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Select Race Meeting Event

Race 1

11:40am

Suggested

Igniting (No.5), Brazen Brando (No.6) & Zee Horader (No.12)

Dangers

Can’t Be Done (No.2) & Wilmot Pass (No.4)

Racing in Melbourne comes from Caulfield this weekend for what is another tough meeting. The fields in Melbourne at the moment are really deep and while they make for great betting races, finding a winner is not easy. For that reason I have been pretty selective about the races I am betting into this Saturday. I thought we were a bit stiff at Flemington last Saturday not to come out a fair bit further in front on the day. We found Fabric at a nice price but had Odeon, Moor Wanted and Surprise Baby all just nutted. Surprise Baby was a decent outlay bet at shorter odds while I think there were some $51 available about Moor Wanted. He did pay $10 the place so hopefully a few of you were smarter than me and maybe went each way or one by three even. Anyway not making excuses, need to find more winners is pretty much the modus operandi going into this Saturday. The weather has been wet in Melbourne. It has been cold and raining all week so the track has held up remarkably well to only be rated a Soft 6 at the moment and with no more significant rain forecast I think we will stay in that Soft 5-6 range on Saturday.

I am kicking off in the first race of the day which is for the two year olds over the 1200m. Like the rest of the day this is a tricky one to kick off on. I am siding with a couple of two year olds that are resuming in this race having shown a bit of talent earlier in the two year old season. The first of those is Igniting. This colt kicked off his career in Sydney where he was runner up on debut behind Movie Role before not being beaten too far by Accession who is quite talented at start number two. He comes into this off a good four month plus break but I did like his recent Werribee trial. He didn’t see a lot of galloping room there but looked to go through the line with a fair bit in hand and I feel he probably had his rivals covered had he been asked for more of an effort to go through the gap. He draws nicely in gate two for Michael Dee here to hopefully land just behind the speed and I thought around that $7-8 mark he represented a good bet.

Brazen Brando is the other one who showed good talent in his two career starts here at Caulfield in the Blue Diamond prelude/preview. He chased home I Am Immortal on both those occasions from the back of the field and wasn’t far off Microphone in the Preview which reads as very good form for a race of this nature. He has the blinkers applied for the first time here which should assist him as he was just giving away too much start in those fast races back in the summer. His recent trial was good enough and he didn’t have the blinkers on in those so I would expect him to elevate significantly off that and with the rail out and a bit of give in the track drawn out in a middle gate with his pattern could be an advantage even early in the day. Happy to be with him.

One on debut I want to keep safe is Zee Hoarder. He has shown enough in a couple of Cranbourne jump outs to suggest he has a bit of talent. He will most likely go back from the wide draw but the Williams engagement for mine is interesting and a factor so happy to keep him on side at double figure odds just in case.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Brazen Brando here, $25 the win on Igniting and $10 the win on Zee Hoarder!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 3

12:50pm

Suggested

Hypnos (No.1), Blinder (No.5), Despacito (No.8) & Mr Genoa (No.11)

Dangers

Symphonette (No.3) & Ligulate (No.9)

Wide open race this one. It is over the 1440m for the three year olds and there are plenty of different form lines coming together. I was pretty keen to bet away from the favourites though and that was probably the reason that sold me on betting into the race despite my confidence not being overly high. I thought the favourites were a bit tight and then were a couple that looked over the odds. The main two for mine that probably were a few points over their true price were Blinder and Mr Genoa.

Mr Genoa in particular is the horse that interests me most in the race. This horse was backed as if unbeatable on debut at Northam in Western Australia in August last year and Willie Pike went to Northam that day to steer him home for a comfortable victory. He was then transferred to Victoria and into the stables of Darren Weir. He had two runs in the spring at Bendigo and did not go a yard and didn’t beat a runner home at either start. He is now with Ciaron Maher and the market certainly suggested that off the back of a nice trial he was going to come to the races at Hamilton first up ready to rumble. That was the case. Johnny Allen took him to the front and he led all the way for a very easy victory. I am hoping he might go on with the job now. It is interesting to note that his two wins have come on soft tracks so I am hoping that he really excels in that sort of going and therefore will appreciate the conditions on Saturday. He draws out here but should roll forward and from there I am hoping he will be hard to roll at double figure odds.

Blinder comes here off a bit of a freshen up. His form through that Bendigo guineas and around O’Tauto a couple of months back looks pretty good for a race of this nature. He has had a recent Cranbourne jump out where he looked to go through the line really nicely. He draws out but will probably go back in a race that does look to have to good speed so I am hoping he gets the opportunity to finish off strongly and around the $9-10 mark looks worth a bet.

I am probably obliged to have something on Despacito who did the job for us at a massive price at Sandown a few weeks back. She was first up there and after getting a long way back weaved her way through the field to dash through late and win. It was a pretty solid win and she is a filly that has always shown talent. She draws a nice middle gate here and if gone on from that first up win I see no reason why she wouldn’t be really competitive here so happy to be with her again.

Query runner is Hypnos over from New Zealand. He hit the line well last start and should appreciate getting back up to the 1400m here. This doesn’t look overly strong from a local point of view so with a bit of give in the track here I wouldn’t be surprised to see him measure up and would rather be with him than against him.

Betting strategy

I will have $20 the win on Blinder and Mr Genoa here locking in the $12 with SportsBet about the latter! I will also have $15 the win on Hypnos and Despacito!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 3

12:35pm

Suggested

Above And Beyond (No.3), Restrained (No.6), England (No.11) & River Bird (No.14)

Dangers

Ljungberg (No.1) & Call Me Royal (No.5)

Racing in Sydney comes from Rosehill this Saturday for what is another very challenging meeting. We were able to find a few winners in Sydney last Saturday but they were pretty easy to find in Wolfe, Renewal and Deprive and I am probably pinning my hopes on a couple of favourites getting up here at Rosehill this Saturday to ensure we finish with our nose in front. The track is rated as good with the rail out three metres which is a rail position that typically plays very fair. There is rain forecast on Saturday but whether enough hits to affect the track we will have to wait and see.

I am kicking the day off in the third race which is over the 1200m and this is a race where I am hoping we can get one over the favourites. I think this race bats pretty deep and as a result I am going to play pretty wide. River Bird has always been a filly that has shown a good degree of talent and taken on some handy horses, she just took forever to win a race. She finally broke through at the eleventh time of asking last start at Wyong and I am hoping that now she has broken through she will go right on with the job. She will probably be back off the speed here from a middle to wide draw but hopefully they are rolling along up front and if that is the case she can finish off strongly late so happy to be with her at close to double figure odds.

England got the job done in workmanlike fashion at prohibitive odds first up at Scone. That win came off a nice trial and it was no surprise to see him do the business. The concern is that he didn’t do much on the clock that day and the win while solid enough wasn’t overly impressive. I still think he is a horse with significant upside though and wouldn’t be surprised to see him elevate again here second up. He draws nicely in gate two for Tommy Berry so he should just lob right behind the speed and from there I would expect him to be hard to hold out if the breaks come his way. Happy to be with him.

Above And Beyond might be the big improver here. His first two runs this time in have been strange. He is typically a natural speed horse but his two runs this time in he has been a bit slow to muster and ended up off the speed. He wilted after racing wide first up and then had no luck last start behind Hostwin Supreme where he was all over the back of the favourite in this race Call Me Royal. He is about two and a half times the price of that horse in this race and from a good draw at his third run back I would expect him to deliver close to a peak performance so happy to be with him also.

The one other horse I will back to ensure I don’t lose on the race is Restrained. This galloper comes into this race off a four and a half week break and typically this is when he has raced best. He draws to get a soft run in behind the speed for Jason Collett and at double figure odds happy to save on him.

Betting strategy

I will have $20 the win on all three of River Bird, England and Above And Beyond and $10 the win on Restrained!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 4

1:10pm

Suggested

Passage Of Time (No.1), Onslaught (No.5) & Poetic Charmer (No.9)

Dangers

Oxford Tycoon (No.10)

This race has been robbed a little bit of depth with a couple of scratchings and as a result I didn’t think it batted too deep. Oxford Tycoon has been scratched from another race on the program and comes into this second up. He had two trials leading into his first up run where I was on him and I thought he had every conceivable chance. He landed in the coffin which for once did turn out to be the box seat. He was sitting behind the leader but the run appeared up the inside and he just had to go through the gap but he just didn’t ping and while he was right in the finish I thought he was entitled to finish it off a little better than what he did. I can’t get keen on him at the short price here and as such I thought the two horses behind him in the market in Passage Of Time and Poetic Charmer looked really hard to beat and certainly worthy of backing.

Passage Of Time has come back well this time in. He was unlucky not to beat Top Striker first up at Randwick before making amends for that second up on the Kenso track. He then went up to Doomben two weeks ago and did a fair bit of work from a wider draw to come over and get up on speed. That early effort told late in a race what was dominated by horses off speed. He wasn’t beaten far though and the run contained merit. This certainly looks a notch or two back on that race. He draws in gate one to just lob in the box seat (hopefully not the coffin) behind the leader and providing the run appears at the right time then he should prove hard to hold out. Keen to be with him and wouldn’t be surprised if he started shorter than what he is now.

Poetic Charmer raced well last campaign and went through his grades nicely. My initial thoughts were that this race looked a bit steep for him but his two trials have been pretty sharp. He looks to have come back well. He improved nicely last preparation and if he can continue that level of improvement this time in I think he can certainly be competitive. He has to overcome an awkward draw but if he can do that he trialled well enough to ensure I don’t want to lose on the race if he salutes here.

I also want to be with his stable mate in Onslaught. This horse is a bit of an enigma. He seems to either run really well and win or just not get involved at all. He resumes here and the trials have been good, in particular his most recent one. He draws well, he has run well fresh in the past and his record over this trip is strong. If he runs up to his best then he can certainly win this so around the $13 mark I want to have something on him.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Passage Of Time here now getting quite keen! I will have half now at the $4.40 and the other half at Top Fluc on the day! I will save with $25 the win on Poetic Charmer and $15 the win on Onslaught at the $14 with SportsBet!

Race Outlay

$90

Race 1

11:10am

Suggested

Autocratic (No.5) & Brocky (No.6)

Dangers

Shadow Hero (No.7) & Fasano (No.8)

Group One racing in Brisbane comes from Doomben tomorrow for the Queensland Oaks meeting. I have to admit I am a bit dirty I am not up there tomorrow. I was banking on going to the races tomorrow then all up into Hawks and Lions at the Gabba but the calendar has been pretty full in recent times so I will watch from Melbourne. The weather has been good in Brisbane in recent weeks and as a result we will be racing on a good track this Saturday with the rail out four and half metres the entire circuit.

I am kicking off the day in the first race which is for the two year olds over the mile. It is a tricky one to kick things off on but I think the form coming up from New South Wales will be strong and hard to counter. Autocratic and Shadow Hero come through the same race at Newcastle last start where they ran the quinella. I thought Autocratic was pretty impressive in that win and despite Shadow Hero drawing a better gate here I can’t see him turning the tables. Autocratic got a bit keen early in that race, rolled forward and got up close to the speed and despite being left in front a fair way from home was too strong. He also draws ideally here in gate two to get a lovely run just behind the speed for James McDonald. The form has been franked with the third horse Prince Fawaz coming out and winning most impressively at Randwick last Saturday. I think that all bodes well for Autocratic here and happy to be with him.

I am going to save on Brocky who is the horse out of the locals I thought come up good odds. His win at Ipswich last start was strong. He made a long sustained run, hit the front rounding the home turn and was strong through the line holding off his rivals. I was a bit surprised at the odds he came up here. This is obviously harder but I had him rated about a $12 shot here and certainly not a $25-30 one that he is in current markets. He draws to get a good run up on speed and I just think he will be strong at the end of the mile and keep on sticking on. I think at the price he is definitely worth a ticket but hopefully we are cracking the beers nice and early with either him or Autocratic saluting.

Betting strategy

I will have $60 the win on Autocratic here and save with $10 the win on Brocky!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 1

11:40am

Suggested

Igniting (No.5), Brazen Brando (No.6) & Zee Horader (No.12)

Dangers

Can’t Be Done (No.2) & Wilmot Pass (No.4)

Racing in Melbourne comes from Caulfield this weekend for what is another tough meeting. The fields in Melbourne at the moment are really deep and while they make for great betting races, finding a winner is not easy. For that reason I have been pretty selective about the races I am betting into this Saturday. I thought we were a bit stiff at Flemington last Saturday not to come out a fair bit further in front on the day. We found Fabric at a nice price but had Odeon, Moor Wanted and Surprise Baby all just nutted. Surprise Baby was a decent outlay bet at shorter odds while I think there were some $51 available about Moor Wanted. He did pay $10 the place so hopefully a few of you were smarter than me and maybe went each way or one by three even. Anyway not making excuses, need to find more winners is pretty much the modus operandi going into this Saturday. The weather has been wet in Melbourne. It has been cold and raining all week so the track has held up remarkably well to only be rated a Soft 6 at the moment and with no more significant rain forecast I think we will stay in that Soft 5-6 range on Saturday.

I am kicking off in the first race of the day which is for the two year olds over the 1200m. Like the rest of the day this is a tricky one to kick off on. I am siding with a couple of two year olds that are resuming in this race having shown a bit of talent earlier in the two year old season. The first of those is Igniting. This colt kicked off his career in Sydney where he was runner up on debut behind Movie Role before not being beaten too far by Accession who is quite talented at start number two. He comes into this off a good four month plus break but I did like his recent Werribee trial. He didn’t see a lot of galloping room there but looked to go through the line with a fair bit in hand and I feel he probably had his rivals covered had he been asked for more of an effort to go through the gap. He draws nicely in gate two for Michael Dee here to hopefully land just behind the speed and I thought around that $7-8 mark he represented a good bet.

Brazen Brando is the other one who showed good talent in his two career starts here at Caulfield in the Blue Diamond prelude/preview. He chased home I Am Immortal on both those occasions from the back of the field and wasn’t far off Microphone in the Preview which reads as very good form for a race of this nature. He has the blinkers applied for the first time here which should assist him as he was just giving away too much start in those fast races back in the summer. His recent trial was good enough and he didn’t have the blinkers on in those so I would expect him to elevate significantly off that and with the rail out and a bit of give in the track drawn out in a middle gate with his pattern could be an advantage even early in the day. Happy to be with him.

One on debut I want to keep safe is Zee Hoarder. He has shown enough in a couple of Cranbourne jump outs to suggest he has a bit of talent. He will most likely go back from the wide draw but the Williams engagement for mine is interesting and a factor so happy to keep him on side at double figure odds just in case.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Brazen Brando here, $25 the win on Igniting and $10 the win on Zee Hoarder!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 3

12:50pm

Suggested

Hypnos (No.1), Blinder (No.5), Despacito (No.8) & Mr Genoa (No.11)

Dangers

Symphonette (No.3) & Ligulate (No.9)

Wide open race this one. It is over the 1440m for the three year olds and there are plenty of different form lines coming together. I was pretty keen to bet away from the favourites though and that was probably the reason that sold me on betting into the race despite my confidence not being overly high. I thought the favourites were a bit tight and then were a couple that looked over the odds. The main two for mine that probably were a few points over their true price were Blinder and Mr Genoa.

Mr Genoa in particular is the horse that interests me most in the race. This horse was backed as if unbeatable on debut at Northam in Western Australia in August last year and Willie Pike went to Northam that day to steer him home for a comfortable victory. He was then transferred to Victoria and into the stables of Darren Weir. He had two runs in the spring at Bendigo and did not go a yard and didn’t beat a runner home at either start. He is now with Ciaron Maher and the market certainly suggested that off the back of a nice trial he was going to come to the races at Hamilton first up ready to rumble. That was the case. Johnny Allen took him to the front and he led all the way for a very easy victory. I am hoping he might go on with the job now. It is interesting to note that his two wins have come on soft tracks so I am hoping that he really excels in that sort of going and therefore will appreciate the conditions on Saturday. He draws out here but should roll forward and from there I am hoping he will be hard to roll at double figure odds.

Blinder comes here off a bit of a freshen up. His form through that Bendigo guineas and around O’Tauto a couple of months back looks pretty good for a race of this nature. He has had a recent Cranbourne jump out where he looked to go through the line really nicely. He draws out but will probably go back in a race that does look to have to good speed so I am hoping he gets the opportunity to finish off strongly and around the $9-10 mark looks worth a bet.

I am probably obliged to have something on Despacito who did the job for us at a massive price at Sandown a few weeks back. She was first up there and after getting a long way back weaved her way through the field to dash through late and win. It was a pretty solid win and she is a filly that has always shown talent. She draws a nice middle gate here and if gone on from that first up win I see no reason why she wouldn’t be really competitive here so happy to be with her again.

Query runner is Hypnos over from New Zealand. He hit the line well last start and should appreciate getting back up to the 1400m here. This doesn’t look overly strong from a local point of view so with a bit of give in the track here I wouldn’t be surprised to see him measure up and would rather be with him than against him.

Betting strategy

I will have $20 the win on Blinder and Mr Genoa here locking in the $12 with SportsBet about the latter! I will also have $15 the win on Hypnos and Despacito!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 3

12:35pm

Suggested

Above And Beyond (No.3), Restrained (No.6), England (No.11) & River Bird (No.14)

Dangers

Ljungberg (No.1) & Call Me Royal (No.5)

Racing in Sydney comes from Rosehill this Saturday for what is another very challenging meeting. We were able to find a few winners in Sydney last Saturday but they were pretty easy to find in Wolfe, Renewal and Deprive and I am probably pinning my hopes on a couple of favourites getting up here at Rosehill this Saturday to ensure we finish with our nose in front. The track is rated as good with the rail out three metres which is a rail position that typically plays very fair. There is rain forecast on Saturday but whether enough hits to affect the track we will have to wait and see.

I am kicking the day off in the third race which is over the 1200m and this is a race where I am hoping we can get one over the favourites. I think this race bats pretty deep and as a result I am going to play pretty wide. River Bird has always been a filly that has shown a good degree of talent and taken on some handy horses, she just took forever to win a race. She finally broke through at the eleventh time of asking last start at Wyong and I am hoping that now she has broken through she will go right on with the job. She will probably be back off the speed here from a middle to wide draw but hopefully they are rolling along up front and if that is the case she can finish off strongly late so happy to be with her at close to double figure odds.

England got the job done in workmanlike fashion at prohibitive odds first up at Scone. That win came off a nice trial and it was no surprise to see him do the business. The concern is that he didn’t do much on the clock that day and the win while solid enough wasn’t overly impressive. I still think he is a horse with significant upside though and wouldn’t be surprised to see him elevate again here second up. He draws nicely in gate two for Tommy Berry so he should just lob right behind the speed and from there I would expect him to be hard to hold out if the breaks come his way. Happy to be with him.

Above And Beyond might be the big improver here. His first two runs this time in have been strange. He is typically a natural speed horse but his two runs this time in he has been a bit slow to muster and ended up off the speed. He wilted after racing wide first up and then had no luck last start behind Hostwin Supreme where he was all over the back of the favourite in this race Call Me Royal. He is about two and a half times the price of that horse in this race and from a good draw at his third run back I would expect him to deliver close to a peak performance so happy to be with him also.

The one other horse I will back to ensure I don’t lose on the race is Restrained. This galloper comes into this race off a four and a half week break and typically this is when he has raced best. He draws to get a soft run in behind the speed for Jason Collett and at double figure odds happy to save on him.

Betting strategy

I will have $20 the win on all three of River Bird, England and Above And Beyond and $10 the win on Restrained!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 4

1:10pm

Suggested

Passage Of Time (No.1), Onslaught (No.5) & Poetic Charmer (No.9)

Dangers

Oxford Tycoon (No.10)

This race has been robbed a little bit of depth with a couple of scratchings and as a result I didn’t think it batted too deep. Oxford Tycoon has been scratched from another race on the program and comes into this second up. He had two trials leading into his first up run where I was on him and I thought he had every conceivable chance. He landed in the coffin which for once did turn out to be the box seat. He was sitting behind the leader but the run appeared up the inside and he just had to go through the gap but he just didn’t ping and while he was right in the finish I thought he was entitled to finish it off a little better than what he did. I can’t get keen on him at the short price here and as such I thought the two horses behind him in the market in Passage Of Time and Poetic Charmer looked really hard to beat and certainly worthy of backing.

Passage Of Time has come back well this time in. He was unlucky not to beat Top Striker first up at Randwick before making amends for that second up on the Kenso track. He then went up to Doomben two weeks ago and did a fair bit of work from a wider draw to come over and get up on speed. That early effort told late in a race what was dominated by horses off speed. He wasn’t beaten far though and the run contained merit. This certainly looks a notch or two back on that race. He draws in gate one to just lob in the box seat (hopefully not the coffin) behind the leader and providing the run appears at the right time then he should prove hard to hold out. Keen to be with him and wouldn’t be surprised if he started shorter than what he is now.

Poetic Charmer raced well last campaign and went through his grades nicely. My initial thoughts were that this race looked a bit steep for him but his two trials have been pretty sharp. He looks to have come back well. He improved nicely last preparation and if he can continue that level of improvement this time in I think he can certainly be competitive. He has to overcome an awkward draw but if he can do that he trialled well enough to ensure I don’t want to lose on the race if he salutes here.

I also want to be with his stable mate in Onslaught. This horse is a bit of an enigma. He seems to either run really well and win or just not get involved at all. He resumes here and the trials have been good, in particular his most recent one. He draws well, he has run well fresh in the past and his record over this trip is strong. If he runs up to his best then he can certainly win this so around the $13 mark I want to have something on him.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Passage Of Time here now getting quite keen! I will have half now at the $4.40 and the other half at Top Fluc on the day! I will save with $25 the win on Poetic Charmer and $15 the win on Onslaught at the $14 with SportsBet!

Race Outlay

$90

Race 1

11:10am

Suggested

Autocratic (No.5) & Brocky (No.6)

Dangers

Shadow Hero (No.7) & Fasano (No.8)

Group One racing in Brisbane comes from Doomben tomorrow for the Queensland Oaks meeting. I have to admit I am a bit dirty I am not up there tomorrow. I was banking on going to the races tomorrow then all up into Hawks and Lions at the Gabba but the calendar has been pretty full in recent times so I will watch from Melbourne. The weather has been good in Brisbane in recent weeks and as a result we will be racing on a good track this Saturday with the rail out four and half metres the entire circuit.

I am kicking off the day in the first race which is for the two year olds over the mile. It is a tricky one to kick things off on but I think the form coming up from New South Wales will be strong and hard to counter. Autocratic and Shadow Hero come through the same race at Newcastle last start where they ran the quinella. I thought Autocratic was pretty impressive in that win and despite Shadow Hero drawing a better gate here I can’t see him turning the tables. Autocratic got a bit keen early in that race, rolled forward and got up close to the speed and despite being left in front a fair way from home was too strong. He also draws ideally here in gate two to get a lovely run just behind the speed for James McDonald. The form has been franked with the third horse Prince Fawaz coming out and winning most impressively at Randwick last Saturday. I think that all bodes well for Autocratic here and happy to be with him.

I am going to save on Brocky who is the horse out of the locals I thought come up good odds. His win at Ipswich last start was strong. He made a long sustained run, hit the front rounding the home turn and was strong through the line holding off his rivals. I was a bit surprised at the odds he came up here. This is obviously harder but I had him rated about a $12 shot here and certainly not a $25-30 one that he is in current markets. He draws to get a good run up on speed and I just think he will be strong at the end of the mile and keep on sticking on. I think at the price he is definitely worth a ticket but hopefully we are cracking the beers nice and early with either him or Autocratic saluting.

Betting strategy

I will have $60 the win on Autocratic here and save with $10 the win on Brocky!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 1

11:40am

Suggested

Igniting (No.5), Brazen Brando (No.6) & Zee Horader (No.12)

Dangers

Can’t Be Done (No.2) & Wilmot Pass (No.4)

Racing in Melbourne comes from Caulfield this weekend for what is another tough meeting. The fields in Melbourne at the moment are really deep and while they make for great betting races, finding a winner is not easy. For that reason I have been pretty selective about the races I am betting into this Saturday. I thought we were a bit stiff at Flemington last Saturday not to come out a fair bit further in front on the day. We found Fabric at a nice price but had Odeon, Moor Wanted and Surprise Baby all just nutted. Surprise Baby was a decent outlay bet at shorter odds while I think there were some $51 available about Moor Wanted. He did pay $10 the place so hopefully a few of you were smarter than me and maybe went each way or one by three even. Anyway not making excuses, need to find more winners is pretty much the modus operandi going into this Saturday. The weather has been wet in Melbourne. It has been cold and raining all week so the track has held up remarkably well to only be rated a Soft 6 at the moment and with no more significant rain forecast I think we will stay in that Soft 5-6 range on Saturday.

I am kicking off in the first race of the day which is for the two year olds over the 1200m. Like the rest of the day this is a tricky one to kick off on. I am siding with a couple of two year olds that are resuming in this race having shown a bit of talent earlier in the two year old season. The first of those is Igniting. This colt kicked off his career in Sydney where he was runner up on debut behind Movie Role before not being beaten too far by Accession who is quite talented at start number two. He comes into this off a good four month plus break but I did like his recent Werribee trial. He didn’t see a lot of galloping room there but looked to go through the line with a fair bit in hand and I feel he probably had his rivals covered had he been asked for more of an effort to go through the gap. He draws nicely in gate two for Michael Dee here to hopefully land just behind the speed and I thought around that $7-8 mark he represented a good bet.

Brazen Brando is the other one who showed good talent in his two career starts here at Caulfield in the Blue Diamond prelude/preview. He chased home I Am Immortal on both those occasions from the back of the field and wasn’t far off Microphone in the Preview which reads as very good form for a race of this nature. He has the blinkers applied for the first time here which should assist him as he was just giving away too much start in those fast races back in the summer. His recent trial was good enough and he didn’t have the blinkers on in those so I would expect him to elevate significantly off that and with the rail out and a bit of give in the track drawn out in a middle gate with his pattern could be an advantage even early in the day. Happy to be with him.

One on debut I want to keep safe is Zee Hoarder. He has shown enough in a couple of Cranbourne jump outs to suggest he has a bit of talent. He will most likely go back from the wide draw but the Williams engagement for mine is interesting and a factor so happy to keep him on side at double figure odds just in case.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Brazen Brando here, $25 the win on Igniting and $10 the win on Zee Hoarder!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 3

12:50pm

Suggested

Hypnos (No.1), Blinder (No.5), Despacito (No.8) & Mr Genoa (No.11)

Dangers

Symphonette (No.3) & Ligulate (No.9)

Wide open race this one. It is over the 1440m for the three year olds and there are plenty of different form lines coming together. I was pretty keen to bet away from the favourites though and that was probably the reason that sold me on betting into the race despite my confidence not being overly high. I thought the favourites were a bit tight and then were a couple that looked over the odds. The main two for mine that probably were a few points over their true price were Blinder and Mr Genoa.

Mr Genoa in particular is the horse that interests me most in the race. This horse was backed as if unbeatable on debut at Northam in Western Australia in August last year and Willie Pike went to Northam that day to steer him home for a comfortable victory. He was then transferred to Victoria and into the stables of Darren Weir. He had two runs in the spring at Bendigo and did not go a yard and didn’t beat a runner home at either start. He is now with Ciaron Maher and the market certainly suggested that off the back of a nice trial he was going to come to the races at Hamilton first up ready to rumble. That was the case. Johnny Allen took him to the front and he led all the way for a very easy victory. I am hoping he might go on with the job now. It is interesting to note that his two wins have come on soft tracks so I am hoping that he really excels in that sort of going and therefore will appreciate the conditions on Saturday. He draws out here but should roll forward and from there I am hoping he will be hard to roll at double figure odds.

Blinder comes here off a bit of a freshen up. His form through that Bendigo guineas and around O’Tauto a couple of months back looks pretty good for a race of this nature. He has had a recent Cranbourne jump out where he looked to go through the line really nicely. He draws out but will probably go back in a race that does look to have to good speed so I am hoping he gets the opportunity to finish off strongly and around the $9-10 mark looks worth a bet.

I am probably obliged to have something on Despacito who did the job for us at a massive price at Sandown a few weeks back. She was first up there and after getting a long way back weaved her way through the field to dash through late and win. It was a pretty solid win and she is a filly that has always shown talent. She draws a nice middle gate here and if gone on from that first up win I see no reason why she wouldn’t be really competitive here so happy to be with her again.

Query runner is Hypnos over from New Zealand. He hit the line well last start and should appreciate getting back up to the 1400m here. This doesn’t look overly strong from a local point of view so with a bit of give in the track here I wouldn’t be surprised to see him measure up and would rather be with him than against him.

Betting strategy

I will have $20 the win on Blinder and Mr Genoa here locking in the $12 with SportsBet about the latter! I will also have $15 the win on Hypnos and Despacito!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 3

12:35pm

Suggested

Above And Beyond (No.3), Restrained (No.6), England (No.11) & River Bird (No.14)

Dangers

Ljungberg (No.1) & Call Me Royal (No.5)

Racing in Sydney comes from Rosehill this Saturday for what is another very challenging meeting. We were able to find a few winners in Sydney last Saturday but they were pretty easy to find in Wolfe, Renewal and Deprive and I am probably pinning my hopes on a couple of favourites getting up here at Rosehill this Saturday to ensure we finish with our nose in front. The track is rated as good with the rail out three metres which is a rail position that typically plays very fair. There is rain forecast on Saturday but whether enough hits to affect the track we will have to wait and see.

I am kicking the day off in the third race which is over the 1200m and this is a race where I am hoping we can get one over the favourites. I think this race bats pretty deep and as a result I am going to play pretty wide. River Bird has always been a filly that has shown a good degree of talent and taken on some handy horses, she just took forever to win a race. She finally broke through at the eleventh time of asking last start at Wyong and I am hoping that now she has broken through she will go right on with the job. She will probably be back off the speed here from a middle to wide draw but hopefully they are rolling along up front and if that is the case she can finish off strongly late so happy to be with her at close to double figure odds.

England got the job done in workmanlike fashion at prohibitive odds first up at Scone. That win came off a nice trial and it was no surprise to see him do the business. The concern is that he didn’t do much on the clock that day and the win while solid enough wasn’t overly impressive. I still think he is a horse with significant upside though and wouldn’t be surprised to see him elevate again here second up. He draws nicely in gate two for Tommy Berry so he should just lob right behind the speed and from there I would expect him to be hard to hold out if the breaks come his way. Happy to be with him.

Above And Beyond might be the big improver here. His first two runs this time in have been strange. He is typically a natural speed horse but his two runs this time in he has been a bit slow to muster and ended up off the speed. He wilted after racing wide first up and then had no luck last start behind Hostwin Supreme where he was all over the back of the favourite in this race Call Me Royal. He is about two and a half times the price of that horse in this race and from a good draw at his third run back I would expect him to deliver close to a peak performance so happy to be with him also.

The one other horse I will back to ensure I don’t lose on the race is Restrained. This galloper comes into this race off a four and a half week break and typically this is when he has raced best. He draws to get a soft run in behind the speed for Jason Collett and at double figure odds happy to save on him.

Betting strategy

I will have $20 the win on all three of River Bird, England and Above And Beyond and $10 the win on Restrained!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 4

1:10pm

Suggested

Passage Of Time (No.1), Onslaught (No.5) & Poetic Charmer (No.9)

Dangers

Oxford Tycoon (No.10)

This race has been robbed a little bit of depth with a couple of scratchings and as a result I didn’t think it batted too deep. Oxford Tycoon has been scratched from another race on the program and comes into this second up. He had two trials leading into his first up run where I was on him and I thought he had every conceivable chance. He landed in the coffin which for once did turn out to be the box seat. He was sitting behind the leader but the run appeared up the inside and he just had to go through the gap but he just didn’t ping and while he was right in the finish I thought he was entitled to finish it off a little better than what he did. I can’t get keen on him at the short price here and as such I thought the two horses behind him in the market in Passage Of Time and Poetic Charmer looked really hard to beat and certainly worthy of backing.

Passage Of Time has come back well this time in. He was unlucky not to beat Top Striker first up at Randwick before making amends for that second up on the Kenso track. He then went up to Doomben two weeks ago and did a fair bit of work from a wider draw to come over and get up on speed. That early effort told late in a race what was dominated by horses off speed. He wasn’t beaten far though and the run contained merit. This certainly looks a notch or two back on that race. He draws in gate one to just lob in the box seat (hopefully not the coffin) behind the leader and providing the run appears at the right time then he should prove hard to hold out. Keen to be with him and wouldn’t be surprised if he started shorter than what he is now.

Poetic Charmer raced well last campaign and went through his grades nicely. My initial thoughts were that this race looked a bit steep for him but his two trials have been pretty sharp. He looks to have come back well. He improved nicely last preparation and if he can continue that level of improvement this time in I think he can certainly be competitive. He has to overcome an awkward draw but if he can do that he trialled well enough to ensure I don’t want to lose on the race if he salutes here.

I also want to be with his stable mate in Onslaught. This horse is a bit of an enigma. He seems to either run really well and win or just not get involved at all. He resumes here and the trials have been good, in particular his most recent one. He draws well, he has run well fresh in the past and his record over this trip is strong. If he runs up to his best then he can certainly win this so around the $13 mark I want to have something on him.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Passage Of Time here now getting quite keen! I will have half now at the $4.40 and the other half at Top Fluc on the day! I will save with $25 the win on Poetic Charmer and $15 the win on Onslaught at the $14 with SportsBet!

Race Outlay

$90

Race 1

11:10am

Suggested

Autocratic (No.5) & Brocky (No.6)

Dangers

Shadow Hero (No.7) & Fasano (No.8)

Group One racing in Brisbane comes from Doomben tomorrow for the Queensland Oaks meeting. I have to admit I am a bit dirty I am not up there tomorrow. I was banking on going to the races tomorrow then all up into Hawks and Lions at the Gabba but the calendar has been pretty full in recent times so I will watch from Melbourne. The weather has been good in Brisbane in recent weeks and as a result we will be racing on a good track this Saturday with the rail out four and half metres the entire circuit.

I am kicking off the day in the first race which is for the two year olds over the mile. It is a tricky one to kick things off on but I think the form coming up from New South Wales will be strong and hard to counter. Autocratic and Shadow Hero come through the same race at Newcastle last start where they ran the quinella. I thought Autocratic was pretty impressive in that win and despite Shadow Hero drawing a better gate here I can’t see him turning the tables. Autocratic got a bit keen early in that race, rolled forward and got up close to the speed and despite being left in front a fair way from home was too strong. He also draws ideally here in gate two to get a lovely run just behind the speed for James McDonald. The form has been franked with the third horse Prince Fawaz coming out and winning most impressively at Randwick last Saturday. I think that all bodes well for Autocratic here and happy to be with him.

I am going to save on Brocky who is the horse out of the locals I thought come up good odds. His win at Ipswich last start was strong. He made a long sustained run, hit the front rounding the home turn and was strong through the line holding off his rivals. I was a bit surprised at the odds he came up here. This is obviously harder but I had him rated about a $12 shot here and certainly not a $25-30 one that he is in current markets. He draws to get a good run up on speed and I just think he will be strong at the end of the mile and keep on sticking on. I think at the price he is definitely worth a ticket but hopefully we are cracking the beers nice and early with either him or Autocratic saluting.

Betting strategy

I will have $60 the win on Autocratic here and save with $10 the win on Brocky!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 1

11:40am

Suggested

Igniting (No.5), Brazen Brando (No.6) & Zee Horader (No.12)

Dangers

Can’t Be Done (No.2) & Wilmot Pass (No.4)

Racing in Melbourne comes from Caulfield this weekend for what is another tough meeting. The fields in Melbourne at the moment are really deep and while they make for great betting races, finding a winner is not easy. For that reason I have been pretty selective about the races I am betting into this Saturday. I thought we were a bit stiff at Flemington last Saturday not to come out a fair bit further in front on the day. We found Fabric at a nice price but had Odeon, Moor Wanted and Surprise Baby all just nutted. Surprise Baby was a decent outlay bet at shorter odds while I think there were some $51 available about Moor Wanted. He did pay $10 the place so hopefully a few of you were smarter than me and maybe went each way or one by three even. Anyway not making excuses, need to find more winners is pretty much the modus operandi going into this Saturday. The weather has been wet in Melbourne. It has been cold and raining all week so the track has held up remarkably well to only be rated a Soft 6 at the moment and with no more significant rain forecast I think we will stay in that Soft 5-6 range on Saturday.

I am kicking off in the first race of the day which is for the two year olds over the 1200m. Like the rest of the day this is a tricky one to kick off on. I am siding with a couple of two year olds that are resuming in this race having shown a bit of talent earlier in the two year old season. The first of those is Igniting. This colt kicked off his career in Sydney where he was runner up on debut behind Movie Role before not being beaten too far by Accession who is quite talented at start number two. He comes into this off a good four month plus break but I did like his recent Werribee trial. He didn’t see a lot of galloping room there but looked to go through the line with a fair bit in hand and I feel he probably had his rivals covered had he been asked for more of an effort to go through the gap. He draws nicely in gate two for Michael Dee here to hopefully land just behind the speed and I thought around that $7-8 mark he represented a good bet.

Brazen Brando is the other one who showed good talent in his two career starts here at Caulfield in the Blue Diamond prelude/preview. He chased home I Am Immortal on both those occasions from the back of the field and wasn’t far off Microphone in the Preview which reads as very good form for a race of this nature. He has the blinkers applied for the first time here which should assist him as he was just giving away too much start in those fast races back in the summer. His recent trial was good enough and he didn’t have the blinkers on in those so I would expect him to elevate significantly off that and with the rail out and a bit of give in the track drawn out in a middle gate with his pattern could be an advantage even early in the day. Happy to be with him.

One on debut I want to keep safe is Zee Hoarder. He has shown enough in a couple of Cranbourne jump outs to suggest he has a bit of talent. He will most likely go back from the wide draw but the Williams engagement for mine is interesting and a factor so happy to keep him on side at double figure odds just in case.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Brazen Brando here, $25 the win on Igniting and $10 the win on Zee Hoarder!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 3

12:50pm

Suggested

Hypnos (No.1), Blinder (No.5), Despacito (No.8) & Mr Genoa (No.11)

Dangers

Symphonette (No.3) & Ligulate (No.9)

Wide open race this one. It is over the 1440m for the three year olds and there are plenty of different form lines coming together. I was pretty keen to bet away from the favourites though and that was probably the reason that sold me on betting into the race despite my confidence not being overly high. I thought the favourites were a bit tight and then were a couple that looked over the odds. The main two for mine that probably were a few points over their true price were Blinder and Mr Genoa.

Mr Genoa in particular is the horse that interests me most in the race. This horse was backed as if unbeatable on debut at Northam in Western Australia in August last year and Willie Pike went to Northam that day to steer him home for a comfortable victory. He was then transferred to Victoria and into the stables of Darren Weir. He had two runs in the spring at Bendigo and did not go a yard and didn’t beat a runner home at either start. He is now with Ciaron Maher and the market certainly suggested that off the back of a nice trial he was going to come to the races at Hamilton first up ready to rumble. That was the case. Johnny Allen took him to the front and he led all the way for a very easy victory. I am hoping he might go on with the job now. It is interesting to note that his two wins have come on soft tracks so I am hoping that he really excels in that sort of going and therefore will appreciate the conditions on Saturday. He draws out here but should roll forward and from there I am hoping he will be hard to roll at double figure odds.

Blinder comes here off a bit of a freshen up. His form through that Bendigo guineas and around O’Tauto a couple of months back looks pretty good for a race of this nature. He has had a recent Cranbourne jump out where he looked to go through the line really nicely. He draws out but will probably go back in a race that does look to have to good speed so I am hoping he gets the opportunity to finish off strongly and around the $9-10 mark looks worth a bet.

I am probably obliged to have something on Despacito who did the job for us at a massive price at Sandown a few weeks back. She was first up there and after getting a long way back weaved her way through the field to dash through late and win. It was a pretty solid win and she is a filly that has always shown talent. She draws a nice middle gate here and if gone on from that first up win I see no reason why she wouldn’t be really competitive here so happy to be with her again.

Query runner is Hypnos over from New Zealand. He hit the line well last start and should appreciate getting back up to the 1400m here. This doesn’t look overly strong from a local point of view so with a bit of give in the track here I wouldn’t be surprised to see him measure up and would rather be with him than against him.

Betting strategy

I will have $20 the win on Blinder and Mr Genoa here locking in the $12 with SportsBet about the latter! I will also have $15 the win on Hypnos and Despacito!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 3

12:35pm

Suggested

Above And Beyond (No.3), Restrained (No.6), England (No.11) & River Bird (No.14)

Dangers

Ljungberg (No.1) & Call Me Royal (No.5)

Racing in Sydney comes from Rosehill this Saturday for what is another very challenging meeting. We were able to find a few winners in Sydney last Saturday but they were pretty easy to find in Wolfe, Renewal and Deprive and I am probably pinning my hopes on a couple of favourites getting up here at Rosehill this Saturday to ensure we finish with our nose in front. The track is rated as good with the rail out three metres which is a rail position that typically plays very fair. There is rain forecast on Saturday but whether enough hits to affect the track we will have to wait and see.

I am kicking the day off in the third race which is over the 1200m and this is a race where I am hoping we can get one over the favourites. I think this race bats pretty deep and as a result I am going to play pretty wide. River Bird has always been a filly that has shown a good degree of talent and taken on some handy horses, she just took forever to win a race. She finally broke through at the eleventh time of asking last start at Wyong and I am hoping that now she has broken through she will go right on with the job. She will probably be back off the speed here from a middle to wide draw but hopefully they are rolling along up front and if that is the case she can finish off strongly late so happy to be with her at close to double figure odds.

England got the job done in workmanlike fashion at prohibitive odds first up at Scone. That win came off a nice trial and it was no surprise to see him do the business. The concern is that he didn’t do much on the clock that day and the win while solid enough wasn’t overly impressive. I still think he is a horse with significant upside though and wouldn’t be surprised to see him elevate again here second up. He draws nicely in gate two for Tommy Berry so he should just lob right behind the speed and from there I would expect him to be hard to hold out if the breaks come his way. Happy to be with him.

Above And Beyond might be the big improver here. His first two runs this time in have been strange. He is typically a natural speed horse but his two runs this time in he has been a bit slow to muster and ended up off the speed. He wilted after racing wide first up and then had no luck last start behind Hostwin Supreme where he was all over the back of the favourite in this race Call Me Royal. He is about two and a half times the price of that horse in this race and from a good draw at his third run back I would expect him to deliver close to a peak performance so happy to be with him also.

The one other horse I will back to ensure I don’t lose on the race is Restrained. This galloper comes into this race off a four and a half week break and typically this is when he has raced best. He draws to get a soft run in behind the speed for Jason Collett and at double figure odds happy to save on him.

Betting strategy

I will have $20 the win on all three of River Bird, England and Above And Beyond and $10 the win on Restrained!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 4

1:10pm

Suggested

Passage Of Time (No.1), Onslaught (No.5) & Poetic Charmer (No.9)

Dangers

Oxford Tycoon (No.10)

This race has been robbed a little bit of depth with a couple of scratchings and as a result I didn’t think it batted too deep. Oxford Tycoon has been scratched from another race on the program and comes into this second up. He had two trials leading into his first up run where I was on him and I thought he had every conceivable chance. He landed in the coffin which for once did turn out to be the box seat. He was sitting behind the leader but the run appeared up the inside and he just had to go through the gap but he just didn’t ping and while he was right in the finish I thought he was entitled to finish it off a little better than what he did. I can’t get keen on him at the short price here and as such I thought the two horses behind him in the market in Passage Of Time and Poetic Charmer looked really hard to beat and certainly worthy of backing.

Passage Of Time has come back well this time in. He was unlucky not to beat Top Striker first up at Randwick before making amends for that second up on the Kenso track. He then went up to Doomben two weeks ago and did a fair bit of work from a wider draw to come over and get up on speed. That early effort told late in a race what was dominated by horses off speed. He wasn’t beaten far though and the run contained merit. This certainly looks a notch or two back on that race. He draws in gate one to just lob in the box seat (hopefully not the coffin) behind the leader and providing the run appears at the right time then he should prove hard to hold out. Keen to be with him and wouldn’t be surprised if he started shorter than what he is now.

Poetic Charmer raced well last campaign and went through his grades nicely. My initial thoughts were that this race looked a bit steep for him but his two trials have been pretty sharp. He looks to have come back well. He improved nicely last preparation and if he can continue that level of improvement this time in I think he can certainly be competitive. He has to overcome an awkward draw but if he can do that he trialled well enough to ensure I don’t want to lose on the race if he salutes here.

I also want to be with his stable mate in Onslaught. This horse is a bit of an enigma. He seems to either run really well and win or just not get involved at all. He resumes here and the trials have been good, in particular his most recent one. He draws well, he has run well fresh in the past and his record over this trip is strong. If he runs up to his best then he can certainly win this so around the $13 mark I want to have something on him.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Passage Of Time here now getting quite keen! I will have half now at the $4.40 and the other half at Top Fluc on the day! I will save with $25 the win on Poetic Charmer and $15 the win on Onslaught at the $14 with SportsBet!

Race Outlay

$90

Race 1

11:10am

Suggested

Autocratic (No.5) & Brocky (No.6)

Dangers

Shadow Hero (No.7) & Fasano (No.8)

Group One racing in Brisbane comes from Doomben tomorrow for the Queensland Oaks meeting. I have to admit I am a bit dirty I am not up there tomorrow. I was banking on going to the races tomorrow then all up into Hawks and Lions at the Gabba but the calendar has been pretty full in recent times so I will watch from Melbourne. The weather has been good in Brisbane in recent weeks and as a result we will be racing on a good track this Saturday with the rail out four and half metres the entire circuit.

I am kicking off the day in the first race which is for the two year olds over the mile. It is a tricky one to kick things off on but I think the form coming up from New South Wales will be strong and hard to counter. Autocratic and Shadow Hero come through the same race at Newcastle last start where they ran the quinella. I thought Autocratic was pretty impressive in that win and despite Shadow Hero drawing a better gate here I can’t see him turning the tables. Autocratic got a bit keen early in that race, rolled forward and got up close to the speed and despite being left in front a fair way from home was too strong. He also draws ideally here in gate two to get a lovely run just behind the speed for James McDonald. The form has been franked with the third horse Prince Fawaz coming out and winning most impressively at Randwick last Saturday. I think that all bodes well for Autocratic here and happy to be with him.

I am going to save on Brocky who is the horse out of the locals I thought come up good odds. His win at Ipswich last start was strong. He made a long sustained run, hit the front rounding the home turn and was strong through the line holding off his rivals. I was a bit surprised at the odds he came up here. This is obviously harder but I had him rated about a $12 shot here and certainly not a $25-30 one that he is in current markets. He draws to get a good run up on speed and I just think he will be strong at the end of the mile and keep on sticking on. I think at the price he is definitely worth a ticket but hopefully we are cracking the beers nice and early with either him or Autocratic saluting.

Betting strategy

I will have $60 the win on Autocratic here and save with $10 the win on Brocky!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 1

11:40am

Suggested

Igniting (No.5), Brazen Brando (No.6) & Zee Horader (No.12)

Dangers

Can’t Be Done (No.2) & Wilmot Pass (No.4)

Racing in Melbourne comes from Caulfield this weekend for what is another tough meeting. The fields in Melbourne at the moment are really deep and while they make for great betting races, finding a winner is not easy. For that reason I have been pretty selective about the races I am betting into this Saturday. I thought we were a bit stiff at Flemington last Saturday not to come out a fair bit further in front on the day. We found Fabric at a nice price but had Odeon, Moor Wanted and Surprise Baby all just nutted. Surprise Baby was a decent outlay bet at shorter odds while I think there were some $51 available about Moor Wanted. He did pay $10 the place so hopefully a few of you were smarter than me and maybe went each way or one by three even. Anyway not making excuses, need to find more winners is pretty much the modus operandi going into this Saturday. The weather has been wet in Melbourne. It has been cold and raining all week so the track has held up remarkably well to only be rated a Soft 6 at the moment and with no more significant rain forecast I think we will stay in that Soft 5-6 range on Saturday.

I am kicking off in the first race of the day which is for the two year olds over the 1200m. Like the rest of the day this is a tricky one to kick off on. I am siding with a couple of two year olds that are resuming in this race having shown a bit of talent earlier in the two year old season. The first of those is Igniting. This colt kicked off his career in Sydney where he was runner up on debut behind Movie Role before not being beaten too far by Accession who is quite talented at start number two. He comes into this off a good four month plus break but I did like his recent Werribee trial. He didn’t see a lot of galloping room there but looked to go through the line with a fair bit in hand and I feel he probably had his rivals covered had he been asked for more of an effort to go through the gap. He draws nicely in gate two for Michael Dee here to hopefully land just behind the speed and I thought around that $7-8 mark he represented a good bet.

Brazen Brando is the other one who showed good talent in his two career starts here at Caulfield in the Blue Diamond prelude/preview. He chased home I Am Immortal on both those occasions from the back of the field and wasn’t far off Microphone in the Preview which reads as very good form for a race of this nature. He has the blinkers applied for the first time here which should assist him as he was just giving away too much start in those fast races back in the summer. His recent trial was good enough and he didn’t have the blinkers on in those so I would expect him to elevate significantly off that and with the rail out and a bit of give in the track drawn out in a middle gate with his pattern could be an advantage even early in the day. Happy to be with him.

One on debut I want to keep safe is Zee Hoarder. He has shown enough in a couple of Cranbourne jump outs to suggest he has a bit of talent. He will most likely go back from the wide draw but the Williams engagement for mine is interesting and a factor so happy to keep him on side at double figure odds just in case.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Brazen Brando here, $25 the win on Igniting and $10 the win on Zee Hoarder!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 3

12:50pm

Suggested

Hypnos (No.1), Blinder (No.5), Despacito (No.8) & Mr Genoa (No.11)

Dangers

Symphonette (No.3) & Ligulate (No.9)

Wide open race this one. It is over the 1440m for the three year olds and there are plenty of different form lines coming together. I was pretty keen to bet away from the favourites though and that was probably the reason that sold me on betting into the race despite my confidence not being overly high. I thought the favourites were a bit tight and then were a couple that looked over the odds. The main two for mine that probably were a few points over their true price were Blinder and Mr Genoa.

Mr Genoa in particular is the horse that interests me most in the race. This horse was backed as if unbeatable on debut at Northam in Western Australia in August last year and Willie Pike went to Northam that day to steer him home for a comfortable victory. He was then transferred to Victoria and into the stables of Darren Weir. He had two runs in the spring at Bendigo and did not go a yard and didn’t beat a runner home at either start. He is now with Ciaron Maher and the market certainly suggested that off the back of a nice trial he was going to come to the races at Hamilton first up ready to rumble. That was the case. Johnny Allen took him to the front and he led all the way for a very easy victory. I am hoping he might go on with the job now. It is interesting to note that his two wins have come on soft tracks so I am hoping that he really excels in that sort of going and therefore will appreciate the conditions on Saturday. He draws out here but should roll forward and from there I am hoping he will be hard to roll at double figure odds.

Blinder comes here off a bit of a freshen up. His form through that Bendigo guineas and around O’Tauto a couple of months back looks pretty good for a race of this nature. He has had a recent Cranbourne jump out where he looked to go through the line really nicely. He draws out but will probably go back in a race that does look to have to good speed so I am hoping he gets the opportunity to finish off strongly and around the $9-10 mark looks worth a bet.

I am probably obliged to have something on Despacito who did the job for us at a massive price at Sandown a few weeks back. She was first up there and after getting a long way back weaved her way through the field to dash through late and win. It was a pretty solid win and she is a filly that has always shown talent. She draws a nice middle gate here and if gone on from that first up win I see no reason why she wouldn’t be really competitive here so happy to be with her again.

Query runner is Hypnos over from New Zealand. He hit the line well last start and should appreciate getting back up to the 1400m here. This doesn’t look overly strong from a local point of view so with a bit of give in the track here I wouldn’t be surprised to see him measure up and would rather be with him than against him.

Betting strategy

I will have $20 the win on Blinder and Mr Genoa here locking in the $12 with SportsBet about the latter! I will also have $15 the win on Hypnos and Despacito!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 3

12:35pm

Suggested

Above And Beyond (No.3), Restrained (No.6), England (No.11) & River Bird (No.14)

Dangers

Ljungberg (No.1) & Call Me Royal (No.5)

Racing in Sydney comes from Rosehill this Saturday for what is another very challenging meeting. We were able to find a few winners in Sydney last Saturday but they were pretty easy to find in Wolfe, Renewal and Deprive and I am probably pinning my hopes on a couple of favourites getting up here at Rosehill this Saturday to ensure we finish with our nose in front. The track is rated as good with the rail out three metres which is a rail position that typically plays very fair. There is rain forecast on Saturday but whether enough hits to affect the track we will have to wait and see.

I am kicking the day off in the third race which is over the 1200m and this is a race where I am hoping we can get one over the favourites. I think this race bats pretty deep and as a result I am going to play pretty wide. River Bird has always been a filly that has shown a good degree of talent and taken on some handy horses, she just took forever to win a race. She finally broke through at the eleventh time of asking last start at Wyong and I am hoping that now she has broken through she will go right on with the job. She will probably be back off the speed here from a middle to wide draw but hopefully they are rolling along up front and if that is the case she can finish off strongly late so happy to be with her at close to double figure odds.

England got the job done in workmanlike fashion at prohibitive odds first up at Scone. That win came off a nice trial and it was no surprise to see him do the business. The concern is that he didn’t do much on the clock that day and the win while solid enough wasn’t overly impressive. I still think he is a horse with significant upside though and wouldn’t be surprised to see him elevate again here second up. He draws nicely in gate two for Tommy Berry so he should just lob right behind the speed and from there I would expect him to be hard to hold out if the breaks come his way. Happy to be with him.

Above And Beyond might be the big improver here. His first two runs this time in have been strange. He is typically a natural speed horse but his two runs this time in he has been a bit slow to muster and ended up off the speed. He wilted after racing wide first up and then had no luck last start behind Hostwin Supreme where he was all over the back of the favourite in this race Call Me Royal. He is about two and a half times the price of that horse in this race and from a good draw at his third run back I would expect him to deliver close to a peak performance so happy to be with him also.

The one other horse I will back to ensure I don’t lose on the race is Restrained. This galloper comes into this race off a four and a half week break and typically this is when he has raced best. He draws to get a soft run in behind the speed for Jason Collett and at double figure odds happy to save on him.

Betting strategy

I will have $20 the win on all three of River Bird, England and Above And Beyond and $10 the win on Restrained!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 4

1:10pm

Suggested

Passage Of Time (No.1), Onslaught (No.5) & Poetic Charmer (No.9)

Dangers

Oxford Tycoon (No.10)

This race has been robbed a little bit of depth with a couple of scratchings and as a result I didn’t think it batted too deep. Oxford Tycoon has been scratched from another race on the program and comes into this second up. He had two trials leading into his first up run where I was on him and I thought he had every conceivable chance. He landed in the coffin which for once did turn out to be the box seat. He was sitting behind the leader but the run appeared up the inside and he just had to go through the gap but he just didn’t ping and while he was right in the finish I thought he was entitled to finish it off a little better than what he did. I can’t get keen on him at the short price here and as such I thought the two horses behind him in the market in Passage Of Time and Poetic Charmer looked really hard to beat and certainly worthy of backing.

Passage Of Time has come back well this time in. He was unlucky not to beat Top Striker first up at Randwick before making amends for that second up on the Kenso track. He then went up to Doomben two weeks ago and did a fair bit of work from a wider draw to come over and get up on speed. That early effort told late in a race what was dominated by horses off speed. He wasn’t beaten far though and the run contained merit. This certainly looks a notch or two back on that race. He draws in gate one to just lob in the box seat (hopefully not the coffin) behind the leader and providing the run appears at the right time then he should prove hard to hold out. Keen to be with him and wouldn’t be surprised if he started shorter than what he is now.

Poetic Charmer raced well last campaign and went through his grades nicely. My initial thoughts were that this race looked a bit steep for him but his two trials have been pretty sharp. He looks to have come back well. He improved nicely last preparation and if he can continue that level of improvement this time in I think he can certainly be competitive. He has to overcome an awkward draw but if he can do that he trialled well enough to ensure I don’t want to lose on the race if he salutes here.

I also want to be with his stable mate in Onslaught. This horse is a bit of an enigma. He seems to either run really well and win or just not get involved at all. He resumes here and the trials have been good, in particular his most recent one. He draws well, he has run well fresh in the past and his record over this trip is strong. If he runs up to his best then he can certainly win this so around the $13 mark I want to have something on him.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Passage Of Time here now getting quite keen! I will have half now at the $4.40 and the other half at Top Fluc on the day! I will save with $25 the win on Poetic Charmer and $15 the win on Onslaught at the $14 with SportsBet!

Race Outlay

$90

Race 1

11:10am

Suggested

Autocratic (No.5) & Brocky (No.6)

Dangers

Shadow Hero (No.7) & Fasano (No.8)

Group One racing in Brisbane comes from Doomben tomorrow for the Queensland Oaks meeting. I have to admit I am a bit dirty I am not up there tomorrow. I was banking on going to the races tomorrow then all up into Hawks and Lions at the Gabba but the calendar has been pretty full in recent times so I will watch from Melbourne. The weather has been good in Brisbane in recent weeks and as a result we will be racing on a good track this Saturday with the rail out four and half metres the entire circuit.

I am kicking off the day in the first race which is for the two year olds over the mile. It is a tricky one to kick things off on but I think the form coming up from New South Wales will be strong and hard to counter. Autocratic and Shadow Hero come through the same race at Newcastle last start where they ran the quinella. I thought Autocratic was pretty impressive in that win and despite Shadow Hero drawing a better gate here I can’t see him turning the tables. Autocratic got a bit keen early in that race, rolled forward and got up close to the speed and despite being left in front a fair way from home was too strong. He also draws ideally here in gate two to get a lovely run just behind the speed for James McDonald. The form has been franked with the third horse Prince Fawaz coming out and winning most impressively at Randwick last Saturday. I think that all bodes well for Autocratic here and happy to be with him.

I am going to save on Brocky who is the horse out of the locals I thought come up good odds. His win at Ipswich last start was strong. He made a long sustained run, hit the front rounding the home turn and was strong through the line holding off his rivals. I was a bit surprised at the odds he came up here. This is obviously harder but I had him rated about a $12 shot here and certainly not a $25-30 one that he is in current markets. He draws to get a good run up on speed and I just think he will be strong at the end of the mile and keep on sticking on. I think at the price he is definitely worth a ticket but hopefully we are cracking the beers nice and early with either him or Autocratic saluting.

Betting strategy

I will have $60 the win on Autocratic here and save with $10 the win on Brocky!

Race Outlay

$70

Weekend preview for members with 14 previews across Caulfield, Rosehill & Doomben. Feature race previewed includes the Queensland Oaks

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