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Select Race Meeting Event

Race 1

12:55pm

Suggested

Our Free Spirit (No.8), That Girl (No.10) & Exquisite Beauty (No.11)

Dangers

Star Surprise (No.2) & Our Free Spirit (No.8)

Racing in Victoria comes from Royal Pakenham this Saturday for what is now their annual Cup meeting. Every year I say I am going to leave this meeting alone, every year I look at the form and find a few horses I have been following and end up having a bet. There are certainly no issues with the fields. It is a strong meeting with plenty of depth. My apprehension more comes from how the track might play. It hasn’t been an easy track to read since its inception and that can make things difficult to predict. The weather in Melbourne looks pretty dry in the lead up to the meeting and on the day and I reckon we will be racing on a good track. I am slightly concerned that the track is rated as a soft 6 on the Thursday prior to the meeting. That suggests a fair bit of watering has occurred as it has not been significantly wet in Melbourne over the last few days. Keep an eye on the track early. I am obviously writing this preview Thursday morning so it is a bit difficult to predict and how the track plays early may have an impact on how I and you bet throughout the day.

I am kicking off the day nice and early in the first race. This race is for the three year olds over the 1000m. There are some handy horses going around in this. Seven of the twelve runners actually resume here which makes it even more intriguing. That Girl has come up the early favourite and it is easy to understand why. This filly from the Stokes yard has only had the one career start but in that one start she was a strong winner at Morphettville when defeating the well performed Garner. She sat last in the small field that day and rounded her rivals up comfortably. She was immediately spelled post that run and we haven’t seen her at the races since. Garner the horse she beat there we have obviously seen win at Caulfield and Flemington through the spring, including a dominant win on Melbourne Cup Day. It is clearly good form. That Girl has had a recent jump out at Moe where she has gone well and everything suggests that she is going to be hard to beat here. As a result of all that though she has come up very skinny in the market around the $2.50-60 mark. I think she will be hard to beat but certainly looks to be well enough found. She will most likely be back off the speed from gate four and will need a touch of luck. I don’t want to lose on the race should she salute, but am certainly hoping to get closer to $3 on the day compared to her current price.

The scratching of Flostar has probably affected those thoughts pretty significantly though and I am a bit soft on the race now. The horse I think comes right into contention from a map point of view now is Our Free Spirit. This horse landed good bets when jumping to the front and winning at Mornington on debut and has clearly come back well. With that run under his belt he is now the horse that might lead and be pretty hard to get past so having something on him.

I also wanted to have something on Exquisite Beauty who looked really strong in a recent Avoca jump out. She closed off from off speed in that under a tight grip and picked up her rivals comfortably. This isn’t an easy race but it was one of those jump outs which made me feel compelled to back her particularly at the double figure odds.

Star Surprise is the horse I am most wary of. He showed great talent in his initial campaign and has jumped out well also so I wouldn’t talk you out of backing him, but was hoping he would have come up a bit longer in the market as part of me feels the 1000m may be a fraction sharp and he will be better second up over 1200m. It is a good race, looking forward to it.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on That Girl here! I will have $25 the win on Our Free Spirit and $15 the win on Exquisite Beauty now locking in the $11 with SportsBet which looks juicy!

Race Outlay

$90

Race 3

2:05pm

Suggested

Great Duchess (No.4) & Neighbourhood (No.7)

Dangers

Jentico (No.1) & The Stylist (No.10)

This is another very competitive race here. It is over the 1400m for the fillies and mares. There are plenty of winning chances here. It should be a keenly contested race too. There looks to be some strong speed engaged. The likes of Jentico, Simply Dreaming and The Stylist are all horses that like to find the front and own races from the front. I am hoping that sets it up nicely for Neighbourhood to just sit off them and have the last crack and run over the top. This is a mare I have a big opinion of. I think she is a pretty good galloper. She showed good ability in her debut campaign. She won well on debut at Cranbourne before going straight to town and being competitive with the likes of Fabric and Fidelia at her next two starts at Flemington. That form has proven to be quite strong with both those horses running well into the spring. Neighbourhood had probably had enough at her final run of that campaign when well beaten over the mile at Flemington and was immediately spelled post that run. She resumed recently at Sandown. She jumped out well prior to that run and backed it up with a solid first up win. She lobbed three wide with cover off the speed and proved too strong for her rivals. I am banking on that being the case again here. She should lob just off the speed from a nice middle draw for Michael Dee and if within striking distance should be able to get over the top of her rivals. Keen to be with her.

I think the horse to save on at double figure odds is Great Duchess. This mare has form that ties in with Neighbourhood and given she has come up around three times the price, looks worth a bet here. This mare finished fifth in a race behind Fabric at Flemington in May that Neighbourhood was fourth in. Based on that there looks to be little between them. Great Duchess went on later in that campaign to claim the scalp of Sure Knee at Flemington. I was pretty keen on her first up this campaign at Ballarat off the back of a good jump out. I was pretty confident coming to the turn as she was close to the speed and peeling off the back of the leaders. She just couldn’t quicken with some of those sharper mares over the 1200m. She looked like she was battling with 200m to go but came again on the line which is a good sign here stepping up to the 1400m. She draws perfectly here in gate five to get a gun run just off the speed and should enjoy the strong tempo that is likely up front. Second up and rising in trip she looks well suited and happy to be with her.

Betting strategy

With a few scratchings coming through Neighbourhood looks pretty close to a good thing here! I will have $70 the win on her having half now at the $2.75 and the other half at Top Fluc! I will save with $15 the win on Grand Duchess and will lock in the $11 about her!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 2

1:50pm

Suggested

Soldier Of Love (No.1), Nordic (No.2) & Remuera (No.7)

Dangers

Statuesquely (No.3) & Convinced (No.8)

Racing in Sydney comes from Rosehill this Saturday for a pretty stock standard summer Saturday meeting. There are a couple of nice horses going around but a bit like Moonee Valley in Victoria last Saturday this meeting does have a real off season feel to it. The positive is that the weather is good and we will be racing on a good track with the rail out three metres. That rail position typically gives every horse their chance at Rosehill and I would expect no difference on Saturday.

I am kicking the day off early in the second race which is over the 1800m for the three and four year olds. Gee, I thought there were a couple of horses under the odds here. The thing that struck me about the line up in this race was that a couple of the horses well in the market are on trial at the 1800m. Looking at a lot of their replays none of them really scream out to me that they are looking for this trip. Statuesquely looks a bit of a one paced galloper that will handle it and is well in the market while Convinced the three year old down the bottom had every chance last start and when he peeled off their backs last Saturday he looked set to win but couldn’t finish the race off.

Soldier Of Love looks the one horse firmly in the market that is set to relish the step up in trip. He has come back well this time in. His first three runs of the campaign were all good without winning before he chased the field up to the leader at Canterbury last start and got the job done in good fashion. He was strong through the line there and looks set to run out the 1800m strongly here. His form ties in well too as two starts ago he beat home Orcein who stitched up Convinced last Saturday. Based on that I found it hard to see how he wasn’t at least the same price as Convinced if not shorter and based on that I am happy to be with him here. He will just need a touch of luck finding a spot early for Sam Clenton as he is drawn the outside gate and there is a bit of speed inside of him. Sam is riding well though so I will place my faith in her working it out.

I had something on Nordic two weeks ago at Kembla Grange and he ran quite well. He had a bit of a gap between runs going into that race at Kembla and was stepping up from the mile to the 2000m. He peeled out halfway down the straight and looked as if he might put himself into the finish but just peaked on his run a bit late. I think with the shorter gap between runs here and dropping back to the 1800m he looks well placed here. This race certainly looks an easier assignment to what he took on last start in my opinion. He should appreciate the good speed up front and in the small field from the good draw shouldn’t be spotting too big a start. I was surprised he come up around the double figure odds mark and was more than happy to have something on him here.

Remuera comes down from Chris Waller’s Gold Coast stable for this run on the back of two strong recent wins. This is obviously tougher but this is a mare that has always shown talent right from early in her career. She often raced quite keenly when ridden off the speed but at her past two starts in Queensland has been ridden on speed and allowed to free roll and that has resulted in two wins. That might be the trick to her. Now that she has broken through her confidence is up and she might go on with the job. She is one horse in the race that has winning form in this distance range in recent times and with McEvoy on and rolling forward I am happy to have something on her at the good price.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on Soldier Of Love here! I will also have $20 the win on Nordic at the $10 with SportsBet and $15 the win on Remuera!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 6

4:20pm

Suggested

Word For Word (No.4), Almerheri (No.8) & To Your Health (No.9)

Dangers

Pumpkin Pie (No.5) & Lucicello (No.6)

This is a good race here for the fillies and mares over the 1350m. Lucicello again comes up a pretty short priced favourite in the early markets as she did at Kembla two weeks ago. We took her on with success there and I am going to take her on again here. I am just not convinced how strong she will be at the end of the 1350m and I think a couple of horses map to get a pretty easy time of it in front here which will make her job to come from the back difficult. I actually thought she had her chance to win at Kembla too as opposed to some trains of thought that she was unlucky.

Word For Word resumes here for the Waller yard and I think she will be hard to beat. She was a filly that showed a lot of promise last campaign and was sent up to Queensland to take on a couple of races up there. The form around her runs there last campaign look really strong for a race of this nature. She defeated Pinup Miss first up last campaign, she was then only just touched off by Baccarat Baby before beating all bar Winning Ways in a stakes race at the Gold Coast. It all looks really good form. She meets some well exposed types here too and might be the one with a bit of x-factor and untapped potential. She showed good speed in her recent trial and won fresh over this trip last campaign so a lot of factors point to her running well here. I think Nash will be positive on her early from gate one to hold the lead or at least the spot behind the leader and she looks like she will be right in the finish. Happy to back her to beat the stable mate.

To Your Health is the other horse that looks as if she will get a gun run up on speed. She beat all bar the smart Palurien on the Kensington track last start in a good on speed performance. She should either lead or come over and sit outside of Word For Word here depending on Nash’s intentions. From there she should prove hard to get past. She has won over 1400m so she will be strong over this trip and around that $15 mark I thought she looked a good bet here with the positive jockey in Jean Van Overmeire on board.

The other horse I was happy to have something on was the resuming Almerheri. This mare’s form is better known over slightly longer trips but I was taken with her most recent trial. She sat back but was quite strong through the line under little urging from her rider. I just feel she might be strong late in the race here and at the price is worth a ticket fresh.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Word For Word here! I will also have $15 the win on To Your Health locking in the $14 with SportsBet about her and will also have $10 the win on Almerheri!

Race Outlay

$65

Race 1

12:55pm

Suggested

Our Free Spirit (No.8), That Girl (No.10) & Exquisite Beauty (No.11)

Dangers

Star Surprise (No.2) & Our Free Spirit (No.8)

Racing in Victoria comes from Royal Pakenham this Saturday for what is now their annual Cup meeting. Every year I say I am going to leave this meeting alone, every year I look at the form and find a few horses I have been following and end up having a bet. There are certainly no issues with the fields. It is a strong meeting with plenty of depth. My apprehension more comes from how the track might play. It hasn’t been an easy track to read since its inception and that can make things difficult to predict. The weather in Melbourne looks pretty dry in the lead up to the meeting and on the day and I reckon we will be racing on a good track. I am slightly concerned that the track is rated as a soft 6 on the Thursday prior to the meeting. That suggests a fair bit of watering has occurred as it has not been significantly wet in Melbourne over the last few days. Keep an eye on the track early. I am obviously writing this preview Thursday morning so it is a bit difficult to predict and how the track plays early may have an impact on how I and you bet throughout the day.

I am kicking off the day nice and early in the first race. This race is for the three year olds over the 1000m. There are some handy horses going around in this. Seven of the twelve runners actually resume here which makes it even more intriguing. That Girl has come up the early favourite and it is easy to understand why. This filly from the Stokes yard has only had the one career start but in that one start she was a strong winner at Morphettville when defeating the well performed Garner. She sat last in the small field that day and rounded her rivals up comfortably. She was immediately spelled post that run and we haven’t seen her at the races since. Garner the horse she beat there we have obviously seen win at Caulfield and Flemington through the spring, including a dominant win on Melbourne Cup Day. It is clearly good form. That Girl has had a recent jump out at Moe where she has gone well and everything suggests that she is going to be hard to beat here. As a result of all that though she has come up very skinny in the market around the $2.50-60 mark. I think she will be hard to beat but certainly looks to be well enough found. She will most likely be back off the speed from gate four and will need a touch of luck. I don’t want to lose on the race should she salute, but am certainly hoping to get closer to $3 on the day compared to her current price.

The scratching of Flostar has probably affected those thoughts pretty significantly though and I am a bit soft on the race now. The horse I think comes right into contention from a map point of view now is Our Free Spirit. This horse landed good bets when jumping to the front and winning at Mornington on debut and has clearly come back well. With that run under his belt he is now the horse that might lead and be pretty hard to get past so having something on him.

I also wanted to have something on Exquisite Beauty who looked really strong in a recent Avoca jump out. She closed off from off speed in that under a tight grip and picked up her rivals comfortably. This isn’t an easy race but it was one of those jump outs which made me feel compelled to back her particularly at the double figure odds.

Star Surprise is the horse I am most wary of. He showed great talent in his initial campaign and has jumped out well also so I wouldn’t talk you out of backing him, but was hoping he would have come up a bit longer in the market as part of me feels the 1000m may be a fraction sharp and he will be better second up over 1200m. It is a good race, looking forward to it.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on That Girl here! I will have $25 the win on Our Free Spirit and $15 the win on Exquisite Beauty now locking in the $11 with SportsBet which looks juicy!

Race Outlay

$90

Race 3

2:05pm

Suggested

Great Duchess (No.4) & Neighbourhood (No.7)

Dangers

Jentico (No.1) & The Stylist (No.10)

This is another very competitive race here. It is over the 1400m for the fillies and mares. There are plenty of winning chances here. It should be a keenly contested race too. There looks to be some strong speed engaged. The likes of Jentico, Simply Dreaming and The Stylist are all horses that like to find the front and own races from the front. I am hoping that sets it up nicely for Neighbourhood to just sit off them and have the last crack and run over the top. This is a mare I have a big opinion of. I think she is a pretty good galloper. She showed good ability in her debut campaign. She won well on debut at Cranbourne before going straight to town and being competitive with the likes of Fabric and Fidelia at her next two starts at Flemington. That form has proven to be quite strong with both those horses running well into the spring. Neighbourhood had probably had enough at her final run of that campaign when well beaten over the mile at Flemington and was immediately spelled post that run. She resumed recently at Sandown. She jumped out well prior to that run and backed it up with a solid first up win. She lobbed three wide with cover off the speed and proved too strong for her rivals. I am banking on that being the case again here. She should lob just off the speed from a nice middle draw for Michael Dee and if within striking distance should be able to get over the top of her rivals. Keen to be with her.

I think the horse to save on at double figure odds is Great Duchess. This mare has form that ties in with Neighbourhood and given she has come up around three times the price, looks worth a bet here. This mare finished fifth in a race behind Fabric at Flemington in May that Neighbourhood was fourth in. Based on that there looks to be little between them. Great Duchess went on later in that campaign to claim the scalp of Sure Knee at Flemington. I was pretty keen on her first up this campaign at Ballarat off the back of a good jump out. I was pretty confident coming to the turn as she was close to the speed and peeling off the back of the leaders. She just couldn’t quicken with some of those sharper mares over the 1200m. She looked like she was battling with 200m to go but came again on the line which is a good sign here stepping up to the 1400m. She draws perfectly here in gate five to get a gun run just off the speed and should enjoy the strong tempo that is likely up front. Second up and rising in trip she looks well suited and happy to be with her.

Betting strategy

With a few scratchings coming through Neighbourhood looks pretty close to a good thing here! I will have $70 the win on her having half now at the $2.75 and the other half at Top Fluc! I will save with $15 the win on Grand Duchess and will lock in the $11 about her!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 2

1:50pm

Suggested

Soldier Of Love (No.1), Nordic (No.2) & Remuera (No.7)

Dangers

Statuesquely (No.3) & Convinced (No.8)

Racing in Sydney comes from Rosehill this Saturday for a pretty stock standard summer Saturday meeting. There are a couple of nice horses going around but a bit like Moonee Valley in Victoria last Saturday this meeting does have a real off season feel to it. The positive is that the weather is good and we will be racing on a good track with the rail out three metres. That rail position typically gives every horse their chance at Rosehill and I would expect no difference on Saturday.

I am kicking the day off early in the second race which is over the 1800m for the three and four year olds. Gee, I thought there were a couple of horses under the odds here. The thing that struck me about the line up in this race was that a couple of the horses well in the market are on trial at the 1800m. Looking at a lot of their replays none of them really scream out to me that they are looking for this trip. Statuesquely looks a bit of a one paced galloper that will handle it and is well in the market while Convinced the three year old down the bottom had every chance last start and when he peeled off their backs last Saturday he looked set to win but couldn’t finish the race off.

Soldier Of Love looks the one horse firmly in the market that is set to relish the step up in trip. He has come back well this time in. His first three runs of the campaign were all good without winning before he chased the field up to the leader at Canterbury last start and got the job done in good fashion. He was strong through the line there and looks set to run out the 1800m strongly here. His form ties in well too as two starts ago he beat home Orcein who stitched up Convinced last Saturday. Based on that I found it hard to see how he wasn’t at least the same price as Convinced if not shorter and based on that I am happy to be with him here. He will just need a touch of luck finding a spot early for Sam Clenton as he is drawn the outside gate and there is a bit of speed inside of him. Sam is riding well though so I will place my faith in her working it out.

I had something on Nordic two weeks ago at Kembla Grange and he ran quite well. He had a bit of a gap between runs going into that race at Kembla and was stepping up from the mile to the 2000m. He peeled out halfway down the straight and looked as if he might put himself into the finish but just peaked on his run a bit late. I think with the shorter gap between runs here and dropping back to the 1800m he looks well placed here. This race certainly looks an easier assignment to what he took on last start in my opinion. He should appreciate the good speed up front and in the small field from the good draw shouldn’t be spotting too big a start. I was surprised he come up around the double figure odds mark and was more than happy to have something on him here.

Remuera comes down from Chris Waller’s Gold Coast stable for this run on the back of two strong recent wins. This is obviously tougher but this is a mare that has always shown talent right from early in her career. She often raced quite keenly when ridden off the speed but at her past two starts in Queensland has been ridden on speed and allowed to free roll and that has resulted in two wins. That might be the trick to her. Now that she has broken through her confidence is up and she might go on with the job. She is one horse in the race that has winning form in this distance range in recent times and with McEvoy on and rolling forward I am happy to have something on her at the good price.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on Soldier Of Love here! I will also have $20 the win on Nordic at the $10 with SportsBet and $15 the win on Remuera!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 6

4:20pm

Suggested

Word For Word (No.4), Almerheri (No.8) & To Your Health (No.9)

Dangers

Pumpkin Pie (No.5) & Lucicello (No.6)

This is a good race here for the fillies and mares over the 1350m. Lucicello again comes up a pretty short priced favourite in the early markets as she did at Kembla two weeks ago. We took her on with success there and I am going to take her on again here. I am just not convinced how strong she will be at the end of the 1350m and I think a couple of horses map to get a pretty easy time of it in front here which will make her job to come from the back difficult. I actually thought she had her chance to win at Kembla too as opposed to some trains of thought that she was unlucky.

Word For Word resumes here for the Waller yard and I think she will be hard to beat. She was a filly that showed a lot of promise last campaign and was sent up to Queensland to take on a couple of races up there. The form around her runs there last campaign look really strong for a race of this nature. She defeated Pinup Miss first up last campaign, she was then only just touched off by Baccarat Baby before beating all bar Winning Ways in a stakes race at the Gold Coast. It all looks really good form. She meets some well exposed types here too and might be the one with a bit of x-factor and untapped potential. She showed good speed in her recent trial and won fresh over this trip last campaign so a lot of factors point to her running well here. I think Nash will be positive on her early from gate one to hold the lead or at least the spot behind the leader and she looks like she will be right in the finish. Happy to back her to beat the stable mate.

To Your Health is the other horse that looks as if she will get a gun run up on speed. She beat all bar the smart Palurien on the Kensington track last start in a good on speed performance. She should either lead or come over and sit outside of Word For Word here depending on Nash’s intentions. From there she should prove hard to get past. She has won over 1400m so she will be strong over this trip and around that $15 mark I thought she looked a good bet here with the positive jockey in Jean Van Overmeire on board.

The other horse I was happy to have something on was the resuming Almerheri. This mare’s form is better known over slightly longer trips but I was taken with her most recent trial. She sat back but was quite strong through the line under little urging from her rider. I just feel she might be strong late in the race here and at the price is worth a ticket fresh.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Word For Word here! I will also have $15 the win on To Your Health locking in the $14 with SportsBet about her and will also have $10 the win on Almerheri!

Race Outlay

$65

Race 1

12:55pm

Suggested

Our Free Spirit (No.8), That Girl (No.10) & Exquisite Beauty (No.11)

Dangers

Star Surprise (No.2) & Our Free Spirit (No.8)

Racing in Victoria comes from Royal Pakenham this Saturday for what is now their annual Cup meeting. Every year I say I am going to leave this meeting alone, every year I look at the form and find a few horses I have been following and end up having a bet. There are certainly no issues with the fields. It is a strong meeting with plenty of depth. My apprehension more comes from how the track might play. It hasn’t been an easy track to read since its inception and that can make things difficult to predict. The weather in Melbourne looks pretty dry in the lead up to the meeting and on the day and I reckon we will be racing on a good track. I am slightly concerned that the track is rated as a soft 6 on the Thursday prior to the meeting. That suggests a fair bit of watering has occurred as it has not been significantly wet in Melbourne over the last few days. Keep an eye on the track early. I am obviously writing this preview Thursday morning so it is a bit difficult to predict and how the track plays early may have an impact on how I and you bet throughout the day.

I am kicking off the day nice and early in the first race. This race is for the three year olds over the 1000m. There are some handy horses going around in this. Seven of the twelve runners actually resume here which makes it even more intriguing. That Girl has come up the early favourite and it is easy to understand why. This filly from the Stokes yard has only had the one career start but in that one start she was a strong winner at Morphettville when defeating the well performed Garner. She sat last in the small field that day and rounded her rivals up comfortably. She was immediately spelled post that run and we haven’t seen her at the races since. Garner the horse she beat there we have obviously seen win at Caulfield and Flemington through the spring, including a dominant win on Melbourne Cup Day. It is clearly good form. That Girl has had a recent jump out at Moe where she has gone well and everything suggests that she is going to be hard to beat here. As a result of all that though she has come up very skinny in the market around the $2.50-60 mark. I think she will be hard to beat but certainly looks to be well enough found. She will most likely be back off the speed from gate four and will need a touch of luck. I don’t want to lose on the race should she salute, but am certainly hoping to get closer to $3 on the day compared to her current price.

The scratching of Flostar has probably affected those thoughts pretty significantly though and I am a bit soft on the race now. The horse I think comes right into contention from a map point of view now is Our Free Spirit. This horse landed good bets when jumping to the front and winning at Mornington on debut and has clearly come back well. With that run under his belt he is now the horse that might lead and be pretty hard to get past so having something on him.

I also wanted to have something on Exquisite Beauty who looked really strong in a recent Avoca jump out. She closed off from off speed in that under a tight grip and picked up her rivals comfortably. This isn’t an easy race but it was one of those jump outs which made me feel compelled to back her particularly at the double figure odds.

Star Surprise is the horse I am most wary of. He showed great talent in his initial campaign and has jumped out well also so I wouldn’t talk you out of backing him, but was hoping he would have come up a bit longer in the market as part of me feels the 1000m may be a fraction sharp and he will be better second up over 1200m. It is a good race, looking forward to it.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on That Girl here! I will have $25 the win on Our Free Spirit and $15 the win on Exquisite Beauty now locking in the $11 with SportsBet which looks juicy!

Race Outlay

$90

Race 3

2:05pm

Suggested

Great Duchess (No.4) & Neighbourhood (No.7)

Dangers

Jentico (No.1) & The Stylist (No.10)

This is another very competitive race here. It is over the 1400m for the fillies and mares. There are plenty of winning chances here. It should be a keenly contested race too. There looks to be some strong speed engaged. The likes of Jentico, Simply Dreaming and The Stylist are all horses that like to find the front and own races from the front. I am hoping that sets it up nicely for Neighbourhood to just sit off them and have the last crack and run over the top. This is a mare I have a big opinion of. I think she is a pretty good galloper. She showed good ability in her debut campaign. She won well on debut at Cranbourne before going straight to town and being competitive with the likes of Fabric and Fidelia at her next two starts at Flemington. That form has proven to be quite strong with both those horses running well into the spring. Neighbourhood had probably had enough at her final run of that campaign when well beaten over the mile at Flemington and was immediately spelled post that run. She resumed recently at Sandown. She jumped out well prior to that run and backed it up with a solid first up win. She lobbed three wide with cover off the speed and proved too strong for her rivals. I am banking on that being the case again here. She should lob just off the speed from a nice middle draw for Michael Dee and if within striking distance should be able to get over the top of her rivals. Keen to be with her.

I think the horse to save on at double figure odds is Great Duchess. This mare has form that ties in with Neighbourhood and given she has come up around three times the price, looks worth a bet here. This mare finished fifth in a race behind Fabric at Flemington in May that Neighbourhood was fourth in. Based on that there looks to be little between them. Great Duchess went on later in that campaign to claim the scalp of Sure Knee at Flemington. I was pretty keen on her first up this campaign at Ballarat off the back of a good jump out. I was pretty confident coming to the turn as she was close to the speed and peeling off the back of the leaders. She just couldn’t quicken with some of those sharper mares over the 1200m. She looked like she was battling with 200m to go but came again on the line which is a good sign here stepping up to the 1400m. She draws perfectly here in gate five to get a gun run just off the speed and should enjoy the strong tempo that is likely up front. Second up and rising in trip she looks well suited and happy to be with her.

Betting strategy

With a few scratchings coming through Neighbourhood looks pretty close to a good thing here! I will have $70 the win on her having half now at the $2.75 and the other half at Top Fluc! I will save with $15 the win on Grand Duchess and will lock in the $11 about her!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 2

1:50pm

Suggested

Soldier Of Love (No.1), Nordic (No.2) & Remuera (No.7)

Dangers

Statuesquely (No.3) & Convinced (No.8)

Racing in Sydney comes from Rosehill this Saturday for a pretty stock standard summer Saturday meeting. There are a couple of nice horses going around but a bit like Moonee Valley in Victoria last Saturday this meeting does have a real off season feel to it. The positive is that the weather is good and we will be racing on a good track with the rail out three metres. That rail position typically gives every horse their chance at Rosehill and I would expect no difference on Saturday.

I am kicking the day off early in the second race which is over the 1800m for the three and four year olds. Gee, I thought there were a couple of horses under the odds here. The thing that struck me about the line up in this race was that a couple of the horses well in the market are on trial at the 1800m. Looking at a lot of their replays none of them really scream out to me that they are looking for this trip. Statuesquely looks a bit of a one paced galloper that will handle it and is well in the market while Convinced the three year old down the bottom had every chance last start and when he peeled off their backs last Saturday he looked set to win but couldn’t finish the race off.

Soldier Of Love looks the one horse firmly in the market that is set to relish the step up in trip. He has come back well this time in. His first three runs of the campaign were all good without winning before he chased the field up to the leader at Canterbury last start and got the job done in good fashion. He was strong through the line there and looks set to run out the 1800m strongly here. His form ties in well too as two starts ago he beat home Orcein who stitched up Convinced last Saturday. Based on that I found it hard to see how he wasn’t at least the same price as Convinced if not shorter and based on that I am happy to be with him here. He will just need a touch of luck finding a spot early for Sam Clenton as he is drawn the outside gate and there is a bit of speed inside of him. Sam is riding well though so I will place my faith in her working it out.

I had something on Nordic two weeks ago at Kembla Grange and he ran quite well. He had a bit of a gap between runs going into that race at Kembla and was stepping up from the mile to the 2000m. He peeled out halfway down the straight and looked as if he might put himself into the finish but just peaked on his run a bit late. I think with the shorter gap between runs here and dropping back to the 1800m he looks well placed here. This race certainly looks an easier assignment to what he took on last start in my opinion. He should appreciate the good speed up front and in the small field from the good draw shouldn’t be spotting too big a start. I was surprised he come up around the double figure odds mark and was more than happy to have something on him here.

Remuera comes down from Chris Waller’s Gold Coast stable for this run on the back of two strong recent wins. This is obviously tougher but this is a mare that has always shown talent right from early in her career. She often raced quite keenly when ridden off the speed but at her past two starts in Queensland has been ridden on speed and allowed to free roll and that has resulted in two wins. That might be the trick to her. Now that she has broken through her confidence is up and she might go on with the job. She is one horse in the race that has winning form in this distance range in recent times and with McEvoy on and rolling forward I am happy to have something on her at the good price.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on Soldier Of Love here! I will also have $20 the win on Nordic at the $10 with SportsBet and $15 the win on Remuera!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 6

4:20pm

Suggested

Word For Word (No.4), Almerheri (No.8) & To Your Health (No.9)

Dangers

Pumpkin Pie (No.5) & Lucicello (No.6)

This is a good race here for the fillies and mares over the 1350m. Lucicello again comes up a pretty short priced favourite in the early markets as she did at Kembla two weeks ago. We took her on with success there and I am going to take her on again here. I am just not convinced how strong she will be at the end of the 1350m and I think a couple of horses map to get a pretty easy time of it in front here which will make her job to come from the back difficult. I actually thought she had her chance to win at Kembla too as opposed to some trains of thought that she was unlucky.

Word For Word resumes here for the Waller yard and I think she will be hard to beat. She was a filly that showed a lot of promise last campaign and was sent up to Queensland to take on a couple of races up there. The form around her runs there last campaign look really strong for a race of this nature. She defeated Pinup Miss first up last campaign, she was then only just touched off by Baccarat Baby before beating all bar Winning Ways in a stakes race at the Gold Coast. It all looks really good form. She meets some well exposed types here too and might be the one with a bit of x-factor and untapped potential. She showed good speed in her recent trial and won fresh over this trip last campaign so a lot of factors point to her running well here. I think Nash will be positive on her early from gate one to hold the lead or at least the spot behind the leader and she looks like she will be right in the finish. Happy to back her to beat the stable mate.

To Your Health is the other horse that looks as if she will get a gun run up on speed. She beat all bar the smart Palurien on the Kensington track last start in a good on speed performance. She should either lead or come over and sit outside of Word For Word here depending on Nash’s intentions. From there she should prove hard to get past. She has won over 1400m so she will be strong over this trip and around that $15 mark I thought she looked a good bet here with the positive jockey in Jean Van Overmeire on board.

The other horse I was happy to have something on was the resuming Almerheri. This mare’s form is better known over slightly longer trips but I was taken with her most recent trial. She sat back but was quite strong through the line under little urging from her rider. I just feel she might be strong late in the race here and at the price is worth a ticket fresh.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Word For Word here! I will also have $15 the win on To Your Health locking in the $14 with SportsBet about her and will also have $10 the win on Almerheri!

Race Outlay

$65

Race 1

12:55pm

Suggested

Our Free Spirit (No.8), That Girl (No.10) & Exquisite Beauty (No.11)

Dangers

Star Surprise (No.2) & Our Free Spirit (No.8)

Racing in Victoria comes from Royal Pakenham this Saturday for what is now their annual Cup meeting. Every year I say I am going to leave this meeting alone, every year I look at the form and find a few horses I have been following and end up having a bet. There are certainly no issues with the fields. It is a strong meeting with plenty of depth. My apprehension more comes from how the track might play. It hasn’t been an easy track to read since its inception and that can make things difficult to predict. The weather in Melbourne looks pretty dry in the lead up to the meeting and on the day and I reckon we will be racing on a good track. I am slightly concerned that the track is rated as a soft 6 on the Thursday prior to the meeting. That suggests a fair bit of watering has occurred as it has not been significantly wet in Melbourne over the last few days. Keep an eye on the track early. I am obviously writing this preview Thursday morning so it is a bit difficult to predict and how the track plays early may have an impact on how I and you bet throughout the day.

I am kicking off the day nice and early in the first race. This race is for the three year olds over the 1000m. There are some handy horses going around in this. Seven of the twelve runners actually resume here which makes it even more intriguing. That Girl has come up the early favourite and it is easy to understand why. This filly from the Stokes yard has only had the one career start but in that one start she was a strong winner at Morphettville when defeating the well performed Garner. She sat last in the small field that day and rounded her rivals up comfortably. She was immediately spelled post that run and we haven’t seen her at the races since. Garner the horse she beat there we have obviously seen win at Caulfield and Flemington through the spring, including a dominant win on Melbourne Cup Day. It is clearly good form. That Girl has had a recent jump out at Moe where she has gone well and everything suggests that she is going to be hard to beat here. As a result of all that though she has come up very skinny in the market around the $2.50-60 mark. I think she will be hard to beat but certainly looks to be well enough found. She will most likely be back off the speed from gate four and will need a touch of luck. I don’t want to lose on the race should she salute, but am certainly hoping to get closer to $3 on the day compared to her current price.

The scratching of Flostar has probably affected those thoughts pretty significantly though and I am a bit soft on the race now. The horse I think comes right into contention from a map point of view now is Our Free Spirit. This horse landed good bets when jumping to the front and winning at Mornington on debut and has clearly come back well. With that run under his belt he is now the horse that might lead and be pretty hard to get past so having something on him.

I also wanted to have something on Exquisite Beauty who looked really strong in a recent Avoca jump out. She closed off from off speed in that under a tight grip and picked up her rivals comfortably. This isn’t an easy race but it was one of those jump outs which made me feel compelled to back her particularly at the double figure odds.

Star Surprise is the horse I am most wary of. He showed great talent in his initial campaign and has jumped out well also so I wouldn’t talk you out of backing him, but was hoping he would have come up a bit longer in the market as part of me feels the 1000m may be a fraction sharp and he will be better second up over 1200m. It is a good race, looking forward to it.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on That Girl here! I will have $25 the win on Our Free Spirit and $15 the win on Exquisite Beauty now locking in the $11 with SportsBet which looks juicy!

Race Outlay

$90

Race 3

2:05pm

Suggested

Great Duchess (No.4) & Neighbourhood (No.7)

Dangers

Jentico (No.1) & The Stylist (No.10)

This is another very competitive race here. It is over the 1400m for the fillies and mares. There are plenty of winning chances here. It should be a keenly contested race too. There looks to be some strong speed engaged. The likes of Jentico, Simply Dreaming and The Stylist are all horses that like to find the front and own races from the front. I am hoping that sets it up nicely for Neighbourhood to just sit off them and have the last crack and run over the top. This is a mare I have a big opinion of. I think she is a pretty good galloper. She showed good ability in her debut campaign. She won well on debut at Cranbourne before going straight to town and being competitive with the likes of Fabric and Fidelia at her next two starts at Flemington. That form has proven to be quite strong with both those horses running well into the spring. Neighbourhood had probably had enough at her final run of that campaign when well beaten over the mile at Flemington and was immediately spelled post that run. She resumed recently at Sandown. She jumped out well prior to that run and backed it up with a solid first up win. She lobbed three wide with cover off the speed and proved too strong for her rivals. I am banking on that being the case again here. She should lob just off the speed from a nice middle draw for Michael Dee and if within striking distance should be able to get over the top of her rivals. Keen to be with her.

I think the horse to save on at double figure odds is Great Duchess. This mare has form that ties in with Neighbourhood and given she has come up around three times the price, looks worth a bet here. This mare finished fifth in a race behind Fabric at Flemington in May that Neighbourhood was fourth in. Based on that there looks to be little between them. Great Duchess went on later in that campaign to claim the scalp of Sure Knee at Flemington. I was pretty keen on her first up this campaign at Ballarat off the back of a good jump out. I was pretty confident coming to the turn as she was close to the speed and peeling off the back of the leaders. She just couldn’t quicken with some of those sharper mares over the 1200m. She looked like she was battling with 200m to go but came again on the line which is a good sign here stepping up to the 1400m. She draws perfectly here in gate five to get a gun run just off the speed and should enjoy the strong tempo that is likely up front. Second up and rising in trip she looks well suited and happy to be with her.

Betting strategy

With a few scratchings coming through Neighbourhood looks pretty close to a good thing here! I will have $70 the win on her having half now at the $2.75 and the other half at Top Fluc! I will save with $15 the win on Grand Duchess and will lock in the $11 about her!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 2

1:50pm

Suggested

Soldier Of Love (No.1), Nordic (No.2) & Remuera (No.7)

Dangers

Statuesquely (No.3) & Convinced (No.8)

Racing in Sydney comes from Rosehill this Saturday for a pretty stock standard summer Saturday meeting. There are a couple of nice horses going around but a bit like Moonee Valley in Victoria last Saturday this meeting does have a real off season feel to it. The positive is that the weather is good and we will be racing on a good track with the rail out three metres. That rail position typically gives every horse their chance at Rosehill and I would expect no difference on Saturday.

I am kicking the day off early in the second race which is over the 1800m for the three and four year olds. Gee, I thought there were a couple of horses under the odds here. The thing that struck me about the line up in this race was that a couple of the horses well in the market are on trial at the 1800m. Looking at a lot of their replays none of them really scream out to me that they are looking for this trip. Statuesquely looks a bit of a one paced galloper that will handle it and is well in the market while Convinced the three year old down the bottom had every chance last start and when he peeled off their backs last Saturday he looked set to win but couldn’t finish the race off.

Soldier Of Love looks the one horse firmly in the market that is set to relish the step up in trip. He has come back well this time in. His first three runs of the campaign were all good without winning before he chased the field up to the leader at Canterbury last start and got the job done in good fashion. He was strong through the line there and looks set to run out the 1800m strongly here. His form ties in well too as two starts ago he beat home Orcein who stitched up Convinced last Saturday. Based on that I found it hard to see how he wasn’t at least the same price as Convinced if not shorter and based on that I am happy to be with him here. He will just need a touch of luck finding a spot early for Sam Clenton as he is drawn the outside gate and there is a bit of speed inside of him. Sam is riding well though so I will place my faith in her working it out.

I had something on Nordic two weeks ago at Kembla Grange and he ran quite well. He had a bit of a gap between runs going into that race at Kembla and was stepping up from the mile to the 2000m. He peeled out halfway down the straight and looked as if he might put himself into the finish but just peaked on his run a bit late. I think with the shorter gap between runs here and dropping back to the 1800m he looks well placed here. This race certainly looks an easier assignment to what he took on last start in my opinion. He should appreciate the good speed up front and in the small field from the good draw shouldn’t be spotting too big a start. I was surprised he come up around the double figure odds mark and was more than happy to have something on him here.

Remuera comes down from Chris Waller’s Gold Coast stable for this run on the back of two strong recent wins. This is obviously tougher but this is a mare that has always shown talent right from early in her career. She often raced quite keenly when ridden off the speed but at her past two starts in Queensland has been ridden on speed and allowed to free roll and that has resulted in two wins. That might be the trick to her. Now that she has broken through her confidence is up and she might go on with the job. She is one horse in the race that has winning form in this distance range in recent times and with McEvoy on and rolling forward I am happy to have something on her at the good price.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on Soldier Of Love here! I will also have $20 the win on Nordic at the $10 with SportsBet and $15 the win on Remuera!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 6

4:20pm

Suggested

Word For Word (No.4), Almerheri (No.8) & To Your Health (No.9)

Dangers

Pumpkin Pie (No.5) & Lucicello (No.6)

This is a good race here for the fillies and mares over the 1350m. Lucicello again comes up a pretty short priced favourite in the early markets as she did at Kembla two weeks ago. We took her on with success there and I am going to take her on again here. I am just not convinced how strong she will be at the end of the 1350m and I think a couple of horses map to get a pretty easy time of it in front here which will make her job to come from the back difficult. I actually thought she had her chance to win at Kembla too as opposed to some trains of thought that she was unlucky.

Word For Word resumes here for the Waller yard and I think she will be hard to beat. She was a filly that showed a lot of promise last campaign and was sent up to Queensland to take on a couple of races up there. The form around her runs there last campaign look really strong for a race of this nature. She defeated Pinup Miss first up last campaign, she was then only just touched off by Baccarat Baby before beating all bar Winning Ways in a stakes race at the Gold Coast. It all looks really good form. She meets some well exposed types here too and might be the one with a bit of x-factor and untapped potential. She showed good speed in her recent trial and won fresh over this trip last campaign so a lot of factors point to her running well here. I think Nash will be positive on her early from gate one to hold the lead or at least the spot behind the leader and she looks like she will be right in the finish. Happy to back her to beat the stable mate.

To Your Health is the other horse that looks as if she will get a gun run up on speed. She beat all bar the smart Palurien on the Kensington track last start in a good on speed performance. She should either lead or come over and sit outside of Word For Word here depending on Nash’s intentions. From there she should prove hard to get past. She has won over 1400m so she will be strong over this trip and around that $15 mark I thought she looked a good bet here with the positive jockey in Jean Van Overmeire on board.

The other horse I was happy to have something on was the resuming Almerheri. This mare’s form is better known over slightly longer trips but I was taken with her most recent trial. She sat back but was quite strong through the line under little urging from her rider. I just feel she might be strong late in the race here and at the price is worth a ticket fresh.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Word For Word here! I will also have $15 the win on To Your Health locking in the $14 with SportsBet about her and will also have $10 the win on Almerheri!

Race Outlay

$65

Race 1

12:55pm

Suggested

Our Free Spirit (No.8), That Girl (No.10) & Exquisite Beauty (No.11)

Dangers

Star Surprise (No.2) & Our Free Spirit (No.8)

Racing in Victoria comes from Royal Pakenham this Saturday for what is now their annual Cup meeting. Every year I say I am going to leave this meeting alone, every year I look at the form and find a few horses I have been following and end up having a bet. There are certainly no issues with the fields. It is a strong meeting with plenty of depth. My apprehension more comes from how the track might play. It hasn’t been an easy track to read since its inception and that can make things difficult to predict. The weather in Melbourne looks pretty dry in the lead up to the meeting and on the day and I reckon we will be racing on a good track. I am slightly concerned that the track is rated as a soft 6 on the Thursday prior to the meeting. That suggests a fair bit of watering has occurred as it has not been significantly wet in Melbourne over the last few days. Keep an eye on the track early. I am obviously writing this preview Thursday morning so it is a bit difficult to predict and how the track plays early may have an impact on how I and you bet throughout the day.

I am kicking off the day nice and early in the first race. This race is for the three year olds over the 1000m. There are some handy horses going around in this. Seven of the twelve runners actually resume here which makes it even more intriguing. That Girl has come up the early favourite and it is easy to understand why. This filly from the Stokes yard has only had the one career start but in that one start she was a strong winner at Morphettville when defeating the well performed Garner. She sat last in the small field that day and rounded her rivals up comfortably. She was immediately spelled post that run and we haven’t seen her at the races since. Garner the horse she beat there we have obviously seen win at Caulfield and Flemington through the spring, including a dominant win on Melbourne Cup Day. It is clearly good form. That Girl has had a recent jump out at Moe where she has gone well and everything suggests that she is going to be hard to beat here. As a result of all that though she has come up very skinny in the market around the $2.50-60 mark. I think she will be hard to beat but certainly looks to be well enough found. She will most likely be back off the speed from gate four and will need a touch of luck. I don’t want to lose on the race should she salute, but am certainly hoping to get closer to $3 on the day compared to her current price.

The scratching of Flostar has probably affected those thoughts pretty significantly though and I am a bit soft on the race now. The horse I think comes right into contention from a map point of view now is Our Free Spirit. This horse landed good bets when jumping to the front and winning at Mornington on debut and has clearly come back well. With that run under his belt he is now the horse that might lead and be pretty hard to get past so having something on him.

I also wanted to have something on Exquisite Beauty who looked really strong in a recent Avoca jump out. She closed off from off speed in that under a tight grip and picked up her rivals comfortably. This isn’t an easy race but it was one of those jump outs which made me feel compelled to back her particularly at the double figure odds.

Star Surprise is the horse I am most wary of. He showed great talent in his initial campaign and has jumped out well also so I wouldn’t talk you out of backing him, but was hoping he would have come up a bit longer in the market as part of me feels the 1000m may be a fraction sharp and he will be better second up over 1200m. It is a good race, looking forward to it.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on That Girl here! I will have $25 the win on Our Free Spirit and $15 the win on Exquisite Beauty now locking in the $11 with SportsBet which looks juicy!

Race Outlay

$90

Race 3

2:05pm

Suggested

Great Duchess (No.4) & Neighbourhood (No.7)

Dangers

Jentico (No.1) & The Stylist (No.10)

This is another very competitive race here. It is over the 1400m for the fillies and mares. There are plenty of winning chances here. It should be a keenly contested race too. There looks to be some strong speed engaged. The likes of Jentico, Simply Dreaming and The Stylist are all horses that like to find the front and own races from the front. I am hoping that sets it up nicely for Neighbourhood to just sit off them and have the last crack and run over the top. This is a mare I have a big opinion of. I think she is a pretty good galloper. She showed good ability in her debut campaign. She won well on debut at Cranbourne before going straight to town and being competitive with the likes of Fabric and Fidelia at her next two starts at Flemington. That form has proven to be quite strong with both those horses running well into the spring. Neighbourhood had probably had enough at her final run of that campaign when well beaten over the mile at Flemington and was immediately spelled post that run. She resumed recently at Sandown. She jumped out well prior to that run and backed it up with a solid first up win. She lobbed three wide with cover off the speed and proved too strong for her rivals. I am banking on that being the case again here. She should lob just off the speed from a nice middle draw for Michael Dee and if within striking distance should be able to get over the top of her rivals. Keen to be with her.

I think the horse to save on at double figure odds is Great Duchess. This mare has form that ties in with Neighbourhood and given she has come up around three times the price, looks worth a bet here. This mare finished fifth in a race behind Fabric at Flemington in May that Neighbourhood was fourth in. Based on that there looks to be little between them. Great Duchess went on later in that campaign to claim the scalp of Sure Knee at Flemington. I was pretty keen on her first up this campaign at Ballarat off the back of a good jump out. I was pretty confident coming to the turn as she was close to the speed and peeling off the back of the leaders. She just couldn’t quicken with some of those sharper mares over the 1200m. She looked like she was battling with 200m to go but came again on the line which is a good sign here stepping up to the 1400m. She draws perfectly here in gate five to get a gun run just off the speed and should enjoy the strong tempo that is likely up front. Second up and rising in trip she looks well suited and happy to be with her.

Betting strategy

With a few scratchings coming through Neighbourhood looks pretty close to a good thing here! I will have $70 the win on her having half now at the $2.75 and the other half at Top Fluc! I will save with $15 the win on Grand Duchess and will lock in the $11 about her!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 2

1:50pm

Suggested

Soldier Of Love (No.1), Nordic (No.2) & Remuera (No.7)

Dangers

Statuesquely (No.3) & Convinced (No.8)

Racing in Sydney comes from Rosehill this Saturday for a pretty stock standard summer Saturday meeting. There are a couple of nice horses going around but a bit like Moonee Valley in Victoria last Saturday this meeting does have a real off season feel to it. The positive is that the weather is good and we will be racing on a good track with the rail out three metres. That rail position typically gives every horse their chance at Rosehill and I would expect no difference on Saturday.

I am kicking the day off early in the second race which is over the 1800m for the three and four year olds. Gee, I thought there were a couple of horses under the odds here. The thing that struck me about the line up in this race was that a couple of the horses well in the market are on trial at the 1800m. Looking at a lot of their replays none of them really scream out to me that they are looking for this trip. Statuesquely looks a bit of a one paced galloper that will handle it and is well in the market while Convinced the three year old down the bottom had every chance last start and when he peeled off their backs last Saturday he looked set to win but couldn’t finish the race off.

Soldier Of Love looks the one horse firmly in the market that is set to relish the step up in trip. He has come back well this time in. His first three runs of the campaign were all good without winning before he chased the field up to the leader at Canterbury last start and got the job done in good fashion. He was strong through the line there and looks set to run out the 1800m strongly here. His form ties in well too as two starts ago he beat home Orcein who stitched up Convinced last Saturday. Based on that I found it hard to see how he wasn’t at least the same price as Convinced if not shorter and based on that I am happy to be with him here. He will just need a touch of luck finding a spot early for Sam Clenton as he is drawn the outside gate and there is a bit of speed inside of him. Sam is riding well though so I will place my faith in her working it out.

I had something on Nordic two weeks ago at Kembla Grange and he ran quite well. He had a bit of a gap between runs going into that race at Kembla and was stepping up from the mile to the 2000m. He peeled out halfway down the straight and looked as if he might put himself into the finish but just peaked on his run a bit late. I think with the shorter gap between runs here and dropping back to the 1800m he looks well placed here. This race certainly looks an easier assignment to what he took on last start in my opinion. He should appreciate the good speed up front and in the small field from the good draw shouldn’t be spotting too big a start. I was surprised he come up around the double figure odds mark and was more than happy to have something on him here.

Remuera comes down from Chris Waller’s Gold Coast stable for this run on the back of two strong recent wins. This is obviously tougher but this is a mare that has always shown talent right from early in her career. She often raced quite keenly when ridden off the speed but at her past two starts in Queensland has been ridden on speed and allowed to free roll and that has resulted in two wins. That might be the trick to her. Now that she has broken through her confidence is up and she might go on with the job. She is one horse in the race that has winning form in this distance range in recent times and with McEvoy on and rolling forward I am happy to have something on her at the good price.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on Soldier Of Love here! I will also have $20 the win on Nordic at the $10 with SportsBet and $15 the win on Remuera!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 6

4:20pm

Suggested

Word For Word (No.4), Almerheri (No.8) & To Your Health (No.9)

Dangers

Pumpkin Pie (No.5) & Lucicello (No.6)

This is a good race here for the fillies and mares over the 1350m. Lucicello again comes up a pretty short priced favourite in the early markets as she did at Kembla two weeks ago. We took her on with success there and I am going to take her on again here. I am just not convinced how strong she will be at the end of the 1350m and I think a couple of horses map to get a pretty easy time of it in front here which will make her job to come from the back difficult. I actually thought she had her chance to win at Kembla too as opposed to some trains of thought that she was unlucky.

Word For Word resumes here for the Waller yard and I think she will be hard to beat. She was a filly that showed a lot of promise last campaign and was sent up to Queensland to take on a couple of races up there. The form around her runs there last campaign look really strong for a race of this nature. She defeated Pinup Miss first up last campaign, she was then only just touched off by Baccarat Baby before beating all bar Winning Ways in a stakes race at the Gold Coast. It all looks really good form. She meets some well exposed types here too and might be the one with a bit of x-factor and untapped potential. She showed good speed in her recent trial and won fresh over this trip last campaign so a lot of factors point to her running well here. I think Nash will be positive on her early from gate one to hold the lead or at least the spot behind the leader and she looks like she will be right in the finish. Happy to back her to beat the stable mate.

To Your Health is the other horse that looks as if she will get a gun run up on speed. She beat all bar the smart Palurien on the Kensington track last start in a good on speed performance. She should either lead or come over and sit outside of Word For Word here depending on Nash’s intentions. From there she should prove hard to get past. She has won over 1400m so she will be strong over this trip and around that $15 mark I thought she looked a good bet here with the positive jockey in Jean Van Overmeire on board.

The other horse I was happy to have something on was the resuming Almerheri. This mare’s form is better known over slightly longer trips but I was taken with her most recent trial. She sat back but was quite strong through the line under little urging from her rider. I just feel she might be strong late in the race here and at the price is worth a ticket fresh.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Word For Word here! I will also have $15 the win on To Your Health locking in the $14 with SportsBet about her and will also have $10 the win on Almerheri!

Race Outlay

$65

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