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Select Race Meeting Event

Race 2

12:50pm

Suggested

Simply Optimistic (No.2) & Rock Prophet (No.8)

Dangers

Just Hifalutin (No.1) & She’s A Thief (No.4)

This race is over the 1100m for the sprinters and keen to be with a couple of resuming runners here. Simply Optimistic is a horse that has always shown a good deal of ability and I thought he started to really put it together last campaign with a couple of strong wins in the spring. The key to him looks to be keeping him to these sprint trips. I found earlier in his career despite the fact he was always running on, he just wasn’t finishing his races off as strongly as he could over the 1400m. He seemed to really relish sticking to the 1200m last campaign. His trial and jump out leading into this campaign have been really strong. He hasn’t been asked to do a lot but has gone to the line with plenty in hand. He draws to get a lovely run just off the speed here. The big Bendigo track should suit, he typically races very well when fresh and I expect him to be very hard to hold out.

It is no surprise to see the early market support arrive for Rock Prophet. He won here first up over this course and distance last campaign when landing some good bets. It was a long campaign and his form did seem to taper off towards the end of it. If you go back through his form though there is form around Sansom, Rich Hips, Octane, Sword Of Mercy and Zoutori which all reads very well for a race of this nature. He looks well weighted in this race with just 54kgs on his back, draws well for Beau Mertens and I would expect him to be right in the finish.

Betting strategy

I will have $55 the win on Simply Optimistic and $25 the win on Rock Prophet and will take the $7 with TAB Fixed Odds about the latter!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 8

4:50pm

Suggested

Skyward (No.3), Inverloch (No.7) & Ironclad (No.14)

Dangers

The Candy Man (No.4) & Hi Stranger (No.13)

This is the feature race of the day here. It is the Golden Mile over the, yup, you guessed it, the mile. The race has lost some of its lustre with Rock being a scratching. Team Hawkes don’t like wide barriers but gee, reckon three wide with cover around Bendigo probably would have suited the horse if no disadvantage getting away from the fence. His absence from the race has certainly seen Ironclad come into a pretty short priced favourite, but probably rightly so. He clearly looks the horse to beat. In a race that has a lot of horses resuming, a lot of horses out of form or struggling to find their best, he comes here fit and in form having won all three starts this campaign in Adelaide since coming from Europe. He looks a smart horse. His first two wins were workmanlike rather than spectacular and I thought he may have been looking for further going into his last start run on Adelaide Cup Day. However, he relished the strong tempo over the mile, had a lovely run off the speed, got clear in the straight and sprinted quickly off that tempo to reel his rivals in and charge away on the line. He was really strong through the line and the further that race went the further he was winning by. This just looks a lovely race for him providing he can hold that form. He draws gate five for Jamie Kah to get that similar stalking run to what he got last start and with a touch of luck finding clear air he looks the one they all have to beat and keen to be with him.

I do think there are a couple of roughies in the race at decent odds worth a spec. Both runners come from the Busuttin and Young stable and both are probably better known for their form over more ground. The first of those is Skyward who is an imported galloper who came out here for the Cups last year. He started well in the market in the Geelong Cup and ran well before finishing last in the Mackinnon. He looks to have come back well and acclimatised well coming into his second Australian campaign if his jump outs are anything to go by. He has looked very sharp in both of those and a big first up run here would not surprise. Around the $25-30 mark I think he is worth a ticket.

The stable mate Inverloch has also trialled and jumped out well leading into this. First up last campaign he ran a cracker at Flemington at a huge price behind Travimyfriend and Windstorm. That was over 1400m and he resumes over the mile here. If he ran up to the level he did that day he won’t be far away here. He draws a nice middle gate for Micky Dee and at 50/1 ($71 with Bet365) he looks worth a ticket as well.

Betting strategy

I will have $65 the win on Ironclad here and $10 the win on Skyward and Inverloch taking the $31 and $51 about those two!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 9

5:25pm

Suggested

Jittery Jack (No.2), Thousand Wishes (No.8) & Copper Fox (No.15)

Dangers

Fighting Harada (No.5) & Faretti (No.11)

This race is over the 1300m to end the day on. I was originally quite keen on Superium in this race particularly if the track got close to Good which I thought it would have been every chance to by the end of the day but he has come out so I won’t be playing too heavily in this race now and now that Born A King is out there really isn’t much to get excited about at all.

The horse I thought went up significantly over the odds in the race was Copper Fox. I thought his first up run at Wangaratta was excellent. He was just touched off by Prince Of Helena who has been in very good form and he will no doubt strip fitter coming into this race second up. He gets good weight relief dropping down from the 60kgs to just 54kgs after the claim for Will Price and he has a very good record second up. He has a good record at this distance, he draws to get a lovely run in transit and around the $25-30 mark I think he will run a big race here and is definitely worth a ticket at the big price.

To keep the theme of roughies in this last race I will also throw something on Thousand Wishes who had some good form last campaign and has trialled up nicely leading into this. She looks capable of running a race fresh.

The other one at big odds is Jittery Jack. He will improve sharply off that first up run and is capable of surprising at big odds. Just have a feeling a few of these favourites are under the odds and it is set up for a bit of a blowout result.

Betting strategy

I will have $15 (plus an extra $5 post scratchings at $21) the win on Copper Fox at the $27 with SportsBet! I will have $15 the win on Thousand Wishes and $10 the win on Jittery Jack!

Race Outlay

$45

Race 2

1:10pm

Suggested

Sacramento (No.7), Collide (No.8) & Dadoozdart (No.10)

Dangers

Favorite Moon (No.13) & Realm Of Flowers (No.14)

This is the Manion Cup for the stayers over the 2400m. I flipped around a bit on this race and then in the end, just ended up falling on Sacramento. He is just flying this campaign and he doesn’t look like he will meet any real “new” opposition that will cause him too much distress here. He won three on end prior to running into Mount Popa at Randwick last start and they really cleared out from their rivals. I loved the fight he showed in that race. Mount Popa looked like he was going to run straight past him and blow him away but he fought on really strongly to go down less than a length. We then saw Mount Popa go to Mornington and win the Cup there in a procession last week. I just see no reason why Sacramento won’t be hard to run past again here. He handles soft ground, he will be up on speed making his luck and will give you a great sight. Happy to be with him.

I have the feeling Dadoozdart is getting close to showing something. Well he has been showing something in recent starts in particular last start in the Canberra Cup but he is getting closer to a win. I think the key with him is getting on to soft tracks and he should relish the heavy conditions here on Saturday. He has the blinkers come off to help him settle better in the run and run out a strong 2400m and with no weight on his back from a middle draw I think he will run well at double figure odds.

I will also cover those bets with having something on Collide. I thought he was good at his first Australian run chasing home Mount Popa and Sacramento. He looked to just peak on his run there late on. He has a very good record on soft tracks and with natural improvement from that first up run into this race second up he can certainly bridge the gap on Sacramento rising to the 2400m so I will have something on him as well.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on Sacramento, $25 the win on Collide and $20 the win on Dadoozdart taking the $10 about the latter!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 9

5:50pm

Suggested

Every Rose (No.5), Seasons (No.7) & I Am Eloquent (No.13)

Dangers

Written Beauty (No.6) & Emanate (No.12)

This race is for the fillies and mares over the 1200m to finish the day on. Gee, I am pretty sure Every Rose went up around double figures last Saturday when she was due to run in this race. I was pretty keen on her last week and now the race has been held over I am still keen on her but unfortunately there are no double figures about this week. She is around the $6-7 mark but I still think she is a very good bet to end the day on. She has come back in great form. She was a super winner for us first up at a big price before stepping up to 1400m last start and running really well but probably just finding that 1400m a bit to far. She comes back to the 1200m here, she looks very well weighted with just 54.5kgs for Tim Clark and she handles soft going. I think she will give you a great sight and keen to be with her.

I thought Seasons was very good first up behind Vulpine. She really charged through the line late. She has a super second up record, she draws to get a gun run trailing the speed and she is a heavy track winner with a super record over this trip. If she has gone on from that first up run she should be right in the finish.

The other horse I want to have something on is I Am Eloquent. This mare goes well fresh and simply flies on heavy tracks. She gets that setup here on Saturday with Bossy on board and at double figure odds I can certainly see her running a big race.

Betting strategy

I will have $30 the win on Every Rose, $20 the win on Seasons and $10 the win on I Am Eloquent!

Race Outlay

$60

Race 2

12:50pm

Suggested

Simply Optimistic (No.2) & Rock Prophet (No.8)

Dangers

Just Hifalutin (No.1) & She’s A Thief (No.4)

This race is over the 1100m for the sprinters and keen to be with a couple of resuming runners here. Simply Optimistic is a horse that has always shown a good deal of ability and I thought he started to really put it together last campaign with a couple of strong wins in the spring. The key to him looks to be keeping him to these sprint trips. I found earlier in his career despite the fact he was always running on, he just wasn’t finishing his races off as strongly as he could over the 1400m. He seemed to really relish sticking to the 1200m last campaign. His trial and jump out leading into this campaign have been really strong. He hasn’t been asked to do a lot but has gone to the line with plenty in hand. He draws to get a lovely run just off the speed here. The big Bendigo track should suit, he typically races very well when fresh and I expect him to be very hard to hold out.

It is no surprise to see the early market support arrive for Rock Prophet. He won here first up over this course and distance last campaign when landing some good bets. It was a long campaign and his form did seem to taper off towards the end of it. If you go back through his form though there is form around Sansom, Rich Hips, Octane, Sword Of Mercy and Zoutori which all reads very well for a race of this nature. He looks well weighted in this race with just 54kgs on his back, draws well for Beau Mertens and I would expect him to be right in the finish.

Betting strategy

I will have $55 the win on Simply Optimistic and $25 the win on Rock Prophet and will take the $7 with TAB Fixed Odds about the latter!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 8

4:50pm

Suggested

Skyward (No.3), Inverloch (No.7) & Ironclad (No.14)

Dangers

The Candy Man (No.4) & Hi Stranger (No.13)

This is the feature race of the day here. It is the Golden Mile over the, yup, you guessed it, the mile. The race has lost some of its lustre with Rock being a scratching. Team Hawkes don’t like wide barriers but gee, reckon three wide with cover around Bendigo probably would have suited the horse if no disadvantage getting away from the fence. His absence from the race has certainly seen Ironclad come into a pretty short priced favourite, but probably rightly so. He clearly looks the horse to beat. In a race that has a lot of horses resuming, a lot of horses out of form or struggling to find their best, he comes here fit and in form having won all three starts this campaign in Adelaide since coming from Europe. He looks a smart horse. His first two wins were workmanlike rather than spectacular and I thought he may have been looking for further going into his last start run on Adelaide Cup Day. However, he relished the strong tempo over the mile, had a lovely run off the speed, got clear in the straight and sprinted quickly off that tempo to reel his rivals in and charge away on the line. He was really strong through the line and the further that race went the further he was winning by. This just looks a lovely race for him providing he can hold that form. He draws gate five for Jamie Kah to get that similar stalking run to what he got last start and with a touch of luck finding clear air he looks the one they all have to beat and keen to be with him.

I do think there are a couple of roughies in the race at decent odds worth a spec. Both runners come from the Busuttin and Young stable and both are probably better known for their form over more ground. The first of those is Skyward who is an imported galloper who came out here for the Cups last year. He started well in the market in the Geelong Cup and ran well before finishing last in the Mackinnon. He looks to have come back well and acclimatised well coming into his second Australian campaign if his jump outs are anything to go by. He has looked very sharp in both of those and a big first up run here would not surprise. Around the $25-30 mark I think he is worth a ticket.

The stable mate Inverloch has also trialled and jumped out well leading into this. First up last campaign he ran a cracker at Flemington at a huge price behind Travimyfriend and Windstorm. That was over 1400m and he resumes over the mile here. If he ran up to the level he did that day he won’t be far away here. He draws a nice middle gate for Micky Dee and at 50/1 ($71 with Bet365) he looks worth a ticket as well.

Betting strategy

I will have $65 the win on Ironclad here and $10 the win on Skyward and Inverloch taking the $31 and $51 about those two!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 9

5:25pm

Suggested

Jittery Jack (No.2), Thousand Wishes (No.8) & Copper Fox (No.15)

Dangers

Fighting Harada (No.5) & Faretti (No.11)

This race is over the 1300m to end the day on. I was originally quite keen on Superium in this race particularly if the track got close to Good which I thought it would have been every chance to by the end of the day but he has come out so I won’t be playing too heavily in this race now and now that Born A King is out there really isn’t much to get excited about at all.

The horse I thought went up significantly over the odds in the race was Copper Fox. I thought his first up run at Wangaratta was excellent. He was just touched off by Prince Of Helena who has been in very good form and he will no doubt strip fitter coming into this race second up. He gets good weight relief dropping down from the 60kgs to just 54kgs after the claim for Will Price and he has a very good record second up. He has a good record at this distance, he draws to get a lovely run in transit and around the $25-30 mark I think he will run a big race here and is definitely worth a ticket at the big price.

To keep the theme of roughies in this last race I will also throw something on Thousand Wishes who had some good form last campaign and has trialled up nicely leading into this. She looks capable of running a race fresh.

The other one at big odds is Jittery Jack. He will improve sharply off that first up run and is capable of surprising at big odds. Just have a feeling a few of these favourites are under the odds and it is set up for a bit of a blowout result.

Betting strategy

I will have $15 (plus an extra $5 post scratchings at $21) the win on Copper Fox at the $27 with SportsBet! I will have $15 the win on Thousand Wishes and $10 the win on Jittery Jack!

Race Outlay

$45

Race 2

1:10pm

Suggested

Sacramento (No.7), Collide (No.8) & Dadoozdart (No.10)

Dangers

Favorite Moon (No.13) & Realm Of Flowers (No.14)

This is the Manion Cup for the stayers over the 2400m. I flipped around a bit on this race and then in the end, just ended up falling on Sacramento. He is just flying this campaign and he doesn’t look like he will meet any real “new” opposition that will cause him too much distress here. He won three on end prior to running into Mount Popa at Randwick last start and they really cleared out from their rivals. I loved the fight he showed in that race. Mount Popa looked like he was going to run straight past him and blow him away but he fought on really strongly to go down less than a length. We then saw Mount Popa go to Mornington and win the Cup there in a procession last week. I just see no reason why Sacramento won’t be hard to run past again here. He handles soft ground, he will be up on speed making his luck and will give you a great sight. Happy to be with him.

I have the feeling Dadoozdart is getting close to showing something. Well he has been showing something in recent starts in particular last start in the Canberra Cup but he is getting closer to a win. I think the key with him is getting on to soft tracks and he should relish the heavy conditions here on Saturday. He has the blinkers come off to help him settle better in the run and run out a strong 2400m and with no weight on his back from a middle draw I think he will run well at double figure odds.

I will also cover those bets with having something on Collide. I thought he was good at his first Australian run chasing home Mount Popa and Sacramento. He looked to just peak on his run there late on. He has a very good record on soft tracks and with natural improvement from that first up run into this race second up he can certainly bridge the gap on Sacramento rising to the 2400m so I will have something on him as well.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on Sacramento, $25 the win on Collide and $20 the win on Dadoozdart taking the $10 about the latter!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 9

5:50pm

Suggested

Every Rose (No.5), Seasons (No.7) & I Am Eloquent (No.13)

Dangers

Written Beauty (No.6) & Emanate (No.12)

This race is for the fillies and mares over the 1200m to finish the day on. Gee, I am pretty sure Every Rose went up around double figures last Saturday when she was due to run in this race. I was pretty keen on her last week and now the race has been held over I am still keen on her but unfortunately there are no double figures about this week. She is around the $6-7 mark but I still think she is a very good bet to end the day on. She has come back in great form. She was a super winner for us first up at a big price before stepping up to 1400m last start and running really well but probably just finding that 1400m a bit to far. She comes back to the 1200m here, she looks very well weighted with just 54.5kgs for Tim Clark and she handles soft going. I think she will give you a great sight and keen to be with her.

I thought Seasons was very good first up behind Vulpine. She really charged through the line late. She has a super second up record, she draws to get a gun run trailing the speed and she is a heavy track winner with a super record over this trip. If she has gone on from that first up run she should be right in the finish.

The other horse I want to have something on is I Am Eloquent. This mare goes well fresh and simply flies on heavy tracks. She gets that setup here on Saturday with Bossy on board and at double figure odds I can certainly see her running a big race.

Betting strategy

I will have $30 the win on Every Rose, $20 the win on Seasons and $10 the win on I Am Eloquent!

Race Outlay

$60

Race 2

12:50pm

Suggested

Simply Optimistic (No.2) & Rock Prophet (No.8)

Dangers

Just Hifalutin (No.1) & She’s A Thief (No.4)

This race is over the 1100m for the sprinters and keen to be with a couple of resuming runners here. Simply Optimistic is a horse that has always shown a good deal of ability and I thought he started to really put it together last campaign with a couple of strong wins in the spring. The key to him looks to be keeping him to these sprint trips. I found earlier in his career despite the fact he was always running on, he just wasn’t finishing his races off as strongly as he could over the 1400m. He seemed to really relish sticking to the 1200m last campaign. His trial and jump out leading into this campaign have been really strong. He hasn’t been asked to do a lot but has gone to the line with plenty in hand. He draws to get a lovely run just off the speed here. The big Bendigo track should suit, he typically races very well when fresh and I expect him to be very hard to hold out.

It is no surprise to see the early market support arrive for Rock Prophet. He won here first up over this course and distance last campaign when landing some good bets. It was a long campaign and his form did seem to taper off towards the end of it. If you go back through his form though there is form around Sansom, Rich Hips, Octane, Sword Of Mercy and Zoutori which all reads very well for a race of this nature. He looks well weighted in this race with just 54kgs on his back, draws well for Beau Mertens and I would expect him to be right in the finish.

Betting strategy

I will have $55 the win on Simply Optimistic and $25 the win on Rock Prophet and will take the $7 with TAB Fixed Odds about the latter!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 8

4:50pm

Suggested

Skyward (No.3), Inverloch (No.7) & Ironclad (No.14)

Dangers

The Candy Man (No.4) & Hi Stranger (No.13)

This is the feature race of the day here. It is the Golden Mile over the, yup, you guessed it, the mile. The race has lost some of its lustre with Rock being a scratching. Team Hawkes don’t like wide barriers but gee, reckon three wide with cover around Bendigo probably would have suited the horse if no disadvantage getting away from the fence. His absence from the race has certainly seen Ironclad come into a pretty short priced favourite, but probably rightly so. He clearly looks the horse to beat. In a race that has a lot of horses resuming, a lot of horses out of form or struggling to find their best, he comes here fit and in form having won all three starts this campaign in Adelaide since coming from Europe. He looks a smart horse. His first two wins were workmanlike rather than spectacular and I thought he may have been looking for further going into his last start run on Adelaide Cup Day. However, he relished the strong tempo over the mile, had a lovely run off the speed, got clear in the straight and sprinted quickly off that tempo to reel his rivals in and charge away on the line. He was really strong through the line and the further that race went the further he was winning by. This just looks a lovely race for him providing he can hold that form. He draws gate five for Jamie Kah to get that similar stalking run to what he got last start and with a touch of luck finding clear air he looks the one they all have to beat and keen to be with him.

I do think there are a couple of roughies in the race at decent odds worth a spec. Both runners come from the Busuttin and Young stable and both are probably better known for their form over more ground. The first of those is Skyward who is an imported galloper who came out here for the Cups last year. He started well in the market in the Geelong Cup and ran well before finishing last in the Mackinnon. He looks to have come back well and acclimatised well coming into his second Australian campaign if his jump outs are anything to go by. He has looked very sharp in both of those and a big first up run here would not surprise. Around the $25-30 mark I think he is worth a ticket.

The stable mate Inverloch has also trialled and jumped out well leading into this. First up last campaign he ran a cracker at Flemington at a huge price behind Travimyfriend and Windstorm. That was over 1400m and he resumes over the mile here. If he ran up to the level he did that day he won’t be far away here. He draws a nice middle gate for Micky Dee and at 50/1 ($71 with Bet365) he looks worth a ticket as well.

Betting strategy

I will have $65 the win on Ironclad here and $10 the win on Skyward and Inverloch taking the $31 and $51 about those two!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 9

5:25pm

Suggested

Jittery Jack (No.2), Thousand Wishes (No.8) & Copper Fox (No.15)

Dangers

Fighting Harada (No.5) & Faretti (No.11)

This race is over the 1300m to end the day on. I was originally quite keen on Superium in this race particularly if the track got close to Good which I thought it would have been every chance to by the end of the day but he has come out so I won’t be playing too heavily in this race now and now that Born A King is out there really isn’t much to get excited about at all.

The horse I thought went up significantly over the odds in the race was Copper Fox. I thought his first up run at Wangaratta was excellent. He was just touched off by Prince Of Helena who has been in very good form and he will no doubt strip fitter coming into this race second up. He gets good weight relief dropping down from the 60kgs to just 54kgs after the claim for Will Price and he has a very good record second up. He has a good record at this distance, he draws to get a lovely run in transit and around the $25-30 mark I think he will run a big race here and is definitely worth a ticket at the big price.

To keep the theme of roughies in this last race I will also throw something on Thousand Wishes who had some good form last campaign and has trialled up nicely leading into this. She looks capable of running a race fresh.

The other one at big odds is Jittery Jack. He will improve sharply off that first up run and is capable of surprising at big odds. Just have a feeling a few of these favourites are under the odds and it is set up for a bit of a blowout result.

Betting strategy

I will have $15 (plus an extra $5 post scratchings at $21) the win on Copper Fox at the $27 with SportsBet! I will have $15 the win on Thousand Wishes and $10 the win on Jittery Jack!

Race Outlay

$45

Race 2

1:10pm

Suggested

Sacramento (No.7), Collide (No.8) & Dadoozdart (No.10)

Dangers

Favorite Moon (No.13) & Realm Of Flowers (No.14)

This is the Manion Cup for the stayers over the 2400m. I flipped around a bit on this race and then in the end, just ended up falling on Sacramento. He is just flying this campaign and he doesn’t look like he will meet any real “new” opposition that will cause him too much distress here. He won three on end prior to running into Mount Popa at Randwick last start and they really cleared out from their rivals. I loved the fight he showed in that race. Mount Popa looked like he was going to run straight past him and blow him away but he fought on really strongly to go down less than a length. We then saw Mount Popa go to Mornington and win the Cup there in a procession last week. I just see no reason why Sacramento won’t be hard to run past again here. He handles soft ground, he will be up on speed making his luck and will give you a great sight. Happy to be with him.

I have the feeling Dadoozdart is getting close to showing something. Well he has been showing something in recent starts in particular last start in the Canberra Cup but he is getting closer to a win. I think the key with him is getting on to soft tracks and he should relish the heavy conditions here on Saturday. He has the blinkers come off to help him settle better in the run and run out a strong 2400m and with no weight on his back from a middle draw I think he will run well at double figure odds.

I will also cover those bets with having something on Collide. I thought he was good at his first Australian run chasing home Mount Popa and Sacramento. He looked to just peak on his run there late on. He has a very good record on soft tracks and with natural improvement from that first up run into this race second up he can certainly bridge the gap on Sacramento rising to the 2400m so I will have something on him as well.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on Sacramento, $25 the win on Collide and $20 the win on Dadoozdart taking the $10 about the latter!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 9

5:50pm

Suggested

Every Rose (No.5), Seasons (No.7) & I Am Eloquent (No.13)

Dangers

Written Beauty (No.6) & Emanate (No.12)

This race is for the fillies and mares over the 1200m to finish the day on. Gee, I am pretty sure Every Rose went up around double figures last Saturday when she was due to run in this race. I was pretty keen on her last week and now the race has been held over I am still keen on her but unfortunately there are no double figures about this week. She is around the $6-7 mark but I still think she is a very good bet to end the day on. She has come back in great form. She was a super winner for us first up at a big price before stepping up to 1400m last start and running really well but probably just finding that 1400m a bit to far. She comes back to the 1200m here, she looks very well weighted with just 54.5kgs for Tim Clark and she handles soft going. I think she will give you a great sight and keen to be with her.

I thought Seasons was very good first up behind Vulpine. She really charged through the line late. She has a super second up record, she draws to get a gun run trailing the speed and she is a heavy track winner with a super record over this trip. If she has gone on from that first up run she should be right in the finish.

The other horse I want to have something on is I Am Eloquent. This mare goes well fresh and simply flies on heavy tracks. She gets that setup here on Saturday with Bossy on board and at double figure odds I can certainly see her running a big race.

Betting strategy

I will have $30 the win on Every Rose, $20 the win on Seasons and $10 the win on I Am Eloquent!

Race Outlay

$60

Race 2

12:50pm

Suggested

Simply Optimistic (No.2) & Rock Prophet (No.8)

Dangers

Just Hifalutin (No.1) & She’s A Thief (No.4)

This race is over the 1100m for the sprinters and keen to be with a couple of resuming runners here. Simply Optimistic is a horse that has always shown a good deal of ability and I thought he started to really put it together last campaign with a couple of strong wins in the spring. The key to him looks to be keeping him to these sprint trips. I found earlier in his career despite the fact he was always running on, he just wasn’t finishing his races off as strongly as he could over the 1400m. He seemed to really relish sticking to the 1200m last campaign. His trial and jump out leading into this campaign have been really strong. He hasn’t been asked to do a lot but has gone to the line with plenty in hand. He draws to get a lovely run just off the speed here. The big Bendigo track should suit, he typically races very well when fresh and I expect him to be very hard to hold out.

It is no surprise to see the early market support arrive for Rock Prophet. He won here first up over this course and distance last campaign when landing some good bets. It was a long campaign and his form did seem to taper off towards the end of it. If you go back through his form though there is form around Sansom, Rich Hips, Octane, Sword Of Mercy and Zoutori which all reads very well for a race of this nature. He looks well weighted in this race with just 54kgs on his back, draws well for Beau Mertens and I would expect him to be right in the finish.

Betting strategy

I will have $55 the win on Simply Optimistic and $25 the win on Rock Prophet and will take the $7 with TAB Fixed Odds about the latter!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 8

4:50pm

Suggested

Skyward (No.3), Inverloch (No.7) & Ironclad (No.14)

Dangers

The Candy Man (No.4) & Hi Stranger (No.13)

This is the feature race of the day here. It is the Golden Mile over the, yup, you guessed it, the mile. The race has lost some of its lustre with Rock being a scratching. Team Hawkes don’t like wide barriers but gee, reckon three wide with cover around Bendigo probably would have suited the horse if no disadvantage getting away from the fence. His absence from the race has certainly seen Ironclad come into a pretty short priced favourite, but probably rightly so. He clearly looks the horse to beat. In a race that has a lot of horses resuming, a lot of horses out of form or struggling to find their best, he comes here fit and in form having won all three starts this campaign in Adelaide since coming from Europe. He looks a smart horse. His first two wins were workmanlike rather than spectacular and I thought he may have been looking for further going into his last start run on Adelaide Cup Day. However, he relished the strong tempo over the mile, had a lovely run off the speed, got clear in the straight and sprinted quickly off that tempo to reel his rivals in and charge away on the line. He was really strong through the line and the further that race went the further he was winning by. This just looks a lovely race for him providing he can hold that form. He draws gate five for Jamie Kah to get that similar stalking run to what he got last start and with a touch of luck finding clear air he looks the one they all have to beat and keen to be with him.

I do think there are a couple of roughies in the race at decent odds worth a spec. Both runners come from the Busuttin and Young stable and both are probably better known for their form over more ground. The first of those is Skyward who is an imported galloper who came out here for the Cups last year. He started well in the market in the Geelong Cup and ran well before finishing last in the Mackinnon. He looks to have come back well and acclimatised well coming into his second Australian campaign if his jump outs are anything to go by. He has looked very sharp in both of those and a big first up run here would not surprise. Around the $25-30 mark I think he is worth a ticket.

The stable mate Inverloch has also trialled and jumped out well leading into this. First up last campaign he ran a cracker at Flemington at a huge price behind Travimyfriend and Windstorm. That was over 1400m and he resumes over the mile here. If he ran up to the level he did that day he won’t be far away here. He draws a nice middle gate for Micky Dee and at 50/1 ($71 with Bet365) he looks worth a ticket as well.

Betting strategy

I will have $65 the win on Ironclad here and $10 the win on Skyward and Inverloch taking the $31 and $51 about those two!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 9

5:25pm

Suggested

Jittery Jack (No.2), Thousand Wishes (No.8) & Copper Fox (No.15)

Dangers

Fighting Harada (No.5) & Faretti (No.11)

This race is over the 1300m to end the day on. I was originally quite keen on Superium in this race particularly if the track got close to Good which I thought it would have been every chance to by the end of the day but he has come out so I won’t be playing too heavily in this race now and now that Born A King is out there really isn’t much to get excited about at all.

The horse I thought went up significantly over the odds in the race was Copper Fox. I thought his first up run at Wangaratta was excellent. He was just touched off by Prince Of Helena who has been in very good form and he will no doubt strip fitter coming into this race second up. He gets good weight relief dropping down from the 60kgs to just 54kgs after the claim for Will Price and he has a very good record second up. He has a good record at this distance, he draws to get a lovely run in transit and around the $25-30 mark I think he will run a big race here and is definitely worth a ticket at the big price.

To keep the theme of roughies in this last race I will also throw something on Thousand Wishes who had some good form last campaign and has trialled up nicely leading into this. She looks capable of running a race fresh.

The other one at big odds is Jittery Jack. He will improve sharply off that first up run and is capable of surprising at big odds. Just have a feeling a few of these favourites are under the odds and it is set up for a bit of a blowout result.

Betting strategy

I will have $15 (plus an extra $5 post scratchings at $21) the win on Copper Fox at the $27 with SportsBet! I will have $15 the win on Thousand Wishes and $10 the win on Jittery Jack!

Race Outlay

$45

Race 2

1:10pm

Suggested

Sacramento (No.7), Collide (No.8) & Dadoozdart (No.10)

Dangers

Favorite Moon (No.13) & Realm Of Flowers (No.14)

This is the Manion Cup for the stayers over the 2400m. I flipped around a bit on this race and then in the end, just ended up falling on Sacramento. He is just flying this campaign and he doesn’t look like he will meet any real “new” opposition that will cause him too much distress here. He won three on end prior to running into Mount Popa at Randwick last start and they really cleared out from their rivals. I loved the fight he showed in that race. Mount Popa looked like he was going to run straight past him and blow him away but he fought on really strongly to go down less than a length. We then saw Mount Popa go to Mornington and win the Cup there in a procession last week. I just see no reason why Sacramento won’t be hard to run past again here. He handles soft ground, he will be up on speed making his luck and will give you a great sight. Happy to be with him.

I have the feeling Dadoozdart is getting close to showing something. Well he has been showing something in recent starts in particular last start in the Canberra Cup but he is getting closer to a win. I think the key with him is getting on to soft tracks and he should relish the heavy conditions here on Saturday. He has the blinkers come off to help him settle better in the run and run out a strong 2400m and with no weight on his back from a middle draw I think he will run well at double figure odds.

I will also cover those bets with having something on Collide. I thought he was good at his first Australian run chasing home Mount Popa and Sacramento. He looked to just peak on his run there late on. He has a very good record on soft tracks and with natural improvement from that first up run into this race second up he can certainly bridge the gap on Sacramento rising to the 2400m so I will have something on him as well.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on Sacramento, $25 the win on Collide and $20 the win on Dadoozdart taking the $10 about the latter!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 9

5:50pm

Suggested

Every Rose (No.5), Seasons (No.7) & I Am Eloquent (No.13)

Dangers

Written Beauty (No.6) & Emanate (No.12)

This race is for the fillies and mares over the 1200m to finish the day on. Gee, I am pretty sure Every Rose went up around double figures last Saturday when she was due to run in this race. I was pretty keen on her last week and now the race has been held over I am still keen on her but unfortunately there are no double figures about this week. She is around the $6-7 mark but I still think she is a very good bet to end the day on. She has come back in great form. She was a super winner for us first up at a big price before stepping up to 1400m last start and running really well but probably just finding that 1400m a bit to far. She comes back to the 1200m here, she looks very well weighted with just 54.5kgs for Tim Clark and she handles soft going. I think she will give you a great sight and keen to be with her.

I thought Seasons was very good first up behind Vulpine. She really charged through the line late. She has a super second up record, she draws to get a gun run trailing the speed and she is a heavy track winner with a super record over this trip. If she has gone on from that first up run she should be right in the finish.

The other horse I want to have something on is I Am Eloquent. This mare goes well fresh and simply flies on heavy tracks. She gets that setup here on Saturday with Bossy on board and at double figure odds I can certainly see her running a big race.

Betting strategy

I will have $30 the win on Every Rose, $20 the win on Seasons and $10 the win on I Am Eloquent!

Race Outlay

$60

Race 2

12:50pm

Suggested

Simply Optimistic (No.2) & Rock Prophet (No.8)

Dangers

Just Hifalutin (No.1) & She’s A Thief (No.4)

This race is over the 1100m for the sprinters and keen to be with a couple of resuming runners here. Simply Optimistic is a horse that has always shown a good deal of ability and I thought he started to really put it together last campaign with a couple of strong wins in the spring. The key to him looks to be keeping him to these sprint trips. I found earlier in his career despite the fact he was always running on, he just wasn’t finishing his races off as strongly as he could over the 1400m. He seemed to really relish sticking to the 1200m last campaign. His trial and jump out leading into this campaign have been really strong. He hasn’t been asked to do a lot but has gone to the line with plenty in hand. He draws to get a lovely run just off the speed here. The big Bendigo track should suit, he typically races very well when fresh and I expect him to be very hard to hold out.

It is no surprise to see the early market support arrive for Rock Prophet. He won here first up over this course and distance last campaign when landing some good bets. It was a long campaign and his form did seem to taper off towards the end of it. If you go back through his form though there is form around Sansom, Rich Hips, Octane, Sword Of Mercy and Zoutori which all reads very well for a race of this nature. He looks well weighted in this race with just 54kgs on his back, draws well for Beau Mertens and I would expect him to be right in the finish.

Betting strategy

I will have $55 the win on Simply Optimistic and $25 the win on Rock Prophet and will take the $7 with TAB Fixed Odds about the latter!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 8

4:50pm

Suggested

Skyward (No.3), Inverloch (No.7) & Ironclad (No.14)

Dangers

The Candy Man (No.4) & Hi Stranger (No.13)

This is the feature race of the day here. It is the Golden Mile over the, yup, you guessed it, the mile. The race has lost some of its lustre with Rock being a scratching. Team Hawkes don’t like wide barriers but gee, reckon three wide with cover around Bendigo probably would have suited the horse if no disadvantage getting away from the fence. His absence from the race has certainly seen Ironclad come into a pretty short priced favourite, but probably rightly so. He clearly looks the horse to beat. In a race that has a lot of horses resuming, a lot of horses out of form or struggling to find their best, he comes here fit and in form having won all three starts this campaign in Adelaide since coming from Europe. He looks a smart horse. His first two wins were workmanlike rather than spectacular and I thought he may have been looking for further going into his last start run on Adelaide Cup Day. However, he relished the strong tempo over the mile, had a lovely run off the speed, got clear in the straight and sprinted quickly off that tempo to reel his rivals in and charge away on the line. He was really strong through the line and the further that race went the further he was winning by. This just looks a lovely race for him providing he can hold that form. He draws gate five for Jamie Kah to get that similar stalking run to what he got last start and with a touch of luck finding clear air he looks the one they all have to beat and keen to be with him.

I do think there are a couple of roughies in the race at decent odds worth a spec. Both runners come from the Busuttin and Young stable and both are probably better known for their form over more ground. The first of those is Skyward who is an imported galloper who came out here for the Cups last year. He started well in the market in the Geelong Cup and ran well before finishing last in the Mackinnon. He looks to have come back well and acclimatised well coming into his second Australian campaign if his jump outs are anything to go by. He has looked very sharp in both of those and a big first up run here would not surprise. Around the $25-30 mark I think he is worth a ticket.

The stable mate Inverloch has also trialled and jumped out well leading into this. First up last campaign he ran a cracker at Flemington at a huge price behind Travimyfriend and Windstorm. That was over 1400m and he resumes over the mile here. If he ran up to the level he did that day he won’t be far away here. He draws a nice middle gate for Micky Dee and at 50/1 ($71 with Bet365) he looks worth a ticket as well.

Betting strategy

I will have $65 the win on Ironclad here and $10 the win on Skyward and Inverloch taking the $31 and $51 about those two!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 9

5:25pm

Suggested

Jittery Jack (No.2), Thousand Wishes (No.8) & Copper Fox (No.15)

Dangers

Fighting Harada (No.5) & Faretti (No.11)

This race is over the 1300m to end the day on. I was originally quite keen on Superium in this race particularly if the track got close to Good which I thought it would have been every chance to by the end of the day but he has come out so I won’t be playing too heavily in this race now and now that Born A King is out there really isn’t much to get excited about at all.

The horse I thought went up significantly over the odds in the race was Copper Fox. I thought his first up run at Wangaratta was excellent. He was just touched off by Prince Of Helena who has been in very good form and he will no doubt strip fitter coming into this race second up. He gets good weight relief dropping down from the 60kgs to just 54kgs after the claim for Will Price and he has a very good record second up. He has a good record at this distance, he draws to get a lovely run in transit and around the $25-30 mark I think he will run a big race here and is definitely worth a ticket at the big price.

To keep the theme of roughies in this last race I will also throw something on Thousand Wishes who had some good form last campaign and has trialled up nicely leading into this. She looks capable of running a race fresh.

The other one at big odds is Jittery Jack. He will improve sharply off that first up run and is capable of surprising at big odds. Just have a feeling a few of these favourites are under the odds and it is set up for a bit of a blowout result.

Betting strategy

I will have $15 (plus an extra $5 post scratchings at $21) the win on Copper Fox at the $27 with SportsBet! I will have $15 the win on Thousand Wishes and $10 the win on Jittery Jack!

Race Outlay

$45

Race 2

1:10pm

Suggested

Sacramento (No.7), Collide (No.8) & Dadoozdart (No.10)

Dangers

Favorite Moon (No.13) & Realm Of Flowers (No.14)

This is the Manion Cup for the stayers over the 2400m. I flipped around a bit on this race and then in the end, just ended up falling on Sacramento. He is just flying this campaign and he doesn’t look like he will meet any real “new” opposition that will cause him too much distress here. He won three on end prior to running into Mount Popa at Randwick last start and they really cleared out from their rivals. I loved the fight he showed in that race. Mount Popa looked like he was going to run straight past him and blow him away but he fought on really strongly to go down less than a length. We then saw Mount Popa go to Mornington and win the Cup there in a procession last week. I just see no reason why Sacramento won’t be hard to run past again here. He handles soft ground, he will be up on speed making his luck and will give you a great sight. Happy to be with him.

I have the feeling Dadoozdart is getting close to showing something. Well he has been showing something in recent starts in particular last start in the Canberra Cup but he is getting closer to a win. I think the key with him is getting on to soft tracks and he should relish the heavy conditions here on Saturday. He has the blinkers come off to help him settle better in the run and run out a strong 2400m and with no weight on his back from a middle draw I think he will run well at double figure odds.

I will also cover those bets with having something on Collide. I thought he was good at his first Australian run chasing home Mount Popa and Sacramento. He looked to just peak on his run there late on. He has a very good record on soft tracks and with natural improvement from that first up run into this race second up he can certainly bridge the gap on Sacramento rising to the 2400m so I will have something on him as well.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on Sacramento, $25 the win on Collide and $20 the win on Dadoozdart taking the $10 about the latter!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 9

5:50pm

Suggested

Every Rose (No.5), Seasons (No.7) & I Am Eloquent (No.13)

Dangers

Written Beauty (No.6) & Emanate (No.12)

This race is for the fillies and mares over the 1200m to finish the day on. Gee, I am pretty sure Every Rose went up around double figures last Saturday when she was due to run in this race. I was pretty keen on her last week and now the race has been held over I am still keen on her but unfortunately there are no double figures about this week. She is around the $6-7 mark but I still think she is a very good bet to end the day on. She has come back in great form. She was a super winner for us first up at a big price before stepping up to 1400m last start and running really well but probably just finding that 1400m a bit to far. She comes back to the 1200m here, she looks very well weighted with just 54.5kgs for Tim Clark and she handles soft going. I think she will give you a great sight and keen to be with her.

I thought Seasons was very good first up behind Vulpine. She really charged through the line late. She has a super second up record, she draws to get a gun run trailing the speed and she is a heavy track winner with a super record over this trip. If she has gone on from that first up run she should be right in the finish.

The other horse I want to have something on is I Am Eloquent. This mare goes well fresh and simply flies on heavy tracks. She gets that setup here on Saturday with Bossy on board and at double figure odds I can certainly see her running a big race.

Betting strategy

I will have $30 the win on Every Rose, $20 the win on Seasons and $10 the win on I Am Eloquent!

Race Outlay

$60

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