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Select Race Meeting Event

Race 7

4:05pm

Suggested

Silent Sovereign (No.2), Spanish Reef (No.3) & Moonlight Maid (No.4)

Dangers

Quantum Mechanic (No.6) & Lunakorn (No.7)

This is the Matron Stakes over the mile for the fillies and mares. This looks a pretty open race and again, I was happy to bet around the favourite in Lunakorn. I thought Silent Sovereign would appreciate what looks being a stronger tempo here in this race on Saturday and that would see her turn the tables on Quantum Mechanic from their last start meeting. They both got back in the field here three weeks ago in what was a pretty slowly run race and Quantum Mechanic was just able to sprint a little bit quicker at the top of the straight to get past Silent Sovereign and keep her pocketed and that proved decisive in the end result. I think here on Saturday Silent Sovereign with the senior jockey back on might be able to hold a more forward position from the middle draw and with the likes of Spanish Reef and Sovereign Award engaged should relish that stronger tempo to turn the tables on Quantum Mechanic and as such happy to be with her.

I am going to save on a couple of mares coming out of the race won by Rich Hips at Caulfield two weeks ago. I thought Spanish Reef was good there and there are signs she has come back well. She jumped out well leading into that first up run, she had support in betting and she ran well after being caught wide most of the journey. She has an excellent record in this race over the years having won it in 2018 and 2019. She looks likely to come over and land in the slipstream of Sovereign Award most of the way and that should see her right in the finish at the business end. At double figure odds she looks set to run well.

Moonlight Maid also comes through that race and while she ran last, she got through the line really nicely reeling off some decent closing sectionals. She won in the spring as a three year old over this track and trip and is another that should appreciate the increased tempo of this race up to the mile. I think she can run well at the $15-20 mark.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on Silent Sovereign, $20 the win on Spanish Reef taking the $10 and $15 the win on Moonlight Maid at the $15!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 8 - Australian Cup

4:45pm

Suggested

Humidor (No.1), Harlem (No.2), Warning (No.5) & Angel Of Truth (No.6)

Dangers

Fifty Stars (No.3) & Paradee (No.17)

This is the second of the Group One’s of the day. It is the Australian Cup over the 2000m at Group One level. This is a race that seemingly is a bit of a victim of the success of the All Star Mile. Quite a few horses that would normally compete in this race are being saved for next week such as Arcadia Queen and Russian Camelot. What that has left us with is a big and wide open field and there looks to be plenty of value on offer. The broken record continues but I am taking on the favourites in Fifty Stars and Paradee. I certainly think Fifty Stars is right in this race. He won it last year off a similar campaign and he showed last Saturday he was getting back to his best with a good run in the Blamey Stakes. I just thought he was well enough found here and would need some luck finding clear air from the low draw. Paradee is obviously flying, but I think this is another step up in class for her and after the Matriarch in the spring, I just find her hard to come into particularly off the back of three straight wins.

I did think there were some great bets away from those two though starting with Angel Of Truth. I am convinced this horse is going really well this campaign. He trialled well leading into this first up run and ran well in the C.F. Orr from the back of the field before again running well last start in the Peter Young Stakes behind Paradee when working home strongly off a slow tempo. The key here is he gets to the big Flemington track, up to the 2000m and finds a race which will surely be run at a stronger tempo. All those things should lead to him delivering a peak performance. I am hoping Pikey rides him a bit more positively than what he has been at his two runs this time in and if that is the case I think he will give you a huge sight at close to $20.

Humidor is the other horse I think is well over the odds. His first up run in the Orr was also excellent and he comes into this race second up. His form last campaign which saw him win a Feehan and be competitive with the likes of Russian Camelot and Arcadia Queen reads very well for this race. He races very well here at Flemington, he goes very well second up and races well at 2000m. I think all is set for him to run a huge race on Saturday and again at that $15-20 on offer looks a great bet.

I am also going to have something on Warning who comes into this race first up. First up over the mile in the spring this horse wasn’t beaten far by Fierce Impact and Russian Camelot. At his last start over this track and distance he was beaten only a length by Verry Elleegant. That is great form as well for a race of this nature. Ollie rides from the wide draw, he will be ridden cold and given plenty of time to wind up and we know he loves Flemington. The $30-40 about him just looked huge.

I will also have something on Harlem who we know saves his best for this race having won it two years in a row before being competitive last year. His lead up form this year is very similar and at $31 why not?

Betting strategy

I will have $20 the win on both Angel Of Truth and Humidor taking the $19 and $18 respectively! I will also have $10 the win on Warning and Harlem taking the $34 about the former!

Race Outlay

$60

Race 9

5:20pm

Suggested

Personal (No.1) & Selfless (No.11)

Dangers

Chica Fuerte (No.3) & Miss Guggenheim (No.10)

This is the Group Two Kewney Stakes for the three year old fillies over the mile to finish the day on. On a day where it has been all about taking on the favourites, I think this favourite in the last race looks hard to beat in Personal. While she didn’t set the world on fire first up behind Zou Dancer here a few weeks back, she still ran second and from that race she meets all her rivals here that she beat home that day better at the weights. It is hard to see them turning the tables on her. The remainder of her rivals look to come out of inferior races so it all looks setup for her to be very hard to beat here on Saturday. She looks very well in under the set weights conditions of the race, she draws ideally for Ollie in gate four to get a lovely run stalking the speed and with even luck providing she has gone on from that first up run she should prove very hard to beat. The $2.90-3 on offer doesn’t necessarily look too short either for mine so hoping she becomes the first favourite of the day to win here in the last.

The one that might be from left field that could spring an upset is Selfless. She is lightly raced but looks to have some talent. Her first up run at Pakenham was enormous and she will relish getting up to the mile here on the big Flemington track. At the $26 on offer I think she is worth a ticket if she comes here (she is down to run in Adelaide on Monday so keep an eye for her there if scratched here). I do think with even luck though Personal wins and is probably one of the more confident bets of the day.

Betting strategy

Very keen Personal in the last and will have $70 the win on her and save with $10 the win on Selfless!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 6

3:45pm

Suggested

Fiesta (No.2), Seasons (No.4) & Jen Rules (No.5)

Dangers

Emanate (No.6)

This is the Wenona Girl Quality over the 1200m for the mares. We get straight into an odds on favourite here in the form of Emanate. Gee, I was surprised she went up so short. Yes, she looks to have come back well and the win in fast time was impressive last start but everything fell into place for her and she was probably entitled to win well given the run she had and the way the race was run. She is obviously on the rise and stays down in the weights here but this is a race full of pretty handy mares so I was a bit surprised she came up so far in the red and as such was happy to try and get a result around her.

Fiesta went to another level during the spring with a couple of excellent wins in Melbourne and her trials leading into this first up run indicate that she has come back well again. She might be a classic case of a mare that seems to get better with age as they get deeper into her racing career. I thought she might have just lost her way there for a little while but her spring campaign was excellent and if she can bring that form to the table here first up I think she will be right in the finish. She arguably should have won first up last campaign when asked to come from an impossible position at Caulfield. Her first up record is excellent, her winning record here at Randwick isn’t great but she has certainly raced well here and I just don’t think the price discrepancy between her and Emanate should be so great so at the better price happy to be with Fiesta.

I am also going to have something on two other mares in the race that come into the race first up. The first of those is Seasons who looks to have gone up big odds off the back of two sharp trials. First up last campaign this mare was narrowly beaten in the Toy Show and then wasn’t beaten far by Haut Brion Her which reads as good form for a race of this nature. I have just been really taken by her trials, she draws to get a lovely trail on speed for Kerrin McEvoy and from there I think she can run a race at $20+ and is worth a ticket.

Jen Rules has form lines last preparation linked to Seasons having run second to Haut Brion Her first up and then she was competitive with Subpoenaed before striking wet tracks. She has also trialled up nicely for her return run here and from a nice middle gate I think she can also run well at double figure odds.

Betting strategy

I will have $45 the win on Fiesta having half now at the $4.80 and the other half at Top Fluc! I will have $15 the win on Jen Rules and $10 the win on Seasons having half now a the $21 and the other half at Top Fluc with the latter!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 7

4:05pm

Suggested

Silent Sovereign (No.2), Spanish Reef (No.3) & Moonlight Maid (No.4)

Dangers

Quantum Mechanic (No.6) & Lunakorn (No.7)

This is the Matron Stakes over the mile for the fillies and mares. This looks a pretty open race and again, I was happy to bet around the favourite in Lunakorn. I thought Silent Sovereign would appreciate what looks being a stronger tempo here in this race on Saturday and that would see her turn the tables on Quantum Mechanic from their last start meeting. They both got back in the field here three weeks ago in what was a pretty slowly run race and Quantum Mechanic was just able to sprint a little bit quicker at the top of the straight to get past Silent Sovereign and keep her pocketed and that proved decisive in the end result. I think here on Saturday Silent Sovereign with the senior jockey back on might be able to hold a more forward position from the middle draw and with the likes of Spanish Reef and Sovereign Award engaged should relish that stronger tempo to turn the tables on Quantum Mechanic and as such happy to be with her.

I am going to save on a couple of mares coming out of the race won by Rich Hips at Caulfield two weeks ago. I thought Spanish Reef was good there and there are signs she has come back well. She jumped out well leading into that first up run, she had support in betting and she ran well after being caught wide most of the journey. She has an excellent record in this race over the years having won it in 2018 and 2019. She looks likely to come over and land in the slipstream of Sovereign Award most of the way and that should see her right in the finish at the business end. At double figure odds she looks set to run well.

Moonlight Maid also comes through that race and while she ran last, she got through the line really nicely reeling off some decent closing sectionals. She won in the spring as a three year old over this track and trip and is another that should appreciate the increased tempo of this race up to the mile. I think she can run well at the $15-20 mark.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on Silent Sovereign, $20 the win on Spanish Reef taking the $10 and $15 the win on Moonlight Maid at the $15!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 8 - Australian Cup

4:45pm

Suggested

Humidor (No.1), Harlem (No.2), Warning (No.5) & Angel Of Truth (No.6)

Dangers

Fifty Stars (No.3) & Paradee (No.17)

This is the second of the Group One’s of the day. It is the Australian Cup over the 2000m at Group One level. This is a race that seemingly is a bit of a victim of the success of the All Star Mile. Quite a few horses that would normally compete in this race are being saved for next week such as Arcadia Queen and Russian Camelot. What that has left us with is a big and wide open field and there looks to be plenty of value on offer. The broken record continues but I am taking on the favourites in Fifty Stars and Paradee. I certainly think Fifty Stars is right in this race. He won it last year off a similar campaign and he showed last Saturday he was getting back to his best with a good run in the Blamey Stakes. I just thought he was well enough found here and would need some luck finding clear air from the low draw. Paradee is obviously flying, but I think this is another step up in class for her and after the Matriarch in the spring, I just find her hard to come into particularly off the back of three straight wins.

I did think there were some great bets away from those two though starting with Angel Of Truth. I am convinced this horse is going really well this campaign. He trialled well leading into this first up run and ran well in the C.F. Orr from the back of the field before again running well last start in the Peter Young Stakes behind Paradee when working home strongly off a slow tempo. The key here is he gets to the big Flemington track, up to the 2000m and finds a race which will surely be run at a stronger tempo. All those things should lead to him delivering a peak performance. I am hoping Pikey rides him a bit more positively than what he has been at his two runs this time in and if that is the case I think he will give you a huge sight at close to $20.

Humidor is the other horse I think is well over the odds. His first up run in the Orr was also excellent and he comes into this race second up. His form last campaign which saw him win a Feehan and be competitive with the likes of Russian Camelot and Arcadia Queen reads very well for this race. He races very well here at Flemington, he goes very well second up and races well at 2000m. I think all is set for him to run a huge race on Saturday and again at that $15-20 on offer looks a great bet.

I am also going to have something on Warning who comes into this race first up. First up over the mile in the spring this horse wasn’t beaten far by Fierce Impact and Russian Camelot. At his last start over this track and distance he was beaten only a length by Verry Elleegant. That is great form as well for a race of this nature. Ollie rides from the wide draw, he will be ridden cold and given plenty of time to wind up and we know he loves Flemington. The $30-40 about him just looked huge.

I will also have something on Harlem who we know saves his best for this race having won it two years in a row before being competitive last year. His lead up form this year is very similar and at $31 why not?

Betting strategy

I will have $20 the win on both Angel Of Truth and Humidor taking the $19 and $18 respectively! I will also have $10 the win on Warning and Harlem taking the $34 about the former!

Race Outlay

$60

Race 9

5:20pm

Suggested

Personal (No.1) & Selfless (No.11)

Dangers

Chica Fuerte (No.3) & Miss Guggenheim (No.10)

This is the Group Two Kewney Stakes for the three year old fillies over the mile to finish the day on. On a day where it has been all about taking on the favourites, I think this favourite in the last race looks hard to beat in Personal. While she didn’t set the world on fire first up behind Zou Dancer here a few weeks back, she still ran second and from that race she meets all her rivals here that she beat home that day better at the weights. It is hard to see them turning the tables on her. The remainder of her rivals look to come out of inferior races so it all looks setup for her to be very hard to beat here on Saturday. She looks very well in under the set weights conditions of the race, she draws ideally for Ollie in gate four to get a lovely run stalking the speed and with even luck providing she has gone on from that first up run she should prove very hard to beat. The $2.90-3 on offer doesn’t necessarily look too short either for mine so hoping she becomes the first favourite of the day to win here in the last.

The one that might be from left field that could spring an upset is Selfless. She is lightly raced but looks to have some talent. Her first up run at Pakenham was enormous and she will relish getting up to the mile here on the big Flemington track. At the $26 on offer I think she is worth a ticket if she comes here (she is down to run in Adelaide on Monday so keep an eye for her there if scratched here). I do think with even luck though Personal wins and is probably one of the more confident bets of the day.

Betting strategy

Very keen Personal in the last and will have $70 the win on her and save with $10 the win on Selfless!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 6

3:45pm

Suggested

Fiesta (No.2), Seasons (No.4) & Jen Rules (No.5)

Dangers

Emanate (No.6)

This is the Wenona Girl Quality over the 1200m for the mares. We get straight into an odds on favourite here in the form of Emanate. Gee, I was surprised she went up so short. Yes, she looks to have come back well and the win in fast time was impressive last start but everything fell into place for her and she was probably entitled to win well given the run she had and the way the race was run. She is obviously on the rise and stays down in the weights here but this is a race full of pretty handy mares so I was a bit surprised she came up so far in the red and as such was happy to try and get a result around her.

Fiesta went to another level during the spring with a couple of excellent wins in Melbourne and her trials leading into this first up run indicate that she has come back well again. She might be a classic case of a mare that seems to get better with age as they get deeper into her racing career. I thought she might have just lost her way there for a little while but her spring campaign was excellent and if she can bring that form to the table here first up I think she will be right in the finish. She arguably should have won first up last campaign when asked to come from an impossible position at Caulfield. Her first up record is excellent, her winning record here at Randwick isn’t great but she has certainly raced well here and I just don’t think the price discrepancy between her and Emanate should be so great so at the better price happy to be with Fiesta.

I am also going to have something on two other mares in the race that come into the race first up. The first of those is Seasons who looks to have gone up big odds off the back of two sharp trials. First up last campaign this mare was narrowly beaten in the Toy Show and then wasn’t beaten far by Haut Brion Her which reads as good form for a race of this nature. I have just been really taken by her trials, she draws to get a lovely trail on speed for Kerrin McEvoy and from there I think she can run a race at $20+ and is worth a ticket.

Jen Rules has form lines last preparation linked to Seasons having run second to Haut Brion Her first up and then she was competitive with Subpoenaed before striking wet tracks. She has also trialled up nicely for her return run here and from a nice middle gate I think she can also run well at double figure odds.

Betting strategy

I will have $45 the win on Fiesta having half now at the $4.80 and the other half at Top Fluc! I will have $15 the win on Jen Rules and $10 the win on Seasons having half now a the $21 and the other half at Top Fluc with the latter!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 7

4:05pm

Suggested

Silent Sovereign (No.2), Spanish Reef (No.3) & Moonlight Maid (No.4)

Dangers

Quantum Mechanic (No.6) & Lunakorn (No.7)

This is the Matron Stakes over the mile for the fillies and mares. This looks a pretty open race and again, I was happy to bet around the favourite in Lunakorn. I thought Silent Sovereign would appreciate what looks being a stronger tempo here in this race on Saturday and that would see her turn the tables on Quantum Mechanic from their last start meeting. They both got back in the field here three weeks ago in what was a pretty slowly run race and Quantum Mechanic was just able to sprint a little bit quicker at the top of the straight to get past Silent Sovereign and keep her pocketed and that proved decisive in the end result. I think here on Saturday Silent Sovereign with the senior jockey back on might be able to hold a more forward position from the middle draw and with the likes of Spanish Reef and Sovereign Award engaged should relish that stronger tempo to turn the tables on Quantum Mechanic and as such happy to be with her.

I am going to save on a couple of mares coming out of the race won by Rich Hips at Caulfield two weeks ago. I thought Spanish Reef was good there and there are signs she has come back well. She jumped out well leading into that first up run, she had support in betting and she ran well after being caught wide most of the journey. She has an excellent record in this race over the years having won it in 2018 and 2019. She looks likely to come over and land in the slipstream of Sovereign Award most of the way and that should see her right in the finish at the business end. At double figure odds she looks set to run well.

Moonlight Maid also comes through that race and while she ran last, she got through the line really nicely reeling off some decent closing sectionals. She won in the spring as a three year old over this track and trip and is another that should appreciate the increased tempo of this race up to the mile. I think she can run well at the $15-20 mark.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on Silent Sovereign, $20 the win on Spanish Reef taking the $10 and $15 the win on Moonlight Maid at the $15!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 8 - Australian Cup

4:45pm

Suggested

Humidor (No.1), Harlem (No.2), Warning (No.5) & Angel Of Truth (No.6)

Dangers

Fifty Stars (No.3) & Paradee (No.17)

This is the second of the Group One’s of the day. It is the Australian Cup over the 2000m at Group One level. This is a race that seemingly is a bit of a victim of the success of the All Star Mile. Quite a few horses that would normally compete in this race are being saved for next week such as Arcadia Queen and Russian Camelot. What that has left us with is a big and wide open field and there looks to be plenty of value on offer. The broken record continues but I am taking on the favourites in Fifty Stars and Paradee. I certainly think Fifty Stars is right in this race. He won it last year off a similar campaign and he showed last Saturday he was getting back to his best with a good run in the Blamey Stakes. I just thought he was well enough found here and would need some luck finding clear air from the low draw. Paradee is obviously flying, but I think this is another step up in class for her and after the Matriarch in the spring, I just find her hard to come into particularly off the back of three straight wins.

I did think there were some great bets away from those two though starting with Angel Of Truth. I am convinced this horse is going really well this campaign. He trialled well leading into this first up run and ran well in the C.F. Orr from the back of the field before again running well last start in the Peter Young Stakes behind Paradee when working home strongly off a slow tempo. The key here is he gets to the big Flemington track, up to the 2000m and finds a race which will surely be run at a stronger tempo. All those things should lead to him delivering a peak performance. I am hoping Pikey rides him a bit more positively than what he has been at his two runs this time in and if that is the case I think he will give you a huge sight at close to $20.

Humidor is the other horse I think is well over the odds. His first up run in the Orr was also excellent and he comes into this race second up. His form last campaign which saw him win a Feehan and be competitive with the likes of Russian Camelot and Arcadia Queen reads very well for this race. He races very well here at Flemington, he goes very well second up and races well at 2000m. I think all is set for him to run a huge race on Saturday and again at that $15-20 on offer looks a great bet.

I am also going to have something on Warning who comes into this race first up. First up over the mile in the spring this horse wasn’t beaten far by Fierce Impact and Russian Camelot. At his last start over this track and distance he was beaten only a length by Verry Elleegant. That is great form as well for a race of this nature. Ollie rides from the wide draw, he will be ridden cold and given plenty of time to wind up and we know he loves Flemington. The $30-40 about him just looked huge.

I will also have something on Harlem who we know saves his best for this race having won it two years in a row before being competitive last year. His lead up form this year is very similar and at $31 why not?

Betting strategy

I will have $20 the win on both Angel Of Truth and Humidor taking the $19 and $18 respectively! I will also have $10 the win on Warning and Harlem taking the $34 about the former!

Race Outlay

$60

Race 9

5:20pm

Suggested

Personal (No.1) & Selfless (No.11)

Dangers

Chica Fuerte (No.3) & Miss Guggenheim (No.10)

This is the Group Two Kewney Stakes for the three year old fillies over the mile to finish the day on. On a day where it has been all about taking on the favourites, I think this favourite in the last race looks hard to beat in Personal. While she didn’t set the world on fire first up behind Zou Dancer here a few weeks back, she still ran second and from that race she meets all her rivals here that she beat home that day better at the weights. It is hard to see them turning the tables on her. The remainder of her rivals look to come out of inferior races so it all looks setup for her to be very hard to beat here on Saturday. She looks very well in under the set weights conditions of the race, she draws ideally for Ollie in gate four to get a lovely run stalking the speed and with even luck providing she has gone on from that first up run she should prove very hard to beat. The $2.90-3 on offer doesn’t necessarily look too short either for mine so hoping she becomes the first favourite of the day to win here in the last.

The one that might be from left field that could spring an upset is Selfless. She is lightly raced but looks to have some talent. Her first up run at Pakenham was enormous and she will relish getting up to the mile here on the big Flemington track. At the $26 on offer I think she is worth a ticket if she comes here (she is down to run in Adelaide on Monday so keep an eye for her there if scratched here). I do think with even luck though Personal wins and is probably one of the more confident bets of the day.

Betting strategy

Very keen Personal in the last and will have $70 the win on her and save with $10 the win on Selfless!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 6

3:45pm

Suggested

Fiesta (No.2), Seasons (No.4) & Jen Rules (No.5)

Dangers

Emanate (No.6)

This is the Wenona Girl Quality over the 1200m for the mares. We get straight into an odds on favourite here in the form of Emanate. Gee, I was surprised she went up so short. Yes, she looks to have come back well and the win in fast time was impressive last start but everything fell into place for her and she was probably entitled to win well given the run she had and the way the race was run. She is obviously on the rise and stays down in the weights here but this is a race full of pretty handy mares so I was a bit surprised she came up so far in the red and as such was happy to try and get a result around her.

Fiesta went to another level during the spring with a couple of excellent wins in Melbourne and her trials leading into this first up run indicate that she has come back well again. She might be a classic case of a mare that seems to get better with age as they get deeper into her racing career. I thought she might have just lost her way there for a little while but her spring campaign was excellent and if she can bring that form to the table here first up I think she will be right in the finish. She arguably should have won first up last campaign when asked to come from an impossible position at Caulfield. Her first up record is excellent, her winning record here at Randwick isn’t great but she has certainly raced well here and I just don’t think the price discrepancy between her and Emanate should be so great so at the better price happy to be with Fiesta.

I am also going to have something on two other mares in the race that come into the race first up. The first of those is Seasons who looks to have gone up big odds off the back of two sharp trials. First up last campaign this mare was narrowly beaten in the Toy Show and then wasn’t beaten far by Haut Brion Her which reads as good form for a race of this nature. I have just been really taken by her trials, she draws to get a lovely trail on speed for Kerrin McEvoy and from there I think she can run a race at $20+ and is worth a ticket.

Jen Rules has form lines last preparation linked to Seasons having run second to Haut Brion Her first up and then she was competitive with Subpoenaed before striking wet tracks. She has also trialled up nicely for her return run here and from a nice middle gate I think she can also run well at double figure odds.

Betting strategy

I will have $45 the win on Fiesta having half now at the $4.80 and the other half at Top Fluc! I will have $15 the win on Jen Rules and $10 the win on Seasons having half now a the $21 and the other half at Top Fluc with the latter!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 7

4:05pm

Suggested

Silent Sovereign (No.2), Spanish Reef (No.3) & Moonlight Maid (No.4)

Dangers

Quantum Mechanic (No.6) & Lunakorn (No.7)

This is the Matron Stakes over the mile for the fillies and mares. This looks a pretty open race and again, I was happy to bet around the favourite in Lunakorn. I thought Silent Sovereign would appreciate what looks being a stronger tempo here in this race on Saturday and that would see her turn the tables on Quantum Mechanic from their last start meeting. They both got back in the field here three weeks ago in what was a pretty slowly run race and Quantum Mechanic was just able to sprint a little bit quicker at the top of the straight to get past Silent Sovereign and keep her pocketed and that proved decisive in the end result. I think here on Saturday Silent Sovereign with the senior jockey back on might be able to hold a more forward position from the middle draw and with the likes of Spanish Reef and Sovereign Award engaged should relish that stronger tempo to turn the tables on Quantum Mechanic and as such happy to be with her.

I am going to save on a couple of mares coming out of the race won by Rich Hips at Caulfield two weeks ago. I thought Spanish Reef was good there and there are signs she has come back well. She jumped out well leading into that first up run, she had support in betting and she ran well after being caught wide most of the journey. She has an excellent record in this race over the years having won it in 2018 and 2019. She looks likely to come over and land in the slipstream of Sovereign Award most of the way and that should see her right in the finish at the business end. At double figure odds she looks set to run well.

Moonlight Maid also comes through that race and while she ran last, she got through the line really nicely reeling off some decent closing sectionals. She won in the spring as a three year old over this track and trip and is another that should appreciate the increased tempo of this race up to the mile. I think she can run well at the $15-20 mark.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on Silent Sovereign, $20 the win on Spanish Reef taking the $10 and $15 the win on Moonlight Maid at the $15!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 8 - Australian Cup

4:45pm

Suggested

Humidor (No.1), Harlem (No.2), Warning (No.5) & Angel Of Truth (No.6)

Dangers

Fifty Stars (No.3) & Paradee (No.17)

This is the second of the Group One’s of the day. It is the Australian Cup over the 2000m at Group One level. This is a race that seemingly is a bit of a victim of the success of the All Star Mile. Quite a few horses that would normally compete in this race are being saved for next week such as Arcadia Queen and Russian Camelot. What that has left us with is a big and wide open field and there looks to be plenty of value on offer. The broken record continues but I am taking on the favourites in Fifty Stars and Paradee. I certainly think Fifty Stars is right in this race. He won it last year off a similar campaign and he showed last Saturday he was getting back to his best with a good run in the Blamey Stakes. I just thought he was well enough found here and would need some luck finding clear air from the low draw. Paradee is obviously flying, but I think this is another step up in class for her and after the Matriarch in the spring, I just find her hard to come into particularly off the back of three straight wins.

I did think there were some great bets away from those two though starting with Angel Of Truth. I am convinced this horse is going really well this campaign. He trialled well leading into this first up run and ran well in the C.F. Orr from the back of the field before again running well last start in the Peter Young Stakes behind Paradee when working home strongly off a slow tempo. The key here is he gets to the big Flemington track, up to the 2000m and finds a race which will surely be run at a stronger tempo. All those things should lead to him delivering a peak performance. I am hoping Pikey rides him a bit more positively than what he has been at his two runs this time in and if that is the case I think he will give you a huge sight at close to $20.

Humidor is the other horse I think is well over the odds. His first up run in the Orr was also excellent and he comes into this race second up. His form last campaign which saw him win a Feehan and be competitive with the likes of Russian Camelot and Arcadia Queen reads very well for this race. He races very well here at Flemington, he goes very well second up and races well at 2000m. I think all is set for him to run a huge race on Saturday and again at that $15-20 on offer looks a great bet.

I am also going to have something on Warning who comes into this race first up. First up over the mile in the spring this horse wasn’t beaten far by Fierce Impact and Russian Camelot. At his last start over this track and distance he was beaten only a length by Verry Elleegant. That is great form as well for a race of this nature. Ollie rides from the wide draw, he will be ridden cold and given plenty of time to wind up and we know he loves Flemington. The $30-40 about him just looked huge.

I will also have something on Harlem who we know saves his best for this race having won it two years in a row before being competitive last year. His lead up form this year is very similar and at $31 why not?

Betting strategy

I will have $20 the win on both Angel Of Truth and Humidor taking the $19 and $18 respectively! I will also have $10 the win on Warning and Harlem taking the $34 about the former!

Race Outlay

$60

Race 9

5:20pm

Suggested

Personal (No.1) & Selfless (No.11)

Dangers

Chica Fuerte (No.3) & Miss Guggenheim (No.10)

This is the Group Two Kewney Stakes for the three year old fillies over the mile to finish the day on. On a day where it has been all about taking on the favourites, I think this favourite in the last race looks hard to beat in Personal. While she didn’t set the world on fire first up behind Zou Dancer here a few weeks back, she still ran second and from that race she meets all her rivals here that she beat home that day better at the weights. It is hard to see them turning the tables on her. The remainder of her rivals look to come out of inferior races so it all looks setup for her to be very hard to beat here on Saturday. She looks very well in under the set weights conditions of the race, she draws ideally for Ollie in gate four to get a lovely run stalking the speed and with even luck providing she has gone on from that first up run she should prove very hard to beat. The $2.90-3 on offer doesn’t necessarily look too short either for mine so hoping she becomes the first favourite of the day to win here in the last.

The one that might be from left field that could spring an upset is Selfless. She is lightly raced but looks to have some talent. Her first up run at Pakenham was enormous and she will relish getting up to the mile here on the big Flemington track. At the $26 on offer I think she is worth a ticket if she comes here (she is down to run in Adelaide on Monday so keep an eye for her there if scratched here). I do think with even luck though Personal wins and is probably one of the more confident bets of the day.

Betting strategy

Very keen Personal in the last and will have $70 the win on her and save with $10 the win on Selfless!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 6

3:45pm

Suggested

Fiesta (No.2), Seasons (No.4) & Jen Rules (No.5)

Dangers

Emanate (No.6)

This is the Wenona Girl Quality over the 1200m for the mares. We get straight into an odds on favourite here in the form of Emanate. Gee, I was surprised she went up so short. Yes, she looks to have come back well and the win in fast time was impressive last start but everything fell into place for her and she was probably entitled to win well given the run she had and the way the race was run. She is obviously on the rise and stays down in the weights here but this is a race full of pretty handy mares so I was a bit surprised she came up so far in the red and as such was happy to try and get a result around her.

Fiesta went to another level during the spring with a couple of excellent wins in Melbourne and her trials leading into this first up run indicate that she has come back well again. She might be a classic case of a mare that seems to get better with age as they get deeper into her racing career. I thought she might have just lost her way there for a little while but her spring campaign was excellent and if she can bring that form to the table here first up I think she will be right in the finish. She arguably should have won first up last campaign when asked to come from an impossible position at Caulfield. Her first up record is excellent, her winning record here at Randwick isn’t great but she has certainly raced well here and I just don’t think the price discrepancy between her and Emanate should be so great so at the better price happy to be with Fiesta.

I am also going to have something on two other mares in the race that come into the race first up. The first of those is Seasons who looks to have gone up big odds off the back of two sharp trials. First up last campaign this mare was narrowly beaten in the Toy Show and then wasn’t beaten far by Haut Brion Her which reads as good form for a race of this nature. I have just been really taken by her trials, she draws to get a lovely trail on speed for Kerrin McEvoy and from there I think she can run a race at $20+ and is worth a ticket.

Jen Rules has form lines last preparation linked to Seasons having run second to Haut Brion Her first up and then she was competitive with Subpoenaed before striking wet tracks. She has also trialled up nicely for her return run here and from a nice middle gate I think she can also run well at double figure odds.

Betting strategy

I will have $45 the win on Fiesta having half now at the $4.80 and the other half at Top Fluc! I will have $15 the win on Jen Rules and $10 the win on Seasons having half now a the $21 and the other half at Top Fluc with the latter!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 7

4:05pm

Suggested

Silent Sovereign (No.2), Spanish Reef (No.3) & Moonlight Maid (No.4)

Dangers

Quantum Mechanic (No.6) & Lunakorn (No.7)

This is the Matron Stakes over the mile for the fillies and mares. This looks a pretty open race and again, I was happy to bet around the favourite in Lunakorn. I thought Silent Sovereign would appreciate what looks being a stronger tempo here in this race on Saturday and that would see her turn the tables on Quantum Mechanic from their last start meeting. They both got back in the field here three weeks ago in what was a pretty slowly run race and Quantum Mechanic was just able to sprint a little bit quicker at the top of the straight to get past Silent Sovereign and keep her pocketed and that proved decisive in the end result. I think here on Saturday Silent Sovereign with the senior jockey back on might be able to hold a more forward position from the middle draw and with the likes of Spanish Reef and Sovereign Award engaged should relish that stronger tempo to turn the tables on Quantum Mechanic and as such happy to be with her.

I am going to save on a couple of mares coming out of the race won by Rich Hips at Caulfield two weeks ago. I thought Spanish Reef was good there and there are signs she has come back well. She jumped out well leading into that first up run, she had support in betting and she ran well after being caught wide most of the journey. She has an excellent record in this race over the years having won it in 2018 and 2019. She looks likely to come over and land in the slipstream of Sovereign Award most of the way and that should see her right in the finish at the business end. At double figure odds she looks set to run well.

Moonlight Maid also comes through that race and while she ran last, she got through the line really nicely reeling off some decent closing sectionals. She won in the spring as a three year old over this track and trip and is another that should appreciate the increased tempo of this race up to the mile. I think she can run well at the $15-20 mark.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on Silent Sovereign, $20 the win on Spanish Reef taking the $10 and $15 the win on Moonlight Maid at the $15!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 8 - Australian Cup

4:45pm

Suggested

Humidor (No.1), Harlem (No.2), Warning (No.5) & Angel Of Truth (No.6)

Dangers

Fifty Stars (No.3) & Paradee (No.17)

This is the second of the Group One’s of the day. It is the Australian Cup over the 2000m at Group One level. This is a race that seemingly is a bit of a victim of the success of the All Star Mile. Quite a few horses that would normally compete in this race are being saved for next week such as Arcadia Queen and Russian Camelot. What that has left us with is a big and wide open field and there looks to be plenty of value on offer. The broken record continues but I am taking on the favourites in Fifty Stars and Paradee. I certainly think Fifty Stars is right in this race. He won it last year off a similar campaign and he showed last Saturday he was getting back to his best with a good run in the Blamey Stakes. I just thought he was well enough found here and would need some luck finding clear air from the low draw. Paradee is obviously flying, but I think this is another step up in class for her and after the Matriarch in the spring, I just find her hard to come into particularly off the back of three straight wins.

I did think there were some great bets away from those two though starting with Angel Of Truth. I am convinced this horse is going really well this campaign. He trialled well leading into this first up run and ran well in the C.F. Orr from the back of the field before again running well last start in the Peter Young Stakes behind Paradee when working home strongly off a slow tempo. The key here is he gets to the big Flemington track, up to the 2000m and finds a race which will surely be run at a stronger tempo. All those things should lead to him delivering a peak performance. I am hoping Pikey rides him a bit more positively than what he has been at his two runs this time in and if that is the case I think he will give you a huge sight at close to $20.

Humidor is the other horse I think is well over the odds. His first up run in the Orr was also excellent and he comes into this race second up. His form last campaign which saw him win a Feehan and be competitive with the likes of Russian Camelot and Arcadia Queen reads very well for this race. He races very well here at Flemington, he goes very well second up and races well at 2000m. I think all is set for him to run a huge race on Saturday and again at that $15-20 on offer looks a great bet.

I am also going to have something on Warning who comes into this race first up. First up over the mile in the spring this horse wasn’t beaten far by Fierce Impact and Russian Camelot. At his last start over this track and distance he was beaten only a length by Verry Elleegant. That is great form as well for a race of this nature. Ollie rides from the wide draw, he will be ridden cold and given plenty of time to wind up and we know he loves Flemington. The $30-40 about him just looked huge.

I will also have something on Harlem who we know saves his best for this race having won it two years in a row before being competitive last year. His lead up form this year is very similar and at $31 why not?

Betting strategy

I will have $20 the win on both Angel Of Truth and Humidor taking the $19 and $18 respectively! I will also have $10 the win on Warning and Harlem taking the $34 about the former!

Race Outlay

$60

Race 9

5:20pm

Suggested

Personal (No.1) & Selfless (No.11)

Dangers

Chica Fuerte (No.3) & Miss Guggenheim (No.10)

This is the Group Two Kewney Stakes for the three year old fillies over the mile to finish the day on. On a day where it has been all about taking on the favourites, I think this favourite in the last race looks hard to beat in Personal. While she didn’t set the world on fire first up behind Zou Dancer here a few weeks back, she still ran second and from that race she meets all her rivals here that she beat home that day better at the weights. It is hard to see them turning the tables on her. The remainder of her rivals look to come out of inferior races so it all looks setup for her to be very hard to beat here on Saturday. She looks very well in under the set weights conditions of the race, she draws ideally for Ollie in gate four to get a lovely run stalking the speed and with even luck providing she has gone on from that first up run she should prove very hard to beat. The $2.90-3 on offer doesn’t necessarily look too short either for mine so hoping she becomes the first favourite of the day to win here in the last.

The one that might be from left field that could spring an upset is Selfless. She is lightly raced but looks to have some talent. Her first up run at Pakenham was enormous and she will relish getting up to the mile here on the big Flemington track. At the $26 on offer I think she is worth a ticket if she comes here (she is down to run in Adelaide on Monday so keep an eye for her there if scratched here). I do think with even luck though Personal wins and is probably one of the more confident bets of the day.

Betting strategy

Very keen Personal in the last and will have $70 the win on her and save with $10 the win on Selfless!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 6

3:45pm

Suggested

Fiesta (No.2), Seasons (No.4) & Jen Rules (No.5)

Dangers

Emanate (No.6)

This is the Wenona Girl Quality over the 1200m for the mares. We get straight into an odds on favourite here in the form of Emanate. Gee, I was surprised she went up so short. Yes, she looks to have come back well and the win in fast time was impressive last start but everything fell into place for her and she was probably entitled to win well given the run she had and the way the race was run. She is obviously on the rise and stays down in the weights here but this is a race full of pretty handy mares so I was a bit surprised she came up so far in the red and as such was happy to try and get a result around her.

Fiesta went to another level during the spring with a couple of excellent wins in Melbourne and her trials leading into this first up run indicate that she has come back well again. She might be a classic case of a mare that seems to get better with age as they get deeper into her racing career. I thought she might have just lost her way there for a little while but her spring campaign was excellent and if she can bring that form to the table here first up I think she will be right in the finish. She arguably should have won first up last campaign when asked to come from an impossible position at Caulfield. Her first up record is excellent, her winning record here at Randwick isn’t great but she has certainly raced well here and I just don’t think the price discrepancy between her and Emanate should be so great so at the better price happy to be with Fiesta.

I am also going to have something on two other mares in the race that come into the race first up. The first of those is Seasons who looks to have gone up big odds off the back of two sharp trials. First up last campaign this mare was narrowly beaten in the Toy Show and then wasn’t beaten far by Haut Brion Her which reads as good form for a race of this nature. I have just been really taken by her trials, she draws to get a lovely trail on speed for Kerrin McEvoy and from there I think she can run a race at $20+ and is worth a ticket.

Jen Rules has form lines last preparation linked to Seasons having run second to Haut Brion Her first up and then she was competitive with Subpoenaed before striking wet tracks. She has also trialled up nicely for her return run here and from a nice middle gate I think she can also run well at double figure odds.

Betting strategy

I will have $45 the win on Fiesta having half now at the $4.80 and the other half at Top Fluc! I will have $15 the win on Jen Rules and $10 the win on Seasons having half now a the $21 and the other half at Top Fluc with the latter!

Race Outlay

$70

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