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Select Race Meeting Event

Race 2

12:55pm

Suggested

Creativity (No.4) & True Excelsior (No.5)

Dangers

Invincible Al (No.3) & Bandipur (No.4)

It is a saying that you are probably going to hear a fair bit of over the coming days in racing circles – there is a sniff of spring in the air. This for me is always the meeting that signals the start of spring. It is P.B. Lawrence Stakes Day formerly known as the J J Liston and it is the race that sees a lot of the big spring players make their return to racing to kick off their campaign. I will quickly touch on the feature race now as I won’t be in the betting preview. It is a fascinating race with eleven of the sixteen runners resuming from a spell. With D K Weir saddling up so many of these first up runners and no access to any public trials of these horses leading into their first up runs it does make betting in the race with any confidence fairly difficult. The horse I am most looking forward to seeing in the race is Grunt. He was also the one that I was most tempted to back. He just might be anything this horse and there is a part of me that thinks if I don’t back him on Saturday at the $5-6 on offer and he comes out and blows them away I won’t be getting that price about him again until he meets Winx. It will be a great race. I am looking forward to it. Back to the day though. The weather is meant to hit on Friday night and continue through Saturday. I was all pumped for a day at The Heath but I have to admit the forecast has me a bit concerned. There is a fair bit expected and I would suggest we have the potential to get into the soft range through the day. The rail is out three metres and I would expect Caulfield (my favourite track to bet at) to play perfectly as always.

I am kicking the day off in the second race of the day which is for the mares over the 1100m. I am looking forward to seeing the return of this good mare from the Corstens stable in True Excelsior here. Going through her form last preparation she took on some very good horses. The run that stands out in particular is that last start fourth to Shoals in the Group One Sangster at Morphettville. She is a mare that has always shown good talent but hasn’t always been able to get the nose in front with only two wins from fourteen starts. If she is wound up here I think she can give this a real shake. This looks extremely winnable compared to a few of the races she competed in last campaign. She has only had the one jump out leading into this first up run which was a quiet one at Flemington where she looked to go to the line with plenty in hand. For an 1100m sprint race for the mares there doesn’t look a lot of natural speed in the race. For mine she should find the front or at worse land outside the leader pretty comfortably and from there she looks hard to beat. Keen to be with her.

Creativity also resumes from a short let up in this race. She is another that raced really well last campaign. She was a dominant winner first up at this track over 1200m before going too hard in front in a strong race in Adelaide. She then should have won at Moonee Valley before being tested over 1400m at Flemington at her last run before a spell and failing. She is another that has had a jump out leading into this race and with a bit of residual fitness on side I think she should come to the races pretty close to the mark here. She draws out and I am hoping that if True Excelsior crosses to lead she is the one that can land outside of her. If that is the case I really think the two of them can own the race in front and with that positional advantage in running have an edge over the early market favourite in Rillito. Based on that I am happy to be with Creativity also.

Betting strategy

Keen on Prezado as a stand out bet here and will have $85 the win on him!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 1

12:05pm

Suggested

Cisco Bay (No.1), Butchoy (No.7) & Panzerfaust (No.14)

Dangers

Evopex (No.2) & Wallander (No.6)

Racing in Sydney comes from Randwick this Saturday and the racing world will all have their eyes on the mighty mare Winx as she makes her return to racing and embarks on a historic spring campaign which will hopefully culminate in an unprecedented fourth consecutive Cox Plate victory. She should win again and victory on Saturday would be her 26th in a row surpassing the record set by the immortal Black Caviar. It truly is rare air. Anyway that is the last you will hear of Winx in this preview as we get into the important matters of finding a winner on the punt. Randwick looks set to turn on another glorious day as the weather in Sydney just continues to produce the goods. There was some talk during the week about a fair bit of watering being done to the Randwick track this week but with the sunny and breezy conditions forecast I anticipate things staying pretty dry with the rail out seven metres. I wouldn’t be surprised to see those on speed have a bit of an advantage during the day unless the track really has been significantly overwatered to the point where there will be firmer going out wider on the track.

I am kicking the day off in the highway which is the first race of the day and it is over the mile. This is a really competitive highway too. Cisco Bay went around in a highway here two weeks ago behind Magic Choir and had absolutely no luck at all. It was one out of the bad Glyn Schofield textbook. He just never got a clear crack at them. For mine he clearly should have won the race. His form prior to that effort has also been really good. He resumed from a spell with a good win at Tamworth before not being beaten too far in the Grafton Guineas over their carnival. He then wasn’t beaten far behind one of his rivals here in Evopex over the Coffs Cup Carnival and he has a significant weight turnaround on that galloper in this race for a narrow defeat. Then came the unlucky run last start. He is racing like a horse that is looking for the mile in my opinion. He draws gate one here and if he can use that gate to good effect and hold a spot up on speed then I think he is going to be right in the finish with a touch of luck. Happy to be with him.

Butchoy looks ready to deliver a peak performance here at his fourth run back from a spell stepping up to the mile here. He won well first up at Mudgee before taking on highway races at his last two starts. Two starts back he got a long way back over the 1400m and was off the bit a long way from home before working through the line nicely. He then backed up quickly stepping to the 1500m last start but got caught working three wide on the speed. I thought he stuck on really well given the tough run that he had that day and with a slightly easier run here in transit I think he can be in the finish. He looks like the mile is what he is looking for and from a middle gate here I am hoping Bowman might be able to land him in the one out one back position. From there I think he can be right in the finish and around the $7-8 mark I am keen to be with him.

Panzerfaust is the horse I struggled to get a line on in the race. She is a three year old filly that looks loaded with talent. She won well first up at Scone before she just got too far back out of her ground second up at Muswellbrook. She savaged the line but just gave away too big a start. She is down in the weights here and draws a lovely gate for Kerrin McEvoy to settle her in a gun position just off the speed. The concern for me is she goes from 1280m up to 1600m and if that is a bridge too far. She is very firm in the market and I don’t want to lose on the race should she win but she will be a break even bet with Cisco Bay and Butchoy at better odds the main results. If Evopex beats all three of them then I will be in a world of hurt and a very early start on the beers (let’s be honest I will be starting early regardless).

Betting strategy

This has been some pre post move for Panzerfaust! It is off the map! As a result Cisco Bay is out to a really good price and I will have $25 the win on him having half now at the $7 with UBET Fixed Odds! I will also have $25 the win on Butchoy also locking in the $7.50 with UBET Fixed Odds as I think the money will continue to come for him! I will also have $35 the win on Panzerfaust to cover those bets!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 1

11:37am

Suggested

Awake The Stars (No.2) & Sornja (No.5)

Dangers

Prue’s Angel (No.1) & Tedder Avenue (No.6)

Racing comes from the Gold Coast this Saturday for the main metropolitan meeting in Queensland. South East Queensland like Sydney has enjoyed some amazing weather in recent times for this time of year. Everyone I know is up there at the moment. The Baroness and my parents are all up there enjoying the sunshine so spare a though for the old battling Baron freezing away working hard here in Melbourne. I was doing some stats the other week on which tracks I have actually been most profitable at across the country (I intend to share with everyone shortly the findings) and was quite surprised to see the Gold Coast had a really good POT result of +33%. Admittedly it is only form three meetings and is probably enhanced by a day out at this track where I went four out of four on Hollindale Cup day but it gives me a bit of confidence coming into this program. It is not a track I have typically been overly keen on betting at but another good day on Saturday might change that opinion completely. With the rail in the true position on a firm track I would certainly expect horses up on speed and close to the rail to not be disadvantaged in any way throughout the day. It is a bit of a tricky program so I have only found the three races to bet into.

I am getting started nice and early in the first race which is over the 1400m for the fillies and mares. The thing that struck me about this race was that there were quite a few horses engaged who might be a bit of a question mark over this 1400m trip. The favourite Prue’s Angel steps up to this trip for just the second time off the back of two good wins to kick off this campaign. Her only run over this trip or close to it came when she was a two year old and ran over 1350m at Ipswich was the fourth and last run of her debut campaign. Given that I wouldn’t read too much into it but all the same at the short price I am going to take her on.

I am siding with the second favourite in the market in Awake The Stars. This mare has a dynamite 1400m record and also has a dynamite record around this Gold Coast circuit. In fact from four runs over this track and trip she has won all four. She was just touched off in the last couple of bounds by Francisca last Saturday at Doomben in a Benchmark 75 and looks well placed coming back to a One Metro Win only race. She draws the outside gate but I am really hopeful that Ryan Maloney is positive out of the machines on her and if he can get her across to be leading or outside the leader without exerting too much early energy I think she can control the race and be really hard to get past. Happy to be in her corner.

Sornja should be ready to peak here at her third run back from a spell and also looks suited by the step up to the 1400m of this race. She hit the line well first up and then it felt like very punter in Australia was on her two weeks ago when she was backed off the map. Prue’s Angel proved too good for her there. I certainly think the step up to the 1400m swings things a bit further back in favour of Sornja though. She draws gate one, has no weight on her back and if close enough in the run should be strong late here so happy to give her one more chance though she hasn’t made winning a regular habit throughout her career having won only two of twenty.

Betting strategy

I will have $60 the win on Awake The Stars here and save with $30 the win on Sornja!

Race Outlay

$90

Race 2

12:55pm

Suggested

Creativity (No.4) & True Excelsior (No.5)

Dangers

Invincible Al (No.3) & Bandipur (No.4)

It is a saying that you are probably going to hear a fair bit of over the coming days in racing circles – there is a sniff of spring in the air. This for me is always the meeting that signals the start of spring. It is P.B. Lawrence Stakes Day formerly known as the J J Liston and it is the race that sees a lot of the big spring players make their return to racing to kick off their campaign. I will quickly touch on the feature race now as I won’t be in the betting preview. It is a fascinating race with eleven of the sixteen runners resuming from a spell. With D K Weir saddling up so many of these first up runners and no access to any public trials of these horses leading into their first up runs it does make betting in the race with any confidence fairly difficult. The horse I am most looking forward to seeing in the race is Grunt. He was also the one that I was most tempted to back. He just might be anything this horse and there is a part of me that thinks if I don’t back him on Saturday at the $5-6 on offer and he comes out and blows them away I won’t be getting that price about him again until he meets Winx. It will be a great race. I am looking forward to it. Back to the day though. The weather is meant to hit on Friday night and continue through Saturday. I was all pumped for a day at The Heath but I have to admit the forecast has me a bit concerned. There is a fair bit expected and I would suggest we have the potential to get into the soft range through the day. The rail is out three metres and I would expect Caulfield (my favourite track to bet at) to play perfectly as always.

I am kicking the day off in the second race of the day which is for the mares over the 1100m. I am looking forward to seeing the return of this good mare from the Corstens stable in True Excelsior here. Going through her form last preparation she took on some very good horses. The run that stands out in particular is that last start fourth to Shoals in the Group One Sangster at Morphettville. She is a mare that has always shown good talent but hasn’t always been able to get the nose in front with only two wins from fourteen starts. If she is wound up here I think she can give this a real shake. This looks extremely winnable compared to a few of the races she competed in last campaign. She has only had the one jump out leading into this first up run which was a quiet one at Flemington where she looked to go to the line with plenty in hand. For an 1100m sprint race for the mares there doesn’t look a lot of natural speed in the race. For mine she should find the front or at worse land outside the leader pretty comfortably and from there she looks hard to beat. Keen to be with her.

Creativity also resumes from a short let up in this race. She is another that raced really well last campaign. She was a dominant winner first up at this track over 1200m before going too hard in front in a strong race in Adelaide. She then should have won at Moonee Valley before being tested over 1400m at Flemington at her last run before a spell and failing. She is another that has had a jump out leading into this race and with a bit of residual fitness on side I think she should come to the races pretty close to the mark here. She draws out and I am hoping that if True Excelsior crosses to lead she is the one that can land outside of her. If that is the case I really think the two of them can own the race in front and with that positional advantage in running have an edge over the early market favourite in Rillito. Based on that I am happy to be with Creativity also.

Betting strategy

Keen on Prezado as a stand out bet here and will have $85 the win on him!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 1

12:05pm

Suggested

Cisco Bay (No.1), Butchoy (No.7) & Panzerfaust (No.14)

Dangers

Evopex (No.2) & Wallander (No.6)

Racing in Sydney comes from Randwick this Saturday and the racing world will all have their eyes on the mighty mare Winx as she makes her return to racing and embarks on a historic spring campaign which will hopefully culminate in an unprecedented fourth consecutive Cox Plate victory. She should win again and victory on Saturday would be her 26th in a row surpassing the record set by the immortal Black Caviar. It truly is rare air. Anyway that is the last you will hear of Winx in this preview as we get into the important matters of finding a winner on the punt. Randwick looks set to turn on another glorious day as the weather in Sydney just continues to produce the goods. There was some talk during the week about a fair bit of watering being done to the Randwick track this week but with the sunny and breezy conditions forecast I anticipate things staying pretty dry with the rail out seven metres. I wouldn’t be surprised to see those on speed have a bit of an advantage during the day unless the track really has been significantly overwatered to the point where there will be firmer going out wider on the track.

I am kicking the day off in the highway which is the first race of the day and it is over the mile. This is a really competitive highway too. Cisco Bay went around in a highway here two weeks ago behind Magic Choir and had absolutely no luck at all. It was one out of the bad Glyn Schofield textbook. He just never got a clear crack at them. For mine he clearly should have won the race. His form prior to that effort has also been really good. He resumed from a spell with a good win at Tamworth before not being beaten too far in the Grafton Guineas over their carnival. He then wasn’t beaten far behind one of his rivals here in Evopex over the Coffs Cup Carnival and he has a significant weight turnaround on that galloper in this race for a narrow defeat. Then came the unlucky run last start. He is racing like a horse that is looking for the mile in my opinion. He draws gate one here and if he can use that gate to good effect and hold a spot up on speed then I think he is going to be right in the finish with a touch of luck. Happy to be with him.

Butchoy looks ready to deliver a peak performance here at his fourth run back from a spell stepping up to the mile here. He won well first up at Mudgee before taking on highway races at his last two starts. Two starts back he got a long way back over the 1400m and was off the bit a long way from home before working through the line nicely. He then backed up quickly stepping to the 1500m last start but got caught working three wide on the speed. I thought he stuck on really well given the tough run that he had that day and with a slightly easier run here in transit I think he can be in the finish. He looks like the mile is what he is looking for and from a middle gate here I am hoping Bowman might be able to land him in the one out one back position. From there I think he can be right in the finish and around the $7-8 mark I am keen to be with him.

Panzerfaust is the horse I struggled to get a line on in the race. She is a three year old filly that looks loaded with talent. She won well first up at Scone before she just got too far back out of her ground second up at Muswellbrook. She savaged the line but just gave away too big a start. She is down in the weights here and draws a lovely gate for Kerrin McEvoy to settle her in a gun position just off the speed. The concern for me is she goes from 1280m up to 1600m and if that is a bridge too far. She is very firm in the market and I don’t want to lose on the race should she win but she will be a break even bet with Cisco Bay and Butchoy at better odds the main results. If Evopex beats all three of them then I will be in a world of hurt and a very early start on the beers (let’s be honest I will be starting early regardless).

Betting strategy

This has been some pre post move for Panzerfaust! It is off the map! As a result Cisco Bay is out to a really good price and I will have $25 the win on him having half now at the $7 with UBET Fixed Odds! I will also have $25 the win on Butchoy also locking in the $7.50 with UBET Fixed Odds as I think the money will continue to come for him! I will also have $35 the win on Panzerfaust to cover those bets!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 1

11:37am

Suggested

Awake The Stars (No.2) & Sornja (No.5)

Dangers

Prue’s Angel (No.1) & Tedder Avenue (No.6)

Racing comes from the Gold Coast this Saturday for the main metropolitan meeting in Queensland. South East Queensland like Sydney has enjoyed some amazing weather in recent times for this time of year. Everyone I know is up there at the moment. The Baroness and my parents are all up there enjoying the sunshine so spare a though for the old battling Baron freezing away working hard here in Melbourne. I was doing some stats the other week on which tracks I have actually been most profitable at across the country (I intend to share with everyone shortly the findings) and was quite surprised to see the Gold Coast had a really good POT result of +33%. Admittedly it is only form three meetings and is probably enhanced by a day out at this track where I went four out of four on Hollindale Cup day but it gives me a bit of confidence coming into this program. It is not a track I have typically been overly keen on betting at but another good day on Saturday might change that opinion completely. With the rail in the true position on a firm track I would certainly expect horses up on speed and close to the rail to not be disadvantaged in any way throughout the day. It is a bit of a tricky program so I have only found the three races to bet into.

I am getting started nice and early in the first race which is over the 1400m for the fillies and mares. The thing that struck me about this race was that there were quite a few horses engaged who might be a bit of a question mark over this 1400m trip. The favourite Prue’s Angel steps up to this trip for just the second time off the back of two good wins to kick off this campaign. Her only run over this trip or close to it came when she was a two year old and ran over 1350m at Ipswich was the fourth and last run of her debut campaign. Given that I wouldn’t read too much into it but all the same at the short price I am going to take her on.

I am siding with the second favourite in the market in Awake The Stars. This mare has a dynamite 1400m record and also has a dynamite record around this Gold Coast circuit. In fact from four runs over this track and trip she has won all four. She was just touched off in the last couple of bounds by Francisca last Saturday at Doomben in a Benchmark 75 and looks well placed coming back to a One Metro Win only race. She draws the outside gate but I am really hopeful that Ryan Maloney is positive out of the machines on her and if he can get her across to be leading or outside the leader without exerting too much early energy I think she can control the race and be really hard to get past. Happy to be in her corner.

Sornja should be ready to peak here at her third run back from a spell and also looks suited by the step up to the 1400m of this race. She hit the line well first up and then it felt like very punter in Australia was on her two weeks ago when she was backed off the map. Prue’s Angel proved too good for her there. I certainly think the step up to the 1400m swings things a bit further back in favour of Sornja though. She draws gate one, has no weight on her back and if close enough in the run should be strong late here so happy to give her one more chance though she hasn’t made winning a regular habit throughout her career having won only two of twenty.

Betting strategy

I will have $60 the win on Awake The Stars here and save with $30 the win on Sornja!

Race Outlay

$90

Race 2

12:55pm

Suggested

Creativity (No.4) & True Excelsior (No.5)

Dangers

Invincible Al (No.3) & Bandipur (No.4)

It is a saying that you are probably going to hear a fair bit of over the coming days in racing circles – there is a sniff of spring in the air. This for me is always the meeting that signals the start of spring. It is P.B. Lawrence Stakes Day formerly known as the J J Liston and it is the race that sees a lot of the big spring players make their return to racing to kick off their campaign. I will quickly touch on the feature race now as I won’t be in the betting preview. It is a fascinating race with eleven of the sixteen runners resuming from a spell. With D K Weir saddling up so many of these first up runners and no access to any public trials of these horses leading into their first up runs it does make betting in the race with any confidence fairly difficult. The horse I am most looking forward to seeing in the race is Grunt. He was also the one that I was most tempted to back. He just might be anything this horse and there is a part of me that thinks if I don’t back him on Saturday at the $5-6 on offer and he comes out and blows them away I won’t be getting that price about him again until he meets Winx. It will be a great race. I am looking forward to it. Back to the day though. The weather is meant to hit on Friday night and continue through Saturday. I was all pumped for a day at The Heath but I have to admit the forecast has me a bit concerned. There is a fair bit expected and I would suggest we have the potential to get into the soft range through the day. The rail is out three metres and I would expect Caulfield (my favourite track to bet at) to play perfectly as always.

I am kicking the day off in the second race of the day which is for the mares over the 1100m. I am looking forward to seeing the return of this good mare from the Corstens stable in True Excelsior here. Going through her form last preparation she took on some very good horses. The run that stands out in particular is that last start fourth to Shoals in the Group One Sangster at Morphettville. She is a mare that has always shown good talent but hasn’t always been able to get the nose in front with only two wins from fourteen starts. If she is wound up here I think she can give this a real shake. This looks extremely winnable compared to a few of the races she competed in last campaign. She has only had the one jump out leading into this first up run which was a quiet one at Flemington where she looked to go to the line with plenty in hand. For an 1100m sprint race for the mares there doesn’t look a lot of natural speed in the race. For mine she should find the front or at worse land outside the leader pretty comfortably and from there she looks hard to beat. Keen to be with her.

Creativity also resumes from a short let up in this race. She is another that raced really well last campaign. She was a dominant winner first up at this track over 1200m before going too hard in front in a strong race in Adelaide. She then should have won at Moonee Valley before being tested over 1400m at Flemington at her last run before a spell and failing. She is another that has had a jump out leading into this race and with a bit of residual fitness on side I think she should come to the races pretty close to the mark here. She draws out and I am hoping that if True Excelsior crosses to lead she is the one that can land outside of her. If that is the case I really think the two of them can own the race in front and with that positional advantage in running have an edge over the early market favourite in Rillito. Based on that I am happy to be with Creativity also.

Betting strategy

Keen on Prezado as a stand out bet here and will have $85 the win on him!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 1

12:05pm

Suggested

Cisco Bay (No.1), Butchoy (No.7) & Panzerfaust (No.14)

Dangers

Evopex (No.2) & Wallander (No.6)

Racing in Sydney comes from Randwick this Saturday and the racing world will all have their eyes on the mighty mare Winx as she makes her return to racing and embarks on a historic spring campaign which will hopefully culminate in an unprecedented fourth consecutive Cox Plate victory. She should win again and victory on Saturday would be her 26th in a row surpassing the record set by the immortal Black Caviar. It truly is rare air. Anyway that is the last you will hear of Winx in this preview as we get into the important matters of finding a winner on the punt. Randwick looks set to turn on another glorious day as the weather in Sydney just continues to produce the goods. There was some talk during the week about a fair bit of watering being done to the Randwick track this week but with the sunny and breezy conditions forecast I anticipate things staying pretty dry with the rail out seven metres. I wouldn’t be surprised to see those on speed have a bit of an advantage during the day unless the track really has been significantly overwatered to the point where there will be firmer going out wider on the track.

I am kicking the day off in the highway which is the first race of the day and it is over the mile. This is a really competitive highway too. Cisco Bay went around in a highway here two weeks ago behind Magic Choir and had absolutely no luck at all. It was one out of the bad Glyn Schofield textbook. He just never got a clear crack at them. For mine he clearly should have won the race. His form prior to that effort has also been really good. He resumed from a spell with a good win at Tamworth before not being beaten too far in the Grafton Guineas over their carnival. He then wasn’t beaten far behind one of his rivals here in Evopex over the Coffs Cup Carnival and he has a significant weight turnaround on that galloper in this race for a narrow defeat. Then came the unlucky run last start. He is racing like a horse that is looking for the mile in my opinion. He draws gate one here and if he can use that gate to good effect and hold a spot up on speed then I think he is going to be right in the finish with a touch of luck. Happy to be with him.

Butchoy looks ready to deliver a peak performance here at his fourth run back from a spell stepping up to the mile here. He won well first up at Mudgee before taking on highway races at his last two starts. Two starts back he got a long way back over the 1400m and was off the bit a long way from home before working through the line nicely. He then backed up quickly stepping to the 1500m last start but got caught working three wide on the speed. I thought he stuck on really well given the tough run that he had that day and with a slightly easier run here in transit I think he can be in the finish. He looks like the mile is what he is looking for and from a middle gate here I am hoping Bowman might be able to land him in the one out one back position. From there I think he can be right in the finish and around the $7-8 mark I am keen to be with him.

Panzerfaust is the horse I struggled to get a line on in the race. She is a three year old filly that looks loaded with talent. She won well first up at Scone before she just got too far back out of her ground second up at Muswellbrook. She savaged the line but just gave away too big a start. She is down in the weights here and draws a lovely gate for Kerrin McEvoy to settle her in a gun position just off the speed. The concern for me is she goes from 1280m up to 1600m and if that is a bridge too far. She is very firm in the market and I don’t want to lose on the race should she win but she will be a break even bet with Cisco Bay and Butchoy at better odds the main results. If Evopex beats all three of them then I will be in a world of hurt and a very early start on the beers (let’s be honest I will be starting early regardless).

Betting strategy

This has been some pre post move for Panzerfaust! It is off the map! As a result Cisco Bay is out to a really good price and I will have $25 the win on him having half now at the $7 with UBET Fixed Odds! I will also have $25 the win on Butchoy also locking in the $7.50 with UBET Fixed Odds as I think the money will continue to come for him! I will also have $35 the win on Panzerfaust to cover those bets!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 1

11:37am

Suggested

Awake The Stars (No.2) & Sornja (No.5)

Dangers

Prue’s Angel (No.1) & Tedder Avenue (No.6)

Racing comes from the Gold Coast this Saturday for the main metropolitan meeting in Queensland. South East Queensland like Sydney has enjoyed some amazing weather in recent times for this time of year. Everyone I know is up there at the moment. The Baroness and my parents are all up there enjoying the sunshine so spare a though for the old battling Baron freezing away working hard here in Melbourne. I was doing some stats the other week on which tracks I have actually been most profitable at across the country (I intend to share with everyone shortly the findings) and was quite surprised to see the Gold Coast had a really good POT result of +33%. Admittedly it is only form three meetings and is probably enhanced by a day out at this track where I went four out of four on Hollindale Cup day but it gives me a bit of confidence coming into this program. It is not a track I have typically been overly keen on betting at but another good day on Saturday might change that opinion completely. With the rail in the true position on a firm track I would certainly expect horses up on speed and close to the rail to not be disadvantaged in any way throughout the day. It is a bit of a tricky program so I have only found the three races to bet into.

I am getting started nice and early in the first race which is over the 1400m for the fillies and mares. The thing that struck me about this race was that there were quite a few horses engaged who might be a bit of a question mark over this 1400m trip. The favourite Prue’s Angel steps up to this trip for just the second time off the back of two good wins to kick off this campaign. Her only run over this trip or close to it came when she was a two year old and ran over 1350m at Ipswich was the fourth and last run of her debut campaign. Given that I wouldn’t read too much into it but all the same at the short price I am going to take her on.

I am siding with the second favourite in the market in Awake The Stars. This mare has a dynamite 1400m record and also has a dynamite record around this Gold Coast circuit. In fact from four runs over this track and trip she has won all four. She was just touched off in the last couple of bounds by Francisca last Saturday at Doomben in a Benchmark 75 and looks well placed coming back to a One Metro Win only race. She draws the outside gate but I am really hopeful that Ryan Maloney is positive out of the machines on her and if he can get her across to be leading or outside the leader without exerting too much early energy I think she can control the race and be really hard to get past. Happy to be in her corner.

Sornja should be ready to peak here at her third run back from a spell and also looks suited by the step up to the 1400m of this race. She hit the line well first up and then it felt like very punter in Australia was on her two weeks ago when she was backed off the map. Prue’s Angel proved too good for her there. I certainly think the step up to the 1400m swings things a bit further back in favour of Sornja though. She draws gate one, has no weight on her back and if close enough in the run should be strong late here so happy to give her one more chance though she hasn’t made winning a regular habit throughout her career having won only two of twenty.

Betting strategy

I will have $60 the win on Awake The Stars here and save with $30 the win on Sornja!

Race Outlay

$90

Race 2

12:55pm

Suggested

Creativity (No.4) & True Excelsior (No.5)

Dangers

Invincible Al (No.3) & Bandipur (No.4)

It is a saying that you are probably going to hear a fair bit of over the coming days in racing circles – there is a sniff of spring in the air. This for me is always the meeting that signals the start of spring. It is P.B. Lawrence Stakes Day formerly known as the J J Liston and it is the race that sees a lot of the big spring players make their return to racing to kick off their campaign. I will quickly touch on the feature race now as I won’t be in the betting preview. It is a fascinating race with eleven of the sixteen runners resuming from a spell. With D K Weir saddling up so many of these first up runners and no access to any public trials of these horses leading into their first up runs it does make betting in the race with any confidence fairly difficult. The horse I am most looking forward to seeing in the race is Grunt. He was also the one that I was most tempted to back. He just might be anything this horse and there is a part of me that thinks if I don’t back him on Saturday at the $5-6 on offer and he comes out and blows them away I won’t be getting that price about him again until he meets Winx. It will be a great race. I am looking forward to it. Back to the day though. The weather is meant to hit on Friday night and continue through Saturday. I was all pumped for a day at The Heath but I have to admit the forecast has me a bit concerned. There is a fair bit expected and I would suggest we have the potential to get into the soft range through the day. The rail is out three metres and I would expect Caulfield (my favourite track to bet at) to play perfectly as always.

I am kicking the day off in the second race of the day which is for the mares over the 1100m. I am looking forward to seeing the return of this good mare from the Corstens stable in True Excelsior here. Going through her form last preparation she took on some very good horses. The run that stands out in particular is that last start fourth to Shoals in the Group One Sangster at Morphettville. She is a mare that has always shown good talent but hasn’t always been able to get the nose in front with only two wins from fourteen starts. If she is wound up here I think she can give this a real shake. This looks extremely winnable compared to a few of the races she competed in last campaign. She has only had the one jump out leading into this first up run which was a quiet one at Flemington where she looked to go to the line with plenty in hand. For an 1100m sprint race for the mares there doesn’t look a lot of natural speed in the race. For mine she should find the front or at worse land outside the leader pretty comfortably and from there she looks hard to beat. Keen to be with her.

Creativity also resumes from a short let up in this race. She is another that raced really well last campaign. She was a dominant winner first up at this track over 1200m before going too hard in front in a strong race in Adelaide. She then should have won at Moonee Valley before being tested over 1400m at Flemington at her last run before a spell and failing. She is another that has had a jump out leading into this race and with a bit of residual fitness on side I think she should come to the races pretty close to the mark here. She draws out and I am hoping that if True Excelsior crosses to lead she is the one that can land outside of her. If that is the case I really think the two of them can own the race in front and with that positional advantage in running have an edge over the early market favourite in Rillito. Based on that I am happy to be with Creativity also.

Betting strategy

Keen on Prezado as a stand out bet here and will have $85 the win on him!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 1

12:05pm

Suggested

Cisco Bay (No.1), Butchoy (No.7) & Panzerfaust (No.14)

Dangers

Evopex (No.2) & Wallander (No.6)

Racing in Sydney comes from Randwick this Saturday and the racing world will all have their eyes on the mighty mare Winx as she makes her return to racing and embarks on a historic spring campaign which will hopefully culminate in an unprecedented fourth consecutive Cox Plate victory. She should win again and victory on Saturday would be her 26th in a row surpassing the record set by the immortal Black Caviar. It truly is rare air. Anyway that is the last you will hear of Winx in this preview as we get into the important matters of finding a winner on the punt. Randwick looks set to turn on another glorious day as the weather in Sydney just continues to produce the goods. There was some talk during the week about a fair bit of watering being done to the Randwick track this week but with the sunny and breezy conditions forecast I anticipate things staying pretty dry with the rail out seven metres. I wouldn’t be surprised to see those on speed have a bit of an advantage during the day unless the track really has been significantly overwatered to the point where there will be firmer going out wider on the track.

I am kicking the day off in the highway which is the first race of the day and it is over the mile. This is a really competitive highway too. Cisco Bay went around in a highway here two weeks ago behind Magic Choir and had absolutely no luck at all. It was one out of the bad Glyn Schofield textbook. He just never got a clear crack at them. For mine he clearly should have won the race. His form prior to that effort has also been really good. He resumed from a spell with a good win at Tamworth before not being beaten too far in the Grafton Guineas over their carnival. He then wasn’t beaten far behind one of his rivals here in Evopex over the Coffs Cup Carnival and he has a significant weight turnaround on that galloper in this race for a narrow defeat. Then came the unlucky run last start. He is racing like a horse that is looking for the mile in my opinion. He draws gate one here and if he can use that gate to good effect and hold a spot up on speed then I think he is going to be right in the finish with a touch of luck. Happy to be with him.

Butchoy looks ready to deliver a peak performance here at his fourth run back from a spell stepping up to the mile here. He won well first up at Mudgee before taking on highway races at his last two starts. Two starts back he got a long way back over the 1400m and was off the bit a long way from home before working through the line nicely. He then backed up quickly stepping to the 1500m last start but got caught working three wide on the speed. I thought he stuck on really well given the tough run that he had that day and with a slightly easier run here in transit I think he can be in the finish. He looks like the mile is what he is looking for and from a middle gate here I am hoping Bowman might be able to land him in the one out one back position. From there I think he can be right in the finish and around the $7-8 mark I am keen to be with him.

Panzerfaust is the horse I struggled to get a line on in the race. She is a three year old filly that looks loaded with talent. She won well first up at Scone before she just got too far back out of her ground second up at Muswellbrook. She savaged the line but just gave away too big a start. She is down in the weights here and draws a lovely gate for Kerrin McEvoy to settle her in a gun position just off the speed. The concern for me is she goes from 1280m up to 1600m and if that is a bridge too far. She is very firm in the market and I don’t want to lose on the race should she win but she will be a break even bet with Cisco Bay and Butchoy at better odds the main results. If Evopex beats all three of them then I will be in a world of hurt and a very early start on the beers (let’s be honest I will be starting early regardless).

Betting strategy

This has been some pre post move for Panzerfaust! It is off the map! As a result Cisco Bay is out to a really good price and I will have $25 the win on him having half now at the $7 with UBET Fixed Odds! I will also have $25 the win on Butchoy also locking in the $7.50 with UBET Fixed Odds as I think the money will continue to come for him! I will also have $35 the win on Panzerfaust to cover those bets!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 1

11:37am

Suggested

Awake The Stars (No.2) & Sornja (No.5)

Dangers

Prue’s Angel (No.1) & Tedder Avenue (No.6)

Racing comes from the Gold Coast this Saturday for the main metropolitan meeting in Queensland. South East Queensland like Sydney has enjoyed some amazing weather in recent times for this time of year. Everyone I know is up there at the moment. The Baroness and my parents are all up there enjoying the sunshine so spare a though for the old battling Baron freezing away working hard here in Melbourne. I was doing some stats the other week on which tracks I have actually been most profitable at across the country (I intend to share with everyone shortly the findings) and was quite surprised to see the Gold Coast had a really good POT result of +33%. Admittedly it is only form three meetings and is probably enhanced by a day out at this track where I went four out of four on Hollindale Cup day but it gives me a bit of confidence coming into this program. It is not a track I have typically been overly keen on betting at but another good day on Saturday might change that opinion completely. With the rail in the true position on a firm track I would certainly expect horses up on speed and close to the rail to not be disadvantaged in any way throughout the day. It is a bit of a tricky program so I have only found the three races to bet into.

I am getting started nice and early in the first race which is over the 1400m for the fillies and mares. The thing that struck me about this race was that there were quite a few horses engaged who might be a bit of a question mark over this 1400m trip. The favourite Prue’s Angel steps up to this trip for just the second time off the back of two good wins to kick off this campaign. Her only run over this trip or close to it came when she was a two year old and ran over 1350m at Ipswich was the fourth and last run of her debut campaign. Given that I wouldn’t read too much into it but all the same at the short price I am going to take her on.

I am siding with the second favourite in the market in Awake The Stars. This mare has a dynamite 1400m record and also has a dynamite record around this Gold Coast circuit. In fact from four runs over this track and trip she has won all four. She was just touched off in the last couple of bounds by Francisca last Saturday at Doomben in a Benchmark 75 and looks well placed coming back to a One Metro Win only race. She draws the outside gate but I am really hopeful that Ryan Maloney is positive out of the machines on her and if he can get her across to be leading or outside the leader without exerting too much early energy I think she can control the race and be really hard to get past. Happy to be in her corner.

Sornja should be ready to peak here at her third run back from a spell and also looks suited by the step up to the 1400m of this race. She hit the line well first up and then it felt like very punter in Australia was on her two weeks ago when she was backed off the map. Prue’s Angel proved too good for her there. I certainly think the step up to the 1400m swings things a bit further back in favour of Sornja though. She draws gate one, has no weight on her back and if close enough in the run should be strong late here so happy to give her one more chance though she hasn’t made winning a regular habit throughout her career having won only two of twenty.

Betting strategy

I will have $60 the win on Awake The Stars here and save with $30 the win on Sornja!

Race Outlay

$90

Race 2

12:55pm

Suggested

Creativity (No.4) & True Excelsior (No.5)

Dangers

Invincible Al (No.3) & Bandipur (No.4)

It is a saying that you are probably going to hear a fair bit of over the coming days in racing circles – there is a sniff of spring in the air. This for me is always the meeting that signals the start of spring. It is P.B. Lawrence Stakes Day formerly known as the J J Liston and it is the race that sees a lot of the big spring players make their return to racing to kick off their campaign. I will quickly touch on the feature race now as I won’t be in the betting preview. It is a fascinating race with eleven of the sixteen runners resuming from a spell. With D K Weir saddling up so many of these first up runners and no access to any public trials of these horses leading into their first up runs it does make betting in the race with any confidence fairly difficult. The horse I am most looking forward to seeing in the race is Grunt. He was also the one that I was most tempted to back. He just might be anything this horse and there is a part of me that thinks if I don’t back him on Saturday at the $5-6 on offer and he comes out and blows them away I won’t be getting that price about him again until he meets Winx. It will be a great race. I am looking forward to it. Back to the day though. The weather is meant to hit on Friday night and continue through Saturday. I was all pumped for a day at The Heath but I have to admit the forecast has me a bit concerned. There is a fair bit expected and I would suggest we have the potential to get into the soft range through the day. The rail is out three metres and I would expect Caulfield (my favourite track to bet at) to play perfectly as always.

I am kicking the day off in the second race of the day which is for the mares over the 1100m. I am looking forward to seeing the return of this good mare from the Corstens stable in True Excelsior here. Going through her form last preparation she took on some very good horses. The run that stands out in particular is that last start fourth to Shoals in the Group One Sangster at Morphettville. She is a mare that has always shown good talent but hasn’t always been able to get the nose in front with only two wins from fourteen starts. If she is wound up here I think she can give this a real shake. This looks extremely winnable compared to a few of the races she competed in last campaign. She has only had the one jump out leading into this first up run which was a quiet one at Flemington where she looked to go to the line with plenty in hand. For an 1100m sprint race for the mares there doesn’t look a lot of natural speed in the race. For mine she should find the front or at worse land outside the leader pretty comfortably and from there she looks hard to beat. Keen to be with her.

Creativity also resumes from a short let up in this race. She is another that raced really well last campaign. She was a dominant winner first up at this track over 1200m before going too hard in front in a strong race in Adelaide. She then should have won at Moonee Valley before being tested over 1400m at Flemington at her last run before a spell and failing. She is another that has had a jump out leading into this race and with a bit of residual fitness on side I think she should come to the races pretty close to the mark here. She draws out and I am hoping that if True Excelsior crosses to lead she is the one that can land outside of her. If that is the case I really think the two of them can own the race in front and with that positional advantage in running have an edge over the early market favourite in Rillito. Based on that I am happy to be with Creativity also.

Betting strategy

Keen on Prezado as a stand out bet here and will have $85 the win on him!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 1

12:05pm

Suggested

Cisco Bay (No.1), Butchoy (No.7) & Panzerfaust (No.14)

Dangers

Evopex (No.2) & Wallander (No.6)

Racing in Sydney comes from Randwick this Saturday and the racing world will all have their eyes on the mighty mare Winx as she makes her return to racing and embarks on a historic spring campaign which will hopefully culminate in an unprecedented fourth consecutive Cox Plate victory. She should win again and victory on Saturday would be her 26th in a row surpassing the record set by the immortal Black Caviar. It truly is rare air. Anyway that is the last you will hear of Winx in this preview as we get into the important matters of finding a winner on the punt. Randwick looks set to turn on another glorious day as the weather in Sydney just continues to produce the goods. There was some talk during the week about a fair bit of watering being done to the Randwick track this week but with the sunny and breezy conditions forecast I anticipate things staying pretty dry with the rail out seven metres. I wouldn’t be surprised to see those on speed have a bit of an advantage during the day unless the track really has been significantly overwatered to the point where there will be firmer going out wider on the track.

I am kicking the day off in the highway which is the first race of the day and it is over the mile. This is a really competitive highway too. Cisco Bay went around in a highway here two weeks ago behind Magic Choir and had absolutely no luck at all. It was one out of the bad Glyn Schofield textbook. He just never got a clear crack at them. For mine he clearly should have won the race. His form prior to that effort has also been really good. He resumed from a spell with a good win at Tamworth before not being beaten too far in the Grafton Guineas over their carnival. He then wasn’t beaten far behind one of his rivals here in Evopex over the Coffs Cup Carnival and he has a significant weight turnaround on that galloper in this race for a narrow defeat. Then came the unlucky run last start. He is racing like a horse that is looking for the mile in my opinion. He draws gate one here and if he can use that gate to good effect and hold a spot up on speed then I think he is going to be right in the finish with a touch of luck. Happy to be with him.

Butchoy looks ready to deliver a peak performance here at his fourth run back from a spell stepping up to the mile here. He won well first up at Mudgee before taking on highway races at his last two starts. Two starts back he got a long way back over the 1400m and was off the bit a long way from home before working through the line nicely. He then backed up quickly stepping to the 1500m last start but got caught working three wide on the speed. I thought he stuck on really well given the tough run that he had that day and with a slightly easier run here in transit I think he can be in the finish. He looks like the mile is what he is looking for and from a middle gate here I am hoping Bowman might be able to land him in the one out one back position. From there I think he can be right in the finish and around the $7-8 mark I am keen to be with him.

Panzerfaust is the horse I struggled to get a line on in the race. She is a three year old filly that looks loaded with talent. She won well first up at Scone before she just got too far back out of her ground second up at Muswellbrook. She savaged the line but just gave away too big a start. She is down in the weights here and draws a lovely gate for Kerrin McEvoy to settle her in a gun position just off the speed. The concern for me is she goes from 1280m up to 1600m and if that is a bridge too far. She is very firm in the market and I don’t want to lose on the race should she win but she will be a break even bet with Cisco Bay and Butchoy at better odds the main results. If Evopex beats all three of them then I will be in a world of hurt and a very early start on the beers (let’s be honest I will be starting early regardless).

Betting strategy

This has been some pre post move for Panzerfaust! It is off the map! As a result Cisco Bay is out to a really good price and I will have $25 the win on him having half now at the $7 with UBET Fixed Odds! I will also have $25 the win on Butchoy also locking in the $7.50 with UBET Fixed Odds as I think the money will continue to come for him! I will also have $35 the win on Panzerfaust to cover those bets!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 1

11:37am

Suggested

Awake The Stars (No.2) & Sornja (No.5)

Dangers

Prue’s Angel (No.1) & Tedder Avenue (No.6)

Racing comes from the Gold Coast this Saturday for the main metropolitan meeting in Queensland. South East Queensland like Sydney has enjoyed some amazing weather in recent times for this time of year. Everyone I know is up there at the moment. The Baroness and my parents are all up there enjoying the sunshine so spare a though for the old battling Baron freezing away working hard here in Melbourne. I was doing some stats the other week on which tracks I have actually been most profitable at across the country (I intend to share with everyone shortly the findings) and was quite surprised to see the Gold Coast had a really good POT result of +33%. Admittedly it is only form three meetings and is probably enhanced by a day out at this track where I went four out of four on Hollindale Cup day but it gives me a bit of confidence coming into this program. It is not a track I have typically been overly keen on betting at but another good day on Saturday might change that opinion completely. With the rail in the true position on a firm track I would certainly expect horses up on speed and close to the rail to not be disadvantaged in any way throughout the day. It is a bit of a tricky program so I have only found the three races to bet into.

I am getting started nice and early in the first race which is over the 1400m for the fillies and mares. The thing that struck me about this race was that there were quite a few horses engaged who might be a bit of a question mark over this 1400m trip. The favourite Prue’s Angel steps up to this trip for just the second time off the back of two good wins to kick off this campaign. Her only run over this trip or close to it came when she was a two year old and ran over 1350m at Ipswich was the fourth and last run of her debut campaign. Given that I wouldn’t read too much into it but all the same at the short price I am going to take her on.

I am siding with the second favourite in the market in Awake The Stars. This mare has a dynamite 1400m record and also has a dynamite record around this Gold Coast circuit. In fact from four runs over this track and trip she has won all four. She was just touched off in the last couple of bounds by Francisca last Saturday at Doomben in a Benchmark 75 and looks well placed coming back to a One Metro Win only race. She draws the outside gate but I am really hopeful that Ryan Maloney is positive out of the machines on her and if he can get her across to be leading or outside the leader without exerting too much early energy I think she can control the race and be really hard to get past. Happy to be in her corner.

Sornja should be ready to peak here at her third run back from a spell and also looks suited by the step up to the 1400m of this race. She hit the line well first up and then it felt like very punter in Australia was on her two weeks ago when she was backed off the map. Prue’s Angel proved too good for her there. I certainly think the step up to the 1400m swings things a bit further back in favour of Sornja though. She draws gate one, has no weight on her back and if close enough in the run should be strong late here so happy to give her one more chance though she hasn’t made winning a regular habit throughout her career having won only two of twenty.

Betting strategy

I will have $60 the win on Awake The Stars here and save with $30 the win on Sornja!

Race Outlay

$90

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