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Select Race Meeting Event

Race 2

12:15pm

Suggested

Linguist (No.5) & Good Oh (No.9)

Dangers

Hectopascal (No.1), Another Bullseye (No.2) & Snogging (No.8)

Racing in Melbourne comes from Moonee Valley this Saturday for a pretty large meeting of racing. There are ten races on the program and I actually found it to be a meeting that I ended up being pretty confident on once I did the form. Moonee Valley played a bit strangely at the last meeting. It was the first time we had raced there for a while and the inside chopped out very quickly meaning most of the winners came from off the fence. The rail was in the true position that day and moves out to the four metre position this Saturday. Typically I would suggest that would mean a leaders paradise but with plenty of rain about and the way the track played last start I am not as confident about that scenario this Saturday. I would expect early in the day it might certainly be an advantage to be up on speed and close to the rail but I wouldn’t be surprised if that turns a bit as the day progresses and late in the day they are getting off the fence a bit. Like I said, there is plenty of rain about Melbourne and as a result of that I would expect the track to be soft on Saturday.

I am kicking the day off in the second race of the day which is over the mile for the fillies and mares. Gee, the old speed map looks to set this race up pretty nicely for Linguist. She just looks to get everything fall in her favour and for mine looks to be one of the better bets of the day. She really went to a new level in the spring and she is now starting to get towards that form it would seem this time in. She has had three runs back from a spell this campaign. The first of those she was good at Caulfield over 1400m before having a decent break between that first up run and her next start when second up at Cranbourne. She struck a very heavy track that night and was beaten out of sight into second place by Malmas. She was probably a run short that night with the break between runs and only being second up at the 1500m. She went on from that run though to really improve and win well last start. She box seated over the mile at Cranbourne, got the split on the turn showing a nice turn of foot and dashed through to win easily. It was an impressive victory. Like I said, this race looks to set up ideally for her. I am hoping at this stage of the day being up on speed will be a big advantage and she looks certain to get an easy lead and if allowed to dictate she is going to be very hard to run down. Her mile record is excellent, she has a good record on soft tracks and she looks to be getting right into the zone. She is clearly the one to beat for mine and around the $3.50-4 mark looks an excellent bet.

I am going to save on Good Oh who overcame a fair bit of difficulty to win at Ballarat last start. She got a long way back on the inside and had to wait to get clear coming into the home straight. Once she got clear though she really lengthened strongly and was able to dash away to win impressively. I think she maps to settle a fraction closer here one off the fence and with that win under her belt now she might go on with the job so happy to be with her. Hectopascal on form is one of the main dangers. I was just concerned about where she maps from the wide draw and if the track is playing towards those up on pace early in the day her task might become quite a difficult one so taking her on.

Betting strategy

I will have $60 the win on Linguist here having half of the stake at the $3.90 now with CrownBet and the other half at Top Fluc on the day! I will save with $15 the win on Good Oh!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 2

12:00pm

Suggested

Sweet Victory (No.8), Groundbreak (No.9), Nicci’s Gold (No.12) & Touch Of Mink (No.14)

Dangers

Gresham (No.1) & Lisdoonvarna (No.4)

Racing in Sydney returns to Rosehill this Saturday. It looks another pretty tricky meeting. The good news for Sydney is that the inclement weather that has been floating around in recent times looks to have disappeared for the weekend and as a result we should go close to racing on a good track come Saturday. It is currently rated as soft as I write this on Thursday night but the forecast looks promising so I think we will get to the good and at worst might be just in the soft. The rail is in the true position. There has been a bit of talk about the Rosehill track in recent weeks. I am not sure how valid it is but a few people have suggested that it is quite leader biased. I just think it is a case of horses up on speed naturally being advantaged. Maybe a few punters looking for reasons other than their own form to blame for their losses, not quite sure. I am certainly not going to let it play on my mind too much as I try to find winners though. I think Rosehill is a pretty good track and one you can generally bet with confidence at.

I am kicking the day off in the second race of the day which is for the three year olds over the 1400m. This looks a competitive race. Gresham has been in great form this time in and with an easy lead up on speed should no doubt be pretty hard to beat again. I am hoping he cops a fair bit more pressure up front here in this race then what he did when winning two weeks ago here and for that reason am betting around him. I am not playing too heavily but think there are a few at odds that are worth a ticket.

Touch Of Mink finally broke through for her maiden win two starts ago and as is so often the case she went on from that to win her very next start as well. Sometimes you just need to break the ice. This is a filly that has raced in some strong company right from early in her career despite being a maiden. This off season racing might be her go. She only just got there in the maiden win but I really liked the win last start when defeating a pretty handy one in Vontaine. She just maps to again get a gun run here. She draws gate one, should box seat behind the speed and if the breaks come her way at the right time then she should be hard to hold out. I am happy to be in her corner.

Sweet Victory is a filly that is seemingly on the way up and making her way through the grades nicely. She was well fancied first up at Canterbury when she had no luck at all behind Dawn Dawn and since then has won her next two in strong fashion. She was too good for her rivals second up at Hawkesbury before stepping up to the mile and getting the job done at Warwick Farm last start. The slight query here is that she comes back to 1400m but I am hoping in a genuinely run race she is going to be the horse that will be really strong through the line late. She draws a middle gate to sit off them midfield and I would expect her to be powering through the line at the end. I am keen to be in her corner also.

I am keeping a couple of other runners on side at bigger odds. The first of those is Nicci’s Gold who I thought was quite good first up behind Dawn Dawn. She got a long way back out of her ground in that race and had a bit of an interrupted passage in the straight when trying to make up ground. She really went through the line strongly I thought late on. She is typically a horse that improves off her first up run fairly significantly into her second up run and if she can do that here I think she is right in the thick of things. She draws a nice middle gate and around the $15-20 mark I thought she represented really good value in the race.

Groundbreak comes back from Melbourne having chased home Icnonoclasm at his last two starts. He just seemed to peak on his run over the mile last start and back to the 1400m here I think will suit him. He just brings that different form into the race and for that reason I am wary and will keep him on side just in case.

Betting strategy

I will have $30 the win on both Sweet Victory and Touch Of Mink here! I will also have $15 the win on Nicci’s Gold and $10 the win on Groundbreak!

Race Outlay

$85

Suggested

Dangers

I was all ready to write the Ipswich preview up punters but a couple of races still have emergencies and I am just going to hold off until I have more of an idea of final fields! I will have it up either sometime on Friday or may even hold off until first thing on Saturday morning!

Betting strategy

Race Outlay

Race 2

12:15pm

Suggested

Linguist (No.5) & Good Oh (No.9)

Dangers

Hectopascal (No.1), Another Bullseye (No.2) & Snogging (No.8)

Racing in Melbourne comes from Moonee Valley this Saturday for a pretty large meeting of racing. There are ten races on the program and I actually found it to be a meeting that I ended up being pretty confident on once I did the form. Moonee Valley played a bit strangely at the last meeting. It was the first time we had raced there for a while and the inside chopped out very quickly meaning most of the winners came from off the fence. The rail was in the true position that day and moves out to the four metre position this Saturday. Typically I would suggest that would mean a leaders paradise but with plenty of rain about and the way the track played last start I am not as confident about that scenario this Saturday. I would expect early in the day it might certainly be an advantage to be up on speed and close to the rail but I wouldn’t be surprised if that turns a bit as the day progresses and late in the day they are getting off the fence a bit. Like I said, there is plenty of rain about Melbourne and as a result of that I would expect the track to be soft on Saturday.

I am kicking the day off in the second race of the day which is over the mile for the fillies and mares. Gee, the old speed map looks to set this race up pretty nicely for Linguist. She just looks to get everything fall in her favour and for mine looks to be one of the better bets of the day. She really went to a new level in the spring and she is now starting to get towards that form it would seem this time in. She has had three runs back from a spell this campaign. The first of those she was good at Caulfield over 1400m before having a decent break between that first up run and her next start when second up at Cranbourne. She struck a very heavy track that night and was beaten out of sight into second place by Malmas. She was probably a run short that night with the break between runs and only being second up at the 1500m. She went on from that run though to really improve and win well last start. She box seated over the mile at Cranbourne, got the split on the turn showing a nice turn of foot and dashed through to win easily. It was an impressive victory. Like I said, this race looks to set up ideally for her. I am hoping at this stage of the day being up on speed will be a big advantage and she looks certain to get an easy lead and if allowed to dictate she is going to be very hard to run down. Her mile record is excellent, she has a good record on soft tracks and she looks to be getting right into the zone. She is clearly the one to beat for mine and around the $3.50-4 mark looks an excellent bet.

I am going to save on Good Oh who overcame a fair bit of difficulty to win at Ballarat last start. She got a long way back on the inside and had to wait to get clear coming into the home straight. Once she got clear though she really lengthened strongly and was able to dash away to win impressively. I think she maps to settle a fraction closer here one off the fence and with that win under her belt now she might go on with the job so happy to be with her. Hectopascal on form is one of the main dangers. I was just concerned about where she maps from the wide draw and if the track is playing towards those up on pace early in the day her task might become quite a difficult one so taking her on.

Betting strategy

I will have $60 the win on Linguist here having half of the stake at the $3.90 now with CrownBet and the other half at Top Fluc on the day! I will save with $15 the win on Good Oh!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 2

12:00pm

Suggested

Sweet Victory (No.8), Groundbreak (No.9), Nicci’s Gold (No.12) & Touch Of Mink (No.14)

Dangers

Gresham (No.1) & Lisdoonvarna (No.4)

Racing in Sydney returns to Rosehill this Saturday. It looks another pretty tricky meeting. The good news for Sydney is that the inclement weather that has been floating around in recent times looks to have disappeared for the weekend and as a result we should go close to racing on a good track come Saturday. It is currently rated as soft as I write this on Thursday night but the forecast looks promising so I think we will get to the good and at worst might be just in the soft. The rail is in the true position. There has been a bit of talk about the Rosehill track in recent weeks. I am not sure how valid it is but a few people have suggested that it is quite leader biased. I just think it is a case of horses up on speed naturally being advantaged. Maybe a few punters looking for reasons other than their own form to blame for their losses, not quite sure. I am certainly not going to let it play on my mind too much as I try to find winners though. I think Rosehill is a pretty good track and one you can generally bet with confidence at.

I am kicking the day off in the second race of the day which is for the three year olds over the 1400m. This looks a competitive race. Gresham has been in great form this time in and with an easy lead up on speed should no doubt be pretty hard to beat again. I am hoping he cops a fair bit more pressure up front here in this race then what he did when winning two weeks ago here and for that reason am betting around him. I am not playing too heavily but think there are a few at odds that are worth a ticket.

Touch Of Mink finally broke through for her maiden win two starts ago and as is so often the case she went on from that to win her very next start as well. Sometimes you just need to break the ice. This is a filly that has raced in some strong company right from early in her career despite being a maiden. This off season racing might be her go. She only just got there in the maiden win but I really liked the win last start when defeating a pretty handy one in Vontaine. She just maps to again get a gun run here. She draws gate one, should box seat behind the speed and if the breaks come her way at the right time then she should be hard to hold out. I am happy to be in her corner.

Sweet Victory is a filly that is seemingly on the way up and making her way through the grades nicely. She was well fancied first up at Canterbury when she had no luck at all behind Dawn Dawn and since then has won her next two in strong fashion. She was too good for her rivals second up at Hawkesbury before stepping up to the mile and getting the job done at Warwick Farm last start. The slight query here is that she comes back to 1400m but I am hoping in a genuinely run race she is going to be the horse that will be really strong through the line late. She draws a middle gate to sit off them midfield and I would expect her to be powering through the line at the end. I am keen to be in her corner also.

I am keeping a couple of other runners on side at bigger odds. The first of those is Nicci’s Gold who I thought was quite good first up behind Dawn Dawn. She got a long way back out of her ground in that race and had a bit of an interrupted passage in the straight when trying to make up ground. She really went through the line strongly I thought late on. She is typically a horse that improves off her first up run fairly significantly into her second up run and if she can do that here I think she is right in the thick of things. She draws a nice middle gate and around the $15-20 mark I thought she represented really good value in the race.

Groundbreak comes back from Melbourne having chased home Icnonoclasm at his last two starts. He just seemed to peak on his run over the mile last start and back to the 1400m here I think will suit him. He just brings that different form into the race and for that reason I am wary and will keep him on side just in case.

Betting strategy

I will have $30 the win on both Sweet Victory and Touch Of Mink here! I will also have $15 the win on Nicci’s Gold and $10 the win on Groundbreak!

Race Outlay

$85

Suggested

Dangers

I was all ready to write the Ipswich preview up punters but a couple of races still have emergencies and I am just going to hold off until I have more of an idea of final fields! I will have it up either sometime on Friday or may even hold off until first thing on Saturday morning!

Betting strategy

Race Outlay

Race 2

12:15pm

Suggested

Linguist (No.5) & Good Oh (No.9)

Dangers

Hectopascal (No.1), Another Bullseye (No.2) & Snogging (No.8)

Racing in Melbourne comes from Moonee Valley this Saturday for a pretty large meeting of racing. There are ten races on the program and I actually found it to be a meeting that I ended up being pretty confident on once I did the form. Moonee Valley played a bit strangely at the last meeting. It was the first time we had raced there for a while and the inside chopped out very quickly meaning most of the winners came from off the fence. The rail was in the true position that day and moves out to the four metre position this Saturday. Typically I would suggest that would mean a leaders paradise but with plenty of rain about and the way the track played last start I am not as confident about that scenario this Saturday. I would expect early in the day it might certainly be an advantage to be up on speed and close to the rail but I wouldn’t be surprised if that turns a bit as the day progresses and late in the day they are getting off the fence a bit. Like I said, there is plenty of rain about Melbourne and as a result of that I would expect the track to be soft on Saturday.

I am kicking the day off in the second race of the day which is over the mile for the fillies and mares. Gee, the old speed map looks to set this race up pretty nicely for Linguist. She just looks to get everything fall in her favour and for mine looks to be one of the better bets of the day. She really went to a new level in the spring and she is now starting to get towards that form it would seem this time in. She has had three runs back from a spell this campaign. The first of those she was good at Caulfield over 1400m before having a decent break between that first up run and her next start when second up at Cranbourne. She struck a very heavy track that night and was beaten out of sight into second place by Malmas. She was probably a run short that night with the break between runs and only being second up at the 1500m. She went on from that run though to really improve and win well last start. She box seated over the mile at Cranbourne, got the split on the turn showing a nice turn of foot and dashed through to win easily. It was an impressive victory. Like I said, this race looks to set up ideally for her. I am hoping at this stage of the day being up on speed will be a big advantage and she looks certain to get an easy lead and if allowed to dictate she is going to be very hard to run down. Her mile record is excellent, she has a good record on soft tracks and she looks to be getting right into the zone. She is clearly the one to beat for mine and around the $3.50-4 mark looks an excellent bet.

I am going to save on Good Oh who overcame a fair bit of difficulty to win at Ballarat last start. She got a long way back on the inside and had to wait to get clear coming into the home straight. Once she got clear though she really lengthened strongly and was able to dash away to win impressively. I think she maps to settle a fraction closer here one off the fence and with that win under her belt now she might go on with the job so happy to be with her. Hectopascal on form is one of the main dangers. I was just concerned about where she maps from the wide draw and if the track is playing towards those up on pace early in the day her task might become quite a difficult one so taking her on.

Betting strategy

I will have $60 the win on Linguist here having half of the stake at the $3.90 now with CrownBet and the other half at Top Fluc on the day! I will save with $15 the win on Good Oh!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 2

12:00pm

Suggested

Sweet Victory (No.8), Groundbreak (No.9), Nicci’s Gold (No.12) & Touch Of Mink (No.14)

Dangers

Gresham (No.1) & Lisdoonvarna (No.4)

Racing in Sydney returns to Rosehill this Saturday. It looks another pretty tricky meeting. The good news for Sydney is that the inclement weather that has been floating around in recent times looks to have disappeared for the weekend and as a result we should go close to racing on a good track come Saturday. It is currently rated as soft as I write this on Thursday night but the forecast looks promising so I think we will get to the good and at worst might be just in the soft. The rail is in the true position. There has been a bit of talk about the Rosehill track in recent weeks. I am not sure how valid it is but a few people have suggested that it is quite leader biased. I just think it is a case of horses up on speed naturally being advantaged. Maybe a few punters looking for reasons other than their own form to blame for their losses, not quite sure. I am certainly not going to let it play on my mind too much as I try to find winners though. I think Rosehill is a pretty good track and one you can generally bet with confidence at.

I am kicking the day off in the second race of the day which is for the three year olds over the 1400m. This looks a competitive race. Gresham has been in great form this time in and with an easy lead up on speed should no doubt be pretty hard to beat again. I am hoping he cops a fair bit more pressure up front here in this race then what he did when winning two weeks ago here and for that reason am betting around him. I am not playing too heavily but think there are a few at odds that are worth a ticket.

Touch Of Mink finally broke through for her maiden win two starts ago and as is so often the case she went on from that to win her very next start as well. Sometimes you just need to break the ice. This is a filly that has raced in some strong company right from early in her career despite being a maiden. This off season racing might be her go. She only just got there in the maiden win but I really liked the win last start when defeating a pretty handy one in Vontaine. She just maps to again get a gun run here. She draws gate one, should box seat behind the speed and if the breaks come her way at the right time then she should be hard to hold out. I am happy to be in her corner.

Sweet Victory is a filly that is seemingly on the way up and making her way through the grades nicely. She was well fancied first up at Canterbury when she had no luck at all behind Dawn Dawn and since then has won her next two in strong fashion. She was too good for her rivals second up at Hawkesbury before stepping up to the mile and getting the job done at Warwick Farm last start. The slight query here is that she comes back to 1400m but I am hoping in a genuinely run race she is going to be the horse that will be really strong through the line late. She draws a middle gate to sit off them midfield and I would expect her to be powering through the line at the end. I am keen to be in her corner also.

I am keeping a couple of other runners on side at bigger odds. The first of those is Nicci’s Gold who I thought was quite good first up behind Dawn Dawn. She got a long way back out of her ground in that race and had a bit of an interrupted passage in the straight when trying to make up ground. She really went through the line strongly I thought late on. She is typically a horse that improves off her first up run fairly significantly into her second up run and if she can do that here I think she is right in the thick of things. She draws a nice middle gate and around the $15-20 mark I thought she represented really good value in the race.

Groundbreak comes back from Melbourne having chased home Icnonoclasm at his last two starts. He just seemed to peak on his run over the mile last start and back to the 1400m here I think will suit him. He just brings that different form into the race and for that reason I am wary and will keep him on side just in case.

Betting strategy

I will have $30 the win on both Sweet Victory and Touch Of Mink here! I will also have $15 the win on Nicci’s Gold and $10 the win on Groundbreak!

Race Outlay

$85

Suggested

Dangers

I was all ready to write the Ipswich preview up punters but a couple of races still have emergencies and I am just going to hold off until I have more of an idea of final fields! I will have it up either sometime on Friday or may even hold off until first thing on Saturday morning!

Betting strategy

Race Outlay

Race 2

12:15pm

Suggested

Linguist (No.5) & Good Oh (No.9)

Dangers

Hectopascal (No.1), Another Bullseye (No.2) & Snogging (No.8)

Racing in Melbourne comes from Moonee Valley this Saturday for a pretty large meeting of racing. There are ten races on the program and I actually found it to be a meeting that I ended up being pretty confident on once I did the form. Moonee Valley played a bit strangely at the last meeting. It was the first time we had raced there for a while and the inside chopped out very quickly meaning most of the winners came from off the fence. The rail was in the true position that day and moves out to the four metre position this Saturday. Typically I would suggest that would mean a leaders paradise but with plenty of rain about and the way the track played last start I am not as confident about that scenario this Saturday. I would expect early in the day it might certainly be an advantage to be up on speed and close to the rail but I wouldn’t be surprised if that turns a bit as the day progresses and late in the day they are getting off the fence a bit. Like I said, there is plenty of rain about Melbourne and as a result of that I would expect the track to be soft on Saturday.

I am kicking the day off in the second race of the day which is over the mile for the fillies and mares. Gee, the old speed map looks to set this race up pretty nicely for Linguist. She just looks to get everything fall in her favour and for mine looks to be one of the better bets of the day. She really went to a new level in the spring and she is now starting to get towards that form it would seem this time in. She has had three runs back from a spell this campaign. The first of those she was good at Caulfield over 1400m before having a decent break between that first up run and her next start when second up at Cranbourne. She struck a very heavy track that night and was beaten out of sight into second place by Malmas. She was probably a run short that night with the break between runs and only being second up at the 1500m. She went on from that run though to really improve and win well last start. She box seated over the mile at Cranbourne, got the split on the turn showing a nice turn of foot and dashed through to win easily. It was an impressive victory. Like I said, this race looks to set up ideally for her. I am hoping at this stage of the day being up on speed will be a big advantage and she looks certain to get an easy lead and if allowed to dictate she is going to be very hard to run down. Her mile record is excellent, she has a good record on soft tracks and she looks to be getting right into the zone. She is clearly the one to beat for mine and around the $3.50-4 mark looks an excellent bet.

I am going to save on Good Oh who overcame a fair bit of difficulty to win at Ballarat last start. She got a long way back on the inside and had to wait to get clear coming into the home straight. Once she got clear though she really lengthened strongly and was able to dash away to win impressively. I think she maps to settle a fraction closer here one off the fence and with that win under her belt now she might go on with the job so happy to be with her. Hectopascal on form is one of the main dangers. I was just concerned about where she maps from the wide draw and if the track is playing towards those up on pace early in the day her task might become quite a difficult one so taking her on.

Betting strategy

I will have $60 the win on Linguist here having half of the stake at the $3.90 now with CrownBet and the other half at Top Fluc on the day! I will save with $15 the win on Good Oh!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 2

12:00pm

Suggested

Sweet Victory (No.8), Groundbreak (No.9), Nicci’s Gold (No.12) & Touch Of Mink (No.14)

Dangers

Gresham (No.1) & Lisdoonvarna (No.4)

Racing in Sydney returns to Rosehill this Saturday. It looks another pretty tricky meeting. The good news for Sydney is that the inclement weather that has been floating around in recent times looks to have disappeared for the weekend and as a result we should go close to racing on a good track come Saturday. It is currently rated as soft as I write this on Thursday night but the forecast looks promising so I think we will get to the good and at worst might be just in the soft. The rail is in the true position. There has been a bit of talk about the Rosehill track in recent weeks. I am not sure how valid it is but a few people have suggested that it is quite leader biased. I just think it is a case of horses up on speed naturally being advantaged. Maybe a few punters looking for reasons other than their own form to blame for their losses, not quite sure. I am certainly not going to let it play on my mind too much as I try to find winners though. I think Rosehill is a pretty good track and one you can generally bet with confidence at.

I am kicking the day off in the second race of the day which is for the three year olds over the 1400m. This looks a competitive race. Gresham has been in great form this time in and with an easy lead up on speed should no doubt be pretty hard to beat again. I am hoping he cops a fair bit more pressure up front here in this race then what he did when winning two weeks ago here and for that reason am betting around him. I am not playing too heavily but think there are a few at odds that are worth a ticket.

Touch Of Mink finally broke through for her maiden win two starts ago and as is so often the case she went on from that to win her very next start as well. Sometimes you just need to break the ice. This is a filly that has raced in some strong company right from early in her career despite being a maiden. This off season racing might be her go. She only just got there in the maiden win but I really liked the win last start when defeating a pretty handy one in Vontaine. She just maps to again get a gun run here. She draws gate one, should box seat behind the speed and if the breaks come her way at the right time then she should be hard to hold out. I am happy to be in her corner.

Sweet Victory is a filly that is seemingly on the way up and making her way through the grades nicely. She was well fancied first up at Canterbury when she had no luck at all behind Dawn Dawn and since then has won her next two in strong fashion. She was too good for her rivals second up at Hawkesbury before stepping up to the mile and getting the job done at Warwick Farm last start. The slight query here is that she comes back to 1400m but I am hoping in a genuinely run race she is going to be the horse that will be really strong through the line late. She draws a middle gate to sit off them midfield and I would expect her to be powering through the line at the end. I am keen to be in her corner also.

I am keeping a couple of other runners on side at bigger odds. The first of those is Nicci’s Gold who I thought was quite good first up behind Dawn Dawn. She got a long way back out of her ground in that race and had a bit of an interrupted passage in the straight when trying to make up ground. She really went through the line strongly I thought late on. She is typically a horse that improves off her first up run fairly significantly into her second up run and if she can do that here I think she is right in the thick of things. She draws a nice middle gate and around the $15-20 mark I thought she represented really good value in the race.

Groundbreak comes back from Melbourne having chased home Icnonoclasm at his last two starts. He just seemed to peak on his run over the mile last start and back to the 1400m here I think will suit him. He just brings that different form into the race and for that reason I am wary and will keep him on side just in case.

Betting strategy

I will have $30 the win on both Sweet Victory and Touch Of Mink here! I will also have $15 the win on Nicci’s Gold and $10 the win on Groundbreak!

Race Outlay

$85

Suggested

Dangers

I was all ready to write the Ipswich preview up punters but a couple of races still have emergencies and I am just going to hold off until I have more of an idea of final fields! I will have it up either sometime on Friday or may even hold off until first thing on Saturday morning!

Betting strategy

Race Outlay

Race 2

12:15pm

Suggested

Linguist (No.5) & Good Oh (No.9)

Dangers

Hectopascal (No.1), Another Bullseye (No.2) & Snogging (No.8)

Racing in Melbourne comes from Moonee Valley this Saturday for a pretty large meeting of racing. There are ten races on the program and I actually found it to be a meeting that I ended up being pretty confident on once I did the form. Moonee Valley played a bit strangely at the last meeting. It was the first time we had raced there for a while and the inside chopped out very quickly meaning most of the winners came from off the fence. The rail was in the true position that day and moves out to the four metre position this Saturday. Typically I would suggest that would mean a leaders paradise but with plenty of rain about and the way the track played last start I am not as confident about that scenario this Saturday. I would expect early in the day it might certainly be an advantage to be up on speed and close to the rail but I wouldn’t be surprised if that turns a bit as the day progresses and late in the day they are getting off the fence a bit. Like I said, there is plenty of rain about Melbourne and as a result of that I would expect the track to be soft on Saturday.

I am kicking the day off in the second race of the day which is over the mile for the fillies and mares. Gee, the old speed map looks to set this race up pretty nicely for Linguist. She just looks to get everything fall in her favour and for mine looks to be one of the better bets of the day. She really went to a new level in the spring and she is now starting to get towards that form it would seem this time in. She has had three runs back from a spell this campaign. The first of those she was good at Caulfield over 1400m before having a decent break between that first up run and her next start when second up at Cranbourne. She struck a very heavy track that night and was beaten out of sight into second place by Malmas. She was probably a run short that night with the break between runs and only being second up at the 1500m. She went on from that run though to really improve and win well last start. She box seated over the mile at Cranbourne, got the split on the turn showing a nice turn of foot and dashed through to win easily. It was an impressive victory. Like I said, this race looks to set up ideally for her. I am hoping at this stage of the day being up on speed will be a big advantage and she looks certain to get an easy lead and if allowed to dictate she is going to be very hard to run down. Her mile record is excellent, she has a good record on soft tracks and she looks to be getting right into the zone. She is clearly the one to beat for mine and around the $3.50-4 mark looks an excellent bet.

I am going to save on Good Oh who overcame a fair bit of difficulty to win at Ballarat last start. She got a long way back on the inside and had to wait to get clear coming into the home straight. Once she got clear though she really lengthened strongly and was able to dash away to win impressively. I think she maps to settle a fraction closer here one off the fence and with that win under her belt now she might go on with the job so happy to be with her. Hectopascal on form is one of the main dangers. I was just concerned about where she maps from the wide draw and if the track is playing towards those up on pace early in the day her task might become quite a difficult one so taking her on.

Betting strategy

I will have $60 the win on Linguist here having half of the stake at the $3.90 now with CrownBet and the other half at Top Fluc on the day! I will save with $15 the win on Good Oh!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 2

12:00pm

Suggested

Sweet Victory (No.8), Groundbreak (No.9), Nicci’s Gold (No.12) & Touch Of Mink (No.14)

Dangers

Gresham (No.1) & Lisdoonvarna (No.4)

Racing in Sydney returns to Rosehill this Saturday. It looks another pretty tricky meeting. The good news for Sydney is that the inclement weather that has been floating around in recent times looks to have disappeared for the weekend and as a result we should go close to racing on a good track come Saturday. It is currently rated as soft as I write this on Thursday night but the forecast looks promising so I think we will get to the good and at worst might be just in the soft. The rail is in the true position. There has been a bit of talk about the Rosehill track in recent weeks. I am not sure how valid it is but a few people have suggested that it is quite leader biased. I just think it is a case of horses up on speed naturally being advantaged. Maybe a few punters looking for reasons other than their own form to blame for their losses, not quite sure. I am certainly not going to let it play on my mind too much as I try to find winners though. I think Rosehill is a pretty good track and one you can generally bet with confidence at.

I am kicking the day off in the second race of the day which is for the three year olds over the 1400m. This looks a competitive race. Gresham has been in great form this time in and with an easy lead up on speed should no doubt be pretty hard to beat again. I am hoping he cops a fair bit more pressure up front here in this race then what he did when winning two weeks ago here and for that reason am betting around him. I am not playing too heavily but think there are a few at odds that are worth a ticket.

Touch Of Mink finally broke through for her maiden win two starts ago and as is so often the case she went on from that to win her very next start as well. Sometimes you just need to break the ice. This is a filly that has raced in some strong company right from early in her career despite being a maiden. This off season racing might be her go. She only just got there in the maiden win but I really liked the win last start when defeating a pretty handy one in Vontaine. She just maps to again get a gun run here. She draws gate one, should box seat behind the speed and if the breaks come her way at the right time then she should be hard to hold out. I am happy to be in her corner.

Sweet Victory is a filly that is seemingly on the way up and making her way through the grades nicely. She was well fancied first up at Canterbury when she had no luck at all behind Dawn Dawn and since then has won her next two in strong fashion. She was too good for her rivals second up at Hawkesbury before stepping up to the mile and getting the job done at Warwick Farm last start. The slight query here is that she comes back to 1400m but I am hoping in a genuinely run race she is going to be the horse that will be really strong through the line late. She draws a middle gate to sit off them midfield and I would expect her to be powering through the line at the end. I am keen to be in her corner also.

I am keeping a couple of other runners on side at bigger odds. The first of those is Nicci’s Gold who I thought was quite good first up behind Dawn Dawn. She got a long way back out of her ground in that race and had a bit of an interrupted passage in the straight when trying to make up ground. She really went through the line strongly I thought late on. She is typically a horse that improves off her first up run fairly significantly into her second up run and if she can do that here I think she is right in the thick of things. She draws a nice middle gate and around the $15-20 mark I thought she represented really good value in the race.

Groundbreak comes back from Melbourne having chased home Icnonoclasm at his last two starts. He just seemed to peak on his run over the mile last start and back to the 1400m here I think will suit him. He just brings that different form into the race and for that reason I am wary and will keep him on side just in case.

Betting strategy

I will have $30 the win on both Sweet Victory and Touch Of Mink here! I will also have $15 the win on Nicci’s Gold and $10 the win on Groundbreak!

Race Outlay

$85

Suggested

Dangers

I was all ready to write the Ipswich preview up punters but a couple of races still have emergencies and I am just going to hold off until I have more of an idea of final fields! I will have it up either sometime on Friday or may even hold off until first thing on Saturday morning!

Betting strategy

Race Outlay

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