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Select Race Meeting Event

Race 4

2:00pm

Suggested

Generation (No.4) & Sudoko (No.6)

Dangers

Mornington Glory (No.8) & Dosh (No.9)

This race is over the 1200m for the three year olds of both sexes. Dosh has come up the favourite in the early market. We were on her last start at Caulfield when she looked home for all money but was cut down in the final stages by Savatoxl. That race was over 1100m and she now has to step up to the 1200m on a track which could be testing a few by this stage after some rain and eleven races prior in 24 hours. She draws out as well and while she is the highest rated galloper in the race quite clearly I just think there has to be a huge question mark over her at the 1200m.

For that reason I was keen to side with Generation. This galloper perhaps hasn’t lived up to the expectations thought of him leading into this campaign, but this looks a nice race for him. He was favourite when first up at Caulfield but didn’t have an easy time in front in what was probably inferior going when run down by Ingratiating. He then worked three wide on the speed second up at The Valley and stuck on well when third behind Mynumerouno and Athelric with a big gap to the fourth horse. I like the fact they have given him a freshen up here and they have just backed off him and targeted a race towards the end of the carnival. I think the map works out well for him with Dosh drawn directly outside of him. I think J-Mac can get the cart across with her and end up in a perfect stalking position and I will just bank on him being stronger at the end of the 1200m than Dosh and therefore keen to be with him.

Sudoko is the other horse I want to have something on. He resumed with a good win at Sale coming from off the speed over 1200m. He is going to appreciate the solid tempo here and he looks the type of horse that will suit Bowman. From the low draw he can sit and stalk the leaders and be really strong late. Around the $8-9 mark he looks a good bet.

Betting strategy

I will have 4 Units the win on Generation and 1.5 Units the win on Sudoko!

Race Outlay

5.5 Units

Race 8

4:25pm

Suggested

Sound (No.1), Pondus (No.10) & Miami Bound (No.11)

Dangers

Harpo Marx (No.7) & Floating Artist (No.12)

This is the Moonee Valley Cup for the stayers as quite a few of these runners make a last gasp attempt to win their way into next Tuesday’s Melbourne Cup. The market is really dominated by three horses here in Harpo Marx, Pondus and Floating Artist. While Harpo Marx ran well in The Metropolitan I feel that race might be a bit of a level below the good staying form and as such the price looks pretty short. Floating Artist was beaten as an odds on favourite at Caulfield in a slowly run race by Duais and Wentwood and while you can argue he wasn’t ridden to advantage in that race he was still pretty plain. Duais was beaten out of sight in the Caulfield Cup and I would be very nervous about tumbling in at a shortish quote again here in what looks a more competitive race.

Pondus on the other hand comes out of a proper staying contest at Flemington where he finished third behind Grand Promenade and Tralee Rose. That was a fast run staying race set up by Pondus who was first up that day and probably just had his condition give out late. I think that run would have brought Pondus on ideally for this race and I thought he was clearly the horse to beat. He should roll forward up on speed for Jye McNeil again and I fancy he will be hard to run down. Keen to be with him.

Miami Bound was well beaten in that race but I thought she was OK through the line from the back. She won this race last year off similar, probably inferior lead in runs. They key with her is if the rain arrives and she gets her preferred soft conditions. If that is the case then she can run a race at big odds.

I am also going to have a peanut on Sound at big odds. I think this horse is going quite well. His two runs this time in have been solid enough and he finally gets out to a staying trip he relishes here. He generally races well around The Valley and at the $30-40 on offer can run well.

Betting strategy

I will have 4 Units the win on Pondus and 1 Unit the win on both Sound and Miami Bound!

Race Outlay

6 Units

Race 5

2:50pm

Suggested

Emerald Kingdom (No.1) & Yamazaki (No.6)

Dangers

Criaderas (No.4) & Exoboom (No.8)

Racing in Sydney comes from Randwick this Saturday and boy, is this a bit of a comedown after the highs of The Everest meeting last week. This is a pretty ordinary meeting and one I found it pretty hard to find a bet in as well. The good thing is the weather has stayed relatively dry in Sydney and as such we will be racing on a good track I would anticipate with the rail out eight metres so horses up on speed could definitely be advantaged. I am only betting in the three races, I liked the last race but ultimately couldn’t find enough of an angle to take on Gravina while at the same time probably not wanting to back it at the short odds.

I am kicking the day off in the fifth race which is over the 1400m. I think we might see the Queensland form come to the fore here. This looks a splendid race for Emerald Kingdom. He resumed with a very good run two weeks ago when second to Apache Chase who looks to have come back airborne and had some form around some very good horses last preparation. Emerald Kingdom typically improves sharply off his first up run into his second up run and if he follows that pattern this campaign then this race looks his for the taking. He should roll forward for Tim Clark and land in front from gate seven and with his main rival in the betting in Criaderas likely to be spotting him a long start I think he is clearly the one to beat and should be a clear favourite. Almost the best of the weekend I dare say.

I am going to have a small save on Yamazaki. I just thought this mare got through the line nicely first up and if they have a bit of a target on the head of Tim Clark and try and take him on early and bring him undone that will set it up for something to swoop late. This mare has a big finish on her day and is capable so around the $8 mark I will have something on her.

Betting strategy

I will have 4 Units the win on Emerald Kingdom locking in the $3.40 with SportsBet about him and save with 1.5 Units the win on Yamazaki!

Race Outlay

5.5 Units

Race 9

5:35pm

Suggested

Sweet Deal (No.3), Media Award (No.5) & Rocha Clock (No.8)

Dangers

Entriviere (No.6) & Icebath (No.10)

This is the big one of the day (I think, maybe it is The Bondi) in Sydney. It is The Invitation at Randwick for the fillies and mares over the 1400m. Sheesh, good luck here. This is a tough race. It is made even tougher by the fact that the two class mares of the race in Entriviere and Icebath both draw awkwardly and could end up in very tricky positions. From that point of view I wasn’t too keen to back either of them particularly Entriviere at the price. I am throwing a few darts elsewhere looking to get a result with a few at odds.

Sweet Deal did enough I thought first up behind Minhaaj and the key here is that she is one horse that maps to roll forward from out wider and get a good run on speed. I think the engagement of Josh Parr is a key one and she looks to come across pretty easily to land in the first couple. From that position she can run a big race at double figure odds.

Rocha Clock is the one that draws to get the suck run in behind them from gate four. She is another that did enough first up behind Minhaaj. She typically improves sharply from her first up run to her second up run and if she does that again here she can be right in the finish with a touch of luck.

Media Award the Victorian is the x-factor runner for mine. She is a mare that went through her grades quite quickly as a three year old and that campaign culminated in a Group One Australasian Oaks win. She was a dominant winner at Kyneton over 1400m to kick off that campaign and while this is obviously harder she might have very well improved again into this campaign. Her recent jump out was very sharp and I can see her running a race around the $20+ mark here.

Betting strategy

I will have 1 Unit the win on all three of Sweet Deal, Rocha Clock and Media Award!

Race Outlay

3 Units

Race 4

2:00pm

Suggested

Generation (No.4) & Sudoko (No.6)

Dangers

Mornington Glory (No.8) & Dosh (No.9)

This race is over the 1200m for the three year olds of both sexes. Dosh has come up the favourite in the early market. We were on her last start at Caulfield when she looked home for all money but was cut down in the final stages by Savatoxl. That race was over 1100m and she now has to step up to the 1200m on a track which could be testing a few by this stage after some rain and eleven races prior in 24 hours. She draws out as well and while she is the highest rated galloper in the race quite clearly I just think there has to be a huge question mark over her at the 1200m.

For that reason I was keen to side with Generation. This galloper perhaps hasn’t lived up to the expectations thought of him leading into this campaign, but this looks a nice race for him. He was favourite when first up at Caulfield but didn’t have an easy time in front in what was probably inferior going when run down by Ingratiating. He then worked three wide on the speed second up at The Valley and stuck on well when third behind Mynumerouno and Athelric with a big gap to the fourth horse. I like the fact they have given him a freshen up here and they have just backed off him and targeted a race towards the end of the carnival. I think the map works out well for him with Dosh drawn directly outside of him. I think J-Mac can get the cart across with her and end up in a perfect stalking position and I will just bank on him being stronger at the end of the 1200m than Dosh and therefore keen to be with him.

Sudoko is the other horse I want to have something on. He resumed with a good win at Sale coming from off the speed over 1200m. He is going to appreciate the solid tempo here and he looks the type of horse that will suit Bowman. From the low draw he can sit and stalk the leaders and be really strong late. Around the $8-9 mark he looks a good bet.

Betting strategy

I will have 4 Units the win on Generation and 1.5 Units the win on Sudoko!

Race Outlay

5.5 Units

Race 8

4:25pm

Suggested

Sound (No.1), Pondus (No.10) & Miami Bound (No.11)

Dangers

Harpo Marx (No.7) & Floating Artist (No.12)

This is the Moonee Valley Cup for the stayers as quite a few of these runners make a last gasp attempt to win their way into next Tuesday’s Melbourne Cup. The market is really dominated by three horses here in Harpo Marx, Pondus and Floating Artist. While Harpo Marx ran well in The Metropolitan I feel that race might be a bit of a level below the good staying form and as such the price looks pretty short. Floating Artist was beaten as an odds on favourite at Caulfield in a slowly run race by Duais and Wentwood and while you can argue he wasn’t ridden to advantage in that race he was still pretty plain. Duais was beaten out of sight in the Caulfield Cup and I would be very nervous about tumbling in at a shortish quote again here in what looks a more competitive race.

Pondus on the other hand comes out of a proper staying contest at Flemington where he finished third behind Grand Promenade and Tralee Rose. That was a fast run staying race set up by Pondus who was first up that day and probably just had his condition give out late. I think that run would have brought Pondus on ideally for this race and I thought he was clearly the horse to beat. He should roll forward up on speed for Jye McNeil again and I fancy he will be hard to run down. Keen to be with him.

Miami Bound was well beaten in that race but I thought she was OK through the line from the back. She won this race last year off similar, probably inferior lead in runs. They key with her is if the rain arrives and she gets her preferred soft conditions. If that is the case then she can run a race at big odds.

I am also going to have a peanut on Sound at big odds. I think this horse is going quite well. His two runs this time in have been solid enough and he finally gets out to a staying trip he relishes here. He generally races well around The Valley and at the $30-40 on offer can run well.

Betting strategy

I will have 4 Units the win on Pondus and 1 Unit the win on both Sound and Miami Bound!

Race Outlay

6 Units

Race 5

2:50pm

Suggested

Emerald Kingdom (No.1) & Yamazaki (No.6)

Dangers

Criaderas (No.4) & Exoboom (No.8)

Racing in Sydney comes from Randwick this Saturday and boy, is this a bit of a comedown after the highs of The Everest meeting last week. This is a pretty ordinary meeting and one I found it pretty hard to find a bet in as well. The good thing is the weather has stayed relatively dry in Sydney and as such we will be racing on a good track I would anticipate with the rail out eight metres so horses up on speed could definitely be advantaged. I am only betting in the three races, I liked the last race but ultimately couldn’t find enough of an angle to take on Gravina while at the same time probably not wanting to back it at the short odds.

I am kicking the day off in the fifth race which is over the 1400m. I think we might see the Queensland form come to the fore here. This looks a splendid race for Emerald Kingdom. He resumed with a very good run two weeks ago when second to Apache Chase who looks to have come back airborne and had some form around some very good horses last preparation. Emerald Kingdom typically improves sharply off his first up run into his second up run and if he follows that pattern this campaign then this race looks his for the taking. He should roll forward for Tim Clark and land in front from gate seven and with his main rival in the betting in Criaderas likely to be spotting him a long start I think he is clearly the one to beat and should be a clear favourite. Almost the best of the weekend I dare say.

I am going to have a small save on Yamazaki. I just thought this mare got through the line nicely first up and if they have a bit of a target on the head of Tim Clark and try and take him on early and bring him undone that will set it up for something to swoop late. This mare has a big finish on her day and is capable so around the $8 mark I will have something on her.

Betting strategy

I will have 4 Units the win on Emerald Kingdom locking in the $3.40 with SportsBet about him and save with 1.5 Units the win on Yamazaki!

Race Outlay

5.5 Units

Race 9

5:35pm

Suggested

Sweet Deal (No.3), Media Award (No.5) & Rocha Clock (No.8)

Dangers

Entriviere (No.6) & Icebath (No.10)

This is the big one of the day (I think, maybe it is The Bondi) in Sydney. It is The Invitation at Randwick for the fillies and mares over the 1400m. Sheesh, good luck here. This is a tough race. It is made even tougher by the fact that the two class mares of the race in Entriviere and Icebath both draw awkwardly and could end up in very tricky positions. From that point of view I wasn’t too keen to back either of them particularly Entriviere at the price. I am throwing a few darts elsewhere looking to get a result with a few at odds.

Sweet Deal did enough I thought first up behind Minhaaj and the key here is that she is one horse that maps to roll forward from out wider and get a good run on speed. I think the engagement of Josh Parr is a key one and she looks to come across pretty easily to land in the first couple. From that position she can run a big race at double figure odds.

Rocha Clock is the one that draws to get the suck run in behind them from gate four. She is another that did enough first up behind Minhaaj. She typically improves sharply from her first up run to her second up run and if she does that again here she can be right in the finish with a touch of luck.

Media Award the Victorian is the x-factor runner for mine. She is a mare that went through her grades quite quickly as a three year old and that campaign culminated in a Group One Australasian Oaks win. She was a dominant winner at Kyneton over 1400m to kick off that campaign and while this is obviously harder she might have very well improved again into this campaign. Her recent jump out was very sharp and I can see her running a race around the $20+ mark here.

Betting strategy

I will have 1 Unit the win on all three of Sweet Deal, Rocha Clock and Media Award!

Race Outlay

3 Units

Race 4

2:00pm

Suggested

Generation (No.4) & Sudoko (No.6)

Dangers

Mornington Glory (No.8) & Dosh (No.9)

This race is over the 1200m for the three year olds of both sexes. Dosh has come up the favourite in the early market. We were on her last start at Caulfield when she looked home for all money but was cut down in the final stages by Savatoxl. That race was over 1100m and she now has to step up to the 1200m on a track which could be testing a few by this stage after some rain and eleven races prior in 24 hours. She draws out as well and while she is the highest rated galloper in the race quite clearly I just think there has to be a huge question mark over her at the 1200m.

For that reason I was keen to side with Generation. This galloper perhaps hasn’t lived up to the expectations thought of him leading into this campaign, but this looks a nice race for him. He was favourite when first up at Caulfield but didn’t have an easy time in front in what was probably inferior going when run down by Ingratiating. He then worked three wide on the speed second up at The Valley and stuck on well when third behind Mynumerouno and Athelric with a big gap to the fourth horse. I like the fact they have given him a freshen up here and they have just backed off him and targeted a race towards the end of the carnival. I think the map works out well for him with Dosh drawn directly outside of him. I think J-Mac can get the cart across with her and end up in a perfect stalking position and I will just bank on him being stronger at the end of the 1200m than Dosh and therefore keen to be with him.

Sudoko is the other horse I want to have something on. He resumed with a good win at Sale coming from off the speed over 1200m. He is going to appreciate the solid tempo here and he looks the type of horse that will suit Bowman. From the low draw he can sit and stalk the leaders and be really strong late. Around the $8-9 mark he looks a good bet.

Betting strategy

I will have 4 Units the win on Generation and 1.5 Units the win on Sudoko!

Race Outlay

5.5 Units

Race 8

4:25pm

Suggested

Sound (No.1), Pondus (No.10) & Miami Bound (No.11)

Dangers

Harpo Marx (No.7) & Floating Artist (No.12)

This is the Moonee Valley Cup for the stayers as quite a few of these runners make a last gasp attempt to win their way into next Tuesday’s Melbourne Cup. The market is really dominated by three horses here in Harpo Marx, Pondus and Floating Artist. While Harpo Marx ran well in The Metropolitan I feel that race might be a bit of a level below the good staying form and as such the price looks pretty short. Floating Artist was beaten as an odds on favourite at Caulfield in a slowly run race by Duais and Wentwood and while you can argue he wasn’t ridden to advantage in that race he was still pretty plain. Duais was beaten out of sight in the Caulfield Cup and I would be very nervous about tumbling in at a shortish quote again here in what looks a more competitive race.

Pondus on the other hand comes out of a proper staying contest at Flemington where he finished third behind Grand Promenade and Tralee Rose. That was a fast run staying race set up by Pondus who was first up that day and probably just had his condition give out late. I think that run would have brought Pondus on ideally for this race and I thought he was clearly the horse to beat. He should roll forward up on speed for Jye McNeil again and I fancy he will be hard to run down. Keen to be with him.

Miami Bound was well beaten in that race but I thought she was OK through the line from the back. She won this race last year off similar, probably inferior lead in runs. They key with her is if the rain arrives and she gets her preferred soft conditions. If that is the case then she can run a race at big odds.

I am also going to have a peanut on Sound at big odds. I think this horse is going quite well. His two runs this time in have been solid enough and he finally gets out to a staying trip he relishes here. He generally races well around The Valley and at the $30-40 on offer can run well.

Betting strategy

I will have 4 Units the win on Pondus and 1 Unit the win on both Sound and Miami Bound!

Race Outlay

6 Units

Race 5

2:50pm

Suggested

Emerald Kingdom (No.1) & Yamazaki (No.6)

Dangers

Criaderas (No.4) & Exoboom (No.8)

Racing in Sydney comes from Randwick this Saturday and boy, is this a bit of a comedown after the highs of The Everest meeting last week. This is a pretty ordinary meeting and one I found it pretty hard to find a bet in as well. The good thing is the weather has stayed relatively dry in Sydney and as such we will be racing on a good track I would anticipate with the rail out eight metres so horses up on speed could definitely be advantaged. I am only betting in the three races, I liked the last race but ultimately couldn’t find enough of an angle to take on Gravina while at the same time probably not wanting to back it at the short odds.

I am kicking the day off in the fifth race which is over the 1400m. I think we might see the Queensland form come to the fore here. This looks a splendid race for Emerald Kingdom. He resumed with a very good run two weeks ago when second to Apache Chase who looks to have come back airborne and had some form around some very good horses last preparation. Emerald Kingdom typically improves sharply off his first up run into his second up run and if he follows that pattern this campaign then this race looks his for the taking. He should roll forward for Tim Clark and land in front from gate seven and with his main rival in the betting in Criaderas likely to be spotting him a long start I think he is clearly the one to beat and should be a clear favourite. Almost the best of the weekend I dare say.

I am going to have a small save on Yamazaki. I just thought this mare got through the line nicely first up and if they have a bit of a target on the head of Tim Clark and try and take him on early and bring him undone that will set it up for something to swoop late. This mare has a big finish on her day and is capable so around the $8 mark I will have something on her.

Betting strategy

I will have 4 Units the win on Emerald Kingdom locking in the $3.40 with SportsBet about him and save with 1.5 Units the win on Yamazaki!

Race Outlay

5.5 Units

Race 9

5:35pm

Suggested

Sweet Deal (No.3), Media Award (No.5) & Rocha Clock (No.8)

Dangers

Entriviere (No.6) & Icebath (No.10)

This is the big one of the day (I think, maybe it is The Bondi) in Sydney. It is The Invitation at Randwick for the fillies and mares over the 1400m. Sheesh, good luck here. This is a tough race. It is made even tougher by the fact that the two class mares of the race in Entriviere and Icebath both draw awkwardly and could end up in very tricky positions. From that point of view I wasn’t too keen to back either of them particularly Entriviere at the price. I am throwing a few darts elsewhere looking to get a result with a few at odds.

Sweet Deal did enough I thought first up behind Minhaaj and the key here is that she is one horse that maps to roll forward from out wider and get a good run on speed. I think the engagement of Josh Parr is a key one and she looks to come across pretty easily to land in the first couple. From that position she can run a big race at double figure odds.

Rocha Clock is the one that draws to get the suck run in behind them from gate four. She is another that did enough first up behind Minhaaj. She typically improves sharply from her first up run to her second up run and if she does that again here she can be right in the finish with a touch of luck.

Media Award the Victorian is the x-factor runner for mine. She is a mare that went through her grades quite quickly as a three year old and that campaign culminated in a Group One Australasian Oaks win. She was a dominant winner at Kyneton over 1400m to kick off that campaign and while this is obviously harder she might have very well improved again into this campaign. Her recent jump out was very sharp and I can see her running a race around the $20+ mark here.

Betting strategy

I will have 1 Unit the win on all three of Sweet Deal, Rocha Clock and Media Award!

Race Outlay

3 Units

Race 4

2:00pm

Suggested

Generation (No.4) & Sudoko (No.6)

Dangers

Mornington Glory (No.8) & Dosh (No.9)

This race is over the 1200m for the three year olds of both sexes. Dosh has come up the favourite in the early market. We were on her last start at Caulfield when she looked home for all money but was cut down in the final stages by Savatoxl. That race was over 1100m and she now has to step up to the 1200m on a track which could be testing a few by this stage after some rain and eleven races prior in 24 hours. She draws out as well and while she is the highest rated galloper in the race quite clearly I just think there has to be a huge question mark over her at the 1200m.

For that reason I was keen to side with Generation. This galloper perhaps hasn’t lived up to the expectations thought of him leading into this campaign, but this looks a nice race for him. He was favourite when first up at Caulfield but didn’t have an easy time in front in what was probably inferior going when run down by Ingratiating. He then worked three wide on the speed second up at The Valley and stuck on well when third behind Mynumerouno and Athelric with a big gap to the fourth horse. I like the fact they have given him a freshen up here and they have just backed off him and targeted a race towards the end of the carnival. I think the map works out well for him with Dosh drawn directly outside of him. I think J-Mac can get the cart across with her and end up in a perfect stalking position and I will just bank on him being stronger at the end of the 1200m than Dosh and therefore keen to be with him.

Sudoko is the other horse I want to have something on. He resumed with a good win at Sale coming from off the speed over 1200m. He is going to appreciate the solid tempo here and he looks the type of horse that will suit Bowman. From the low draw he can sit and stalk the leaders and be really strong late. Around the $8-9 mark he looks a good bet.

Betting strategy

I will have 4 Units the win on Generation and 1.5 Units the win on Sudoko!

Race Outlay

5.5 Units

Race 8

4:25pm

Suggested

Sound (No.1), Pondus (No.10) & Miami Bound (No.11)

Dangers

Harpo Marx (No.7) & Floating Artist (No.12)

This is the Moonee Valley Cup for the stayers as quite a few of these runners make a last gasp attempt to win their way into next Tuesday’s Melbourne Cup. The market is really dominated by three horses here in Harpo Marx, Pondus and Floating Artist. While Harpo Marx ran well in The Metropolitan I feel that race might be a bit of a level below the good staying form and as such the price looks pretty short. Floating Artist was beaten as an odds on favourite at Caulfield in a slowly run race by Duais and Wentwood and while you can argue he wasn’t ridden to advantage in that race he was still pretty plain. Duais was beaten out of sight in the Caulfield Cup and I would be very nervous about tumbling in at a shortish quote again here in what looks a more competitive race.

Pondus on the other hand comes out of a proper staying contest at Flemington where he finished third behind Grand Promenade and Tralee Rose. That was a fast run staying race set up by Pondus who was first up that day and probably just had his condition give out late. I think that run would have brought Pondus on ideally for this race and I thought he was clearly the horse to beat. He should roll forward up on speed for Jye McNeil again and I fancy he will be hard to run down. Keen to be with him.

Miami Bound was well beaten in that race but I thought she was OK through the line from the back. She won this race last year off similar, probably inferior lead in runs. They key with her is if the rain arrives and she gets her preferred soft conditions. If that is the case then she can run a race at big odds.

I am also going to have a peanut on Sound at big odds. I think this horse is going quite well. His two runs this time in have been solid enough and he finally gets out to a staying trip he relishes here. He generally races well around The Valley and at the $30-40 on offer can run well.

Betting strategy

I will have 4 Units the win on Pondus and 1 Unit the win on both Sound and Miami Bound!

Race Outlay

6 Units

Race 5

2:50pm

Suggested

Emerald Kingdom (No.1) & Yamazaki (No.6)

Dangers

Criaderas (No.4) & Exoboom (No.8)

Racing in Sydney comes from Randwick this Saturday and boy, is this a bit of a comedown after the highs of The Everest meeting last week. This is a pretty ordinary meeting and one I found it pretty hard to find a bet in as well. The good thing is the weather has stayed relatively dry in Sydney and as such we will be racing on a good track I would anticipate with the rail out eight metres so horses up on speed could definitely be advantaged. I am only betting in the three races, I liked the last race but ultimately couldn’t find enough of an angle to take on Gravina while at the same time probably not wanting to back it at the short odds.

I am kicking the day off in the fifth race which is over the 1400m. I think we might see the Queensland form come to the fore here. This looks a splendid race for Emerald Kingdom. He resumed with a very good run two weeks ago when second to Apache Chase who looks to have come back airborne and had some form around some very good horses last preparation. Emerald Kingdom typically improves sharply off his first up run into his second up run and if he follows that pattern this campaign then this race looks his for the taking. He should roll forward for Tim Clark and land in front from gate seven and with his main rival in the betting in Criaderas likely to be spotting him a long start I think he is clearly the one to beat and should be a clear favourite. Almost the best of the weekend I dare say.

I am going to have a small save on Yamazaki. I just thought this mare got through the line nicely first up and if they have a bit of a target on the head of Tim Clark and try and take him on early and bring him undone that will set it up for something to swoop late. This mare has a big finish on her day and is capable so around the $8 mark I will have something on her.

Betting strategy

I will have 4 Units the win on Emerald Kingdom locking in the $3.40 with SportsBet about him and save with 1.5 Units the win on Yamazaki!

Race Outlay

5.5 Units

Race 9

5:35pm

Suggested

Sweet Deal (No.3), Media Award (No.5) & Rocha Clock (No.8)

Dangers

Entriviere (No.6) & Icebath (No.10)

This is the big one of the day (I think, maybe it is The Bondi) in Sydney. It is The Invitation at Randwick for the fillies and mares over the 1400m. Sheesh, good luck here. This is a tough race. It is made even tougher by the fact that the two class mares of the race in Entriviere and Icebath both draw awkwardly and could end up in very tricky positions. From that point of view I wasn’t too keen to back either of them particularly Entriviere at the price. I am throwing a few darts elsewhere looking to get a result with a few at odds.

Sweet Deal did enough I thought first up behind Minhaaj and the key here is that she is one horse that maps to roll forward from out wider and get a good run on speed. I think the engagement of Josh Parr is a key one and she looks to come across pretty easily to land in the first couple. From that position she can run a big race at double figure odds.

Rocha Clock is the one that draws to get the suck run in behind them from gate four. She is another that did enough first up behind Minhaaj. She typically improves sharply from her first up run to her second up run and if she does that again here she can be right in the finish with a touch of luck.

Media Award the Victorian is the x-factor runner for mine. She is a mare that went through her grades quite quickly as a three year old and that campaign culminated in a Group One Australasian Oaks win. She was a dominant winner at Kyneton over 1400m to kick off that campaign and while this is obviously harder she might have very well improved again into this campaign. Her recent jump out was very sharp and I can see her running a race around the $20+ mark here.

Betting strategy

I will have 1 Unit the win on all three of Sweet Deal, Rocha Clock and Media Award!

Race Outlay

3 Units

Race 4

2:00pm

Suggested

Generation (No.4) & Sudoko (No.6)

Dangers

Mornington Glory (No.8) & Dosh (No.9)

This race is over the 1200m for the three year olds of both sexes. Dosh has come up the favourite in the early market. We were on her last start at Caulfield when she looked home for all money but was cut down in the final stages by Savatoxl. That race was over 1100m and she now has to step up to the 1200m on a track which could be testing a few by this stage after some rain and eleven races prior in 24 hours. She draws out as well and while she is the highest rated galloper in the race quite clearly I just think there has to be a huge question mark over her at the 1200m.

For that reason I was keen to side with Generation. This galloper perhaps hasn’t lived up to the expectations thought of him leading into this campaign, but this looks a nice race for him. He was favourite when first up at Caulfield but didn’t have an easy time in front in what was probably inferior going when run down by Ingratiating. He then worked three wide on the speed second up at The Valley and stuck on well when third behind Mynumerouno and Athelric with a big gap to the fourth horse. I like the fact they have given him a freshen up here and they have just backed off him and targeted a race towards the end of the carnival. I think the map works out well for him with Dosh drawn directly outside of him. I think J-Mac can get the cart across with her and end up in a perfect stalking position and I will just bank on him being stronger at the end of the 1200m than Dosh and therefore keen to be with him.

Sudoko is the other horse I want to have something on. He resumed with a good win at Sale coming from off the speed over 1200m. He is going to appreciate the solid tempo here and he looks the type of horse that will suit Bowman. From the low draw he can sit and stalk the leaders and be really strong late. Around the $8-9 mark he looks a good bet.

Betting strategy

I will have 4 Units the win on Generation and 1.5 Units the win on Sudoko!

Race Outlay

5.5 Units

Race 8

4:25pm

Suggested

Sound (No.1), Pondus (No.10) & Miami Bound (No.11)

Dangers

Harpo Marx (No.7) & Floating Artist (No.12)

This is the Moonee Valley Cup for the stayers as quite a few of these runners make a last gasp attempt to win their way into next Tuesday’s Melbourne Cup. The market is really dominated by three horses here in Harpo Marx, Pondus and Floating Artist. While Harpo Marx ran well in The Metropolitan I feel that race might be a bit of a level below the good staying form and as such the price looks pretty short. Floating Artist was beaten as an odds on favourite at Caulfield in a slowly run race by Duais and Wentwood and while you can argue he wasn’t ridden to advantage in that race he was still pretty plain. Duais was beaten out of sight in the Caulfield Cup and I would be very nervous about tumbling in at a shortish quote again here in what looks a more competitive race.

Pondus on the other hand comes out of a proper staying contest at Flemington where he finished third behind Grand Promenade and Tralee Rose. That was a fast run staying race set up by Pondus who was first up that day and probably just had his condition give out late. I think that run would have brought Pondus on ideally for this race and I thought he was clearly the horse to beat. He should roll forward up on speed for Jye McNeil again and I fancy he will be hard to run down. Keen to be with him.

Miami Bound was well beaten in that race but I thought she was OK through the line from the back. She won this race last year off similar, probably inferior lead in runs. They key with her is if the rain arrives and she gets her preferred soft conditions. If that is the case then she can run a race at big odds.

I am also going to have a peanut on Sound at big odds. I think this horse is going quite well. His two runs this time in have been solid enough and he finally gets out to a staying trip he relishes here. He generally races well around The Valley and at the $30-40 on offer can run well.

Betting strategy

I will have 4 Units the win on Pondus and 1 Unit the win on both Sound and Miami Bound!

Race Outlay

6 Units

Race 5

2:50pm

Suggested

Emerald Kingdom (No.1) & Yamazaki (No.6)

Dangers

Criaderas (No.4) & Exoboom (No.8)

Racing in Sydney comes from Randwick this Saturday and boy, is this a bit of a comedown after the highs of The Everest meeting last week. This is a pretty ordinary meeting and one I found it pretty hard to find a bet in as well. The good thing is the weather has stayed relatively dry in Sydney and as such we will be racing on a good track I would anticipate with the rail out eight metres so horses up on speed could definitely be advantaged. I am only betting in the three races, I liked the last race but ultimately couldn’t find enough of an angle to take on Gravina while at the same time probably not wanting to back it at the short odds.

I am kicking the day off in the fifth race which is over the 1400m. I think we might see the Queensland form come to the fore here. This looks a splendid race for Emerald Kingdom. He resumed with a very good run two weeks ago when second to Apache Chase who looks to have come back airborne and had some form around some very good horses last preparation. Emerald Kingdom typically improves sharply off his first up run into his second up run and if he follows that pattern this campaign then this race looks his for the taking. He should roll forward for Tim Clark and land in front from gate seven and with his main rival in the betting in Criaderas likely to be spotting him a long start I think he is clearly the one to beat and should be a clear favourite. Almost the best of the weekend I dare say.

I am going to have a small save on Yamazaki. I just thought this mare got through the line nicely first up and if they have a bit of a target on the head of Tim Clark and try and take him on early and bring him undone that will set it up for something to swoop late. This mare has a big finish on her day and is capable so around the $8 mark I will have something on her.

Betting strategy

I will have 4 Units the win on Emerald Kingdom locking in the $3.40 with SportsBet about him and save with 1.5 Units the win on Yamazaki!

Race Outlay

5.5 Units

Race 9

5:35pm

Suggested

Sweet Deal (No.3), Media Award (No.5) & Rocha Clock (No.8)

Dangers

Entriviere (No.6) & Icebath (No.10)

This is the big one of the day (I think, maybe it is The Bondi) in Sydney. It is The Invitation at Randwick for the fillies and mares over the 1400m. Sheesh, good luck here. This is a tough race. It is made even tougher by the fact that the two class mares of the race in Entriviere and Icebath both draw awkwardly and could end up in very tricky positions. From that point of view I wasn’t too keen to back either of them particularly Entriviere at the price. I am throwing a few darts elsewhere looking to get a result with a few at odds.

Sweet Deal did enough I thought first up behind Minhaaj and the key here is that she is one horse that maps to roll forward from out wider and get a good run on speed. I think the engagement of Josh Parr is a key one and she looks to come across pretty easily to land in the first couple. From that position she can run a big race at double figure odds.

Rocha Clock is the one that draws to get the suck run in behind them from gate four. She is another that did enough first up behind Minhaaj. She typically improves sharply from her first up run to her second up run and if she does that again here she can be right in the finish with a touch of luck.

Media Award the Victorian is the x-factor runner for mine. She is a mare that went through her grades quite quickly as a three year old and that campaign culminated in a Group One Australasian Oaks win. She was a dominant winner at Kyneton over 1400m to kick off that campaign and while this is obviously harder she might have very well improved again into this campaign. Her recent jump out was very sharp and I can see her running a race around the $20+ mark here.

Betting strategy

I will have 1 Unit the win on all three of Sweet Deal, Rocha Clock and Media Award!

Race Outlay

3 Units

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