Freebies for Stradbroke Day 2020 at Eagle Farm including Flemington and Randwick. Tough program with plenty of value.

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Race 3

12:45pm

Suggested

Hypercane (No.3), Highland Jakk (No.6) & Dargo (No.8)

Dangers

Coolth (No.5) & Persan (No.9)

Racing returns to headquarters at Flemington on Saturday for another very strong off-season program. It is a shame we can’t go to the races obviously at the moment but there is no doubting the quality of racing for this time of year has been as good as I can remember. Big fields, with fantastic betting opportunities and I think we have seen plenty of promising horses unveiled over the past few weeks. As I write this preview early on Thursday morning the track is rated as a Soft 6 with dry days up until Saturday forecast.  There doesn’t look to be significant rain forecast and I anticipate we will probably lob in that Soft 5-6 range. I am kicking off the day in the third race, no before lunch celebratory beers this Saturday unfortunately.

This race is over the 2000m for the three year olds. This is an interesting race. There is a fair bit of hype around this unbeaten three year old from the McEvoy yard in Coolth who makes his way over to Melbourne on the back of two very impressive wins in South Australia. He certainly looks as if the big track at Flemington will suit him. He is a monster of a horse. He really rounded his rivals up impressively at Murray Bridge last start and that followed a similar type win at Balaklava. For me he is a risk here. While the wins have been visually impressive and he certainly looks a talent. He has been beating inferior horses and doing it will but whether he can concede a higher quality of horse here that kind of start and win at the third start of his debut preparation I am not so sure. I thought he was a risk at the price and a few horses worth having a bet on to roll him.

Hypercane is the horse over from Adelaide I want to be with. His form this time in has been good. He won well first up before making good ground from the back in a leader dominated race second up. He then chased home Game Keeper last start in a listed race in Adelaide. We have seen that horse come to Melbourne and win well at Flemington two weeks ago. The slight gap between runs is a bit of a concern. He is four weeks from his last run into this and rising from the mile to the 2000m but I felt he was the horse bringing the best overall form into the race. He is racing like a horse looking for this trip and happy to be in his corner.

Highland Jakk seems to have come back a very dour commodity this time in. He looked a horse with some decent promise last campaign but has looked a real one paced grinder this campaign. He has run well without winning but he looks as if he needs a bit of zip put back in his legs. The advantage he does have here is that he has a recent 2000m run under his belt compared to a fair few of his rivals. He has the miles in his legs which could prove crucial if this turns into a testing 2000m affair. Williams goes on, I am not sure gate one is any spoil but if he finds clear galloping room from there I think he is going to put himself in the finish. I would rather be with him than against him here.

One at longer odds I am keen on is Dargo who was good first up at Sale. His condition probably just gave out late there. He was first up over the mile, made a long circling run from the back of the field and was just touched off in a head bobbing finish after looking the winner halfway down the straight. He should strip fitter for that first up run and certainly looks as if he will relish the big Flemington track and the 2000m. Michael Rodd goes on from a middle draw and happy to be with him at double figure odds.

Betting strategy

I will have $30 the win on Hyper cane here, $20 the win on Highland Jakk and $15 the win on Dargo!

Race Outlay

$65

Race 6

2:45pm

Suggested

Chapada (No.4), Sin To Win (No.7) & Starcaster (No.10)

Dangers

Sasko (No.6) & Masaff (No.8)

Tricky race this. It is for the stayers over the 2500m. Masaff looks like being one of the well touted horses of the day here at Flemington. He is coming off two eye catching runs to kick off his Australian career and his European form around the likes of Downdraft and Latrobe certainly ready well for a race of this nature. He does gave Craig Williams on board from gate one which is a slight concern as Craig isn’t going well at the moment with only one winner from his past fifty rides. Craig might have got his confidence up earlier in the day with Prezado and Highland Jakk potentially and Masaff fans will be hoping that. I think he is a promising horse and had the race been over 2000m I would have been all set to tumble into him third up. It is just a sharp jump from the 1800m to the 2500m and he takes on some horses that are rock hard fit and have been racing in this distance range.

The main one of those for mine is Sin To Win. He hasn’t won for a while but gee, he looks to have his hoof on the till. His last three runs have all been excellent. Three starts ago he beat all bar Haky in a race featuring last year’s Melbourne Cup winner and he was then very good at The Bool in the Cup there. Last start his run was enormous from the back of the field in a race that was owned on speed by Sasko. It was also a race where horses closer to the inside seemed to have an advantage. This bloke sat last and tried to circle the field which was just too hard to do. I thought he was clearly the run of the race there and I think this race sets up ideally for him. Ollie rides from gate three which should allow him to settle closer to the speed, the drier surface should suit and I think he is ready to win. Happy to be with him.

Starcaster is doing my head in a bit. He looks like he might be a bit of a headcase too. He pulled his head off last start in the run and I thought his effort to stick on and finish where he did actually wasn’t too bad. I just can’t get his first up win out of my head at Geelong. He was so impressive there but it is making me think is he better suited sitting back off a fast speed over a shorter trip and hitting the line. I guess the respect for Anthony Freedman and the fact he is clearly persisting with him over these longer trips suggests to me there is something there for him as a stayer. I think a key factor here is that he gets on to a drier surface. His last two runs have been on very heavy tracks. He draws gate two so he should get a nice smother which will help him settle in the run hopefully and if he can travel sweeter in the run and the breaks come his way I am not ready to give up on him yet. At double figure odds I am happy to take the punt.

Chapada is another that is finding it hard to win but his runs this time in have been good. He loomed to win last start but just failed to finish it off. He comes into this at his fourth run back from a spell and will get a gun run in transit and even though that winning strike looks poor I think he is going to be in the finish so I will have something on him.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Sin To Win here and save with $20 the win on Starcaster and Chapada!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 5

1:50pm

Suggested

Oakfield Twilight (No.3), Burning Crown (No.5) & Monte Ditto (No.11)

Dangers

Poetic Charmer (No.4) & Charratera (No.10)

This race is over the 1200m for the sprinters. I thought it looked a good race for Burning Crown who looks to have come back from a spell in good order this time in. He seems to have developed some real toughness to his race craft. I was of the opinion he might be a horse that just needs it all his own way out in front and was perhaps a bit of a one trick pony. His two runs this time in however suggest otherwise. First up at Warwick Farm on the heavy track he was given no peace in front but just kept fighting his rivals off for a determined win. I thought his run last start when second up was also very good behind the in form Dirty Work. He just got given no favours in the run there. He was wide and working the whole way. He still loomed halfway down the straight to hit the front and look like a winning hope for a few strides but once Dirty Work came off his back it was all over. I thought the run contained plenty of merit.

He goes up to the 1200m here but third up with two solid 1100m runs under his belt that doesn’t bother me. I anticipate that he probably comes across here with Oakfield Twilight from gates six and seven and I fancy they will have the speed to cross Catesby in gate one and from there Bowman can really own the race outside the leader. He may even let Catesby and Oakfield Twilight go and have the drop on them if those runaway tactics are adopted with Oakfield Twilight. Either way I think Bowman will get him into a good position for a good run in transit and that clearly makes him the hardest to beat so keen to be with him.

Speaking of Oakfield Twilight I am going to have something on him. He is racing in great form. The blinkers went on last start on the Kensington track and he simply ran his rivals into the ground over the 1300m. He was stopping late but still fell into win. I think back to the 1200m here if he decides to roll forward again he could prove pretty hard to get past and at the $15 on offer looks worth a ticket.

I think Monte Ditto is the one if they overdo it up front and set it up for a horse to swoop from the back. He has hit the line strongly in his last two at Canterbury and looks like he will relish getting on to the bigger Randwick surface here. He handles soft conditions and draws to get a lovely smothering run in behind the speed. If they go hard up front and the breaks come his way he is going to be the one coming strongly late so I want to keep him on side.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Burning Crown here, $25 the win on Monte Ditto and $10 the win on Oakfield Twilight!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 3

12:20pm

Suggested

Plenty (No.5), Totally Charmed (No.7) & Stylish Saga (No.16)

Dangers

Pinnacle Star (No.2) & Pure Pulse (No.17)

This race is over the 1200m and it is a big wide open field. The main form reference looks to be the race won here by Plenty last start with a few horses coming through that into this race here. Pinnacle Star is the horse that has come up favourite however on the back of a good first up run at Ipswich. He is taking up a decent percentage of the market here and as such I thought there might be an opportunity to bet around him. He is certainly a winning chance but in gate one I am just hoping he might find some trouble from the draw and that might assist these other runners.

I am backing in the form from the race won by Plenty. That horse is flying and I am sticking with him here. He has won his last two in very similar fashion. He has been back over along the inside and has found a way through the field to drive up the rail and beat his rivals. He only just got there here last start whereas the win prior at the Sunshine Coast was quite dominant. I see no reason to jump off him here. He draws gate three so he will again be hoping for the inside runs and breaks to come his way and if they do I see no reason why he can’t be winning again so happy to be with him.

Totally Charmed perhaps just got left in front a bit too far from home in that same race. He burst through and looked all over the winner only to be cut down late by Plenty. He was second up there jumping from the 1000m to the 1200m so perhaps that just told late on. Now he has that 1200m run under his belt he should be rock hard fit here and primed to peak third up. He draws an ideal middle gate to get a good run off the speed and I think he is well placed to turn the tables on Plenty here.

Stylish Saga also comes out of that same race and he might be the big improver. He didn’t seem to appreciate racing inside of horses first up at Doomben when beaten as a very short priced favourite. He then improved second up behind Plenty. He again got into a bit of an awkward spot out wide and back there and had to duck back to the in between runners but I thought he hit the line well. I think he is the one set to really elevate into this race third up. He draws a nice middle gate for Jimmy Orman and I would expect him to run well. Keen to be with him.

Betting strategy

I will have $30 the win on both Totally Charmed and Stylish Saga and save with $25 the win on Plenty!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 3

12:45pm

Suggested

Hypercane (No.3), Highland Jakk (No.6) & Dargo (No.8)

Dangers

Coolth (No.5) & Persan (No.9)

Racing returns to headquarters at Flemington on Saturday for another very strong off-season program. It is a shame we can’t go to the races obviously at the moment but there is no doubting the quality of racing for this time of year has been as good as I can remember. Big fields, with fantastic betting opportunities and I think we have seen plenty of promising horses unveiled over the past few weeks. As I write this preview early on Thursday morning the track is rated as a Soft 6 with dry days up until Saturday forecast.  There doesn’t look to be significant rain forecast and I anticipate we will probably lob in that Soft 5-6 range. I am kicking off the day in the third race, no before lunch celebratory beers this Saturday unfortunately.

This race is over the 2000m for the three year olds. This is an interesting race. There is a fair bit of hype around this unbeaten three year old from the McEvoy yard in Coolth who makes his way over to Melbourne on the back of two very impressive wins in South Australia. He certainly looks as if the big track at Flemington will suit him. He is a monster of a horse. He really rounded his rivals up impressively at Murray Bridge last start and that followed a similar type win at Balaklava. For me he is a risk here. While the wins have been visually impressive and he certainly looks a talent. He has been beating inferior horses and doing it will but whether he can concede a higher quality of horse here that kind of start and win at the third start of his debut preparation I am not so sure. I thought he was a risk at the price and a few horses worth having a bet on to roll him.

Hypercane is the horse over from Adelaide I want to be with. His form this time in has been good. He won well first up before making good ground from the back in a leader dominated race second up. He then chased home Game Keeper last start in a listed race in Adelaide. We have seen that horse come to Melbourne and win well at Flemington two weeks ago. The slight gap between runs is a bit of a concern. He is four weeks from his last run into this and rising from the mile to the 2000m but I felt he was the horse bringing the best overall form into the race. He is racing like a horse looking for this trip and happy to be in his corner.

Highland Jakk seems to have come back a very dour commodity this time in. He looked a horse with some decent promise last campaign but has looked a real one paced grinder this campaign. He has run well without winning but he looks as if he needs a bit of zip put back in his legs. The advantage he does have here is that he has a recent 2000m run under his belt compared to a fair few of his rivals. He has the miles in his legs which could prove crucial if this turns into a testing 2000m affair. Williams goes on, I am not sure gate one is any spoil but if he finds clear galloping room from there I think he is going to put himself in the finish. I would rather be with him than against him here.

One at longer odds I am keen on is Dargo who was good first up at Sale. His condition probably just gave out late there. He was first up over the mile, made a long circling run from the back of the field and was just touched off in a head bobbing finish after looking the winner halfway down the straight. He should strip fitter for that first up run and certainly looks as if he will relish the big Flemington track and the 2000m. Michael Rodd goes on from a middle draw and happy to be with him at double figure odds.

Betting strategy

I will have $30 the win on Hyper cane here, $20 the win on Highland Jakk and $15 the win on Dargo!

Race Outlay

$65

Race 6

2:45pm

Suggested

Chapada (No.4), Sin To Win (No.7) & Starcaster (No.10)

Dangers

Sasko (No.6) & Masaff (No.8)

Tricky race this. It is for the stayers over the 2500m. Masaff looks like being one of the well touted horses of the day here at Flemington. He is coming off two eye catching runs to kick off his Australian career and his European form around the likes of Downdraft and Latrobe certainly ready well for a race of this nature. He does gave Craig Williams on board from gate one which is a slight concern as Craig isn’t going well at the moment with only one winner from his past fifty rides. Craig might have got his confidence up earlier in the day with Prezado and Highland Jakk potentially and Masaff fans will be hoping that. I think he is a promising horse and had the race been over 2000m I would have been all set to tumble into him third up. It is just a sharp jump from the 1800m to the 2500m and he takes on some horses that are rock hard fit and have been racing in this distance range.

The main one of those for mine is Sin To Win. He hasn’t won for a while but gee, he looks to have his hoof on the till. His last three runs have all been excellent. Three starts ago he beat all bar Haky in a race featuring last year’s Melbourne Cup winner and he was then very good at The Bool in the Cup there. Last start his run was enormous from the back of the field in a race that was owned on speed by Sasko. It was also a race where horses closer to the inside seemed to have an advantage. This bloke sat last and tried to circle the field which was just too hard to do. I thought he was clearly the run of the race there and I think this race sets up ideally for him. Ollie rides from gate three which should allow him to settle closer to the speed, the drier surface should suit and I think he is ready to win. Happy to be with him.

Starcaster is doing my head in a bit. He looks like he might be a bit of a headcase too. He pulled his head off last start in the run and I thought his effort to stick on and finish where he did actually wasn’t too bad. I just can’t get his first up win out of my head at Geelong. He was so impressive there but it is making me think is he better suited sitting back off a fast speed over a shorter trip and hitting the line. I guess the respect for Anthony Freedman and the fact he is clearly persisting with him over these longer trips suggests to me there is something there for him as a stayer. I think a key factor here is that he gets on to a drier surface. His last two runs have been on very heavy tracks. He draws gate two so he should get a nice smother which will help him settle in the run hopefully and if he can travel sweeter in the run and the breaks come his way I am not ready to give up on him yet. At double figure odds I am happy to take the punt.

Chapada is another that is finding it hard to win but his runs this time in have been good. He loomed to win last start but just failed to finish it off. He comes into this at his fourth run back from a spell and will get a gun run in transit and even though that winning strike looks poor I think he is going to be in the finish so I will have something on him.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Sin To Win here and save with $20 the win on Starcaster and Chapada!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 5

1:50pm

Suggested

Oakfield Twilight (No.3), Burning Crown (No.5) & Monte Ditto (No.11)

Dangers

Poetic Charmer (No.4) & Charratera (No.10)

This race is over the 1200m for the sprinters. I thought it looked a good race for Burning Crown who looks to have come back from a spell in good order this time in. He seems to have developed some real toughness to his race craft. I was of the opinion he might be a horse that just needs it all his own way out in front and was perhaps a bit of a one trick pony. His two runs this time in however suggest otherwise. First up at Warwick Farm on the heavy track he was given no peace in front but just kept fighting his rivals off for a determined win. I thought his run last start when second up was also very good behind the in form Dirty Work. He just got given no favours in the run there. He was wide and working the whole way. He still loomed halfway down the straight to hit the front and look like a winning hope for a few strides but once Dirty Work came off his back it was all over. I thought the run contained plenty of merit.

He goes up to the 1200m here but third up with two solid 1100m runs under his belt that doesn’t bother me. I anticipate that he probably comes across here with Oakfield Twilight from gates six and seven and I fancy they will have the speed to cross Catesby in gate one and from there Bowman can really own the race outside the leader. He may even let Catesby and Oakfield Twilight go and have the drop on them if those runaway tactics are adopted with Oakfield Twilight. Either way I think Bowman will get him into a good position for a good run in transit and that clearly makes him the hardest to beat so keen to be with him.

Speaking of Oakfield Twilight I am going to have something on him. He is racing in great form. The blinkers went on last start on the Kensington track and he simply ran his rivals into the ground over the 1300m. He was stopping late but still fell into win. I think back to the 1200m here if he decides to roll forward again he could prove pretty hard to get past and at the $15 on offer looks worth a ticket.

I think Monte Ditto is the one if they overdo it up front and set it up for a horse to swoop from the back. He has hit the line strongly in his last two at Canterbury and looks like he will relish getting on to the bigger Randwick surface here. He handles soft conditions and draws to get a lovely smothering run in behind the speed. If they go hard up front and the breaks come his way he is going to be the one coming strongly late so I want to keep him on side.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Burning Crown here, $25 the win on Monte Ditto and $10 the win on Oakfield Twilight!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 3

12:20pm

Suggested

Plenty (No.5), Totally Charmed (No.7) & Stylish Saga (No.16)

Dangers

Pinnacle Star (No.2) & Pure Pulse (No.17)

This race is over the 1200m and it is a big wide open field. The main form reference looks to be the race won here by Plenty last start with a few horses coming through that into this race here. Pinnacle Star is the horse that has come up favourite however on the back of a good first up run at Ipswich. He is taking up a decent percentage of the market here and as such I thought there might be an opportunity to bet around him. He is certainly a winning chance but in gate one I am just hoping he might find some trouble from the draw and that might assist these other runners.

I am backing in the form from the race won by Plenty. That horse is flying and I am sticking with him here. He has won his last two in very similar fashion. He has been back over along the inside and has found a way through the field to drive up the rail and beat his rivals. He only just got there here last start whereas the win prior at the Sunshine Coast was quite dominant. I see no reason to jump off him here. He draws gate three so he will again be hoping for the inside runs and breaks to come his way and if they do I see no reason why he can’t be winning again so happy to be with him.

Totally Charmed perhaps just got left in front a bit too far from home in that same race. He burst through and looked all over the winner only to be cut down late by Plenty. He was second up there jumping from the 1000m to the 1200m so perhaps that just told late on. Now he has that 1200m run under his belt he should be rock hard fit here and primed to peak third up. He draws an ideal middle gate to get a good run off the speed and I think he is well placed to turn the tables on Plenty here.

Stylish Saga also comes out of that same race and he might be the big improver. He didn’t seem to appreciate racing inside of horses first up at Doomben when beaten as a very short priced favourite. He then improved second up behind Plenty. He again got into a bit of an awkward spot out wide and back there and had to duck back to the in between runners but I thought he hit the line well. I think he is the one set to really elevate into this race third up. He draws a nice middle gate for Jimmy Orman and I would expect him to run well. Keen to be with him.

Betting strategy

I will have $30 the win on both Totally Charmed and Stylish Saga and save with $25 the win on Plenty!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 3

12:45pm

Suggested

Hypercane (No.3), Highland Jakk (No.6) & Dargo (No.8)

Dangers

Coolth (No.5) & Persan (No.9)

Racing returns to headquarters at Flemington on Saturday for another very strong off-season program. It is a shame we can’t go to the races obviously at the moment but there is no doubting the quality of racing for this time of year has been as good as I can remember. Big fields, with fantastic betting opportunities and I think we have seen plenty of promising horses unveiled over the past few weeks. As I write this preview early on Thursday morning the track is rated as a Soft 6 with dry days up until Saturday forecast.  There doesn’t look to be significant rain forecast and I anticipate we will probably lob in that Soft 5-6 range. I am kicking off the day in the third race, no before lunch celebratory beers this Saturday unfortunately.

This race is over the 2000m for the three year olds. This is an interesting race. There is a fair bit of hype around this unbeaten three year old from the McEvoy yard in Coolth who makes his way over to Melbourne on the back of two very impressive wins in South Australia. He certainly looks as if the big track at Flemington will suit him. He is a monster of a horse. He really rounded his rivals up impressively at Murray Bridge last start and that followed a similar type win at Balaklava. For me he is a risk here. While the wins have been visually impressive and he certainly looks a talent. He has been beating inferior horses and doing it will but whether he can concede a higher quality of horse here that kind of start and win at the third start of his debut preparation I am not so sure. I thought he was a risk at the price and a few horses worth having a bet on to roll him.

Hypercane is the horse over from Adelaide I want to be with. His form this time in has been good. He won well first up before making good ground from the back in a leader dominated race second up. He then chased home Game Keeper last start in a listed race in Adelaide. We have seen that horse come to Melbourne and win well at Flemington two weeks ago. The slight gap between runs is a bit of a concern. He is four weeks from his last run into this and rising from the mile to the 2000m but I felt he was the horse bringing the best overall form into the race. He is racing like a horse looking for this trip and happy to be in his corner.

Highland Jakk seems to have come back a very dour commodity this time in. He looked a horse with some decent promise last campaign but has looked a real one paced grinder this campaign. He has run well without winning but he looks as if he needs a bit of zip put back in his legs. The advantage he does have here is that he has a recent 2000m run under his belt compared to a fair few of his rivals. He has the miles in his legs which could prove crucial if this turns into a testing 2000m affair. Williams goes on, I am not sure gate one is any spoil but if he finds clear galloping room from there I think he is going to put himself in the finish. I would rather be with him than against him here.

One at longer odds I am keen on is Dargo who was good first up at Sale. His condition probably just gave out late there. He was first up over the mile, made a long circling run from the back of the field and was just touched off in a head bobbing finish after looking the winner halfway down the straight. He should strip fitter for that first up run and certainly looks as if he will relish the big Flemington track and the 2000m. Michael Rodd goes on from a middle draw and happy to be with him at double figure odds.

Betting strategy

I will have $30 the win on Hyper cane here, $20 the win on Highland Jakk and $15 the win on Dargo!

Race Outlay

$65

Race 6

2:45pm

Suggested

Chapada (No.4), Sin To Win (No.7) & Starcaster (No.10)

Dangers

Sasko (No.6) & Masaff (No.8)

Tricky race this. It is for the stayers over the 2500m. Masaff looks like being one of the well touted horses of the day here at Flemington. He is coming off two eye catching runs to kick off his Australian career and his European form around the likes of Downdraft and Latrobe certainly ready well for a race of this nature. He does gave Craig Williams on board from gate one which is a slight concern as Craig isn’t going well at the moment with only one winner from his past fifty rides. Craig might have got his confidence up earlier in the day with Prezado and Highland Jakk potentially and Masaff fans will be hoping that. I think he is a promising horse and had the race been over 2000m I would have been all set to tumble into him third up. It is just a sharp jump from the 1800m to the 2500m and he takes on some horses that are rock hard fit and have been racing in this distance range.

The main one of those for mine is Sin To Win. He hasn’t won for a while but gee, he looks to have his hoof on the till. His last three runs have all been excellent. Three starts ago he beat all bar Haky in a race featuring last year’s Melbourne Cup winner and he was then very good at The Bool in the Cup there. Last start his run was enormous from the back of the field in a race that was owned on speed by Sasko. It was also a race where horses closer to the inside seemed to have an advantage. This bloke sat last and tried to circle the field which was just too hard to do. I thought he was clearly the run of the race there and I think this race sets up ideally for him. Ollie rides from gate three which should allow him to settle closer to the speed, the drier surface should suit and I think he is ready to win. Happy to be with him.

Starcaster is doing my head in a bit. He looks like he might be a bit of a headcase too. He pulled his head off last start in the run and I thought his effort to stick on and finish where he did actually wasn’t too bad. I just can’t get his first up win out of my head at Geelong. He was so impressive there but it is making me think is he better suited sitting back off a fast speed over a shorter trip and hitting the line. I guess the respect for Anthony Freedman and the fact he is clearly persisting with him over these longer trips suggests to me there is something there for him as a stayer. I think a key factor here is that he gets on to a drier surface. His last two runs have been on very heavy tracks. He draws gate two so he should get a nice smother which will help him settle in the run hopefully and if he can travel sweeter in the run and the breaks come his way I am not ready to give up on him yet. At double figure odds I am happy to take the punt.

Chapada is another that is finding it hard to win but his runs this time in have been good. He loomed to win last start but just failed to finish it off. He comes into this at his fourth run back from a spell and will get a gun run in transit and even though that winning strike looks poor I think he is going to be in the finish so I will have something on him.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Sin To Win here and save with $20 the win on Starcaster and Chapada!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 5

1:50pm

Suggested

Oakfield Twilight (No.3), Burning Crown (No.5) & Monte Ditto (No.11)

Dangers

Poetic Charmer (No.4) & Charratera (No.10)

This race is over the 1200m for the sprinters. I thought it looked a good race for Burning Crown who looks to have come back from a spell in good order this time in. He seems to have developed some real toughness to his race craft. I was of the opinion he might be a horse that just needs it all his own way out in front and was perhaps a bit of a one trick pony. His two runs this time in however suggest otherwise. First up at Warwick Farm on the heavy track he was given no peace in front but just kept fighting his rivals off for a determined win. I thought his run last start when second up was also very good behind the in form Dirty Work. He just got given no favours in the run there. He was wide and working the whole way. He still loomed halfway down the straight to hit the front and look like a winning hope for a few strides but once Dirty Work came off his back it was all over. I thought the run contained plenty of merit.

He goes up to the 1200m here but third up with two solid 1100m runs under his belt that doesn’t bother me. I anticipate that he probably comes across here with Oakfield Twilight from gates six and seven and I fancy they will have the speed to cross Catesby in gate one and from there Bowman can really own the race outside the leader. He may even let Catesby and Oakfield Twilight go and have the drop on them if those runaway tactics are adopted with Oakfield Twilight. Either way I think Bowman will get him into a good position for a good run in transit and that clearly makes him the hardest to beat so keen to be with him.

Speaking of Oakfield Twilight I am going to have something on him. He is racing in great form. The blinkers went on last start on the Kensington track and he simply ran his rivals into the ground over the 1300m. He was stopping late but still fell into win. I think back to the 1200m here if he decides to roll forward again he could prove pretty hard to get past and at the $15 on offer looks worth a ticket.

I think Monte Ditto is the one if they overdo it up front and set it up for a horse to swoop from the back. He has hit the line strongly in his last two at Canterbury and looks like he will relish getting on to the bigger Randwick surface here. He handles soft conditions and draws to get a lovely smothering run in behind the speed. If they go hard up front and the breaks come his way he is going to be the one coming strongly late so I want to keep him on side.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Burning Crown here, $25 the win on Monte Ditto and $10 the win on Oakfield Twilight!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 3

12:20pm

Suggested

Plenty (No.5), Totally Charmed (No.7) & Stylish Saga (No.16)

Dangers

Pinnacle Star (No.2) & Pure Pulse (No.17)

This race is over the 1200m and it is a big wide open field. The main form reference looks to be the race won here by Plenty last start with a few horses coming through that into this race here. Pinnacle Star is the horse that has come up favourite however on the back of a good first up run at Ipswich. He is taking up a decent percentage of the market here and as such I thought there might be an opportunity to bet around him. He is certainly a winning chance but in gate one I am just hoping he might find some trouble from the draw and that might assist these other runners.

I am backing in the form from the race won by Plenty. That horse is flying and I am sticking with him here. He has won his last two in very similar fashion. He has been back over along the inside and has found a way through the field to drive up the rail and beat his rivals. He only just got there here last start whereas the win prior at the Sunshine Coast was quite dominant. I see no reason to jump off him here. He draws gate three so he will again be hoping for the inside runs and breaks to come his way and if they do I see no reason why he can’t be winning again so happy to be with him.

Totally Charmed perhaps just got left in front a bit too far from home in that same race. He burst through and looked all over the winner only to be cut down late by Plenty. He was second up there jumping from the 1000m to the 1200m so perhaps that just told late on. Now he has that 1200m run under his belt he should be rock hard fit here and primed to peak third up. He draws an ideal middle gate to get a good run off the speed and I think he is well placed to turn the tables on Plenty here.

Stylish Saga also comes out of that same race and he might be the big improver. He didn’t seem to appreciate racing inside of horses first up at Doomben when beaten as a very short priced favourite. He then improved second up behind Plenty. He again got into a bit of an awkward spot out wide and back there and had to duck back to the in between runners but I thought he hit the line well. I think he is the one set to really elevate into this race third up. He draws a nice middle gate for Jimmy Orman and I would expect him to run well. Keen to be with him.

Betting strategy

I will have $30 the win on both Totally Charmed and Stylish Saga and save with $25 the win on Plenty!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 3

12:45pm

Suggested

Hypercane (No.3), Highland Jakk (No.6) & Dargo (No.8)

Dangers

Coolth (No.5) & Persan (No.9)

Racing returns to headquarters at Flemington on Saturday for another very strong off-season program. It is a shame we can’t go to the races obviously at the moment but there is no doubting the quality of racing for this time of year has been as good as I can remember. Big fields, with fantastic betting opportunities and I think we have seen plenty of promising horses unveiled over the past few weeks. As I write this preview early on Thursday morning the track is rated as a Soft 6 with dry days up until Saturday forecast.  There doesn’t look to be significant rain forecast and I anticipate we will probably lob in that Soft 5-6 range. I am kicking off the day in the third race, no before lunch celebratory beers this Saturday unfortunately.

This race is over the 2000m for the three year olds. This is an interesting race. There is a fair bit of hype around this unbeaten three year old from the McEvoy yard in Coolth who makes his way over to Melbourne on the back of two very impressive wins in South Australia. He certainly looks as if the big track at Flemington will suit him. He is a monster of a horse. He really rounded his rivals up impressively at Murray Bridge last start and that followed a similar type win at Balaklava. For me he is a risk here. While the wins have been visually impressive and he certainly looks a talent. He has been beating inferior horses and doing it will but whether he can concede a higher quality of horse here that kind of start and win at the third start of his debut preparation I am not so sure. I thought he was a risk at the price and a few horses worth having a bet on to roll him.

Hypercane is the horse over from Adelaide I want to be with. His form this time in has been good. He won well first up before making good ground from the back in a leader dominated race second up. He then chased home Game Keeper last start in a listed race in Adelaide. We have seen that horse come to Melbourne and win well at Flemington two weeks ago. The slight gap between runs is a bit of a concern. He is four weeks from his last run into this and rising from the mile to the 2000m but I felt he was the horse bringing the best overall form into the race. He is racing like a horse looking for this trip and happy to be in his corner.

Highland Jakk seems to have come back a very dour commodity this time in. He looked a horse with some decent promise last campaign but has looked a real one paced grinder this campaign. He has run well without winning but he looks as if he needs a bit of zip put back in his legs. The advantage he does have here is that he has a recent 2000m run under his belt compared to a fair few of his rivals. He has the miles in his legs which could prove crucial if this turns into a testing 2000m affair. Williams goes on, I am not sure gate one is any spoil but if he finds clear galloping room from there I think he is going to put himself in the finish. I would rather be with him than against him here.

One at longer odds I am keen on is Dargo who was good first up at Sale. His condition probably just gave out late there. He was first up over the mile, made a long circling run from the back of the field and was just touched off in a head bobbing finish after looking the winner halfway down the straight. He should strip fitter for that first up run and certainly looks as if he will relish the big Flemington track and the 2000m. Michael Rodd goes on from a middle draw and happy to be with him at double figure odds.

Betting strategy

I will have $30 the win on Hyper cane here, $20 the win on Highland Jakk and $15 the win on Dargo!

Race Outlay

$65

Race 6

2:45pm

Suggested

Chapada (No.4), Sin To Win (No.7) & Starcaster (No.10)

Dangers

Sasko (No.6) & Masaff (No.8)

Tricky race this. It is for the stayers over the 2500m. Masaff looks like being one of the well touted horses of the day here at Flemington. He is coming off two eye catching runs to kick off his Australian career and his European form around the likes of Downdraft and Latrobe certainly ready well for a race of this nature. He does gave Craig Williams on board from gate one which is a slight concern as Craig isn’t going well at the moment with only one winner from his past fifty rides. Craig might have got his confidence up earlier in the day with Prezado and Highland Jakk potentially and Masaff fans will be hoping that. I think he is a promising horse and had the race been over 2000m I would have been all set to tumble into him third up. It is just a sharp jump from the 1800m to the 2500m and he takes on some horses that are rock hard fit and have been racing in this distance range.

The main one of those for mine is Sin To Win. He hasn’t won for a while but gee, he looks to have his hoof on the till. His last three runs have all been excellent. Three starts ago he beat all bar Haky in a race featuring last year’s Melbourne Cup winner and he was then very good at The Bool in the Cup there. Last start his run was enormous from the back of the field in a race that was owned on speed by Sasko. It was also a race where horses closer to the inside seemed to have an advantage. This bloke sat last and tried to circle the field which was just too hard to do. I thought he was clearly the run of the race there and I think this race sets up ideally for him. Ollie rides from gate three which should allow him to settle closer to the speed, the drier surface should suit and I think he is ready to win. Happy to be with him.

Starcaster is doing my head in a bit. He looks like he might be a bit of a headcase too. He pulled his head off last start in the run and I thought his effort to stick on and finish where he did actually wasn’t too bad. I just can’t get his first up win out of my head at Geelong. He was so impressive there but it is making me think is he better suited sitting back off a fast speed over a shorter trip and hitting the line. I guess the respect for Anthony Freedman and the fact he is clearly persisting with him over these longer trips suggests to me there is something there for him as a stayer. I think a key factor here is that he gets on to a drier surface. His last two runs have been on very heavy tracks. He draws gate two so he should get a nice smother which will help him settle in the run hopefully and if he can travel sweeter in the run and the breaks come his way I am not ready to give up on him yet. At double figure odds I am happy to take the punt.

Chapada is another that is finding it hard to win but his runs this time in have been good. He loomed to win last start but just failed to finish it off. He comes into this at his fourth run back from a spell and will get a gun run in transit and even though that winning strike looks poor I think he is going to be in the finish so I will have something on him.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Sin To Win here and save with $20 the win on Starcaster and Chapada!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 5

1:50pm

Suggested

Oakfield Twilight (No.3), Burning Crown (No.5) & Monte Ditto (No.11)

Dangers

Poetic Charmer (No.4) & Charratera (No.10)

This race is over the 1200m for the sprinters. I thought it looked a good race for Burning Crown who looks to have come back from a spell in good order this time in. He seems to have developed some real toughness to his race craft. I was of the opinion he might be a horse that just needs it all his own way out in front and was perhaps a bit of a one trick pony. His two runs this time in however suggest otherwise. First up at Warwick Farm on the heavy track he was given no peace in front but just kept fighting his rivals off for a determined win. I thought his run last start when second up was also very good behind the in form Dirty Work. He just got given no favours in the run there. He was wide and working the whole way. He still loomed halfway down the straight to hit the front and look like a winning hope for a few strides but once Dirty Work came off his back it was all over. I thought the run contained plenty of merit.

He goes up to the 1200m here but third up with two solid 1100m runs under his belt that doesn’t bother me. I anticipate that he probably comes across here with Oakfield Twilight from gates six and seven and I fancy they will have the speed to cross Catesby in gate one and from there Bowman can really own the race outside the leader. He may even let Catesby and Oakfield Twilight go and have the drop on them if those runaway tactics are adopted with Oakfield Twilight. Either way I think Bowman will get him into a good position for a good run in transit and that clearly makes him the hardest to beat so keen to be with him.

Speaking of Oakfield Twilight I am going to have something on him. He is racing in great form. The blinkers went on last start on the Kensington track and he simply ran his rivals into the ground over the 1300m. He was stopping late but still fell into win. I think back to the 1200m here if he decides to roll forward again he could prove pretty hard to get past and at the $15 on offer looks worth a ticket.

I think Monte Ditto is the one if they overdo it up front and set it up for a horse to swoop from the back. He has hit the line strongly in his last two at Canterbury and looks like he will relish getting on to the bigger Randwick surface here. He handles soft conditions and draws to get a lovely smothering run in behind the speed. If they go hard up front and the breaks come his way he is going to be the one coming strongly late so I want to keep him on side.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Burning Crown here, $25 the win on Monte Ditto and $10 the win on Oakfield Twilight!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 3

12:20pm

Suggested

Plenty (No.5), Totally Charmed (No.7) & Stylish Saga (No.16)

Dangers

Pinnacle Star (No.2) & Pure Pulse (No.17)

This race is over the 1200m and it is a big wide open field. The main form reference looks to be the race won here by Plenty last start with a few horses coming through that into this race here. Pinnacle Star is the horse that has come up favourite however on the back of a good first up run at Ipswich. He is taking up a decent percentage of the market here and as such I thought there might be an opportunity to bet around him. He is certainly a winning chance but in gate one I am just hoping he might find some trouble from the draw and that might assist these other runners.

I am backing in the form from the race won by Plenty. That horse is flying and I am sticking with him here. He has won his last two in very similar fashion. He has been back over along the inside and has found a way through the field to drive up the rail and beat his rivals. He only just got there here last start whereas the win prior at the Sunshine Coast was quite dominant. I see no reason to jump off him here. He draws gate three so he will again be hoping for the inside runs and breaks to come his way and if they do I see no reason why he can’t be winning again so happy to be with him.

Totally Charmed perhaps just got left in front a bit too far from home in that same race. He burst through and looked all over the winner only to be cut down late by Plenty. He was second up there jumping from the 1000m to the 1200m so perhaps that just told late on. Now he has that 1200m run under his belt he should be rock hard fit here and primed to peak third up. He draws an ideal middle gate to get a good run off the speed and I think he is well placed to turn the tables on Plenty here.

Stylish Saga also comes out of that same race and he might be the big improver. He didn’t seem to appreciate racing inside of horses first up at Doomben when beaten as a very short priced favourite. He then improved second up behind Plenty. He again got into a bit of an awkward spot out wide and back there and had to duck back to the in between runners but I thought he hit the line well. I think he is the one set to really elevate into this race third up. He draws a nice middle gate for Jimmy Orman and I would expect him to run well. Keen to be with him.

Betting strategy

I will have $30 the win on both Totally Charmed and Stylish Saga and save with $25 the win on Plenty!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 3

12:45pm

Suggested

Hypercane (No.3), Highland Jakk (No.6) & Dargo (No.8)

Dangers

Coolth (No.5) & Persan (No.9)

Racing returns to headquarters at Flemington on Saturday for another very strong off-season program. It is a shame we can’t go to the races obviously at the moment but there is no doubting the quality of racing for this time of year has been as good as I can remember. Big fields, with fantastic betting opportunities and I think we have seen plenty of promising horses unveiled over the past few weeks. As I write this preview early on Thursday morning the track is rated as a Soft 6 with dry days up until Saturday forecast.  There doesn’t look to be significant rain forecast and I anticipate we will probably lob in that Soft 5-6 range. I am kicking off the day in the third race, no before lunch celebratory beers this Saturday unfortunately.

This race is over the 2000m for the three year olds. This is an interesting race. There is a fair bit of hype around this unbeaten three year old from the McEvoy yard in Coolth who makes his way over to Melbourne on the back of two very impressive wins in South Australia. He certainly looks as if the big track at Flemington will suit him. He is a monster of a horse. He really rounded his rivals up impressively at Murray Bridge last start and that followed a similar type win at Balaklava. For me he is a risk here. While the wins have been visually impressive and he certainly looks a talent. He has been beating inferior horses and doing it will but whether he can concede a higher quality of horse here that kind of start and win at the third start of his debut preparation I am not so sure. I thought he was a risk at the price and a few horses worth having a bet on to roll him.

Hypercane is the horse over from Adelaide I want to be with. His form this time in has been good. He won well first up before making good ground from the back in a leader dominated race second up. He then chased home Game Keeper last start in a listed race in Adelaide. We have seen that horse come to Melbourne and win well at Flemington two weeks ago. The slight gap between runs is a bit of a concern. He is four weeks from his last run into this and rising from the mile to the 2000m but I felt he was the horse bringing the best overall form into the race. He is racing like a horse looking for this trip and happy to be in his corner.

Highland Jakk seems to have come back a very dour commodity this time in. He looked a horse with some decent promise last campaign but has looked a real one paced grinder this campaign. He has run well without winning but he looks as if he needs a bit of zip put back in his legs. The advantage he does have here is that he has a recent 2000m run under his belt compared to a fair few of his rivals. He has the miles in his legs which could prove crucial if this turns into a testing 2000m affair. Williams goes on, I am not sure gate one is any spoil but if he finds clear galloping room from there I think he is going to put himself in the finish. I would rather be with him than against him here.

One at longer odds I am keen on is Dargo who was good first up at Sale. His condition probably just gave out late there. He was first up over the mile, made a long circling run from the back of the field and was just touched off in a head bobbing finish after looking the winner halfway down the straight. He should strip fitter for that first up run and certainly looks as if he will relish the big Flemington track and the 2000m. Michael Rodd goes on from a middle draw and happy to be with him at double figure odds.

Betting strategy

I will have $30 the win on Hyper cane here, $20 the win on Highland Jakk and $15 the win on Dargo!

Race Outlay

$65

Race 6

2:45pm

Suggested

Chapada (No.4), Sin To Win (No.7) & Starcaster (No.10)

Dangers

Sasko (No.6) & Masaff (No.8)

Tricky race this. It is for the stayers over the 2500m. Masaff looks like being one of the well touted horses of the day here at Flemington. He is coming off two eye catching runs to kick off his Australian career and his European form around the likes of Downdraft and Latrobe certainly ready well for a race of this nature. He does gave Craig Williams on board from gate one which is a slight concern as Craig isn’t going well at the moment with only one winner from his past fifty rides. Craig might have got his confidence up earlier in the day with Prezado and Highland Jakk potentially and Masaff fans will be hoping that. I think he is a promising horse and had the race been over 2000m I would have been all set to tumble into him third up. It is just a sharp jump from the 1800m to the 2500m and he takes on some horses that are rock hard fit and have been racing in this distance range.

The main one of those for mine is Sin To Win. He hasn’t won for a while but gee, he looks to have his hoof on the till. His last three runs have all been excellent. Three starts ago he beat all bar Haky in a race featuring last year’s Melbourne Cup winner and he was then very good at The Bool in the Cup there. Last start his run was enormous from the back of the field in a race that was owned on speed by Sasko. It was also a race where horses closer to the inside seemed to have an advantage. This bloke sat last and tried to circle the field which was just too hard to do. I thought he was clearly the run of the race there and I think this race sets up ideally for him. Ollie rides from gate three which should allow him to settle closer to the speed, the drier surface should suit and I think he is ready to win. Happy to be with him.

Starcaster is doing my head in a bit. He looks like he might be a bit of a headcase too. He pulled his head off last start in the run and I thought his effort to stick on and finish where he did actually wasn’t too bad. I just can’t get his first up win out of my head at Geelong. He was so impressive there but it is making me think is he better suited sitting back off a fast speed over a shorter trip and hitting the line. I guess the respect for Anthony Freedman and the fact he is clearly persisting with him over these longer trips suggests to me there is something there for him as a stayer. I think a key factor here is that he gets on to a drier surface. His last two runs have been on very heavy tracks. He draws gate two so he should get a nice smother which will help him settle in the run hopefully and if he can travel sweeter in the run and the breaks come his way I am not ready to give up on him yet. At double figure odds I am happy to take the punt.

Chapada is another that is finding it hard to win but his runs this time in have been good. He loomed to win last start but just failed to finish it off. He comes into this at his fourth run back from a spell and will get a gun run in transit and even though that winning strike looks poor I think he is going to be in the finish so I will have something on him.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Sin To Win here and save with $20 the win on Starcaster and Chapada!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 5

1:50pm

Suggested

Oakfield Twilight (No.3), Burning Crown (No.5) & Monte Ditto (No.11)

Dangers

Poetic Charmer (No.4) & Charratera (No.10)

This race is over the 1200m for the sprinters. I thought it looked a good race for Burning Crown who looks to have come back from a spell in good order this time in. He seems to have developed some real toughness to his race craft. I was of the opinion he might be a horse that just needs it all his own way out in front and was perhaps a bit of a one trick pony. His two runs this time in however suggest otherwise. First up at Warwick Farm on the heavy track he was given no peace in front but just kept fighting his rivals off for a determined win. I thought his run last start when second up was also very good behind the in form Dirty Work. He just got given no favours in the run there. He was wide and working the whole way. He still loomed halfway down the straight to hit the front and look like a winning hope for a few strides but once Dirty Work came off his back it was all over. I thought the run contained plenty of merit.

He goes up to the 1200m here but third up with two solid 1100m runs under his belt that doesn’t bother me. I anticipate that he probably comes across here with Oakfield Twilight from gates six and seven and I fancy they will have the speed to cross Catesby in gate one and from there Bowman can really own the race outside the leader. He may even let Catesby and Oakfield Twilight go and have the drop on them if those runaway tactics are adopted with Oakfield Twilight. Either way I think Bowman will get him into a good position for a good run in transit and that clearly makes him the hardest to beat so keen to be with him.

Speaking of Oakfield Twilight I am going to have something on him. He is racing in great form. The blinkers went on last start on the Kensington track and he simply ran his rivals into the ground over the 1300m. He was stopping late but still fell into win. I think back to the 1200m here if he decides to roll forward again he could prove pretty hard to get past and at the $15 on offer looks worth a ticket.

I think Monte Ditto is the one if they overdo it up front and set it up for a horse to swoop from the back. He has hit the line strongly in his last two at Canterbury and looks like he will relish getting on to the bigger Randwick surface here. He handles soft conditions and draws to get a lovely smothering run in behind the speed. If they go hard up front and the breaks come his way he is going to be the one coming strongly late so I want to keep him on side.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Burning Crown here, $25 the win on Monte Ditto and $10 the win on Oakfield Twilight!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 3

12:20pm

Suggested

Plenty (No.5), Totally Charmed (No.7) & Stylish Saga (No.16)

Dangers

Pinnacle Star (No.2) & Pure Pulse (No.17)

This race is over the 1200m and it is a big wide open field. The main form reference looks to be the race won here by Plenty last start with a few horses coming through that into this race here. Pinnacle Star is the horse that has come up favourite however on the back of a good first up run at Ipswich. He is taking up a decent percentage of the market here and as such I thought there might be an opportunity to bet around him. He is certainly a winning chance but in gate one I am just hoping he might find some trouble from the draw and that might assist these other runners.

I am backing in the form from the race won by Plenty. That horse is flying and I am sticking with him here. He has won his last two in very similar fashion. He has been back over along the inside and has found a way through the field to drive up the rail and beat his rivals. He only just got there here last start whereas the win prior at the Sunshine Coast was quite dominant. I see no reason to jump off him here. He draws gate three so he will again be hoping for the inside runs and breaks to come his way and if they do I see no reason why he can’t be winning again so happy to be with him.

Totally Charmed perhaps just got left in front a bit too far from home in that same race. He burst through and looked all over the winner only to be cut down late by Plenty. He was second up there jumping from the 1000m to the 1200m so perhaps that just told late on. Now he has that 1200m run under his belt he should be rock hard fit here and primed to peak third up. He draws an ideal middle gate to get a good run off the speed and I think he is well placed to turn the tables on Plenty here.

Stylish Saga also comes out of that same race and he might be the big improver. He didn’t seem to appreciate racing inside of horses first up at Doomben when beaten as a very short priced favourite. He then improved second up behind Plenty. He again got into a bit of an awkward spot out wide and back there and had to duck back to the in between runners but I thought he hit the line well. I think he is the one set to really elevate into this race third up. He draws a nice middle gate for Jimmy Orman and I would expect him to run well. Keen to be with him.

Betting strategy

I will have $30 the win on both Totally Charmed and Stylish Saga and save with $25 the win on Plenty!

Race Outlay

$85

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