 1050m. Both of those looks positives. He draws ideally in gate two and from that gate he should be able to roll through and take up the running. I think he will be much stronger at the end of this trip and could be hard to run down. As I said, the $9 on offer about him looks pretty juicy and I am happy to be with him.

Of the resuming runners I thought Skate To Paris trialled up really nicely and I would expect her to be able to run well here fresh. Her last two runs before going for a spell saw her only just be touched off by Pardoe and Cellargirl. That is pretty strong form and her recent trial was good. She was given a very easy time and tracked up along behind Snitzkraft and looked to have plenty more to give. She draws ideally for Larry Cassidy to get a gun run in behind the speed and from there I think she can be strong late and capable of getting over the top of them so happy to have her on side also.

I also want to be with Setoga who also trialled really nicely. He may be a little bit more wound up than a couple of his other resuming rivals as he has the two trials under his belt. His most recent one was quite stylish too. He tracked up in behind the speed and was held up for a run in the early parts of the straight but once the gap came I love the way that he picked up and went through that and finished off strongly through the line. He also draws nicely to get a run just off the speed and I would expect him to come to the races ready to rumble with those two trials under his belt. He showed enough talent in two runs in his first campaign to suggest that he has a good level of talent and with improvement in the break I think he can be competitive here so happy to be with him.

Betting strategy

I will have $30 the win on Skate To Paris here! I will also have $25 the win on Don’t Leave Me Out and $20 the win on Setoga!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 3

1:40pm

Suggested

Mamzelle Tess (No.3) & Alma’s Rossa (No.8)

Dangers

Spanish Reef (No.4) & Sharing (No.6)

Racing in Melbourne comes from Flemington this Saturday with the running of the Black Caviar Lightning at Group One level the highlight. We saw the Melbourne Festival of Racing kick off with a great day at Caulfield last Saturday and it continues here at Flemington on Saturday. I have to admit I was a bit underwhelmed by this meeting as a whole. The two three year old races are cracking contests. The Lightning is going to be interesting but from a betting point of view it is isn’t something I want to get too involved in given Redzel is so short and I can’t really find much to beat him. The rest of the program is pretty stock standard. There are probably two horses on the program that I am really keen on and aside from that it is really about trying to find a little bit of value. The weather in Melbourne is dry and aside from a crazy but brief wind storm on Wednesday it has been perfect. The rail is true and the track is good and we will be racing on a perfect track.

I am kicking the day off in the third race of the day which is for the fillies and mares over the 1400m. Certainly one of the main form references for this race looks to be the race won by Jester Halo at Caulfield three weeks back. Two of the main chances in betting in Mamzelle Tess and Sharing come through that race. Both didn’t have the ideal set up in that race. Mamzelle Tess took up the running but had no piece at all out in front and was ultimately left a sitting shot for Sharing and Jester Halo to run over the top of her. Sharing meanwhile was forced to go a little bit too far back in the run from the wide draw which gave that positional advantage to Jester Halo which proved crucial in the final outcome.

I think both will be hard to beat here but lean to Mamzelle Tess who should be rock hard fit and ready to rumble here with that strong 1400m run under her belt from last start. She looks to have come back from a spell in really good form. She was excellent first up at Caulfield over the 1100m behind Creativity before backing that performance up second up with a strong win over the same course and distance. I backed her last start but the nagging doubt in my mind was always the fact that she was stepping up to 1400m from the 1100m and that ultimately proved pretty decisive late. Jester Halo and Sharing had been running in strong 1400m races in the lead up to that race and that platform they had allowed them to get over the top of Mamzelle Tess late who had done plenty of work in the run.

Like I said, with that strong run under her belt now she should be primed to deliver a peak performance here over this 1400m trip at her fourth run back. She draws out but the only two other speed runners are Miss Adequate and Spanish Reef and with Spanish Reef drawn outside if her she should either land outside of Miss Adequate or come across and lead if that mare hands up. From either of those positions I think she can really control the race and be hard to get past in the straight. I am keen to be in her corner.

I am going to save on Alma’s Rossa at double figure odds. This mare looks to be putting it all together. She has always displayed a good deal of talent but has often got a long way back in her races and been spotting rivals a long start which hasn’t helped her winning strike rate. Her last couple of runs when aided by good draws she has shown the ability to sit closer to the speed and when able to do that coupled with her strong finish it led to a dominant victory at Ballarat last start over the 1500m. She comes back slightly in trip here but I think this will be a genuinely run 1400m race. I see her landing midfield one off the fence and for mine she is the one that will be peeling to the middle of the track and really closing off strongly late. That looks a good scenario for me and given she has come up around the $10-12 mark here I think she looks a really good saving bet in the race.

Betting strategy

I will have $45 the win on Mamzelle Tess here and save with $15 the win on Alma’s Rossa!

Race Outlay

$60

Race 3

2:00pm

Suggested

The Bandit (No.3), Almost Court (No.7) & Ready For Success (No.10)

Dangers

Emperor’s Way (No.1) & High Opinion (No.8)

Racing in Sydney comes from Randwick this Saturday for what looks a particularly juicy meeting. There are some very interesting races with good field sizes that make for some quality betting races. The rail is in the true position and we will be racing on a good track with fine weather prevailing in Sydney throughout the week and on race day. Rail true at Randwick can often be a tricky proposition depending on how much manual input is had to the track. It can often be overwatered on the inside which leads to the middle lanes coming into play but when left firm it can be pretty dynamite up against the fence so the early races should tell a tale.

I am kicking the day off in the third race of the day which is over the 2000m. There look to be some different form lines coming together here and a couple of horses that should be ready to improve stepping up in distance and fitter for earlier runs in their campaign. I think there is a bit of value to be had in this race. I am betting around the favourites and all the horses I am backing have actually come up double figure odds. It won’t be a large outlay race but I fancy we will get a decent result if one of these can salute.

Almost Court is a former New Zealand galloper that has been racing quite well since making Australia home down on the south coast of New South Wales and after two runs back from a spell I think he might give some cheek here third up from a spell up on speed. He resumed with a dominant win at Moruya first up this time in after winning three of his four starts in his first campaign down under. Last start he stepped up to the mile of the Bega Cup and after looking the winner halfway down the straight was just run down late by Makeadane who got a dream run through along the rails from off the speed. That run should have brought him on fitness wise but I am still slightly concerned about him jumping so sharply from the mile to the 2000m. That is my only concern though. Aside from that I think he should be able to get up on the speed and roll along in front without too much competition and that should see him pretty hard to roll down. At double figure odds I am happy to be with him.

I had something on Ready For Success first up two weeks ago off the back of a sharp trial at big odds and he ran particularly well finding the line strongly for third behind Bye See. He typically has never performed that well fresh so couple that good first up run with the good trial and it is pretty evident that he has come back in good order this time in. Unfortunately his second up record doesn’t make for inspiring reading either but his 2000m form is excellent. He has won two of four and placed on one other occasion. He draws to get a perfect run stalking the speed from gate two and I would anticipate from there he would just need a touch of luck getting clear galloping room to figure in the finish. He has again come up around the $12-15 mark here and at those odds I am happy to be in his corner.

The other horse I am going to have something on is The Bandit who I thought improved significantly at his second up run last start behind Emperor’s Way. This will be his third run back off a long break and I like the improvement he showed form his first up run into last start. He is a horse that will certainly appreciate getting up to the 2000m and we know that John Thompson has an excellent record with these staying types. I think he should be able to get across and land in a good position on speed and if he can improve again into this third up run then I don’t think he is without some hope here. He is around the $15-20 mark here and I think he is worth a small ticket.

Emperor’s Way is clearly the horse to beat. He is on the way up and is only at his sixth run of the campaign. He will be back along the inside though from gate one which could be tricky and he is starting to get up in the weights now so I wasn’t overly keen to chime into him. As such I am happy to bet on those other three above at decent odds and hope we can get a result rolling a couple of those more favoured runners in the market.

Betting strategy

The $11 about Almost Court looks juicy! I will have $20 the win on him with half of that at the $11 and the other half at Top Fluc! I will save with $15 the win on Ready For Success and $10 the win on The Bandit!

Race Outlay

$45

Race 3

2:42pm

Suggested

Skate To Paris (No.4), Setoga (No.8) & Don’t Leave Me Out (No.10)

Dangers

Sista Act (No.1) & Alleviator (No.5)

Racing in Brisbane comes from Doomben again this Saturday. Gee, we have seen some extreme weather up in Brisbane this week. There has been rain and some extremely hot conditions up in the sunshine state. As I write this preview early on Friday morning the track is rated as soft but there doesn’t look to be too much more rain arriving before Saturday. I think that could potentially see us get into the good range come Saturday but I would still expect the track to have a nice cushion and give to it. The rail is out five metres the entire circuit. If the track does dry out, the track could certainly advantage those horses up on speed with the rail out that far. This meeting certainly doesn’t reach the heights of what we have in Melbourne and Sydney and the method of being pretty selective as to what races to bet into in Brisbane in recent weeks has proved to be quite successful. As a result I have again narrowed it down to just three races to bet into.

The first of those is the third race of the day which is for the three year olds over the 1050m. This looks a really interesting race as we have quite a few horses resuming that showed good talent as two year olds through the Brisbane winter carnival and they take on a couple of in form horses that have been going through their grades nicely. I thought of the fit horses with recent racing under their belt that Don’t Leave Me Out looked to be good odds here and well worth a ticket. This is a horse that has shown good talent in his career to date and I know the stable have a decent opinion of him. He won impressively on debut at the Sunshine Coast over the 1000m back in November. He was then freshened up and ran in a race there over the 1000m at his second start where he was well supported but was probably the victim of poor tactics in the race. He jumped well but was restrained and he got a bit keen and despite looming to win the race just didn’t finish it off.

Last start at Ipswich he stepped up to the 1200m but got very keen with the blinkers on and led at a very fast tempo which set the race up for Johnny Whitesox to sit off him and come over the top of him. The blinkers come off him here and he drops back to the 1050m. Both of those looks positives. He draws ideally in gate two and from that gate he should be able to roll through and take up the running. I think he will be much stronger at the end of this trip and could be hard to run down. As I said, the $9 on offer about him looks pretty juicy and I am happy to be with him.

Of the resuming runners I thought Skate To Paris trialled up really nicely and I would expect her to be able to run well here fresh. Her last two runs before going for a spell saw her only just be touched off by Pardoe and Cellargirl. That is pretty strong form and her recent trial was good. She was given a very easy time and tracked up along behind Snitzkraft and looked to have plenty more to give. She draws ideally for Larry Cassidy to get a gun run in behind the speed and from there I think she can be strong late and capable of getting over the top of them so happy to have her on side also.

I also want to be with Setoga who also trialled really nicely. He may be a little bit more wound up than a couple of his other resuming rivals as he has the two trials under his belt. His most recent one was quite stylish too. He tracked up in behind the speed and was held up for a run in the early parts of the straight but once the gap came I love the way that he picked up and went through that and finished off strongly through the line. He also draws nicely to get a run just off the speed and I would expect him to come to the races ready to rumble with those two trials under his belt. He showed enough talent in two runs in his first campaign to suggest that he has a good level of talent and with improvement in the break I think he can be competitive here so happy to be with him.

Betting strategy

I will have $30 the win on Skate To Paris here! I will also have $25 the win on Don’t Leave Me Out and $20 the win on Setoga!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 3

1:40pm

Suggested

Mamzelle Tess (No.3) & Alma’s Rossa (No.8)

Dangers

Spanish Reef (No.4) & Sharing (No.6)

Racing in Melbourne comes from Flemington this Saturday with the running of the Black Caviar Lightning at Group One level the highlight. We saw the Melbourne Festival of Racing kick off with a great day at Caulfield last Saturday and it continues here at Flemington on Saturday. I have to admit I was a bit underwhelmed by this meeting as a whole. The two three year old races are cracking contests. The Lightning is going to be interesting but from a betting point of view it is isn’t something I want to get too involved in given Redzel is so short and I can’t really find much to beat him. The rest of the program is pretty stock standard. There are probably two horses on the program that I am really keen on and aside from that it is really about trying to find a little bit of value. The weather in Melbourne is dry and aside from a crazy but brief wind storm on Wednesday it has been perfect. The rail is true and the track is good and we will be racing on a perfect track.

I am kicking the day off in the third race of the day which is for the fillies and mares over the 1400m. Certainly one of the main form references for this race looks to be the race won by Jester Halo at Caulfield three weeks back. Two of the main chances in betting in Mamzelle Tess and Sharing come through that race. Both didn’t have the ideal set up in that race. Mamzelle Tess took up the running but had no piece at all out in front and was ultimately left a sitting shot for Sharing and Jester Halo to run over the top of her. Sharing meanwhile was forced to go a little bit too far back in the run from the wide draw which gave that positional advantage to Jester Halo which proved crucial in the final outcome.

I think both will be hard to beat here but lean to Mamzelle Tess who should be rock hard fit and ready to rumble here with that strong 1400m run under her belt from last start. She looks to have come back from a spell in really good form. She was excellent first up at Caulfield over the 1100m behind Creativity before backing that performance up second up with a strong win over the same course and distance. I backed her last start but the nagging doubt in my mind was always the fact that she was stepping up to 1400m from the 1100m and that ultimately proved pretty decisive late. Jester Halo and Sharing had been running in strong 1400m races in the lead up to that race and that platform they had allowed them to get over the top of Mamzelle Tess late who had done plenty of work in the run.

Like I said, with that strong run under her belt now she should be primed to deliver a peak performance here over this 1400m trip at her fourth run back. She draws out but the only two other speed runners are Miss Adequate and Spanish Reef and with Spanish Reef drawn outside if her she should either land outside of Miss Adequate or come across and lead if that mare hands up. From either of those positions I think she can really control the race and be hard to get past in the straight. I am keen to be in her corner.

I am going to save on Alma’s Rossa at double figure odds. This mare looks to be putting it all together. She has always displayed a good deal of talent but has often got a long way back in her races and been spotting rivals a long start which hasn’t helped her winning strike rate. Her last couple of runs when aided by good draws she has shown the ability to sit closer to the speed and when able to do that coupled with her strong finish it led to a dominant victory at Ballarat last start over the 1500m. She comes back slightly in trip here but I think this will be a genuinely run 1400m race. I see her landing midfield one off the fence and for mine she is the one that will be peeling to the middle of the track and really closing off strongly late. That looks a good scenario for me and given she has come up around the $10-12 mark here I think she looks a really good saving bet in the race.

Betting strategy

I will have $45 the win on Mamzelle Tess here and save with $15 the win on Alma’s Rossa!

Race Outlay

$60

Race 3

2:00pm

Suggested

The Bandit (No.3), Almost Court (No.7) & Ready For Success (No.10)

Dangers

Emperor’s Way (No.1) & High Opinion (No.8)

Racing in Sydney comes from Randwick this Saturday for what looks a particularly juicy meeting. There are some very interesting races with good field sizes that make for some quality betting races. The rail is in the true position and we will be racing on a good track with fine weather prevailing in Sydney throughout the week and on race day. Rail true at Randwick can often be a tricky proposition depending on how much manual input is had to the track. It can often be overwatered on the inside which leads to the middle lanes coming into play but when left firm it can be pretty dynamite up against the fence so the early races should tell a tale.

I am kicking the day off in the third race of the day which is over the 2000m. There look to be some different form lines coming together here and a couple of horses that should be ready to improve stepping up in distance and fitter for earlier runs in their campaign. I think there is a bit of value to be had in this race. I am betting around the favourites and all the horses I am backing have actually come up double figure odds. It won’t be a large outlay race but I fancy we will get a decent result if one of these can salute.

Almost Court is a former New Zealand galloper that has been racing quite well since making Australia home down on the south coast of New South Wales and after two runs back from a spell I think he might give some cheek here third up from a spell up on speed. He resumed with a dominant win at Moruya first up this time in after winning three of his four starts in his first campaign down under. Last start he stepped up to the mile of the Bega Cup and after looking the winner halfway down the straight was just run down late by Makeadane who got a dream run through along the rails from off the speed. That run should have brought him on fitness wise but I am still slightly concerned about him jumping so sharply from the mile to the 2000m. That is my only concern though. Aside from that I think he should be able to get up on the speed and roll along in front without too much competition and that should see him pretty hard to roll down. At double figure odds I am happy to be with him.

I had something on Ready For Success first up two weeks ago off the back of a sharp trial at big odds and he ran particularly well finding the line strongly for third behind Bye See. He typically has never performed that well fresh so couple that good first up run with the good trial and it is pretty evident that he has come back in good order this time in. Unfortunately his second up record doesn’t make for inspiring reading either but his 2000m form is excellent. He has won two of four and placed on one other occasion. He draws to get a perfect run stalking the speed from gate two and I would anticipate from there he would just need a touch of luck getting clear galloping room to figure in the finish. He has again come up around the $12-15 mark here and at those odds I am happy to be in his corner.

The other horse I am going to have something on is The Bandit who I thought improved significantly at his second up run last start behind Emperor’s Way. This will be his third run back off a long break and I like the improvement he showed form his first up run into last start. He is a horse that will certainly appreciate getting up to the 2000m and we know that John Thompson has an excellent record with these staying types. I think he should be able to get across and land in a good position on speed and if he can improve again into this third up run then I don’t think he is without some hope here. He is around the $15-20 mark here and I think he is worth a small ticket.

Emperor’s Way is clearly the horse to beat. He is on the way up and is only at his sixth run of the campaign. He will be back along the inside though from gate one which could be tricky and he is starting to get up in the weights now so I wasn’t overly keen to chime into him. As such I am happy to bet on those other three above at decent odds and hope we can get a result rolling a couple of those more favoured runners in the market.

Betting strategy

The $11 about Almost Court looks juicy! I will have $20 the win on him with half of that at the $11 and the other half at Top Fluc! I will save with $15 the win on Ready For Success and $10 the win on The Bandit!

Race Outlay

$45

Race 3

2:42pm

Suggested

Skate To Paris (No.4), Setoga (No.8) & Don’t Leave Me Out (No.10)

Dangers

Sista Act (No.1) & Alleviator (No.5)

Racing in Brisbane comes from Doomben again this Saturday. Gee, we have seen some extreme weather up in Brisbane this week. There has been rain and some extremely hot conditions up in the sunshine state. As I write this preview early on Friday morning the track is rated as soft but there doesn’t look to be too much more rain arriving before Saturday. I think that could potentially see us get into the good range come Saturday but I would still expect the track to have a nice cushion and give to it. The rail is out five metres the entire circuit. If the track does dry out, the track could certainly advantage those horses up on speed with the rail out that far. This meeting certainly doesn’t reach the heights of what we have in Melbourne and Sydney and the method of being pretty selective as to what races to bet into in Brisbane in recent weeks has proved to be quite successful. As a result I have again narrowed it down to just three races to bet into.

The first of those is the third race of the day which is for the three year olds over the 1050m. This looks a really interesting race as we have quite a few horses resuming that showed good talent as two year olds through the Brisbane winter carnival and they take on a couple of in form horses that have been going through their grades nicely. I thought of the fit horses with recent racing under their belt that Don’t Leave Me Out looked to be good odds here and well worth a ticket. This is a horse that has shown good talent in his career to date and I know the stable have a decent opinion of him. He won impressively on debut at the Sunshine Coast over the 1000m back in November. He was then freshened up and ran in a race there over the 1000m at his second start where he was well supported but was probably the victim of poor tactics in the race. He jumped well but was restrained and he got a bit keen and despite looming to win the race just didn’t finish it off.

Last start at Ipswich he stepped up to the 1200m but got very keen with the blinkers on and led at a very fast tempo which set the race up for Johnny Whitesox to sit off him and come over the top of him. The blinkers come off him here and he drops back to the 1050m. Both of those looks positives. He draws ideally in gate two and from that gate he should be able to roll through and take up the running. I think he will be much stronger at the end of this trip and could be hard to run down. As I said, the $9 on offer about him looks pretty juicy and I am happy to be with him.

Of the resuming runners I thought Skate To Paris trialled up really nicely and I would expect her to be able to run well here fresh. Her last two runs before going for a spell saw her only just be touched off by Pardoe and Cellargirl. That is pretty strong form and her recent trial was good. She was given a very easy time and tracked up along behind Snitzkraft and looked to have plenty more to give. She draws ideally for Larry Cassidy to get a gun run in behind the speed and from there I think she can be strong late and capable of getting over the top of them so happy to have her on side also.

I also want to be with Setoga who also trialled really nicely. He may be a little bit more wound up than a couple of his other resuming rivals as he has the two trials under his belt. His most recent one was quite stylish too. He tracked up in behind the speed and was held up for a run in the early parts of the straight but once the gap came I love the way that he picked up and went through that and finished off strongly through the line. He also draws nicely to get a run just off the speed and I would expect him to come to the races ready to rumble with those two trials under his belt. He showed enough talent in two runs in his first campaign to suggest that he has a good level of talent and with improvement in the break I think he can be competitive here so happy to be with him.

Betting strategy

I will have $30 the win on Skate To Paris here! I will also have $25 the win on Don’t Leave Me Out and $20 the win on Setoga!

Race Outlay

$75

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