Day Two of The Championships arrives at Royal Randwick. Eyes of the nation will be on Winx as she brings the curtain down on a career which is unparalleled in the Longines Queen Elizabeth Stakes. Main Group One previews include Sydney Cup & Coolmore Stakes.

Select a Race Meeting

Race 2

12:55pm

Suggested

Snogging (No.13), Paremuus Boy (No.14) & Tan Tat Trusting (No.15)

Dangers

Renewal (No.2), Fragment (No.3) & Kapaulenko (No.5)

Racing in Melbourne again comes from Caulfield this Saturday and for someone who was pleased about the return to racing there last Saturday it certainly didn’t reflect in my punting there. It was a rough old day summed up when Bandipur kicked back to touch off Spirit Of Aquada in a really sick beat. Hopefully we can bounce back there this Saturday at a track which is traditionally a profitable one. It won’t be easy though. I found this a terribly hard meeting. I found most races pretty hard to narrow down and as a result I have only found the four races to bet into. The rail is again out a fair way to the thirteen metre position but the weather has been pretty dry in Melbourne so we will be racing on a good track. I am kicking the day off in the second race and even as I write this preview on Friday morning this race preview is a bit up in the air as the three horses I have come up with in the race are the first three emergencies so this preview could change dramatically come Saturday morning. Tan Tat Trustingunfortunately is the third of those emergencies but he is the horse I liked most in the race. He raced really well last campaign and it was a lengthy campaign. He probably didn’t get as many wins on the board as his form warranted but he still raced really well. I like him coming into this first up. He has had two really solid jump outs leading into this. His first one he was given a quiet time before being given a more rousing hit out in his most recent one over the 1400m. His record first up is good as is his record over the trip and I think if he gains a start he will run a big race here. Another horse coming into this race first up from a spell is Snogging. Gee, this mare trialled well. Her form has tapered off a bit from earlier in her three year old season where she looked like she was going to go on and be a handy horse but she probably hasn’t gone on with the job to the level some might have thought she would have. That recent trial though was really impressive. It is hard judging horses too much off trials but she tracked up behind the speed and was never let off the bridle when coming off the leaders heels and winning easily. It all suggests she has come back well. I like her first up at this 1400m distance and if she can get into a good spot for Linda Meech she can be winning here. She is also the first emergency so she is most likely out of the three to get a run. The second emergency and third horse I like in the race should he gain a start is Paremuus Boy. He was tried over a longer trip at Sandown last start and I am not sure that is his go. He got back out of his ground, he looked like he was moving into the race but probably peaked on his run late. He has been freshened since that and comes back to the 1400m here. He has also had a really stylish jump out at Camperdown to keep him up to the mark so at double figure odds happy to be with him if he gains a start. Obviously a fair bit changes if those three don’t gain a start. If they don’t I would look at basing my bets around the dangers in the race pending odds. I think Kapaulenko would certainly be promoted at a price and then it will be deciding out of Renewal and the Tasmanian galloper in Fragment.

Betting strategy

I will have $25 the win on Snogging and Tan Tat Trusting here and $10 the win on Paremuus Boy! (at this stage)

Race Outlay

$60

Race 6

3:30pm

Suggested

Seberate (No.3), Montenegro Man (No.11) & Tarwin (No.12)

Dangers

Outrageous (No.1) & Saccharo (No.4)

This race is over the 1440m for the three year olds and this is a really strong race. One of the main form references here is the Bendigo Guineas run two weeks ago which was won by Mystery Love. They did all go over the line in a bit of a bunch in that race and I am just a little bit wary of that form. Saccharo and Wham were right in the finish while Outrageous did plenty of work on speed and wasn’t far off them. All are winning chances here but I thought Saccharo and Wham were certainly well enough found in the market and was happy to look at a few different form references. Tarwin down the bottom of the page looks hard to beat for mine. He only had the one run in his debut campaign which was a pretty dominant win at Sale back in September and he was immediately spelled post that run. He resumed at Sandown four weeks back and I was pretty keen on him in a race over 1300m on the Hillside track. He just couldn’t get clear running at the top of the straight when he needed it and that probably cost him victory. Once he got out he surged through the line but just failed to run down Nasaayim. It was an excellent return and he looks a horse of some promise. He looks well placed here. He steps up to the 1400m which looks ideal. He draws well in gate four to hopefully be able to take up a more prominent position in running and with Lachie King’s claim he looks really well in at the weights with just 52kgs on his back. He had a nice jump out on Monday at Cranbourne to keep him up to the mark and I am happy to be in his corner. I am a little bit surprised that Seberate has come up close to double figure odds. This three year old from the David Hayes yard was heavily backed at Bendigo first up resuming off a Derby campaign and got the job done over 1300m in very easy fashion. He led the field up there and kicked clear in the straight and was really charging clear of his rivals before being eased down on the line. The margin certainly could have been greater and the second horse we saw come out and win easily at Sandown on Wednesday. It looks good form. Luke Nolen goes on here and I would expect him to roll forward and put himself in a prominent position in running. From there I would expect him to be in the finish so more than happy to be with him around that $10 mark. I have been following Montenegro Man all campaign and I am hoping this race is an opportunity for him to get into the winners circle. He was enormous first up at Moonee Valley and then raced a bit flat second up. He then went to Morphettville on Adelaide Cup day and was just touched off before carrying a big weight at Sandown on the Lakeside track last start and running well behind a potential star in Diamond Effort. The key here for mine is that he gets out to the 1400m and he also gets significant weight relief. He drops from 60kgs down to 51kgs here and if he can get into a good position in running I think he can run well. At the double figure odds happy to have something small on him.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Tarwin here! I will have $25 the win on Seberate locking in the $9 with BetEasy and I will also have $10 the win on Montenegro Man!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 7

4:10pm

Suggested

Halvorsen (No.3), Delvecchio (No.8) & Irresistable Girl (No.13)

Dangers

Viduka (No.10), Columbus Circle (No.11) & Leiter (No.15)

This race is over the 1000m for the three year olds and it is another deep race. There look to be plenty of winning chances here. Halvorsen’s form from last campaign where he was competitive with the likes of Hawkshot and Tin Hat certainly reads very well for a race of this nature and as a result I am happy to be with him here first up. He won a pretty weak Benchmark 58 at Bairnsdale first up last campaign but he did it in really strong and easy fashion. He then went on to run third to Hawkshot before beating that horse at Moonee Valley at his next start. At his most recent start he chased him Tin Hat and beat home Fundamentalist at Caulfield. That form all reads pretty well to me. He comes up against a few up and coming promising types here but I just feel that he is the horse with the score on the board and as a result I am happy to back him in here first up. Delvecchio hasn’t been served too well at the barriers here but he is a smart horse. He has won his only two starts at Werribee and Cranbourne back in December and won both of them in really impressive fashion. He sat outside the leader and got the job done on debut at Werribee when heavily backed before starting a very short priced favourite at Cranbourne at his second start and leading all the way. The thing I have been taken with in both his wins was just how strong he was through the line. He looked to really chase through the line and that is the sign of a good horse. He draws a wide gate here as I mentioned but with the rail out and only around one bend I am hoping three wide with a bit of cover may not be too bad of a position in running. He was given a quiet time in a recent Cranbourne trial where he looked to have a fair bit more to give and if he has improved from that debut campaign then this certainly looks winnable. Happy to be with him. The other horse in the race I am going to have something on is Irresistable Girl. All of a sudden that form from the third run of her debut campaign around Embrace Me reads pretty well for a race of this nature. She led the field up that day and was just cut down late by that filly who has since won at stakes level beating some handy three year old fillies. Her two runs prior to that were good too when winning on debut and just being touched off by a subsequent city winner in Du Well at her second start. She showed blistering speed out of the gates in a recent jump out and with the blinkers on first time from a middle gate with Meech riding I can see her sling shotting out of the barriers here and landing in front. If that is the case I think she could prove hard to run down so I will have something on her at double figure odds.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on Halvorsen here, $25 the win on Delvecchio and $10 the win on Irresistable Girl!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 9

5:25pm

Suggested

Lite’n In My Veins (No.3) & Plein Ciel (No.7)

Dangers

Fierce Impact (No.5) & Mahamedeis (No.10)

This is a good race to finish the day on here. Unlike a few of the other races I thought this one could be narrowed down to about four or five winning hopes. The issue then was trying to separate those four winning hopes. I would expect the Golden Mile from Bendigo to prove a strong form reference. Lite’n In My VeinsPlain Ciel and Mahamedeis all come through that race and then there is Fierce Impact who switches down from Sydney along with Call Me Handsome who chased home Self Sense last start and beat home Gallic Chieftain. There is good form around all of those five runners. I stuck with the Golden Mile form and Mahamedeis was the one I decided to take on. I just thought he might be giving away a bit of a start and with the mile run under his belt could be potentially looking for further. But it was a line ball decision. He looked pretty unlucky at Bendigo last start behind Haripour. Lite’n In My Veins I think sets up really well in this race and his two runs back from a spell without a lot of luck in running have both been excellent. He worked forward on speed under a big weight first up over the mile at Morphettville and really was only overtaken in the final 100m behind Mantastic that day. That has also looked to be a strong form race. He then went to Bendigo last start and was three wide no cover from a wide draw in that Golden Mile but still stuck on really well to be beaten just over two lengths. He just looks to get a lot more in his favour here today. He will roll forward from an ideal middle gate in barrier six and land on speed. He looks to get some nice weight relief after the claim for Liam Riordan and he is probably going to be in front of a few of his main rivals in the betting for most of the way. With that softer run in transit that might see him prove pretty hard to get past. He should be primed here third up from a spell with those two runs over the mile under his belt and I can see him running very well here. Happy to be with him. Plein Ciel also looks ready. He worked to the line well first up following an eye catching trial behind Widgee Turf at Flemington. He was never going to win that day but he got through the line well alongside Haripour. He then went to Bendigo and just didn’t have the best of luck. While Haripour found clear air at the top of the straight this horse was ducking and weaving and in between runners and never really able to build full momentum. He looked to go to the line like Mahamedeis with something in hand potentially. This race looks to set up nicely for him. He is unbeaten in three runs here at Caulfield, he draws a nice middle to wide gate for Ben Allen to lob him in a good spot off the speed and he should be just about coming to his peak now at his third run back from a spell. He looks to have come back well too and a win is on the horizon. I am hoping that might be here so happy to be in his corner. The other three I mentioned above are certainly all winning chances. They are the five though that are all well in the market so you have to narrow it down and I am going to take the punt on Lite’n In My Veins and Plain Ciel.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Plain Ciel here and $30 the win on Lite'n In My Veins!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 2

12:05pm

Suggested

Wild Planet (No.4), Final Award (No.6) & Tahitian Dancer (No.9)

Dangers

Fasika (No.10), Green Aeon (No.11) & Millard Reaction (No.12)

Day Two of The Championships arrives at Royal Randwick on Saturday and after a cracking day up in Sydney last Saturday we are in for another outstanding day of racing. The Sydney weather started to turn last weekend while I was up there and it looks as if it has held firm through this week which means we will be racing on a good track come Saturday in my opinion. Obviously the eyes of the nation will be on Winx as she brings the curtain down on a career which is unparalleled. The level of domination seen over the past few years is certainly not anything I have seen before. Will she go down as my favourite horse? No, she won’t. I am amazed by her achievements but the utter domination has at the same time dulled the exhilaration of the competition which I love. That is nothing against her, it is just the fact that she is so good and so much better than any other horse. She should round out her career in style and perhaps we will also see an heir apparent in Verry Elleegant stamp herself as a real superstar by winning the Oaks. Both are prohibitive odds of course and don’t represent anything from a betting point of view and that is why both races don’t appear in the preview. It should be good viewing though, in particular Verry Elleegant. If she can get the job done in the Oaks on Saturday I think there will be some real hype about her coming into next spring which will obviously be a much more open spring without Winx. The track played well last Saturday, they got off the fence a bit as the day progressed and I would anticipate a similar pattern on Saturday but horses won on speed and from off speed so pretty fair all in all. Let’s get into the races we are actually betting into and I am kicking off in the second race of the day which is over the 1400m for the three year olds. This is a competitive race. There are some promising horses facing their toughest test here and it is an intriguing race. I certainly think the horse with the score on the board coming into this race is the Team Hawkes galloper Wild Planet. This horse races really well through the spring in Melbourne which culminated in a narrow defeat in the Carbine Club on Derby Day. He returned from a spell at big odds in the Derby Munro three weeks ago and ran an enormous race. He kept kicking up on the inside that day over the 1200m to keep the favourite Classique Legend working outside of him. He kicked back and beat that horse off only for Krone to dart up the inside and nab him late in the race. I thought it was an enormous first up return. The question is can he go on with the job after such a hard run first up. I think the three weeks between runs is certainly a big advantage. The step up to 1400m looks ideal and providing Tommy can roll forward from gate ten and find a good spot on speed he should prove hard to run down. Keen to be with him. I am going to keep a couple of other runners on side. One of the few things I remember from that big weekend I had in Canberra a month back was that Final Award looked a really impressive animal winning the Canberra Guineas. He went back to last out of the gates that day but rounded his rivals up in the straight really impressively. Two starts prior to that he defeated the promising Amangiri who ran so well here last Saturday. He is clearly a horse of talent for mine. He has been freshened since that Canberra Guineas run but has had a very nice trial at Warwick Farm about a week and a half ago which has kept him up to the mark. I wish he hadn’t drawn gate on here. I would be much more confident had he drawn out but he will get back and if Williams can get him to the outside and clear air he will prove very hard to hold out so happy to be with him. The other horse I want to be on in the race is Tahitian Dancer. This filly trialled super prior to her first up win and that win in itself at Mornington was super. She just held off the fast finishing Music Bay and there was a monster gap back to the third horse. Music Bay came out at Sandown and walked in on Wednesday which is a good sign. She gets down in the weights here from a nice middle draw for Brenton Avdulla and her form last campaign around the likes of Mystic Journey and Pohutukawa read well for a race of this nature so happy to be with her. The chances don’t end there. The unbeaten trio of FasikaGreen Aeon and Millard Reaction all look really talented and I haven’t even mentioned Krone who rolled Wild Planet last start. Really good race.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on Wild Planet here! I will also have $15 the win on both Final Award and Tahitian Dancer!

Race Outlay

$65

Race 4

1:15pm

Suggested

Kiamichi (No.1), Flit (No.4) & Villami (No.7)

Dangers

Cheer Leader (No.5) & Athiri (No.6)

This race is for the two year old fillies over the 1200m. It is a two year old race so just back a Godolphin horse. Preview finished. Just kidding, kind of. That is how it is at the moment though isn’t it? The Godolphin two year olds are flying. We got one right last Saturday with Microphone in the Sires but not the first race when Bivouac beat Athiri home. To really make matters hard for us punters in this race James Cummings has decided to saddle up five runners. I have to admit I was pretty surprised Kiamichididn’t come up favourite. I know she steps away from a wet track here for the first time in a few runs, but she is the Golden Slipper winner and this looks well within her scope. She backed up that Golden Slipper win with a really good run here last Saturday in the Sires. I have to admit when they turned for home I thought she looked the winner. She kicked clear and looked to have all her rivals off the bit and chasing. She just maybe failed to run the 1400m out strongly as she stopped quickly over the last 100m. I think she looks so well suited here. She drops back to 1200m, she is against her own sex and draws ideally in gate five for Hugh Bowman to either lead or land right outside the leader. I know Cheer Leader was impressive at Moonee Valley last start and Lane riding her is maybe the lead punters are taking in backing her so heavily given he has been riding Kiamichi. However Cheer Leader is now nearly $2 shorter in the market than Kiamichi and for mine that is far too much of a discrepancy which makes Kiamichi a really good bet here. Happy to be with her. I think Flit is the fresh blood on the scene that can make her presence felt. This is another Godolphin filly and she looks the up and comer that we perhaps haven’t got to the bottom of yet. She started a heavily backed odds on favourite on debut at Bendigo when running third before going to Flemington and sharing the spoils down the straight in a Group 3 race where I thought she went particularly well. She has come up to Sydney and trialled well earlier this week. She draws out for J-Mac but that will suit her as she looks to me to settle off the speed here and be the one coming over the top of them late. There looks to be good speed engaged so if they do overdo it up front I think she is the one that can be really strong late and around that $8 mark I think she is worth a ticket. The throw at the stumps bet is Villami. This filly won well on debut and then started very firm in the market at her second start when well beaten behind Kiamichi. Kiamichi started around five times the price of Villami that day. Did the market just get it so wrong or was the heavy track to blame for Villami’s failure? Since then Villami has gone back to the trials and looked really stylish at Rosehill earlier this week. In this race the market has reversed she is about four to five times the price of Kiamichi. I reckon given that and the fact she gets back on to a drier surface here from gate one for The Gun she can run a big race and at the price is worth a ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Kiamichi here, $25 the win on Flit and $10 the win on Villami!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 5

1:50pm

Suggested

Encryption (No.2), Trope (No.10), Spanish Whisper (No.12) & Causeway Girl (No.14)

Dangers

Zousain (No.1) & Classique Legend (No.7)

This is another cracking race on this cracking program. It is the Arrowfield Sprint for the three year olds and it has drawn together a really competitive field. There are a heap of different form lines coming together in this race. I will start off with the horse that I am not backing that I am really nervous about and that is Classique Legend. This is obviously a very talented galloper. He looked enormous running some big numbers at his first two starts before he ran a huge race last start in the Darby Munro where it all conspired against him. He went forward from a wide draw and the leaders kicked up underneath him to keep him working wide outside the leaders. He did an enormous job to fight on and run third. The slight concern for me here is that he is in the fourth run of his debut campaign coming off a really hard run last start. How much is left in the tank? For that reason I am going to bet around him but like I said, he is a very talented horse and it wouldn’t surprise me if he won here nor would I talk you out of backing him, just outlining the reasons why I am nervously taking him on here. Encryption was the horse I kept coming back to. He comes back against his own age here after three really competitive runs in Group One open age sprints. He was a big drifter in the market first up at Caulfield when he chased home Bons Away and Written By but improved significantly second up when running second to Booker in the Oakleigh Plate. He backed that up with an excellent run in the Newmarket where he wasn’t too far off a horse called Santa Ana Lane, you may have caught a glimpse of what he did here at Randwick last Saturday. He then got a long way back in The Galaxy on that heavy track at Rosehill but kept chasing strongly through the line. That form all looks to read really well for this race. He draws gate three for Hugh Bowman to hopefully land not too far off the speed as what he has been at his past couple and if the breaks come his way I would expect him to be right in the finish. Happy to be with him. Trope looks an exciting horse. Whether this all comes a bit too soon for him I am not sure but I don’t want to be on the losing side if it isn’t too soon. He stormed home on debut to win on the Kensington track before again sprouting wings late when just failing to run down Prophet’s Thumb last start. He has had a very quiet trial at Newcastle since that run to keep him up to the mark where he was kept under double wraps and he looked stylish. He draws a nice middle to wide gate which will suit his pattern and I just like that he has been kept fresh since that last start run given he is a lightly raced horse. I feel he comes into this race still on an upward spiral whereas I am not as confident Classique Legend is so that is why I am choosing to back Trope as well as the fact he is a better price. The other two horses I am backing in the race at big odds are the two fillies who come through the Multaja race last Saturday in Spanish Whisper and Causeway GirlSpanish Whisper just had no luck at all. She was bolting behind them and never got a crack at them. She gets good weight relief here for Craig Williams, draws a nice middle gate and a big run would not surprise me from her on the back up. The $20-30 being bet about her looks large. Causeway Girl looked a bit all at sea I thought going this direction the first time. Despite all that I thought she still looked the winner 200m out. She just looked to be racing a bit ungenerously throughout and her effort to run fourth was good. She comes into this race third up so I fancy there is still some improvement in her and the blinkers go on here. Ollie stays with her and around that $30 mark I think she is worth a small ticket here as I think she is set to peak in this race.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on Encryption here, $25 the win on Trope and $10 the win on both Causeway Girl and Spanish Whisper and will lock in the $41 about Spanish Whisper with QLD TAB!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 8 - Sydney Cup

3:50pm

Suggested

Dubhe (No.10), Gallic Chieftain (No.14) & Rondinella (No.15)

Dangers

Big Duke (No.5), Midterm (No.11) & Glory Days (No.12)

We skip the two races with the short priced favourites engaged and now get to the Sydney Cup which is an intriguing edition this year. There aren’t too many different form lines coming into this race from the locals. Most of them either ran against Avilius in the Tancred or ran in The Chairman’s behind Gallic Chieftain last Saturday. There hasn’t looked to be a lot between them. They look a pretty even bunch where luck in running will play a pretty big part on the day in terms of who salutes. For that reason the Godolphin visitor in Dubhe is very easy to like. He just brings x-factor and different form into a race that is pretty vanilla on paper. He also fits the bill of these horses that Charlie Appleby has had great success in bringing out to Australia. He is a lightly raced stayer that looks to be coming into the race in really good form. Amazingly he has only raced three times in the last eighteen months and two times since April last year. His most recent run is probably the guide that most people are using as gospel coming into this race. He took on a small field at Meydan over the two miles, sat outside the leader and showed a nice turn of foot in the straight to win running away by a big margin. It looked impressive and it was his first go over this two mile trip. The European stayers have clearly proven superior to ours in recent times, this horse comes over for a trainer who has such a wonderful record in bringing the right horse out to Australia and he looks a lightly raced horse in form on the up. There is too much to like. He draws ideally for Kerrin McEvoy who is a master in these staying races and with any luck in running and providing he has acclimatised it is hard not to be with him here though he is probably short enough in the current market. I am hopeful we will get $4+ on the day. I am going to keep a couple of other runners on side just in case. Gallic Chieftain has to be considered a great chance on the back up after his last start win. Gee, it is funny how a horse can be the story of your weekend as this bloke was in Sydney last Saturday. I sat down with Adam Blencowe from Racing And Sports last Friday afternoon in Sydney enjoying some rooftop ales and we started talking about how Melbourne stayers are superior to the Sydney stayers. That got us on to the subject of Gallic Chieftain who I said I really liked at odds on the Saturday in The Chairman’s. He agreed and we discussed the reasons why we thought he could win and I left the conversation thinking “gee this horse is at least an each way moral”. Then old mate Simon Dinopoulos tips it on Sky on Saturday morning and I revert my thinking to “this has got no chance all three of us are on it”. I then arrive at the track and meet a few mates who flew up from Melbourne. We had some leftover money from a Quaddie we got recently and the plan was to chuck it on one horse in Sydney when we were all there. When they asked what it was I replied “well lets go for glory and chuck it on Gallic Chieftain at a price”. Fair to say we were heard cheering loud and clear in the members at Randwick when Damian Lane produced a peach to get him home. Anyway enough of Baron Story Time. He looks to be going really well. He was huge first up, then I reckon it paid to put a pen through the Yarra Valley run as that track is just a bit weird and didn’t suit him and then he was really good obviously last week. Bossy goes on here with no weight on his back from a good draw and at double figure odds I am obliged to back him again. The other horse I want to have something on is Rondinella. This mare has gone through her grades really well this campaign in New Zealand and then came to Australia and ran a super race in the Tancred behind Avilius two weeks ago. I love the way she was coming again through the line there which suggests to me she will run a strong two miles. She draws gate one down in the weights for Sam Clipperton, she will do no work in the run up on speed and I think she will be right in the finish so happy to be on her at double figure odds also.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Dubhe here and save with $15 the win on both Gallic Chieftain and Rondinella!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 9 - Coolmore Stakes

4:30pm

Suggested

Prompt Response (No.2), Dixie Blossoms (No.4), Kenedna (No.13) & Amphitrite (No.16)

Dangers

Alizee (No.1) & Unforgotten (No.7)

This is the final Group One race of the day here. It is the Group One Coolmore over the fillies and mares. Gee, this isn’t easy. Alizee has come up favourite but I am struggling to get overly enthused about her despite what I saw her do in this race last year. Her last two runs have just lacked a bit for mine. Even though she ran third in the All Star Mile I thought she was gift wrapped that race and expected her to win when the split came halfway down the straight after doing no work in the run. She just laboured through the line there and then never looked like it last Saturday in the Doncaster. She has been up since December and I am just wondering whether she has come to the end this time in. For that reason I am betting around her. Dixie Blossoms’ last two runs have been outstanding and what a great swansong to a fantastic career this would be. It is weird but I reckon I would get more emotional or more of a kick out of seeing her win her last race than Winx. Gee, she has been a good mare. She seems to be flying this campaign too. She ran well first up before winning in pretty dominant fashion in the Coolmore at Rosehill. I thought her run last Saturday in the Doncaster was excellent. She got a mile back and was clearly one of the better closers in the race for mine which was owned on speed. She flies here at Randwick over the mile. She draws ideally in a middle gate to hopefully not go as far back as last week and I just think she is right in the zone at the moment and at double figure odds looks a great bet. Keen to be with her. Amphitrite coming back off a bit of a freshen up since the All Star Mile four weeks ago interests me. I just think while a few others in this race have had other major goals they have been aiming at in more recent weeks that this filly has been really kept on ice for the last couple of weeks bypassing a few races she could have run in to have a good crack at this. She looks well placed from a middle draw for Craig Williams and there seems to be a bit of an air of confidence from the stable that she is going really well at home and is going to give this race a big shake. Her form has been really good too. She was good in the All Star Mile coming from well off the speed following a third to Mystic Journey in the Australian Guineas and her first up win was excellent over Verry Elleegant. All the form around her is good and l like her coming into this race off that freshen up. I think she will run a big race and happy to be with her. Prompt Response chased home Winx, Brutal and Dreamforce last start. That is a pretty handy form line and she comes back against her own sex here after taking on Trapeze Artist and co. at her first up run. I think there is a bit to like about her in this race. She draws gate six to land on speed for Blake Shinn and I think she is going to make her presence felt. Happy to be in her corner. The other horse I am going to have something on is Kenedna. She looks to have come back from a spell in good order. She hit the line really well last start when second up at Moonee Valley. She certainly looks a horse coming into this race on an upward spiral third up. She draws a nice middle gate, she should relish the big Randwick track and at big odds I think she is well worth a ticket here.

Betting strategy

I am pretty keen on Dixie Blossoms here and reckon the $12 about her might be value in a market I expect to change a bit come race time! I will lock that in and have $25 the win on her! I will also have $20 the win on Amphitrite, $15 the win on Prompt Response and $10 the win on Kenedna!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 10

5:10pm

Suggested

Spright (No.5), Winter Bride (No.6) & Ellicazoom (No.9)

Dangers

I Am Excited (No.3) & Resin (No.10)

This is a good fillies and mares sprint race to finish the day on here. Winter Bride my favourite horse (forget Winx haha, sorry I don’t mean to be anti-Winx in this preview but it is about the punt) goes around here looking to make it two consecutive wins for the campaign after returning from a spell last month with a strong victory here. This mare has really gone through her grades in emphatic fashion. Since about June last year she has really been in a rich vein of form and has continued to race well and win races. In fact from May last year she has won six of eight races and has been really impressive in doing so. She trialled really well prior to her first up run here and then backed that up with a strong win. She really chased through the line strongly and the message post race was that there was more to come from her as she was being set for a race over The Championships. That race has arrived here on Saturday and she is surely going to be hard to beat again. She draws gate one which I am not thrilled about I must admit. I am not sure the rail come race ten is going to be the ideal place to be. I will back Tommy Berry to work his magic though. She should be able to take up a position relatively close to the speed from that draw and if the breaks come her way in the straight then she should prove really hard to hold out. Spright was the horse she beat home last start at Randwick and if any horse deserved to break through for a victory it is surely Spright. She just continues to run well in big races. Her three runs this time in have all been outstanding. She was enormous behind Booker in the Oakleigh Plate when she just got too far back in the run and she backed that up with that good second here to Winter Bride before again running an enormous race at Group One level last start at Moonee Valley behind Sunlight. This looks an ideal set up for her. She is back to mares grade, she looks really well in under the conditions of this race with just 55.5kgs on her back which is just a kilo and a half over the minimum. Like Winter Bride though she draws an inside gate so she is going to need a bit of luck. Jason Collett is a bit of a master and finding duck and weave inside runs though so I think his engagement is a good one for her. If she can stay close enough in the run and then the breaks come her way you would think she only has to run up a couple of those recent Group One efforts and she would be winning. Keen to be with her also. I think if those two horses do find a bit of trouble back over along the inside then Ellicazoom might be the mare bombing down the outside to potentially take full advantage. This mare’s form is very easy to line up with Winter Bride and Spright. She was competitive with Winter Bride in the spring and hasn’t been far away from Spright in Group One races at her last two. She draws out which may not be a disadvantage by this stage of the day and I can envisage her launching down the middle of the track late for Williams similar to how Multaja did her last Saturday. She has come up close to $20 in the market and at that price is well worth a ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Spright here, $30 the win on Winter Bride and $10 the win on Ellicazoom!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 3

12:13pm

Suggested

Wu Gok (No.2), Fighting Teo (No.4) & Winning Ways (No.13)

Dangers

High Opinion (No.3) & Sir Barnabus (No.5)

Racing in Brisbane returns to Eagle Farm this Saturday but gee, what a mess things are in up there. Apologies to subscribers who love to bet in Brisbane for the lack of previews there in recent times but it is getting hard to get involved with any confidence up there. Those thoughts have been compounded further this week with Aquis Farm who have an enormous number of horses up in this part of the world announcing until integrity issues are sorted by Racing Queensland they will be scratching all their horses up in Queensland. It is all a bit of a nightmare and as a result I have just found the two races to bet into there on Saturday. The weather on a positive note is good and we will be racing on a good track at Eagle Farm. I certainly wouldn’t have thought that if I was only betting in two races on the program that one of those races would be a Brisbane staying race, but here we are. Normally they just take turns in winning these races and it can be a bit of a raffle as to who wins. I did like this race though. Wu Gok’s last few runs have been quite good and I thought he was pretty stiff not to win at the Sunshine Coast last start. He won his start prior at the Gold Coast coming from off the speed and being strong through the line and then he just didn’t get the best of luck last start. His stable mate Cormac whipped around the field to get up closer to the runaway leader and while he did that Wu Gok was back stuck behind runners. It took him a little while to get clear and once he did he found the line strongly but just failed to run down Cormac. He shouldn’t have any traffic problems today drawn out for Jeff Lloyd and I would expect him to be in the finish. Winning Ways certainly appeals as the horse on the up in this race taking on a few tried and true well exposed commodities. She is a three year old filly who hit the line well at her first two runs back before getting up to the 1800m at the Gold Coast last start and winning easily. She is up to her right trip now, she draws well in gate three and should be hard to beat. Keen to be with her. I am also going to keep Fighting Teo on side as the saving bet just in case. He was just touched off by Wu Gok last start after racing on speed and he should have that positional advantage in running again here. He has now had a couple of runs in this distance range this campaign and typically holds his form once he finds it so he should prove pretty hard to get past racing up on the speed and I don’t want to lose on the race should he salute.

Betting strategy

I will have $30 the win on Winning Ways here, $20 the win on Wu Gok and $20 the win on Fighting Teo!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 5

1:23pm

Suggested

Dissolution (No.7), Hold The Line (No.12) & Pizonie (No.14)

Dangers

Bachelor’s Art (No.6) & River Racer (No.13)

This race is over the 1200m and I thought there were a couple of key winning chances and a horse worth nibbling at odds here. Pizonie third up from a spell here looks well placed after running really well at his first two runs back from a break. He has sat on the speed and been good both times without being able to get the job done. He looks to get a fair bit in his favour here on Saturday. He gets in with no weight on his back down to 53kgs and from gate four should land right on the speed. He will need that easy run in transit as the 1200m is probably the slight question mark with him. I think he will get every opportunity to run it out here though and he has come back in good form so happy to be with him. If he is to get tired late then the promising Hold The Line looks best placed to take full advantage. This is a promising filly that has won three of her four starts and looks well placed here. She has only had the one public trial which was over a month ago and while she finished second last in that trial she was never let off the bridle and looked to truck through the line strongly. She might have a bit of a class edge on these and could be the horse going places moving forward. She will probably be back off the speed from a middle to wide draw for Ryan Maloney but if the leaders are getting tired and she is within striking distance then she is going to be hard to hold out so happy to be with her. The saving bet in the race is Dissolution who comes up from New South Wales. If you go back through his form card there are some good runs against good horses in handy city Sydney races. That form typically holds up well here in Brisbane. He has run well fresh in the past and will do no work form an inside gate. I thought at the $20+ on offer he was worth a ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on both Pizonie and Hold The Line and $10 the win on Dissolution!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 2

1:41pm

Suggested

Debt Collector (No.7) & Heaven’s Deal (No.8)

Dangers

Split Lip (No.4) & Gytrash (No.9)

I am making a rare venture to Morphettville on Saturday. Given I am a bit light on in the preview in Brisbane and there are some quality horses running around in Adelaide I thought I would preview a few to bet into at this meeting. Ironically the race of most interest which is the last I am not betting in. That race features Behemoth and Anjana who both look really promising. Behemoth looked very exciting when winning at Moonee Valley back in December and hasn’t been seen since. His recent trial was excellent too. He runs into Anjana who is just flying at the moment and has been huge winning both runs this time in. Had Anjana drawn out I would have probably backed her but I am just worried from gate one she may find a bit of trouble and if Behemoth can take advantage of that with full momentum he will be hard to beat. They are both too short to back both but didn’t have a firm opinion either way to back one and not the other. I suggest watching the race though it will be good. The weather is good in Adelaide and the track is also good for a good day of racing where I am kicking the betting off in the second race which is over the 1050m. I am looking forward to seeing the return of a horse here that I have a bit of time for in Debt Collector. I think he is a pretty handy horse. His form last campaign was really strong and he kicked that campaign off with a really good win over this track and trip. His last two runs of the campaign were the ones that really took my eye. He won so impressively two starts back over Going Gaga when coming from the clouds late and then was perhaps a touch unlucky at his most recent run to not reel in Like To Think So who was high rolling out in front while Debt Collector was held up for runs. He has had a quiet trial to tune him up for this which he went quite well in and even though he draws wide here, given his off speed racing pattern I don’t think that will be too big of a disadvantage given there are only eleven runners in the field. He won’t be too far off them and will have clear galloping room. He flies fresh, he likes this short course distance and I am happy to be with him. I thought Heaven’s Deal with the two runs under her belt and a bit of fitness on side represented the danger. She will most likely jump on the bunny from gate four and if she can lead without doing too much work she could prove hard to run down. Most of the well fancied runners in this race are first up so if she can make the most of that fitness edge she can be very competitive and happy to save on her.

Betting strategy

I will have $45 the win on Debt Collector here and save with $25 the win on Heaven's Deal!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 3

2:16pm

Suggested

Arkham Knight (No.2) & Scottish Rogue (No.9)

Dangers

Fancy Rumble (No.8) & Private Lounge (No.10)

This race is over the 1200m and it looks to be the easiest race that Scottish Rogue has encountered for some time. It looks a real winnable race for him. He has taken on a few of our best three year olds over his past couple of campaigns. He was only just touched off by Ringerdingding in the spring and this campaign hasn’t been too far away from some handy horses. He does probably need to get another win on the board though and this looks the day for him. He gets down in the weights taking on the older horses, I don’t mind him back to the 1200m for an in form Barend Vorster who can hopefully get him into a good spot from that middle to wide gate and if that is the case he should prove hard to hold out. Happy to be with him. I am going to save on Arkham Knight who is a horse that I have always had a bit of time for. There were a few roars in the Committee Room at The Bool last year on the final day of the carnival when this bloke saluted. He is a horse that is always competitive in this sort of grade and he bolted in a recent Strathalbyn trial which suggests he has come back well. He also draws out a bit but will be back off the speed and providing the track is not against those coming from off speed he should run well. At close to double figure odds happy to save on him.

Betting strategy

I will have $45 the win on Scottish Rogue here and save with $15 the win on Arkham Knight!

Race Outlay

$60

Race 4

2:56pm

Suggested

A Shin Rook (No.5)

Dangers

Balf’s Choice (No.1) & Black Sail (No.10)

I am pretty keen on one here. This race is over the mile and third up it looks an ideal race for the Anthony Freedman trained A Shin Rook to break through. His two runs back from a spell have been excellent this time in. He hit the line strongly under a big weight at Sale first up behind the then flying Bravo Tango. He then came here to Morphettville second up over the mile and ran a cracking race when just touched off by Mantastic and SIlentz. We have seen the form from that race hold up really well with Mantastic running second to Haripour in the Golden Mile which is a race I also expect to end up being strong from a form perspective. Since that run he was given a very quiet jump out at Balnarring last week where he was never let off the bridle and trucked through the line very strongly. He draws gate five here to get a gun run just off the speed and third up at the mile he just looks primed to deliver a peak performance. I think he is good odds too around that $3-4 mark and more than happy to be with him here. He might even be the best of the day anywhere in the country actually.

Betting strategy

Really keen on A Shin Rook here and I will have $80 the win on him as a stand out bet locking in the $3.90 with TAB Fixed Odds!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 7

5:01pm

Suggested

Mirette (No.2), Arctic Shock (No.9) & Vanuatu (No.11)

Dangers

Sizzleme (No.3) & Amanikan (No.14)

This is a good race for the three year old fillies over the 1800m. It is a Group 3 race and obviously many of these are on track to run in the Oaks over the upcoming weeks. I think the form from the race won by Princess Jenni at Moonee Valley a few weeks back certainly looks the main form reference. We see Mirette and Arctic Shock come through that race and I would expect both to be very hard to beat here. Mirette didn’t have a lot of luck in that race. She sat three wide on the speed the whole way and did plenty of work. Her effort to hang on and run fourth and be beaten less than a length was excellent. There should be no issues with her getting a good run here. She draws gate eight to land just off the speed and with that easier run in transit she should be right in the finish. Happy to be with her. I was on Arctic Shock in that Princess Jenni race. In fact I was on Mirette and Princess Jenni too it was only the favourite Angelic Ruler that was going to cost me in that final drive to the post. Arctic Shock’s run was also excellent. She just didn’t get clear running at the time she probably needed it to build enough momentum to win the race. She certainly picked up strongly and dashed through late though once that run came. She is another that just draws perfectly here in gate five to get a perfect run off the speed. With a touch of luck from there she should be right in the finish also. I am confident these two fillies are clearly the two to beat in the race. I think if there is an upset it could come from Vanuatu. This filly shows some good potential. She hit the line well first up at Sandown from back in the field before getting the job done in good fashion as a short priced favourite at Cranbourne last start. I think she is certainly the horse in the race that looks to have come up well over the odds. I probably had her closer to the $8-9 mark and she is around $14 in the markets currently. At that price I think she is definitely worth a ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $45 the win on Mirette here, I will also have $30 the win on Arctic Shock and $15 the win on Vanuatu locking in the $15 about the latter with BetEasy!

Race Outlay

$90

Race 2

12:55pm

Suggested

Snogging (No.13), Paremuus Boy (No.14) & Tan Tat Trusting (No.15)

Dangers

Renewal (No.2), Fragment (No.3) & Kapaulenko (No.5)

Racing in Melbourne again comes from Caulfield this Saturday and for someone who was pleased about the return to racing there last Saturday it certainly didn’t reflect in my punting there. It was a rough old day summed up when Bandipur kicked back to touch off Spirit Of Aquada in a really sick beat. Hopefully we can bounce back there this Saturday at a track which is traditionally a profitable one. It won’t be easy though. I found this a terribly hard meeting. I found most races pretty hard to narrow down and as a result I have only found the four races to bet into. The rail is again out a fair way to the thirteen metre position but the weather has been pretty dry in Melbourne so we will be racing on a good track. I am kicking the day off in the second race and even as I write this preview on Friday morning this race preview is a bit up in the air as the three horses I have come up with in the race are the first three emergencies so this preview could change dramatically come Saturday morning. Tan Tat Trustingunfortunately is the third of those emergencies but he is the horse I liked most in the race. He raced really well last campaign and it was a lengthy campaign. He probably didn’t get as many wins on the board as his form warranted but he still raced really well. I like him coming into this first up. He has had two really solid jump outs leading into this. His first one he was given a quiet time before being given a more rousing hit out in his most recent one over the 1400m. His record first up is good as is his record over the trip and I think if he gains a start he will run a big race here. Another horse coming into this race first up from a spell is Snogging. Gee, this mare trialled well. Her form has tapered off a bit from earlier in her three year old season where she looked like she was going to go on and be a handy horse but she probably hasn’t gone on with the job to the level some might have thought she would have. That recent trial though was really impressive. It is hard judging horses too much off trials but she tracked up behind the speed and was never let off the bridle when coming off the leaders heels and winning easily. It all suggests she has come back well. I like her first up at this 1400m distance and if she can get into a good spot for Linda Meech she can be winning here. She is also the first emergency so she is most likely out of the three to get a run. The second emergency and third horse I like in the race should he gain a start is Paremuus Boy. He was tried over a longer trip at Sandown last start and I am not sure that is his go. He got back out of his ground, he looked like he was moving into the race but probably peaked on his run late. He has been freshened since that and comes back to the 1400m here. He has also had a really stylish jump out at Camperdown to keep him up to the mark so at double figure odds happy to be with him if he gains a start. Obviously a fair bit changes if those three don’t gain a start. If they don’t I would look at basing my bets around the dangers in the race pending odds. I think Kapaulenko would certainly be promoted at a price and then it will be deciding out of Renewal and the Tasmanian galloper in Fragment.

Betting strategy

I will have $25 the win on Snogging and Tan Tat Trusting here and $10 the win on Paremuus Boy! (at this stage)

Race Outlay

$60

Race 6

3:30pm

Suggested

Seberate (No.3), Montenegro Man (No.11) & Tarwin (No.12)

Dangers

Outrageous (No.1) & Saccharo (No.4)

This race is over the 1440m for the three year olds and this is a really strong race. One of the main form references here is the Bendigo Guineas run two weeks ago which was won by Mystery Love. They did all go over the line in a bit of a bunch in that race and I am just a little bit wary of that form. Saccharo and Wham were right in the finish while Outrageous did plenty of work on speed and wasn’t far off them. All are winning chances here but I thought Saccharo and Wham were certainly well enough found in the market and was happy to look at a few different form references. Tarwin down the bottom of the page looks hard to beat for mine. He only had the one run in his debut campaign which was a pretty dominant win at Sale back in September and he was immediately spelled post that run. He resumed at Sandown four weeks back and I was pretty keen on him in a race over 1300m on the Hillside track. He just couldn’t get clear running at the top of the straight when he needed it and that probably cost him victory. Once he got out he surged through the line but just failed to run down Nasaayim. It was an excellent return and he looks a horse of some promise. He looks well placed here. He steps up to the 1400m which looks ideal. He draws well in gate four to hopefully be able to take up a more prominent position in running and with Lachie King’s claim he looks really well in at the weights with just 52kgs on his back. He had a nice jump out on Monday at Cranbourne to keep him up to the mark and I am happy to be in his corner. I am a little bit surprised that Seberate has come up close to double figure odds. This three year old from the David Hayes yard was heavily backed at Bendigo first up resuming off a Derby campaign and got the job done over 1300m in very easy fashion. He led the field up there and kicked clear in the straight and was really charging clear of his rivals before being eased down on the line. The margin certainly could have been greater and the second horse we saw come out and win easily at Sandown on Wednesday. It looks good form. Luke Nolen goes on here and I would expect him to roll forward and put himself in a prominent position in running. From there I would expect him to be in the finish so more than happy to be with him around that $10 mark. I have been following Montenegro Man all campaign and I am hoping this race is an opportunity for him to get into the winners circle. He was enormous first up at Moonee Valley and then raced a bit flat second up. He then went to Morphettville on Adelaide Cup day and was just touched off before carrying a big weight at Sandown on the Lakeside track last start and running well behind a potential star in Diamond Effort. The key here for mine is that he gets out to the 1400m and he also gets significant weight relief. He drops from 60kgs down to 51kgs here and if he can get into a good position in running I think he can run well. At the double figure odds happy to have something small on him.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Tarwin here! I will have $25 the win on Seberate locking in the $9 with BetEasy and I will also have $10 the win on Montenegro Man!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 7

4:10pm

Suggested

Halvorsen (No.3), Delvecchio (No.8) & Irresistable Girl (No.13)

Dangers

Viduka (No.10), Columbus Circle (No.11) & Leiter (No.15)

This race is over the 1000m for the three year olds and it is another deep race. There look to be plenty of winning chances here. Halvorsen’s form from last campaign where he was competitive with the likes of Hawkshot and Tin Hat certainly reads very well for a race of this nature and as a result I am happy to be with him here first up. He won a pretty weak Benchmark 58 at Bairnsdale first up last campaign but he did it in really strong and easy fashion. He then went on to run third to Hawkshot before beating that horse at Moonee Valley at his next start. At his most recent start he chased him Tin Hat and beat home Fundamentalist at Caulfield. That form all reads pretty well to me. He comes up against a few up and coming promising types here but I just feel that he is the horse with the score on the board and as a result I am happy to back him in here first up. Delvecchio hasn’t been served too well at the barriers here but he is a smart horse. He has won his only two starts at Werribee and Cranbourne back in December and won both of them in really impressive fashion. He sat outside the leader and got the job done on debut at Werribee when heavily backed before starting a very short priced favourite at Cranbourne at his second start and leading all the way. The thing I have been taken with in both his wins was just how strong he was through the line. He looked to really chase through the line and that is the sign of a good horse. He draws a wide gate here as I mentioned but with the rail out and only around one bend I am hoping three wide with a bit of cover may not be too bad of a position in running. He was given a quiet time in a recent Cranbourne trial where he looked to have a fair bit more to give and if he has improved from that debut campaign then this certainly looks winnable. Happy to be with him. The other horse in the race I am going to have something on is Irresistable Girl. All of a sudden that form from the third run of her debut campaign around Embrace Me reads pretty well for a race of this nature. She led the field up that day and was just cut down late by that filly who has since won at stakes level beating some handy three year old fillies. Her two runs prior to that were good too when winning on debut and just being touched off by a subsequent city winner in Du Well at her second start. She showed blistering speed out of the gates in a recent jump out and with the blinkers on first time from a middle gate with Meech riding I can see her sling shotting out of the barriers here and landing in front. If that is the case I think she could prove hard to run down so I will have something on her at double figure odds.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on Halvorsen here, $25 the win on Delvecchio and $10 the win on Irresistable Girl!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 9

5:25pm

Suggested

Lite’n In My Veins (No.3) & Plein Ciel (No.7)

Dangers

Fierce Impact (No.5) & Mahamedeis (No.10)

This is a good race to finish the day on here. Unlike a few of the other races I thought this one could be narrowed down to about four or five winning hopes. The issue then was trying to separate those four winning hopes. I would expect the Golden Mile from Bendigo to prove a strong form reference. Lite’n In My VeinsPlain Ciel and Mahamedeis all come through that race and then there is Fierce Impact who switches down from Sydney along with Call Me Handsome who chased home Self Sense last start and beat home Gallic Chieftain. There is good form around all of those five runners. I stuck with the Golden Mile form and Mahamedeis was the one I decided to take on. I just thought he might be giving away a bit of a start and with the mile run under his belt could be potentially looking for further. But it was a line ball decision. He looked pretty unlucky at Bendigo last start behind Haripour. Lite’n In My Veins I think sets up really well in this race and his two runs back from a spell without a lot of luck in running have both been excellent. He worked forward on speed under a big weight first up over the mile at Morphettville and really was only overtaken in the final 100m behind Mantastic that day. That has also looked to be a strong form race. He then went to Bendigo last start and was three wide no cover from a wide draw in that Golden Mile but still stuck on really well to be beaten just over two lengths. He just looks to get a lot more in his favour here today. He will roll forward from an ideal middle gate in barrier six and land on speed. He looks to get some nice weight relief after the claim for Liam Riordan and he is probably going to be in front of a few of his main rivals in the betting for most of the way. With that softer run in transit that might see him prove pretty hard to get past. He should be primed here third up from a spell with those two runs over the mile under his belt and I can see him running very well here. Happy to be with him. Plein Ciel also looks ready. He worked to the line well first up following an eye catching trial behind Widgee Turf at Flemington. He was never going to win that day but he got through the line well alongside Haripour. He then went to Bendigo and just didn’t have the best of luck. While Haripour found clear air at the top of the straight this horse was ducking and weaving and in between runners and never really able to build full momentum. He looked to go to the line like Mahamedeis with something in hand potentially. This race looks to set up nicely for him. He is unbeaten in three runs here at Caulfield, he draws a nice middle to wide gate for Ben Allen to lob him in a good spot off the speed and he should be just about coming to his peak now at his third run back from a spell. He looks to have come back well too and a win is on the horizon. I am hoping that might be here so happy to be in his corner. The other three I mentioned above are certainly all winning chances. They are the five though that are all well in the market so you have to narrow it down and I am going to take the punt on Lite’n In My Veins and Plain Ciel.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Plain Ciel here and $30 the win on Lite'n In My Veins!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 2

12:05pm

Suggested

Wild Planet (No.4), Final Award (No.6) & Tahitian Dancer (No.9)

Dangers

Fasika (No.10), Green Aeon (No.11) & Millard Reaction (No.12)

Day Two of The Championships arrives at Royal Randwick on Saturday and after a cracking day up in Sydney last Saturday we are in for another outstanding day of racing. The Sydney weather started to turn last weekend while I was up there and it looks as if it has held firm through this week which means we will be racing on a good track come Saturday in my opinion. Obviously the eyes of the nation will be on Winx as she brings the curtain down on a career which is unparalleled. The level of domination seen over the past few years is certainly not anything I have seen before. Will she go down as my favourite horse? No, she won’t. I am amazed by her achievements but the utter domination has at the same time dulled the exhilaration of the competition which I love. That is nothing against her, it is just the fact that she is so good and so much better than any other horse. She should round out her career in style and perhaps we will also see an heir apparent in Verry Elleegant stamp herself as a real superstar by winning the Oaks. Both are prohibitive odds of course and don’t represent anything from a betting point of view and that is why both races don’t appear in the preview. It should be good viewing though, in particular Verry Elleegant. If she can get the job done in the Oaks on Saturday I think there will be some real hype about her coming into next spring which will obviously be a much more open spring without Winx. The track played well last Saturday, they got off the fence a bit as the day progressed and I would anticipate a similar pattern on Saturday but horses won on speed and from off speed so pretty fair all in all. Let’s get into the races we are actually betting into and I am kicking off in the second race of the day which is over the 1400m for the three year olds. This is a competitive race. There are some promising horses facing their toughest test here and it is an intriguing race. I certainly think the horse with the score on the board coming into this race is the Team Hawkes galloper Wild Planet. This horse races really well through the spring in Melbourne which culminated in a narrow defeat in the Carbine Club on Derby Day. He returned from a spell at big odds in the Derby Munro three weeks ago and ran an enormous race. He kept kicking up on the inside that day over the 1200m to keep the favourite Classique Legend working outside of him. He kicked back and beat that horse off only for Krone to dart up the inside and nab him late in the race. I thought it was an enormous first up return. The question is can he go on with the job after such a hard run first up. I think the three weeks between runs is certainly a big advantage. The step up to 1400m looks ideal and providing Tommy can roll forward from gate ten and find a good spot on speed he should prove hard to run down. Keen to be with him. I am going to keep a couple of other runners on side. One of the few things I remember from that big weekend I had in Canberra a month back was that Final Award looked a really impressive animal winning the Canberra Guineas. He went back to last out of the gates that day but rounded his rivals up in the straight really impressively. Two starts prior to that he defeated the promising Amangiri who ran so well here last Saturday. He is clearly a horse of talent for mine. He has been freshened since that Canberra Guineas run but has had a very nice trial at Warwick Farm about a week and a half ago which has kept him up to the mark. I wish he hadn’t drawn gate on here. I would be much more confident had he drawn out but he will get back and if Williams can get him to the outside and clear air he will prove very hard to hold out so happy to be with him. The other horse I want to be on in the race is Tahitian Dancer. This filly trialled super prior to her first up win and that win in itself at Mornington was super. She just held off the fast finishing Music Bay and there was a monster gap back to the third horse. Music Bay came out at Sandown and walked in on Wednesday which is a good sign. She gets down in the weights here from a nice middle draw for Brenton Avdulla and her form last campaign around the likes of Mystic Journey and Pohutukawa read well for a race of this nature so happy to be with her. The chances don’t end there. The unbeaten trio of FasikaGreen Aeon and Millard Reaction all look really talented and I haven’t even mentioned Krone who rolled Wild Planet last start. Really good race.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on Wild Planet here! I will also have $15 the win on both Final Award and Tahitian Dancer!

Race Outlay

$65

Race 4

1:15pm

Suggested

Kiamichi (No.1), Flit (No.4) & Villami (No.7)

Dangers

Cheer Leader (No.5) & Athiri (No.6)

This race is for the two year old fillies over the 1200m. It is a two year old race so just back a Godolphin horse. Preview finished. Just kidding, kind of. That is how it is at the moment though isn’t it? The Godolphin two year olds are flying. We got one right last Saturday with Microphone in the Sires but not the first race when Bivouac beat Athiri home. To really make matters hard for us punters in this race James Cummings has decided to saddle up five runners. I have to admit I was pretty surprised Kiamichididn’t come up favourite. I know she steps away from a wet track here for the first time in a few runs, but she is the Golden Slipper winner and this looks well within her scope. She backed up that Golden Slipper win with a really good run here last Saturday in the Sires. I have to admit when they turned for home I thought she looked the winner. She kicked clear and looked to have all her rivals off the bit and chasing. She just maybe failed to run the 1400m out strongly as she stopped quickly over the last 100m. I think she looks so well suited here. She drops back to 1200m, she is against her own sex and draws ideally in gate five for Hugh Bowman to either lead or land right outside the leader. I know Cheer Leader was impressive at Moonee Valley last start and Lane riding her is maybe the lead punters are taking in backing her so heavily given he has been riding Kiamichi. However Cheer Leader is now nearly $2 shorter in the market than Kiamichi and for mine that is far too much of a discrepancy which makes Kiamichi a really good bet here. Happy to be with her. I think Flit is the fresh blood on the scene that can make her presence felt. This is another Godolphin filly and she looks the up and comer that we perhaps haven’t got to the bottom of yet. She started a heavily backed odds on favourite on debut at Bendigo when running third before going to Flemington and sharing the spoils down the straight in a Group 3 race where I thought she went particularly well. She has come up to Sydney and trialled well earlier this week. She draws out for J-Mac but that will suit her as she looks to me to settle off the speed here and be the one coming over the top of them late. There looks to be good speed engaged so if they do overdo it up front I think she is the one that can be really strong late and around that $8 mark I think she is worth a ticket. The throw at the stumps bet is Villami. This filly won well on debut and then started very firm in the market at her second start when well beaten behind Kiamichi. Kiamichi started around five times the price of Villami that day. Did the market just get it so wrong or was the heavy track to blame for Villami’s failure? Since then Villami has gone back to the trials and looked really stylish at Rosehill earlier this week. In this race the market has reversed she is about four to five times the price of Kiamichi. I reckon given that and the fact she gets back on to a drier surface here from gate one for The Gun she can run a big race and at the price is worth a ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Kiamichi here, $25 the win on Flit and $10 the win on Villami!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 5

1:50pm

Suggested

Encryption (No.2), Trope (No.10), Spanish Whisper (No.12) & Causeway Girl (No.14)

Dangers

Zousain (No.1) & Classique Legend (No.7)

This is another cracking race on this cracking program. It is the Arrowfield Sprint for the three year olds and it has drawn together a really competitive field. There are a heap of different form lines coming together in this race. I will start off with the horse that I am not backing that I am really nervous about and that is Classique Legend. This is obviously a very talented galloper. He looked enormous running some big numbers at his first two starts before he ran a huge race last start in the Darby Munro where it all conspired against him. He went forward from a wide draw and the leaders kicked up underneath him to keep him working wide outside the leaders. He did an enormous job to fight on and run third. The slight concern for me here is that he is in the fourth run of his debut campaign coming off a really hard run last start. How much is left in the tank? For that reason I am going to bet around him but like I said, he is a very talented horse and it wouldn’t surprise me if he won here nor would I talk you out of backing him, just outlining the reasons why I am nervously taking him on here. Encryption was the horse I kept coming back to. He comes back against his own age here after three really competitive runs in Group One open age sprints. He was a big drifter in the market first up at Caulfield when he chased home Bons Away and Written By but improved significantly second up when running second to Booker in the Oakleigh Plate. He backed that up with an excellent run in the Newmarket where he wasn’t too far off a horse called Santa Ana Lane, you may have caught a glimpse of what he did here at Randwick last Saturday. He then got a long way back in The Galaxy on that heavy track at Rosehill but kept chasing strongly through the line. That form all looks to read really well for this race. He draws gate three for Hugh Bowman to hopefully land not too far off the speed as what he has been at his past couple and if the breaks come his way I would expect him to be right in the finish. Happy to be with him. Trope looks an exciting horse. Whether this all comes a bit too soon for him I am not sure but I don’t want to be on the losing side if it isn’t too soon. He stormed home on debut to win on the Kensington track before again sprouting wings late when just failing to run down Prophet’s Thumb last start. He has had a very quiet trial at Newcastle since that run to keep him up to the mark where he was kept under double wraps and he looked stylish. He draws a nice middle to wide gate which will suit his pattern and I just like that he has been kept fresh since that last start run given he is a lightly raced horse. I feel he comes into this race still on an upward spiral whereas I am not as confident Classique Legend is so that is why I am choosing to back Trope as well as the fact he is a better price. The other two horses I am backing in the race at big odds are the two fillies who come through the Multaja race last Saturday in Spanish Whisper and Causeway GirlSpanish Whisper just had no luck at all. She was bolting behind them and never got a crack at them. She gets good weight relief here for Craig Williams, draws a nice middle gate and a big run would not surprise me from her on the back up. The $20-30 being bet about her looks large. Causeway Girl looked a bit all at sea I thought going this direction the first time. Despite all that I thought she still looked the winner 200m out. She just looked to be racing a bit ungenerously throughout and her effort to run fourth was good. She comes into this race third up so I fancy there is still some improvement in her and the blinkers go on here. Ollie stays with her and around that $30 mark I think she is worth a small ticket here as I think she is set to peak in this race.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on Encryption here, $25 the win on Trope and $10 the win on both Causeway Girl and Spanish Whisper and will lock in the $41 about Spanish Whisper with QLD TAB!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 8 - Sydney Cup

3:50pm

Suggested

Dubhe (No.10), Gallic Chieftain (No.14) & Rondinella (No.15)

Dangers

Big Duke (No.5), Midterm (No.11) & Glory Days (No.12)

We skip the two races with the short priced favourites engaged and now get to the Sydney Cup which is an intriguing edition this year. There aren’t too many different form lines coming into this race from the locals. Most of them either ran against Avilius in the Tancred or ran in The Chairman’s behind Gallic Chieftain last Saturday. There hasn’t looked to be a lot between them. They look a pretty even bunch where luck in running will play a pretty big part on the day in terms of who salutes. For that reason the Godolphin visitor in Dubhe is very easy to like. He just brings x-factor and different form into a race that is pretty vanilla on paper. He also fits the bill of these horses that Charlie Appleby has had great success in bringing out to Australia. He is a lightly raced stayer that looks to be coming into the race in really good form. Amazingly he has only raced three times in the last eighteen months and two times since April last year. His most recent run is probably the guide that most people are using as gospel coming into this race. He took on a small field at Meydan over the two miles, sat outside the leader and showed a nice turn of foot in the straight to win running away by a big margin. It looked impressive and it was his first go over this two mile trip. The European stayers have clearly proven superior to ours in recent times, this horse comes over for a trainer who has such a wonderful record in bringing the right horse out to Australia and he looks a lightly raced horse in form on the up. There is too much to like. He draws ideally for Kerrin McEvoy who is a master in these staying races and with any luck in running and providing he has acclimatised it is hard not to be with him here though he is probably short enough in the current market. I am hopeful we will get $4+ on the day. I am going to keep a couple of other runners on side just in case. Gallic Chieftain has to be considered a great chance on the back up after his last start win. Gee, it is funny how a horse can be the story of your weekend as this bloke was in Sydney last Saturday. I sat down with Adam Blencowe from Racing And Sports last Friday afternoon in Sydney enjoying some rooftop ales and we started talking about how Melbourne stayers are superior to the Sydney stayers. That got us on to the subject of Gallic Chieftain who I said I really liked at odds on the Saturday in The Chairman’s. He agreed and we discussed the reasons why we thought he could win and I left the conversation thinking “gee this horse is at least an each way moral”. Then old mate Simon Dinopoulos tips it on Sky on Saturday morning and I revert my thinking to “this has got no chance all three of us are on it”. I then arrive at the track and meet a few mates who flew up from Melbourne. We had some leftover money from a Quaddie we got recently and the plan was to chuck it on one horse in Sydney when we were all there. When they asked what it was I replied “well lets go for glory and chuck it on Gallic Chieftain at a price”. Fair to say we were heard cheering loud and clear in the members at Randwick when Damian Lane produced a peach to get him home. Anyway enough of Baron Story Time. He looks to be going really well. He was huge first up, then I reckon it paid to put a pen through the Yarra Valley run as that track is just a bit weird and didn’t suit him and then he was really good obviously last week. Bossy goes on here with no weight on his back from a good draw and at double figure odds I am obliged to back him again. The other horse I want to have something on is Rondinella. This mare has gone through her grades really well this campaign in New Zealand and then came to Australia and ran a super race in the Tancred behind Avilius two weeks ago. I love the way she was coming again through the line there which suggests to me she will run a strong two miles. She draws gate one down in the weights for Sam Clipperton, she will do no work in the run up on speed and I think she will be right in the finish so happy to be on her at double figure odds also.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Dubhe here and save with $15 the win on both Gallic Chieftain and Rondinella!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 9 - Coolmore Stakes

4:30pm

Suggested

Prompt Response (No.2), Dixie Blossoms (No.4), Kenedna (No.13) & Amphitrite (No.16)

Dangers

Alizee (No.1) & Unforgotten (No.7)

This is the final Group One race of the day here. It is the Group One Coolmore over the fillies and mares. Gee, this isn’t easy. Alizee has come up favourite but I am struggling to get overly enthused about her despite what I saw her do in this race last year. Her last two runs have just lacked a bit for mine. Even though she ran third in the All Star Mile I thought she was gift wrapped that race and expected her to win when the split came halfway down the straight after doing no work in the run. She just laboured through the line there and then never looked like it last Saturday in the Doncaster. She has been up since December and I am just wondering whether she has come to the end this time in. For that reason I am betting around her. Dixie Blossoms’ last two runs have been outstanding and what a great swansong to a fantastic career this would be. It is weird but I reckon I would get more emotional or more of a kick out of seeing her win her last race than Winx. Gee, she has been a good mare. She seems to be flying this campaign too. She ran well first up before winning in pretty dominant fashion in the Coolmore at Rosehill. I thought her run last Saturday in the Doncaster was excellent. She got a mile back and was clearly one of the better closers in the race for mine which was owned on speed. She flies here at Randwick over the mile. She draws ideally in a middle gate to hopefully not go as far back as last week and I just think she is right in the zone at the moment and at double figure odds looks a great bet. Keen to be with her. Amphitrite coming back off a bit of a freshen up since the All Star Mile four weeks ago interests me. I just think while a few others in this race have had other major goals they have been aiming at in more recent weeks that this filly has been really kept on ice for the last couple of weeks bypassing a few races she could have run in to have a good crack at this. She looks well placed from a middle draw for Craig Williams and there seems to be a bit of an air of confidence from the stable that she is going really well at home and is going to give this race a big shake. Her form has been really good too. She was good in the All Star Mile coming from well off the speed following a third to Mystic Journey in the Australian Guineas and her first up win was excellent over Verry Elleegant. All the form around her is good and l like her coming into this race off that freshen up. I think she will run a big race and happy to be with her. Prompt Response chased home Winx, Brutal and Dreamforce last start. That is a pretty handy form line and she comes back against her own sex here after taking on Trapeze Artist and co. at her first up run. I think there is a bit to like about her in this race. She draws gate six to land on speed for Blake Shinn and I think she is going to make her presence felt. Happy to be in her corner. The other horse I am going to have something on is Kenedna. She looks to have come back from a spell in good order. She hit the line really well last start when second up at Moonee Valley. She certainly looks a horse coming into this race on an upward spiral third up. She draws a nice middle gate, she should relish the big Randwick track and at big odds I think she is well worth a ticket here.

Betting strategy

I am pretty keen on Dixie Blossoms here and reckon the $12 about her might be value in a market I expect to change a bit come race time! I will lock that in and have $25 the win on her! I will also have $20 the win on Amphitrite, $15 the win on Prompt Response and $10 the win on Kenedna!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 10

5:10pm

Suggested

Spright (No.5), Winter Bride (No.6) & Ellicazoom (No.9)

Dangers

I Am Excited (No.3) & Resin (No.10)

This is a good fillies and mares sprint race to finish the day on here. Winter Bride my favourite horse (forget Winx haha, sorry I don’t mean to be anti-Winx in this preview but it is about the punt) goes around here looking to make it two consecutive wins for the campaign after returning from a spell last month with a strong victory here. This mare has really gone through her grades in emphatic fashion. Since about June last year she has really been in a rich vein of form and has continued to race well and win races. In fact from May last year she has won six of eight races and has been really impressive in doing so. She trialled really well prior to her first up run here and then backed that up with a strong win. She really chased through the line strongly and the message post race was that there was more to come from her as she was being set for a race over The Championships. That race has arrived here on Saturday and she is surely going to be hard to beat again. She draws gate one which I am not thrilled about I must admit. I am not sure the rail come race ten is going to be the ideal place to be. I will back Tommy Berry to work his magic though. She should be able to take up a position relatively close to the speed from that draw and if the breaks come her way in the straight then she should prove really hard to hold out. Spright was the horse she beat home last start at Randwick and if any horse deserved to break through for a victory it is surely Spright. She just continues to run well in big races. Her three runs this time in have all been outstanding. She was enormous behind Booker in the Oakleigh Plate when she just got too far back in the run and she backed that up with that good second here to Winter Bride before again running an enormous race at Group One level last start at Moonee Valley behind Sunlight. This looks an ideal set up for her. She is back to mares grade, she looks really well in under the conditions of this race with just 55.5kgs on her back which is just a kilo and a half over the minimum. Like Winter Bride though she draws an inside gate so she is going to need a bit of luck. Jason Collett is a bit of a master and finding duck and weave inside runs though so I think his engagement is a good one for her. If she can stay close enough in the run and then the breaks come her way you would think she only has to run up a couple of those recent Group One efforts and she would be winning. Keen to be with her also. I think if those two horses do find a bit of trouble back over along the inside then Ellicazoom might be the mare bombing down the outside to potentially take full advantage. This mare’s form is very easy to line up with Winter Bride and Spright. She was competitive with Winter Bride in the spring and hasn’t been far away from Spright in Group One races at her last two. She draws out which may not be a disadvantage by this stage of the day and I can envisage her launching down the middle of the track late for Williams similar to how Multaja did her last Saturday. She has come up close to $20 in the market and at that price is well worth a ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Spright here, $30 the win on Winter Bride and $10 the win on Ellicazoom!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 3

12:13pm

Suggested

Wu Gok (No.2), Fighting Teo (No.4) & Winning Ways (No.13)

Dangers

High Opinion (No.3) & Sir Barnabus (No.5)

Racing in Brisbane returns to Eagle Farm this Saturday but gee, what a mess things are in up there. Apologies to subscribers who love to bet in Brisbane for the lack of previews there in recent times but it is getting hard to get involved with any confidence up there. Those thoughts have been compounded further this week with Aquis Farm who have an enormous number of horses up in this part of the world announcing until integrity issues are sorted by Racing Queensland they will be scratching all their horses up in Queensland. It is all a bit of a nightmare and as a result I have just found the two races to bet into there on Saturday. The weather on a positive note is good and we will be racing on a good track at Eagle Farm. I certainly wouldn’t have thought that if I was only betting in two races on the program that one of those races would be a Brisbane staying race, but here we are. Normally they just take turns in winning these races and it can be a bit of a raffle as to who wins. I did like this race though. Wu Gok’s last few runs have been quite good and I thought he was pretty stiff not to win at the Sunshine Coast last start. He won his start prior at the Gold Coast coming from off the speed and being strong through the line and then he just didn’t get the best of luck last start. His stable mate Cormac whipped around the field to get up closer to the runaway leader and while he did that Wu Gok was back stuck behind runners. It took him a little while to get clear and once he did he found the line strongly but just failed to run down Cormac. He shouldn’t have any traffic problems today drawn out for Jeff Lloyd and I would expect him to be in the finish. Winning Ways certainly appeals as the horse on the up in this race taking on a few tried and true well exposed commodities. She is a three year old filly who hit the line well at her first two runs back before getting up to the 1800m at the Gold Coast last start and winning easily. She is up to her right trip now, she draws well in gate three and should be hard to beat. Keen to be with her. I am also going to keep Fighting Teo on side as the saving bet just in case. He was just touched off by Wu Gok last start after racing on speed and he should have that positional advantage in running again here. He has now had a couple of runs in this distance range this campaign and typically holds his form once he finds it so he should prove pretty hard to get past racing up on the speed and I don’t want to lose on the race should he salute.

Betting strategy

I will have $30 the win on Winning Ways here, $20 the win on Wu Gok and $20 the win on Fighting Teo!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 5

1:23pm

Suggested

Dissolution (No.7), Hold The Line (No.12) & Pizonie (No.14)

Dangers

Bachelor’s Art (No.6) & River Racer (No.13)

This race is over the 1200m and I thought there were a couple of key winning chances and a horse worth nibbling at odds here. Pizonie third up from a spell here looks well placed after running really well at his first two runs back from a break. He has sat on the speed and been good both times without being able to get the job done. He looks to get a fair bit in his favour here on Saturday. He gets in with no weight on his back down to 53kgs and from gate four should land right on the speed. He will need that easy run in transit as the 1200m is probably the slight question mark with him. I think he will get every opportunity to run it out here though and he has come back in good form so happy to be with him. If he is to get tired late then the promising Hold The Line looks best placed to take full advantage. This is a promising filly that has won three of her four starts and looks well placed here. She has only had the one public trial which was over a month ago and while she finished second last in that trial she was never let off the bridle and looked to truck through the line strongly. She might have a bit of a class edge on these and could be the horse going places moving forward. She will probably be back off the speed from a middle to wide draw for Ryan Maloney but if the leaders are getting tired and she is within striking distance then she is going to be hard to hold out so happy to be with her. The saving bet in the race is Dissolution who comes up from New South Wales. If you go back through his form card there are some good runs against good horses in handy city Sydney races. That form typically holds up well here in Brisbane. He has run well fresh in the past and will do no work form an inside gate. I thought at the $20+ on offer he was worth a ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on both Pizonie and Hold The Line and $10 the win on Dissolution!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 2

1:41pm

Suggested

Debt Collector (No.7) & Heaven’s Deal (No.8)

Dangers

Split Lip (No.4) & Gytrash (No.9)

I am making a rare venture to Morphettville on Saturday. Given I am a bit light on in the preview in Brisbane and there are some quality horses running around in Adelaide I thought I would preview a few to bet into at this meeting. Ironically the race of most interest which is the last I am not betting in. That race features Behemoth and Anjana who both look really promising. Behemoth looked very exciting when winning at Moonee Valley back in December and hasn’t been seen since. His recent trial was excellent too. He runs into Anjana who is just flying at the moment and has been huge winning both runs this time in. Had Anjana drawn out I would have probably backed her but I am just worried from gate one she may find a bit of trouble and if Behemoth can take advantage of that with full momentum he will be hard to beat. They are both too short to back both but didn’t have a firm opinion either way to back one and not the other. I suggest watching the race though it will be good. The weather is good in Adelaide and the track is also good for a good day of racing where I am kicking the betting off in the second race which is over the 1050m. I am looking forward to seeing the return of a horse here that I have a bit of time for in Debt Collector. I think he is a pretty handy horse. His form last campaign was really strong and he kicked that campaign off with a really good win over this track and trip. His last two runs of the campaign were the ones that really took my eye. He won so impressively two starts back over Going Gaga when coming from the clouds late and then was perhaps a touch unlucky at his most recent run to not reel in Like To Think So who was high rolling out in front while Debt Collector was held up for runs. He has had a quiet trial to tune him up for this which he went quite well in and even though he draws wide here, given his off speed racing pattern I don’t think that will be too big of a disadvantage given there are only eleven runners in the field. He won’t be too far off them and will have clear galloping room. He flies fresh, he likes this short course distance and I am happy to be with him. I thought Heaven’s Deal with the two runs under her belt and a bit of fitness on side represented the danger. She will most likely jump on the bunny from gate four and if she can lead without doing too much work she could prove hard to run down. Most of the well fancied runners in this race are first up so if she can make the most of that fitness edge she can be very competitive and happy to save on her.

Betting strategy

I will have $45 the win on Debt Collector here and save with $25 the win on Heaven's Deal!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 3

2:16pm

Suggested

Arkham Knight (No.2) & Scottish Rogue (No.9)

Dangers

Fancy Rumble (No.8) & Private Lounge (No.10)

This race is over the 1200m and it looks to be the easiest race that Scottish Rogue has encountered for some time. It looks a real winnable race for him. He has taken on a few of our best three year olds over his past couple of campaigns. He was only just touched off by Ringerdingding in the spring and this campaign hasn’t been too far away from some handy horses. He does probably need to get another win on the board though and this looks the day for him. He gets down in the weights taking on the older horses, I don’t mind him back to the 1200m for an in form Barend Vorster who can hopefully get him into a good spot from that middle to wide gate and if that is the case he should prove hard to hold out. Happy to be with him. I am going to save on Arkham Knight who is a horse that I have always had a bit of time for. There were a few roars in the Committee Room at The Bool last year on the final day of the carnival when this bloke saluted. He is a horse that is always competitive in this sort of grade and he bolted in a recent Strathalbyn trial which suggests he has come back well. He also draws out a bit but will be back off the speed and providing the track is not against those coming from off speed he should run well. At close to double figure odds happy to save on him.

Betting strategy

I will have $45 the win on Scottish Rogue here and save with $15 the win on Arkham Knight!

Race Outlay

$60

Race 4

2:56pm

Suggested

A Shin Rook (No.5)

Dangers

Balf’s Choice (No.1) & Black Sail (No.10)

I am pretty keen on one here. This race is over the mile and third up it looks an ideal race for the Anthony Freedman trained A Shin Rook to break through. His two runs back from a spell have been excellent this time in. He hit the line strongly under a big weight at Sale first up behind the then flying Bravo Tango. He then came here to Morphettville second up over the mile and ran a cracking race when just touched off by Mantastic and SIlentz. We have seen the form from that race hold up really well with Mantastic running second to Haripour in the Golden Mile which is a race I also expect to end up being strong from a form perspective. Since that run he was given a very quiet jump out at Balnarring last week where he was never let off the bridle and trucked through the line very strongly. He draws gate five here to get a gun run just off the speed and third up at the mile he just looks primed to deliver a peak performance. I think he is good odds too around that $3-4 mark and more than happy to be with him here. He might even be the best of the day anywhere in the country actually.

Betting strategy

Really keen on A Shin Rook here and I will have $80 the win on him as a stand out bet locking in the $3.90 with TAB Fixed Odds!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 7

5:01pm

Suggested

Mirette (No.2), Arctic Shock (No.9) & Vanuatu (No.11)

Dangers

Sizzleme (No.3) & Amanikan (No.14)

This is a good race for the three year old fillies over the 1800m. It is a Group 3 race and obviously many of these are on track to run in the Oaks over the upcoming weeks. I think the form from the race won by Princess Jenni at Moonee Valley a few weeks back certainly looks the main form reference. We see Mirette and Arctic Shock come through that race and I would expect both to be very hard to beat here. Mirette didn’t have a lot of luck in that race. She sat three wide on the speed the whole way and did plenty of work. Her effort to hang on and run fourth and be beaten less than a length was excellent. There should be no issues with her getting a good run here. She draws gate eight to land just off the speed and with that easier run in transit she should be right in the finish. Happy to be with her. I was on Arctic Shock in that Princess Jenni race. In fact I was on Mirette and Princess Jenni too it was only the favourite Angelic Ruler that was going to cost me in that final drive to the post. Arctic Shock’s run was also excellent. She just didn’t get clear running at the time she probably needed it to build enough momentum to win the race. She certainly picked up strongly and dashed through late though once that run came. She is another that just draws perfectly here in gate five to get a perfect run off the speed. With a touch of luck from there she should be right in the finish also. I am confident these two fillies are clearly the two to beat in the race. I think if there is an upset it could come from Vanuatu. This filly shows some good potential. She hit the line well first up at Sandown from back in the field before getting the job done in good fashion as a short priced favourite at Cranbourne last start. I think she is certainly the horse in the race that looks to have come up well over the odds. I probably had her closer to the $8-9 mark and she is around $14 in the markets currently. At that price I think she is definitely worth a ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $45 the win on Mirette here, I will also have $30 the win on Arctic Shock and $15 the win on Vanuatu locking in the $15 about the latter with BetEasy!

Race Outlay

$90

Race 2

12:55pm

Suggested

Snogging (No.13), Paremuus Boy (No.14) & Tan Tat Trusting (No.15)

Dangers

Renewal (No.2), Fragment (No.3) & Kapaulenko (No.5)

Racing in Melbourne again comes from Caulfield this Saturday and for someone who was pleased about the return to racing there last Saturday it certainly didn’t reflect in my punting there. It was a rough old day summed up when Bandipur kicked back to touch off Spirit Of Aquada in a really sick beat. Hopefully we can bounce back there this Saturday at a track which is traditionally a profitable one. It won’t be easy though. I found this a terribly hard meeting. I found most races pretty hard to narrow down and as a result I have only found the four races to bet into. The rail is again out a fair way to the thirteen metre position but the weather has been pretty dry in Melbourne so we will be racing on a good track. I am kicking the day off in the second race and even as I write this preview on Friday morning this race preview is a bit up in the air as the three horses I have come up with in the race are the first three emergencies so this preview could change dramatically come Saturday morning. Tan Tat Trustingunfortunately is the third of those emergencies but he is the horse I liked most in the race. He raced really well last campaign and it was a lengthy campaign. He probably didn’t get as many wins on the board as his form warranted but he still raced really well. I like him coming into this first up. He has had two really solid jump outs leading into this. His first one he was given a quiet time before being given a more rousing hit out in his most recent one over the 1400m. His record first up is good as is his record over the trip and I think if he gains a start he will run a big race here. Another horse coming into this race first up from a spell is Snogging. Gee, this mare trialled well. Her form has tapered off a bit from earlier in her three year old season where she looked like she was going to go on and be a handy horse but she probably hasn’t gone on with the job to the level some might have thought she would have. That recent trial though was really impressive. It is hard judging horses too much off trials but she tracked up behind the speed and was never let off the bridle when coming off the leaders heels and winning easily. It all suggests she has come back well. I like her first up at this 1400m distance and if she can get into a good spot for Linda Meech she can be winning here. She is also the first emergency so she is most likely out of the three to get a run. The second emergency and third horse I like in the race should he gain a start is Paremuus Boy. He was tried over a longer trip at Sandown last start and I am not sure that is his go. He got back out of his ground, he looked like he was moving into the race but probably peaked on his run late. He has been freshened since that and comes back to the 1400m here. He has also had a really stylish jump out at Camperdown to keep him up to the mark so at double figure odds happy to be with him if he gains a start. Obviously a fair bit changes if those three don’t gain a start. If they don’t I would look at basing my bets around the dangers in the race pending odds. I think Kapaulenko would certainly be promoted at a price and then it will be deciding out of Renewal and the Tasmanian galloper in Fragment.

Betting strategy

I will have $25 the win on Snogging and Tan Tat Trusting here and $10 the win on Paremuus Boy! (at this stage)

Race Outlay

$60

Race 6

3:30pm

Suggested

Seberate (No.3), Montenegro Man (No.11) & Tarwin (No.12)

Dangers

Outrageous (No.1) & Saccharo (No.4)

This race is over the 1440m for the three year olds and this is a really strong race. One of the main form references here is the Bendigo Guineas run two weeks ago which was won by Mystery Love. They did all go over the line in a bit of a bunch in that race and I am just a little bit wary of that form. Saccharo and Wham were right in the finish while Outrageous did plenty of work on speed and wasn’t far off them. All are winning chances here but I thought Saccharo and Wham were certainly well enough found in the market and was happy to look at a few different form references. Tarwin down the bottom of the page looks hard to beat for mine. He only had the one run in his debut campaign which was a pretty dominant win at Sale back in September and he was immediately spelled post that run. He resumed at Sandown four weeks back and I was pretty keen on him in a race over 1300m on the Hillside track. He just couldn’t get clear running at the top of the straight when he needed it and that probably cost him victory. Once he got out he surged through the line but just failed to run down Nasaayim. It was an excellent return and he looks a horse of some promise. He looks well placed here. He steps up to the 1400m which looks ideal. He draws well in gate four to hopefully be able to take up a more prominent position in running and with Lachie King’s claim he looks really well in at the weights with just 52kgs on his back. He had a nice jump out on Monday at Cranbourne to keep him up to the mark and I am happy to be in his corner. I am a little bit surprised that Seberate has come up close to double figure odds. This three year old from the David Hayes yard was heavily backed at Bendigo first up resuming off a Derby campaign and got the job done over 1300m in very easy fashion. He led the field up there and kicked clear in the straight and was really charging clear of his rivals before being eased down on the line. The margin certainly could have been greater and the second horse we saw come out and win easily at Sandown on Wednesday. It looks good form. Luke Nolen goes on here and I would expect him to roll forward and put himself in a prominent position in running. From there I would expect him to be in the finish so more than happy to be with him around that $10 mark. I have been following Montenegro Man all campaign and I am hoping this race is an opportunity for him to get into the winners circle. He was enormous first up at Moonee Valley and then raced a bit flat second up. He then went to Morphettville on Adelaide Cup day and was just touched off before carrying a big weight at Sandown on the Lakeside track last start and running well behind a potential star in Diamond Effort. The key here for mine is that he gets out to the 1400m and he also gets significant weight relief. He drops from 60kgs down to 51kgs here and if he can get into a good position in running I think he can run well. At the double figure odds happy to have something small on him.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Tarwin here! I will have $25 the win on Seberate locking in the $9 with BetEasy and I will also have $10 the win on Montenegro Man!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 7

4:10pm

Suggested

Halvorsen (No.3), Delvecchio (No.8) & Irresistable Girl (No.13)

Dangers

Viduka (No.10), Columbus Circle (No.11) & Leiter (No.15)

This race is over the 1000m for the three year olds and it is another deep race. There look to be plenty of winning chances here. Halvorsen’s form from last campaign where he was competitive with the likes of Hawkshot and Tin Hat certainly reads very well for a race of this nature and as a result I am happy to be with him here first up. He won a pretty weak Benchmark 58 at Bairnsdale first up last campaign but he did it in really strong and easy fashion. He then went on to run third to Hawkshot before beating that horse at Moonee Valley at his next start. At his most recent start he chased him Tin Hat and beat home Fundamentalist at Caulfield. That form all reads pretty well to me. He comes up against a few up and coming promising types here but I just feel that he is the horse with the score on the board and as a result I am happy to back him in here first up. Delvecchio hasn’t been served too well at the barriers here but he is a smart horse. He has won his only two starts at Werribee and Cranbourne back in December and won both of them in really impressive fashion. He sat outside the leader and got the job done on debut at Werribee when heavily backed before starting a very short priced favourite at Cranbourne at his second start and leading all the way. The thing I have been taken with in both his wins was just how strong he was through the line. He looked to really chase through the line and that is the sign of a good horse. He draws a wide gate here as I mentioned but with the rail out and only around one bend I am hoping three wide with a bit of cover may not be too bad of a position in running. He was given a quiet time in a recent Cranbourne trial where he looked to have a fair bit more to give and if he has improved from that debut campaign then this certainly looks winnable. Happy to be with him. The other horse in the race I am going to have something on is Irresistable Girl. All of a sudden that form from the third run of her debut campaign around Embrace Me reads pretty well for a race of this nature. She led the field up that day and was just cut down late by that filly who has since won at stakes level beating some handy three year old fillies. Her two runs prior to that were good too when winning on debut and just being touched off by a subsequent city winner in Du Well at her second start. She showed blistering speed out of the gates in a recent jump out and with the blinkers on first time from a middle gate with Meech riding I can see her sling shotting out of the barriers here and landing in front. If that is the case I think she could prove hard to run down so I will have something on her at double figure odds.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on Halvorsen here, $25 the win on Delvecchio and $10 the win on Irresistable Girl!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 9

5:25pm

Suggested

Lite’n In My Veins (No.3) & Plein Ciel (No.7)

Dangers

Fierce Impact (No.5) & Mahamedeis (No.10)

This is a good race to finish the day on here. Unlike a few of the other races I thought this one could be narrowed down to about four or five winning hopes. The issue then was trying to separate those four winning hopes. I would expect the Golden Mile from Bendigo to prove a strong form reference. Lite’n In My VeinsPlain Ciel and Mahamedeis all come through that race and then there is Fierce Impact who switches down from Sydney along with Call Me Handsome who chased home Self Sense last start and beat home Gallic Chieftain. There is good form around all of those five runners. I stuck with the Golden Mile form and Mahamedeis was the one I decided to take on. I just thought he might be giving away a bit of a start and with the mile run under his belt could be potentially looking for further. But it was a line ball decision. He looked pretty unlucky at Bendigo last start behind Haripour. Lite’n In My Veins I think sets up really well in this race and his two runs back from a spell without a lot of luck in running have both been excellent. He worked forward on speed under a big weight first up over the mile at Morphettville and really was only overtaken in the final 100m behind Mantastic that day. That has also looked to be a strong form race. He then went to Bendigo last start and was three wide no cover from a wide draw in that Golden Mile but still stuck on really well to be beaten just over two lengths. He just looks to get a lot more in his favour here today. He will roll forward from an ideal middle gate in barrier six and land on speed. He looks to get some nice weight relief after the claim for Liam Riordan and he is probably going to be in front of a few of his main rivals in the betting for most of the way. With that softer run in transit that might see him prove pretty hard to get past. He should be primed here third up from a spell with those two runs over the mile under his belt and I can see him running very well here. Happy to be with him. Plein Ciel also looks ready. He worked to the line well first up following an eye catching trial behind Widgee Turf at Flemington. He was never going to win that day but he got through the line well alongside Haripour. He then went to Bendigo and just didn’t have the best of luck. While Haripour found clear air at the top of the straight this horse was ducking and weaving and in between runners and never really able to build full momentum. He looked to go to the line like Mahamedeis with something in hand potentially. This race looks to set up nicely for him. He is unbeaten in three runs here at Caulfield, he draws a nice middle to wide gate for Ben Allen to lob him in a good spot off the speed and he should be just about coming to his peak now at his third run back from a spell. He looks to have come back well too and a win is on the horizon. I am hoping that might be here so happy to be in his corner. The other three I mentioned above are certainly all winning chances. They are the five though that are all well in the market so you have to narrow it down and I am going to take the punt on Lite’n In My Veins and Plain Ciel.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Plain Ciel here and $30 the win on Lite'n In My Veins!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 2

12:05pm

Suggested

Wild Planet (No.4), Final Award (No.6) & Tahitian Dancer (No.9)

Dangers

Fasika (No.10), Green Aeon (No.11) & Millard Reaction (No.12)

Day Two of The Championships arrives at Royal Randwick on Saturday and after a cracking day up in Sydney last Saturday we are in for another outstanding day of racing. The Sydney weather started to turn last weekend while I was up there and it looks as if it has held firm through this week which means we will be racing on a good track come Saturday in my opinion. Obviously the eyes of the nation will be on Winx as she brings the curtain down on a career which is unparalleled. The level of domination seen over the past few years is certainly not anything I have seen before. Will she go down as my favourite horse? No, she won’t. I am amazed by her achievements but the utter domination has at the same time dulled the exhilaration of the competition which I love. That is nothing against her, it is just the fact that she is so good and so much better than any other horse. She should round out her career in style and perhaps we will also see an heir apparent in Verry Elleegant stamp herself as a real superstar by winning the Oaks. Both are prohibitive odds of course and don’t represent anything from a betting point of view and that is why both races don’t appear in the preview. It should be good viewing though, in particular Verry Elleegant. If she can get the job done in the Oaks on Saturday I think there will be some real hype about her coming into next spring which will obviously be a much more open spring without Winx. The track played well last Saturday, they got off the fence a bit as the day progressed and I would anticipate a similar pattern on Saturday but horses won on speed and from off speed so pretty fair all in all. Let’s get into the races we are actually betting into and I am kicking off in the second race of the day which is over the 1400m for the three year olds. This is a competitive race. There are some promising horses facing their toughest test here and it is an intriguing race. I certainly think the horse with the score on the board coming into this race is the Team Hawkes galloper Wild Planet. This horse races really well through the spring in Melbourne which culminated in a narrow defeat in the Carbine Club on Derby Day. He returned from a spell at big odds in the Derby Munro three weeks ago and ran an enormous race. He kept kicking up on the inside that day over the 1200m to keep the favourite Classique Legend working outside of him. He kicked back and beat that horse off only for Krone to dart up the inside and nab him late in the race. I thought it was an enormous first up return. The question is can he go on with the job after such a hard run first up. I think the three weeks between runs is certainly a big advantage. The step up to 1400m looks ideal and providing Tommy can roll forward from gate ten and find a good spot on speed he should prove hard to run down. Keen to be with him. I am going to keep a couple of other runners on side. One of the few things I remember from that big weekend I had in Canberra a month back was that Final Award looked a really impressive animal winning the Canberra Guineas. He went back to last out of the gates that day but rounded his rivals up in the straight really impressively. Two starts prior to that he defeated the promising Amangiri who ran so well here last Saturday. He is clearly a horse of talent for mine. He has been freshened since that Canberra Guineas run but has had a very nice trial at Warwick Farm about a week and a half ago which has kept him up to the mark. I wish he hadn’t drawn gate on here. I would be much more confident had he drawn out but he will get back and if Williams can get him to the outside and clear air he will prove very hard to hold out so happy to be with him. The other horse I want to be on in the race is Tahitian Dancer. This filly trialled super prior to her first up win and that win in itself at Mornington was super. She just held off the fast finishing Music Bay and there was a monster gap back to the third horse. Music Bay came out at Sandown and walked in on Wednesday which is a good sign. She gets down in the weights here from a nice middle draw for Brenton Avdulla and her form last campaign around the likes of Mystic Journey and Pohutukawa read well for a race of this nature so happy to be with her. The chances don’t end there. The unbeaten trio of FasikaGreen Aeon and Millard Reaction all look really talented and I haven’t even mentioned Krone who rolled Wild Planet last start. Really good race.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on Wild Planet here! I will also have $15 the win on both Final Award and Tahitian Dancer!

Race Outlay

$65

Race 4

1:15pm

Suggested

Kiamichi (No.1), Flit (No.4) & Villami (No.7)

Dangers

Cheer Leader (No.5) & Athiri (No.6)

This race is for the two year old fillies over the 1200m. It is a two year old race so just back a Godolphin horse. Preview finished. Just kidding, kind of. That is how it is at the moment though isn’t it? The Godolphin two year olds are flying. We got one right last Saturday with Microphone in the Sires but not the first race when Bivouac beat Athiri home. To really make matters hard for us punters in this race James Cummings has decided to saddle up five runners. I have to admit I was pretty surprised Kiamichididn’t come up favourite. I know she steps away from a wet track here for the first time in a few runs, but she is the Golden Slipper winner and this looks well within her scope. She backed up that Golden Slipper win with a really good run here last Saturday in the Sires. I have to admit when they turned for home I thought she looked the winner. She kicked clear and looked to have all her rivals off the bit and chasing. She just maybe failed to run the 1400m out strongly as she stopped quickly over the last 100m. I think she looks so well suited here. She drops back to 1200m, she is against her own sex and draws ideally in gate five for Hugh Bowman to either lead or land right outside the leader. I know Cheer Leader was impressive at Moonee Valley last start and Lane riding her is maybe the lead punters are taking in backing her so heavily given he has been riding Kiamichi. However Cheer Leader is now nearly $2 shorter in the market than Kiamichi and for mine that is far too much of a discrepancy which makes Kiamichi a really good bet here. Happy to be with her. I think Flit is the fresh blood on the scene that can make her presence felt. This is another Godolphin filly and she looks the up and comer that we perhaps haven’t got to the bottom of yet. She started a heavily backed odds on favourite on debut at Bendigo when running third before going to Flemington and sharing the spoils down the straight in a Group 3 race where I thought she went particularly well. She has come up to Sydney and trialled well earlier this week. She draws out for J-Mac but that will suit her as she looks to me to settle off the speed here and be the one coming over the top of them late. There looks to be good speed engaged so if they do overdo it up front I think she is the one that can be really strong late and around that $8 mark I think she is worth a ticket. The throw at the stumps bet is Villami. This filly won well on debut and then started very firm in the market at her second start when well beaten behind Kiamichi. Kiamichi started around five times the price of Villami that day. Did the market just get it so wrong or was the heavy track to blame for Villami’s failure? Since then Villami has gone back to the trials and looked really stylish at Rosehill earlier this week. In this race the market has reversed she is about four to five times the price of Kiamichi. I reckon given that and the fact she gets back on to a drier surface here from gate one for The Gun she can run a big race and at the price is worth a ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Kiamichi here, $25 the win on Flit and $10 the win on Villami!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 5

1:50pm

Suggested

Encryption (No.2), Trope (No.10), Spanish Whisper (No.12) & Causeway Girl (No.14)

Dangers

Zousain (No.1) & Classique Legend (No.7)

This is another cracking race on this cracking program. It is the Arrowfield Sprint for the three year olds and it has drawn together a really competitive field. There are a heap of different form lines coming together in this race. I will start off with the horse that I am not backing that I am really nervous about and that is Classique Legend. This is obviously a very talented galloper. He looked enormous running some big numbers at his first two starts before he ran a huge race last start in the Darby Munro where it all conspired against him. He went forward from a wide draw and the leaders kicked up underneath him to keep him working wide outside the leaders. He did an enormous job to fight on and run third. The slight concern for me here is that he is in the fourth run of his debut campaign coming off a really hard run last start. How much is left in the tank? For that reason I am going to bet around him but like I said, he is a very talented horse and it wouldn’t surprise me if he won here nor would I talk you out of backing him, just outlining the reasons why I am nervously taking him on here. Encryption was the horse I kept coming back to. He comes back against his own age here after three really competitive runs in Group One open age sprints. He was a big drifter in the market first up at Caulfield when he chased home Bons Away and Written By but improved significantly second up when running second to Booker in the Oakleigh Plate. He backed that up with an excellent run in the Newmarket where he wasn’t too far off a horse called Santa Ana Lane, you may have caught a glimpse of what he did here at Randwick last Saturday. He then got a long way back in The Galaxy on that heavy track at Rosehill but kept chasing strongly through the line. That form all looks to read really well for this race. He draws gate three for Hugh Bowman to hopefully land not too far off the speed as what he has been at his past couple and if the breaks come his way I would expect him to be right in the finish. Happy to be with him. Trope looks an exciting horse. Whether this all comes a bit too soon for him I am not sure but I don’t want to be on the losing side if it isn’t too soon. He stormed home on debut to win on the Kensington track before again sprouting wings late when just failing to run down Prophet’s Thumb last start. He has had a very quiet trial at Newcastle since that run to keep him up to the mark where he was kept under double wraps and he looked stylish. He draws a nice middle to wide gate which will suit his pattern and I just like that he has been kept fresh since that last start run given he is a lightly raced horse. I feel he comes into this race still on an upward spiral whereas I am not as confident Classique Legend is so that is why I am choosing to back Trope as well as the fact he is a better price. The other two horses I am backing in the race at big odds are the two fillies who come through the Multaja race last Saturday in Spanish Whisper and Causeway GirlSpanish Whisper just had no luck at all. She was bolting behind them and never got a crack at them. She gets good weight relief here for Craig Williams, draws a nice middle gate and a big run would not surprise me from her on the back up. The $20-30 being bet about her looks large. Causeway Girl looked a bit all at sea I thought going this direction the first time. Despite all that I thought she still looked the winner 200m out. She just looked to be racing a bit ungenerously throughout and her effort to run fourth was good. She comes into this race third up so I fancy there is still some improvement in her and the blinkers go on here. Ollie stays with her and around that $30 mark I think she is worth a small ticket here as I think she is set to peak in this race.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on Encryption here, $25 the win on Trope and $10 the win on both Causeway Girl and Spanish Whisper and will lock in the $41 about Spanish Whisper with QLD TAB!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 8 - Sydney Cup

3:50pm

Suggested

Dubhe (No.10), Gallic Chieftain (No.14) & Rondinella (No.15)

Dangers

Big Duke (No.5), Midterm (No.11) & Glory Days (No.12)

We skip the two races with the short priced favourites engaged and now get to the Sydney Cup which is an intriguing edition this year. There aren’t too many different form lines coming into this race from the locals. Most of them either ran against Avilius in the Tancred or ran in The Chairman’s behind Gallic Chieftain last Saturday. There hasn’t looked to be a lot between them. They look a pretty even bunch where luck in running will play a pretty big part on the day in terms of who salutes. For that reason the Godolphin visitor in Dubhe is very easy to like. He just brings x-factor and different form into a race that is pretty vanilla on paper. He also fits the bill of these horses that Charlie Appleby has had great success in bringing out to Australia. He is a lightly raced stayer that looks to be coming into the race in really good form. Amazingly he has only raced three times in the last eighteen months and two times since April last year. His most recent run is probably the guide that most people are using as gospel coming into this race. He took on a small field at Meydan over the two miles, sat outside the leader and showed a nice turn of foot in the straight to win running away by a big margin. It looked impressive and it was his first go over this two mile trip. The European stayers have clearly proven superior to ours in recent times, this horse comes over for a trainer who has such a wonderful record in bringing the right horse out to Australia and he looks a lightly raced horse in form on the up. There is too much to like. He draws ideally for Kerrin McEvoy who is a master in these staying races and with any luck in running and providing he has acclimatised it is hard not to be with him here though he is probably short enough in the current market. I am hopeful we will get $4+ on the day. I am going to keep a couple of other runners on side just in case. Gallic Chieftain has to be considered a great chance on the back up after his last start win. Gee, it is funny how a horse can be the story of your weekend as this bloke was in Sydney last Saturday. I sat down with Adam Blencowe from Racing And Sports last Friday afternoon in Sydney enjoying some rooftop ales and we started talking about how Melbourne stayers are superior to the Sydney stayers. That got us on to the subject of Gallic Chieftain who I said I really liked at odds on the Saturday in The Chairman’s. He agreed and we discussed the reasons why we thought he could win and I left the conversation thinking “gee this horse is at least an each way moral”. Then old mate Simon Dinopoulos tips it on Sky on Saturday morning and I revert my thinking to “this has got no chance all three of us are on it”. I then arrive at the track and meet a few mates who flew up from Melbourne. We had some leftover money from a Quaddie we got recently and the plan was to chuck it on one horse in Sydney when we were all there. When they asked what it was I replied “well lets go for glory and chuck it on Gallic Chieftain at a price”. Fair to say we were heard cheering loud and clear in the members at Randwick when Damian Lane produced a peach to get him home. Anyway enough of Baron Story Time. He looks to be going really well. He was huge first up, then I reckon it paid to put a pen through the Yarra Valley run as that track is just a bit weird and didn’t suit him and then he was really good obviously last week. Bossy goes on here with no weight on his back from a good draw and at double figure odds I am obliged to back him again. The other horse I want to have something on is Rondinella. This mare has gone through her grades really well this campaign in New Zealand and then came to Australia and ran a super race in the Tancred behind Avilius two weeks ago. I love the way she was coming again through the line there which suggests to me she will run a strong two miles. She draws gate one down in the weights for Sam Clipperton, she will do no work in the run up on speed and I think she will be right in the finish so happy to be on her at double figure odds also.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Dubhe here and save with $15 the win on both Gallic Chieftain and Rondinella!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 9 - Coolmore Stakes

4:30pm

Suggested

Prompt Response (No.2), Dixie Blossoms (No.4), Kenedna (No.13) & Amphitrite (No.16)

Dangers

Alizee (No.1) & Unforgotten (No.7)

This is the final Group One race of the day here. It is the Group One Coolmore over the fillies and mares. Gee, this isn’t easy. Alizee has come up favourite but I am struggling to get overly enthused about her despite what I saw her do in this race last year. Her last two runs have just lacked a bit for mine. Even though she ran third in the All Star Mile I thought she was gift wrapped that race and expected her to win when the split came halfway down the straight after doing no work in the run. She just laboured through the line there and then never looked like it last Saturday in the Doncaster. She has been up since December and I am just wondering whether she has come to the end this time in. For that reason I am betting around her. Dixie Blossoms’ last two runs have been outstanding and what a great swansong to a fantastic career this would be. It is weird but I reckon I would get more emotional or more of a kick out of seeing her win her last race than Winx. Gee, she has been a good mare. She seems to be flying this campaign too. She ran well first up before winning in pretty dominant fashion in the Coolmore at Rosehill. I thought her run last Saturday in the Doncaster was excellent. She got a mile back and was clearly one of the better closers in the race for mine which was owned on speed. She flies here at Randwick over the mile. She draws ideally in a middle gate to hopefully not go as far back as last week and I just think she is right in the zone at the moment and at double figure odds looks a great bet. Keen to be with her. Amphitrite coming back off a bit of a freshen up since the All Star Mile four weeks ago interests me. I just think while a few others in this race have had other major goals they have been aiming at in more recent weeks that this filly has been really kept on ice for the last couple of weeks bypassing a few races she could have run in to have a good crack at this. She looks well placed from a middle draw for Craig Williams and there seems to be a bit of an air of confidence from the stable that she is going really well at home and is going to give this race a big shake. Her form has been really good too. She was good in the All Star Mile coming from well off the speed following a third to Mystic Journey in the Australian Guineas and her first up win was excellent over Verry Elleegant. All the form around her is good and l like her coming into this race off that freshen up. I think she will run a big race and happy to be with her. Prompt Response chased home Winx, Brutal and Dreamforce last start. That is a pretty handy form line and she comes back against her own sex here after taking on Trapeze Artist and co. at her first up run. I think there is a bit to like about her in this race. She draws gate six to land on speed for Blake Shinn and I think she is going to make her presence felt. Happy to be in her corner. The other horse I am going to have something on is Kenedna. She looks to have come back from a spell in good order. She hit the line really well last start when second up at Moonee Valley. She certainly looks a horse coming into this race on an upward spiral third up. She draws a nice middle gate, she should relish the big Randwick track and at big odds I think she is well worth a ticket here.

Betting strategy

I am pretty keen on Dixie Blossoms here and reckon the $12 about her might be value in a market I expect to change a bit come race time! I will lock that in and have $25 the win on her! I will also have $20 the win on Amphitrite, $15 the win on Prompt Response and $10 the win on Kenedna!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 10

5:10pm

Suggested

Spright (No.5), Winter Bride (No.6) & Ellicazoom (No.9)

Dangers

I Am Excited (No.3) & Resin (No.10)

This is a good fillies and mares sprint race to finish the day on here. Winter Bride my favourite horse (forget Winx haha, sorry I don’t mean to be anti-Winx in this preview but it is about the punt) goes around here looking to make it two consecutive wins for the campaign after returning from a spell last month with a strong victory here. This mare has really gone through her grades in emphatic fashion. Since about June last year she has really been in a rich vein of form and has continued to race well and win races. In fact from May last year she has won six of eight races and has been really impressive in doing so. She trialled really well prior to her first up run here and then backed that up with a strong win. She really chased through the line strongly and the message post race was that there was more to come from her as she was being set for a race over The Championships. That race has arrived here on Saturday and she is surely going to be hard to beat again. She draws gate one which I am not thrilled about I must admit. I am not sure the rail come race ten is going to be the ideal place to be. I will back Tommy Berry to work his magic though. She should be able to take up a position relatively close to the speed from that draw and if the breaks come her way in the straight then she should prove really hard to hold out. Spright was the horse she beat home last start at Randwick and if any horse deserved to break through for a victory it is surely Spright. She just continues to run well in big races. Her three runs this time in have all been outstanding. She was enormous behind Booker in the Oakleigh Plate when she just got too far back in the run and she backed that up with that good second here to Winter Bride before again running an enormous race at Group One level last start at Moonee Valley behind Sunlight. This looks an ideal set up for her. She is back to mares grade, she looks really well in under the conditions of this race with just 55.5kgs on her back which is just a kilo and a half over the minimum. Like Winter Bride though she draws an inside gate so she is going to need a bit of luck. Jason Collett is a bit of a master and finding duck and weave inside runs though so I think his engagement is a good one for her. If she can stay close enough in the run and then the breaks come her way you would think she only has to run up a couple of those recent Group One efforts and she would be winning. Keen to be with her also. I think if those two horses do find a bit of trouble back over along the inside then Ellicazoom might be the mare bombing down the outside to potentially take full advantage. This mare’s form is very easy to line up with Winter Bride and Spright. She was competitive with Winter Bride in the spring and hasn’t been far away from Spright in Group One races at her last two. She draws out which may not be a disadvantage by this stage of the day and I can envisage her launching down the middle of the track late for Williams similar to how Multaja did her last Saturday. She has come up close to $20 in the market and at that price is well worth a ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Spright here, $30 the win on Winter Bride and $10 the win on Ellicazoom!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 3

12:13pm

Suggested

Wu Gok (No.2), Fighting Teo (No.4) & Winning Ways (No.13)

Dangers

High Opinion (No.3) & Sir Barnabus (No.5)

Racing in Brisbane returns to Eagle Farm this Saturday but gee, what a mess things are in up there. Apologies to subscribers who love to bet in Brisbane for the lack of previews there in recent times but it is getting hard to get involved with any confidence up there. Those thoughts have been compounded further this week with Aquis Farm who have an enormous number of horses up in this part of the world announcing until integrity issues are sorted by Racing Queensland they will be scratching all their horses up in Queensland. It is all a bit of a nightmare and as a result I have just found the two races to bet into there on Saturday. The weather on a positive note is good and we will be racing on a good track at Eagle Farm. I certainly wouldn’t have thought that if I was only betting in two races on the program that one of those races would be a Brisbane staying race, but here we are. Normally they just take turns in winning these races and it can be a bit of a raffle as to who wins. I did like this race though. Wu Gok’s last few runs have been quite good and I thought he was pretty stiff not to win at the Sunshine Coast last start. He won his start prior at the Gold Coast coming from off the speed and being strong through the line and then he just didn’t get the best of luck last start. His stable mate Cormac whipped around the field to get up closer to the runaway leader and while he did that Wu Gok was back stuck behind runners. It took him a little while to get clear and once he did he found the line strongly but just failed to run down Cormac. He shouldn’t have any traffic problems today drawn out for Jeff Lloyd and I would expect him to be in the finish. Winning Ways certainly appeals as the horse on the up in this race taking on a few tried and true well exposed commodities. She is a three year old filly who hit the line well at her first two runs back before getting up to the 1800m at the Gold Coast last start and winning easily. She is up to her right trip now, she draws well in gate three and should be hard to beat. Keen to be with her. I am also going to keep Fighting Teo on side as the saving bet just in case. He was just touched off by Wu Gok last start after racing on speed and he should have that positional advantage in running again here. He has now had a couple of runs in this distance range this campaign and typically holds his form once he finds it so he should prove pretty hard to get past racing up on the speed and I don’t want to lose on the race should he salute.

Betting strategy

I will have $30 the win on Winning Ways here, $20 the win on Wu Gok and $20 the win on Fighting Teo!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 5

1:23pm

Suggested

Dissolution (No.7), Hold The Line (No.12) & Pizonie (No.14)

Dangers

Bachelor’s Art (No.6) & River Racer (No.13)

This race is over the 1200m and I thought there were a couple of key winning chances and a horse worth nibbling at odds here. Pizonie third up from a spell here looks well placed after running really well at his first two runs back from a break. He has sat on the speed and been good both times without being able to get the job done. He looks to get a fair bit in his favour here on Saturday. He gets in with no weight on his back down to 53kgs and from gate four should land right on the speed. He will need that easy run in transit as the 1200m is probably the slight question mark with him. I think he will get every opportunity to run it out here though and he has come back in good form so happy to be with him. If he is to get tired late then the promising Hold The Line looks best placed to take full advantage. This is a promising filly that has won three of her four starts and looks well placed here. She has only had the one public trial which was over a month ago and while she finished second last in that trial she was never let off the bridle and looked to truck through the line strongly. She might have a bit of a class edge on these and could be the horse going places moving forward. She will probably be back off the speed from a middle to wide draw for Ryan Maloney but if the leaders are getting tired and she is within striking distance then she is going to be hard to hold out so happy to be with her. The saving bet in the race is Dissolution who comes up from New South Wales. If you go back through his form card there are some good runs against good horses in handy city Sydney races. That form typically holds up well here in Brisbane. He has run well fresh in the past and will do no work form an inside gate. I thought at the $20+ on offer he was worth a ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on both Pizonie and Hold The Line and $10 the win on Dissolution!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 2

1:41pm

Suggested

Debt Collector (No.7) & Heaven’s Deal (No.8)

Dangers

Split Lip (No.4) & Gytrash (No.9)

I am making a rare venture to Morphettville on Saturday. Given I am a bit light on in the preview in Brisbane and there are some quality horses running around in Adelaide I thought I would preview a few to bet into at this meeting. Ironically the race of most interest which is the last I am not betting in. That race features Behemoth and Anjana who both look really promising. Behemoth looked very exciting when winning at Moonee Valley back in December and hasn’t been seen since. His recent trial was excellent too. He runs into Anjana who is just flying at the moment and has been huge winning both runs this time in. Had Anjana drawn out I would have probably backed her but I am just worried from gate one she may find a bit of trouble and if Behemoth can take advantage of that with full momentum he will be hard to beat. They are both too short to back both but didn’t have a firm opinion either way to back one and not the other. I suggest watching the race though it will be good. The weather is good in Adelaide and the track is also good for a good day of racing where I am kicking the betting off in the second race which is over the 1050m. I am looking forward to seeing the return of a horse here that I have a bit of time for in Debt Collector. I think he is a pretty handy horse. His form last campaign was really strong and he kicked that campaign off with a really good win over this track and trip. His last two runs of the campaign were the ones that really took my eye. He won so impressively two starts back over Going Gaga when coming from the clouds late and then was perhaps a touch unlucky at his most recent run to not reel in Like To Think So who was high rolling out in front while Debt Collector was held up for runs. He has had a quiet trial to tune him up for this which he went quite well in and even though he draws wide here, given his off speed racing pattern I don’t think that will be too big of a disadvantage given there are only eleven runners in the field. He won’t be too far off them and will have clear galloping room. He flies fresh, he likes this short course distance and I am happy to be with him. I thought Heaven’s Deal with the two runs under her belt and a bit of fitness on side represented the danger. She will most likely jump on the bunny from gate four and if she can lead without doing too much work she could prove hard to run down. Most of the well fancied runners in this race are first up so if she can make the most of that fitness edge she can be very competitive and happy to save on her.

Betting strategy

I will have $45 the win on Debt Collector here and save with $25 the win on Heaven's Deal!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 3

2:16pm

Suggested

Arkham Knight (No.2) & Scottish Rogue (No.9)

Dangers

Fancy Rumble (No.8) & Private Lounge (No.10)

This race is over the 1200m and it looks to be the easiest race that Scottish Rogue has encountered for some time. It looks a real winnable race for him. He has taken on a few of our best three year olds over his past couple of campaigns. He was only just touched off by Ringerdingding in the spring and this campaign hasn’t been too far away from some handy horses. He does probably need to get another win on the board though and this looks the day for him. He gets down in the weights taking on the older horses, I don’t mind him back to the 1200m for an in form Barend Vorster who can hopefully get him into a good spot from that middle to wide gate and if that is the case he should prove hard to hold out. Happy to be with him. I am going to save on Arkham Knight who is a horse that I have always had a bit of time for. There were a few roars in the Committee Room at The Bool last year on the final day of the carnival when this bloke saluted. He is a horse that is always competitive in this sort of grade and he bolted in a recent Strathalbyn trial which suggests he has come back well. He also draws out a bit but will be back off the speed and providing the track is not against those coming from off speed he should run well. At close to double figure odds happy to save on him.

Betting strategy

I will have $45 the win on Scottish Rogue here and save with $15 the win on Arkham Knight!

Race Outlay

$60

Race 4

2:56pm

Suggested

A Shin Rook (No.5)

Dangers

Balf’s Choice (No.1) & Black Sail (No.10)

I am pretty keen on one here. This race is over the mile and third up it looks an ideal race for the Anthony Freedman trained A Shin Rook to break through. His two runs back from a spell have been excellent this time in. He hit the line strongly under a big weight at Sale first up behind the then flying Bravo Tango. He then came here to Morphettville second up over the mile and ran a cracking race when just touched off by Mantastic and SIlentz. We have seen the form from that race hold up really well with Mantastic running second to Haripour in the Golden Mile which is a race I also expect to end up being strong from a form perspective. Since that run he was given a very quiet jump out at Balnarring last week where he was never let off the bridle and trucked through the line very strongly. He draws gate five here to get a gun run just off the speed and third up at the mile he just looks primed to deliver a peak performance. I think he is good odds too around that $3-4 mark and more than happy to be with him here. He might even be the best of the day anywhere in the country actually.

Betting strategy

Really keen on A Shin Rook here and I will have $80 the win on him as a stand out bet locking in the $3.90 with TAB Fixed Odds!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 7

5:01pm

Suggested

Mirette (No.2), Arctic Shock (No.9) & Vanuatu (No.11)

Dangers

Sizzleme (No.3) & Amanikan (No.14)

This is a good race for the three year old fillies over the 1800m. It is a Group 3 race and obviously many of these are on track to run in the Oaks over the upcoming weeks. I think the form from the race won by Princess Jenni at Moonee Valley a few weeks back certainly looks the main form reference. We see Mirette and Arctic Shock come through that race and I would expect both to be very hard to beat here. Mirette didn’t have a lot of luck in that race. She sat three wide on the speed the whole way and did plenty of work. Her effort to hang on and run fourth and be beaten less than a length was excellent. There should be no issues with her getting a good run here. She draws gate eight to land just off the speed and with that easier run in transit she should be right in the finish. Happy to be with her. I was on Arctic Shock in that Princess Jenni race. In fact I was on Mirette and Princess Jenni too it was only the favourite Angelic Ruler that was going to cost me in that final drive to the post. Arctic Shock’s run was also excellent. She just didn’t get clear running at the time she probably needed it to build enough momentum to win the race. She certainly picked up strongly and dashed through late though once that run came. She is another that just draws perfectly here in gate five to get a perfect run off the speed. With a touch of luck from there she should be right in the finish also. I am confident these two fillies are clearly the two to beat in the race. I think if there is an upset it could come from Vanuatu. This filly shows some good potential. She hit the line well first up at Sandown from back in the field before getting the job done in good fashion as a short priced favourite at Cranbourne last start. I think she is certainly the horse in the race that looks to have come up well over the odds. I probably had her closer to the $8-9 mark and she is around $14 in the markets currently. At that price I think she is definitely worth a ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $45 the win on Mirette here, I will also have $30 the win on Arctic Shock and $15 the win on Vanuatu locking in the $15 about the latter with BetEasy!

Race Outlay

$90

Race 2

12:55pm

Suggested

Snogging (No.13), Paremuus Boy (No.14) & Tan Tat Trusting (No.15)

Dangers

Renewal (No.2), Fragment (No.3) & Kapaulenko (No.5)

Racing in Melbourne again comes from Caulfield this Saturday and for someone who was pleased about the return to racing there last Saturday it certainly didn’t reflect in my punting there. It was a rough old day summed up when Bandipur kicked back to touch off Spirit Of Aquada in a really sick beat. Hopefully we can bounce back there this Saturday at a track which is traditionally a profitable one. It won’t be easy though. I found this a terribly hard meeting. I found most races pretty hard to narrow down and as a result I have only found the four races to bet into. The rail is again out a fair way to the thirteen metre position but the weather has been pretty dry in Melbourne so we will be racing on a good track. I am kicking the day off in the second race and even as I write this preview on Friday morning this race preview is a bit up in the air as the three horses I have come up with in the race are the first three emergencies so this preview could change dramatically come Saturday morning. Tan Tat Trustingunfortunately is the third of those emergencies but he is the horse I liked most in the race. He raced really well last campaign and it was a lengthy campaign. He probably didn’t get as many wins on the board as his form warranted but he still raced really well. I like him coming into this first up. He has had two really solid jump outs leading into this. His first one he was given a quiet time before being given a more rousing hit out in his most recent one over the 1400m. His record first up is good as is his record over the trip and I think if he gains a start he will run a big race here. Another horse coming into this race first up from a spell is Snogging. Gee, this mare trialled well. Her form has tapered off a bit from earlier in her three year old season where she looked like she was going to go on and be a handy horse but she probably hasn’t gone on with the job to the level some might have thought she would have. That recent trial though was really impressive. It is hard judging horses too much off trials but she tracked up behind the speed and was never let off the bridle when coming off the leaders heels and winning easily. It all suggests she has come back well. I like her first up at this 1400m distance and if she can get into a good spot for Linda Meech she can be winning here. She is also the first emergency so she is most likely out of the three to get a run. The second emergency and third horse I like in the race should he gain a start is Paremuus Boy. He was tried over a longer trip at Sandown last start and I am not sure that is his go. He got back out of his ground, he looked like he was moving into the race but probably peaked on his run late. He has been freshened since that and comes back to the 1400m here. He has also had a really stylish jump out at Camperdown to keep him up to the mark so at double figure odds happy to be with him if he gains a start. Obviously a fair bit changes if those three don’t gain a start. If they don’t I would look at basing my bets around the dangers in the race pending odds. I think Kapaulenko would certainly be promoted at a price and then it will be deciding out of Renewal and the Tasmanian galloper in Fragment.

Betting strategy

I will have $25 the win on Snogging and Tan Tat Trusting here and $10 the win on Paremuus Boy! (at this stage)

Race Outlay

$60

Race 6

3:30pm

Suggested

Seberate (No.3), Montenegro Man (No.11) & Tarwin (No.12)

Dangers

Outrageous (No.1) & Saccharo (No.4)

This race is over the 1440m for the three year olds and this is a really strong race. One of the main form references here is the Bendigo Guineas run two weeks ago which was won by Mystery Love. They did all go over the line in a bit of a bunch in that race and I am just a little bit wary of that form. Saccharo and Wham were right in the finish while Outrageous did plenty of work on speed and wasn’t far off them. All are winning chances here but I thought Saccharo and Wham were certainly well enough found in the market and was happy to look at a few different form references. Tarwin down the bottom of the page looks hard to beat for mine. He only had the one run in his debut campaign which was a pretty dominant win at Sale back in September and he was immediately spelled post that run. He resumed at Sandown four weeks back and I was pretty keen on him in a race over 1300m on the Hillside track. He just couldn’t get clear running at the top of the straight when he needed it and that probably cost him victory. Once he got out he surged through the line but just failed to run down Nasaayim. It was an excellent return and he looks a horse of some promise. He looks well placed here. He steps up to the 1400m which looks ideal. He draws well in gate four to hopefully be able to take up a more prominent position in running and with Lachie King’s claim he looks really well in at the weights with just 52kgs on his back. He had a nice jump out on Monday at Cranbourne to keep him up to the mark and I am happy to be in his corner. I am a little bit surprised that Seberate has come up close to double figure odds. This three year old from the David Hayes yard was heavily backed at Bendigo first up resuming off a Derby campaign and got the job done over 1300m in very easy fashion. He led the field up there and kicked clear in the straight and was really charging clear of his rivals before being eased down on the line. The margin certainly could have been greater and the second horse we saw come out and win easily at Sandown on Wednesday. It looks good form. Luke Nolen goes on here and I would expect him to roll forward and put himself in a prominent position in running. From there I would expect him to be in the finish so more than happy to be with him around that $10 mark. I have been following Montenegro Man all campaign and I am hoping this race is an opportunity for him to get into the winners circle. He was enormous first up at Moonee Valley and then raced a bit flat second up. He then went to Morphettville on Adelaide Cup day and was just touched off before carrying a big weight at Sandown on the Lakeside track last start and running well behind a potential star in Diamond Effort. The key here for mine is that he gets out to the 1400m and he also gets significant weight relief. He drops from 60kgs down to 51kgs here and if he can get into a good position in running I think he can run well. At the double figure odds happy to have something small on him.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Tarwin here! I will have $25 the win on Seberate locking in the $9 with BetEasy and I will also have $10 the win on Montenegro Man!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 7

4:10pm

Suggested

Halvorsen (No.3), Delvecchio (No.8) & Irresistable Girl (No.13)

Dangers

Viduka (No.10), Columbus Circle (No.11) & Leiter (No.15)

This race is over the 1000m for the three year olds and it is another deep race. There look to be plenty of winning chances here. Halvorsen’s form from last campaign where he was competitive with the likes of Hawkshot and Tin Hat certainly reads very well for a race of this nature and as a result I am happy to be with him here first up. He won a pretty weak Benchmark 58 at Bairnsdale first up last campaign but he did it in really strong and easy fashion. He then went on to run third to Hawkshot before beating that horse at Moonee Valley at his next start. At his most recent start he chased him Tin Hat and beat home Fundamentalist at Caulfield. That form all reads pretty well to me. He comes up against a few up and coming promising types here but I just feel that he is the horse with the score on the board and as a result I am happy to back him in here first up. Delvecchio hasn’t been served too well at the barriers here but he is a smart horse. He has won his only two starts at Werribee and Cranbourne back in December and won both of them in really impressive fashion. He sat outside the leader and got the job done on debut at Werribee when heavily backed before starting a very short priced favourite at Cranbourne at his second start and leading all the way. The thing I have been taken with in both his wins was just how strong he was through the line. He looked to really chase through the line and that is the sign of a good horse. He draws a wide gate here as I mentioned but with the rail out and only around one bend I am hoping three wide with a bit of cover may not be too bad of a position in running. He was given a quiet time in a recent Cranbourne trial where he looked to have a fair bit more to give and if he has improved from that debut campaign then this certainly looks winnable. Happy to be with him. The other horse in the race I am going to have something on is Irresistable Girl. All of a sudden that form from the third run of her debut campaign around Embrace Me reads pretty well for a race of this nature. She led the field up that day and was just cut down late by that filly who has since won at stakes level beating some handy three year old fillies. Her two runs prior to that were good too when winning on debut and just being touched off by a subsequent city winner in Du Well at her second start. She showed blistering speed out of the gates in a recent jump out and with the blinkers on first time from a middle gate with Meech riding I can see her sling shotting out of the barriers here and landing in front. If that is the case I think she could prove hard to run down so I will have something on her at double figure odds.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on Halvorsen here, $25 the win on Delvecchio and $10 the win on Irresistable Girl!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 9

5:25pm

Suggested

Lite’n In My Veins (No.3) & Plein Ciel (No.7)

Dangers

Fierce Impact (No.5) & Mahamedeis (No.10)

This is a good race to finish the day on here. Unlike a few of the other races I thought this one could be narrowed down to about four or five winning hopes. The issue then was trying to separate those four winning hopes. I would expect the Golden Mile from Bendigo to prove a strong form reference. Lite’n In My VeinsPlain Ciel and Mahamedeis all come through that race and then there is Fierce Impact who switches down from Sydney along with Call Me Handsome who chased home Self Sense last start and beat home Gallic Chieftain. There is good form around all of those five runners. I stuck with the Golden Mile form and Mahamedeis was the one I decided to take on. I just thought he might be giving away a bit of a start and with the mile run under his belt could be potentially looking for further. But it was a line ball decision. He looked pretty unlucky at Bendigo last start behind Haripour. Lite’n In My Veins I think sets up really well in this race and his two runs back from a spell without a lot of luck in running have both been excellent. He worked forward on speed under a big weight first up over the mile at Morphettville and really was only overtaken in the final 100m behind Mantastic that day. That has also looked to be a strong form race. He then went to Bendigo last start and was three wide no cover from a wide draw in that Golden Mile but still stuck on really well to be beaten just over two lengths. He just looks to get a lot more in his favour here today. He will roll forward from an ideal middle gate in barrier six and land on speed. He looks to get some nice weight relief after the claim for Liam Riordan and he is probably going to be in front of a few of his main rivals in the betting for most of the way. With that softer run in transit that might see him prove pretty hard to get past. He should be primed here third up from a spell with those two runs over the mile under his belt and I can see him running very well here. Happy to be with him. Plein Ciel also looks ready. He worked to the line well first up following an eye catching trial behind Widgee Turf at Flemington. He was never going to win that day but he got through the line well alongside Haripour. He then went to Bendigo and just didn’t have the best of luck. While Haripour found clear air at the top of the straight this horse was ducking and weaving and in between runners and never really able to build full momentum. He looked to go to the line like Mahamedeis with something in hand potentially. This race looks to set up nicely for him. He is unbeaten in three runs here at Caulfield, he draws a nice middle to wide gate for Ben Allen to lob him in a good spot off the speed and he should be just about coming to his peak now at his third run back from a spell. He looks to have come back well too and a win is on the horizon. I am hoping that might be here so happy to be in his corner. The other three I mentioned above are certainly all winning chances. They are the five though that are all well in the market so you have to narrow it down and I am going to take the punt on Lite’n In My Veins and Plain Ciel.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Plain Ciel here and $30 the win on Lite'n In My Veins!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 2

12:05pm

Suggested

Wild Planet (No.4), Final Award (No.6) & Tahitian Dancer (No.9)

Dangers

Fasika (No.10), Green Aeon (No.11) & Millard Reaction (No.12)

Day Two of The Championships arrives at Royal Randwick on Saturday and after a cracking day up in Sydney last Saturday we are in for another outstanding day of racing. The Sydney weather started to turn last weekend while I was up there and it looks as if it has held firm through this week which means we will be racing on a good track come Saturday in my opinion. Obviously the eyes of the nation will be on Winx as she brings the curtain down on a career which is unparalleled. The level of domination seen over the past few years is certainly not anything I have seen before. Will she go down as my favourite horse? No, she won’t. I am amazed by her achievements but the utter domination has at the same time dulled the exhilaration of the competition which I love. That is nothing against her, it is just the fact that she is so good and so much better than any other horse. She should round out her career in style and perhaps we will also see an heir apparent in Verry Elleegant stamp herself as a real superstar by winning the Oaks. Both are prohibitive odds of course and don’t represent anything from a betting point of view and that is why both races don’t appear in the preview. It should be good viewing though, in particular Verry Elleegant. If she can get the job done in the Oaks on Saturday I think there will be some real hype about her coming into next spring which will obviously be a much more open spring without Winx. The track played well last Saturday, they got off the fence a bit as the day progressed and I would anticipate a similar pattern on Saturday but horses won on speed and from off speed so pretty fair all in all. Let’s get into the races we are actually betting into and I am kicking off in the second race of the day which is over the 1400m for the three year olds. This is a competitive race. There are some promising horses facing their toughest test here and it is an intriguing race. I certainly think the horse with the score on the board coming into this race is the Team Hawkes galloper Wild Planet. This horse races really well through the spring in Melbourne which culminated in a narrow defeat in the Carbine Club on Derby Day. He returned from a spell at big odds in the Derby Munro three weeks ago and ran an enormous race. He kept kicking up on the inside that day over the 1200m to keep the favourite Classique Legend working outside of him. He kicked back and beat that horse off only for Krone to dart up the inside and nab him late in the race. I thought it was an enormous first up return. The question is can he go on with the job after such a hard run first up. I think the three weeks between runs is certainly a big advantage. The step up to 1400m looks ideal and providing Tommy can roll forward from gate ten and find a good spot on speed he should prove hard to run down. Keen to be with him. I am going to keep a couple of other runners on side. One of the few things I remember from that big weekend I had in Canberra a month back was that Final Award looked a really impressive animal winning the Canberra Guineas. He went back to last out of the gates that day but rounded his rivals up in the straight really impressively. Two starts prior to that he defeated the promising Amangiri who ran so well here last Saturday. He is clearly a horse of talent for mine. He has been freshened since that Canberra Guineas run but has had a very nice trial at Warwick Farm about a week and a half ago which has kept him up to the mark. I wish he hadn’t drawn gate on here. I would be much more confident had he drawn out but he will get back and if Williams can get him to the outside and clear air he will prove very hard to hold out so happy to be with him. The other horse I want to be on in the race is Tahitian Dancer. This filly trialled super prior to her first up win and that win in itself at Mornington was super. She just held off the fast finishing Music Bay and there was a monster gap back to the third horse. Music Bay came out at Sandown and walked in on Wednesday which is a good sign. She gets down in the weights here from a nice middle draw for Brenton Avdulla and her form last campaign around the likes of Mystic Journey and Pohutukawa read well for a race of this nature so happy to be with her. The chances don’t end there. The unbeaten trio of FasikaGreen Aeon and Millard Reaction all look really talented and I haven’t even mentioned Krone who rolled Wild Planet last start. Really good race.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on Wild Planet here! I will also have $15 the win on both Final Award and Tahitian Dancer!

Race Outlay

$65

Race 4

1:15pm

Suggested

Kiamichi (No.1), Flit (No.4) & Villami (No.7)

Dangers

Cheer Leader (No.5) & Athiri (No.6)

This race is for the two year old fillies over the 1200m. It is a two year old race so just back a Godolphin horse. Preview finished. Just kidding, kind of. That is how it is at the moment though isn’t it? The Godolphin two year olds are flying. We got one right last Saturday with Microphone in the Sires but not the first race when Bivouac beat Athiri home. To really make matters hard for us punters in this race James Cummings has decided to saddle up five runners. I have to admit I was pretty surprised Kiamichididn’t come up favourite. I know she steps away from a wet track here for the first time in a few runs, but she is the Golden Slipper winner and this looks well within her scope. She backed up that Golden Slipper win with a really good run here last Saturday in the Sires. I have to admit when they turned for home I thought she looked the winner. She kicked clear and looked to have all her rivals off the bit and chasing. She just maybe failed to run the 1400m out strongly as she stopped quickly over the last 100m. I think she looks so well suited here. She drops back to 1200m, she is against her own sex and draws ideally in gate five for Hugh Bowman to either lead or land right outside the leader. I know Cheer Leader was impressive at Moonee Valley last start and Lane riding her is maybe the lead punters are taking in backing her so heavily given he has been riding Kiamichi. However Cheer Leader is now nearly $2 shorter in the market than Kiamichi and for mine that is far too much of a discrepancy which makes Kiamichi a really good bet here. Happy to be with her. I think Flit is the fresh blood on the scene that can make her presence felt. This is another Godolphin filly and she looks the up and comer that we perhaps haven’t got to the bottom of yet. She started a heavily backed odds on favourite on debut at Bendigo when running third before going to Flemington and sharing the spoils down the straight in a Group 3 race where I thought she went particularly well. She has come up to Sydney and trialled well earlier this week. She draws out for J-Mac but that will suit her as she looks to me to settle off the speed here and be the one coming over the top of them late. There looks to be good speed engaged so if they do overdo it up front I think she is the one that can be really strong late and around that $8 mark I think she is worth a ticket. The throw at the stumps bet is Villami. This filly won well on debut and then started very firm in the market at her second start when well beaten behind Kiamichi. Kiamichi started around five times the price of Villami that day. Did the market just get it so wrong or was the heavy track to blame for Villami’s failure? Since then Villami has gone back to the trials and looked really stylish at Rosehill earlier this week. In this race the market has reversed she is about four to five times the price of Kiamichi. I reckon given that and the fact she gets back on to a drier surface here from gate one for The Gun she can run a big race and at the price is worth a ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Kiamichi here, $25 the win on Flit and $10 the win on Villami!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 5

1:50pm

Suggested

Encryption (No.2), Trope (No.10), Spanish Whisper (No.12) & Causeway Girl (No.14)

Dangers

Zousain (No.1) & Classique Legend (No.7)

This is another cracking race on this cracking program. It is the Arrowfield Sprint for the three year olds and it has drawn together a really competitive field. There are a heap of different form lines coming together in this race. I will start off with the horse that I am not backing that I am really nervous about and that is Classique Legend. This is obviously a very talented galloper. He looked enormous running some big numbers at his first two starts before he ran a huge race last start in the Darby Munro where it all conspired against him. He went forward from a wide draw and the leaders kicked up underneath him to keep him working wide outside the leaders. He did an enormous job to fight on and run third. The slight concern for me here is that he is in the fourth run of his debut campaign coming off a really hard run last start. How much is left in the tank? For that reason I am going to bet around him but like I said, he is a very talented horse and it wouldn’t surprise me if he won here nor would I talk you out of backing him, just outlining the reasons why I am nervously taking him on here. Encryption was the horse I kept coming back to. He comes back against his own age here after three really competitive runs in Group One open age sprints. He was a big drifter in the market first up at Caulfield when he chased home Bons Away and Written By but improved significantly second up when running second to Booker in the Oakleigh Plate. He backed that up with an excellent run in the Newmarket where he wasn’t too far off a horse called Santa Ana Lane, you may have caught a glimpse of what he did here at Randwick last Saturday. He then got a long way back in The Galaxy on that heavy track at Rosehill but kept chasing strongly through the line. That form all looks to read really well for this race. He draws gate three for Hugh Bowman to hopefully land not too far off the speed as what he has been at his past couple and if the breaks come his way I would expect him to be right in the finish. Happy to be with him. Trope looks an exciting horse. Whether this all comes a bit too soon for him I am not sure but I don’t want to be on the losing side if it isn’t too soon. He stormed home on debut to win on the Kensington track before again sprouting wings late when just failing to run down Prophet’s Thumb last start. He has had a very quiet trial at Newcastle since that run to keep him up to the mark where he was kept under double wraps and he looked stylish. He draws a nice middle to wide gate which will suit his pattern and I just like that he has been kept fresh since that last start run given he is a lightly raced horse. I feel he comes into this race still on an upward spiral whereas I am not as confident Classique Legend is so that is why I am choosing to back Trope as well as the fact he is a better price. The other two horses I am backing in the race at big odds are the two fillies who come through the Multaja race last Saturday in Spanish Whisper and Causeway GirlSpanish Whisper just had no luck at all. She was bolting behind them and never got a crack at them. She gets good weight relief here for Craig Williams, draws a nice middle gate and a big run would not surprise me from her on the back up. The $20-30 being bet about her looks large. Causeway Girl looked a bit all at sea I thought going this direction the first time. Despite all that I thought she still looked the winner 200m out. She just looked to be racing a bit ungenerously throughout and her effort to run fourth was good. She comes into this race third up so I fancy there is still some improvement in her and the blinkers go on here. Ollie stays with her and around that $30 mark I think she is worth a small ticket here as I think she is set to peak in this race.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on Encryption here, $25 the win on Trope and $10 the win on both Causeway Girl and Spanish Whisper and will lock in the $41 about Spanish Whisper with QLD TAB!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 8 - Sydney Cup

3:50pm

Suggested

Dubhe (No.10), Gallic Chieftain (No.14) & Rondinella (No.15)

Dangers

Big Duke (No.5), Midterm (No.11) & Glory Days (No.12)

We skip the two races with the short priced favourites engaged and now get to the Sydney Cup which is an intriguing edition this year. There aren’t too many different form lines coming into this race from the locals. Most of them either ran against Avilius in the Tancred or ran in The Chairman’s behind Gallic Chieftain last Saturday. There hasn’t looked to be a lot between them. They look a pretty even bunch where luck in running will play a pretty big part on the day in terms of who salutes. For that reason the Godolphin visitor in Dubhe is very easy to like. He just brings x-factor and different form into a race that is pretty vanilla on paper. He also fits the bill of these horses that Charlie Appleby has had great success in bringing out to Australia. He is a lightly raced stayer that looks to be coming into the race in really good form. Amazingly he has only raced three times in the last eighteen months and two times since April last year. His most recent run is probably the guide that most people are using as gospel coming into this race. He took on a small field at Meydan over the two miles, sat outside the leader and showed a nice turn of foot in the straight to win running away by a big margin. It looked impressive and it was his first go over this two mile trip. The European stayers have clearly proven superior to ours in recent times, this horse comes over for a trainer who has such a wonderful record in bringing the right horse out to Australia and he looks a lightly raced horse in form on the up. There is too much to like. He draws ideally for Kerrin McEvoy who is a master in these staying races and with any luck in running and providing he has acclimatised it is hard not to be with him here though he is probably short enough in the current market. I am hopeful we will get $4+ on the day. I am going to keep a couple of other runners on side just in case. Gallic Chieftain has to be considered a great chance on the back up after his last start win. Gee, it is funny how a horse can be the story of your weekend as this bloke was in Sydney last Saturday. I sat down with Adam Blencowe from Racing And Sports last Friday afternoon in Sydney enjoying some rooftop ales and we started talking about how Melbourne stayers are superior to the Sydney stayers. That got us on to the subject of Gallic Chieftain who I said I really liked at odds on the Saturday in The Chairman’s. He agreed and we discussed the reasons why we thought he could win and I left the conversation thinking “gee this horse is at least an each way moral”. Then old mate Simon Dinopoulos tips it on Sky on Saturday morning and I revert my thinking to “this has got no chance all three of us are on it”. I then arrive at the track and meet a few mates who flew up from Melbourne. We had some leftover money from a Quaddie we got recently and the plan was to chuck it on one horse in Sydney when we were all there. When they asked what it was I replied “well lets go for glory and chuck it on Gallic Chieftain at a price”. Fair to say we were heard cheering loud and clear in the members at Randwick when Damian Lane produced a peach to get him home. Anyway enough of Baron Story Time. He looks to be going really well. He was huge first up, then I reckon it paid to put a pen through the Yarra Valley run as that track is just a bit weird and didn’t suit him and then he was really good obviously last week. Bossy goes on here with no weight on his back from a good draw and at double figure odds I am obliged to back him again. The other horse I want to have something on is Rondinella. This mare has gone through her grades really well this campaign in New Zealand and then came to Australia and ran a super race in the Tancred behind Avilius two weeks ago. I love the way she was coming again through the line there which suggests to me she will run a strong two miles. She draws gate one down in the weights for Sam Clipperton, she will do no work in the run up on speed and I think she will be right in the finish so happy to be on her at double figure odds also.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Dubhe here and save with $15 the win on both Gallic Chieftain and Rondinella!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 9 - Coolmore Stakes

4:30pm

Suggested

Prompt Response (No.2), Dixie Blossoms (No.4), Kenedna (No.13) & Amphitrite (No.16)

Dangers

Alizee (No.1) & Unforgotten (No.7)

This is the final Group One race of the day here. It is the Group One Coolmore over the fillies and mares. Gee, this isn’t easy. Alizee has come up favourite but I am struggling to get overly enthused about her despite what I saw her do in this race last year. Her last two runs have just lacked a bit for mine. Even though she ran third in the All Star Mile I thought she was gift wrapped that race and expected her to win when the split came halfway down the straight after doing no work in the run. She just laboured through the line there and then never looked like it last Saturday in the Doncaster. She has been up since December and I am just wondering whether she has come to the end this time in. For that reason I am betting around her. Dixie Blossoms’ last two runs have been outstanding and what a great swansong to a fantastic career this would be. It is weird but I reckon I would get more emotional or more of a kick out of seeing her win her last race than Winx. Gee, she has been a good mare. She seems to be flying this campaign too. She ran well first up before winning in pretty dominant fashion in the Coolmore at Rosehill. I thought her run last Saturday in the Doncaster was excellent. She got a mile back and was clearly one of the better closers in the race for mine which was owned on speed. She flies here at Randwick over the mile. She draws ideally in a middle gate to hopefully not go as far back as last week and I just think she is right in the zone at the moment and at double figure odds looks a great bet. Keen to be with her. Amphitrite coming back off a bit of a freshen up since the All Star Mile four weeks ago interests me. I just think while a few others in this race have had other major goals they have been aiming at in more recent weeks that this filly has been really kept on ice for the last couple of weeks bypassing a few races she could have run in to have a good crack at this. She looks well placed from a middle draw for Craig Williams and there seems to be a bit of an air of confidence from the stable that she is going really well at home and is going to give this race a big shake. Her form has been really good too. She was good in the All Star Mile coming from well off the speed following a third to Mystic Journey in the Australian Guineas and her first up win was excellent over Verry Elleegant. All the form around her is good and l like her coming into this race off that freshen up. I think she will run a big race and happy to be with her. Prompt Response chased home Winx, Brutal and Dreamforce last start. That is a pretty handy form line and she comes back against her own sex here after taking on Trapeze Artist and co. at her first up run. I think there is a bit to like about her in this race. She draws gate six to land on speed for Blake Shinn and I think she is going to make her presence felt. Happy to be in her corner. The other horse I am going to have something on is Kenedna. She looks to have come back from a spell in good order. She hit the line really well last start when second up at Moonee Valley. She certainly looks a horse coming into this race on an upward spiral third up. She draws a nice middle gate, she should relish the big Randwick track and at big odds I think she is well worth a ticket here.

Betting strategy

I am pretty keen on Dixie Blossoms here and reckon the $12 about her might be value in a market I expect to change a bit come race time! I will lock that in and have $25 the win on her! I will also have $20 the win on Amphitrite, $15 the win on Prompt Response and $10 the win on Kenedna!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 10

5:10pm

Suggested

Spright (No.5), Winter Bride (No.6) & Ellicazoom (No.9)

Dangers

I Am Excited (No.3) & Resin (No.10)

This is a good fillies and mares sprint race to finish the day on here. Winter Bride my favourite horse (forget Winx haha, sorry I don’t mean to be anti-Winx in this preview but it is about the punt) goes around here looking to make it two consecutive wins for the campaign after returning from a spell last month with a strong victory here. This mare has really gone through her grades in emphatic fashion. Since about June last year she has really been in a rich vein of form and has continued to race well and win races. In fact from May last year she has won six of eight races and has been really impressive in doing so. She trialled really well prior to her first up run here and then backed that up with a strong win. She really chased through the line strongly and the message post race was that there was more to come from her as she was being set for a race over The Championships. That race has arrived here on Saturday and she is surely going to be hard to beat again. She draws gate one which I am not thrilled about I must admit. I am not sure the rail come race ten is going to be the ideal place to be. I will back Tommy Berry to work his magic though. She should be able to take up a position relatively close to the speed from that draw and if the breaks come her way in the straight then she should prove really hard to hold out. Spright was the horse she beat home last start at Randwick and if any horse deserved to break through for a victory it is surely Spright. She just continues to run well in big races. Her three runs this time in have all been outstanding. She was enormous behind Booker in the Oakleigh Plate when she just got too far back in the run and she backed that up with that good second here to Winter Bride before again running an enormous race at Group One level last start at Moonee Valley behind Sunlight. This looks an ideal set up for her. She is back to mares grade, she looks really well in under the conditions of this race with just 55.5kgs on her back which is just a kilo and a half over the minimum. Like Winter Bride though she draws an inside gate so she is going to need a bit of luck. Jason Collett is a bit of a master and finding duck and weave inside runs though so I think his engagement is a good one for her. If she can stay close enough in the run and then the breaks come her way you would think she only has to run up a couple of those recent Group One efforts and she would be winning. Keen to be with her also. I think if those two horses do find a bit of trouble back over along the inside then Ellicazoom might be the mare bombing down the outside to potentially take full advantage. This mare’s form is very easy to line up with Winter Bride and Spright. She was competitive with Winter Bride in the spring and hasn’t been far away from Spright in Group One races at her last two. She draws out which may not be a disadvantage by this stage of the day and I can envisage her launching down the middle of the track late for Williams similar to how Multaja did her last Saturday. She has come up close to $20 in the market and at that price is well worth a ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Spright here, $30 the win on Winter Bride and $10 the win on Ellicazoom!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 3

12:13pm

Suggested

Wu Gok (No.2), Fighting Teo (No.4) & Winning Ways (No.13)

Dangers

High Opinion (No.3) & Sir Barnabus (No.5)

Racing in Brisbane returns to Eagle Farm this Saturday but gee, what a mess things are in up there. Apologies to subscribers who love to bet in Brisbane for the lack of previews there in recent times but it is getting hard to get involved with any confidence up there. Those thoughts have been compounded further this week with Aquis Farm who have an enormous number of horses up in this part of the world announcing until integrity issues are sorted by Racing Queensland they will be scratching all their horses up in Queensland. It is all a bit of a nightmare and as a result I have just found the two races to bet into there on Saturday. The weather on a positive note is good and we will be racing on a good track at Eagle Farm. I certainly wouldn’t have thought that if I was only betting in two races on the program that one of those races would be a Brisbane staying race, but here we are. Normally they just take turns in winning these races and it can be a bit of a raffle as to who wins. I did like this race though. Wu Gok’s last few runs have been quite good and I thought he was pretty stiff not to win at the Sunshine Coast last start. He won his start prior at the Gold Coast coming from off the speed and being strong through the line and then he just didn’t get the best of luck last start. His stable mate Cormac whipped around the field to get up closer to the runaway leader and while he did that Wu Gok was back stuck behind runners. It took him a little while to get clear and once he did he found the line strongly but just failed to run down Cormac. He shouldn’t have any traffic problems today drawn out for Jeff Lloyd and I would expect him to be in the finish. Winning Ways certainly appeals as the horse on the up in this race taking on a few tried and true well exposed commodities. She is a three year old filly who hit the line well at her first two runs back before getting up to the 1800m at the Gold Coast last start and winning easily. She is up to her right trip now, she draws well in gate three and should be hard to beat. Keen to be with her. I am also going to keep Fighting Teo on side as the saving bet just in case. He was just touched off by Wu Gok last start after racing on speed and he should have that positional advantage in running again here. He has now had a couple of runs in this distance range this campaign and typically holds his form once he finds it so he should prove pretty hard to get past racing up on the speed and I don’t want to lose on the race should he salute.

Betting strategy

I will have $30 the win on Winning Ways here, $20 the win on Wu Gok and $20 the win on Fighting Teo!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 5

1:23pm

Suggested

Dissolution (No.7), Hold The Line (No.12) & Pizonie (No.14)

Dangers

Bachelor’s Art (No.6) & River Racer (No.13)

This race is over the 1200m and I thought there were a couple of key winning chances and a horse worth nibbling at odds here. Pizonie third up from a spell here looks well placed after running really well at his first two runs back from a break. He has sat on the speed and been good both times without being able to get the job done. He looks to get a fair bit in his favour here on Saturday. He gets in with no weight on his back down to 53kgs and from gate four should land right on the speed. He will need that easy run in transit as the 1200m is probably the slight question mark with him. I think he will get every opportunity to run it out here though and he has come back in good form so happy to be with him. If he is to get tired late then the promising Hold The Line looks best placed to take full advantage. This is a promising filly that has won three of her four starts and looks well placed here. She has only had the one public trial which was over a month ago and while she finished second last in that trial she was never let off the bridle and looked to truck through the line strongly. She might have a bit of a class edge on these and could be the horse going places moving forward. She will probably be back off the speed from a middle to wide draw for Ryan Maloney but if the leaders are getting tired and she is within striking distance then she is going to be hard to hold out so happy to be with her. The saving bet in the race is Dissolution who comes up from New South Wales. If you go back through his form card there are some good runs against good horses in handy city Sydney races. That form typically holds up well here in Brisbane. He has run well fresh in the past and will do no work form an inside gate. I thought at the $20+ on offer he was worth a ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on both Pizonie and Hold The Line and $10 the win on Dissolution!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 2

1:41pm

Suggested

Debt Collector (No.7) & Heaven’s Deal (No.8)

Dangers

Split Lip (No.4) & Gytrash (No.9)

I am making a rare venture to Morphettville on Saturday. Given I am a bit light on in the preview in Brisbane and there are some quality horses running around in Adelaide I thought I would preview a few to bet into at this meeting. Ironically the race of most interest which is the last I am not betting in. That race features Behemoth and Anjana who both look really promising. Behemoth looked very exciting when winning at Moonee Valley back in December and hasn’t been seen since. His recent trial was excellent too. He runs into Anjana who is just flying at the moment and has been huge winning both runs this time in. Had Anjana drawn out I would have probably backed her but I am just worried from gate one she may find a bit of trouble and if Behemoth can take advantage of that with full momentum he will be hard to beat. They are both too short to back both but didn’t have a firm opinion either way to back one and not the other. I suggest watching the race though it will be good. The weather is good in Adelaide and the track is also good for a good day of racing where I am kicking the betting off in the second race which is over the 1050m. I am looking forward to seeing the return of a horse here that I have a bit of time for in Debt Collector. I think he is a pretty handy horse. His form last campaign was really strong and he kicked that campaign off with a really good win over this track and trip. His last two runs of the campaign were the ones that really took my eye. He won so impressively two starts back over Going Gaga when coming from the clouds late and then was perhaps a touch unlucky at his most recent run to not reel in Like To Think So who was high rolling out in front while Debt Collector was held up for runs. He has had a quiet trial to tune him up for this which he went quite well in and even though he draws wide here, given his off speed racing pattern I don’t think that will be too big of a disadvantage given there are only eleven runners in the field. He won’t be too far off them and will have clear galloping room. He flies fresh, he likes this short course distance and I am happy to be with him. I thought Heaven’s Deal with the two runs under her belt and a bit of fitness on side represented the danger. She will most likely jump on the bunny from gate four and if she can lead without doing too much work she could prove hard to run down. Most of the well fancied runners in this race are first up so if she can make the most of that fitness edge she can be very competitive and happy to save on her.

Betting strategy

I will have $45 the win on Debt Collector here and save with $25 the win on Heaven's Deal!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 3

2:16pm

Suggested

Arkham Knight (No.2) & Scottish Rogue (No.9)

Dangers

Fancy Rumble (No.8) & Private Lounge (No.10)

This race is over the 1200m and it looks to be the easiest race that Scottish Rogue has encountered for some time. It looks a real winnable race for him. He has taken on a few of our best three year olds over his past couple of campaigns. He was only just touched off by Ringerdingding in the spring and this campaign hasn’t been too far away from some handy horses. He does probably need to get another win on the board though and this looks the day for him. He gets down in the weights taking on the older horses, I don’t mind him back to the 1200m for an in form Barend Vorster who can hopefully get him into a good spot from that middle to wide gate and if that is the case he should prove hard to hold out. Happy to be with him. I am going to save on Arkham Knight who is a horse that I have always had a bit of time for. There were a few roars in the Committee Room at The Bool last year on the final day of the carnival when this bloke saluted. He is a horse that is always competitive in this sort of grade and he bolted in a recent Strathalbyn trial which suggests he has come back well. He also draws out a bit but will be back off the speed and providing the track is not against those coming from off speed he should run well. At close to double figure odds happy to save on him.

Betting strategy

I will have $45 the win on Scottish Rogue here and save with $15 the win on Arkham Knight!

Race Outlay

$60

Race 4

2:56pm

Suggested

A Shin Rook (No.5)

Dangers

Balf’s Choice (No.1) & Black Sail (No.10)

I am pretty keen on one here. This race is over the mile and third up it looks an ideal race for the Anthony Freedman trained A Shin Rook to break through. His two runs back from a spell have been excellent this time in. He hit the line strongly under a big weight at Sale first up behind the then flying Bravo Tango. He then came here to Morphettville second up over the mile and ran a cracking race when just touched off by Mantastic and SIlentz. We have seen the form from that race hold up really well with Mantastic running second to Haripour in the Golden Mile which is a race I also expect to end up being strong from a form perspective. Since that run he was given a very quiet jump out at Balnarring last week where he was never let off the bridle and trucked through the line very strongly. He draws gate five here to get a gun run just off the speed and third up at the mile he just looks primed to deliver a peak performance. I think he is good odds too around that $3-4 mark and more than happy to be with him here. He might even be the best of the day anywhere in the country actually.

Betting strategy

Really keen on A Shin Rook here and I will have $80 the win on him as a stand out bet locking in the $3.90 with TAB Fixed Odds!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 7

5:01pm

Suggested

Mirette (No.2), Arctic Shock (No.9) & Vanuatu (No.11)

Dangers

Sizzleme (No.3) & Amanikan (No.14)

This is a good race for the three year old fillies over the 1800m. It is a Group 3 race and obviously many of these are on track to run in the Oaks over the upcoming weeks. I think the form from the race won by Princess Jenni at Moonee Valley a few weeks back certainly looks the main form reference. We see Mirette and Arctic Shock come through that race and I would expect both to be very hard to beat here. Mirette didn’t have a lot of luck in that race. She sat three wide on the speed the whole way and did plenty of work. Her effort to hang on and run fourth and be beaten less than a length was excellent. There should be no issues with her getting a good run here. She draws gate eight to land just off the speed and with that easier run in transit she should be right in the finish. Happy to be with her. I was on Arctic Shock in that Princess Jenni race. In fact I was on Mirette and Princess Jenni too it was only the favourite Angelic Ruler that was going to cost me in that final drive to the post. Arctic Shock’s run was also excellent. She just didn’t get clear running at the time she probably needed it to build enough momentum to win the race. She certainly picked up strongly and dashed through late though once that run came. She is another that just draws perfectly here in gate five to get a perfect run off the speed. With a touch of luck from there she should be right in the finish also. I am confident these two fillies are clearly the two to beat in the race. I think if there is an upset it could come from Vanuatu. This filly shows some good potential. She hit the line well first up at Sandown from back in the field before getting the job done in good fashion as a short priced favourite at Cranbourne last start. I think she is certainly the horse in the race that looks to have come up well over the odds. I probably had her closer to the $8-9 mark and she is around $14 in the markets currently. At that price I think she is definitely worth a ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $45 the win on Mirette here, I will also have $30 the win on Arctic Shock and $15 the win on Vanuatu locking in the $15 about the latter with BetEasy!

Race Outlay

$90

Race 2

12:55pm

Suggested

Snogging (No.13), Paremuus Boy (No.14) & Tan Tat Trusting (No.15)

Dangers

Renewal (No.2), Fragment (No.3) & Kapaulenko (No.5)

Racing in Melbourne again comes from Caulfield this Saturday and for someone who was pleased about the return to racing there last Saturday it certainly didn’t reflect in my punting there. It was a rough old day summed up when Bandipur kicked back to touch off Spirit Of Aquada in a really sick beat. Hopefully we can bounce back there this Saturday at a track which is traditionally a profitable one. It won’t be easy though. I found this a terribly hard meeting. I found most races pretty hard to narrow down and as a result I have only found the four races to bet into. The rail is again out a fair way to the thirteen metre position but the weather has been pretty dry in Melbourne so we will be racing on a good track. I am kicking the day off in the second race and even as I write this preview on Friday morning this race preview is a bit up in the air as the three horses I have come up with in the race are the first three emergencies so this preview could change dramatically come Saturday morning. Tan Tat Trustingunfortunately is the third of those emergencies but he is the horse I liked most in the race. He raced really well last campaign and it was a lengthy campaign. He probably didn’t get as many wins on the board as his form warranted but he still raced really well. I like him coming into this first up. He has had two really solid jump outs leading into this. His first one he was given a quiet time before being given a more rousing hit out in his most recent one over the 1400m. His record first up is good as is his record over the trip and I think if he gains a start he will run a big race here. Another horse coming into this race first up from a spell is Snogging. Gee, this mare trialled well. Her form has tapered off a bit from earlier in her three year old season where she looked like she was going to go on and be a handy horse but she probably hasn’t gone on with the job to the level some might have thought she would have. That recent trial though was really impressive. It is hard judging horses too much off trials but she tracked up behind the speed and was never let off the bridle when coming off the leaders heels and winning easily. It all suggests she has come back well. I like her first up at this 1400m distance and if she can get into a good spot for Linda Meech she can be winning here. She is also the first emergency so she is most likely out of the three to get a run. The second emergency and third horse I like in the race should he gain a start is Paremuus Boy. He was tried over a longer trip at Sandown last start and I am not sure that is his go. He got back out of his ground, he looked like he was moving into the race but probably peaked on his run late. He has been freshened since that and comes back to the 1400m here. He has also had a really stylish jump out at Camperdown to keep him up to the mark so at double figure odds happy to be with him if he gains a start. Obviously a fair bit changes if those three don’t gain a start. If they don’t I would look at basing my bets around the dangers in the race pending odds. I think Kapaulenko would certainly be promoted at a price and then it will be deciding out of Renewal and the Tasmanian galloper in Fragment.

Betting strategy

I will have $25 the win on Snogging and Tan Tat Trusting here and $10 the win on Paremuus Boy! (at this stage)

Race Outlay

$60

Race 6

3:30pm

Suggested

Seberate (No.3), Montenegro Man (No.11) & Tarwin (No.12)

Dangers

Outrageous (No.1) & Saccharo (No.4)

This race is over the 1440m for the three year olds and this is a really strong race. One of the main form references here is the Bendigo Guineas run two weeks ago which was won by Mystery Love. They did all go over the line in a bit of a bunch in that race and I am just a little bit wary of that form. Saccharo and Wham were right in the finish while Outrageous did plenty of work on speed and wasn’t far off them. All are winning chances here but I thought Saccharo and Wham were certainly well enough found in the market and was happy to look at a few different form references. Tarwin down the bottom of the page looks hard to beat for mine. He only had the one run in his debut campaign which was a pretty dominant win at Sale back in September and he was immediately spelled post that run. He resumed at Sandown four weeks back and I was pretty keen on him in a race over 1300m on the Hillside track. He just couldn’t get clear running at the top of the straight when he needed it and that probably cost him victory. Once he got out he surged through the line but just failed to run down Nasaayim. It was an excellent return and he looks a horse of some promise. He looks well placed here. He steps up to the 1400m which looks ideal. He draws well in gate four to hopefully be able to take up a more prominent position in running and with Lachie King’s claim he looks really well in at the weights with just 52kgs on his back. He had a nice jump out on Monday at Cranbourne to keep him up to the mark and I am happy to be in his corner. I am a little bit surprised that Seberate has come up close to double figure odds. This three year old from the David Hayes yard was heavily backed at Bendigo first up resuming off a Derby campaign and got the job done over 1300m in very easy fashion. He led the field up there and kicked clear in the straight and was really charging clear of his rivals before being eased down on the line. The margin certainly could have been greater and the second horse we saw come out and win easily at Sandown on Wednesday. It looks good form. Luke Nolen goes on here and I would expect him to roll forward and put himself in a prominent position in running. From there I would expect him to be in the finish so more than happy to be with him around that $10 mark. I have been following Montenegro Man all campaign and I am hoping this race is an opportunity for him to get into the winners circle. He was enormous first up at Moonee Valley and then raced a bit flat second up. He then went to Morphettville on Adelaide Cup day and was just touched off before carrying a big weight at Sandown on the Lakeside track last start and running well behind a potential star in Diamond Effort. The key here for mine is that he gets out to the 1400m and he also gets significant weight relief. He drops from 60kgs down to 51kgs here and if he can get into a good position in running I think he can run well. At the double figure odds happy to have something small on him.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Tarwin here! I will have $25 the win on Seberate locking in the $9 with BetEasy and I will also have $10 the win on Montenegro Man!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 7

4:10pm

Suggested

Halvorsen (No.3), Delvecchio (No.8) & Irresistable Girl (No.13)

Dangers

Viduka (No.10), Columbus Circle (No.11) & Leiter (No.15)

This race is over the 1000m for the three year olds and it is another deep race. There look to be plenty of winning chances here. Halvorsen’s form from last campaign where he was competitive with the likes of Hawkshot and Tin Hat certainly reads very well for a race of this nature and as a result I am happy to be with him here first up. He won a pretty weak Benchmark 58 at Bairnsdale first up last campaign but he did it in really strong and easy fashion. He then went on to run third to Hawkshot before beating that horse at Moonee Valley at his next start. At his most recent start he chased him Tin Hat and beat home Fundamentalist at Caulfield. That form all reads pretty well to me. He comes up against a few up and coming promising types here but I just feel that he is the horse with the score on the board and as a result I am happy to back him in here first up. Delvecchio hasn’t been served too well at the barriers here but he is a smart horse. He has won his only two starts at Werribee and Cranbourne back in December and won both of them in really impressive fashion. He sat outside the leader and got the job done on debut at Werribee when heavily backed before starting a very short priced favourite at Cranbourne at his second start and leading all the way. The thing I have been taken with in both his wins was just how strong he was through the line. He looked to really chase through the line and that is the sign of a good horse. He draws a wide gate here as I mentioned but with the rail out and only around one bend I am hoping three wide with a bit of cover may not be too bad of a position in running. He was given a quiet time in a recent Cranbourne trial where he looked to have a fair bit more to give and if he has improved from that debut campaign then this certainly looks winnable. Happy to be with him. The other horse in the race I am going to have something on is Irresistable Girl. All of a sudden that form from the third run of her debut campaign around Embrace Me reads pretty well for a race of this nature. She led the field up that day and was just cut down late by that filly who has since won at stakes level beating some handy three year old fillies. Her two runs prior to that were good too when winning on debut and just being touched off by a subsequent city winner in Du Well at her second start. She showed blistering speed out of the gates in a recent jump out and with the blinkers on first time from a middle gate with Meech riding I can see her sling shotting out of the barriers here and landing in front. If that is the case I think she could prove hard to run down so I will have something on her at double figure odds.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on Halvorsen here, $25 the win on Delvecchio and $10 the win on Irresistable Girl!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 9

5:25pm

Suggested

Lite’n In My Veins (No.3) & Plein Ciel (No.7)

Dangers

Fierce Impact (No.5) & Mahamedeis (No.10)

This is a good race to finish the day on here. Unlike a few of the other races I thought this one could be narrowed down to about four or five winning hopes. The issue then was trying to separate those four winning hopes. I would expect the Golden Mile from Bendigo to prove a strong form reference. Lite’n In My VeinsPlain Ciel and Mahamedeis all come through that race and then there is Fierce Impact who switches down from Sydney along with Call Me Handsome who chased home Self Sense last start and beat home Gallic Chieftain. There is good form around all of those five runners. I stuck with the Golden Mile form and Mahamedeis was the one I decided to take on. I just thought he might be giving away a bit of a start and with the mile run under his belt could be potentially looking for further. But it was a line ball decision. He looked pretty unlucky at Bendigo last start behind Haripour. Lite’n In My Veins I think sets up really well in this race and his two runs back from a spell without a lot of luck in running have both been excellent. He worked forward on speed under a big weight first up over the mile at Morphettville and really was only overtaken in the final 100m behind Mantastic that day. That has also looked to be a strong form race. He then went to Bendigo last start and was three wide no cover from a wide draw in that Golden Mile but still stuck on really well to be beaten just over two lengths. He just looks to get a lot more in his favour here today. He will roll forward from an ideal middle gate in barrier six and land on speed. He looks to get some nice weight relief after the claim for Liam Riordan and he is probably going to be in front of a few of his main rivals in the betting for most of the way. With that softer run in transit that might see him prove pretty hard to get past. He should be primed here third up from a spell with those two runs over the mile under his belt and I can see him running very well here. Happy to be with him. Plein Ciel also looks ready. He worked to the line well first up following an eye catching trial behind Widgee Turf at Flemington. He was never going to win that day but he got through the line well alongside Haripour. He then went to Bendigo and just didn’t have the best of luck. While Haripour found clear air at the top of the straight this horse was ducking and weaving and in between runners and never really able to build full momentum. He looked to go to the line like Mahamedeis with something in hand potentially. This race looks to set up nicely for him. He is unbeaten in three runs here at Caulfield, he draws a nice middle to wide gate for Ben Allen to lob him in a good spot off the speed and he should be just about coming to his peak now at his third run back from a spell. He looks to have come back well too and a win is on the horizon. I am hoping that might be here so happy to be in his corner. The other three I mentioned above are certainly all winning chances. They are the five though that are all well in the market so you have to narrow it down and I am going to take the punt on Lite’n In My Veins and Plain Ciel.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Plain Ciel here and $30 the win on Lite'n In My Veins!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 2

12:05pm

Suggested

Wild Planet (No.4), Final Award (No.6) & Tahitian Dancer (No.9)

Dangers

Fasika (No.10), Green Aeon (No.11) & Millard Reaction (No.12)

Day Two of The Championships arrives at Royal Randwick on Saturday and after a cracking day up in Sydney last Saturday we are in for another outstanding day of racing. The Sydney weather started to turn last weekend while I was up there and it looks as if it has held firm through this week which means we will be racing on a good track come Saturday in my opinion. Obviously the eyes of the nation will be on Winx as she brings the curtain down on a career which is unparalleled. The level of domination seen over the past few years is certainly not anything I have seen before. Will she go down as my favourite horse? No, she won’t. I am amazed by her achievements but the utter domination has at the same time dulled the exhilaration of the competition which I love. That is nothing against her, it is just the fact that she is so good and so much better than any other horse. She should round out her career in style and perhaps we will also see an heir apparent in Verry Elleegant stamp herself as a real superstar by winning the Oaks. Both are prohibitive odds of course and don’t represent anything from a betting point of view and that is why both races don’t appear in the preview. It should be good viewing though, in particular Verry Elleegant. If she can get the job done in the Oaks on Saturday I think there will be some real hype about her coming into next spring which will obviously be a much more open spring without Winx. The track played well last Saturday, they got off the fence a bit as the day progressed and I would anticipate a similar pattern on Saturday but horses won on speed and from off speed so pretty fair all in all. Let’s get into the races we are actually betting into and I am kicking off in the second race of the day which is over the 1400m for the three year olds. This is a competitive race. There are some promising horses facing their toughest test here and it is an intriguing race. I certainly think the horse with the score on the board coming into this race is the Team Hawkes galloper Wild Planet. This horse races really well through the spring in Melbourne which culminated in a narrow defeat in the Carbine Club on Derby Day. He returned from a spell at big odds in the Derby Munro three weeks ago and ran an enormous race. He kept kicking up on the inside that day over the 1200m to keep the favourite Classique Legend working outside of him. He kicked back and beat that horse off only for Krone to dart up the inside and nab him late in the race. I thought it was an enormous first up return. The question is can he go on with the job after such a hard run first up. I think the three weeks between runs is certainly a big advantage. The step up to 1400m looks ideal and providing Tommy can roll forward from gate ten and find a good spot on speed he should prove hard to run down. Keen to be with him. I am going to keep a couple of other runners on side. One of the few things I remember from that big weekend I had in Canberra a month back was that Final Award looked a really impressive animal winning the Canberra Guineas. He went back to last out of the gates that day but rounded his rivals up in the straight really impressively. Two starts prior to that he defeated the promising Amangiri who ran so well here last Saturday. He is clearly a horse of talent for mine. He has been freshened since that Canberra Guineas run but has had a very nice trial at Warwick Farm about a week and a half ago which has kept him up to the mark. I wish he hadn’t drawn gate on here. I would be much more confident had he drawn out but he will get back and if Williams can get him to the outside and clear air he will prove very hard to hold out so happy to be with him. The other horse I want to be on in the race is Tahitian Dancer. This filly trialled super prior to her first up win and that win in itself at Mornington was super. She just held off the fast finishing Music Bay and there was a monster gap back to the third horse. Music Bay came out at Sandown and walked in on Wednesday which is a good sign. She gets down in the weights here from a nice middle draw for Brenton Avdulla and her form last campaign around the likes of Mystic Journey and Pohutukawa read well for a race of this nature so happy to be with her. The chances don’t end there. The unbeaten trio of FasikaGreen Aeon and Millard Reaction all look really talented and I haven’t even mentioned Krone who rolled Wild Planet last start. Really good race.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on Wild Planet here! I will also have $15 the win on both Final Award and Tahitian Dancer!

Race Outlay

$65

Race 4

1:15pm

Suggested

Kiamichi (No.1), Flit (No.4) & Villami (No.7)

Dangers

Cheer Leader (No.5) & Athiri (No.6)

This race is for the two year old fillies over the 1200m. It is a two year old race so just back a Godolphin horse. Preview finished. Just kidding, kind of. That is how it is at the moment though isn’t it? The Godolphin two year olds are flying. We got one right last Saturday with Microphone in the Sires but not the first race when Bivouac beat Athiri home. To really make matters hard for us punters in this race James Cummings has decided to saddle up five runners. I have to admit I was pretty surprised Kiamichididn’t come up favourite. I know she steps away from a wet track here for the first time in a few runs, but she is the Golden Slipper winner and this looks well within her scope. She backed up that Golden Slipper win with a really good run here last Saturday in the Sires. I have to admit when they turned for home I thought she looked the winner. She kicked clear and looked to have all her rivals off the bit and chasing. She just maybe failed to run the 1400m out strongly as she stopped quickly over the last 100m. I think she looks so well suited here. She drops back to 1200m, she is against her own sex and draws ideally in gate five for Hugh Bowman to either lead or land right outside the leader. I know Cheer Leader was impressive at Moonee Valley last start and Lane riding her is maybe the lead punters are taking in backing her so heavily given he has been riding Kiamichi. However Cheer Leader is now nearly $2 shorter in the market than Kiamichi and for mine that is far too much of a discrepancy which makes Kiamichi a really good bet here. Happy to be with her. I think Flit is the fresh blood on the scene that can make her presence felt. This is another Godolphin filly and she looks the up and comer that we perhaps haven’t got to the bottom of yet. She started a heavily backed odds on favourite on debut at Bendigo when running third before going to Flemington and sharing the spoils down the straight in a Group 3 race where I thought she went particularly well. She has come up to Sydney and trialled well earlier this week. She draws out for J-Mac but that will suit her as she looks to me to settle off the speed here and be the one coming over the top of them late. There looks to be good speed engaged so if they do overdo it up front I think she is the one that can be really strong late and around that $8 mark I think she is worth a ticket. The throw at the stumps bet is Villami. This filly won well on debut and then started very firm in the market at her second start when well beaten behind Kiamichi. Kiamichi started around five times the price of Villami that day. Did the market just get it so wrong or was the heavy track to blame for Villami’s failure? Since then Villami has gone back to the trials and looked really stylish at Rosehill earlier this week. In this race the market has reversed she is about four to five times the price of Kiamichi. I reckon given that and the fact she gets back on to a drier surface here from gate one for The Gun she can run a big race and at the price is worth a ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Kiamichi here, $25 the win on Flit and $10 the win on Villami!

Race Outlay

$75

Race 5

1:50pm

Suggested

Encryption (No.2), Trope (No.10), Spanish Whisper (No.12) & Causeway Girl (No.14)

Dangers

Zousain (No.1) & Classique Legend (No.7)

This is another cracking race on this cracking program. It is the Arrowfield Sprint for the three year olds and it has drawn together a really competitive field. There are a heap of different form lines coming together in this race. I will start off with the horse that I am not backing that I am really nervous about and that is Classique Legend. This is obviously a very talented galloper. He looked enormous running some big numbers at his first two starts before he ran a huge race last start in the Darby Munro where it all conspired against him. He went forward from a wide draw and the leaders kicked up underneath him to keep him working wide outside the leaders. He did an enormous job to fight on and run third. The slight concern for me here is that he is in the fourth run of his debut campaign coming off a really hard run last start. How much is left in the tank? For that reason I am going to bet around him but like I said, he is a very talented horse and it wouldn’t surprise me if he won here nor would I talk you out of backing him, just outlining the reasons why I am nervously taking him on here. Encryption was the horse I kept coming back to. He comes back against his own age here after three really competitive runs in Group One open age sprints. He was a big drifter in the market first up at Caulfield when he chased home Bons Away and Written By but improved significantly second up when running second to Booker in the Oakleigh Plate. He backed that up with an excellent run in the Newmarket where he wasn’t too far off a horse called Santa Ana Lane, you may have caught a glimpse of what he did here at Randwick last Saturday. He then got a long way back in The Galaxy on that heavy track at Rosehill but kept chasing strongly through the line. That form all looks to read really well for this race. He draws gate three for Hugh Bowman to hopefully land not too far off the speed as what he has been at his past couple and if the breaks come his way I would expect him to be right in the finish. Happy to be with him. Trope looks an exciting horse. Whether this all comes a bit too soon for him I am not sure but I don’t want to be on the losing side if it isn’t too soon. He stormed home on debut to win on the Kensington track before again sprouting wings late when just failing to run down Prophet’s Thumb last start. He has had a very quiet trial at Newcastle since that run to keep him up to the mark where he was kept under double wraps and he looked stylish. He draws a nice middle to wide gate which will suit his pattern and I just like that he has been kept fresh since that last start run given he is a lightly raced horse. I feel he comes into this race still on an upward spiral whereas I am not as confident Classique Legend is so that is why I am choosing to back Trope as well as the fact he is a better price. The other two horses I am backing in the race at big odds are the two fillies who come through the Multaja race last Saturday in Spanish Whisper and Causeway GirlSpanish Whisper just had no luck at all. She was bolting behind them and never got a crack at them. She gets good weight relief here for Craig Williams, draws a nice middle gate and a big run would not surprise me from her on the back up. The $20-30 being bet about her looks large. Causeway Girl looked a bit all at sea I thought going this direction the first time. Despite all that I thought she still looked the winner 200m out. She just looked to be racing a bit ungenerously throughout and her effort to run fourth was good. She comes into this race third up so I fancy there is still some improvement in her and the blinkers go on here. Ollie stays with her and around that $30 mark I think she is worth a small ticket here as I think she is set to peak in this race.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on Encryption here, $25 the win on Trope and $10 the win on both Causeway Girl and Spanish Whisper and will lock in the $41 about Spanish Whisper with QLD TAB!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 8 - Sydney Cup

3:50pm

Suggested

Dubhe (No.10), Gallic Chieftain (No.14) & Rondinella (No.15)

Dangers

Big Duke (No.5), Midterm (No.11) & Glory Days (No.12)

We skip the two races with the short priced favourites engaged and now get to the Sydney Cup which is an intriguing edition this year. There aren’t too many different form lines coming into this race from the locals. Most of them either ran against Avilius in the Tancred or ran in The Chairman’s behind Gallic Chieftain last Saturday. There hasn’t looked to be a lot between them. They look a pretty even bunch where luck in running will play a pretty big part on the day in terms of who salutes. For that reason the Godolphin visitor in Dubhe is very easy to like. He just brings x-factor and different form into a race that is pretty vanilla on paper. He also fits the bill of these horses that Charlie Appleby has had great success in bringing out to Australia. He is a lightly raced stayer that looks to be coming into the race in really good form. Amazingly he has only raced three times in the last eighteen months and two times since April last year. His most recent run is probably the guide that most people are using as gospel coming into this race. He took on a small field at Meydan over the two miles, sat outside the leader and showed a nice turn of foot in the straight to win running away by a big margin. It looked impressive and it was his first go over this two mile trip. The European stayers have clearly proven superior to ours in recent times, this horse comes over for a trainer who has such a wonderful record in bringing the right horse out to Australia and he looks a lightly raced horse in form on the up. There is too much to like. He draws ideally for Kerrin McEvoy who is a master in these staying races and with any luck in running and providing he has acclimatised it is hard not to be with him here though he is probably short enough in the current market. I am hopeful we will get $4+ on the day. I am going to keep a couple of other runners on side just in case. Gallic Chieftain has to be considered a great chance on the back up after his last start win. Gee, it is funny how a horse can be the story of your weekend as this bloke was in Sydney last Saturday. I sat down with Adam Blencowe from Racing And Sports last Friday afternoon in Sydney enjoying some rooftop ales and we started talking about how Melbourne stayers are superior to the Sydney stayers. That got us on to the subject of Gallic Chieftain who I said I really liked at odds on the Saturday in The Chairman’s. He agreed and we discussed the reasons why we thought he could win and I left the conversation thinking “gee this horse is at least an each way moral”. Then old mate Simon Dinopoulos tips it on Sky on Saturday morning and I revert my thinking to “this has got no chance all three of us are on it”. I then arrive at the track and meet a few mates who flew up from Melbourne. We had some leftover money from a Quaddie we got recently and the plan was to chuck it on one horse in Sydney when we were all there. When they asked what it was I replied “well lets go for glory and chuck it on Gallic Chieftain at a price”. Fair to say we were heard cheering loud and clear in the members at Randwick when Damian Lane produced a peach to get him home. Anyway enough of Baron Story Time. He looks to be going really well. He was huge first up, then I reckon it paid to put a pen through the Yarra Valley run as that track is just a bit weird and didn’t suit him and then he was really good obviously last week. Bossy goes on here with no weight on his back from a good draw and at double figure odds I am obliged to back him again. The other horse I want to have something on is Rondinella. This mare has gone through her grades really well this campaign in New Zealand and then came to Australia and ran a super race in the Tancred behind Avilius two weeks ago. I love the way she was coming again through the line there which suggests to me she will run a strong two miles. She draws gate one down in the weights for Sam Clipperton, she will do no work in the run up on speed and I think she will be right in the finish so happy to be on her at double figure odds also.

Betting strategy

I will have $50 the win on Dubhe here and save with $15 the win on both Gallic Chieftain and Rondinella!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 9 - Coolmore Stakes

4:30pm

Suggested

Prompt Response (No.2), Dixie Blossoms (No.4), Kenedna (No.13) & Amphitrite (No.16)

Dangers

Alizee (No.1) & Unforgotten (No.7)

This is the final Group One race of the day here. It is the Group One Coolmore over the fillies and mares. Gee, this isn’t easy. Alizee has come up favourite but I am struggling to get overly enthused about her despite what I saw her do in this race last year. Her last two runs have just lacked a bit for mine. Even though she ran third in the All Star Mile I thought she was gift wrapped that race and expected her to win when the split came halfway down the straight after doing no work in the run. She just laboured through the line there and then never looked like it last Saturday in the Doncaster. She has been up since December and I am just wondering whether she has come to the end this time in. For that reason I am betting around her. Dixie Blossoms’ last two runs have been outstanding and what a great swansong to a fantastic career this would be. It is weird but I reckon I would get more emotional or more of a kick out of seeing her win her last race than Winx. Gee, she has been a good mare. She seems to be flying this campaign too. She ran well first up before winning in pretty dominant fashion in the Coolmore at Rosehill. I thought her run last Saturday in the Doncaster was excellent. She got a mile back and was clearly one of the better closers in the race for mine which was owned on speed. She flies here at Randwick over the mile. She draws ideally in a middle gate to hopefully not go as far back as last week and I just think she is right in the zone at the moment and at double figure odds looks a great bet. Keen to be with her. Amphitrite coming back off a bit of a freshen up since the All Star Mile four weeks ago interests me. I just think while a few others in this race have had other major goals they have been aiming at in more recent weeks that this filly has been really kept on ice for the last couple of weeks bypassing a few races she could have run in to have a good crack at this. She looks well placed from a middle draw for Craig Williams and there seems to be a bit of an air of confidence from the stable that she is going really well at home and is going to give this race a big shake. Her form has been really good too. She was good in the All Star Mile coming from well off the speed following a third to Mystic Journey in the Australian Guineas and her first up win was excellent over Verry Elleegant. All the form around her is good and l like her coming into this race off that freshen up. I think she will run a big race and happy to be with her. Prompt Response chased home Winx, Brutal and Dreamforce last start. That is a pretty handy form line and she comes back against her own sex here after taking on Trapeze Artist and co. at her first up run. I think there is a bit to like about her in this race. She draws gate six to land on speed for Blake Shinn and I think she is going to make her presence felt. Happy to be in her corner. The other horse I am going to have something on is Kenedna. She looks to have come back from a spell in good order. She hit the line really well last start when second up at Moonee Valley. She certainly looks a horse coming into this race on an upward spiral third up. She draws a nice middle gate, she should relish the big Randwick track and at big odds I think she is well worth a ticket here.

Betting strategy

I am pretty keen on Dixie Blossoms here and reckon the $12 about her might be value in a market I expect to change a bit come race time! I will lock that in and have $25 the win on her! I will also have $20 the win on Amphitrite, $15 the win on Prompt Response and $10 the win on Kenedna!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 10

5:10pm

Suggested

Spright (No.5), Winter Bride (No.6) & Ellicazoom (No.9)

Dangers

I Am Excited (No.3) & Resin (No.10)

This is a good fillies and mares sprint race to finish the day on here. Winter Bride my favourite horse (forget Winx haha, sorry I don’t mean to be anti-Winx in this preview but it is about the punt) goes around here looking to make it two consecutive wins for the campaign after returning from a spell last month with a strong victory here. This mare has really gone through her grades in emphatic fashion. Since about June last year she has really been in a rich vein of form and has continued to race well and win races. In fact from May last year she has won six of eight races and has been really impressive in doing so. She trialled really well prior to her first up run here and then backed that up with a strong win. She really chased through the line strongly and the message post race was that there was more to come from her as she was being set for a race over The Championships. That race has arrived here on Saturday and she is surely going to be hard to beat again. She draws gate one which I am not thrilled about I must admit. I am not sure the rail come race ten is going to be the ideal place to be. I will back Tommy Berry to work his magic though. She should be able to take up a position relatively close to the speed from that draw and if the breaks come her way in the straight then she should prove really hard to hold out. Spright was the horse she beat home last start at Randwick and if any horse deserved to break through for a victory it is surely Spright. She just continues to run well in big races. Her three runs this time in have all been outstanding. She was enormous behind Booker in the Oakleigh Plate when she just got too far back in the run and she backed that up with that good second here to Winter Bride before again running an enormous race at Group One level last start at Moonee Valley behind Sunlight. This looks an ideal set up for her. She is back to mares grade, she looks really well in under the conditions of this race with just 55.5kgs on her back which is just a kilo and a half over the minimum. Like Winter Bride though she draws an inside gate so she is going to need a bit of luck. Jason Collett is a bit of a master and finding duck and weave inside runs though so I think his engagement is a good one for her. If she can stay close enough in the run and then the breaks come her way you would think she only has to run up a couple of those recent Group One efforts and she would be winning. Keen to be with her also. I think if those two horses do find a bit of trouble back over along the inside then Ellicazoom might be the mare bombing down the outside to potentially take full advantage. This mare’s form is very easy to line up with Winter Bride and Spright. She was competitive with Winter Bride in the spring and hasn’t been far away from Spright in Group One races at her last two. She draws out which may not be a disadvantage by this stage of the day and I can envisage her launching down the middle of the track late for Williams similar to how Multaja did her last Saturday. She has come up close to $20 in the market and at that price is well worth a ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Spright here, $30 the win on Winter Bride and $10 the win on Ellicazoom!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 3

12:13pm

Suggested

Wu Gok (No.2), Fighting Teo (No.4) & Winning Ways (No.13)

Dangers

High Opinion (No.3) & Sir Barnabus (No.5)

Racing in Brisbane returns to Eagle Farm this Saturday but gee, what a mess things are in up there. Apologies to subscribers who love to bet in Brisbane for the lack of previews there in recent times but it is getting hard to get involved with any confidence up there. Those thoughts have been compounded further this week with Aquis Farm who have an enormous number of horses up in this part of the world announcing until integrity issues are sorted by Racing Queensland they will be scratching all their horses up in Queensland. It is all a bit of a nightmare and as a result I have just found the two races to bet into there on Saturday. The weather on a positive note is good and we will be racing on a good track at Eagle Farm. I certainly wouldn’t have thought that if I was only betting in two races on the program that one of those races would be a Brisbane staying race, but here we are. Normally they just take turns in winning these races and it can be a bit of a raffle as to who wins. I did like this race though. Wu Gok’s last few runs have been quite good and I thought he was pretty stiff not to win at the Sunshine Coast last start. He won his start prior at the Gold Coast coming from off the speed and being strong through the line and then he just didn’t get the best of luck last start. His stable mate Cormac whipped around the field to get up closer to the runaway leader and while he did that Wu Gok was back stuck behind runners. It took him a little while to get clear and once he did he found the line strongly but just failed to run down Cormac. He shouldn’t have any traffic problems today drawn out for Jeff Lloyd and I would expect him to be in the finish. Winning Ways certainly appeals as the horse on the up in this race taking on a few tried and true well exposed commodities. She is a three year old filly who hit the line well at her first two runs back before getting up to the 1800m at the Gold Coast last start and winning easily. She is up to her right trip now, she draws well in gate three and should be hard to beat. Keen to be with her. I am also going to keep Fighting Teo on side as the saving bet just in case. He was just touched off by Wu Gok last start after racing on speed and he should have that positional advantage in running again here. He has now had a couple of runs in this distance range this campaign and typically holds his form once he finds it so he should prove pretty hard to get past racing up on the speed and I don’t want to lose on the race should he salute.

Betting strategy

I will have $30 the win on Winning Ways here, $20 the win on Wu Gok and $20 the win on Fighting Teo!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 5

1:23pm

Suggested

Dissolution (No.7), Hold The Line (No.12) & Pizonie (No.14)

Dangers

Bachelor’s Art (No.6) & River Racer (No.13)

This race is over the 1200m and I thought there were a couple of key winning chances and a horse worth nibbling at odds here. Pizonie third up from a spell here looks well placed after running really well at his first two runs back from a break. He has sat on the speed and been good both times without being able to get the job done. He looks to get a fair bit in his favour here on Saturday. He gets in with no weight on his back down to 53kgs and from gate four should land right on the speed. He will need that easy run in transit as the 1200m is probably the slight question mark with him. I think he will get every opportunity to run it out here though and he has come back in good form so happy to be with him. If he is to get tired late then the promising Hold The Line looks best placed to take full advantage. This is a promising filly that has won three of her four starts and looks well placed here. She has only had the one public trial which was over a month ago and while she finished second last in that trial she was never let off the bridle and looked to truck through the line strongly. She might have a bit of a class edge on these and could be the horse going places moving forward. She will probably be back off the speed from a middle to wide draw for Ryan Maloney but if the leaders are getting tired and she is within striking distance then she is going to be hard to hold out so happy to be with her. The saving bet in the race is Dissolution who comes up from New South Wales. If you go back through his form card there are some good runs against good horses in handy city Sydney races. That form typically holds up well here in Brisbane. He has run well fresh in the past and will do no work form an inside gate. I thought at the $20+ on offer he was worth a ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on both Pizonie and Hold The Line and $10 the win on Dissolution!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 2

1:41pm

Suggested

Debt Collector (No.7) & Heaven’s Deal (No.8)

Dangers

Split Lip (No.4) & Gytrash (No.9)

I am making a rare venture to Morphettville on Saturday. Given I am a bit light on in the preview in Brisbane and there are some quality horses running around in Adelaide I thought I would preview a few to bet into at this meeting. Ironically the race of most interest which is the last I am not betting in. That race features Behemoth and Anjana who both look really promising. Behemoth looked very exciting when winning at Moonee Valley back in December and hasn’t been seen since. His recent trial was excellent too. He runs into Anjana who is just flying at the moment and has been huge winning both runs this time in. Had Anjana drawn out I would have probably backed her but I am just worried from gate one she may find a bit of trouble and if Behemoth can take advantage of that with full momentum he will be hard to beat. They are both too short to back both but didn’t have a firm opinion either way to back one and not the other. I suggest watching the race though it will be good. The weather is good in Adelaide and the track is also good for a good day of racing where I am kicking the betting off in the second race which is over the 1050m. I am looking forward to seeing the return of a horse here that I have a bit of time for in Debt Collector. I think he is a pretty handy horse. His form last campaign was really strong and he kicked that campaign off with a really good win over this track and trip. His last two runs of the campaign were the ones that really took my eye. He won so impressively two starts back over Going Gaga when coming from the clouds late and then was perhaps a touch unlucky at his most recent run to not reel in Like To Think So who was high rolling out in front while Debt Collector was held up for runs. He has had a quiet trial to tune him up for this which he went quite well in and even though he draws wide here, given his off speed racing pattern I don’t think that will be too big of a disadvantage given there are only eleven runners in the field. He won’t be too far off them and will have clear galloping room. He flies fresh, he likes this short course distance and I am happy to be with him. I thought Heaven’s Deal with the two runs under her belt and a bit of fitness on side represented the danger. She will most likely jump on the bunny from gate four and if she can lead without doing too much work she could prove hard to run down. Most of the well fancied runners in this race are first up so if she can make the most of that fitness edge she can be very competitive and happy to save on her.

Betting strategy

I will have $45 the win on Debt Collector here and save with $25 the win on Heaven's Deal!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 3

2:16pm

Suggested

Arkham Knight (No.2) & Scottish Rogue (No.9)

Dangers

Fancy Rumble (No.8) & Private Lounge (No.10)

This race is over the 1200m and it looks to be the easiest race that Scottish Rogue has encountered for some time. It looks a real winnable race for him. He has taken on a few of our best three year olds over his past couple of campaigns. He was only just touched off by Ringerdingding in the spring and this campaign hasn’t been too far away from some handy horses. He does probably need to get another win on the board though and this looks the day for him. He gets down in the weights taking on the older horses, I don’t mind him back to the 1200m for an in form Barend Vorster who can hopefully get him into a good spot from that middle to wide gate and if that is the case he should prove hard to hold out. Happy to be with him. I am going to save on Arkham Knight who is a horse that I have always had a bit of time for. There were a few roars in the Committee Room at The Bool last year on the final day of the carnival when this bloke saluted. He is a horse that is always competitive in this sort of grade and he bolted in a recent Strathalbyn trial which suggests he has come back well. He also draws out a bit but will be back off the speed and providing the track is not against those coming from off speed he should run well. At close to double figure odds happy to save on him.

Betting strategy

I will have $45 the win on Scottish Rogue here and save with $15 the win on Arkham Knight!

Race Outlay

$60

Race 4

2:56pm

Suggested

A Shin Rook (No.5)

Dangers

Balf’s Choice (No.1) & Black Sail (No.10)

I am pretty keen on one here. This race is over the mile and third up it looks an ideal race for the Anthony Freedman trained A Shin Rook to break through. His two runs back from a spell have been excellent this time in. He hit the line strongly under a big weight at Sale first up behind the then flying Bravo Tango. He then came here to Morphettville second up over the mile and ran a cracking race when just touched off by Mantastic and SIlentz. We have seen the form from that race hold up really well with Mantastic running second to Haripour in the Golden Mile which is a race I also expect to end up being strong from a form perspective. Since that run he was given a very quiet jump out at Balnarring last week where he was never let off the bridle and trucked through the line very strongly. He draws gate five here to get a gun run just off the speed and third up at the mile he just looks primed to deliver a peak performance. I think he is good odds too around that $3-4 mark and more than happy to be with him here. He might even be the best of the day anywhere in the country actually.

Betting strategy

Really keen on A Shin Rook here and I will have $80 the win on him as a stand out bet locking in the $3.90 with TAB Fixed Odds!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 7

5:01pm

Suggested

Mirette (No.2), Arctic Shock (No.9) & Vanuatu (No.11)

Dangers

Sizzleme (No.3) & Amanikan (No.14)

This is a good race for the three year old fillies over the 1800m. It is a Group 3 race and obviously many of these are on track to run in the Oaks over the upcoming weeks. I think the form from the race won by Princess Jenni at Moonee Valley a few weeks back certainly looks the main form reference. We see Mirette and Arctic Shock come through that race and I would expect both to be very hard to beat here. Mirette didn’t have a lot of luck in that race. She sat three wide on the speed the whole way and did plenty of work. Her effort to hang on and run fourth and be beaten less than a length was excellent. There should be no issues with her getting a good run here. She draws gate eight to land just off the speed and with that easier run in transit she should be right in the finish. Happy to be with her. I was on Arctic Shock in that Princess Jenni race. In fact I was on Mirette and Princess Jenni too it was only the favourite Angelic Ruler that was going to cost me in that final drive to the post. Arctic Shock’s run was also excellent. She just didn’t get clear running at the time she probably needed it to build enough momentum to win the race. She certainly picked up strongly and dashed through late though once that run came. She is another that just draws perfectly here in gate five to get a perfect run off the speed. With a touch of luck from there she should be right in the finish also. I am confident these two fillies are clearly the two to beat in the race. I think if there is an upset it could come from Vanuatu. This filly shows some good potential. She hit the line well first up at Sandown from back in the field before getting the job done in good fashion as a short priced favourite at Cranbourne last start. I think she is certainly the horse in the race that looks to have come up well over the odds. I probably had her closer to the $8-9 mark and she is around $14 in the markets currently. At that price I think she is definitely worth a ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $45 the win on Mirette here, I will also have $30 the win on Arctic Shock and $15 the win on Vanuatu locking in the $15 about the latter with BetEasy!

Race Outlay

$90

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