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Select Race Meeting Event

Race 1

6:00pm

Suggested

Maclairey (No.3) & Hasabro (No.9)

Dangers

Negasi (No.4) & Green Ivy (No.8)

With football season finished Friday night’s can be pretty boring so I am going to get into the habit of posting these little Friday night previews. What better way to enjoy the evening then having a punt and a few cold beers. If you’re living in Melbourne and the weather is as good as this it is a great night for it. The racing comes from Cranbourne tonight and it looks a pretty strong program.

I am kicking the night off in the first race which is over the 2025m. It is a maiden for three year olds and above and it looks a pretty handy race. Green Ivy has come up favourite having run pretty well in the Bill Stutt at Moonee Valley a couple of Friday night’s back. That race for mine has a bit of a question mark over it so I thought he was tight enough in the market at that quote.

I am keen to be with Hasabro who was something licked at his Australian debut eleven days back at Geelong. That race was over the 1755m and he just didn’t get the luck when required and was a moral beaten. He hit the line strongly and gives every indication the extra distance here will suit. He draws gate three and from there he should hopefully take up an on speed position for Michael Walker and if he can have him off the fence and rolling into the race at the right time he should be hard to hold out.

I am also going to keep Maclairey on side. He hit the line well last start behind Sikorsky in a fast race and we saw that horse run well at Flemington on Saturday. Maclairey gets the blinkers on here and from a nice middle draw should be in the finish so happy to have him on side also.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Hasabro here and save with $30 the win on Maclairey!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 4

7:30pm

Suggested

Thoughtful Harmony (No.6), Zilspun (No.8) & Soaring Eagle (No.11)

Dangers

Dirty Digby (No.9) & Waka (No.12)

This is a maiden over the 1200m for the fillies and mares and it looks a competitive affair. Of the raced brigade I certainly thought that Soaring Eagle was the one clearly on top. She had some good form around some handy types as a two year old and has come back well this time in. She was just touched off first up at Moe before not much went right at Geelong. Her run last start at Sale in a handy maiden was really good though hitting the line strongly and not being beaten far behind Great Duchess. She gets back up to the 1200m here and from a better draw she looks hard to hold out so happy to be with her.

Thoughtful Harmony is a regally bred commodity making her debut as a four year old for the Gelagotis yard. She has been very well supported in pre post betting so she obviously goes quite well and I will certainly ensure I don’t lose on the race should she salute.

I thought the best value in the race might be Zilspun. This mare wasn’t beaten far behind Fine Dane on debut at Moe and that race has been a really good source of winners. She worked through the line OK there and with natural improvement stepping up to the 1200m from a good draw she might be one at odds that can make her presence felt. Around the $20 mark I am happy to be with her.

Betting strategy

I will have $45 the win on Soaring Eagle here! I will save with $30 the win on Thoughtful Harmony and $10 the win on Zilspun!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 5

8:00pm

Suggested

Whoshavesthebarber (No.7), Miss Americain (No.9) & Tamarama (No.11)

Dangers

Kalleske (No.5) & Riverina Lass (No.10)

This is a maiden over the mile here. Gee, this is a pretty ordinary maiden. I thought the favourite Riverina Lass despite being a good chance looked well under the odds and as a result there might be some value elsewhere. Whoshavesthebarber has only had the two runs in his career so far and gone pretty well in both of them. He was good here on debut behind Merchant Of Venice and then struck a pretty hot maiden at his second start behind Mickey Blue Eyes and Prince Of Caviar. He draws gate one here to jump on the bunny and with natural improvement at his third start and back on his home track he might take some running down. Around the $7-8 mark I was happy to be in his corner.

Miss Americain was an interesting runner for mine. She is first up over the mile but showed some good ability last campaign which culminated in her running in a Group 3 race in Adelaide. The fact she is first up over the mile I think is an advantage given she looks a real staying type and if she has improved in the break this looks within her grasp. Around that $15 mark I am happy to be with her.

Tamarama is the other one at big odds I am happy to be on. This mare raced fairly in New South Wales and now finds herself in Victoria. Her first up run in a handy maiden at Bendigo wasn’t too bad. She will appreciate getting up to the mile here and with the blinkers on from gate two I think she can be in the finish at big odds.

Betting strategy

I will have $25 the win on Whoshavesthebarber here! I will also have $15 the win on Miss Americain and $10 the win on Tamarama!

Race Outlay

$50

Race 7

9:00pm

Suggested

Perfect Rhyme (No.4), Our Libretto (No.8) & Coral Coast (No.9)

Dangers

Sopressa (No.1) & Pretty Punk (No.2)

This is the feature race of the night here. It is the Pinker Pinker Plate for the fillies and mares over the 2025m. I am keen to be with the new season four year olds down the bottom of the page here in Our Libretto and Coral Coast. Our Libretto looks a really good horse in the making. She has had three starts in Australia and saluted in all three of those. Her first up win at Sandown was dominant from the back of the field and she backed that up with another excellent win on the Hillside track. She then went to Flemington last start and overcame difficulties in the run to salute. She looks to be the mare very much on the rise. Jordan Childs rides again and she should get a lovely run just back off the speed from gate four. Keen to be with her again.

Coral Coast did a bit of work up on speed in that same race at Flemington but I feel she looks set to peak here in this race. She draws gate three and should get a lovely run just in behind them and her form through the Queensland winter when not far behind Youngstar in some of the big fillies races certainly looks to hold her in good stead for a race of this nature. Happy to be with her around that $7-8 mark.

Perfect Rhyme is the real rough throw at the stumps bet. This is a mare I have always had some time for but seems to have lost her form a little bit. She is now in the care of D K Weir though and hasn’t been disgraced in her two runs back from a spell. Third up here getting to the right distance a sharp improvement from her wouldn’t surprise. Around that $20 mark I am happy to be with her.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Our Libretto here! I will save with $25 the win on Coral Coast and $10 the win on Perfect Rhyme!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 9

10:00pm

Suggested

Toosbuy (No.1), Boltoutoftheblue (No.5) & Filbert Way (No.7)

Dangers

The Implicator (No.2) & Lady Cromac (No.11)

This is an open race to end the night on here. It is over the 1400m. Toosbuy really looks to have found his right race. He has been taking on some strong company in recent times and this is by far the easiest race he has contested dropping back to a Benchmark 64. His last start effort behind Sirius Suspect at Mornington on Grand Final Day was strong. He got well back and found the line well. That was off a bit of a freshen up having raced in town at his four starts prior to that. He draws gate four so he should be able to hopefully hold a position a little closer to the speed and despite having never raced over this distance he gives every impression he is looking for it. Happy to be with him.

Boltoutoftheblue has been good in two runs since coming over from Tasmania. He has found the line well on both occasions at Geelong and Ballarat in similar grade. He draws to get a gun run on the speed here from gate three and around that $10 mark I am happy to be with him.

Filbert Way is the other horse that I want to be on. He really found the line nicely last start at Benalla and he is a horse that typically improves second up. He draws to be able to take up a more forward position in running here and is another around those double figure odds that I am keen to have something on.

Betting strategy

I will have $45 the win on Toosbuy here and save with $15 the win on both Boltoutoftheblue and Filbert Way!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 1

12:45pm

Suggested

Sircconi (No.8) & Iconoclasm (No.9)

Dangers

Comicas (No.1), Fastnet Tempest (No.4) & Fierce Impact (No.10)

What a day this is! Caulfield Guineas Day is here and the 2018 edition is up there one of the best race days I have come across. This is an absolute belter of a day and it certainly looks to rival Derby Day in terms of quality. I can’t wait to get out there on Saturday. Melbourne is turning it on. The forecast for Saturday is 24 degrees and sunshine and with predominantly dry conditions through the week we will be racing on a good track on Saturday. Caulfield has consistently served up perfect tracks over the last few years and this Saturday should again be no exception. It all sets up for one of the great days. Let’s not muck about and get into it.

I am kicking the day off in the second race of the day which is over the 1400m. It looks a pretty even race but there is the extra dimension added with the appearance of this Godolphin galloper in Comicas who brings some pretty handy Group and Listed form over from Dubai and Europe. I went through about six of his replays when doing the form on this race and couldn’t get a read on him. All those runs were over 1200m and almost all of them on dirt tracks. To me he certainly looks a horse that would be beaten for speed here in one of our genuine 1200m sprints so I feel the 1400m is probably a plus for him here as he seems to just go at the one speed without much of a turn of foot. He has come up pretty short in the market here but I was comfortable taking him on at that price. If he got to $7-8+ then I could consider saving on him but at around that $4 mark I thought there were better betting opportunities.

Sircconi looks to have found the right race here. He resumed from a spell with an excellent run here two weeks ago when just being nutted on the line by Cliff’s Edge. He chased up a pretty hot speed there and his effort to go down narrowly was excellent. The key factor for him here is that he is a horse that typically improves significantly from his first up run to his second up run. I fancy if he can repeat that trend here he is going to be hard to hold out. Ozi Choice is again the fly in the ointment. Ozi Choice was the tearaway leader last start here and I would love it if Sircconi was able to hold the lead himself here but don’t want him getting into a speed war. As long as Linda can adjust depending on how the early stages unfold I think Sircconi is clearly the one to beat and happy to be with him.

Iconoclasm is an interesting runner in this race. He has had two runs this time in and probably hasn’t run up to expectations in either of those. First up he was well backed at Moonee Valley on a day where the track certainly played to those on speed fairly significantly and he just held his spot in third and fourth all of the way. He then struck a pretty hot race second up over the 1200m behind Land Of Plenty and never really looked like winning. For mine he didn’t look to really enjoy racing in between horses that day. He is five weeks between runs into this race here but has had a pretty sharp trial at Penshurst on Monday where he looked to go quite well. I think out to the 1400m and from a middle gate which should see him have clear galloping room he should run a much improved race here. I am happy to give him another chance.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on both Sircconi and Iconoclasm to start the day here!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 4

1:55pm

Suggested

Cool Passion (No.2), Winter Bride (No.3) & Leather’n’lace (No.14)

Dangers

Our Crown Mistress (No.6), Dawn Dawn (No.17) & Petrelle (No.19)

This race is over the 1200m and we see “The People’s Horse” in Winter Bride go around again after she extended her winning streak to three when making her Melbourne debut here three weeks ago. This is a mare very much in the zone at the present time. All her runs since the middle of May have been excellent. She has won four of five and arguably should have been all five. Her first up win in May on Doomben 10,000 was excellent before having no luck at the Sunshine Coast second up when as I said earlier she probably should have won. She then went on to win her next two races as favourite and was pretty dominant in doing so. She then had a two month freshen up before reappearing here three weeks ago. I have to admit I was a little concerned how she would measure up. I knew she was flying but in those two wins prior to coming down here she had every possible chance in the gun position and dealt with a lower standard of rivals as she should. The pre post betting and on track suggested there would be no issue in measuring up and that is how it turned out. She got to the middle of the track, let down strongly and held off Ellicazoom for a strong victory. We have seen I Am Excited come out of that race and win well against the males down the straight at Flemington last week too. I see no reason why Winter Bride won’t be hard to hold out again. She draws an ideal middle gate to land in a lovely position off the speed and from there she should be able to hit the line strongly again. There is just no reason not to back her again in my opinion. Happy to be with her.

Leather’n’lace looks the main danger. She didn’t have the best of luck behind Winter Bride here in that race three weeks ago. She just got held in for a run coming around the home turn and while Winter Bride and Ellicazoom were building full momentum down the middle of the track that wasn’t the case for Leather’n’lace or the subsequent winner in I Am Excited. She looked to go through the line quite strongly and had she got the run at the right time I think she would have went close to winning. She was saved from a winnable race at Flemington last Saturday for this. That is interesting in itself as that race was over 1400m and that was the trip I thought she was looking for but D K keeps her at the 1200m of this race. She draws out and I can see her landing in a nice three wide trailing position. From there she shouldn’t have the bad luck she had here last time and should be right in the finish. Keen to be with her.

I have no option but to also keep Cool Passion on side. This mare has an outstanding 1200m record, goes really well second up and has raced well here in the past. She carried a big weight here first up two weeks ago when finishing well on the heels of the top three behind Grey Shadow. She typically improved significantly from her first up run to her second up run and gets a bit of weight relief here after carrying 61.5kgs two weeks ago. She will need a touch of luck from gate one and the breaks to come her way at the right time. If they do she should be in the finish and might be the one around that $10 mark that is over the odds so will keep her on side.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Winter Bride here! I will also have $30 the win on Leather’n’lace and save with $15 the win on Cool Passion!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 3

1:40pm

Suggested

Cristobal (No.1), Bubbles’n’troubles (No.5) & Evalina (No.9)

Dangers

I’m So Sweet (No.3) & Unguarded (No.6)

Caulfield Guineas Day in Melbourne is obviously complimented by Everest Day in Sydney for the second consecutive year and side by side the two meetings give us an amazing day of racing in Australia. Given all the controversy and hysteria surrounding the build up to this year’s Everest it will be nice to actually get the race run and won. We will get into that race more later in the preview. It is a fascinating race from a punting perspective. The support card is relatively strong here and the day is pretty much like The Everest itself. Tricky. The trickiness is emphasised by the wet conditions. Sydney has seen rain all week, the worst of which looks to have already hit and we are now as I write this preview on Thursday night looking at a track which is rated Heavy 8. The showers look pretty light over the next couple of days so I am working off a Soft 7 to Heavy 8 in that range. The rail is in the true position and I would expect that the track will play fairly evenly over the course of the day with no disadvantage in particular to being a couple of horses off the fence.

I am kicking the day off in the third race of the day which is for the three year old fillies over the 1400m. This looks a pretty even race. There are quite a few different form lines coming together here. Cristobal certainly looks to be the filly that comes through the stronger races. She has raced in strong company right throughout her career to date and this looks to represent a winnable assignment. On debut she kicked off at Rosehill and was too good for Miss Fabulass. She then beat all bar Sunlight at her second start before not being beaten far in the Percy Sykes. She was spelled post that and her two runs this time in have been a little hard to get a line on. She was never really in the hunt first up before badly missing the start second up and making up many lengths when third behind Gem Song. That run was excellent for mine and if she can jump away with them here from gate two for Hugh Bowman she should be right in the finish. The addition of blinkers looks a key gear change. If that can have her a bit sharper early in the race and she can be within touch it should benefit enormously. The concern is Hugh pushing his way out of a pocket if he needs too with Winx’s fourth Cox Plate on the horizon. I guess we just have to hope for the best. If this filly handles the wet track and gets some luck in running she looks the one to beat.

I am going to keep Bubbles’ntroubles on side who never really got a look at them at Moonee Valley two weeks back. She landed in the coffin behind the leaders on the rail who fell back on top of her and she pretty much went to the line untested. She was a gap between runs there and has had an issue during the week which has dampened my confidence a bit coming into this race. The positives are that she draws well, she has won on heavy going and should land in a gun spot on the speed for Ollie. If she comes to the race and all is well I will back her in to run well and think she will be right in the finish. I would probably be promoting Unguarded should she be scratched.

The other horse I definitely want to back in the race is Evalina. I thought this filly came up really good odds in this race. She has only had the three starts in her career to date and they have all been well spaced. She was beaten on debut at Newcastle and immediately spelled before resuming over 900m there in August and finishing third last. That was a disappointing run and she was five weeks between runs into her next start which was a strong win at Wyong. I really liked that win last start. She was keen and put into the race by Avdulla on the corner and was really strong through the line. The second horse won well at Wyong on Thursday too. I think from gate eight she will come across and land outside the leader and form that position she should be able to be in the finish. Around the $15-20 mark I think she is well worth a ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Cristobal here! I will save with $20 the win on Bubbles’n’troubles and $15 the win on Evalina having half now at the $18 and the other half at Top Fluc on the day!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 1

6:00pm

Suggested

Maclairey (No.3) & Hasabro (No.9)

Dangers

Negasi (No.4) & Green Ivy (No.8)

With football season finished Friday night’s can be pretty boring so I am going to get into the habit of posting these little Friday night previews. What better way to enjoy the evening then having a punt and a few cold beers. If you’re living in Melbourne and the weather is as good as this it is a great night for it. The racing comes from Cranbourne tonight and it looks a pretty strong program.

I am kicking the night off in the first race which is over the 2025m. It is a maiden for three year olds and above and it looks a pretty handy race. Green Ivy has come up favourite having run pretty well in the Bill Stutt at Moonee Valley a couple of Friday night’s back. That race for mine has a bit of a question mark over it so I thought he was tight enough in the market at that quote.

I am keen to be with Hasabro who was something licked at his Australian debut eleven days back at Geelong. That race was over the 1755m and he just didn’t get the luck when required and was a moral beaten. He hit the line strongly and gives every indication the extra distance here will suit. He draws gate three and from there he should hopefully take up an on speed position for Michael Walker and if he can have him off the fence and rolling into the race at the right time he should be hard to hold out.

I am also going to keep Maclairey on side. He hit the line well last start behind Sikorsky in a fast race and we saw that horse run well at Flemington on Saturday. Maclairey gets the blinkers on here and from a nice middle draw should be in the finish so happy to have him on side also.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Hasabro here and save with $30 the win on Maclairey!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 4

7:30pm

Suggested

Thoughtful Harmony (No.6), Zilspun (No.8) & Soaring Eagle (No.11)

Dangers

Dirty Digby (No.9) & Waka (No.12)

This is a maiden over the 1200m for the fillies and mares and it looks a competitive affair. Of the raced brigade I certainly thought that Soaring Eagle was the one clearly on top. She had some good form around some handy types as a two year old and has come back well this time in. She was just touched off first up at Moe before not much went right at Geelong. Her run last start at Sale in a handy maiden was really good though hitting the line strongly and not being beaten far behind Great Duchess. She gets back up to the 1200m here and from a better draw she looks hard to hold out so happy to be with her.

Thoughtful Harmony is a regally bred commodity making her debut as a four year old for the Gelagotis yard. She has been very well supported in pre post betting so she obviously goes quite well and I will certainly ensure I don’t lose on the race should she salute.

I thought the best value in the race might be Zilspun. This mare wasn’t beaten far behind Fine Dane on debut at Moe and that race has been a really good source of winners. She worked through the line OK there and with natural improvement stepping up to the 1200m from a good draw she might be one at odds that can make her presence felt. Around the $20 mark I am happy to be with her.

Betting strategy

I will have $45 the win on Soaring Eagle here! I will save with $30 the win on Thoughtful Harmony and $10 the win on Zilspun!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 5

8:00pm

Suggested

Whoshavesthebarber (No.7), Miss Americain (No.9) & Tamarama (No.11)

Dangers

Kalleske (No.5) & Riverina Lass (No.10)

This is a maiden over the mile here. Gee, this is a pretty ordinary maiden. I thought the favourite Riverina Lass despite being a good chance looked well under the odds and as a result there might be some value elsewhere. Whoshavesthebarber has only had the two runs in his career so far and gone pretty well in both of them. He was good here on debut behind Merchant Of Venice and then struck a pretty hot maiden at his second start behind Mickey Blue Eyes and Prince Of Caviar. He draws gate one here to jump on the bunny and with natural improvement at his third start and back on his home track he might take some running down. Around the $7-8 mark I was happy to be in his corner.

Miss Americain was an interesting runner for mine. She is first up over the mile but showed some good ability last campaign which culminated in her running in a Group 3 race in Adelaide. The fact she is first up over the mile I think is an advantage given she looks a real staying type and if she has improved in the break this looks within her grasp. Around that $15 mark I am happy to be with her.

Tamarama is the other one at big odds I am happy to be on. This mare raced fairly in New South Wales and now finds herself in Victoria. Her first up run in a handy maiden at Bendigo wasn’t too bad. She will appreciate getting up to the mile here and with the blinkers on from gate two I think she can be in the finish at big odds.

Betting strategy

I will have $25 the win on Whoshavesthebarber here! I will also have $15 the win on Miss Americain and $10 the win on Tamarama!

Race Outlay

$50

Race 7

9:00pm

Suggested

Perfect Rhyme (No.4), Our Libretto (No.8) & Coral Coast (No.9)

Dangers

Sopressa (No.1) & Pretty Punk (No.2)

This is the feature race of the night here. It is the Pinker Pinker Plate for the fillies and mares over the 2025m. I am keen to be with the new season four year olds down the bottom of the page here in Our Libretto and Coral Coast. Our Libretto looks a really good horse in the making. She has had three starts in Australia and saluted in all three of those. Her first up win at Sandown was dominant from the back of the field and she backed that up with another excellent win on the Hillside track. She then went to Flemington last start and overcame difficulties in the run to salute. She looks to be the mare very much on the rise. Jordan Childs rides again and she should get a lovely run just back off the speed from gate four. Keen to be with her again.

Coral Coast did a bit of work up on speed in that same race at Flemington but I feel she looks set to peak here in this race. She draws gate three and should get a lovely run just in behind them and her form through the Queensland winter when not far behind Youngstar in some of the big fillies races certainly looks to hold her in good stead for a race of this nature. Happy to be with her around that $7-8 mark.

Perfect Rhyme is the real rough throw at the stumps bet. This is a mare I have always had some time for but seems to have lost her form a little bit. She is now in the care of D K Weir though and hasn’t been disgraced in her two runs back from a spell. Third up here getting to the right distance a sharp improvement from her wouldn’t surprise. Around that $20 mark I am happy to be with her.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Our Libretto here! I will save with $25 the win on Coral Coast and $10 the win on Perfect Rhyme!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 9

10:00pm

Suggested

Toosbuy (No.1), Boltoutoftheblue (No.5) & Filbert Way (No.7)

Dangers

The Implicator (No.2) & Lady Cromac (No.11)

This is an open race to end the night on here. It is over the 1400m. Toosbuy really looks to have found his right race. He has been taking on some strong company in recent times and this is by far the easiest race he has contested dropping back to a Benchmark 64. His last start effort behind Sirius Suspect at Mornington on Grand Final Day was strong. He got well back and found the line well. That was off a bit of a freshen up having raced in town at his four starts prior to that. He draws gate four so he should be able to hopefully hold a position a little closer to the speed and despite having never raced over this distance he gives every impression he is looking for it. Happy to be with him.

Boltoutoftheblue has been good in two runs since coming over from Tasmania. He has found the line well on both occasions at Geelong and Ballarat in similar grade. He draws to get a gun run on the speed here from gate three and around that $10 mark I am happy to be with him.

Filbert Way is the other horse that I want to be on. He really found the line nicely last start at Benalla and he is a horse that typically improves second up. He draws to be able to take up a more forward position in running here and is another around those double figure odds that I am keen to have something on.

Betting strategy

I will have $45 the win on Toosbuy here and save with $15 the win on both Boltoutoftheblue and Filbert Way!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 1

12:45pm

Suggested

Sircconi (No.8) & Iconoclasm (No.9)

Dangers

Comicas (No.1), Fastnet Tempest (No.4) & Fierce Impact (No.10)

What a day this is! Caulfield Guineas Day is here and the 2018 edition is up there one of the best race days I have come across. This is an absolute belter of a day and it certainly looks to rival Derby Day in terms of quality. I can’t wait to get out there on Saturday. Melbourne is turning it on. The forecast for Saturday is 24 degrees and sunshine and with predominantly dry conditions through the week we will be racing on a good track on Saturday. Caulfield has consistently served up perfect tracks over the last few years and this Saturday should again be no exception. It all sets up for one of the great days. Let’s not muck about and get into it.

I am kicking the day off in the second race of the day which is over the 1400m. It looks a pretty even race but there is the extra dimension added with the appearance of this Godolphin galloper in Comicas who brings some pretty handy Group and Listed form over from Dubai and Europe. I went through about six of his replays when doing the form on this race and couldn’t get a read on him. All those runs were over 1200m and almost all of them on dirt tracks. To me he certainly looks a horse that would be beaten for speed here in one of our genuine 1200m sprints so I feel the 1400m is probably a plus for him here as he seems to just go at the one speed without much of a turn of foot. He has come up pretty short in the market here but I was comfortable taking him on at that price. If he got to $7-8+ then I could consider saving on him but at around that $4 mark I thought there were better betting opportunities.

Sircconi looks to have found the right race here. He resumed from a spell with an excellent run here two weeks ago when just being nutted on the line by Cliff’s Edge. He chased up a pretty hot speed there and his effort to go down narrowly was excellent. The key factor for him here is that he is a horse that typically improves significantly from his first up run to his second up run. I fancy if he can repeat that trend here he is going to be hard to hold out. Ozi Choice is again the fly in the ointment. Ozi Choice was the tearaway leader last start here and I would love it if Sircconi was able to hold the lead himself here but don’t want him getting into a speed war. As long as Linda can adjust depending on how the early stages unfold I think Sircconi is clearly the one to beat and happy to be with him.

Iconoclasm is an interesting runner in this race. He has had two runs this time in and probably hasn’t run up to expectations in either of those. First up he was well backed at Moonee Valley on a day where the track certainly played to those on speed fairly significantly and he just held his spot in third and fourth all of the way. He then struck a pretty hot race second up over the 1200m behind Land Of Plenty and never really looked like winning. For mine he didn’t look to really enjoy racing in between horses that day. He is five weeks between runs into this race here but has had a pretty sharp trial at Penshurst on Monday where he looked to go quite well. I think out to the 1400m and from a middle gate which should see him have clear galloping room he should run a much improved race here. I am happy to give him another chance.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on both Sircconi and Iconoclasm to start the day here!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 4

1:55pm

Suggested

Cool Passion (No.2), Winter Bride (No.3) & Leather’n’lace (No.14)

Dangers

Our Crown Mistress (No.6), Dawn Dawn (No.17) & Petrelle (No.19)

This race is over the 1200m and we see “The People’s Horse” in Winter Bride go around again after she extended her winning streak to three when making her Melbourne debut here three weeks ago. This is a mare very much in the zone at the present time. All her runs since the middle of May have been excellent. She has won four of five and arguably should have been all five. Her first up win in May on Doomben 10,000 was excellent before having no luck at the Sunshine Coast second up when as I said earlier she probably should have won. She then went on to win her next two races as favourite and was pretty dominant in doing so. She then had a two month freshen up before reappearing here three weeks ago. I have to admit I was a little concerned how she would measure up. I knew she was flying but in those two wins prior to coming down here she had every possible chance in the gun position and dealt with a lower standard of rivals as she should. The pre post betting and on track suggested there would be no issue in measuring up and that is how it turned out. She got to the middle of the track, let down strongly and held off Ellicazoom for a strong victory. We have seen I Am Excited come out of that race and win well against the males down the straight at Flemington last week too. I see no reason why Winter Bride won’t be hard to hold out again. She draws an ideal middle gate to land in a lovely position off the speed and from there she should be able to hit the line strongly again. There is just no reason not to back her again in my opinion. Happy to be with her.

Leather’n’lace looks the main danger. She didn’t have the best of luck behind Winter Bride here in that race three weeks ago. She just got held in for a run coming around the home turn and while Winter Bride and Ellicazoom were building full momentum down the middle of the track that wasn’t the case for Leather’n’lace or the subsequent winner in I Am Excited. She looked to go through the line quite strongly and had she got the run at the right time I think she would have went close to winning. She was saved from a winnable race at Flemington last Saturday for this. That is interesting in itself as that race was over 1400m and that was the trip I thought she was looking for but D K keeps her at the 1200m of this race. She draws out and I can see her landing in a nice three wide trailing position. From there she shouldn’t have the bad luck she had here last time and should be right in the finish. Keen to be with her.

I have no option but to also keep Cool Passion on side. This mare has an outstanding 1200m record, goes really well second up and has raced well here in the past. She carried a big weight here first up two weeks ago when finishing well on the heels of the top three behind Grey Shadow. She typically improved significantly from her first up run to her second up run and gets a bit of weight relief here after carrying 61.5kgs two weeks ago. She will need a touch of luck from gate one and the breaks to come her way at the right time. If they do she should be in the finish and might be the one around that $10 mark that is over the odds so will keep her on side.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Winter Bride here! I will also have $30 the win on Leather’n’lace and save with $15 the win on Cool Passion!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 3

1:40pm

Suggested

Cristobal (No.1), Bubbles’n’troubles (No.5) & Evalina (No.9)

Dangers

I’m So Sweet (No.3) & Unguarded (No.6)

Caulfield Guineas Day in Melbourne is obviously complimented by Everest Day in Sydney for the second consecutive year and side by side the two meetings give us an amazing day of racing in Australia. Given all the controversy and hysteria surrounding the build up to this year’s Everest it will be nice to actually get the race run and won. We will get into that race more later in the preview. It is a fascinating race from a punting perspective. The support card is relatively strong here and the day is pretty much like The Everest itself. Tricky. The trickiness is emphasised by the wet conditions. Sydney has seen rain all week, the worst of which looks to have already hit and we are now as I write this preview on Thursday night looking at a track which is rated Heavy 8. The showers look pretty light over the next couple of days so I am working off a Soft 7 to Heavy 8 in that range. The rail is in the true position and I would expect that the track will play fairly evenly over the course of the day with no disadvantage in particular to being a couple of horses off the fence.

I am kicking the day off in the third race of the day which is for the three year old fillies over the 1400m. This looks a pretty even race. There are quite a few different form lines coming together here. Cristobal certainly looks to be the filly that comes through the stronger races. She has raced in strong company right throughout her career to date and this looks to represent a winnable assignment. On debut she kicked off at Rosehill and was too good for Miss Fabulass. She then beat all bar Sunlight at her second start before not being beaten far in the Percy Sykes. She was spelled post that and her two runs this time in have been a little hard to get a line on. She was never really in the hunt first up before badly missing the start second up and making up many lengths when third behind Gem Song. That run was excellent for mine and if she can jump away with them here from gate two for Hugh Bowman she should be right in the finish. The addition of blinkers looks a key gear change. If that can have her a bit sharper early in the race and she can be within touch it should benefit enormously. The concern is Hugh pushing his way out of a pocket if he needs too with Winx’s fourth Cox Plate on the horizon. I guess we just have to hope for the best. If this filly handles the wet track and gets some luck in running she looks the one to beat.

I am going to keep Bubbles’ntroubles on side who never really got a look at them at Moonee Valley two weeks back. She landed in the coffin behind the leaders on the rail who fell back on top of her and she pretty much went to the line untested. She was a gap between runs there and has had an issue during the week which has dampened my confidence a bit coming into this race. The positives are that she draws well, she has won on heavy going and should land in a gun spot on the speed for Ollie. If she comes to the race and all is well I will back her in to run well and think she will be right in the finish. I would probably be promoting Unguarded should she be scratched.

The other horse I definitely want to back in the race is Evalina. I thought this filly came up really good odds in this race. She has only had the three starts in her career to date and they have all been well spaced. She was beaten on debut at Newcastle and immediately spelled before resuming over 900m there in August and finishing third last. That was a disappointing run and she was five weeks between runs into her next start which was a strong win at Wyong. I really liked that win last start. She was keen and put into the race by Avdulla on the corner and was really strong through the line. The second horse won well at Wyong on Thursday too. I think from gate eight she will come across and land outside the leader and form that position she should be able to be in the finish. Around the $15-20 mark I think she is well worth a ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Cristobal here! I will save with $20 the win on Bubbles’n’troubles and $15 the win on Evalina having half now at the $18 and the other half at Top Fluc on the day!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 1

6:00pm

Suggested

Maclairey (No.3) & Hasabro (No.9)

Dangers

Negasi (No.4) & Green Ivy (No.8)

With football season finished Friday night’s can be pretty boring so I am going to get into the habit of posting these little Friday night previews. What better way to enjoy the evening then having a punt and a few cold beers. If you’re living in Melbourne and the weather is as good as this it is a great night for it. The racing comes from Cranbourne tonight and it looks a pretty strong program.

I am kicking the night off in the first race which is over the 2025m. It is a maiden for three year olds and above and it looks a pretty handy race. Green Ivy has come up favourite having run pretty well in the Bill Stutt at Moonee Valley a couple of Friday night’s back. That race for mine has a bit of a question mark over it so I thought he was tight enough in the market at that quote.

I am keen to be with Hasabro who was something licked at his Australian debut eleven days back at Geelong. That race was over the 1755m and he just didn’t get the luck when required and was a moral beaten. He hit the line strongly and gives every indication the extra distance here will suit. He draws gate three and from there he should hopefully take up an on speed position for Michael Walker and if he can have him off the fence and rolling into the race at the right time he should be hard to hold out.

I am also going to keep Maclairey on side. He hit the line well last start behind Sikorsky in a fast race and we saw that horse run well at Flemington on Saturday. Maclairey gets the blinkers on here and from a nice middle draw should be in the finish so happy to have him on side also.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Hasabro here and save with $30 the win on Maclairey!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 4

7:30pm

Suggested

Thoughtful Harmony (No.6), Zilspun (No.8) & Soaring Eagle (No.11)

Dangers

Dirty Digby (No.9) & Waka (No.12)

This is a maiden over the 1200m for the fillies and mares and it looks a competitive affair. Of the raced brigade I certainly thought that Soaring Eagle was the one clearly on top. She had some good form around some handy types as a two year old and has come back well this time in. She was just touched off first up at Moe before not much went right at Geelong. Her run last start at Sale in a handy maiden was really good though hitting the line strongly and not being beaten far behind Great Duchess. She gets back up to the 1200m here and from a better draw she looks hard to hold out so happy to be with her.

Thoughtful Harmony is a regally bred commodity making her debut as a four year old for the Gelagotis yard. She has been very well supported in pre post betting so she obviously goes quite well and I will certainly ensure I don’t lose on the race should she salute.

I thought the best value in the race might be Zilspun. This mare wasn’t beaten far behind Fine Dane on debut at Moe and that race has been a really good source of winners. She worked through the line OK there and with natural improvement stepping up to the 1200m from a good draw she might be one at odds that can make her presence felt. Around the $20 mark I am happy to be with her.

Betting strategy

I will have $45 the win on Soaring Eagle here! I will save with $30 the win on Thoughtful Harmony and $10 the win on Zilspun!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 5

8:00pm

Suggested

Whoshavesthebarber (No.7), Miss Americain (No.9) & Tamarama (No.11)

Dangers

Kalleske (No.5) & Riverina Lass (No.10)

This is a maiden over the mile here. Gee, this is a pretty ordinary maiden. I thought the favourite Riverina Lass despite being a good chance looked well under the odds and as a result there might be some value elsewhere. Whoshavesthebarber has only had the two runs in his career so far and gone pretty well in both of them. He was good here on debut behind Merchant Of Venice and then struck a pretty hot maiden at his second start behind Mickey Blue Eyes and Prince Of Caviar. He draws gate one here to jump on the bunny and with natural improvement at his third start and back on his home track he might take some running down. Around the $7-8 mark I was happy to be in his corner.

Miss Americain was an interesting runner for mine. She is first up over the mile but showed some good ability last campaign which culminated in her running in a Group 3 race in Adelaide. The fact she is first up over the mile I think is an advantage given she looks a real staying type and if she has improved in the break this looks within her grasp. Around that $15 mark I am happy to be with her.

Tamarama is the other one at big odds I am happy to be on. This mare raced fairly in New South Wales and now finds herself in Victoria. Her first up run in a handy maiden at Bendigo wasn’t too bad. She will appreciate getting up to the mile here and with the blinkers on from gate two I think she can be in the finish at big odds.

Betting strategy

I will have $25 the win on Whoshavesthebarber here! I will also have $15 the win on Miss Americain and $10 the win on Tamarama!

Race Outlay

$50

Race 7

9:00pm

Suggested

Perfect Rhyme (No.4), Our Libretto (No.8) & Coral Coast (No.9)

Dangers

Sopressa (No.1) & Pretty Punk (No.2)

This is the feature race of the night here. It is the Pinker Pinker Plate for the fillies and mares over the 2025m. I am keen to be with the new season four year olds down the bottom of the page here in Our Libretto and Coral Coast. Our Libretto looks a really good horse in the making. She has had three starts in Australia and saluted in all three of those. Her first up win at Sandown was dominant from the back of the field and she backed that up with another excellent win on the Hillside track. She then went to Flemington last start and overcame difficulties in the run to salute. She looks to be the mare very much on the rise. Jordan Childs rides again and she should get a lovely run just back off the speed from gate four. Keen to be with her again.

Coral Coast did a bit of work up on speed in that same race at Flemington but I feel she looks set to peak here in this race. She draws gate three and should get a lovely run just in behind them and her form through the Queensland winter when not far behind Youngstar in some of the big fillies races certainly looks to hold her in good stead for a race of this nature. Happy to be with her around that $7-8 mark.

Perfect Rhyme is the real rough throw at the stumps bet. This is a mare I have always had some time for but seems to have lost her form a little bit. She is now in the care of D K Weir though and hasn’t been disgraced in her two runs back from a spell. Third up here getting to the right distance a sharp improvement from her wouldn’t surprise. Around that $20 mark I am happy to be with her.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Our Libretto here! I will save with $25 the win on Coral Coast and $10 the win on Perfect Rhyme!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 9

10:00pm

Suggested

Toosbuy (No.1), Boltoutoftheblue (No.5) & Filbert Way (No.7)

Dangers

The Implicator (No.2) & Lady Cromac (No.11)

This is an open race to end the night on here. It is over the 1400m. Toosbuy really looks to have found his right race. He has been taking on some strong company in recent times and this is by far the easiest race he has contested dropping back to a Benchmark 64. His last start effort behind Sirius Suspect at Mornington on Grand Final Day was strong. He got well back and found the line well. That was off a bit of a freshen up having raced in town at his four starts prior to that. He draws gate four so he should be able to hopefully hold a position a little closer to the speed and despite having never raced over this distance he gives every impression he is looking for it. Happy to be with him.

Boltoutoftheblue has been good in two runs since coming over from Tasmania. He has found the line well on both occasions at Geelong and Ballarat in similar grade. He draws to get a gun run on the speed here from gate three and around that $10 mark I am happy to be with him.

Filbert Way is the other horse that I want to be on. He really found the line nicely last start at Benalla and he is a horse that typically improves second up. He draws to be able to take up a more forward position in running here and is another around those double figure odds that I am keen to have something on.

Betting strategy

I will have $45 the win on Toosbuy here and save with $15 the win on both Boltoutoftheblue and Filbert Way!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 1

12:45pm

Suggested

Sircconi (No.8) & Iconoclasm (No.9)

Dangers

Comicas (No.1), Fastnet Tempest (No.4) & Fierce Impact (No.10)

What a day this is! Caulfield Guineas Day is here and the 2018 edition is up there one of the best race days I have come across. This is an absolute belter of a day and it certainly looks to rival Derby Day in terms of quality. I can’t wait to get out there on Saturday. Melbourne is turning it on. The forecast for Saturday is 24 degrees and sunshine and with predominantly dry conditions through the week we will be racing on a good track on Saturday. Caulfield has consistently served up perfect tracks over the last few years and this Saturday should again be no exception. It all sets up for one of the great days. Let’s not muck about and get into it.

I am kicking the day off in the second race of the day which is over the 1400m. It looks a pretty even race but there is the extra dimension added with the appearance of this Godolphin galloper in Comicas who brings some pretty handy Group and Listed form over from Dubai and Europe. I went through about six of his replays when doing the form on this race and couldn’t get a read on him. All those runs were over 1200m and almost all of them on dirt tracks. To me he certainly looks a horse that would be beaten for speed here in one of our genuine 1200m sprints so I feel the 1400m is probably a plus for him here as he seems to just go at the one speed without much of a turn of foot. He has come up pretty short in the market here but I was comfortable taking him on at that price. If he got to $7-8+ then I could consider saving on him but at around that $4 mark I thought there were better betting opportunities.

Sircconi looks to have found the right race here. He resumed from a spell with an excellent run here two weeks ago when just being nutted on the line by Cliff’s Edge. He chased up a pretty hot speed there and his effort to go down narrowly was excellent. The key factor for him here is that he is a horse that typically improves significantly from his first up run to his second up run. I fancy if he can repeat that trend here he is going to be hard to hold out. Ozi Choice is again the fly in the ointment. Ozi Choice was the tearaway leader last start here and I would love it if Sircconi was able to hold the lead himself here but don’t want him getting into a speed war. As long as Linda can adjust depending on how the early stages unfold I think Sircconi is clearly the one to beat and happy to be with him.

Iconoclasm is an interesting runner in this race. He has had two runs this time in and probably hasn’t run up to expectations in either of those. First up he was well backed at Moonee Valley on a day where the track certainly played to those on speed fairly significantly and he just held his spot in third and fourth all of the way. He then struck a pretty hot race second up over the 1200m behind Land Of Plenty and never really looked like winning. For mine he didn’t look to really enjoy racing in between horses that day. He is five weeks between runs into this race here but has had a pretty sharp trial at Penshurst on Monday where he looked to go quite well. I think out to the 1400m and from a middle gate which should see him have clear galloping room he should run a much improved race here. I am happy to give him another chance.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on both Sircconi and Iconoclasm to start the day here!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 4

1:55pm

Suggested

Cool Passion (No.2), Winter Bride (No.3) & Leather’n’lace (No.14)

Dangers

Our Crown Mistress (No.6), Dawn Dawn (No.17) & Petrelle (No.19)

This race is over the 1200m and we see “The People’s Horse” in Winter Bride go around again after she extended her winning streak to three when making her Melbourne debut here three weeks ago. This is a mare very much in the zone at the present time. All her runs since the middle of May have been excellent. She has won four of five and arguably should have been all five. Her first up win in May on Doomben 10,000 was excellent before having no luck at the Sunshine Coast second up when as I said earlier she probably should have won. She then went on to win her next two races as favourite and was pretty dominant in doing so. She then had a two month freshen up before reappearing here three weeks ago. I have to admit I was a little concerned how she would measure up. I knew she was flying but in those two wins prior to coming down here she had every possible chance in the gun position and dealt with a lower standard of rivals as she should. The pre post betting and on track suggested there would be no issue in measuring up and that is how it turned out. She got to the middle of the track, let down strongly and held off Ellicazoom for a strong victory. We have seen I Am Excited come out of that race and win well against the males down the straight at Flemington last week too. I see no reason why Winter Bride won’t be hard to hold out again. She draws an ideal middle gate to land in a lovely position off the speed and from there she should be able to hit the line strongly again. There is just no reason not to back her again in my opinion. Happy to be with her.

Leather’n’lace looks the main danger. She didn’t have the best of luck behind Winter Bride here in that race three weeks ago. She just got held in for a run coming around the home turn and while Winter Bride and Ellicazoom were building full momentum down the middle of the track that wasn’t the case for Leather’n’lace or the subsequent winner in I Am Excited. She looked to go through the line quite strongly and had she got the run at the right time I think she would have went close to winning. She was saved from a winnable race at Flemington last Saturday for this. That is interesting in itself as that race was over 1400m and that was the trip I thought she was looking for but D K keeps her at the 1200m of this race. She draws out and I can see her landing in a nice three wide trailing position. From there she shouldn’t have the bad luck she had here last time and should be right in the finish. Keen to be with her.

I have no option but to also keep Cool Passion on side. This mare has an outstanding 1200m record, goes really well second up and has raced well here in the past. She carried a big weight here first up two weeks ago when finishing well on the heels of the top three behind Grey Shadow. She typically improved significantly from her first up run to her second up run and gets a bit of weight relief here after carrying 61.5kgs two weeks ago. She will need a touch of luck from gate one and the breaks to come her way at the right time. If they do she should be in the finish and might be the one around that $10 mark that is over the odds so will keep her on side.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Winter Bride here! I will also have $30 the win on Leather’n’lace and save with $15 the win on Cool Passion!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 3

1:40pm

Suggested

Cristobal (No.1), Bubbles’n’troubles (No.5) & Evalina (No.9)

Dangers

I’m So Sweet (No.3) & Unguarded (No.6)

Caulfield Guineas Day in Melbourne is obviously complimented by Everest Day in Sydney for the second consecutive year and side by side the two meetings give us an amazing day of racing in Australia. Given all the controversy and hysteria surrounding the build up to this year’s Everest it will be nice to actually get the race run and won. We will get into that race more later in the preview. It is a fascinating race from a punting perspective. The support card is relatively strong here and the day is pretty much like The Everest itself. Tricky. The trickiness is emphasised by the wet conditions. Sydney has seen rain all week, the worst of which looks to have already hit and we are now as I write this preview on Thursday night looking at a track which is rated Heavy 8. The showers look pretty light over the next couple of days so I am working off a Soft 7 to Heavy 8 in that range. The rail is in the true position and I would expect that the track will play fairly evenly over the course of the day with no disadvantage in particular to being a couple of horses off the fence.

I am kicking the day off in the third race of the day which is for the three year old fillies over the 1400m. This looks a pretty even race. There are quite a few different form lines coming together here. Cristobal certainly looks to be the filly that comes through the stronger races. She has raced in strong company right throughout her career to date and this looks to represent a winnable assignment. On debut she kicked off at Rosehill and was too good for Miss Fabulass. She then beat all bar Sunlight at her second start before not being beaten far in the Percy Sykes. She was spelled post that and her two runs this time in have been a little hard to get a line on. She was never really in the hunt first up before badly missing the start second up and making up many lengths when third behind Gem Song. That run was excellent for mine and if she can jump away with them here from gate two for Hugh Bowman she should be right in the finish. The addition of blinkers looks a key gear change. If that can have her a bit sharper early in the race and she can be within touch it should benefit enormously. The concern is Hugh pushing his way out of a pocket if he needs too with Winx’s fourth Cox Plate on the horizon. I guess we just have to hope for the best. If this filly handles the wet track and gets some luck in running she looks the one to beat.

I am going to keep Bubbles’ntroubles on side who never really got a look at them at Moonee Valley two weeks back. She landed in the coffin behind the leaders on the rail who fell back on top of her and she pretty much went to the line untested. She was a gap between runs there and has had an issue during the week which has dampened my confidence a bit coming into this race. The positives are that she draws well, she has won on heavy going and should land in a gun spot on the speed for Ollie. If she comes to the race and all is well I will back her in to run well and think she will be right in the finish. I would probably be promoting Unguarded should she be scratched.

The other horse I definitely want to back in the race is Evalina. I thought this filly came up really good odds in this race. She has only had the three starts in her career to date and they have all been well spaced. She was beaten on debut at Newcastle and immediately spelled before resuming over 900m there in August and finishing third last. That was a disappointing run and she was five weeks between runs into her next start which was a strong win at Wyong. I really liked that win last start. She was keen and put into the race by Avdulla on the corner and was really strong through the line. The second horse won well at Wyong on Thursday too. I think from gate eight she will come across and land outside the leader and form that position she should be able to be in the finish. Around the $15-20 mark I think she is well worth a ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Cristobal here! I will save with $20 the win on Bubbles’n’troubles and $15 the win on Evalina having half now at the $18 and the other half at Top Fluc on the day!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 1

6:00pm

Suggested

Maclairey (No.3) & Hasabro (No.9)

Dangers

Negasi (No.4) & Green Ivy (No.8)

With football season finished Friday night’s can be pretty boring so I am going to get into the habit of posting these little Friday night previews. What better way to enjoy the evening then having a punt and a few cold beers. If you’re living in Melbourne and the weather is as good as this it is a great night for it. The racing comes from Cranbourne tonight and it looks a pretty strong program.

I am kicking the night off in the first race which is over the 2025m. It is a maiden for three year olds and above and it looks a pretty handy race. Green Ivy has come up favourite having run pretty well in the Bill Stutt at Moonee Valley a couple of Friday night’s back. That race for mine has a bit of a question mark over it so I thought he was tight enough in the market at that quote.

I am keen to be with Hasabro who was something licked at his Australian debut eleven days back at Geelong. That race was over the 1755m and he just didn’t get the luck when required and was a moral beaten. He hit the line strongly and gives every indication the extra distance here will suit. He draws gate three and from there he should hopefully take up an on speed position for Michael Walker and if he can have him off the fence and rolling into the race at the right time he should be hard to hold out.

I am also going to keep Maclairey on side. He hit the line well last start behind Sikorsky in a fast race and we saw that horse run well at Flemington on Saturday. Maclairey gets the blinkers on here and from a nice middle draw should be in the finish so happy to have him on side also.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Hasabro here and save with $30 the win on Maclairey!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 4

7:30pm

Suggested

Thoughtful Harmony (No.6), Zilspun (No.8) & Soaring Eagle (No.11)

Dangers

Dirty Digby (No.9) & Waka (No.12)

This is a maiden over the 1200m for the fillies and mares and it looks a competitive affair. Of the raced brigade I certainly thought that Soaring Eagle was the one clearly on top. She had some good form around some handy types as a two year old and has come back well this time in. She was just touched off first up at Moe before not much went right at Geelong. Her run last start at Sale in a handy maiden was really good though hitting the line strongly and not being beaten far behind Great Duchess. She gets back up to the 1200m here and from a better draw she looks hard to hold out so happy to be with her.

Thoughtful Harmony is a regally bred commodity making her debut as a four year old for the Gelagotis yard. She has been very well supported in pre post betting so she obviously goes quite well and I will certainly ensure I don’t lose on the race should she salute.

I thought the best value in the race might be Zilspun. This mare wasn’t beaten far behind Fine Dane on debut at Moe and that race has been a really good source of winners. She worked through the line OK there and with natural improvement stepping up to the 1200m from a good draw she might be one at odds that can make her presence felt. Around the $20 mark I am happy to be with her.

Betting strategy

I will have $45 the win on Soaring Eagle here! I will save with $30 the win on Thoughtful Harmony and $10 the win on Zilspun!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 5

8:00pm

Suggested

Whoshavesthebarber (No.7), Miss Americain (No.9) & Tamarama (No.11)

Dangers

Kalleske (No.5) & Riverina Lass (No.10)

This is a maiden over the mile here. Gee, this is a pretty ordinary maiden. I thought the favourite Riverina Lass despite being a good chance looked well under the odds and as a result there might be some value elsewhere. Whoshavesthebarber has only had the two runs in his career so far and gone pretty well in both of them. He was good here on debut behind Merchant Of Venice and then struck a pretty hot maiden at his second start behind Mickey Blue Eyes and Prince Of Caviar. He draws gate one here to jump on the bunny and with natural improvement at his third start and back on his home track he might take some running down. Around the $7-8 mark I was happy to be in his corner.

Miss Americain was an interesting runner for mine. She is first up over the mile but showed some good ability last campaign which culminated in her running in a Group 3 race in Adelaide. The fact she is first up over the mile I think is an advantage given she looks a real staying type and if she has improved in the break this looks within her grasp. Around that $15 mark I am happy to be with her.

Tamarama is the other one at big odds I am happy to be on. This mare raced fairly in New South Wales and now finds herself in Victoria. Her first up run in a handy maiden at Bendigo wasn’t too bad. She will appreciate getting up to the mile here and with the blinkers on from gate two I think she can be in the finish at big odds.

Betting strategy

I will have $25 the win on Whoshavesthebarber here! I will also have $15 the win on Miss Americain and $10 the win on Tamarama!

Race Outlay

$50

Race 7

9:00pm

Suggested

Perfect Rhyme (No.4), Our Libretto (No.8) & Coral Coast (No.9)

Dangers

Sopressa (No.1) & Pretty Punk (No.2)

This is the feature race of the night here. It is the Pinker Pinker Plate for the fillies and mares over the 2025m. I am keen to be with the new season four year olds down the bottom of the page here in Our Libretto and Coral Coast. Our Libretto looks a really good horse in the making. She has had three starts in Australia and saluted in all three of those. Her first up win at Sandown was dominant from the back of the field and she backed that up with another excellent win on the Hillside track. She then went to Flemington last start and overcame difficulties in the run to salute. She looks to be the mare very much on the rise. Jordan Childs rides again and she should get a lovely run just back off the speed from gate four. Keen to be with her again.

Coral Coast did a bit of work up on speed in that same race at Flemington but I feel she looks set to peak here in this race. She draws gate three and should get a lovely run just in behind them and her form through the Queensland winter when not far behind Youngstar in some of the big fillies races certainly looks to hold her in good stead for a race of this nature. Happy to be with her around that $7-8 mark.

Perfect Rhyme is the real rough throw at the stumps bet. This is a mare I have always had some time for but seems to have lost her form a little bit. She is now in the care of D K Weir though and hasn’t been disgraced in her two runs back from a spell. Third up here getting to the right distance a sharp improvement from her wouldn’t surprise. Around that $20 mark I am happy to be with her.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Our Libretto here! I will save with $25 the win on Coral Coast and $10 the win on Perfect Rhyme!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 9

10:00pm

Suggested

Toosbuy (No.1), Boltoutoftheblue (No.5) & Filbert Way (No.7)

Dangers

The Implicator (No.2) & Lady Cromac (No.11)

This is an open race to end the night on here. It is over the 1400m. Toosbuy really looks to have found his right race. He has been taking on some strong company in recent times and this is by far the easiest race he has contested dropping back to a Benchmark 64. His last start effort behind Sirius Suspect at Mornington on Grand Final Day was strong. He got well back and found the line well. That was off a bit of a freshen up having raced in town at his four starts prior to that. He draws gate four so he should be able to hopefully hold a position a little closer to the speed and despite having never raced over this distance he gives every impression he is looking for it. Happy to be with him.

Boltoutoftheblue has been good in two runs since coming over from Tasmania. He has found the line well on both occasions at Geelong and Ballarat in similar grade. He draws to get a gun run on the speed here from gate three and around that $10 mark I am happy to be with him.

Filbert Way is the other horse that I want to be on. He really found the line nicely last start at Benalla and he is a horse that typically improves second up. He draws to be able to take up a more forward position in running here and is another around those double figure odds that I am keen to have something on.

Betting strategy

I will have $45 the win on Toosbuy here and save with $15 the win on both Boltoutoftheblue and Filbert Way!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 1

12:45pm

Suggested

Sircconi (No.8) & Iconoclasm (No.9)

Dangers

Comicas (No.1), Fastnet Tempest (No.4) & Fierce Impact (No.10)

What a day this is! Caulfield Guineas Day is here and the 2018 edition is up there one of the best race days I have come across. This is an absolute belter of a day and it certainly looks to rival Derby Day in terms of quality. I can’t wait to get out there on Saturday. Melbourne is turning it on. The forecast for Saturday is 24 degrees and sunshine and with predominantly dry conditions through the week we will be racing on a good track on Saturday. Caulfield has consistently served up perfect tracks over the last few years and this Saturday should again be no exception. It all sets up for one of the great days. Let’s not muck about and get into it.

I am kicking the day off in the second race of the day which is over the 1400m. It looks a pretty even race but there is the extra dimension added with the appearance of this Godolphin galloper in Comicas who brings some pretty handy Group and Listed form over from Dubai and Europe. I went through about six of his replays when doing the form on this race and couldn’t get a read on him. All those runs were over 1200m and almost all of them on dirt tracks. To me he certainly looks a horse that would be beaten for speed here in one of our genuine 1200m sprints so I feel the 1400m is probably a plus for him here as he seems to just go at the one speed without much of a turn of foot. He has come up pretty short in the market here but I was comfortable taking him on at that price. If he got to $7-8+ then I could consider saving on him but at around that $4 mark I thought there were better betting opportunities.

Sircconi looks to have found the right race here. He resumed from a spell with an excellent run here two weeks ago when just being nutted on the line by Cliff’s Edge. He chased up a pretty hot speed there and his effort to go down narrowly was excellent. The key factor for him here is that he is a horse that typically improves significantly from his first up run to his second up run. I fancy if he can repeat that trend here he is going to be hard to hold out. Ozi Choice is again the fly in the ointment. Ozi Choice was the tearaway leader last start here and I would love it if Sircconi was able to hold the lead himself here but don’t want him getting into a speed war. As long as Linda can adjust depending on how the early stages unfold I think Sircconi is clearly the one to beat and happy to be with him.

Iconoclasm is an interesting runner in this race. He has had two runs this time in and probably hasn’t run up to expectations in either of those. First up he was well backed at Moonee Valley on a day where the track certainly played to those on speed fairly significantly and he just held his spot in third and fourth all of the way. He then struck a pretty hot race second up over the 1200m behind Land Of Plenty and never really looked like winning. For mine he didn’t look to really enjoy racing in between horses that day. He is five weeks between runs into this race here but has had a pretty sharp trial at Penshurst on Monday where he looked to go quite well. I think out to the 1400m and from a middle gate which should see him have clear galloping room he should run a much improved race here. I am happy to give him another chance.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on both Sircconi and Iconoclasm to start the day here!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 4

1:55pm

Suggested

Cool Passion (No.2), Winter Bride (No.3) & Leather’n’lace (No.14)

Dangers

Our Crown Mistress (No.6), Dawn Dawn (No.17) & Petrelle (No.19)

This race is over the 1200m and we see “The People’s Horse” in Winter Bride go around again after she extended her winning streak to three when making her Melbourne debut here three weeks ago. This is a mare very much in the zone at the present time. All her runs since the middle of May have been excellent. She has won four of five and arguably should have been all five. Her first up win in May on Doomben 10,000 was excellent before having no luck at the Sunshine Coast second up when as I said earlier she probably should have won. She then went on to win her next two races as favourite and was pretty dominant in doing so. She then had a two month freshen up before reappearing here three weeks ago. I have to admit I was a little concerned how she would measure up. I knew she was flying but in those two wins prior to coming down here she had every possible chance in the gun position and dealt with a lower standard of rivals as she should. The pre post betting and on track suggested there would be no issue in measuring up and that is how it turned out. She got to the middle of the track, let down strongly and held off Ellicazoom for a strong victory. We have seen I Am Excited come out of that race and win well against the males down the straight at Flemington last week too. I see no reason why Winter Bride won’t be hard to hold out again. She draws an ideal middle gate to land in a lovely position off the speed and from there she should be able to hit the line strongly again. There is just no reason not to back her again in my opinion. Happy to be with her.

Leather’n’lace looks the main danger. She didn’t have the best of luck behind Winter Bride here in that race three weeks ago. She just got held in for a run coming around the home turn and while Winter Bride and Ellicazoom were building full momentum down the middle of the track that wasn’t the case for Leather’n’lace or the subsequent winner in I Am Excited. She looked to go through the line quite strongly and had she got the run at the right time I think she would have went close to winning. She was saved from a winnable race at Flemington last Saturday for this. That is interesting in itself as that race was over 1400m and that was the trip I thought she was looking for but D K keeps her at the 1200m of this race. She draws out and I can see her landing in a nice three wide trailing position. From there she shouldn’t have the bad luck she had here last time and should be right in the finish. Keen to be with her.

I have no option but to also keep Cool Passion on side. This mare has an outstanding 1200m record, goes really well second up and has raced well here in the past. She carried a big weight here first up two weeks ago when finishing well on the heels of the top three behind Grey Shadow. She typically improved significantly from her first up run to her second up run and gets a bit of weight relief here after carrying 61.5kgs two weeks ago. She will need a touch of luck from gate one and the breaks to come her way at the right time. If they do she should be in the finish and might be the one around that $10 mark that is over the odds so will keep her on side.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Winter Bride here! I will also have $30 the win on Leather’n’lace and save with $15 the win on Cool Passion!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 3

1:40pm

Suggested

Cristobal (No.1), Bubbles’n’troubles (No.5) & Evalina (No.9)

Dangers

I’m So Sweet (No.3) & Unguarded (No.6)

Caulfield Guineas Day in Melbourne is obviously complimented by Everest Day in Sydney for the second consecutive year and side by side the two meetings give us an amazing day of racing in Australia. Given all the controversy and hysteria surrounding the build up to this year’s Everest it will be nice to actually get the race run and won. We will get into that race more later in the preview. It is a fascinating race from a punting perspective. The support card is relatively strong here and the day is pretty much like The Everest itself. Tricky. The trickiness is emphasised by the wet conditions. Sydney has seen rain all week, the worst of which looks to have already hit and we are now as I write this preview on Thursday night looking at a track which is rated Heavy 8. The showers look pretty light over the next couple of days so I am working off a Soft 7 to Heavy 8 in that range. The rail is in the true position and I would expect that the track will play fairly evenly over the course of the day with no disadvantage in particular to being a couple of horses off the fence.

I am kicking the day off in the third race of the day which is for the three year old fillies over the 1400m. This looks a pretty even race. There are quite a few different form lines coming together here. Cristobal certainly looks to be the filly that comes through the stronger races. She has raced in strong company right throughout her career to date and this looks to represent a winnable assignment. On debut she kicked off at Rosehill and was too good for Miss Fabulass. She then beat all bar Sunlight at her second start before not being beaten far in the Percy Sykes. She was spelled post that and her two runs this time in have been a little hard to get a line on. She was never really in the hunt first up before badly missing the start second up and making up many lengths when third behind Gem Song. That run was excellent for mine and if she can jump away with them here from gate two for Hugh Bowman she should be right in the finish. The addition of blinkers looks a key gear change. If that can have her a bit sharper early in the race and she can be within touch it should benefit enormously. The concern is Hugh pushing his way out of a pocket if he needs too with Winx’s fourth Cox Plate on the horizon. I guess we just have to hope for the best. If this filly handles the wet track and gets some luck in running she looks the one to beat.

I am going to keep Bubbles’ntroubles on side who never really got a look at them at Moonee Valley two weeks back. She landed in the coffin behind the leaders on the rail who fell back on top of her and she pretty much went to the line untested. She was a gap between runs there and has had an issue during the week which has dampened my confidence a bit coming into this race. The positives are that she draws well, she has won on heavy going and should land in a gun spot on the speed for Ollie. If she comes to the race and all is well I will back her in to run well and think she will be right in the finish. I would probably be promoting Unguarded should she be scratched.

The other horse I definitely want to back in the race is Evalina. I thought this filly came up really good odds in this race. She has only had the three starts in her career to date and they have all been well spaced. She was beaten on debut at Newcastle and immediately spelled before resuming over 900m there in August and finishing third last. That was a disappointing run and she was five weeks between runs into her next start which was a strong win at Wyong. I really liked that win last start. She was keen and put into the race by Avdulla on the corner and was really strong through the line. The second horse won well at Wyong on Thursday too. I think from gate eight she will come across and land outside the leader and form that position she should be able to be in the finish. Around the $15-20 mark I think she is well worth a ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Cristobal here! I will save with $20 the win on Bubbles’n’troubles and $15 the win on Evalina having half now at the $18 and the other half at Top Fluc on the day!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 1

6:00pm

Suggested

Maclairey (No.3) & Hasabro (No.9)

Dangers

Negasi (No.4) & Green Ivy (No.8)

With football season finished Friday night’s can be pretty boring so I am going to get into the habit of posting these little Friday night previews. What better way to enjoy the evening then having a punt and a few cold beers. If you’re living in Melbourne and the weather is as good as this it is a great night for it. The racing comes from Cranbourne tonight and it looks a pretty strong program.

I am kicking the night off in the first race which is over the 2025m. It is a maiden for three year olds and above and it looks a pretty handy race. Green Ivy has come up favourite having run pretty well in the Bill Stutt at Moonee Valley a couple of Friday night’s back. That race for mine has a bit of a question mark over it so I thought he was tight enough in the market at that quote.

I am keen to be with Hasabro who was something licked at his Australian debut eleven days back at Geelong. That race was over the 1755m and he just didn’t get the luck when required and was a moral beaten. He hit the line strongly and gives every indication the extra distance here will suit. He draws gate three and from there he should hopefully take up an on speed position for Michael Walker and if he can have him off the fence and rolling into the race at the right time he should be hard to hold out.

I am also going to keep Maclairey on side. He hit the line well last start behind Sikorsky in a fast race and we saw that horse run well at Flemington on Saturday. Maclairey gets the blinkers on here and from a nice middle draw should be in the finish so happy to have him on side also.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Hasabro here and save with $30 the win on Maclairey!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 4

7:30pm

Suggested

Thoughtful Harmony (No.6), Zilspun (No.8) & Soaring Eagle (No.11)

Dangers

Dirty Digby (No.9) & Waka (No.12)

This is a maiden over the 1200m for the fillies and mares and it looks a competitive affair. Of the raced brigade I certainly thought that Soaring Eagle was the one clearly on top. She had some good form around some handy types as a two year old and has come back well this time in. She was just touched off first up at Moe before not much went right at Geelong. Her run last start at Sale in a handy maiden was really good though hitting the line strongly and not being beaten far behind Great Duchess. She gets back up to the 1200m here and from a better draw she looks hard to hold out so happy to be with her.

Thoughtful Harmony is a regally bred commodity making her debut as a four year old for the Gelagotis yard. She has been very well supported in pre post betting so she obviously goes quite well and I will certainly ensure I don’t lose on the race should she salute.

I thought the best value in the race might be Zilspun. This mare wasn’t beaten far behind Fine Dane on debut at Moe and that race has been a really good source of winners. She worked through the line OK there and with natural improvement stepping up to the 1200m from a good draw she might be one at odds that can make her presence felt. Around the $20 mark I am happy to be with her.

Betting strategy

I will have $45 the win on Soaring Eagle here! I will save with $30 the win on Thoughtful Harmony and $10 the win on Zilspun!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 5

8:00pm

Suggested

Whoshavesthebarber (No.7), Miss Americain (No.9) & Tamarama (No.11)

Dangers

Kalleske (No.5) & Riverina Lass (No.10)

This is a maiden over the mile here. Gee, this is a pretty ordinary maiden. I thought the favourite Riverina Lass despite being a good chance looked well under the odds and as a result there might be some value elsewhere. Whoshavesthebarber has only had the two runs in his career so far and gone pretty well in both of them. He was good here on debut behind Merchant Of Venice and then struck a pretty hot maiden at his second start behind Mickey Blue Eyes and Prince Of Caviar. He draws gate one here to jump on the bunny and with natural improvement at his third start and back on his home track he might take some running down. Around the $7-8 mark I was happy to be in his corner.

Miss Americain was an interesting runner for mine. She is first up over the mile but showed some good ability last campaign which culminated in her running in a Group 3 race in Adelaide. The fact she is first up over the mile I think is an advantage given she looks a real staying type and if she has improved in the break this looks within her grasp. Around that $15 mark I am happy to be with her.

Tamarama is the other one at big odds I am happy to be on. This mare raced fairly in New South Wales and now finds herself in Victoria. Her first up run in a handy maiden at Bendigo wasn’t too bad. She will appreciate getting up to the mile here and with the blinkers on from gate two I think she can be in the finish at big odds.

Betting strategy

I will have $25 the win on Whoshavesthebarber here! I will also have $15 the win on Miss Americain and $10 the win on Tamarama!

Race Outlay

$50

Race 7

9:00pm

Suggested

Perfect Rhyme (No.4), Our Libretto (No.8) & Coral Coast (No.9)

Dangers

Sopressa (No.1) & Pretty Punk (No.2)

This is the feature race of the night here. It is the Pinker Pinker Plate for the fillies and mares over the 2025m. I am keen to be with the new season four year olds down the bottom of the page here in Our Libretto and Coral Coast. Our Libretto looks a really good horse in the making. She has had three starts in Australia and saluted in all three of those. Her first up win at Sandown was dominant from the back of the field and she backed that up with another excellent win on the Hillside track. She then went to Flemington last start and overcame difficulties in the run to salute. She looks to be the mare very much on the rise. Jordan Childs rides again and she should get a lovely run just back off the speed from gate four. Keen to be with her again.

Coral Coast did a bit of work up on speed in that same race at Flemington but I feel she looks set to peak here in this race. She draws gate three and should get a lovely run just in behind them and her form through the Queensland winter when not far behind Youngstar in some of the big fillies races certainly looks to hold her in good stead for a race of this nature. Happy to be with her around that $7-8 mark.

Perfect Rhyme is the real rough throw at the stumps bet. This is a mare I have always had some time for but seems to have lost her form a little bit. She is now in the care of D K Weir though and hasn’t been disgraced in her two runs back from a spell. Third up here getting to the right distance a sharp improvement from her wouldn’t surprise. Around that $20 mark I am happy to be with her.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Our Libretto here! I will save with $25 the win on Coral Coast and $10 the win on Perfect Rhyme!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 9

10:00pm

Suggested

Toosbuy (No.1), Boltoutoftheblue (No.5) & Filbert Way (No.7)

Dangers

The Implicator (No.2) & Lady Cromac (No.11)

This is an open race to end the night on here. It is over the 1400m. Toosbuy really looks to have found his right race. He has been taking on some strong company in recent times and this is by far the easiest race he has contested dropping back to a Benchmark 64. His last start effort behind Sirius Suspect at Mornington on Grand Final Day was strong. He got well back and found the line well. That was off a bit of a freshen up having raced in town at his four starts prior to that. He draws gate four so he should be able to hopefully hold a position a little closer to the speed and despite having never raced over this distance he gives every impression he is looking for it. Happy to be with him.

Boltoutoftheblue has been good in two runs since coming over from Tasmania. He has found the line well on both occasions at Geelong and Ballarat in similar grade. He draws to get a gun run on the speed here from gate three and around that $10 mark I am happy to be with him.

Filbert Way is the other horse that I want to be on. He really found the line nicely last start at Benalla and he is a horse that typically improves second up. He draws to be able to take up a more forward position in running here and is another around those double figure odds that I am keen to have something on.

Betting strategy

I will have $45 the win on Toosbuy here and save with $15 the win on both Boltoutoftheblue and Filbert Way!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 1

12:45pm

Suggested

Sircconi (No.8) & Iconoclasm (No.9)

Dangers

Comicas (No.1), Fastnet Tempest (No.4) & Fierce Impact (No.10)

What a day this is! Caulfield Guineas Day is here and the 2018 edition is up there one of the best race days I have come across. This is an absolute belter of a day and it certainly looks to rival Derby Day in terms of quality. I can’t wait to get out there on Saturday. Melbourne is turning it on. The forecast for Saturday is 24 degrees and sunshine and with predominantly dry conditions through the week we will be racing on a good track on Saturday. Caulfield has consistently served up perfect tracks over the last few years and this Saturday should again be no exception. It all sets up for one of the great days. Let’s not muck about and get into it.

I am kicking the day off in the second race of the day which is over the 1400m. It looks a pretty even race but there is the extra dimension added with the appearance of this Godolphin galloper in Comicas who brings some pretty handy Group and Listed form over from Dubai and Europe. I went through about six of his replays when doing the form on this race and couldn’t get a read on him. All those runs were over 1200m and almost all of them on dirt tracks. To me he certainly looks a horse that would be beaten for speed here in one of our genuine 1200m sprints so I feel the 1400m is probably a plus for him here as he seems to just go at the one speed without much of a turn of foot. He has come up pretty short in the market here but I was comfortable taking him on at that price. If he got to $7-8+ then I could consider saving on him but at around that $4 mark I thought there were better betting opportunities.

Sircconi looks to have found the right race here. He resumed from a spell with an excellent run here two weeks ago when just being nutted on the line by Cliff’s Edge. He chased up a pretty hot speed there and his effort to go down narrowly was excellent. The key factor for him here is that he is a horse that typically improves significantly from his first up run to his second up run. I fancy if he can repeat that trend here he is going to be hard to hold out. Ozi Choice is again the fly in the ointment. Ozi Choice was the tearaway leader last start here and I would love it if Sircconi was able to hold the lead himself here but don’t want him getting into a speed war. As long as Linda can adjust depending on how the early stages unfold I think Sircconi is clearly the one to beat and happy to be with him.

Iconoclasm is an interesting runner in this race. He has had two runs this time in and probably hasn’t run up to expectations in either of those. First up he was well backed at Moonee Valley on a day where the track certainly played to those on speed fairly significantly and he just held his spot in third and fourth all of the way. He then struck a pretty hot race second up over the 1200m behind Land Of Plenty and never really looked like winning. For mine he didn’t look to really enjoy racing in between horses that day. He is five weeks between runs into this race here but has had a pretty sharp trial at Penshurst on Monday where he looked to go quite well. I think out to the 1400m and from a middle gate which should see him have clear galloping room he should run a much improved race here. I am happy to give him another chance.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on both Sircconi and Iconoclasm to start the day here!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 4

1:55pm

Suggested

Cool Passion (No.2), Winter Bride (No.3) & Leather’n’lace (No.14)

Dangers

Our Crown Mistress (No.6), Dawn Dawn (No.17) & Petrelle (No.19)

This race is over the 1200m and we see “The People’s Horse” in Winter Bride go around again after she extended her winning streak to three when making her Melbourne debut here three weeks ago. This is a mare very much in the zone at the present time. All her runs since the middle of May have been excellent. She has won four of five and arguably should have been all five. Her first up win in May on Doomben 10,000 was excellent before having no luck at the Sunshine Coast second up when as I said earlier she probably should have won. She then went on to win her next two races as favourite and was pretty dominant in doing so. She then had a two month freshen up before reappearing here three weeks ago. I have to admit I was a little concerned how she would measure up. I knew she was flying but in those two wins prior to coming down here she had every possible chance in the gun position and dealt with a lower standard of rivals as she should. The pre post betting and on track suggested there would be no issue in measuring up and that is how it turned out. She got to the middle of the track, let down strongly and held off Ellicazoom for a strong victory. We have seen I Am Excited come out of that race and win well against the males down the straight at Flemington last week too. I see no reason why Winter Bride won’t be hard to hold out again. She draws an ideal middle gate to land in a lovely position off the speed and from there she should be able to hit the line strongly again. There is just no reason not to back her again in my opinion. Happy to be with her.

Leather’n’lace looks the main danger. She didn’t have the best of luck behind Winter Bride here in that race three weeks ago. She just got held in for a run coming around the home turn and while Winter Bride and Ellicazoom were building full momentum down the middle of the track that wasn’t the case for Leather’n’lace or the subsequent winner in I Am Excited. She looked to go through the line quite strongly and had she got the run at the right time I think she would have went close to winning. She was saved from a winnable race at Flemington last Saturday for this. That is interesting in itself as that race was over 1400m and that was the trip I thought she was looking for but D K keeps her at the 1200m of this race. She draws out and I can see her landing in a nice three wide trailing position. From there she shouldn’t have the bad luck she had here last time and should be right in the finish. Keen to be with her.

I have no option but to also keep Cool Passion on side. This mare has an outstanding 1200m record, goes really well second up and has raced well here in the past. She carried a big weight here first up two weeks ago when finishing well on the heels of the top three behind Grey Shadow. She typically improved significantly from her first up run to her second up run and gets a bit of weight relief here after carrying 61.5kgs two weeks ago. She will need a touch of luck from gate one and the breaks to come her way at the right time. If they do she should be in the finish and might be the one around that $10 mark that is over the odds so will keep her on side.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Winter Bride here! I will also have $30 the win on Leather’n’lace and save with $15 the win on Cool Passion!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 3

1:40pm

Suggested

Cristobal (No.1), Bubbles’n’troubles (No.5) & Evalina (No.9)

Dangers

I’m So Sweet (No.3) & Unguarded (No.6)

Caulfield Guineas Day in Melbourne is obviously complimented by Everest Day in Sydney for the second consecutive year and side by side the two meetings give us an amazing day of racing in Australia. Given all the controversy and hysteria surrounding the build up to this year’s Everest it will be nice to actually get the race run and won. We will get into that race more later in the preview. It is a fascinating race from a punting perspective. The support card is relatively strong here and the day is pretty much like The Everest itself. Tricky. The trickiness is emphasised by the wet conditions. Sydney has seen rain all week, the worst of which looks to have already hit and we are now as I write this preview on Thursday night looking at a track which is rated Heavy 8. The showers look pretty light over the next couple of days so I am working off a Soft 7 to Heavy 8 in that range. The rail is in the true position and I would expect that the track will play fairly evenly over the course of the day with no disadvantage in particular to being a couple of horses off the fence.

I am kicking the day off in the third race of the day which is for the three year old fillies over the 1400m. This looks a pretty even race. There are quite a few different form lines coming together here. Cristobal certainly looks to be the filly that comes through the stronger races. She has raced in strong company right throughout her career to date and this looks to represent a winnable assignment. On debut she kicked off at Rosehill and was too good for Miss Fabulass. She then beat all bar Sunlight at her second start before not being beaten far in the Percy Sykes. She was spelled post that and her two runs this time in have been a little hard to get a line on. She was never really in the hunt first up before badly missing the start second up and making up many lengths when third behind Gem Song. That run was excellent for mine and if she can jump away with them here from gate two for Hugh Bowman she should be right in the finish. The addition of blinkers looks a key gear change. If that can have her a bit sharper early in the race and she can be within touch it should benefit enormously. The concern is Hugh pushing his way out of a pocket if he needs too with Winx’s fourth Cox Plate on the horizon. I guess we just have to hope for the best. If this filly handles the wet track and gets some luck in running she looks the one to beat.

I am going to keep Bubbles’ntroubles on side who never really got a look at them at Moonee Valley two weeks back. She landed in the coffin behind the leaders on the rail who fell back on top of her and she pretty much went to the line untested. She was a gap between runs there and has had an issue during the week which has dampened my confidence a bit coming into this race. The positives are that she draws well, she has won on heavy going and should land in a gun spot on the speed for Ollie. If she comes to the race and all is well I will back her in to run well and think she will be right in the finish. I would probably be promoting Unguarded should she be scratched.

The other horse I definitely want to back in the race is Evalina. I thought this filly came up really good odds in this race. She has only had the three starts in her career to date and they have all been well spaced. She was beaten on debut at Newcastle and immediately spelled before resuming over 900m there in August and finishing third last. That was a disappointing run and she was five weeks between runs into her next start which was a strong win at Wyong. I really liked that win last start. She was keen and put into the race by Avdulla on the corner and was really strong through the line. The second horse won well at Wyong on Thursday too. I think from gate eight she will come across and land outside the leader and form that position she should be able to be in the finish. Around the $15-20 mark I think she is well worth a ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Cristobal here! I will save with $20 the win on Bubbles’n’troubles and $15 the win on Evalina having half now at the $18 and the other half at Top Fluc on the day!

Race Outlay

$85

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