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Select Race Meeting Event

Race 1

12:30pm

Suggested

Power Scheme (No.1) & The Holy One (No.2)

Dangers

Conqueror (No.4) & All Too Terrific (No.8)

Racing in Melbourne returns to The Valley this Saturday for what looks a cracking spring meeting. There is some really good depth to the program and it looks like a meeting that will shape a fair bit of the spring. The interesting component is going to be the weather and track conditions. There is a lot of rain forecast on Friday and a bit more early on Saturday so if the expected amounts arrive I would anticipate us getting into the soft range on race day. With the rail in the true position that should see horses coming from that stalking position away from the rail and off speed potentially advantaged. I thought the track played superbly at the last meeting though and was really even so I won’t be placing too much emphasis on any bias.

We get a good look at it early as I am kicking off in the first race of the day which is for the three year olds over the 1500m. It looks a little bit tricky this race. There are a few different form lines coming together and a lot of the form around some of the races that these gallopers come through isn’t great. There hasn’t been much done on the clock either. For that reason I ended up thinking the form from the race won by The Holy One might be the strongest reference here and given he lines up himself in the race I think he is quite clearly the one to beat. He was supported on debut at Bendigo but did nothing before the blinkers went on at Echuca at start number two and he went straight to the front and won most impressively. The most pleasing aspect about the win was how strong he was through the line. The second horse from that race came out and won impressively at his next start. The Holy One himself came out at Sandown and won most impressively. He was three wide just off the speed but moved up outside the leaders early in the home straight, took over and held his rivals at bay comfortably. I thought it was a pretty dominant win and he landed good bets that day. I see no reason why he can’t be winning again here. I anticipate he rolls forward and probably lands outside the leader for Meech and from that position can really control the race. Both wins have come on soft ground so that is no issue and happy to be with him.

Given the question marks on a few of the form lines I am going to keep the resuming Power Scheme on side just in case. This galloper from the Hayes yard resumes here after running some good races as a two year old in good company. He was a winner of the Fernhill at listed level at Randwick and wasn’t beaten far in the Sires here at Flemington which is turning into a fairly decent form reference. He has had three jump outs leading into this first up run as a gelding and I don’t think he strikes the hardest of races so given the fact he should be forward enough of those jump outs I can see him running well here and want him in my corner.

Betting strategy

I am pretty keen on The Holy One here and will have $60 the win on him having half now at the $3.30 on offer and the other half on the day! I will save with $25 the win on Power Scheme!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 2

1:05pm

Suggested

Junipal (No.1), Five Kingdom (No.3) & Wenner (No.8)

Dangers

Laure Me In (No.6) & Heir To The Throne (No.12)

This is a big field here over the mile with the main form reference being the race won by Junipal last start and a bit like the first race I don’t see any reason to not stick with the winning formula. I think that might have been a confidence boosting win for Junipal. He had been running well without winning prior to that performance two weeks ago and now that he has broken through I am hoping he might go on with the job. He is a four year old that for mine is still on the way up and potentially going on to better races and if that is the case he probably needs to be winning a race like this again. It is still a field of off season gallopers and he really does stand out as the horse that is on the upward spiral. He draws a nice middle gate for Teo Nugent to settle off the speed, any give in the track will be a bonus for him and I think he is clearly the horse they have to beat.

Wenner comes through that same race and was having his first run for five weeks. I had something on him at big odds and thought he ran quite well. He was slow to begin which meant that he ended up well back in the field and just was never able to build full momentum in between horses until the home straight. I thought he worked through the line quite nicely and wasn’t beaten far. I am hoping with a cleaner getaway here he might be able to roll forward and land on speed and if that is the case he could prove hard to get past. He will be one that won’t want too much rain to arrive but around that $20-30 mark I thought he was worth a ticket.

Five Kingdom is the horse that looks set to improve sharply here for mine and looks well over his true odds in the early markets, particularly with SportsBet where he went up $12. I thought his run last start at Caulfield was good. It was an on pace dominated race and he made up good ground along the inside to finish just off the placegetters. The form from that race has stood up with Age Of Chivalry winning again, Rox The Castle winning and Shot Of Irish just being touched off by Junipal. I am hoping the wide draw isn’t a disadvantage if he can slot in with cover off the speed and get the right trail into the race. He gets blinkers on which should see him a bit closer to the speed and the step up to the mile looks like it will suit him ideally. I think that $12 is well over his true odds so more than happy to be with him here.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Junipal here, $20 the win on Five Kingdom locking in the $11 now with SportsBet and $10 the win on Wenner!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 1

12:10pm

Suggested

Superium (No.1), Yao Dash (No.4) & Emeralds (No.9)

Dangers

Pandemic (No.2)

Racing in Sydney comes from Randwick this Saturday for what looks an outstanding meeting. We are going to be blessed over the next few weeks with good meetings in both Melbourne and Sydney and this Randwick meeting is no exception. As I write the preview on Thursday morning the track is soft, but the forecast is for dry breezy days with some sun so I would be banking on the track potentially improving quite quickly into Saturday and we will be on a Soft 5 at worst in my opinion and potentially into the good range. The rail is out eight metres so it will be interesting as to how the track will play. There certainly looked to be an advantage to rails run in at the last meeting when the rail was out four metres. It was pretty hard to come wide and make ground from the back so I think the early races could tell a tale. I wouldn’t be surprised if early in the day that on speed pattern was a real advantage.

Speaking of early in the day, we don’t have to wait long to dive into the action. The first race of the day is an absolute cracker. It is for the three year olds over the 1300m and it has drawn together a small but select field. It is a cracking race. Pandemic has come up the favourite on the back of a dynamite victory on the Kensington track three weeks ago when he came off heels and really exploded showing a nice turn of foot to salute. I think the setup of this race is a bit different. He will have to get past stronger horses over a longer trip and as such I am happy to take him on at the short quote today after being with him last start.

Gee, it wasn’t fun doing the form for this race and watching the replay of Superium’s last start run where he was first past the post and lost it in the protest room. I was obviously on Superium and happily hold my hands up if a protest legitimately goes against me but I didn’t even bother taking notice of this one as I thought it was that frivolous. I was baffled it was upheld. Regardless, this horse Superium has come back well. He was super behind Dawn Passage first up and I loved how strong he was in the fight last start when holding off True Detective. He does shoot up in the weights here but he brings into the race some really strong proven form lines. I think he will roll forward from gate eight and land outside of Yao Dash who is drawn inside of him and will most likely cross and lead. From there he can stay outside the leader or allow Pretty Brazen to come across him and land one out and one back as that horse is drawn outside of him. I think the race sets up really nicely for him and happy to be with him.

I am also happy to be with the mentioned leader in Yao Dash. He was excellent winning on debut. He sat outside the leader, took over early in the straight and didn’t look to be going great guns, but he really extended when Nash asked for an effort and found another gear to charge through the line and win running away. It was an impressive win. I think he can take up the running here and control the race in front and given how strong he was through the line last start he is going to be hard to get past in the straight with Nash driving him to the post.

I am going to have a sneaky bet on Emeralds too. I liked her recent trial and she showed enough in her two year old season to suggest she might be able to measure up here. She will do no early work from an inside gate, gets in with no weight on her back after the claim and might be worth a sneaky ticket at $20-30 in a cracking race.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on both Superium and Yao Dash here and $10 the win on Emeralds!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 3

1:25pm

Suggested

Invictus Salute (No.2), Bare Naked Lady (No.5) & Jay Jay D’ar (No.6)

Dangers

Bleu Roche (No.1) & Ballistica (No.7)

This is a good race for the three year old fillies over the 1100m. There look to be quite a few winning chances. I was most keen to be with Invictus Salute who is a mare that has always displayed good talent but I feel as if she is starting to really put it all together. She raced really consistently towards the end of her last campaign in some pretty handy off season sprint races and I wouldn’t be surprised if she really goes on with it this campaign. I loved her recent trial at Randwick. She led the field up there and I liked the way she went through the line when asked for an effort. She held her rivals easily and it was a strong piece of work. The thing about this race is that there doesn’t look to be a heap of speed for an 1100m race. Miss Invincible and the bolter Annie Pru look the most likely to come across with Bare Naked Lady. I think Invictus Salute box seats behind Miss Invincible and hopefully she should beat off Annie Pru early in the straight which will present the run for Invictus Salute to come off her back and run her down. Happy to be with her.

Bare Naked Lady is the other horse I mainly want to be on in the race. She resumes here from a short spell and is another that raced really consistently last campaign but she was unable to break through for a victory. Her form around Wild Planet, Military Zone and Notation through that campaign; all horses she wasn’t beaten far by looks good for a race of this nature. From gate seven I think she can come across and let the two mentioned above cross her which will see her land one out and one back in a perfect stalking position. From there she should be hard to hold out so happy to be with her around that $7-8 mark.

The other horse I want to be on just in case is Jay Jay D’ar. This is an interesting runner now with the Chris Waller yard after previously being with Paddy Payne in Victoria. She wasn’t far off Sylvia’s Mother two starts ago and that mare would be long odds on here before Jay Jay D’ar went to Mildura and carried a big weight to salute in weaker grade at her most recent run. This is her first run for the Waller yard but has always been a mare with above average ability. She will be ridden quietly in behind them by J-Mac from a low draw and at the double figure odds I don’t want to let her go around without me here so happy to have something on her.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Invictus Salute and $15 the win on Bare Naked Lady and Jay Jay D'ar!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 1

12:30pm

Suggested

Power Scheme (No.1) & The Holy One (No.2)

Dangers

Conqueror (No.4) & All Too Terrific (No.8)

Racing in Melbourne returns to The Valley this Saturday for what looks a cracking spring meeting. There is some really good depth to the program and it looks like a meeting that will shape a fair bit of the spring. The interesting component is going to be the weather and track conditions. There is a lot of rain forecast on Friday and a bit more early on Saturday so if the expected amounts arrive I would anticipate us getting into the soft range on race day. With the rail in the true position that should see horses coming from that stalking position away from the rail and off speed potentially advantaged. I thought the track played superbly at the last meeting though and was really even so I won’t be placing too much emphasis on any bias.

We get a good look at it early as I am kicking off in the first race of the day which is for the three year olds over the 1500m. It looks a little bit tricky this race. There are a few different form lines coming together and a lot of the form around some of the races that these gallopers come through isn’t great. There hasn’t been much done on the clock either. For that reason I ended up thinking the form from the race won by The Holy One might be the strongest reference here and given he lines up himself in the race I think he is quite clearly the one to beat. He was supported on debut at Bendigo but did nothing before the blinkers went on at Echuca at start number two and he went straight to the front and won most impressively. The most pleasing aspect about the win was how strong he was through the line. The second horse from that race came out and won impressively at his next start. The Holy One himself came out at Sandown and won most impressively. He was three wide just off the speed but moved up outside the leaders early in the home straight, took over and held his rivals at bay comfortably. I thought it was a pretty dominant win and he landed good bets that day. I see no reason why he can’t be winning again here. I anticipate he rolls forward and probably lands outside the leader for Meech and from that position can really control the race. Both wins have come on soft ground so that is no issue and happy to be with him.

Given the question marks on a few of the form lines I am going to keep the resuming Power Scheme on side just in case. This galloper from the Hayes yard resumes here after running some good races as a two year old in good company. He was a winner of the Fernhill at listed level at Randwick and wasn’t beaten far in the Sires here at Flemington which is turning into a fairly decent form reference. He has had three jump outs leading into this first up run as a gelding and I don’t think he strikes the hardest of races so given the fact he should be forward enough of those jump outs I can see him running well here and want him in my corner.

Betting strategy

I am pretty keen on The Holy One here and will have $60 the win on him having half now at the $3.30 on offer and the other half on the day! I will save with $25 the win on Power Scheme!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 2

1:05pm

Suggested

Junipal (No.1), Five Kingdom (No.3) & Wenner (No.8)

Dangers

Laure Me In (No.6) & Heir To The Throne (No.12)

This is a big field here over the mile with the main form reference being the race won by Junipal last start and a bit like the first race I don’t see any reason to not stick with the winning formula. I think that might have been a confidence boosting win for Junipal. He had been running well without winning prior to that performance two weeks ago and now that he has broken through I am hoping he might go on with the job. He is a four year old that for mine is still on the way up and potentially going on to better races and if that is the case he probably needs to be winning a race like this again. It is still a field of off season gallopers and he really does stand out as the horse that is on the upward spiral. He draws a nice middle gate for Teo Nugent to settle off the speed, any give in the track will be a bonus for him and I think he is clearly the horse they have to beat.

Wenner comes through that same race and was having his first run for five weeks. I had something on him at big odds and thought he ran quite well. He was slow to begin which meant that he ended up well back in the field and just was never able to build full momentum in between horses until the home straight. I thought he worked through the line quite nicely and wasn’t beaten far. I am hoping with a cleaner getaway here he might be able to roll forward and land on speed and if that is the case he could prove hard to get past. He will be one that won’t want too much rain to arrive but around that $20-30 mark I thought he was worth a ticket.

Five Kingdom is the horse that looks set to improve sharply here for mine and looks well over his true odds in the early markets, particularly with SportsBet where he went up $12. I thought his run last start at Caulfield was good. It was an on pace dominated race and he made up good ground along the inside to finish just off the placegetters. The form from that race has stood up with Age Of Chivalry winning again, Rox The Castle winning and Shot Of Irish just being touched off by Junipal. I am hoping the wide draw isn’t a disadvantage if he can slot in with cover off the speed and get the right trail into the race. He gets blinkers on which should see him a bit closer to the speed and the step up to the mile looks like it will suit him ideally. I think that $12 is well over his true odds so more than happy to be with him here.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Junipal here, $20 the win on Five Kingdom locking in the $11 now with SportsBet and $10 the win on Wenner!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 1

12:10pm

Suggested

Superium (No.1), Yao Dash (No.4) & Emeralds (No.9)

Dangers

Pandemic (No.2)

Racing in Sydney comes from Randwick this Saturday for what looks an outstanding meeting. We are going to be blessed over the next few weeks with good meetings in both Melbourne and Sydney and this Randwick meeting is no exception. As I write the preview on Thursday morning the track is soft, but the forecast is for dry breezy days with some sun so I would be banking on the track potentially improving quite quickly into Saturday and we will be on a Soft 5 at worst in my opinion and potentially into the good range. The rail is out eight metres so it will be interesting as to how the track will play. There certainly looked to be an advantage to rails run in at the last meeting when the rail was out four metres. It was pretty hard to come wide and make ground from the back so I think the early races could tell a tale. I wouldn’t be surprised if early in the day that on speed pattern was a real advantage.

Speaking of early in the day, we don’t have to wait long to dive into the action. The first race of the day is an absolute cracker. It is for the three year olds over the 1300m and it has drawn together a small but select field. It is a cracking race. Pandemic has come up the favourite on the back of a dynamite victory on the Kensington track three weeks ago when he came off heels and really exploded showing a nice turn of foot to salute. I think the setup of this race is a bit different. He will have to get past stronger horses over a longer trip and as such I am happy to take him on at the short quote today after being with him last start.

Gee, it wasn’t fun doing the form for this race and watching the replay of Superium’s last start run where he was first past the post and lost it in the protest room. I was obviously on Superium and happily hold my hands up if a protest legitimately goes against me but I didn’t even bother taking notice of this one as I thought it was that frivolous. I was baffled it was upheld. Regardless, this horse Superium has come back well. He was super behind Dawn Passage first up and I loved how strong he was in the fight last start when holding off True Detective. He does shoot up in the weights here but he brings into the race some really strong proven form lines. I think he will roll forward from gate eight and land outside of Yao Dash who is drawn inside of him and will most likely cross and lead. From there he can stay outside the leader or allow Pretty Brazen to come across him and land one out and one back as that horse is drawn outside of him. I think the race sets up really nicely for him and happy to be with him.

I am also happy to be with the mentioned leader in Yao Dash. He was excellent winning on debut. He sat outside the leader, took over early in the straight and didn’t look to be going great guns, but he really extended when Nash asked for an effort and found another gear to charge through the line and win running away. It was an impressive win. I think he can take up the running here and control the race in front and given how strong he was through the line last start he is going to be hard to get past in the straight with Nash driving him to the post.

I am going to have a sneaky bet on Emeralds too. I liked her recent trial and she showed enough in her two year old season to suggest she might be able to measure up here. She will do no early work from an inside gate, gets in with no weight on her back after the claim and might be worth a sneaky ticket at $20-30 in a cracking race.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on both Superium and Yao Dash here and $10 the win on Emeralds!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 3

1:25pm

Suggested

Invictus Salute (No.2), Bare Naked Lady (No.5) & Jay Jay D’ar (No.6)

Dangers

Bleu Roche (No.1) & Ballistica (No.7)

This is a good race for the three year old fillies over the 1100m. There look to be quite a few winning chances. I was most keen to be with Invictus Salute who is a mare that has always displayed good talent but I feel as if she is starting to really put it all together. She raced really consistently towards the end of her last campaign in some pretty handy off season sprint races and I wouldn’t be surprised if she really goes on with it this campaign. I loved her recent trial at Randwick. She led the field up there and I liked the way she went through the line when asked for an effort. She held her rivals easily and it was a strong piece of work. The thing about this race is that there doesn’t look to be a heap of speed for an 1100m race. Miss Invincible and the bolter Annie Pru look the most likely to come across with Bare Naked Lady. I think Invictus Salute box seats behind Miss Invincible and hopefully she should beat off Annie Pru early in the straight which will present the run for Invictus Salute to come off her back and run her down. Happy to be with her.

Bare Naked Lady is the other horse I mainly want to be on in the race. She resumes here from a short spell and is another that raced really consistently last campaign but she was unable to break through for a victory. Her form around Wild Planet, Military Zone and Notation through that campaign; all horses she wasn’t beaten far by looks good for a race of this nature. From gate seven I think she can come across and let the two mentioned above cross her which will see her land one out and one back in a perfect stalking position. From there she should be hard to hold out so happy to be with her around that $7-8 mark.

The other horse I want to be on just in case is Jay Jay D’ar. This is an interesting runner now with the Chris Waller yard after previously being with Paddy Payne in Victoria. She wasn’t far off Sylvia’s Mother two starts ago and that mare would be long odds on here before Jay Jay D’ar went to Mildura and carried a big weight to salute in weaker grade at her most recent run. This is her first run for the Waller yard but has always been a mare with above average ability. She will be ridden quietly in behind them by J-Mac from a low draw and at the double figure odds I don’t want to let her go around without me here so happy to have something on her.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Invictus Salute and $15 the win on Bare Naked Lady and Jay Jay D'ar!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 1

12:30pm

Suggested

Power Scheme (No.1) & The Holy One (No.2)

Dangers

Conqueror (No.4) & All Too Terrific (No.8)

Racing in Melbourne returns to The Valley this Saturday for what looks a cracking spring meeting. There is some really good depth to the program and it looks like a meeting that will shape a fair bit of the spring. The interesting component is going to be the weather and track conditions. There is a lot of rain forecast on Friday and a bit more early on Saturday so if the expected amounts arrive I would anticipate us getting into the soft range on race day. With the rail in the true position that should see horses coming from that stalking position away from the rail and off speed potentially advantaged. I thought the track played superbly at the last meeting though and was really even so I won’t be placing too much emphasis on any bias.

We get a good look at it early as I am kicking off in the first race of the day which is for the three year olds over the 1500m. It looks a little bit tricky this race. There are a few different form lines coming together and a lot of the form around some of the races that these gallopers come through isn’t great. There hasn’t been much done on the clock either. For that reason I ended up thinking the form from the race won by The Holy One might be the strongest reference here and given he lines up himself in the race I think he is quite clearly the one to beat. He was supported on debut at Bendigo but did nothing before the blinkers went on at Echuca at start number two and he went straight to the front and won most impressively. The most pleasing aspect about the win was how strong he was through the line. The second horse from that race came out and won impressively at his next start. The Holy One himself came out at Sandown and won most impressively. He was three wide just off the speed but moved up outside the leaders early in the home straight, took over and held his rivals at bay comfortably. I thought it was a pretty dominant win and he landed good bets that day. I see no reason why he can’t be winning again here. I anticipate he rolls forward and probably lands outside the leader for Meech and from that position can really control the race. Both wins have come on soft ground so that is no issue and happy to be with him.

Given the question marks on a few of the form lines I am going to keep the resuming Power Scheme on side just in case. This galloper from the Hayes yard resumes here after running some good races as a two year old in good company. He was a winner of the Fernhill at listed level at Randwick and wasn’t beaten far in the Sires here at Flemington which is turning into a fairly decent form reference. He has had three jump outs leading into this first up run as a gelding and I don’t think he strikes the hardest of races so given the fact he should be forward enough of those jump outs I can see him running well here and want him in my corner.

Betting strategy

I am pretty keen on The Holy One here and will have $60 the win on him having half now at the $3.30 on offer and the other half on the day! I will save with $25 the win on Power Scheme!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 2

1:05pm

Suggested

Junipal (No.1), Five Kingdom (No.3) & Wenner (No.8)

Dangers

Laure Me In (No.6) & Heir To The Throne (No.12)

This is a big field here over the mile with the main form reference being the race won by Junipal last start and a bit like the first race I don’t see any reason to not stick with the winning formula. I think that might have been a confidence boosting win for Junipal. He had been running well without winning prior to that performance two weeks ago and now that he has broken through I am hoping he might go on with the job. He is a four year old that for mine is still on the way up and potentially going on to better races and if that is the case he probably needs to be winning a race like this again. It is still a field of off season gallopers and he really does stand out as the horse that is on the upward spiral. He draws a nice middle gate for Teo Nugent to settle off the speed, any give in the track will be a bonus for him and I think he is clearly the horse they have to beat.

Wenner comes through that same race and was having his first run for five weeks. I had something on him at big odds and thought he ran quite well. He was slow to begin which meant that he ended up well back in the field and just was never able to build full momentum in between horses until the home straight. I thought he worked through the line quite nicely and wasn’t beaten far. I am hoping with a cleaner getaway here he might be able to roll forward and land on speed and if that is the case he could prove hard to get past. He will be one that won’t want too much rain to arrive but around that $20-30 mark I thought he was worth a ticket.

Five Kingdom is the horse that looks set to improve sharply here for mine and looks well over his true odds in the early markets, particularly with SportsBet where he went up $12. I thought his run last start at Caulfield was good. It was an on pace dominated race and he made up good ground along the inside to finish just off the placegetters. The form from that race has stood up with Age Of Chivalry winning again, Rox The Castle winning and Shot Of Irish just being touched off by Junipal. I am hoping the wide draw isn’t a disadvantage if he can slot in with cover off the speed and get the right trail into the race. He gets blinkers on which should see him a bit closer to the speed and the step up to the mile looks like it will suit him ideally. I think that $12 is well over his true odds so more than happy to be with him here.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Junipal here, $20 the win on Five Kingdom locking in the $11 now with SportsBet and $10 the win on Wenner!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 1

12:10pm

Suggested

Superium (No.1), Yao Dash (No.4) & Emeralds (No.9)

Dangers

Pandemic (No.2)

Racing in Sydney comes from Randwick this Saturday for what looks an outstanding meeting. We are going to be blessed over the next few weeks with good meetings in both Melbourne and Sydney and this Randwick meeting is no exception. As I write the preview on Thursday morning the track is soft, but the forecast is for dry breezy days with some sun so I would be banking on the track potentially improving quite quickly into Saturday and we will be on a Soft 5 at worst in my opinion and potentially into the good range. The rail is out eight metres so it will be interesting as to how the track will play. There certainly looked to be an advantage to rails run in at the last meeting when the rail was out four metres. It was pretty hard to come wide and make ground from the back so I think the early races could tell a tale. I wouldn’t be surprised if early in the day that on speed pattern was a real advantage.

Speaking of early in the day, we don’t have to wait long to dive into the action. The first race of the day is an absolute cracker. It is for the three year olds over the 1300m and it has drawn together a small but select field. It is a cracking race. Pandemic has come up the favourite on the back of a dynamite victory on the Kensington track three weeks ago when he came off heels and really exploded showing a nice turn of foot to salute. I think the setup of this race is a bit different. He will have to get past stronger horses over a longer trip and as such I am happy to take him on at the short quote today after being with him last start.

Gee, it wasn’t fun doing the form for this race and watching the replay of Superium’s last start run where he was first past the post and lost it in the protest room. I was obviously on Superium and happily hold my hands up if a protest legitimately goes against me but I didn’t even bother taking notice of this one as I thought it was that frivolous. I was baffled it was upheld. Regardless, this horse Superium has come back well. He was super behind Dawn Passage first up and I loved how strong he was in the fight last start when holding off True Detective. He does shoot up in the weights here but he brings into the race some really strong proven form lines. I think he will roll forward from gate eight and land outside of Yao Dash who is drawn inside of him and will most likely cross and lead. From there he can stay outside the leader or allow Pretty Brazen to come across him and land one out and one back as that horse is drawn outside of him. I think the race sets up really nicely for him and happy to be with him.

I am also happy to be with the mentioned leader in Yao Dash. He was excellent winning on debut. He sat outside the leader, took over early in the straight and didn’t look to be going great guns, but he really extended when Nash asked for an effort and found another gear to charge through the line and win running away. It was an impressive win. I think he can take up the running here and control the race in front and given how strong he was through the line last start he is going to be hard to get past in the straight with Nash driving him to the post.

I am going to have a sneaky bet on Emeralds too. I liked her recent trial and she showed enough in her two year old season to suggest she might be able to measure up here. She will do no early work from an inside gate, gets in with no weight on her back after the claim and might be worth a sneaky ticket at $20-30 in a cracking race.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on both Superium and Yao Dash here and $10 the win on Emeralds!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 3

1:25pm

Suggested

Invictus Salute (No.2), Bare Naked Lady (No.5) & Jay Jay D’ar (No.6)

Dangers

Bleu Roche (No.1) & Ballistica (No.7)

This is a good race for the three year old fillies over the 1100m. There look to be quite a few winning chances. I was most keen to be with Invictus Salute who is a mare that has always displayed good talent but I feel as if she is starting to really put it all together. She raced really consistently towards the end of her last campaign in some pretty handy off season sprint races and I wouldn’t be surprised if she really goes on with it this campaign. I loved her recent trial at Randwick. She led the field up there and I liked the way she went through the line when asked for an effort. She held her rivals easily and it was a strong piece of work. The thing about this race is that there doesn’t look to be a heap of speed for an 1100m race. Miss Invincible and the bolter Annie Pru look the most likely to come across with Bare Naked Lady. I think Invictus Salute box seats behind Miss Invincible and hopefully she should beat off Annie Pru early in the straight which will present the run for Invictus Salute to come off her back and run her down. Happy to be with her.

Bare Naked Lady is the other horse I mainly want to be on in the race. She resumes here from a short spell and is another that raced really consistently last campaign but she was unable to break through for a victory. Her form around Wild Planet, Military Zone and Notation through that campaign; all horses she wasn’t beaten far by looks good for a race of this nature. From gate seven I think she can come across and let the two mentioned above cross her which will see her land one out and one back in a perfect stalking position. From there she should be hard to hold out so happy to be with her around that $7-8 mark.

The other horse I want to be on just in case is Jay Jay D’ar. This is an interesting runner now with the Chris Waller yard after previously being with Paddy Payne in Victoria. She wasn’t far off Sylvia’s Mother two starts ago and that mare would be long odds on here before Jay Jay D’ar went to Mildura and carried a big weight to salute in weaker grade at her most recent run. This is her first run for the Waller yard but has always been a mare with above average ability. She will be ridden quietly in behind them by J-Mac from a low draw and at the double figure odds I don’t want to let her go around without me here so happy to have something on her.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Invictus Salute and $15 the win on Bare Naked Lady and Jay Jay D'ar!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 1

12:30pm

Suggested

Power Scheme (No.1) & The Holy One (No.2)

Dangers

Conqueror (No.4) & All Too Terrific (No.8)

Racing in Melbourne returns to The Valley this Saturday for what looks a cracking spring meeting. There is some really good depth to the program and it looks like a meeting that will shape a fair bit of the spring. The interesting component is going to be the weather and track conditions. There is a lot of rain forecast on Friday and a bit more early on Saturday so if the expected amounts arrive I would anticipate us getting into the soft range on race day. With the rail in the true position that should see horses coming from that stalking position away from the rail and off speed potentially advantaged. I thought the track played superbly at the last meeting though and was really even so I won’t be placing too much emphasis on any bias.

We get a good look at it early as I am kicking off in the first race of the day which is for the three year olds over the 1500m. It looks a little bit tricky this race. There are a few different form lines coming together and a lot of the form around some of the races that these gallopers come through isn’t great. There hasn’t been much done on the clock either. For that reason I ended up thinking the form from the race won by The Holy One might be the strongest reference here and given he lines up himself in the race I think he is quite clearly the one to beat. He was supported on debut at Bendigo but did nothing before the blinkers went on at Echuca at start number two and he went straight to the front and won most impressively. The most pleasing aspect about the win was how strong he was through the line. The second horse from that race came out and won impressively at his next start. The Holy One himself came out at Sandown and won most impressively. He was three wide just off the speed but moved up outside the leaders early in the home straight, took over and held his rivals at bay comfortably. I thought it was a pretty dominant win and he landed good bets that day. I see no reason why he can’t be winning again here. I anticipate he rolls forward and probably lands outside the leader for Meech and from that position can really control the race. Both wins have come on soft ground so that is no issue and happy to be with him.

Given the question marks on a few of the form lines I am going to keep the resuming Power Scheme on side just in case. This galloper from the Hayes yard resumes here after running some good races as a two year old in good company. He was a winner of the Fernhill at listed level at Randwick and wasn’t beaten far in the Sires here at Flemington which is turning into a fairly decent form reference. He has had three jump outs leading into this first up run as a gelding and I don’t think he strikes the hardest of races so given the fact he should be forward enough of those jump outs I can see him running well here and want him in my corner.

Betting strategy

I am pretty keen on The Holy One here and will have $60 the win on him having half now at the $3.30 on offer and the other half on the day! I will save with $25 the win on Power Scheme!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 2

1:05pm

Suggested

Junipal (No.1), Five Kingdom (No.3) & Wenner (No.8)

Dangers

Laure Me In (No.6) & Heir To The Throne (No.12)

This is a big field here over the mile with the main form reference being the race won by Junipal last start and a bit like the first race I don’t see any reason to not stick with the winning formula. I think that might have been a confidence boosting win for Junipal. He had been running well without winning prior to that performance two weeks ago and now that he has broken through I am hoping he might go on with the job. He is a four year old that for mine is still on the way up and potentially going on to better races and if that is the case he probably needs to be winning a race like this again. It is still a field of off season gallopers and he really does stand out as the horse that is on the upward spiral. He draws a nice middle gate for Teo Nugent to settle off the speed, any give in the track will be a bonus for him and I think he is clearly the horse they have to beat.

Wenner comes through that same race and was having his first run for five weeks. I had something on him at big odds and thought he ran quite well. He was slow to begin which meant that he ended up well back in the field and just was never able to build full momentum in between horses until the home straight. I thought he worked through the line quite nicely and wasn’t beaten far. I am hoping with a cleaner getaway here he might be able to roll forward and land on speed and if that is the case he could prove hard to get past. He will be one that won’t want too much rain to arrive but around that $20-30 mark I thought he was worth a ticket.

Five Kingdom is the horse that looks set to improve sharply here for mine and looks well over his true odds in the early markets, particularly with SportsBet where he went up $12. I thought his run last start at Caulfield was good. It was an on pace dominated race and he made up good ground along the inside to finish just off the placegetters. The form from that race has stood up with Age Of Chivalry winning again, Rox The Castle winning and Shot Of Irish just being touched off by Junipal. I am hoping the wide draw isn’t a disadvantage if he can slot in with cover off the speed and get the right trail into the race. He gets blinkers on which should see him a bit closer to the speed and the step up to the mile looks like it will suit him ideally. I think that $12 is well over his true odds so more than happy to be with him here.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Junipal here, $20 the win on Five Kingdom locking in the $11 now with SportsBet and $10 the win on Wenner!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 1

12:10pm

Suggested

Superium (No.1), Yao Dash (No.4) & Emeralds (No.9)

Dangers

Pandemic (No.2)

Racing in Sydney comes from Randwick this Saturday for what looks an outstanding meeting. We are going to be blessed over the next few weeks with good meetings in both Melbourne and Sydney and this Randwick meeting is no exception. As I write the preview on Thursday morning the track is soft, but the forecast is for dry breezy days with some sun so I would be banking on the track potentially improving quite quickly into Saturday and we will be on a Soft 5 at worst in my opinion and potentially into the good range. The rail is out eight metres so it will be interesting as to how the track will play. There certainly looked to be an advantage to rails run in at the last meeting when the rail was out four metres. It was pretty hard to come wide and make ground from the back so I think the early races could tell a tale. I wouldn’t be surprised if early in the day that on speed pattern was a real advantage.

Speaking of early in the day, we don’t have to wait long to dive into the action. The first race of the day is an absolute cracker. It is for the three year olds over the 1300m and it has drawn together a small but select field. It is a cracking race. Pandemic has come up the favourite on the back of a dynamite victory on the Kensington track three weeks ago when he came off heels and really exploded showing a nice turn of foot to salute. I think the setup of this race is a bit different. He will have to get past stronger horses over a longer trip and as such I am happy to take him on at the short quote today after being with him last start.

Gee, it wasn’t fun doing the form for this race and watching the replay of Superium’s last start run where he was first past the post and lost it in the protest room. I was obviously on Superium and happily hold my hands up if a protest legitimately goes against me but I didn’t even bother taking notice of this one as I thought it was that frivolous. I was baffled it was upheld. Regardless, this horse Superium has come back well. He was super behind Dawn Passage first up and I loved how strong he was in the fight last start when holding off True Detective. He does shoot up in the weights here but he brings into the race some really strong proven form lines. I think he will roll forward from gate eight and land outside of Yao Dash who is drawn inside of him and will most likely cross and lead. From there he can stay outside the leader or allow Pretty Brazen to come across him and land one out and one back as that horse is drawn outside of him. I think the race sets up really nicely for him and happy to be with him.

I am also happy to be with the mentioned leader in Yao Dash. He was excellent winning on debut. He sat outside the leader, took over early in the straight and didn’t look to be going great guns, but he really extended when Nash asked for an effort and found another gear to charge through the line and win running away. It was an impressive win. I think he can take up the running here and control the race in front and given how strong he was through the line last start he is going to be hard to get past in the straight with Nash driving him to the post.

I am going to have a sneaky bet on Emeralds too. I liked her recent trial and she showed enough in her two year old season to suggest she might be able to measure up here. She will do no early work from an inside gate, gets in with no weight on her back after the claim and might be worth a sneaky ticket at $20-30 in a cracking race.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on both Superium and Yao Dash here and $10 the win on Emeralds!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 3

1:25pm

Suggested

Invictus Salute (No.2), Bare Naked Lady (No.5) & Jay Jay D’ar (No.6)

Dangers

Bleu Roche (No.1) & Ballistica (No.7)

This is a good race for the three year old fillies over the 1100m. There look to be quite a few winning chances. I was most keen to be with Invictus Salute who is a mare that has always displayed good talent but I feel as if she is starting to really put it all together. She raced really consistently towards the end of her last campaign in some pretty handy off season sprint races and I wouldn’t be surprised if she really goes on with it this campaign. I loved her recent trial at Randwick. She led the field up there and I liked the way she went through the line when asked for an effort. She held her rivals easily and it was a strong piece of work. The thing about this race is that there doesn’t look to be a heap of speed for an 1100m race. Miss Invincible and the bolter Annie Pru look the most likely to come across with Bare Naked Lady. I think Invictus Salute box seats behind Miss Invincible and hopefully she should beat off Annie Pru early in the straight which will present the run for Invictus Salute to come off her back and run her down. Happy to be with her.

Bare Naked Lady is the other horse I mainly want to be on in the race. She resumes here from a short spell and is another that raced really consistently last campaign but she was unable to break through for a victory. Her form around Wild Planet, Military Zone and Notation through that campaign; all horses she wasn’t beaten far by looks good for a race of this nature. From gate seven I think she can come across and let the two mentioned above cross her which will see her land one out and one back in a perfect stalking position. From there she should be hard to hold out so happy to be with her around that $7-8 mark.

The other horse I want to be on just in case is Jay Jay D’ar. This is an interesting runner now with the Chris Waller yard after previously being with Paddy Payne in Victoria. She wasn’t far off Sylvia’s Mother two starts ago and that mare would be long odds on here before Jay Jay D’ar went to Mildura and carried a big weight to salute in weaker grade at her most recent run. This is her first run for the Waller yard but has always been a mare with above average ability. She will be ridden quietly in behind them by J-Mac from a low draw and at the double figure odds I don’t want to let her go around without me here so happy to have something on her.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Invictus Salute and $15 the win on Bare Naked Lady and Jay Jay D'ar!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 1

12:30pm

Suggested

Power Scheme (No.1) & The Holy One (No.2)

Dangers

Conqueror (No.4) & All Too Terrific (No.8)

Racing in Melbourne returns to The Valley this Saturday for what looks a cracking spring meeting. There is some really good depth to the program and it looks like a meeting that will shape a fair bit of the spring. The interesting component is going to be the weather and track conditions. There is a lot of rain forecast on Friday and a bit more early on Saturday so if the expected amounts arrive I would anticipate us getting into the soft range on race day. With the rail in the true position that should see horses coming from that stalking position away from the rail and off speed potentially advantaged. I thought the track played superbly at the last meeting though and was really even so I won’t be placing too much emphasis on any bias.

We get a good look at it early as I am kicking off in the first race of the day which is for the three year olds over the 1500m. It looks a little bit tricky this race. There are a few different form lines coming together and a lot of the form around some of the races that these gallopers come through isn’t great. There hasn’t been much done on the clock either. For that reason I ended up thinking the form from the race won by The Holy One might be the strongest reference here and given he lines up himself in the race I think he is quite clearly the one to beat. He was supported on debut at Bendigo but did nothing before the blinkers went on at Echuca at start number two and he went straight to the front and won most impressively. The most pleasing aspect about the win was how strong he was through the line. The second horse from that race came out and won impressively at his next start. The Holy One himself came out at Sandown and won most impressively. He was three wide just off the speed but moved up outside the leaders early in the home straight, took over and held his rivals at bay comfortably. I thought it was a pretty dominant win and he landed good bets that day. I see no reason why he can’t be winning again here. I anticipate he rolls forward and probably lands outside the leader for Meech and from that position can really control the race. Both wins have come on soft ground so that is no issue and happy to be with him.

Given the question marks on a few of the form lines I am going to keep the resuming Power Scheme on side just in case. This galloper from the Hayes yard resumes here after running some good races as a two year old in good company. He was a winner of the Fernhill at listed level at Randwick and wasn’t beaten far in the Sires here at Flemington which is turning into a fairly decent form reference. He has had three jump outs leading into this first up run as a gelding and I don’t think he strikes the hardest of races so given the fact he should be forward enough of those jump outs I can see him running well here and want him in my corner.

Betting strategy

I am pretty keen on The Holy One here and will have $60 the win on him having half now at the $3.30 on offer and the other half on the day! I will save with $25 the win on Power Scheme!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 2

1:05pm

Suggested

Junipal (No.1), Five Kingdom (No.3) & Wenner (No.8)

Dangers

Laure Me In (No.6) & Heir To The Throne (No.12)

This is a big field here over the mile with the main form reference being the race won by Junipal last start and a bit like the first race I don’t see any reason to not stick with the winning formula. I think that might have been a confidence boosting win for Junipal. He had been running well without winning prior to that performance two weeks ago and now that he has broken through I am hoping he might go on with the job. He is a four year old that for mine is still on the way up and potentially going on to better races and if that is the case he probably needs to be winning a race like this again. It is still a field of off season gallopers and he really does stand out as the horse that is on the upward spiral. He draws a nice middle gate for Teo Nugent to settle off the speed, any give in the track will be a bonus for him and I think he is clearly the horse they have to beat.

Wenner comes through that same race and was having his first run for five weeks. I had something on him at big odds and thought he ran quite well. He was slow to begin which meant that he ended up well back in the field and just was never able to build full momentum in between horses until the home straight. I thought he worked through the line quite nicely and wasn’t beaten far. I am hoping with a cleaner getaway here he might be able to roll forward and land on speed and if that is the case he could prove hard to get past. He will be one that won’t want too much rain to arrive but around that $20-30 mark I thought he was worth a ticket.

Five Kingdom is the horse that looks set to improve sharply here for mine and looks well over his true odds in the early markets, particularly with SportsBet where he went up $12. I thought his run last start at Caulfield was good. It was an on pace dominated race and he made up good ground along the inside to finish just off the placegetters. The form from that race has stood up with Age Of Chivalry winning again, Rox The Castle winning and Shot Of Irish just being touched off by Junipal. I am hoping the wide draw isn’t a disadvantage if he can slot in with cover off the speed and get the right trail into the race. He gets blinkers on which should see him a bit closer to the speed and the step up to the mile looks like it will suit him ideally. I think that $12 is well over his true odds so more than happy to be with him here.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Junipal here, $20 the win on Five Kingdom locking in the $11 now with SportsBet and $10 the win on Wenner!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 1

12:10pm

Suggested

Superium (No.1), Yao Dash (No.4) & Emeralds (No.9)

Dangers

Pandemic (No.2)

Racing in Sydney comes from Randwick this Saturday for what looks an outstanding meeting. We are going to be blessed over the next few weeks with good meetings in both Melbourne and Sydney and this Randwick meeting is no exception. As I write the preview on Thursday morning the track is soft, but the forecast is for dry breezy days with some sun so I would be banking on the track potentially improving quite quickly into Saturday and we will be on a Soft 5 at worst in my opinion and potentially into the good range. The rail is out eight metres so it will be interesting as to how the track will play. There certainly looked to be an advantage to rails run in at the last meeting when the rail was out four metres. It was pretty hard to come wide and make ground from the back so I think the early races could tell a tale. I wouldn’t be surprised if early in the day that on speed pattern was a real advantage.

Speaking of early in the day, we don’t have to wait long to dive into the action. The first race of the day is an absolute cracker. It is for the three year olds over the 1300m and it has drawn together a small but select field. It is a cracking race. Pandemic has come up the favourite on the back of a dynamite victory on the Kensington track three weeks ago when he came off heels and really exploded showing a nice turn of foot to salute. I think the setup of this race is a bit different. He will have to get past stronger horses over a longer trip and as such I am happy to take him on at the short quote today after being with him last start.

Gee, it wasn’t fun doing the form for this race and watching the replay of Superium’s last start run where he was first past the post and lost it in the protest room. I was obviously on Superium and happily hold my hands up if a protest legitimately goes against me but I didn’t even bother taking notice of this one as I thought it was that frivolous. I was baffled it was upheld. Regardless, this horse Superium has come back well. He was super behind Dawn Passage first up and I loved how strong he was in the fight last start when holding off True Detective. He does shoot up in the weights here but he brings into the race some really strong proven form lines. I think he will roll forward from gate eight and land outside of Yao Dash who is drawn inside of him and will most likely cross and lead. From there he can stay outside the leader or allow Pretty Brazen to come across him and land one out and one back as that horse is drawn outside of him. I think the race sets up really nicely for him and happy to be with him.

I am also happy to be with the mentioned leader in Yao Dash. He was excellent winning on debut. He sat outside the leader, took over early in the straight and didn’t look to be going great guns, but he really extended when Nash asked for an effort and found another gear to charge through the line and win running away. It was an impressive win. I think he can take up the running here and control the race in front and given how strong he was through the line last start he is going to be hard to get past in the straight with Nash driving him to the post.

I am going to have a sneaky bet on Emeralds too. I liked her recent trial and she showed enough in her two year old season to suggest she might be able to measure up here. She will do no early work from an inside gate, gets in with no weight on her back after the claim and might be worth a sneaky ticket at $20-30 in a cracking race.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on both Superium and Yao Dash here and $10 the win on Emeralds!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 3

1:25pm

Suggested

Invictus Salute (No.2), Bare Naked Lady (No.5) & Jay Jay D’ar (No.6)

Dangers

Bleu Roche (No.1) & Ballistica (No.7)

This is a good race for the three year old fillies over the 1100m. There look to be quite a few winning chances. I was most keen to be with Invictus Salute who is a mare that has always displayed good talent but I feel as if she is starting to really put it all together. She raced really consistently towards the end of her last campaign in some pretty handy off season sprint races and I wouldn’t be surprised if she really goes on with it this campaign. I loved her recent trial at Randwick. She led the field up there and I liked the way she went through the line when asked for an effort. She held her rivals easily and it was a strong piece of work. The thing about this race is that there doesn’t look to be a heap of speed for an 1100m race. Miss Invincible and the bolter Annie Pru look the most likely to come across with Bare Naked Lady. I think Invictus Salute box seats behind Miss Invincible and hopefully she should beat off Annie Pru early in the straight which will present the run for Invictus Salute to come off her back and run her down. Happy to be with her.

Bare Naked Lady is the other horse I mainly want to be on in the race. She resumes here from a short spell and is another that raced really consistently last campaign but she was unable to break through for a victory. Her form around Wild Planet, Military Zone and Notation through that campaign; all horses she wasn’t beaten far by looks good for a race of this nature. From gate seven I think she can come across and let the two mentioned above cross her which will see her land one out and one back in a perfect stalking position. From there she should be hard to hold out so happy to be with her around that $7-8 mark.

The other horse I want to be on just in case is Jay Jay D’ar. This is an interesting runner now with the Chris Waller yard after previously being with Paddy Payne in Victoria. She wasn’t far off Sylvia’s Mother two starts ago and that mare would be long odds on here before Jay Jay D’ar went to Mildura and carried a big weight to salute in weaker grade at her most recent run. This is her first run for the Waller yard but has always been a mare with above average ability. She will be ridden quietly in behind them by J-Mac from a low draw and at the double figure odds I don’t want to let her go around without me here so happy to have something on her.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Invictus Salute and $15 the win on Bare Naked Lady and Jay Jay D'ar!

Race Outlay

$80

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