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Select Race Meeting Event

Race 2

1:10pm

Suggested

Hang Man (No.1), Surprise Baby (No.5) & Silence The Stars (No.10)

Dangers

Schabau (No.3)

Racing returns to Flemington this Saturday for a cracking day of racing. It is Group One Black Caviar Lightning Day. While that race is the main highlight on the program, it is backed up by a really strong support card. There are some deep races on this program. The weather in Melbourne is dry and as a result we will be racing on a good track at Flemington on Saturday. It all sets up for a great day of racing.

I am kicking the day off in the second race which is over the 2000m and we see some up and coming stayers do battle here. I tweeted on Wednesday night that I was surprised in the difference in price between the two favourites here in Hang Man and Schabau. The latter has come up in the red while you are getting more than double the price about Hang Man. I certainly had them much closer than that and was more than happy to side with Hang Man particularly at the price. Schabau was impressive winning here on New Year’s Day but he has had a small setback since that run and comes here a good six weeks between runs. I didn’t think the field he beat first up was overly strong either so he looked under to me. I may be proved wrong as he could turn out to be a very good horse but happy for him to go around in the red without me on Saturday.

Hang Man has had two runs back from a spell now and both have been excellent. His first up win at Caulfield was superb. He resumed over 1400m on Boxing Day, turned on a bit of a display before the race and was a big on course drifter. He then overcame difficulties in the run when charging to the line to salute. He then found a small field over the mile second up on the Sandown Lakeside track. He went back to last in the small field and just gave away too big a start to All Too Huiying who got his own way in front and proved too good. There was nothing wrong with Hang Man’s run, the race just didn’t pan out for him. I wouldn’t be jumping off him based on that. He gets on to his home track here, he steps to the 2000m third up and has the services of Ollie from gate two. I think he has a lot in his favour. He should be able to settle closer in the run and from that draw will be hard to beat in my opinion so happy to be with him.

Surprise Baby is a horse that just keeps taking the next step. He is still in his debut preparation and this will be his fifth run of that campaign but he shows no signs of slowing down. His last start win at The Valley was excellent. He sat three wide no cover the whole way yet still proved too strong for his rivals over the final stages. It was a dominant win. This is certainly another step up but I wouldn’t put it past him making that next step. The big Flemington track should suit him and given I have been with him in three of his four career starts and he has won them all I am obliged to stick with him.

My other bet in the race at massive odds is Silence The Stars. This horse savaged the line first up from the back of the field at The Valley in a slowly run race. He really had no chance from where he was given how the race was run but he really hit the line hard. The 2000m second up suits and he gets Craig Williams on board. He is massive odds here and I thought he was worth a small ticket.

Betting strategy

The money has come back for Hang Man a little bit more as we get closer to the race! I will have $50 the win on him having half now at the $4.60 with BetEasy and the other half at Top Fluc on the day! I will save with $20 the win on Surprise Baby and $10 the win on Silence The Stars!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 2

1:45pm

Suggested

Chauffeur (No.2), Man Of His Word (No.3) & Intuition (No.8)

Dangers

Order Of Command (No.6) & Bord De Gain (No.11)

This is an open race down the straight over the 1200m. There look to be a host of winning chances. I was fortunate to have something on Chauffeur at his first run for the Darren Weir stable when he was first up down the straight five weeks ago. He thundered down the outside rail to win at big odds off the back of a nice jump out and everyone was saying that D K Weir had worked his magic again. That magic theory has been somewhat tarnished since then obviously with the events of the last few weeks. Chauffeur finds himself now in the stables of David Hayes. Last Saturday I tried not to read too much into guessing which Weir horses would improve or go backwards and just judge their chances on the merits of their form and I think when looking back over how horses ran last Saturday there were legitimate reasons why some ex-Weir horses ran really well and others didn’t. For that reason I am happy to take Chauffeur’s last start win at face value. If he repeats that here I think he will be hard to hold out. He looks to draw the right part of the track again out wide and he is a horse that has always displayed well above average ability but hasn’t put it together on race day too often. He did last start and we are getting $7-8 to find out if he can again. If he does I think he will be winning again so for that reason happy to be with him again.

Intuition has had three runs back from a spell this time in and performed well at each of them. He didn’t have a lot of luck first up behind Easy Eddie at Warwick Farm just before Christmas before running second to that horse on the Kensington track at his next start. Last start over this track and distance he looked to be struggling a fair way from home but kept coming through the line to be beaten just over a length. I thought he may have just been exposed a bit early in that race when you consider three of the four horses that beat him home come from behind him. Since that run he has gone back to the jump outs at Werribee and performed quite well behind Sunlight. He gets J-Mac on board here from gate two so he may need a touch of luck from there. If he gets it he will be hard to hold out so happy to be with him.

Man Of His Word is an interesting runner. This is a galloper that is high up in All Star Mile voting. He trialled very nicely at Cranbourne recently and first up last campaign at Caulfield ran a cracking race when not beaten too far behind Brave Song. He draws the right part of the track for Craig Williams and around that $15 mark I think he is worth a ticket here.

Betting strategy

I will have $30 the win on Chauffeur here having half now at the $9 with SportsBet and the other half at Top Fluc on the day! I will also have $25 the win on Intuition and $15 the win on Man Of His Word!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 1

12:50pm

Suggested

Garibaldi (No.1) & Covert Ops (No.3)

Dangers

Fiery Red (No.6) & Rotator (No.7)

Racing in Sydney comes from Randwick this Saturday and all eyes will be on the return of the mighty mare Winx as she goes in search of her 30thconsecutive victory. Aside from that we have a very interesting day of racing. It looks pretty tough there a couple of shorties that I tossed up whether to chime into and it is a bit of a crossover meeting with so many horses resuming coming up against horses that have fitness on side who have been racing well through the summer months. The rail is out three metres and we will be racing on a good track so it looks perfect conditions for racing at Randwick.

I am getting started nice and early in the first race of the day which is for the two year olds. I am looking forward to seeing the return of this two year old from the Gerald Ryan stable in Covert Ops who ran so well on debut in the spring and makes his return to racing here no doubt on a Golden Slipper campaign. He tried to lead all the way on debut here in the spring when he showed brilliant gate speed but was only cut down in the very final stride by Dubious. We have seen that horse come back in the summer and win at Eagle Farm before going down narrowly in the Magic Millions so I expect that form to be relatively strong. Covert Ops easily beat the rest of the field that day. He has trialled super leading into this race and I think if he can bring that to the races first up here he will be hard to hold out. He draws out for Brett Prebble but I am not too concerned about that as it will allow him to come across at his own speed rather than be hunted up from the inside. I think if he can get away with not doing too much work early he will be hard to run down so happy to be with him.

I am keeping the Queensland visitor in Garibaldi on side. Gee, I liked the way this horse went about his work on debut at Eagle Farm two weeks ago. He sat off a good speed before getting to the outside in the straight and running his rivals down quickly before drawing away to win by easily. He just looked a really stylish race horse. He steps up to the 1100m here which should suit given how he finished off last start. He gets Bowman on from gate two and with the speed likely to be strong up front he should be having the last crack at them from a stalking position. I am happy to save on him.

I was on Rotator at a big price on debut when she just went down. I am not with her here as I am just a bit wary of how strong the form is out of that race and I thought she come up pretty short in the market here so prefer to be with Covert Ops and Garibaldi.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Covert Ops here and save with $25 the win on Garibaldi!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 3

2:47pm

Suggested

Astoria (No.4) & El Campeador (No.5)

Dangers

Emphasis (No.2) & Bratislava (No.3)

Racing in Brisbane comes from Doomben this Saturday for what is a pretty stock standard Saturday meeting. Certainly the main focus on Saturday is in Melbourne and Sydney. There are still winners to be found though and I have found three races to bet into at Doomben. The rail is out two metres and we will be racing on a good surface so I would expect horses racing up on speed to be most advantaged as is the case most days at Doomben.

I am kicking off the day in the third race which is over the mile. I think Astoria will get his chance to break through here for the new stable. His two runs since moving up north into the Beaudesert stables of Diane Murphy from the Godolphin yard have been good without winning. He was beaten less than a length in his first run up here on the Sunshine Coast before he carried a big weight last start at Eagle Farm when working early to get up on speed and battling away to not be beaten far behind Bluebrook. This race looks to set up nicely. He gets in real nicely at the weights with just 54kgs on his back for Robbie Fradd and there doesn’t look to be much speed engaged in the small field. I would be hopeful that he could either lead or box seat and from either of those positions he is going to be hard to hold out. Happy to be with him.

I think the big improver in the race at odds might be El Campeador. He has had two runs back from a spell this time in and both of them have just been fair. The key for him here though is that he gets to the mile third up. First up he ran over 1400m and then dropped back in distance last start which really wasn’t ideal. He goes to the mile here, draws gate one, typically races really well here at Doomben and at double figure odds I wouldn’t be surprised to see him run a much improved race here. Happy to be in his corner.

Betting strategy

I will have $60 the win on Astoria here and save with $15 the win on El Campeador!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 2

1:10pm

Suggested

Hang Man (No.1), Surprise Baby (No.5) & Silence The Stars (No.10)

Dangers

Schabau (No.3)

Racing returns to Flemington this Saturday for a cracking day of racing. It is Group One Black Caviar Lightning Day. While that race is the main highlight on the program, it is backed up by a really strong support card. There are some deep races on this program. The weather in Melbourne is dry and as a result we will be racing on a good track at Flemington on Saturday. It all sets up for a great day of racing.

I am kicking the day off in the second race which is over the 2000m and we see some up and coming stayers do battle here. I tweeted on Wednesday night that I was surprised in the difference in price between the two favourites here in Hang Man and Schabau. The latter has come up in the red while you are getting more than double the price about Hang Man. I certainly had them much closer than that and was more than happy to side with Hang Man particularly at the price. Schabau was impressive winning here on New Year’s Day but he has had a small setback since that run and comes here a good six weeks between runs. I didn’t think the field he beat first up was overly strong either so he looked under to me. I may be proved wrong as he could turn out to be a very good horse but happy for him to go around in the red without me on Saturday.

Hang Man has had two runs back from a spell now and both have been excellent. His first up win at Caulfield was superb. He resumed over 1400m on Boxing Day, turned on a bit of a display before the race and was a big on course drifter. He then overcame difficulties in the run when charging to the line to salute. He then found a small field over the mile second up on the Sandown Lakeside track. He went back to last in the small field and just gave away too big a start to All Too Huiying who got his own way in front and proved too good. There was nothing wrong with Hang Man’s run, the race just didn’t pan out for him. I wouldn’t be jumping off him based on that. He gets on to his home track here, he steps to the 2000m third up and has the services of Ollie from gate two. I think he has a lot in his favour. He should be able to settle closer in the run and from that draw will be hard to beat in my opinion so happy to be with him.

Surprise Baby is a horse that just keeps taking the next step. He is still in his debut preparation and this will be his fifth run of that campaign but he shows no signs of slowing down. His last start win at The Valley was excellent. He sat three wide no cover the whole way yet still proved too strong for his rivals over the final stages. It was a dominant win. This is certainly another step up but I wouldn’t put it past him making that next step. The big Flemington track should suit him and given I have been with him in three of his four career starts and he has won them all I am obliged to stick with him.

My other bet in the race at massive odds is Silence The Stars. This horse savaged the line first up from the back of the field at The Valley in a slowly run race. He really had no chance from where he was given how the race was run but he really hit the line hard. The 2000m second up suits and he gets Craig Williams on board. He is massive odds here and I thought he was worth a small ticket.

Betting strategy

The money has come back for Hang Man a little bit more as we get closer to the race! I will have $50 the win on him having half now at the $4.60 with BetEasy and the other half at Top Fluc on the day! I will save with $20 the win on Surprise Baby and $10 the win on Silence The Stars!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 2

1:45pm

Suggested

Chauffeur (No.2), Man Of His Word (No.3) & Intuition (No.8)

Dangers

Order Of Command (No.6) & Bord De Gain (No.11)

This is an open race down the straight over the 1200m. There look to be a host of winning chances. I was fortunate to have something on Chauffeur at his first run for the Darren Weir stable when he was first up down the straight five weeks ago. He thundered down the outside rail to win at big odds off the back of a nice jump out and everyone was saying that D K Weir had worked his magic again. That magic theory has been somewhat tarnished since then obviously with the events of the last few weeks. Chauffeur finds himself now in the stables of David Hayes. Last Saturday I tried not to read too much into guessing which Weir horses would improve or go backwards and just judge their chances on the merits of their form and I think when looking back over how horses ran last Saturday there were legitimate reasons why some ex-Weir horses ran really well and others didn’t. For that reason I am happy to take Chauffeur’s last start win at face value. If he repeats that here I think he will be hard to hold out. He looks to draw the right part of the track again out wide and he is a horse that has always displayed well above average ability but hasn’t put it together on race day too often. He did last start and we are getting $7-8 to find out if he can again. If he does I think he will be winning again so for that reason happy to be with him again.

Intuition has had three runs back from a spell this time in and performed well at each of them. He didn’t have a lot of luck first up behind Easy Eddie at Warwick Farm just before Christmas before running second to that horse on the Kensington track at his next start. Last start over this track and distance he looked to be struggling a fair way from home but kept coming through the line to be beaten just over a length. I thought he may have just been exposed a bit early in that race when you consider three of the four horses that beat him home come from behind him. Since that run he has gone back to the jump outs at Werribee and performed quite well behind Sunlight. He gets J-Mac on board here from gate two so he may need a touch of luck from there. If he gets it he will be hard to hold out so happy to be with him.

Man Of His Word is an interesting runner. This is a galloper that is high up in All Star Mile voting. He trialled very nicely at Cranbourne recently and first up last campaign at Caulfield ran a cracking race when not beaten too far behind Brave Song. He draws the right part of the track for Craig Williams and around that $15 mark I think he is worth a ticket here.

Betting strategy

I will have $30 the win on Chauffeur here having half now at the $9 with SportsBet and the other half at Top Fluc on the day! I will also have $25 the win on Intuition and $15 the win on Man Of His Word!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 1

12:50pm

Suggested

Garibaldi (No.1) & Covert Ops (No.3)

Dangers

Fiery Red (No.6) & Rotator (No.7)

Racing in Sydney comes from Randwick this Saturday and all eyes will be on the return of the mighty mare Winx as she goes in search of her 30thconsecutive victory. Aside from that we have a very interesting day of racing. It looks pretty tough there a couple of shorties that I tossed up whether to chime into and it is a bit of a crossover meeting with so many horses resuming coming up against horses that have fitness on side who have been racing well through the summer months. The rail is out three metres and we will be racing on a good track so it looks perfect conditions for racing at Randwick.

I am getting started nice and early in the first race of the day which is for the two year olds. I am looking forward to seeing the return of this two year old from the Gerald Ryan stable in Covert Ops who ran so well on debut in the spring and makes his return to racing here no doubt on a Golden Slipper campaign. He tried to lead all the way on debut here in the spring when he showed brilliant gate speed but was only cut down in the very final stride by Dubious. We have seen that horse come back in the summer and win at Eagle Farm before going down narrowly in the Magic Millions so I expect that form to be relatively strong. Covert Ops easily beat the rest of the field that day. He has trialled super leading into this race and I think if he can bring that to the races first up here he will be hard to hold out. He draws out for Brett Prebble but I am not too concerned about that as it will allow him to come across at his own speed rather than be hunted up from the inside. I think if he can get away with not doing too much work early he will be hard to run down so happy to be with him.

I am keeping the Queensland visitor in Garibaldi on side. Gee, I liked the way this horse went about his work on debut at Eagle Farm two weeks ago. He sat off a good speed before getting to the outside in the straight and running his rivals down quickly before drawing away to win by easily. He just looked a really stylish race horse. He steps up to the 1100m here which should suit given how he finished off last start. He gets Bowman on from gate two and with the speed likely to be strong up front he should be having the last crack at them from a stalking position. I am happy to save on him.

I was on Rotator at a big price on debut when she just went down. I am not with her here as I am just a bit wary of how strong the form is out of that race and I thought she come up pretty short in the market here so prefer to be with Covert Ops and Garibaldi.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Covert Ops here and save with $25 the win on Garibaldi!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 3

2:47pm

Suggested

Astoria (No.4) & El Campeador (No.5)

Dangers

Emphasis (No.2) & Bratislava (No.3)

Racing in Brisbane comes from Doomben this Saturday for what is a pretty stock standard Saturday meeting. Certainly the main focus on Saturday is in Melbourne and Sydney. There are still winners to be found though and I have found three races to bet into at Doomben. The rail is out two metres and we will be racing on a good surface so I would expect horses racing up on speed to be most advantaged as is the case most days at Doomben.

I am kicking off the day in the third race which is over the mile. I think Astoria will get his chance to break through here for the new stable. His two runs since moving up north into the Beaudesert stables of Diane Murphy from the Godolphin yard have been good without winning. He was beaten less than a length in his first run up here on the Sunshine Coast before he carried a big weight last start at Eagle Farm when working early to get up on speed and battling away to not be beaten far behind Bluebrook. This race looks to set up nicely. He gets in real nicely at the weights with just 54kgs on his back for Robbie Fradd and there doesn’t look to be much speed engaged in the small field. I would be hopeful that he could either lead or box seat and from either of those positions he is going to be hard to hold out. Happy to be with him.

I think the big improver in the race at odds might be El Campeador. He has had two runs back from a spell this time in and both of them have just been fair. The key for him here though is that he gets to the mile third up. First up he ran over 1400m and then dropped back in distance last start which really wasn’t ideal. He goes to the mile here, draws gate one, typically races really well here at Doomben and at double figure odds I wouldn’t be surprised to see him run a much improved race here. Happy to be in his corner.

Betting strategy

I will have $60 the win on Astoria here and save with $15 the win on El Campeador!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 2

1:10pm

Suggested

Hang Man (No.1), Surprise Baby (No.5) & Silence The Stars (No.10)

Dangers

Schabau (No.3)

Racing returns to Flemington this Saturday for a cracking day of racing. It is Group One Black Caviar Lightning Day. While that race is the main highlight on the program, it is backed up by a really strong support card. There are some deep races on this program. The weather in Melbourne is dry and as a result we will be racing on a good track at Flemington on Saturday. It all sets up for a great day of racing.

I am kicking the day off in the second race which is over the 2000m and we see some up and coming stayers do battle here. I tweeted on Wednesday night that I was surprised in the difference in price between the two favourites here in Hang Man and Schabau. The latter has come up in the red while you are getting more than double the price about Hang Man. I certainly had them much closer than that and was more than happy to side with Hang Man particularly at the price. Schabau was impressive winning here on New Year’s Day but he has had a small setback since that run and comes here a good six weeks between runs. I didn’t think the field he beat first up was overly strong either so he looked under to me. I may be proved wrong as he could turn out to be a very good horse but happy for him to go around in the red without me on Saturday.

Hang Man has had two runs back from a spell now and both have been excellent. His first up win at Caulfield was superb. He resumed over 1400m on Boxing Day, turned on a bit of a display before the race and was a big on course drifter. He then overcame difficulties in the run when charging to the line to salute. He then found a small field over the mile second up on the Sandown Lakeside track. He went back to last in the small field and just gave away too big a start to All Too Huiying who got his own way in front and proved too good. There was nothing wrong with Hang Man’s run, the race just didn’t pan out for him. I wouldn’t be jumping off him based on that. He gets on to his home track here, he steps to the 2000m third up and has the services of Ollie from gate two. I think he has a lot in his favour. He should be able to settle closer in the run and from that draw will be hard to beat in my opinion so happy to be with him.

Surprise Baby is a horse that just keeps taking the next step. He is still in his debut preparation and this will be his fifth run of that campaign but he shows no signs of slowing down. His last start win at The Valley was excellent. He sat three wide no cover the whole way yet still proved too strong for his rivals over the final stages. It was a dominant win. This is certainly another step up but I wouldn’t put it past him making that next step. The big Flemington track should suit him and given I have been with him in three of his four career starts and he has won them all I am obliged to stick with him.

My other bet in the race at massive odds is Silence The Stars. This horse savaged the line first up from the back of the field at The Valley in a slowly run race. He really had no chance from where he was given how the race was run but he really hit the line hard. The 2000m second up suits and he gets Craig Williams on board. He is massive odds here and I thought he was worth a small ticket.

Betting strategy

The money has come back for Hang Man a little bit more as we get closer to the race! I will have $50 the win on him having half now at the $4.60 with BetEasy and the other half at Top Fluc on the day! I will save with $20 the win on Surprise Baby and $10 the win on Silence The Stars!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 2

1:45pm

Suggested

Chauffeur (No.2), Man Of His Word (No.3) & Intuition (No.8)

Dangers

Order Of Command (No.6) & Bord De Gain (No.11)

This is an open race down the straight over the 1200m. There look to be a host of winning chances. I was fortunate to have something on Chauffeur at his first run for the Darren Weir stable when he was first up down the straight five weeks ago. He thundered down the outside rail to win at big odds off the back of a nice jump out and everyone was saying that D K Weir had worked his magic again. That magic theory has been somewhat tarnished since then obviously with the events of the last few weeks. Chauffeur finds himself now in the stables of David Hayes. Last Saturday I tried not to read too much into guessing which Weir horses would improve or go backwards and just judge their chances on the merits of their form and I think when looking back over how horses ran last Saturday there were legitimate reasons why some ex-Weir horses ran really well and others didn’t. For that reason I am happy to take Chauffeur’s last start win at face value. If he repeats that here I think he will be hard to hold out. He looks to draw the right part of the track again out wide and he is a horse that has always displayed well above average ability but hasn’t put it together on race day too often. He did last start and we are getting $7-8 to find out if he can again. If he does I think he will be winning again so for that reason happy to be with him again.

Intuition has had three runs back from a spell this time in and performed well at each of them. He didn’t have a lot of luck first up behind Easy Eddie at Warwick Farm just before Christmas before running second to that horse on the Kensington track at his next start. Last start over this track and distance he looked to be struggling a fair way from home but kept coming through the line to be beaten just over a length. I thought he may have just been exposed a bit early in that race when you consider three of the four horses that beat him home come from behind him. Since that run he has gone back to the jump outs at Werribee and performed quite well behind Sunlight. He gets J-Mac on board here from gate two so he may need a touch of luck from there. If he gets it he will be hard to hold out so happy to be with him.

Man Of His Word is an interesting runner. This is a galloper that is high up in All Star Mile voting. He trialled very nicely at Cranbourne recently and first up last campaign at Caulfield ran a cracking race when not beaten too far behind Brave Song. He draws the right part of the track for Craig Williams and around that $15 mark I think he is worth a ticket here.

Betting strategy

I will have $30 the win on Chauffeur here having half now at the $9 with SportsBet and the other half at Top Fluc on the day! I will also have $25 the win on Intuition and $15 the win on Man Of His Word!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 1

12:50pm

Suggested

Garibaldi (No.1) & Covert Ops (No.3)

Dangers

Fiery Red (No.6) & Rotator (No.7)

Racing in Sydney comes from Randwick this Saturday and all eyes will be on the return of the mighty mare Winx as she goes in search of her 30thconsecutive victory. Aside from that we have a very interesting day of racing. It looks pretty tough there a couple of shorties that I tossed up whether to chime into and it is a bit of a crossover meeting with so many horses resuming coming up against horses that have fitness on side who have been racing well through the summer months. The rail is out three metres and we will be racing on a good track so it looks perfect conditions for racing at Randwick.

I am getting started nice and early in the first race of the day which is for the two year olds. I am looking forward to seeing the return of this two year old from the Gerald Ryan stable in Covert Ops who ran so well on debut in the spring and makes his return to racing here no doubt on a Golden Slipper campaign. He tried to lead all the way on debut here in the spring when he showed brilliant gate speed but was only cut down in the very final stride by Dubious. We have seen that horse come back in the summer and win at Eagle Farm before going down narrowly in the Magic Millions so I expect that form to be relatively strong. Covert Ops easily beat the rest of the field that day. He has trialled super leading into this race and I think if he can bring that to the races first up here he will be hard to hold out. He draws out for Brett Prebble but I am not too concerned about that as it will allow him to come across at his own speed rather than be hunted up from the inside. I think if he can get away with not doing too much work early he will be hard to run down so happy to be with him.

I am keeping the Queensland visitor in Garibaldi on side. Gee, I liked the way this horse went about his work on debut at Eagle Farm two weeks ago. He sat off a good speed before getting to the outside in the straight and running his rivals down quickly before drawing away to win by easily. He just looked a really stylish race horse. He steps up to the 1100m here which should suit given how he finished off last start. He gets Bowman on from gate two and with the speed likely to be strong up front he should be having the last crack at them from a stalking position. I am happy to save on him.

I was on Rotator at a big price on debut when she just went down. I am not with her here as I am just a bit wary of how strong the form is out of that race and I thought she come up pretty short in the market here so prefer to be with Covert Ops and Garibaldi.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Covert Ops here and save with $25 the win on Garibaldi!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 3

2:47pm

Suggested

Astoria (No.4) & El Campeador (No.5)

Dangers

Emphasis (No.2) & Bratislava (No.3)

Racing in Brisbane comes from Doomben this Saturday for what is a pretty stock standard Saturday meeting. Certainly the main focus on Saturday is in Melbourne and Sydney. There are still winners to be found though and I have found three races to bet into at Doomben. The rail is out two metres and we will be racing on a good surface so I would expect horses racing up on speed to be most advantaged as is the case most days at Doomben.

I am kicking off the day in the third race which is over the mile. I think Astoria will get his chance to break through here for the new stable. His two runs since moving up north into the Beaudesert stables of Diane Murphy from the Godolphin yard have been good without winning. He was beaten less than a length in his first run up here on the Sunshine Coast before he carried a big weight last start at Eagle Farm when working early to get up on speed and battling away to not be beaten far behind Bluebrook. This race looks to set up nicely. He gets in real nicely at the weights with just 54kgs on his back for Robbie Fradd and there doesn’t look to be much speed engaged in the small field. I would be hopeful that he could either lead or box seat and from either of those positions he is going to be hard to hold out. Happy to be with him.

I think the big improver in the race at odds might be El Campeador. He has had two runs back from a spell this time in and both of them have just been fair. The key for him here though is that he gets to the mile third up. First up he ran over 1400m and then dropped back in distance last start which really wasn’t ideal. He goes to the mile here, draws gate one, typically races really well here at Doomben and at double figure odds I wouldn’t be surprised to see him run a much improved race here. Happy to be in his corner.

Betting strategy

I will have $60 the win on Astoria here and save with $15 the win on El Campeador!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 2

1:10pm

Suggested

Hang Man (No.1), Surprise Baby (No.5) & Silence The Stars (No.10)

Dangers

Schabau (No.3)

Racing returns to Flemington this Saturday for a cracking day of racing. It is Group One Black Caviar Lightning Day. While that race is the main highlight on the program, it is backed up by a really strong support card. There are some deep races on this program. The weather in Melbourne is dry and as a result we will be racing on a good track at Flemington on Saturday. It all sets up for a great day of racing.

I am kicking the day off in the second race which is over the 2000m and we see some up and coming stayers do battle here. I tweeted on Wednesday night that I was surprised in the difference in price between the two favourites here in Hang Man and Schabau. The latter has come up in the red while you are getting more than double the price about Hang Man. I certainly had them much closer than that and was more than happy to side with Hang Man particularly at the price. Schabau was impressive winning here on New Year’s Day but he has had a small setback since that run and comes here a good six weeks between runs. I didn’t think the field he beat first up was overly strong either so he looked under to me. I may be proved wrong as he could turn out to be a very good horse but happy for him to go around in the red without me on Saturday.

Hang Man has had two runs back from a spell now and both have been excellent. His first up win at Caulfield was superb. He resumed over 1400m on Boxing Day, turned on a bit of a display before the race and was a big on course drifter. He then overcame difficulties in the run when charging to the line to salute. He then found a small field over the mile second up on the Sandown Lakeside track. He went back to last in the small field and just gave away too big a start to All Too Huiying who got his own way in front and proved too good. There was nothing wrong with Hang Man’s run, the race just didn’t pan out for him. I wouldn’t be jumping off him based on that. He gets on to his home track here, he steps to the 2000m third up and has the services of Ollie from gate two. I think he has a lot in his favour. He should be able to settle closer in the run and from that draw will be hard to beat in my opinion so happy to be with him.

Surprise Baby is a horse that just keeps taking the next step. He is still in his debut preparation and this will be his fifth run of that campaign but he shows no signs of slowing down. His last start win at The Valley was excellent. He sat three wide no cover the whole way yet still proved too strong for his rivals over the final stages. It was a dominant win. This is certainly another step up but I wouldn’t put it past him making that next step. The big Flemington track should suit him and given I have been with him in three of his four career starts and he has won them all I am obliged to stick with him.

My other bet in the race at massive odds is Silence The Stars. This horse savaged the line first up from the back of the field at The Valley in a slowly run race. He really had no chance from where he was given how the race was run but he really hit the line hard. The 2000m second up suits and he gets Craig Williams on board. He is massive odds here and I thought he was worth a small ticket.

Betting strategy

The money has come back for Hang Man a little bit more as we get closer to the race! I will have $50 the win on him having half now at the $4.60 with BetEasy and the other half at Top Fluc on the day! I will save with $20 the win on Surprise Baby and $10 the win on Silence The Stars!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 2

1:45pm

Suggested

Chauffeur (No.2), Man Of His Word (No.3) & Intuition (No.8)

Dangers

Order Of Command (No.6) & Bord De Gain (No.11)

This is an open race down the straight over the 1200m. There look to be a host of winning chances. I was fortunate to have something on Chauffeur at his first run for the Darren Weir stable when he was first up down the straight five weeks ago. He thundered down the outside rail to win at big odds off the back of a nice jump out and everyone was saying that D K Weir had worked his magic again. That magic theory has been somewhat tarnished since then obviously with the events of the last few weeks. Chauffeur finds himself now in the stables of David Hayes. Last Saturday I tried not to read too much into guessing which Weir horses would improve or go backwards and just judge their chances on the merits of their form and I think when looking back over how horses ran last Saturday there were legitimate reasons why some ex-Weir horses ran really well and others didn’t. For that reason I am happy to take Chauffeur’s last start win at face value. If he repeats that here I think he will be hard to hold out. He looks to draw the right part of the track again out wide and he is a horse that has always displayed well above average ability but hasn’t put it together on race day too often. He did last start and we are getting $7-8 to find out if he can again. If he does I think he will be winning again so for that reason happy to be with him again.

Intuition has had three runs back from a spell this time in and performed well at each of them. He didn’t have a lot of luck first up behind Easy Eddie at Warwick Farm just before Christmas before running second to that horse on the Kensington track at his next start. Last start over this track and distance he looked to be struggling a fair way from home but kept coming through the line to be beaten just over a length. I thought he may have just been exposed a bit early in that race when you consider three of the four horses that beat him home come from behind him. Since that run he has gone back to the jump outs at Werribee and performed quite well behind Sunlight. He gets J-Mac on board here from gate two so he may need a touch of luck from there. If he gets it he will be hard to hold out so happy to be with him.

Man Of His Word is an interesting runner. This is a galloper that is high up in All Star Mile voting. He trialled very nicely at Cranbourne recently and first up last campaign at Caulfield ran a cracking race when not beaten too far behind Brave Song. He draws the right part of the track for Craig Williams and around that $15 mark I think he is worth a ticket here.

Betting strategy

I will have $30 the win on Chauffeur here having half now at the $9 with SportsBet and the other half at Top Fluc on the day! I will also have $25 the win on Intuition and $15 the win on Man Of His Word!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 1

12:50pm

Suggested

Garibaldi (No.1) & Covert Ops (No.3)

Dangers

Fiery Red (No.6) & Rotator (No.7)

Racing in Sydney comes from Randwick this Saturday and all eyes will be on the return of the mighty mare Winx as she goes in search of her 30thconsecutive victory. Aside from that we have a very interesting day of racing. It looks pretty tough there a couple of shorties that I tossed up whether to chime into and it is a bit of a crossover meeting with so many horses resuming coming up against horses that have fitness on side who have been racing well through the summer months. The rail is out three metres and we will be racing on a good track so it looks perfect conditions for racing at Randwick.

I am getting started nice and early in the first race of the day which is for the two year olds. I am looking forward to seeing the return of this two year old from the Gerald Ryan stable in Covert Ops who ran so well on debut in the spring and makes his return to racing here no doubt on a Golden Slipper campaign. He tried to lead all the way on debut here in the spring when he showed brilliant gate speed but was only cut down in the very final stride by Dubious. We have seen that horse come back in the summer and win at Eagle Farm before going down narrowly in the Magic Millions so I expect that form to be relatively strong. Covert Ops easily beat the rest of the field that day. He has trialled super leading into this race and I think if he can bring that to the races first up here he will be hard to hold out. He draws out for Brett Prebble but I am not too concerned about that as it will allow him to come across at his own speed rather than be hunted up from the inside. I think if he can get away with not doing too much work early he will be hard to run down so happy to be with him.

I am keeping the Queensland visitor in Garibaldi on side. Gee, I liked the way this horse went about his work on debut at Eagle Farm two weeks ago. He sat off a good speed before getting to the outside in the straight and running his rivals down quickly before drawing away to win by easily. He just looked a really stylish race horse. He steps up to the 1100m here which should suit given how he finished off last start. He gets Bowman on from gate two and with the speed likely to be strong up front he should be having the last crack at them from a stalking position. I am happy to save on him.

I was on Rotator at a big price on debut when she just went down. I am not with her here as I am just a bit wary of how strong the form is out of that race and I thought she come up pretty short in the market here so prefer to be with Covert Ops and Garibaldi.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Covert Ops here and save with $25 the win on Garibaldi!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 3

2:47pm

Suggested

Astoria (No.4) & El Campeador (No.5)

Dangers

Emphasis (No.2) & Bratislava (No.3)

Racing in Brisbane comes from Doomben this Saturday for what is a pretty stock standard Saturday meeting. Certainly the main focus on Saturday is in Melbourne and Sydney. There are still winners to be found though and I have found three races to bet into at Doomben. The rail is out two metres and we will be racing on a good surface so I would expect horses racing up on speed to be most advantaged as is the case most days at Doomben.

I am kicking off the day in the third race which is over the mile. I think Astoria will get his chance to break through here for the new stable. His two runs since moving up north into the Beaudesert stables of Diane Murphy from the Godolphin yard have been good without winning. He was beaten less than a length in his first run up here on the Sunshine Coast before he carried a big weight last start at Eagle Farm when working early to get up on speed and battling away to not be beaten far behind Bluebrook. This race looks to set up nicely. He gets in real nicely at the weights with just 54kgs on his back for Robbie Fradd and there doesn’t look to be much speed engaged in the small field. I would be hopeful that he could either lead or box seat and from either of those positions he is going to be hard to hold out. Happy to be with him.

I think the big improver in the race at odds might be El Campeador. He has had two runs back from a spell this time in and both of them have just been fair. The key for him here though is that he gets to the mile third up. First up he ran over 1400m and then dropped back in distance last start which really wasn’t ideal. He goes to the mile here, draws gate one, typically races really well here at Doomben and at double figure odds I wouldn’t be surprised to see him run a much improved race here. Happy to be in his corner.

Betting strategy

I will have $60 the win on Astoria here and save with $15 the win on El Campeador!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 2

1:10pm

Suggested

Hang Man (No.1), Surprise Baby (No.5) & Silence The Stars (No.10)

Dangers

Schabau (No.3)

Racing returns to Flemington this Saturday for a cracking day of racing. It is Group One Black Caviar Lightning Day. While that race is the main highlight on the program, it is backed up by a really strong support card. There are some deep races on this program. The weather in Melbourne is dry and as a result we will be racing on a good track at Flemington on Saturday. It all sets up for a great day of racing.

I am kicking the day off in the second race which is over the 2000m and we see some up and coming stayers do battle here. I tweeted on Wednesday night that I was surprised in the difference in price between the two favourites here in Hang Man and Schabau. The latter has come up in the red while you are getting more than double the price about Hang Man. I certainly had them much closer than that and was more than happy to side with Hang Man particularly at the price. Schabau was impressive winning here on New Year’s Day but he has had a small setback since that run and comes here a good six weeks between runs. I didn’t think the field he beat first up was overly strong either so he looked under to me. I may be proved wrong as he could turn out to be a very good horse but happy for him to go around in the red without me on Saturday.

Hang Man has had two runs back from a spell now and both have been excellent. His first up win at Caulfield was superb. He resumed over 1400m on Boxing Day, turned on a bit of a display before the race and was a big on course drifter. He then overcame difficulties in the run when charging to the line to salute. He then found a small field over the mile second up on the Sandown Lakeside track. He went back to last in the small field and just gave away too big a start to All Too Huiying who got his own way in front and proved too good. There was nothing wrong with Hang Man’s run, the race just didn’t pan out for him. I wouldn’t be jumping off him based on that. He gets on to his home track here, he steps to the 2000m third up and has the services of Ollie from gate two. I think he has a lot in his favour. He should be able to settle closer in the run and from that draw will be hard to beat in my opinion so happy to be with him.

Surprise Baby is a horse that just keeps taking the next step. He is still in his debut preparation and this will be his fifth run of that campaign but he shows no signs of slowing down. His last start win at The Valley was excellent. He sat three wide no cover the whole way yet still proved too strong for his rivals over the final stages. It was a dominant win. This is certainly another step up but I wouldn’t put it past him making that next step. The big Flemington track should suit him and given I have been with him in three of his four career starts and he has won them all I am obliged to stick with him.

My other bet in the race at massive odds is Silence The Stars. This horse savaged the line first up from the back of the field at The Valley in a slowly run race. He really had no chance from where he was given how the race was run but he really hit the line hard. The 2000m second up suits and he gets Craig Williams on board. He is massive odds here and I thought he was worth a small ticket.

Betting strategy

The money has come back for Hang Man a little bit more as we get closer to the race! I will have $50 the win on him having half now at the $4.60 with BetEasy and the other half at Top Fluc on the day! I will save with $20 the win on Surprise Baby and $10 the win on Silence The Stars!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 2

1:45pm

Suggested

Chauffeur (No.2), Man Of His Word (No.3) & Intuition (No.8)

Dangers

Order Of Command (No.6) & Bord De Gain (No.11)

This is an open race down the straight over the 1200m. There look to be a host of winning chances. I was fortunate to have something on Chauffeur at his first run for the Darren Weir stable when he was first up down the straight five weeks ago. He thundered down the outside rail to win at big odds off the back of a nice jump out and everyone was saying that D K Weir had worked his magic again. That magic theory has been somewhat tarnished since then obviously with the events of the last few weeks. Chauffeur finds himself now in the stables of David Hayes. Last Saturday I tried not to read too much into guessing which Weir horses would improve or go backwards and just judge their chances on the merits of their form and I think when looking back over how horses ran last Saturday there were legitimate reasons why some ex-Weir horses ran really well and others didn’t. For that reason I am happy to take Chauffeur’s last start win at face value. If he repeats that here I think he will be hard to hold out. He looks to draw the right part of the track again out wide and he is a horse that has always displayed well above average ability but hasn’t put it together on race day too often. He did last start and we are getting $7-8 to find out if he can again. If he does I think he will be winning again so for that reason happy to be with him again.

Intuition has had three runs back from a spell this time in and performed well at each of them. He didn’t have a lot of luck first up behind Easy Eddie at Warwick Farm just before Christmas before running second to that horse on the Kensington track at his next start. Last start over this track and distance he looked to be struggling a fair way from home but kept coming through the line to be beaten just over a length. I thought he may have just been exposed a bit early in that race when you consider three of the four horses that beat him home come from behind him. Since that run he has gone back to the jump outs at Werribee and performed quite well behind Sunlight. He gets J-Mac on board here from gate two so he may need a touch of luck from there. If he gets it he will be hard to hold out so happy to be with him.

Man Of His Word is an interesting runner. This is a galloper that is high up in All Star Mile voting. He trialled very nicely at Cranbourne recently and first up last campaign at Caulfield ran a cracking race when not beaten too far behind Brave Song. He draws the right part of the track for Craig Williams and around that $15 mark I think he is worth a ticket here.

Betting strategy

I will have $30 the win on Chauffeur here having half now at the $9 with SportsBet and the other half at Top Fluc on the day! I will also have $25 the win on Intuition and $15 the win on Man Of His Word!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 1

12:50pm

Suggested

Garibaldi (No.1) & Covert Ops (No.3)

Dangers

Fiery Red (No.6) & Rotator (No.7)

Racing in Sydney comes from Randwick this Saturday and all eyes will be on the return of the mighty mare Winx as she goes in search of her 30thconsecutive victory. Aside from that we have a very interesting day of racing. It looks pretty tough there a couple of shorties that I tossed up whether to chime into and it is a bit of a crossover meeting with so many horses resuming coming up against horses that have fitness on side who have been racing well through the summer months. The rail is out three metres and we will be racing on a good track so it looks perfect conditions for racing at Randwick.

I am getting started nice and early in the first race of the day which is for the two year olds. I am looking forward to seeing the return of this two year old from the Gerald Ryan stable in Covert Ops who ran so well on debut in the spring and makes his return to racing here no doubt on a Golden Slipper campaign. He tried to lead all the way on debut here in the spring when he showed brilliant gate speed but was only cut down in the very final stride by Dubious. We have seen that horse come back in the summer and win at Eagle Farm before going down narrowly in the Magic Millions so I expect that form to be relatively strong. Covert Ops easily beat the rest of the field that day. He has trialled super leading into this race and I think if he can bring that to the races first up here he will be hard to hold out. He draws out for Brett Prebble but I am not too concerned about that as it will allow him to come across at his own speed rather than be hunted up from the inside. I think if he can get away with not doing too much work early he will be hard to run down so happy to be with him.

I am keeping the Queensland visitor in Garibaldi on side. Gee, I liked the way this horse went about his work on debut at Eagle Farm two weeks ago. He sat off a good speed before getting to the outside in the straight and running his rivals down quickly before drawing away to win by easily. He just looked a really stylish race horse. He steps up to the 1100m here which should suit given how he finished off last start. He gets Bowman on from gate two and with the speed likely to be strong up front he should be having the last crack at them from a stalking position. I am happy to save on him.

I was on Rotator at a big price on debut when she just went down. I am not with her here as I am just a bit wary of how strong the form is out of that race and I thought she come up pretty short in the market here so prefer to be with Covert Ops and Garibaldi.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Covert Ops here and save with $25 the win on Garibaldi!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 3

2:47pm

Suggested

Astoria (No.4) & El Campeador (No.5)

Dangers

Emphasis (No.2) & Bratislava (No.3)

Racing in Brisbane comes from Doomben this Saturday for what is a pretty stock standard Saturday meeting. Certainly the main focus on Saturday is in Melbourne and Sydney. There are still winners to be found though and I have found three races to bet into at Doomben. The rail is out two metres and we will be racing on a good surface so I would expect horses racing up on speed to be most advantaged as is the case most days at Doomben.

I am kicking off the day in the third race which is over the mile. I think Astoria will get his chance to break through here for the new stable. His two runs since moving up north into the Beaudesert stables of Diane Murphy from the Godolphin yard have been good without winning. He was beaten less than a length in his first run up here on the Sunshine Coast before he carried a big weight last start at Eagle Farm when working early to get up on speed and battling away to not be beaten far behind Bluebrook. This race looks to set up nicely. He gets in real nicely at the weights with just 54kgs on his back for Robbie Fradd and there doesn’t look to be much speed engaged in the small field. I would be hopeful that he could either lead or box seat and from either of those positions he is going to be hard to hold out. Happy to be with him.

I think the big improver in the race at odds might be El Campeador. He has had two runs back from a spell this time in and both of them have just been fair. The key for him here though is that he gets to the mile third up. First up he ran over 1400m and then dropped back in distance last start which really wasn’t ideal. He goes to the mile here, draws gate one, typically races really well here at Doomben and at double figure odds I wouldn’t be surprised to see him run a much improved race here. Happy to be in his corner.

Betting strategy

I will have $60 the win on Astoria here and save with $15 the win on El Campeador!

Race Outlay

$75

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