Group One racing again comes from Rosehill this Saturday before we move over to Randwick for the commencement of The Championships next weekend. The main race on the program is the Group One Tancred Stakes which has been won by some of our best horses. The highlight race of the day is the Group One Vinery Stud Stakes

Select a Race Meeting

Race 4

2:10pm

Suggested

Creativity (No.4), Seven Year Reward (No.10) & Huge Action (No.14)

Dangers

Bel Sonic (No.2) & Labuan Star (No.3)

We have another stand alone country meeting in Victoria this Saturday with Bendigo holding pride and place this weekend for their traditional Golden Mile race day. I have actually attended this race day a couple of times and it is a really good day. It is always a tough one from a punting perspective and this year is no exception. I found it very hard to narrow down a lot of the races as you will see from the preview below and have only come up with the four races to bet into. The weather looks like holding up in this area and I would expect that we would be racing on a good track. Typically Bendigo is a track that can play to horses out wide and running on but on this day it seems to play more towards horses on pace and closer to the fence I have noticed over the last few years. That inside ground seems to be protected for this meeting and therefore being up on speed particularly if the track is good is no disadvantage. Providing the track is not over watered I anticipate that being the case again. I am kicking the day off in the fourth race which is for the sprinters over the 1100m. This looks an open race. Seven Year Reward resumed from a spell with a pretty dominant on speed victory at Cranbourne which ended a fair run of outs for him and I am hoping with that win under his belt he might go on with the job now. I just thought for an 1100m race this was a race that was actually devoid of too many natural leaders. From gate four he will jump and land on the bunny and be hard to run down in my opinion. He carried 60kgs to win first up and drops down to just 52kgs here after the claim for young Teo Nugent. I think he is the one they are all going to have to run down here so happy to be in his corner. Creativity certainly looks the class runner in the race. She is now in the stables of Craig Widdison at Wodonga after formerly being with Ellerton & Zahra. She is a mare that has had quite a few barrier issues in her time but has always displayed good talent. She is typically very good early in her campaigns and she went well enough in a recent Wangaratta jump out to suggest that she will run well here. She draws out for Linda Meech but I would expect her to roll forward from that alley and be right in the finish so happy to be with her. Huge Action is the one at massive odds I could see running a cheeky race. He is a local trained on the track and will most likely have been set for this race. He has run well here in the past and at huge odds I thought he would be worth a small ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on Creativity and Seven Year Reward here and save with $10 the win on Huge Action!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 5

2:50pm

Suggested

La Bella Diosa (No.2) & Truly Discreet (No.5)

Dangers

Twitchy Frank (No.1) & Miss Siska (No.6)

This race is for the mares over the 1400m. I thought this was potentially one of the races that could be narrowed down. La Bella Diosa certainly looks well placed under the set weights and penalties conditions of this race. She gets in on the minimum weight but clearly has the highest handicap rating of any runner in the race. She is a mare that took on some of our better races through the spring and ran quite well. Even though she finished 15th in the Group One mares race on Derby Day she was only beaten just over five lengths by Shillelagh. Prior to that she had been competitive with the likes of I Am A Star, Savatiano and Invincibella which reads really well for a race of this nature. Her first up run in Sydney she got through the line really nicely behind Winter Bride and Spright which is again really good form. I think the key for here is to remain within striking distance. She draws the outside barrier so she will most likely go back but with just a small field of ten she should be close enough to be able to run over them in my opinion. I think providing you can make ground and there is no disadvantage to running on she is clearly the one to beat and happy to be in her corner. The horse I am saving on at a bit of odds is Truly Discreet. She took on a pretty unsuitable race at Moonee Valley first up over the 1200m. She got a long way back in that race but I thought she actually got through the line quite nicely. It was a race that was really controlled by those up on speed so I think her effort was better than what it appeared on paper. She gets to the 1400m second up here and draws to get a good run from gate two. I would expect her to certainly take up a much closer position in running and if she does that I would anticipate her being in the finish and I think she is a good bet around the $12-15 mark. The market has certainly come strongly for La Bella Diosa though in early markets she is in to around a $2.30 price now and I wouldn’t want or expect her to get too much shorter than that.

Betting strategy

The money just keeps rolling in for La Bella Diosa! I will have $75 the win on her and save with $10 the win on Truly Discreet!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 7

4:10pm

Suggested

Odeon (No.4), Haripour (No.9), Mantastic (No.10) & Zebulon (No.13)

Dangers

Furrion (No.3) & Plain Ciel (No.7)

This is a cracking edition of the Golden Mile. There are many many chances in this race. The good thing is that a lot of them come through the same races. The race won by Widgee Turf at Flemington two weeks ago and the race won by Mantastic on Adelaide Cup Day provide a large percentage of the runners in the race. While I concede the favourite Furrion a great winning chance I thought he was well enough found in the market given how open this race is. It is certainly not a race where I would have any horse rated under $5 and he has come up around the $3.80 mark. He comes into the race second up off a good run first up which was four weeks ago and draws very wide. I can certainly see him winning as I said, but I thought there might be a bit more value elsewhere. I thought Odeon had a terrific chance in the race. He hasn’t won for a little while now and is a horse that can find a way to get beat but I thought he was excellent first up and that run should have brought him on ideally for this second up assignment. He sat on speed there in what was a really solidly run race. He loomed to win the race but I reckon his condition just gave out over the final stages given he was first up. The first three across the line in that race were Widgee Turf, Hellova Street and Streets Of Avalon who had all come through strong recent racing and were rock hard fit and deep into their preparation. I think that told a tale over the final stages with Odeon. Second up into this race up to the mile he looks really well suited. He will go forward from a middle gate and land on speed and with quite a few of the main chances get back and run on types I think that could be a big advantage for him. I thought around that $14-15 mark he was an excellent bet here in this race. I have been in Zebulon’s corner at his last couple of runs and was particularly keen on him in the Widgee Turf race two weeks ago. He just seemed to be a little flat footed when Widgee Turf went past him about 400m from home but then picked up well again and went through the line strongly. He has just been held up inside horses at his last couple of runs so I am hoping in this race from the wide draw he will obviously get clear air to blend into the race at the right time. The way he went through the line last start suggests he is looking for the mile but for me that is the one question mark. While there have been excuses in his three mile runs he hasn’t been great in any of them and I just want to see him run a strong one. Had I been convinced on him running the mile I would have been really bullish about his chances here. I am still going to back him as I have been on him all preparation and certainly don’t want to lose on the race should he salute here as the horse is clearly going very well. The other horse from the Widgee Turf race I want to be on is Haripour at good odds. This horse was really well backed late first up and he ran a really good race. He was back midfield but got through the line really nicely. A key factor with this horse is that last preparation he improved significantly from his first up run to his second up run and if he can do that again here on Saturday I think he can be right in the finish. He draws a nice middle gate for Michael Dee to get a nice run off the speed and I think he can certainly be a factor in this race. Around the $15-20 mark I think he is an excellent bet. I am also going to have something on Mantastic who won the race over in Adelaide that quite a few of the other chances in this race come through. I backed him in that race when second up and he made up a stack of ground late to salute. He has an excellent record over the mile, he draws to get a good run not too far off the speed in gate four and I see no reason at all why he can’t be in the finish either in this open race so happy to be with him again.

Betting strategy

I will have $20 the win on Mantastic and Zebulon here! I will also have $15 the win on Odeon and Haripour and will lock in some early prices about the latter two! The $16 with TAB QLD looks massive for Odeon so will take that and will also lock in the $21 with Bet365 if you can about Haripour and if you can’t get on there the $18 is good enough with SportsBet!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 8

4:50pm

Suggested

Marcel From Madrid (No.1), Saccharo (No.5), Alsvior (No.11) & Smart Horse (No.17)

Dangers

Outrageous (No.2), Shamwow (No.14) & Mystery Love (No.16)

This is a wide open race here. It is the Bendigo Guineas over the 1400m for the three year olds. There look to be a host of winning chances and as you can see from above I am playing it pretty wide. I am pretty happy this horse down the bottom that is trained locally in Smart Horse has gained a start in the race. He debuted at Kyenton recently and turned in a stunning performance to win. He was caught a little bit wide early was dug up to whip around the horses in front of him and get outside the leader. He poured the pressure on a long way from home and just when you thought he had to get tired he just kept powering away and increasing the margin. It truly was a dominant win. I am backing him in to make the step up in grade and run well here. He draws a good middle gate to again roll forward and get up on speed and the way he raced on debut suggests the 1400m is going to be no issue whatsoever. Around the $10-11 mark (I wouldn’t be surprised if he started shorter) he should run a race here and happy to be with him. Saccharo was touched off surprisingly as a short priced favourite when resuming at Ballarat recently. He carried a big weight there and got caught a little bit wide and just went down in a three way finish. I think he will be much better for that run here second up and he should appreciate getting out to the 1400m. His form last campaign around the likes of Amphitrite and The Autumn Sun certainly read exceptionally well for a race of this nature. He draws to get a gun run just off the speed for Jordan Childs and I would certainly anticipate him getting into the finish. He looks a good bet around that $9-10 mark. Marcel From Madrid has chased home the flying Anjana at his past two starts. He hasn’t looked like getting close to her but his runs haven’t been too bad all the same. I think he will appreciate the step up to the 1400m here too the way he is racing. I thought his effort at The Valley last Friday night was better than it looked. He had to come very wide on the turn when the horse three wide fell back in his lap a bit and while he was hooking around that horse Anjana slipped up the inside and had the gap appear. Once Marcel From Madrid got balanced in the straight he really hit the line strongly I thought. He draws out here but I think this race is a bit of a notch or two back on tackling Anjana and if he can get into a trailing position three wide with cover from the wide draw I think he can be in the finish here so happy to be with him. The roughie bet in the race at big odds is Alsvior from the shrewd Sue Jaensch stable. I really respect Sue bringing this horse to this race and I think it is a sign that he is pretty talented. He was backed off the map from big odds in on debut where he was a good thing beat at Donald before he went to Hamilton last start and at much shorter odds but still well backed was able to get the job done. He looks a horse that will appreciate the wide open spaces here of Bendigo and I think there is some talent there and he is a type that will improve with racing. This is undoubtedly a pretty big step up in class but he is around the $20-30 mark and at that price I thought he was worth a small ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $20 the win on both Smart Horse and Saccharo here and will save with $15 the win on Marcel From Madrid and $10 the win on Alsvior!

Race Outlay

$65

Race 3

1:50pm

Suggested

In A Twinkling (No.2), Platinum Invador (No.3) & Carif (No.9)

Dangers

Madison County (No.1) & Cossetot (No.4)

The racing in Sydney over the past couple of weeks has been first class but I reckon we regress a bit here with this meeting. This is a bit of the calm before the storm over the next couple of weeks so to speak. I was at Rosehill when the race used to be on Slipper Day and Makybe Diva run down Grand Armee. It was one of the most magical moments I have experienced on a racecourse. Unfortunately this year’s edition is effectively a country cup field. It is pretty ordinary. Avilius is an odds on favourite and entitled to be so in my opinion. He clearly looks the class runner and providing he runs out the 2400m and has even luck he should be winning. It isn’t a race I will be getting involved in however. There are five other races on the program that I will be. Like Bendigo though I am playing the day pretty wide and am not super confident. The rain has eased throughout the week and the track is now up into the soft range but there is a fair bit of rain expected on Saturday in the morning which should see us certainly stay in the soft range and maybe back into heavy. I am kicking the day off in the third race which is for the three year olds over the 2000m. We see a few of the New Zealand raiders make their way to Australia for this race and the performance of Arrogant in the Rosehill Guineas last Saturday where he went so close to beating The Autumn Sun certainly gives me confidence that they will not only measure up but be very hard to beat here. Madison County is favourite for the race having found the line strongly behind The Autumn Sun in the Randwick Guineas a few weeks back. This is his first test over the 2000m though on what is most likely going to be a pretty testing Rosehill surface. For that reason I was keener to side with a couple of other New Zealanders who come through the New Zealand Derby recently with that tough 2400m run under their belt. In A Twinkling and Platinum Invador were both enormous runs in that race when finishing second and third respectively. In A Twinkling was wide all the way in that race and only went down in a bob of the head finish. I thought it was a super run. He really improved significantly in his two runs once he got up over the 2000m. He has James McDonald in the saddle here and I would expect him to be very strong at the end of the 2000m and hard to beat here so happy to be with him. Platinum Invador is just an out and out stayer. You can argue with a touch more luck he may have very well won the New Zealand Derby. He gave the leaders a monster start in that race and was ridden for luck attempting to duck and weave between runners. He just got held up a couple of times and had to stop and start his run a bit. He was charging at the end and I dare say had he had an unimpeded passage he would have went very close. He will relish the soft going, he will be strong at the end of 2000m and draws to get a good run hopefully not as far back off the speed here as last start for Blake Shinn. I am happy to be in his corner. The one at odds I am having something on is Carif. He looks to have come back from a spell in good order. He is certainly bred to be a superstar being by So You Think out of the gun mare Norzita. He really went through the line nicely at Newcastle when stepping up in trip last start. He looks a horse on the way up and if he can improve again into this race I think he can be competitive. Happy to have something on him at the big odds.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on In A Twinkling! I will also have $20 the win on Platinum Invador taking the $10 with QLD TAB Fixed Odds and $10 the win on Carif!

Race Outlay

$65

Race 5

3:10pm

Suggested

Ardrossan (No.4), Trekking (No.8) & Charge (No.12)

Dangers

Estijaab (No.6) & Brave Song (No.7)

This race is for the sprinters over the 1200m. This is a pretty tricky race I thought there were quite a few chances here. Ardrossan didn’t really enjoy his time in Australia when he came out here and had a campaign or two with Mick Price last year. He has since gone back to New Zealand though and been really good in three runs there. He won well first up in lower grade before he won well at Group 3 level second up. Last start he took on a hot Group One race where he was just touched off by Melody Belle and The Bostonian in a three way finish and they gapped the rest of the field. His run in that race over the 1400m was superb. He did all the work outside the leader and fought on really bravely before going down narrowly. I think that should have him well set up to be hard to run down here over the 1200m. There is good speed in the race and on a testing surface he certainly appeals in the knowledge that he has that 1400m run under his belt. He seems to relish soft ground, he has run well this way of going New Zealand and I can see him getting up on speed here and being really hard to get past so happy to be with him. I agonised over whether to back Trekking here. He trialled really well prior to his first up run where he ran well behind Easy Eddie in a race that was well controlled up on speed. Had this race been run on a dry track I would have been really confident about his chances I am just not as convinced about him on a soft surface. He has run well on soft ground I am just not sure he is at his top in this going. He seems to be going particularly well though and from the inside gate he will do no work in the run and should be strong late. I think he just needs a touch of luck from that inside draw and if he gets it he will be hard to hold out so happy to be in his corner. Charge is the horse I found a little bit difficult to get a line on. He ran really well first up and then was pretty plain in a fast Oakleigh Plate. He has been given a good break to recover from that run and I just feel that if he was to run to his best and the level he showed in winning at Moonee Valley on Cox Plate day in the spring then he could be a factor in a race like this. He has no weight on his back and I wouldn’t be surprised if he ran really well here so happy to have something on him.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Ardrossan and Trekking and save with $10 the win on Charge!

Race Outlay

$90

Race 6 - Vinery Stud Stakes

3:50pm

Suggested

Verry Elleegant (No.3) & Pohutukawa (No.8)

Dangers

Nakeeta Jane (No.1)

This is the highlight race of the day for me. It is the Group One Vinery Stud Stakes for the three year old fillies and what a cracking group of three year olds we have assembled. Racing Twitter is always up and about and Verry Elleegant seems to be a horse that has been a hot topic this week. The main consensus seems to be that she has come up under the odds here based on the fact that she does too much wrong in a race. I concede that point to a certain extent. She still wants to race ungenerously and throw her head about. She did so when winning last start. It didn’t matter too much though as she had panels on her opposition. The concern is that as she steps up in trip and gets into races with a softer tempo she is going to get even keener and that could bring her undone. Chris Waller post race last time suggested that the nose roll she was wearing wasn’t doing her much good and that comes off here. I just noted a bit of confidence in Waller’s tone after that run that he was pretty confident he could get her right. I am going to back him and the horse in. I am an unabashed fan. From the time I saw her replays in New Zealand prior to her first Australian run here in the spring, I thought this is a serious racehorse. I know she has a bit to learn, but her two runs this time in have been excellent. She hit the line strongly at Flemington first up behind Amphitrite and then had a small setback which meant she was four weeks between runs into her last start run which was a dominant win here in the Phar Lap. She really powered away from her rivals over the final stages there in a completely dominant display. I can’t see anything from that race coming out and turning the tables on her as you would expect that Verry Elleegant would have plenty of improvement in her given the gap between runs last time. She draws ideally for James McDonald to get a gun run just off the speed. I am hopeful that she settles and if she does it should be all over. I think she is a very good horse and I am hoping she makes her Group One statement here. Keen to be with her. She comes up against a few rivals who bring different form references into the race. Nakeeta Jane took on the males in the Randwick Guineas last start and ran really well. El Dorado Dreaming beat all bar Dixie Blossoms in the Coolmore and then we have the fillies coming through the Kembla Grange Classic which was won in dominant fashion by Pohutukawa. I think she is the main danger. Particularly if the rain does come and we are on a heavy track or close enough to it than Pohutukawa and Verry Elleegant look the two fillies that will relish and lap up those conditions. I thought it was a really strong win by Pohutukawa last start. James McDonald got her out into clear open air, made the winning run around the home turn and she was strong through the line. She gives every impression she will lap up to the 2000m and like I said, if the rain arrives her chances will just continue to increase. She is on the way up and I expect her to be hard to beat so happy to save on her behind Verry Elleegant.

Betting strategy

I will have $70 the win on Verry Elleegant here and save with $20 the win on Pohutukawa and tempted to take the $7 on offer about her!

Race Outlay

$90

Race 8

5:10pm

Suggested

Mister Sea Wolf (No.1) Kaonic (No.7), Don’t Give A Damn (No.12) & Salsonic (No.13)

Dangers

Siege Of Quebec (No.2) & Seaway (No.8)

This is the Doncaster Prelude over the 1500m and it is another wide open race. I found this race pretty difficult as you can probably tell from above and am happy to play wide. Kaonic comes into the race third up and I feel he is building to a peak performance. His two runs back from a spell have been sound. They haven’t been spectacular but they have been good enough. He worked through the line nicely behind Dreamforce first up before he made ground quickly into the race last start and I thought he actually looked a winning chance coming into the straight but he just peaked on his run late. I think third up here rising to he 1500m he looks set to deliver a big performance. He has handled soft conditions in the past and I can see him sitting off the pace and coming with a big finish here so happy to be in his corner. I am intrigued by the preparation of Mister Sea Wolf into this race. He has had a couple of jump outs in Melbourne which he has gone well in but hasn’t beaten much opposition and comes into this race first up. He has a particularly good record first up. He races well here. He loves this distance and has a good record on soft ground. He just looks to tick a lot of boxes. The James McDonald engagement first up is intriguing and he draws a nice middle gate to get a good run back off the speed. At double figure odds I think he is well worth a ticket. Don’t Give A Damn was a hard horse to get a read on. He didn’t jump well first up or more to the point copped a bump shortly after the start and that had him on the back foot for most of the race. I thought he stuck on OK carrying the big weight there. I wouldn’t be surprised if he improved significantly here. His first two runs this time in have been well below his best but he has carried big weights and things just haven’t panned out for him form inside draws. He gets a few things in his favour here. He drops in weight and I think most significantly he draws out. That will give him time to build momentum early and just roll across at his own leisure rather than being bustled up to hold a spot from the inside gate. I think that could be a big factor. He loves this track and distance, he has performed well on soft ground but not heavy so he will be hoping not too much rain arrives and if it doesn’t I think he will give you a great sight up on speed so happy to be with him. Salsonic is another interesting runner. I was taken by his trial prior to his first up run and as such had something on him at massive odds where he ran third to Dreamforce and probably should have finished second. It was a good return. He has trialled well since too. He is a horse that has always had a decent amount of ability but just doesn’t win. He is down in the weights here for Tommy Berry, he will do no work in the run from an inside draw and if the breaks come his way I reckon he can run a cheeky race again. He isn’t $61 this week he is around the $15-20 mark which is probably short enough in my opinion but I get the feeling he is going well and for that reason I am happy to have something on him in what really is a wide open race. I don’t think I would be surprised if any of the thirteen were saluting here.

Betting strategy

I will have $25 the win on Kaonic, $20 the win on Don’t Give A Damn, $15 the win on Mister Sea Wolf and $10 the win on Salsonic here!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 9

5:45pm

Suggested

Mahalangur (No.7), Spring Charlie (No.9) & Who’s Knocking (No.11)

Dangers

Star Of The Seas (No.10) & Napoleon Solo (No.14)

This is a good race to finish the day on here. There are a couple of nice up and coming gallopers doing battle. Mahalangur was touched off by Star Of The Seas first up here two weeks ago on a very heavy track but I think with the benefit of that run now under his belt and a small weight turnaround in his favour that Mahalangur can turn the tables here. He raced really well in three runs through his spring campaign winning two of three and he looks to have come back well this time in. He was given a quiet trial prior to his first up run and his effort on speed over the 1350m on a heavy track there was excellent. Second up here over the 1400m he will no doubt be better for that run. He draws a nice middle gate to roll forward and get on speed for Tommy Berry and providing he has gone on from that first up run he is going to be hard to beat here. I am keen to be in his corner. Spring Charlie is another horse that comes into this race second up and he also looks really well placed here. He has won five of eight in his career and his first up run at Hawkesbury in the Provincial Championships heat was excellent. He was first up over 1400m there and carried 59kgs. He pretty much carried the field up to the runaway leader, he took over in the straight and looked the winner before his condition probably just gave out a bit late and he was cut down by Safado in the final strides. He should strip fitter for that here. He has had a nice trial at Wyong since then to keep him up to the mark over 1200m as he is five weeks between runs into this race. He draws a nice middle gate for Shinn to roll forward on him and he also gets weight relief down to 55.5kgs. He won his only start on soft ground impressively and a bit like Mahalangur, providing he has gone on from that first up run I think he will be hard to hold out here. Who’s Knocking is the other horse in the race I want to have something on. Her form this time in has been excellent. She won well at Canberra first up before winning again there second up and I reckon she was a touch unlucky that she didn’t defeat Snippets Land in the National Sprint on Canberra Cup Day. I am glad she didn’t as I think Snippets Land was about the only winner I backed that day. She is a lightly raced and talented mare that I think is ready for this step up. She draws out so she should have no traffic problems here on Saturday and she has won both starts on soft ground. I think she looks real dangerous and around the $10-12 mark looks a good bet.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on both Mahalangur and Spring Charlie and save with $15 the win on Who’s Knocking!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 1

12:10pm

Suggested

Cordoned (No.7), Power Command (No.10) & Bella Ochi (No.11)

Dangers

Boom Chicka Boom (No.4) & Masterati (No.5)

Racing returns to Doomben this Saturday in Brisbane and again the weather looks like it is going to play havoc which makes it very hard to get an early read on proceedings. There is the forecast from anywhere between 8 and 25mls of rain forecast for tomorrow and it is expected early so it could impact the whole day. It looks a good meeting too and I was much keener to play until I saw the forecast so I am going to be a bit more guarded now. I am going to get us up and running nice and early though. We kick off a bit later in the other two states but we will hopefully get the first winner and beer on the board nice and early at Doomben. It looks a nice race for Bella Ochi to resume in and kick off her campaign for the Ben Currie yard. I am not going to get too involved in the Ben Currie saga but clearly his horses are going very well at the moment and you have to give his horses the utmost respect if planning to bet in races where they are involved. This is a mare that showed really good talent early in her career and has gone around at some very short prices in her short career to date. I reckon she may have had a couple of issues last campaign as she just didn’t look to come up. Her trial leading into this first up run suggests he has come back well. The early market support is there for her and over the 1050m first up with Jeff Lloyd on from an inside gate she should jump on the bunny and be hard to run down. She has won on soft and heavy going too so fi the rain comes that won’t be an issue. Happy to be with her. I am saving on a couple of runners that are resuming from a spell here. The first of those is Cordonedwho typically runs a good race fresh and trialled well enough recently. He races well over these short course trips and I was surprised he come up such good odds in the market here and I definitely thought he was worth a small ticket at the price. Power Command got through her grades nicely last campaign and has trialled up well for her return. She has also won on soft ground and you have to respect the Lees yard when they bring one up from Newcastle to run here. She is also double figure odds and worth a saving ticket behind the favourite in my opinion who should be hard to beat.

Betting strategy

I will have $70 the win on Bella Ochi and save with $10 the win on both Cordoned and Power Command!

Race Outlay

$90

Race 5

2:42PM

Suggested

Tonsor (No.9)

Dangers

Courtza King (No.4) & Tawfiq Boy (No.5)

I think this galloper in Tonsor who makes his way up from Sydney for the shrewd Matthew Smith yard probably looks to be the best bet of the day anywhere in the country tomorrow. He just fits the bill of a horse coming up to this part of the world that should be too good. He is lightly raced and going through his grades nicely. He has won two of three this time in and the last two have been pretty dominant on soft tracks. That bodes well if the rain does arrive here. He has carried big weights at his last two also. He drops down to 54kgs here, he draws gate one to either lead or box seat for Robbie Fradd and at the moment while in black figures I think he is an excellent bet. I really can’t see him not starting in the red. He looks the best of the day for mine and very keen to be in his corner.

Betting strategy

As you can tell I am pretty keen on Tonsor here! The $2 with SportsBet looks good enough for me and I will have $105 the win on him locking in the even money!

Race Outlay

$105

Race 8

4:42pm

Suggested

River Racer (No.4) & Tisani Magic (No.11)

Dangers

River Racer (No.4) & Tisani Magic (No.11)

This looks a competitive race here. It is over the 1350m and we see a bit more value in this market than the other two races I am betting into on the program. Brains is an interesting runner. He had two real peak runs where he was outstanding in defeating Limerick Moon and Looks Like Elvis over the summer months. His last two runs over the 1600m two starts ago and then over the 1400m last start have been a notch or two back from the level he showed in those two wins. Even though he has a good winning record over the mile I thought he looked to run out the mile two starts back and then I thought he had probably come to the end of his preparation after the last start run. He has had a freshen up since then and is five weeks between runs into this race here. He has trialled up OK recently too for this. I want to see him ridden cold back off the speed. I think that is where he was at his best in those two wins in December and January. If the speed is on up front which I think it will be with a couple going forward from wide draws then he can get over the top of them. Happy to be with him. I Am Impinge ran well enough first up at Doomben behind the flying Mishani Vaidra. With natural improvement from that run he should be right in the finish here. He is a four year old that still looks to have some upside too. He draws a nice middle gate for James Orman, he gets down in the weights and I would expect him to be in the finish so happy to be with him. The other horse I am going to have something on is Prince Of Tie. He is likely to go forward from the wide draw and for that reason the engagement of Jeff Lloyd is key. Jeff is a master at firing on speed horses out of the gates from the wide draw and if he can do that here and come across and get control of the race then I think Prince Of Tie down in the weights could be hard to get past. At the double figure odds I think he is definitely worth a saving ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on I Am Impinge, $30 the win on Brains and $15 the win on Prince Of Tie and I am going to lock in the $14 about the latter with QLD TAB Fixed Odds!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 4

2:10pm

Suggested

Creativity (No.4), Seven Year Reward (No.10) & Huge Action (No.14)

Dangers

Bel Sonic (No.2) & Labuan Star (No.3)

We have another stand alone country meeting in Victoria this Saturday with Bendigo holding pride and place this weekend for their traditional Golden Mile race day. I have actually attended this race day a couple of times and it is a really good day. It is always a tough one from a punting perspective and this year is no exception. I found it very hard to narrow down a lot of the races as you will see from the preview below and have only come up with the four races to bet into. The weather looks like holding up in this area and I would expect that we would be racing on a good track. Typically Bendigo is a track that can play to horses out wide and running on but on this day it seems to play more towards horses on pace and closer to the fence I have noticed over the last few years. That inside ground seems to be protected for this meeting and therefore being up on speed particularly if the track is good is no disadvantage. Providing the track is not over watered I anticipate that being the case again. I am kicking the day off in the fourth race which is for the sprinters over the 1100m. This looks an open race. Seven Year Reward resumed from a spell with a pretty dominant on speed victory at Cranbourne which ended a fair run of outs for him and I am hoping with that win under his belt he might go on with the job now. I just thought for an 1100m race this was a race that was actually devoid of too many natural leaders. From gate four he will jump and land on the bunny and be hard to run down in my opinion. He carried 60kgs to win first up and drops down to just 52kgs here after the claim for young Teo Nugent. I think he is the one they are all going to have to run down here so happy to be in his corner. Creativity certainly looks the class runner in the race. She is now in the stables of Craig Widdison at Wodonga after formerly being with Ellerton & Zahra. She is a mare that has had quite a few barrier issues in her time but has always displayed good talent. She is typically very good early in her campaigns and she went well enough in a recent Wangaratta jump out to suggest that she will run well here. She draws out for Linda Meech but I would expect her to roll forward from that alley and be right in the finish so happy to be with her. Huge Action is the one at massive odds I could see running a cheeky race. He is a local trained on the track and will most likely have been set for this race. He has run well here in the past and at huge odds I thought he would be worth a small ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on Creativity and Seven Year Reward here and save with $10 the win on Huge Action!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 5

2:50pm

Suggested

La Bella Diosa (No.2) & Truly Discreet (No.5)

Dangers

Twitchy Frank (No.1) & Miss Siska (No.6)

This race is for the mares over the 1400m. I thought this was potentially one of the races that could be narrowed down. La Bella Diosa certainly looks well placed under the set weights and penalties conditions of this race. She gets in on the minimum weight but clearly has the highest handicap rating of any runner in the race. She is a mare that took on some of our better races through the spring and ran quite well. Even though she finished 15th in the Group One mares race on Derby Day she was only beaten just over five lengths by Shillelagh. Prior to that she had been competitive with the likes of I Am A Star, Savatiano and Invincibella which reads really well for a race of this nature. Her first up run in Sydney she got through the line really nicely behind Winter Bride and Spright which is again really good form. I think the key for here is to remain within striking distance. She draws the outside barrier so she will most likely go back but with just a small field of ten she should be close enough to be able to run over them in my opinion. I think providing you can make ground and there is no disadvantage to running on she is clearly the one to beat and happy to be in her corner. The horse I am saving on at a bit of odds is Truly Discreet. She took on a pretty unsuitable race at Moonee Valley first up over the 1200m. She got a long way back in that race but I thought she actually got through the line quite nicely. It was a race that was really controlled by those up on speed so I think her effort was better than what it appeared on paper. She gets to the 1400m second up here and draws to get a good run from gate two. I would expect her to certainly take up a much closer position in running and if she does that I would anticipate her being in the finish and I think she is a good bet around the $12-15 mark. The market has certainly come strongly for La Bella Diosa though in early markets she is in to around a $2.30 price now and I wouldn’t want or expect her to get too much shorter than that.

Betting strategy

The money just keeps rolling in for La Bella Diosa! I will have $75 the win on her and save with $10 the win on Truly Discreet!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 7

4:10pm

Suggested

Odeon (No.4), Haripour (No.9), Mantastic (No.10) & Zebulon (No.13)

Dangers

Furrion (No.3) & Plain Ciel (No.7)

This is a cracking edition of the Golden Mile. There are many many chances in this race. The good thing is that a lot of them come through the same races. The race won by Widgee Turf at Flemington two weeks ago and the race won by Mantastic on Adelaide Cup Day provide a large percentage of the runners in the race. While I concede the favourite Furrion a great winning chance I thought he was well enough found in the market given how open this race is. It is certainly not a race where I would have any horse rated under $5 and he has come up around the $3.80 mark. He comes into the race second up off a good run first up which was four weeks ago and draws very wide. I can certainly see him winning as I said, but I thought there might be a bit more value elsewhere. I thought Odeon had a terrific chance in the race. He hasn’t won for a little while now and is a horse that can find a way to get beat but I thought he was excellent first up and that run should have brought him on ideally for this second up assignment. He sat on speed there in what was a really solidly run race. He loomed to win the race but I reckon his condition just gave out over the final stages given he was first up. The first three across the line in that race were Widgee Turf, Hellova Street and Streets Of Avalon who had all come through strong recent racing and were rock hard fit and deep into their preparation. I think that told a tale over the final stages with Odeon. Second up into this race up to the mile he looks really well suited. He will go forward from a middle gate and land on speed and with quite a few of the main chances get back and run on types I think that could be a big advantage for him. I thought around that $14-15 mark he was an excellent bet here in this race. I have been in Zebulon’s corner at his last couple of runs and was particularly keen on him in the Widgee Turf race two weeks ago. He just seemed to be a little flat footed when Widgee Turf went past him about 400m from home but then picked up well again and went through the line strongly. He has just been held up inside horses at his last couple of runs so I am hoping in this race from the wide draw he will obviously get clear air to blend into the race at the right time. The way he went through the line last start suggests he is looking for the mile but for me that is the one question mark. While there have been excuses in his three mile runs he hasn’t been great in any of them and I just want to see him run a strong one. Had I been convinced on him running the mile I would have been really bullish about his chances here. I am still going to back him as I have been on him all preparation and certainly don’t want to lose on the race should he salute here as the horse is clearly going very well. The other horse from the Widgee Turf race I want to be on is Haripour at good odds. This horse was really well backed late first up and he ran a really good race. He was back midfield but got through the line really nicely. A key factor with this horse is that last preparation he improved significantly from his first up run to his second up run and if he can do that again here on Saturday I think he can be right in the finish. He draws a nice middle gate for Michael Dee to get a nice run off the speed and I think he can certainly be a factor in this race. Around the $15-20 mark I think he is an excellent bet. I am also going to have something on Mantastic who won the race over in Adelaide that quite a few of the other chances in this race come through. I backed him in that race when second up and he made up a stack of ground late to salute. He has an excellent record over the mile, he draws to get a good run not too far off the speed in gate four and I see no reason at all why he can’t be in the finish either in this open race so happy to be with him again.

Betting strategy

I will have $20 the win on Mantastic and Zebulon here! I will also have $15 the win on Odeon and Haripour and will lock in some early prices about the latter two! The $16 with TAB QLD looks massive for Odeon so will take that and will also lock in the $21 with Bet365 if you can about Haripour and if you can’t get on there the $18 is good enough with SportsBet!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 8

4:50pm

Suggested

Marcel From Madrid (No.1), Saccharo (No.5), Alsvior (No.11) & Smart Horse (No.17)

Dangers

Outrageous (No.2), Shamwow (No.14) & Mystery Love (No.16)

This is a wide open race here. It is the Bendigo Guineas over the 1400m for the three year olds. There look to be a host of winning chances and as you can see from above I am playing it pretty wide. I am pretty happy this horse down the bottom that is trained locally in Smart Horse has gained a start in the race. He debuted at Kyenton recently and turned in a stunning performance to win. He was caught a little bit wide early was dug up to whip around the horses in front of him and get outside the leader. He poured the pressure on a long way from home and just when you thought he had to get tired he just kept powering away and increasing the margin. It truly was a dominant win. I am backing him in to make the step up in grade and run well here. He draws a good middle gate to again roll forward and get up on speed and the way he raced on debut suggests the 1400m is going to be no issue whatsoever. Around the $10-11 mark (I wouldn’t be surprised if he started shorter) he should run a race here and happy to be with him. Saccharo was touched off surprisingly as a short priced favourite when resuming at Ballarat recently. He carried a big weight there and got caught a little bit wide and just went down in a three way finish. I think he will be much better for that run here second up and he should appreciate getting out to the 1400m. His form last campaign around the likes of Amphitrite and The Autumn Sun certainly read exceptionally well for a race of this nature. He draws to get a gun run just off the speed for Jordan Childs and I would certainly anticipate him getting into the finish. He looks a good bet around that $9-10 mark. Marcel From Madrid has chased home the flying Anjana at his past two starts. He hasn’t looked like getting close to her but his runs haven’t been too bad all the same. I think he will appreciate the step up to the 1400m here too the way he is racing. I thought his effort at The Valley last Friday night was better than it looked. He had to come very wide on the turn when the horse three wide fell back in his lap a bit and while he was hooking around that horse Anjana slipped up the inside and had the gap appear. Once Marcel From Madrid got balanced in the straight he really hit the line strongly I thought. He draws out here but I think this race is a bit of a notch or two back on tackling Anjana and if he can get into a trailing position three wide with cover from the wide draw I think he can be in the finish here so happy to be with him. The roughie bet in the race at big odds is Alsvior from the shrewd Sue Jaensch stable. I really respect Sue bringing this horse to this race and I think it is a sign that he is pretty talented. He was backed off the map from big odds in on debut where he was a good thing beat at Donald before he went to Hamilton last start and at much shorter odds but still well backed was able to get the job done. He looks a horse that will appreciate the wide open spaces here of Bendigo and I think there is some talent there and he is a type that will improve with racing. This is undoubtedly a pretty big step up in class but he is around the $20-30 mark and at that price I thought he was worth a small ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $20 the win on both Smart Horse and Saccharo here and will save with $15 the win on Marcel From Madrid and $10 the win on Alsvior!

Race Outlay

$65

Race 3

1:50pm

Suggested

In A Twinkling (No.2), Platinum Invador (No.3) & Carif (No.9)

Dangers

Madison County (No.1) & Cossetot (No.4)

The racing in Sydney over the past couple of weeks has been first class but I reckon we regress a bit here with this meeting. This is a bit of the calm before the storm over the next couple of weeks so to speak. I was at Rosehill when the race used to be on Slipper Day and Makybe Diva run down Grand Armee. It was one of the most magical moments I have experienced on a racecourse. Unfortunately this year’s edition is effectively a country cup field. It is pretty ordinary. Avilius is an odds on favourite and entitled to be so in my opinion. He clearly looks the class runner and providing he runs out the 2400m and has even luck he should be winning. It isn’t a race I will be getting involved in however. There are five other races on the program that I will be. Like Bendigo though I am playing the day pretty wide and am not super confident. The rain has eased throughout the week and the track is now up into the soft range but there is a fair bit of rain expected on Saturday in the morning which should see us certainly stay in the soft range and maybe back into heavy. I am kicking the day off in the third race which is for the three year olds over the 2000m. We see a few of the New Zealand raiders make their way to Australia for this race and the performance of Arrogant in the Rosehill Guineas last Saturday where he went so close to beating The Autumn Sun certainly gives me confidence that they will not only measure up but be very hard to beat here. Madison County is favourite for the race having found the line strongly behind The Autumn Sun in the Randwick Guineas a few weeks back. This is his first test over the 2000m though on what is most likely going to be a pretty testing Rosehill surface. For that reason I was keener to side with a couple of other New Zealanders who come through the New Zealand Derby recently with that tough 2400m run under their belt. In A Twinkling and Platinum Invador were both enormous runs in that race when finishing second and third respectively. In A Twinkling was wide all the way in that race and only went down in a bob of the head finish. I thought it was a super run. He really improved significantly in his two runs once he got up over the 2000m. He has James McDonald in the saddle here and I would expect him to be very strong at the end of the 2000m and hard to beat here so happy to be with him. Platinum Invador is just an out and out stayer. You can argue with a touch more luck he may have very well won the New Zealand Derby. He gave the leaders a monster start in that race and was ridden for luck attempting to duck and weave between runners. He just got held up a couple of times and had to stop and start his run a bit. He was charging at the end and I dare say had he had an unimpeded passage he would have went very close. He will relish the soft going, he will be strong at the end of 2000m and draws to get a good run hopefully not as far back off the speed here as last start for Blake Shinn. I am happy to be in his corner. The one at odds I am having something on is Carif. He looks to have come back from a spell in good order. He is certainly bred to be a superstar being by So You Think out of the gun mare Norzita. He really went through the line nicely at Newcastle when stepping up in trip last start. He looks a horse on the way up and if he can improve again into this race I think he can be competitive. Happy to have something on him at the big odds.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on In A Twinkling! I will also have $20 the win on Platinum Invador taking the $10 with QLD TAB Fixed Odds and $10 the win on Carif!

Race Outlay

$65

Race 5

3:10pm

Suggested

Ardrossan (No.4), Trekking (No.8) & Charge (No.12)

Dangers

Estijaab (No.6) & Brave Song (No.7)

This race is for the sprinters over the 1200m. This is a pretty tricky race I thought there were quite a few chances here. Ardrossan didn’t really enjoy his time in Australia when he came out here and had a campaign or two with Mick Price last year. He has since gone back to New Zealand though and been really good in three runs there. He won well first up in lower grade before he won well at Group 3 level second up. Last start he took on a hot Group One race where he was just touched off by Melody Belle and The Bostonian in a three way finish and they gapped the rest of the field. His run in that race over the 1400m was superb. He did all the work outside the leader and fought on really bravely before going down narrowly. I think that should have him well set up to be hard to run down here over the 1200m. There is good speed in the race and on a testing surface he certainly appeals in the knowledge that he has that 1400m run under his belt. He seems to relish soft ground, he has run well this way of going New Zealand and I can see him getting up on speed here and being really hard to get past so happy to be with him. I agonised over whether to back Trekking here. He trialled really well prior to his first up run where he ran well behind Easy Eddie in a race that was well controlled up on speed. Had this race been run on a dry track I would have been really confident about his chances I am just not as convinced about him on a soft surface. He has run well on soft ground I am just not sure he is at his top in this going. He seems to be going particularly well though and from the inside gate he will do no work in the run and should be strong late. I think he just needs a touch of luck from that inside draw and if he gets it he will be hard to hold out so happy to be in his corner. Charge is the horse I found a little bit difficult to get a line on. He ran really well first up and then was pretty plain in a fast Oakleigh Plate. He has been given a good break to recover from that run and I just feel that if he was to run to his best and the level he showed in winning at Moonee Valley on Cox Plate day in the spring then he could be a factor in a race like this. He has no weight on his back and I wouldn’t be surprised if he ran really well here so happy to have something on him.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Ardrossan and Trekking and save with $10 the win on Charge!

Race Outlay

$90

Race 6 - Vinery Stud Stakes

3:50pm

Suggested

Verry Elleegant (No.3) & Pohutukawa (No.8)

Dangers

Nakeeta Jane (No.1)

This is the highlight race of the day for me. It is the Group One Vinery Stud Stakes for the three year old fillies and what a cracking group of three year olds we have assembled. Racing Twitter is always up and about and Verry Elleegant seems to be a horse that has been a hot topic this week. The main consensus seems to be that she has come up under the odds here based on the fact that she does too much wrong in a race. I concede that point to a certain extent. She still wants to race ungenerously and throw her head about. She did so when winning last start. It didn’t matter too much though as she had panels on her opposition. The concern is that as she steps up in trip and gets into races with a softer tempo she is going to get even keener and that could bring her undone. Chris Waller post race last time suggested that the nose roll she was wearing wasn’t doing her much good and that comes off here. I just noted a bit of confidence in Waller’s tone after that run that he was pretty confident he could get her right. I am going to back him and the horse in. I am an unabashed fan. From the time I saw her replays in New Zealand prior to her first Australian run here in the spring, I thought this is a serious racehorse. I know she has a bit to learn, but her two runs this time in have been excellent. She hit the line strongly at Flemington first up behind Amphitrite and then had a small setback which meant she was four weeks between runs into her last start run which was a dominant win here in the Phar Lap. She really powered away from her rivals over the final stages there in a completely dominant display. I can’t see anything from that race coming out and turning the tables on her as you would expect that Verry Elleegant would have plenty of improvement in her given the gap between runs last time. She draws ideally for James McDonald to get a gun run just off the speed. I am hopeful that she settles and if she does it should be all over. I think she is a very good horse and I am hoping she makes her Group One statement here. Keen to be with her. She comes up against a few rivals who bring different form references into the race. Nakeeta Jane took on the males in the Randwick Guineas last start and ran really well. El Dorado Dreaming beat all bar Dixie Blossoms in the Coolmore and then we have the fillies coming through the Kembla Grange Classic which was won in dominant fashion by Pohutukawa. I think she is the main danger. Particularly if the rain does come and we are on a heavy track or close enough to it than Pohutukawa and Verry Elleegant look the two fillies that will relish and lap up those conditions. I thought it was a really strong win by Pohutukawa last start. James McDonald got her out into clear open air, made the winning run around the home turn and she was strong through the line. She gives every impression she will lap up to the 2000m and like I said, if the rain arrives her chances will just continue to increase. She is on the way up and I expect her to be hard to beat so happy to save on her behind Verry Elleegant.

Betting strategy

I will have $70 the win on Verry Elleegant here and save with $20 the win on Pohutukawa and tempted to take the $7 on offer about her!

Race Outlay

$90

Race 8

5:10pm

Suggested

Mister Sea Wolf (No.1) Kaonic (No.7), Don’t Give A Damn (No.12) & Salsonic (No.13)

Dangers

Siege Of Quebec (No.2) & Seaway (No.8)

This is the Doncaster Prelude over the 1500m and it is another wide open race. I found this race pretty difficult as you can probably tell from above and am happy to play wide. Kaonic comes into the race third up and I feel he is building to a peak performance. His two runs back from a spell have been sound. They haven’t been spectacular but they have been good enough. He worked through the line nicely behind Dreamforce first up before he made ground quickly into the race last start and I thought he actually looked a winning chance coming into the straight but he just peaked on his run late. I think third up here rising to he 1500m he looks set to deliver a big performance. He has handled soft conditions in the past and I can see him sitting off the pace and coming with a big finish here so happy to be in his corner. I am intrigued by the preparation of Mister Sea Wolf into this race. He has had a couple of jump outs in Melbourne which he has gone well in but hasn’t beaten much opposition and comes into this race first up. He has a particularly good record first up. He races well here. He loves this distance and has a good record on soft ground. He just looks to tick a lot of boxes. The James McDonald engagement first up is intriguing and he draws a nice middle gate to get a good run back off the speed. At double figure odds I think he is well worth a ticket. Don’t Give A Damn was a hard horse to get a read on. He didn’t jump well first up or more to the point copped a bump shortly after the start and that had him on the back foot for most of the race. I thought he stuck on OK carrying the big weight there. I wouldn’t be surprised if he improved significantly here. His first two runs this time in have been well below his best but he has carried big weights and things just haven’t panned out for him form inside draws. He gets a few things in his favour here. He drops in weight and I think most significantly he draws out. That will give him time to build momentum early and just roll across at his own leisure rather than being bustled up to hold a spot from the inside gate. I think that could be a big factor. He loves this track and distance, he has performed well on soft ground but not heavy so he will be hoping not too much rain arrives and if it doesn’t I think he will give you a great sight up on speed so happy to be with him. Salsonic is another interesting runner. I was taken by his trial prior to his first up run and as such had something on him at massive odds where he ran third to Dreamforce and probably should have finished second. It was a good return. He has trialled well since too. He is a horse that has always had a decent amount of ability but just doesn’t win. He is down in the weights here for Tommy Berry, he will do no work in the run from an inside draw and if the breaks come his way I reckon he can run a cheeky race again. He isn’t $61 this week he is around the $15-20 mark which is probably short enough in my opinion but I get the feeling he is going well and for that reason I am happy to have something on him in what really is a wide open race. I don’t think I would be surprised if any of the thirteen were saluting here.

Betting strategy

I will have $25 the win on Kaonic, $20 the win on Don’t Give A Damn, $15 the win on Mister Sea Wolf and $10 the win on Salsonic here!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 9

5:45pm

Suggested

Mahalangur (No.7), Spring Charlie (No.9) & Who’s Knocking (No.11)

Dangers

Star Of The Seas (No.10) & Napoleon Solo (No.14)

This is a good race to finish the day on here. There are a couple of nice up and coming gallopers doing battle. Mahalangur was touched off by Star Of The Seas first up here two weeks ago on a very heavy track but I think with the benefit of that run now under his belt and a small weight turnaround in his favour that Mahalangur can turn the tables here. He raced really well in three runs through his spring campaign winning two of three and he looks to have come back well this time in. He was given a quiet trial prior to his first up run and his effort on speed over the 1350m on a heavy track there was excellent. Second up here over the 1400m he will no doubt be better for that run. He draws a nice middle gate to roll forward and get on speed for Tommy Berry and providing he has gone on from that first up run he is going to be hard to beat here. I am keen to be in his corner. Spring Charlie is another horse that comes into this race second up and he also looks really well placed here. He has won five of eight in his career and his first up run at Hawkesbury in the Provincial Championships heat was excellent. He was first up over 1400m there and carried 59kgs. He pretty much carried the field up to the runaway leader, he took over in the straight and looked the winner before his condition probably just gave out a bit late and he was cut down by Safado in the final strides. He should strip fitter for that here. He has had a nice trial at Wyong since then to keep him up to the mark over 1200m as he is five weeks between runs into this race. He draws a nice middle gate for Shinn to roll forward on him and he also gets weight relief down to 55.5kgs. He won his only start on soft ground impressively and a bit like Mahalangur, providing he has gone on from that first up run I think he will be hard to hold out here. Who’s Knocking is the other horse in the race I want to have something on. Her form this time in has been excellent. She won well at Canberra first up before winning again there second up and I reckon she was a touch unlucky that she didn’t defeat Snippets Land in the National Sprint on Canberra Cup Day. I am glad she didn’t as I think Snippets Land was about the only winner I backed that day. She is a lightly raced and talented mare that I think is ready for this step up. She draws out so she should have no traffic problems here on Saturday and she has won both starts on soft ground. I think she looks real dangerous and around the $10-12 mark looks a good bet.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on both Mahalangur and Spring Charlie and save with $15 the win on Who’s Knocking!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 1

12:10pm

Suggested

Cordoned (No.7), Power Command (No.10) & Bella Ochi (No.11)

Dangers

Boom Chicka Boom (No.4) & Masterati (No.5)

Racing returns to Doomben this Saturday in Brisbane and again the weather looks like it is going to play havoc which makes it very hard to get an early read on proceedings. There is the forecast from anywhere between 8 and 25mls of rain forecast for tomorrow and it is expected early so it could impact the whole day. It looks a good meeting too and I was much keener to play until I saw the forecast so I am going to be a bit more guarded now. I am going to get us up and running nice and early though. We kick off a bit later in the other two states but we will hopefully get the first winner and beer on the board nice and early at Doomben. It looks a nice race for Bella Ochi to resume in and kick off her campaign for the Ben Currie yard. I am not going to get too involved in the Ben Currie saga but clearly his horses are going very well at the moment and you have to give his horses the utmost respect if planning to bet in races where they are involved. This is a mare that showed really good talent early in her career and has gone around at some very short prices in her short career to date. I reckon she may have had a couple of issues last campaign as she just didn’t look to come up. Her trial leading into this first up run suggests he has come back well. The early market support is there for her and over the 1050m first up with Jeff Lloyd on from an inside gate she should jump on the bunny and be hard to run down. She has won on soft and heavy going too so fi the rain comes that won’t be an issue. Happy to be with her. I am saving on a couple of runners that are resuming from a spell here. The first of those is Cordonedwho typically runs a good race fresh and trialled well enough recently. He races well over these short course trips and I was surprised he come up such good odds in the market here and I definitely thought he was worth a small ticket at the price. Power Command got through her grades nicely last campaign and has trialled up well for her return. She has also won on soft ground and you have to respect the Lees yard when they bring one up from Newcastle to run here. She is also double figure odds and worth a saving ticket behind the favourite in my opinion who should be hard to beat.

Betting strategy

I will have $70 the win on Bella Ochi and save with $10 the win on both Cordoned and Power Command!

Race Outlay

$90

Race 5

2:42PM

Suggested

Tonsor (No.9)

Dangers

Courtza King (No.4) & Tawfiq Boy (No.5)

I think this galloper in Tonsor who makes his way up from Sydney for the shrewd Matthew Smith yard probably looks to be the best bet of the day anywhere in the country tomorrow. He just fits the bill of a horse coming up to this part of the world that should be too good. He is lightly raced and going through his grades nicely. He has won two of three this time in and the last two have been pretty dominant on soft tracks. That bodes well if the rain does arrive here. He has carried big weights at his last two also. He drops down to 54kgs here, he draws gate one to either lead or box seat for Robbie Fradd and at the moment while in black figures I think he is an excellent bet. I really can’t see him not starting in the red. He looks the best of the day for mine and very keen to be in his corner.

Betting strategy

As you can tell I am pretty keen on Tonsor here! The $2 with SportsBet looks good enough for me and I will have $105 the win on him locking in the even money!

Race Outlay

$105

Race 8

4:42pm

Suggested

River Racer (No.4) & Tisani Magic (No.11)

Dangers

River Racer (No.4) & Tisani Magic (No.11)

This looks a competitive race here. It is over the 1350m and we see a bit more value in this market than the other two races I am betting into on the program. Brains is an interesting runner. He had two real peak runs where he was outstanding in defeating Limerick Moon and Looks Like Elvis over the summer months. His last two runs over the 1600m two starts ago and then over the 1400m last start have been a notch or two back from the level he showed in those two wins. Even though he has a good winning record over the mile I thought he looked to run out the mile two starts back and then I thought he had probably come to the end of his preparation after the last start run. He has had a freshen up since then and is five weeks between runs into this race here. He has trialled up OK recently too for this. I want to see him ridden cold back off the speed. I think that is where he was at his best in those two wins in December and January. If the speed is on up front which I think it will be with a couple going forward from wide draws then he can get over the top of them. Happy to be with him. I Am Impinge ran well enough first up at Doomben behind the flying Mishani Vaidra. With natural improvement from that run he should be right in the finish here. He is a four year old that still looks to have some upside too. He draws a nice middle gate for James Orman, he gets down in the weights and I would expect him to be in the finish so happy to be with him. The other horse I am going to have something on is Prince Of Tie. He is likely to go forward from the wide draw and for that reason the engagement of Jeff Lloyd is key. Jeff is a master at firing on speed horses out of the gates from the wide draw and if he can do that here and come across and get control of the race then I think Prince Of Tie down in the weights could be hard to get past. At the double figure odds I think he is definitely worth a saving ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on I Am Impinge, $30 the win on Brains and $15 the win on Prince Of Tie and I am going to lock in the $14 about the latter with QLD TAB Fixed Odds!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 4

2:10pm

Suggested

Creativity (No.4), Seven Year Reward (No.10) & Huge Action (No.14)

Dangers

Bel Sonic (No.2) & Labuan Star (No.3)

We have another stand alone country meeting in Victoria this Saturday with Bendigo holding pride and place this weekend for their traditional Golden Mile race day. I have actually attended this race day a couple of times and it is a really good day. It is always a tough one from a punting perspective and this year is no exception. I found it very hard to narrow down a lot of the races as you will see from the preview below and have only come up with the four races to bet into. The weather looks like holding up in this area and I would expect that we would be racing on a good track. Typically Bendigo is a track that can play to horses out wide and running on but on this day it seems to play more towards horses on pace and closer to the fence I have noticed over the last few years. That inside ground seems to be protected for this meeting and therefore being up on speed particularly if the track is good is no disadvantage. Providing the track is not over watered I anticipate that being the case again. I am kicking the day off in the fourth race which is for the sprinters over the 1100m. This looks an open race. Seven Year Reward resumed from a spell with a pretty dominant on speed victory at Cranbourne which ended a fair run of outs for him and I am hoping with that win under his belt he might go on with the job now. I just thought for an 1100m race this was a race that was actually devoid of too many natural leaders. From gate four he will jump and land on the bunny and be hard to run down in my opinion. He carried 60kgs to win first up and drops down to just 52kgs here after the claim for young Teo Nugent. I think he is the one they are all going to have to run down here so happy to be in his corner. Creativity certainly looks the class runner in the race. She is now in the stables of Craig Widdison at Wodonga after formerly being with Ellerton & Zahra. She is a mare that has had quite a few barrier issues in her time but has always displayed good talent. She is typically very good early in her campaigns and she went well enough in a recent Wangaratta jump out to suggest that she will run well here. She draws out for Linda Meech but I would expect her to roll forward from that alley and be right in the finish so happy to be with her. Huge Action is the one at massive odds I could see running a cheeky race. He is a local trained on the track and will most likely have been set for this race. He has run well here in the past and at huge odds I thought he would be worth a small ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on Creativity and Seven Year Reward here and save with $10 the win on Huge Action!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 5

2:50pm

Suggested

La Bella Diosa (No.2) & Truly Discreet (No.5)

Dangers

Twitchy Frank (No.1) & Miss Siska (No.6)

This race is for the mares over the 1400m. I thought this was potentially one of the races that could be narrowed down. La Bella Diosa certainly looks well placed under the set weights and penalties conditions of this race. She gets in on the minimum weight but clearly has the highest handicap rating of any runner in the race. She is a mare that took on some of our better races through the spring and ran quite well. Even though she finished 15th in the Group One mares race on Derby Day she was only beaten just over five lengths by Shillelagh. Prior to that she had been competitive with the likes of I Am A Star, Savatiano and Invincibella which reads really well for a race of this nature. Her first up run in Sydney she got through the line really nicely behind Winter Bride and Spright which is again really good form. I think the key for here is to remain within striking distance. She draws the outside barrier so she will most likely go back but with just a small field of ten she should be close enough to be able to run over them in my opinion. I think providing you can make ground and there is no disadvantage to running on she is clearly the one to beat and happy to be in her corner. The horse I am saving on at a bit of odds is Truly Discreet. She took on a pretty unsuitable race at Moonee Valley first up over the 1200m. She got a long way back in that race but I thought she actually got through the line quite nicely. It was a race that was really controlled by those up on speed so I think her effort was better than what it appeared on paper. She gets to the 1400m second up here and draws to get a good run from gate two. I would expect her to certainly take up a much closer position in running and if she does that I would anticipate her being in the finish and I think she is a good bet around the $12-15 mark. The market has certainly come strongly for La Bella Diosa though in early markets she is in to around a $2.30 price now and I wouldn’t want or expect her to get too much shorter than that.

Betting strategy

The money just keeps rolling in for La Bella Diosa! I will have $75 the win on her and save with $10 the win on Truly Discreet!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 7

4:10pm

Suggested

Odeon (No.4), Haripour (No.9), Mantastic (No.10) & Zebulon (No.13)

Dangers

Furrion (No.3) & Plain Ciel (No.7)

This is a cracking edition of the Golden Mile. There are many many chances in this race. The good thing is that a lot of them come through the same races. The race won by Widgee Turf at Flemington two weeks ago and the race won by Mantastic on Adelaide Cup Day provide a large percentage of the runners in the race. While I concede the favourite Furrion a great winning chance I thought he was well enough found in the market given how open this race is. It is certainly not a race where I would have any horse rated under $5 and he has come up around the $3.80 mark. He comes into the race second up off a good run first up which was four weeks ago and draws very wide. I can certainly see him winning as I said, but I thought there might be a bit more value elsewhere. I thought Odeon had a terrific chance in the race. He hasn’t won for a little while now and is a horse that can find a way to get beat but I thought he was excellent first up and that run should have brought him on ideally for this second up assignment. He sat on speed there in what was a really solidly run race. He loomed to win the race but I reckon his condition just gave out over the final stages given he was first up. The first three across the line in that race were Widgee Turf, Hellova Street and Streets Of Avalon who had all come through strong recent racing and were rock hard fit and deep into their preparation. I think that told a tale over the final stages with Odeon. Second up into this race up to the mile he looks really well suited. He will go forward from a middle gate and land on speed and with quite a few of the main chances get back and run on types I think that could be a big advantage for him. I thought around that $14-15 mark he was an excellent bet here in this race. I have been in Zebulon’s corner at his last couple of runs and was particularly keen on him in the Widgee Turf race two weeks ago. He just seemed to be a little flat footed when Widgee Turf went past him about 400m from home but then picked up well again and went through the line strongly. He has just been held up inside horses at his last couple of runs so I am hoping in this race from the wide draw he will obviously get clear air to blend into the race at the right time. The way he went through the line last start suggests he is looking for the mile but for me that is the one question mark. While there have been excuses in his three mile runs he hasn’t been great in any of them and I just want to see him run a strong one. Had I been convinced on him running the mile I would have been really bullish about his chances here. I am still going to back him as I have been on him all preparation and certainly don’t want to lose on the race should he salute here as the horse is clearly going very well. The other horse from the Widgee Turf race I want to be on is Haripour at good odds. This horse was really well backed late first up and he ran a really good race. He was back midfield but got through the line really nicely. A key factor with this horse is that last preparation he improved significantly from his first up run to his second up run and if he can do that again here on Saturday I think he can be right in the finish. He draws a nice middle gate for Michael Dee to get a nice run off the speed and I think he can certainly be a factor in this race. Around the $15-20 mark I think he is an excellent bet. I am also going to have something on Mantastic who won the race over in Adelaide that quite a few of the other chances in this race come through. I backed him in that race when second up and he made up a stack of ground late to salute. He has an excellent record over the mile, he draws to get a good run not too far off the speed in gate four and I see no reason at all why he can’t be in the finish either in this open race so happy to be with him again.

Betting strategy

I will have $20 the win on Mantastic and Zebulon here! I will also have $15 the win on Odeon and Haripour and will lock in some early prices about the latter two! The $16 with TAB QLD looks massive for Odeon so will take that and will also lock in the $21 with Bet365 if you can about Haripour and if you can’t get on there the $18 is good enough with SportsBet!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 8

4:50pm

Suggested

Marcel From Madrid (No.1), Saccharo (No.5), Alsvior (No.11) & Smart Horse (No.17)

Dangers

Outrageous (No.2), Shamwow (No.14) & Mystery Love (No.16)

This is a wide open race here. It is the Bendigo Guineas over the 1400m for the three year olds. There look to be a host of winning chances and as you can see from above I am playing it pretty wide. I am pretty happy this horse down the bottom that is trained locally in Smart Horse has gained a start in the race. He debuted at Kyenton recently and turned in a stunning performance to win. He was caught a little bit wide early was dug up to whip around the horses in front of him and get outside the leader. He poured the pressure on a long way from home and just when you thought he had to get tired he just kept powering away and increasing the margin. It truly was a dominant win. I am backing him in to make the step up in grade and run well here. He draws a good middle gate to again roll forward and get up on speed and the way he raced on debut suggests the 1400m is going to be no issue whatsoever. Around the $10-11 mark (I wouldn’t be surprised if he started shorter) he should run a race here and happy to be with him. Saccharo was touched off surprisingly as a short priced favourite when resuming at Ballarat recently. He carried a big weight there and got caught a little bit wide and just went down in a three way finish. I think he will be much better for that run here second up and he should appreciate getting out to the 1400m. His form last campaign around the likes of Amphitrite and The Autumn Sun certainly read exceptionally well for a race of this nature. He draws to get a gun run just off the speed for Jordan Childs and I would certainly anticipate him getting into the finish. He looks a good bet around that $9-10 mark. Marcel From Madrid has chased home the flying Anjana at his past two starts. He hasn’t looked like getting close to her but his runs haven’t been too bad all the same. I think he will appreciate the step up to the 1400m here too the way he is racing. I thought his effort at The Valley last Friday night was better than it looked. He had to come very wide on the turn when the horse three wide fell back in his lap a bit and while he was hooking around that horse Anjana slipped up the inside and had the gap appear. Once Marcel From Madrid got balanced in the straight he really hit the line strongly I thought. He draws out here but I think this race is a bit of a notch or two back on tackling Anjana and if he can get into a trailing position three wide with cover from the wide draw I think he can be in the finish here so happy to be with him. The roughie bet in the race at big odds is Alsvior from the shrewd Sue Jaensch stable. I really respect Sue bringing this horse to this race and I think it is a sign that he is pretty talented. He was backed off the map from big odds in on debut where he was a good thing beat at Donald before he went to Hamilton last start and at much shorter odds but still well backed was able to get the job done. He looks a horse that will appreciate the wide open spaces here of Bendigo and I think there is some talent there and he is a type that will improve with racing. This is undoubtedly a pretty big step up in class but he is around the $20-30 mark and at that price I thought he was worth a small ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $20 the win on both Smart Horse and Saccharo here and will save with $15 the win on Marcel From Madrid and $10 the win on Alsvior!

Race Outlay

$65

Race 3

1:50pm

Suggested

In A Twinkling (No.2), Platinum Invador (No.3) & Carif (No.9)

Dangers

Madison County (No.1) & Cossetot (No.4)

The racing in Sydney over the past couple of weeks has been first class but I reckon we regress a bit here with this meeting. This is a bit of the calm before the storm over the next couple of weeks so to speak. I was at Rosehill when the race used to be on Slipper Day and Makybe Diva run down Grand Armee. It was one of the most magical moments I have experienced on a racecourse. Unfortunately this year’s edition is effectively a country cup field. It is pretty ordinary. Avilius is an odds on favourite and entitled to be so in my opinion. He clearly looks the class runner and providing he runs out the 2400m and has even luck he should be winning. It isn’t a race I will be getting involved in however. There are five other races on the program that I will be. Like Bendigo though I am playing the day pretty wide and am not super confident. The rain has eased throughout the week and the track is now up into the soft range but there is a fair bit of rain expected on Saturday in the morning which should see us certainly stay in the soft range and maybe back into heavy. I am kicking the day off in the third race which is for the three year olds over the 2000m. We see a few of the New Zealand raiders make their way to Australia for this race and the performance of Arrogant in the Rosehill Guineas last Saturday where he went so close to beating The Autumn Sun certainly gives me confidence that they will not only measure up but be very hard to beat here. Madison County is favourite for the race having found the line strongly behind The Autumn Sun in the Randwick Guineas a few weeks back. This is his first test over the 2000m though on what is most likely going to be a pretty testing Rosehill surface. For that reason I was keener to side with a couple of other New Zealanders who come through the New Zealand Derby recently with that tough 2400m run under their belt. In A Twinkling and Platinum Invador were both enormous runs in that race when finishing second and third respectively. In A Twinkling was wide all the way in that race and only went down in a bob of the head finish. I thought it was a super run. He really improved significantly in his two runs once he got up over the 2000m. He has James McDonald in the saddle here and I would expect him to be very strong at the end of the 2000m and hard to beat here so happy to be with him. Platinum Invador is just an out and out stayer. You can argue with a touch more luck he may have very well won the New Zealand Derby. He gave the leaders a monster start in that race and was ridden for luck attempting to duck and weave between runners. He just got held up a couple of times and had to stop and start his run a bit. He was charging at the end and I dare say had he had an unimpeded passage he would have went very close. He will relish the soft going, he will be strong at the end of 2000m and draws to get a good run hopefully not as far back off the speed here as last start for Blake Shinn. I am happy to be in his corner. The one at odds I am having something on is Carif. He looks to have come back from a spell in good order. He is certainly bred to be a superstar being by So You Think out of the gun mare Norzita. He really went through the line nicely at Newcastle when stepping up in trip last start. He looks a horse on the way up and if he can improve again into this race I think he can be competitive. Happy to have something on him at the big odds.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on In A Twinkling! I will also have $20 the win on Platinum Invador taking the $10 with QLD TAB Fixed Odds and $10 the win on Carif!

Race Outlay

$65

Race 5

3:10pm

Suggested

Ardrossan (No.4), Trekking (No.8) & Charge (No.12)

Dangers

Estijaab (No.6) & Brave Song (No.7)

This race is for the sprinters over the 1200m. This is a pretty tricky race I thought there were quite a few chances here. Ardrossan didn’t really enjoy his time in Australia when he came out here and had a campaign or two with Mick Price last year. He has since gone back to New Zealand though and been really good in three runs there. He won well first up in lower grade before he won well at Group 3 level second up. Last start he took on a hot Group One race where he was just touched off by Melody Belle and The Bostonian in a three way finish and they gapped the rest of the field. His run in that race over the 1400m was superb. He did all the work outside the leader and fought on really bravely before going down narrowly. I think that should have him well set up to be hard to run down here over the 1200m. There is good speed in the race and on a testing surface he certainly appeals in the knowledge that he has that 1400m run under his belt. He seems to relish soft ground, he has run well this way of going New Zealand and I can see him getting up on speed here and being really hard to get past so happy to be with him. I agonised over whether to back Trekking here. He trialled really well prior to his first up run where he ran well behind Easy Eddie in a race that was well controlled up on speed. Had this race been run on a dry track I would have been really confident about his chances I am just not as convinced about him on a soft surface. He has run well on soft ground I am just not sure he is at his top in this going. He seems to be going particularly well though and from the inside gate he will do no work in the run and should be strong late. I think he just needs a touch of luck from that inside draw and if he gets it he will be hard to hold out so happy to be in his corner. Charge is the horse I found a little bit difficult to get a line on. He ran really well first up and then was pretty plain in a fast Oakleigh Plate. He has been given a good break to recover from that run and I just feel that if he was to run to his best and the level he showed in winning at Moonee Valley on Cox Plate day in the spring then he could be a factor in a race like this. He has no weight on his back and I wouldn’t be surprised if he ran really well here so happy to have something on him.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Ardrossan and Trekking and save with $10 the win on Charge!

Race Outlay

$90

Race 6 - Vinery Stud Stakes

3:50pm

Suggested

Verry Elleegant (No.3) & Pohutukawa (No.8)

Dangers

Nakeeta Jane (No.1)

This is the highlight race of the day for me. It is the Group One Vinery Stud Stakes for the three year old fillies and what a cracking group of three year olds we have assembled. Racing Twitter is always up and about and Verry Elleegant seems to be a horse that has been a hot topic this week. The main consensus seems to be that she has come up under the odds here based on the fact that she does too much wrong in a race. I concede that point to a certain extent. She still wants to race ungenerously and throw her head about. She did so when winning last start. It didn’t matter too much though as she had panels on her opposition. The concern is that as she steps up in trip and gets into races with a softer tempo she is going to get even keener and that could bring her undone. Chris Waller post race last time suggested that the nose roll she was wearing wasn’t doing her much good and that comes off here. I just noted a bit of confidence in Waller’s tone after that run that he was pretty confident he could get her right. I am going to back him and the horse in. I am an unabashed fan. From the time I saw her replays in New Zealand prior to her first Australian run here in the spring, I thought this is a serious racehorse. I know she has a bit to learn, but her two runs this time in have been excellent. She hit the line strongly at Flemington first up behind Amphitrite and then had a small setback which meant she was four weeks between runs into her last start run which was a dominant win here in the Phar Lap. She really powered away from her rivals over the final stages there in a completely dominant display. I can’t see anything from that race coming out and turning the tables on her as you would expect that Verry Elleegant would have plenty of improvement in her given the gap between runs last time. She draws ideally for James McDonald to get a gun run just off the speed. I am hopeful that she settles and if she does it should be all over. I think she is a very good horse and I am hoping she makes her Group One statement here. Keen to be with her. She comes up against a few rivals who bring different form references into the race. Nakeeta Jane took on the males in the Randwick Guineas last start and ran really well. El Dorado Dreaming beat all bar Dixie Blossoms in the Coolmore and then we have the fillies coming through the Kembla Grange Classic which was won in dominant fashion by Pohutukawa. I think she is the main danger. Particularly if the rain does come and we are on a heavy track or close enough to it than Pohutukawa and Verry Elleegant look the two fillies that will relish and lap up those conditions. I thought it was a really strong win by Pohutukawa last start. James McDonald got her out into clear open air, made the winning run around the home turn and she was strong through the line. She gives every impression she will lap up to the 2000m and like I said, if the rain arrives her chances will just continue to increase. She is on the way up and I expect her to be hard to beat so happy to save on her behind Verry Elleegant.

Betting strategy

I will have $70 the win on Verry Elleegant here and save with $20 the win on Pohutukawa and tempted to take the $7 on offer about her!

Race Outlay

$90

Race 8

5:10pm

Suggested

Mister Sea Wolf (No.1) Kaonic (No.7), Don’t Give A Damn (No.12) & Salsonic (No.13)

Dangers

Siege Of Quebec (No.2) & Seaway (No.8)

This is the Doncaster Prelude over the 1500m and it is another wide open race. I found this race pretty difficult as you can probably tell from above and am happy to play wide. Kaonic comes into the race third up and I feel he is building to a peak performance. His two runs back from a spell have been sound. They haven’t been spectacular but they have been good enough. He worked through the line nicely behind Dreamforce first up before he made ground quickly into the race last start and I thought he actually looked a winning chance coming into the straight but he just peaked on his run late. I think third up here rising to he 1500m he looks set to deliver a big performance. He has handled soft conditions in the past and I can see him sitting off the pace and coming with a big finish here so happy to be in his corner. I am intrigued by the preparation of Mister Sea Wolf into this race. He has had a couple of jump outs in Melbourne which he has gone well in but hasn’t beaten much opposition and comes into this race first up. He has a particularly good record first up. He races well here. He loves this distance and has a good record on soft ground. He just looks to tick a lot of boxes. The James McDonald engagement first up is intriguing and he draws a nice middle gate to get a good run back off the speed. At double figure odds I think he is well worth a ticket. Don’t Give A Damn was a hard horse to get a read on. He didn’t jump well first up or more to the point copped a bump shortly after the start and that had him on the back foot for most of the race. I thought he stuck on OK carrying the big weight there. I wouldn’t be surprised if he improved significantly here. His first two runs this time in have been well below his best but he has carried big weights and things just haven’t panned out for him form inside draws. He gets a few things in his favour here. He drops in weight and I think most significantly he draws out. That will give him time to build momentum early and just roll across at his own leisure rather than being bustled up to hold a spot from the inside gate. I think that could be a big factor. He loves this track and distance, he has performed well on soft ground but not heavy so he will be hoping not too much rain arrives and if it doesn’t I think he will give you a great sight up on speed so happy to be with him. Salsonic is another interesting runner. I was taken by his trial prior to his first up run and as such had something on him at massive odds where he ran third to Dreamforce and probably should have finished second. It was a good return. He has trialled well since too. He is a horse that has always had a decent amount of ability but just doesn’t win. He is down in the weights here for Tommy Berry, he will do no work in the run from an inside draw and if the breaks come his way I reckon he can run a cheeky race again. He isn’t $61 this week he is around the $15-20 mark which is probably short enough in my opinion but I get the feeling he is going well and for that reason I am happy to have something on him in what really is a wide open race. I don’t think I would be surprised if any of the thirteen were saluting here.

Betting strategy

I will have $25 the win on Kaonic, $20 the win on Don’t Give A Damn, $15 the win on Mister Sea Wolf and $10 the win on Salsonic here!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 9

5:45pm

Suggested

Mahalangur (No.7), Spring Charlie (No.9) & Who’s Knocking (No.11)

Dangers

Star Of The Seas (No.10) & Napoleon Solo (No.14)

This is a good race to finish the day on here. There are a couple of nice up and coming gallopers doing battle. Mahalangur was touched off by Star Of The Seas first up here two weeks ago on a very heavy track but I think with the benefit of that run now under his belt and a small weight turnaround in his favour that Mahalangur can turn the tables here. He raced really well in three runs through his spring campaign winning two of three and he looks to have come back well this time in. He was given a quiet trial prior to his first up run and his effort on speed over the 1350m on a heavy track there was excellent. Second up here over the 1400m he will no doubt be better for that run. He draws a nice middle gate to roll forward and get on speed for Tommy Berry and providing he has gone on from that first up run he is going to be hard to beat here. I am keen to be in his corner. Spring Charlie is another horse that comes into this race second up and he also looks really well placed here. He has won five of eight in his career and his first up run at Hawkesbury in the Provincial Championships heat was excellent. He was first up over 1400m there and carried 59kgs. He pretty much carried the field up to the runaway leader, he took over in the straight and looked the winner before his condition probably just gave out a bit late and he was cut down by Safado in the final strides. He should strip fitter for that here. He has had a nice trial at Wyong since then to keep him up to the mark over 1200m as he is five weeks between runs into this race. He draws a nice middle gate for Shinn to roll forward on him and he also gets weight relief down to 55.5kgs. He won his only start on soft ground impressively and a bit like Mahalangur, providing he has gone on from that first up run I think he will be hard to hold out here. Who’s Knocking is the other horse in the race I want to have something on. Her form this time in has been excellent. She won well at Canberra first up before winning again there second up and I reckon she was a touch unlucky that she didn’t defeat Snippets Land in the National Sprint on Canberra Cup Day. I am glad she didn’t as I think Snippets Land was about the only winner I backed that day. She is a lightly raced and talented mare that I think is ready for this step up. She draws out so she should have no traffic problems here on Saturday and she has won both starts on soft ground. I think she looks real dangerous and around the $10-12 mark looks a good bet.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on both Mahalangur and Spring Charlie and save with $15 the win on Who’s Knocking!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 1

12:10pm

Suggested

Cordoned (No.7), Power Command (No.10) & Bella Ochi (No.11)

Dangers

Boom Chicka Boom (No.4) & Masterati (No.5)

Racing returns to Doomben this Saturday in Brisbane and again the weather looks like it is going to play havoc which makes it very hard to get an early read on proceedings. There is the forecast from anywhere between 8 and 25mls of rain forecast for tomorrow and it is expected early so it could impact the whole day. It looks a good meeting too and I was much keener to play until I saw the forecast so I am going to be a bit more guarded now. I am going to get us up and running nice and early though. We kick off a bit later in the other two states but we will hopefully get the first winner and beer on the board nice and early at Doomben. It looks a nice race for Bella Ochi to resume in and kick off her campaign for the Ben Currie yard. I am not going to get too involved in the Ben Currie saga but clearly his horses are going very well at the moment and you have to give his horses the utmost respect if planning to bet in races where they are involved. This is a mare that showed really good talent early in her career and has gone around at some very short prices in her short career to date. I reckon she may have had a couple of issues last campaign as she just didn’t look to come up. Her trial leading into this first up run suggests he has come back well. The early market support is there for her and over the 1050m first up with Jeff Lloyd on from an inside gate she should jump on the bunny and be hard to run down. She has won on soft and heavy going too so fi the rain comes that won’t be an issue. Happy to be with her. I am saving on a couple of runners that are resuming from a spell here. The first of those is Cordonedwho typically runs a good race fresh and trialled well enough recently. He races well over these short course trips and I was surprised he come up such good odds in the market here and I definitely thought he was worth a small ticket at the price. Power Command got through her grades nicely last campaign and has trialled up well for her return. She has also won on soft ground and you have to respect the Lees yard when they bring one up from Newcastle to run here. She is also double figure odds and worth a saving ticket behind the favourite in my opinion who should be hard to beat.

Betting strategy

I will have $70 the win on Bella Ochi and save with $10 the win on both Cordoned and Power Command!

Race Outlay

$90

Race 5

2:42PM

Suggested

Tonsor (No.9)

Dangers

Courtza King (No.4) & Tawfiq Boy (No.5)

I think this galloper in Tonsor who makes his way up from Sydney for the shrewd Matthew Smith yard probably looks to be the best bet of the day anywhere in the country tomorrow. He just fits the bill of a horse coming up to this part of the world that should be too good. He is lightly raced and going through his grades nicely. He has won two of three this time in and the last two have been pretty dominant on soft tracks. That bodes well if the rain does arrive here. He has carried big weights at his last two also. He drops down to 54kgs here, he draws gate one to either lead or box seat for Robbie Fradd and at the moment while in black figures I think he is an excellent bet. I really can’t see him not starting in the red. He looks the best of the day for mine and very keen to be in his corner.

Betting strategy

As you can tell I am pretty keen on Tonsor here! The $2 with SportsBet looks good enough for me and I will have $105 the win on him locking in the even money!

Race Outlay

$105

Race 8

4:42pm

Suggested

River Racer (No.4) & Tisani Magic (No.11)

Dangers

River Racer (No.4) & Tisani Magic (No.11)

This looks a competitive race here. It is over the 1350m and we see a bit more value in this market than the other two races I am betting into on the program. Brains is an interesting runner. He had two real peak runs where he was outstanding in defeating Limerick Moon and Looks Like Elvis over the summer months. His last two runs over the 1600m two starts ago and then over the 1400m last start have been a notch or two back from the level he showed in those two wins. Even though he has a good winning record over the mile I thought he looked to run out the mile two starts back and then I thought he had probably come to the end of his preparation after the last start run. He has had a freshen up since then and is five weeks between runs into this race here. He has trialled up OK recently too for this. I want to see him ridden cold back off the speed. I think that is where he was at his best in those two wins in December and January. If the speed is on up front which I think it will be with a couple going forward from wide draws then he can get over the top of them. Happy to be with him. I Am Impinge ran well enough first up at Doomben behind the flying Mishani Vaidra. With natural improvement from that run he should be right in the finish here. He is a four year old that still looks to have some upside too. He draws a nice middle gate for James Orman, he gets down in the weights and I would expect him to be in the finish so happy to be with him. The other horse I am going to have something on is Prince Of Tie. He is likely to go forward from the wide draw and for that reason the engagement of Jeff Lloyd is key. Jeff is a master at firing on speed horses out of the gates from the wide draw and if he can do that here and come across and get control of the race then I think Prince Of Tie down in the weights could be hard to get past. At the double figure odds I think he is definitely worth a saving ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on I Am Impinge, $30 the win on Brains and $15 the win on Prince Of Tie and I am going to lock in the $14 about the latter with QLD TAB Fixed Odds!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 4

2:10pm

Suggested

Creativity (No.4), Seven Year Reward (No.10) & Huge Action (No.14)

Dangers

Bel Sonic (No.2) & Labuan Star (No.3)

We have another stand alone country meeting in Victoria this Saturday with Bendigo holding pride and place this weekend for their traditional Golden Mile race day. I have actually attended this race day a couple of times and it is a really good day. It is always a tough one from a punting perspective and this year is no exception. I found it very hard to narrow down a lot of the races as you will see from the preview below and have only come up with the four races to bet into. The weather looks like holding up in this area and I would expect that we would be racing on a good track. Typically Bendigo is a track that can play to horses out wide and running on but on this day it seems to play more towards horses on pace and closer to the fence I have noticed over the last few years. That inside ground seems to be protected for this meeting and therefore being up on speed particularly if the track is good is no disadvantage. Providing the track is not over watered I anticipate that being the case again. I am kicking the day off in the fourth race which is for the sprinters over the 1100m. This looks an open race. Seven Year Reward resumed from a spell with a pretty dominant on speed victory at Cranbourne which ended a fair run of outs for him and I am hoping with that win under his belt he might go on with the job now. I just thought for an 1100m race this was a race that was actually devoid of too many natural leaders. From gate four he will jump and land on the bunny and be hard to run down in my opinion. He carried 60kgs to win first up and drops down to just 52kgs here after the claim for young Teo Nugent. I think he is the one they are all going to have to run down here so happy to be in his corner. Creativity certainly looks the class runner in the race. She is now in the stables of Craig Widdison at Wodonga after formerly being with Ellerton & Zahra. She is a mare that has had quite a few barrier issues in her time but has always displayed good talent. She is typically very good early in her campaigns and she went well enough in a recent Wangaratta jump out to suggest that she will run well here. She draws out for Linda Meech but I would expect her to roll forward from that alley and be right in the finish so happy to be with her. Huge Action is the one at massive odds I could see running a cheeky race. He is a local trained on the track and will most likely have been set for this race. He has run well here in the past and at huge odds I thought he would be worth a small ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on Creativity and Seven Year Reward here and save with $10 the win on Huge Action!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 5

2:50pm

Suggested

La Bella Diosa (No.2) & Truly Discreet (No.5)

Dangers

Twitchy Frank (No.1) & Miss Siska (No.6)

This race is for the mares over the 1400m. I thought this was potentially one of the races that could be narrowed down. La Bella Diosa certainly looks well placed under the set weights and penalties conditions of this race. She gets in on the minimum weight but clearly has the highest handicap rating of any runner in the race. She is a mare that took on some of our better races through the spring and ran quite well. Even though she finished 15th in the Group One mares race on Derby Day she was only beaten just over five lengths by Shillelagh. Prior to that she had been competitive with the likes of I Am A Star, Savatiano and Invincibella which reads really well for a race of this nature. Her first up run in Sydney she got through the line really nicely behind Winter Bride and Spright which is again really good form. I think the key for here is to remain within striking distance. She draws the outside barrier so she will most likely go back but with just a small field of ten she should be close enough to be able to run over them in my opinion. I think providing you can make ground and there is no disadvantage to running on she is clearly the one to beat and happy to be in her corner. The horse I am saving on at a bit of odds is Truly Discreet. She took on a pretty unsuitable race at Moonee Valley first up over the 1200m. She got a long way back in that race but I thought she actually got through the line quite nicely. It was a race that was really controlled by those up on speed so I think her effort was better than what it appeared on paper. She gets to the 1400m second up here and draws to get a good run from gate two. I would expect her to certainly take up a much closer position in running and if she does that I would anticipate her being in the finish and I think she is a good bet around the $12-15 mark. The market has certainly come strongly for La Bella Diosa though in early markets she is in to around a $2.30 price now and I wouldn’t want or expect her to get too much shorter than that.

Betting strategy

The money just keeps rolling in for La Bella Diosa! I will have $75 the win on her and save with $10 the win on Truly Discreet!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 7

4:10pm

Suggested

Odeon (No.4), Haripour (No.9), Mantastic (No.10) & Zebulon (No.13)

Dangers

Furrion (No.3) & Plain Ciel (No.7)

This is a cracking edition of the Golden Mile. There are many many chances in this race. The good thing is that a lot of them come through the same races. The race won by Widgee Turf at Flemington two weeks ago and the race won by Mantastic on Adelaide Cup Day provide a large percentage of the runners in the race. While I concede the favourite Furrion a great winning chance I thought he was well enough found in the market given how open this race is. It is certainly not a race where I would have any horse rated under $5 and he has come up around the $3.80 mark. He comes into the race second up off a good run first up which was four weeks ago and draws very wide. I can certainly see him winning as I said, but I thought there might be a bit more value elsewhere. I thought Odeon had a terrific chance in the race. He hasn’t won for a little while now and is a horse that can find a way to get beat but I thought he was excellent first up and that run should have brought him on ideally for this second up assignment. He sat on speed there in what was a really solidly run race. He loomed to win the race but I reckon his condition just gave out over the final stages given he was first up. The first three across the line in that race were Widgee Turf, Hellova Street and Streets Of Avalon who had all come through strong recent racing and were rock hard fit and deep into their preparation. I think that told a tale over the final stages with Odeon. Second up into this race up to the mile he looks really well suited. He will go forward from a middle gate and land on speed and with quite a few of the main chances get back and run on types I think that could be a big advantage for him. I thought around that $14-15 mark he was an excellent bet here in this race. I have been in Zebulon’s corner at his last couple of runs and was particularly keen on him in the Widgee Turf race two weeks ago. He just seemed to be a little flat footed when Widgee Turf went past him about 400m from home but then picked up well again and went through the line strongly. He has just been held up inside horses at his last couple of runs so I am hoping in this race from the wide draw he will obviously get clear air to blend into the race at the right time. The way he went through the line last start suggests he is looking for the mile but for me that is the one question mark. While there have been excuses in his three mile runs he hasn’t been great in any of them and I just want to see him run a strong one. Had I been convinced on him running the mile I would have been really bullish about his chances here. I am still going to back him as I have been on him all preparation and certainly don’t want to lose on the race should he salute here as the horse is clearly going very well. The other horse from the Widgee Turf race I want to be on is Haripour at good odds. This horse was really well backed late first up and he ran a really good race. He was back midfield but got through the line really nicely. A key factor with this horse is that last preparation he improved significantly from his first up run to his second up run and if he can do that again here on Saturday I think he can be right in the finish. He draws a nice middle gate for Michael Dee to get a nice run off the speed and I think he can certainly be a factor in this race. Around the $15-20 mark I think he is an excellent bet. I am also going to have something on Mantastic who won the race over in Adelaide that quite a few of the other chances in this race come through. I backed him in that race when second up and he made up a stack of ground late to salute. He has an excellent record over the mile, he draws to get a good run not too far off the speed in gate four and I see no reason at all why he can’t be in the finish either in this open race so happy to be with him again.

Betting strategy

I will have $20 the win on Mantastic and Zebulon here! I will also have $15 the win on Odeon and Haripour and will lock in some early prices about the latter two! The $16 with TAB QLD looks massive for Odeon so will take that and will also lock in the $21 with Bet365 if you can about Haripour and if you can’t get on there the $18 is good enough with SportsBet!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 8

4:50pm

Suggested

Marcel From Madrid (No.1), Saccharo (No.5), Alsvior (No.11) & Smart Horse (No.17)

Dangers

Outrageous (No.2), Shamwow (No.14) & Mystery Love (No.16)

This is a wide open race here. It is the Bendigo Guineas over the 1400m for the three year olds. There look to be a host of winning chances and as you can see from above I am playing it pretty wide. I am pretty happy this horse down the bottom that is trained locally in Smart Horse has gained a start in the race. He debuted at Kyenton recently and turned in a stunning performance to win. He was caught a little bit wide early was dug up to whip around the horses in front of him and get outside the leader. He poured the pressure on a long way from home and just when you thought he had to get tired he just kept powering away and increasing the margin. It truly was a dominant win. I am backing him in to make the step up in grade and run well here. He draws a good middle gate to again roll forward and get up on speed and the way he raced on debut suggests the 1400m is going to be no issue whatsoever. Around the $10-11 mark (I wouldn’t be surprised if he started shorter) he should run a race here and happy to be with him. Saccharo was touched off surprisingly as a short priced favourite when resuming at Ballarat recently. He carried a big weight there and got caught a little bit wide and just went down in a three way finish. I think he will be much better for that run here second up and he should appreciate getting out to the 1400m. His form last campaign around the likes of Amphitrite and The Autumn Sun certainly read exceptionally well for a race of this nature. He draws to get a gun run just off the speed for Jordan Childs and I would certainly anticipate him getting into the finish. He looks a good bet around that $9-10 mark. Marcel From Madrid has chased home the flying Anjana at his past two starts. He hasn’t looked like getting close to her but his runs haven’t been too bad all the same. I think he will appreciate the step up to the 1400m here too the way he is racing. I thought his effort at The Valley last Friday night was better than it looked. He had to come very wide on the turn when the horse three wide fell back in his lap a bit and while he was hooking around that horse Anjana slipped up the inside and had the gap appear. Once Marcel From Madrid got balanced in the straight he really hit the line strongly I thought. He draws out here but I think this race is a bit of a notch or two back on tackling Anjana and if he can get into a trailing position three wide with cover from the wide draw I think he can be in the finish here so happy to be with him. The roughie bet in the race at big odds is Alsvior from the shrewd Sue Jaensch stable. I really respect Sue bringing this horse to this race and I think it is a sign that he is pretty talented. He was backed off the map from big odds in on debut where he was a good thing beat at Donald before he went to Hamilton last start and at much shorter odds but still well backed was able to get the job done. He looks a horse that will appreciate the wide open spaces here of Bendigo and I think there is some talent there and he is a type that will improve with racing. This is undoubtedly a pretty big step up in class but he is around the $20-30 mark and at that price I thought he was worth a small ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $20 the win on both Smart Horse and Saccharo here and will save with $15 the win on Marcel From Madrid and $10 the win on Alsvior!

Race Outlay

$65

Race 3

1:50pm

Suggested

In A Twinkling (No.2), Platinum Invador (No.3) & Carif (No.9)

Dangers

Madison County (No.1) & Cossetot (No.4)

The racing in Sydney over the past couple of weeks has been first class but I reckon we regress a bit here with this meeting. This is a bit of the calm before the storm over the next couple of weeks so to speak. I was at Rosehill when the race used to be on Slipper Day and Makybe Diva run down Grand Armee. It was one of the most magical moments I have experienced on a racecourse. Unfortunately this year’s edition is effectively a country cup field. It is pretty ordinary. Avilius is an odds on favourite and entitled to be so in my opinion. He clearly looks the class runner and providing he runs out the 2400m and has even luck he should be winning. It isn’t a race I will be getting involved in however. There are five other races on the program that I will be. Like Bendigo though I am playing the day pretty wide and am not super confident. The rain has eased throughout the week and the track is now up into the soft range but there is a fair bit of rain expected on Saturday in the morning which should see us certainly stay in the soft range and maybe back into heavy. I am kicking the day off in the third race which is for the three year olds over the 2000m. We see a few of the New Zealand raiders make their way to Australia for this race and the performance of Arrogant in the Rosehill Guineas last Saturday where he went so close to beating The Autumn Sun certainly gives me confidence that they will not only measure up but be very hard to beat here. Madison County is favourite for the race having found the line strongly behind The Autumn Sun in the Randwick Guineas a few weeks back. This is his first test over the 2000m though on what is most likely going to be a pretty testing Rosehill surface. For that reason I was keener to side with a couple of other New Zealanders who come through the New Zealand Derby recently with that tough 2400m run under their belt. In A Twinkling and Platinum Invador were both enormous runs in that race when finishing second and third respectively. In A Twinkling was wide all the way in that race and only went down in a bob of the head finish. I thought it was a super run. He really improved significantly in his two runs once he got up over the 2000m. He has James McDonald in the saddle here and I would expect him to be very strong at the end of the 2000m and hard to beat here so happy to be with him. Platinum Invador is just an out and out stayer. You can argue with a touch more luck he may have very well won the New Zealand Derby. He gave the leaders a monster start in that race and was ridden for luck attempting to duck and weave between runners. He just got held up a couple of times and had to stop and start his run a bit. He was charging at the end and I dare say had he had an unimpeded passage he would have went very close. He will relish the soft going, he will be strong at the end of 2000m and draws to get a good run hopefully not as far back off the speed here as last start for Blake Shinn. I am happy to be in his corner. The one at odds I am having something on is Carif. He looks to have come back from a spell in good order. He is certainly bred to be a superstar being by So You Think out of the gun mare Norzita. He really went through the line nicely at Newcastle when stepping up in trip last start. He looks a horse on the way up and if he can improve again into this race I think he can be competitive. Happy to have something on him at the big odds.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on In A Twinkling! I will also have $20 the win on Platinum Invador taking the $10 with QLD TAB Fixed Odds and $10 the win on Carif!

Race Outlay

$65

Race 5

3:10pm

Suggested

Ardrossan (No.4), Trekking (No.8) & Charge (No.12)

Dangers

Estijaab (No.6) & Brave Song (No.7)

This race is for the sprinters over the 1200m. This is a pretty tricky race I thought there were quite a few chances here. Ardrossan didn’t really enjoy his time in Australia when he came out here and had a campaign or two with Mick Price last year. He has since gone back to New Zealand though and been really good in three runs there. He won well first up in lower grade before he won well at Group 3 level second up. Last start he took on a hot Group One race where he was just touched off by Melody Belle and The Bostonian in a three way finish and they gapped the rest of the field. His run in that race over the 1400m was superb. He did all the work outside the leader and fought on really bravely before going down narrowly. I think that should have him well set up to be hard to run down here over the 1200m. There is good speed in the race and on a testing surface he certainly appeals in the knowledge that he has that 1400m run under his belt. He seems to relish soft ground, he has run well this way of going New Zealand and I can see him getting up on speed here and being really hard to get past so happy to be with him. I agonised over whether to back Trekking here. He trialled really well prior to his first up run where he ran well behind Easy Eddie in a race that was well controlled up on speed. Had this race been run on a dry track I would have been really confident about his chances I am just not as convinced about him on a soft surface. He has run well on soft ground I am just not sure he is at his top in this going. He seems to be going particularly well though and from the inside gate he will do no work in the run and should be strong late. I think he just needs a touch of luck from that inside draw and if he gets it he will be hard to hold out so happy to be in his corner. Charge is the horse I found a little bit difficult to get a line on. He ran really well first up and then was pretty plain in a fast Oakleigh Plate. He has been given a good break to recover from that run and I just feel that if he was to run to his best and the level he showed in winning at Moonee Valley on Cox Plate day in the spring then he could be a factor in a race like this. He has no weight on his back and I wouldn’t be surprised if he ran really well here so happy to have something on him.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Ardrossan and Trekking and save with $10 the win on Charge!

Race Outlay

$90

Race 6 - Vinery Stud Stakes

3:50pm

Suggested

Verry Elleegant (No.3) & Pohutukawa (No.8)

Dangers

Nakeeta Jane (No.1)

This is the highlight race of the day for me. It is the Group One Vinery Stud Stakes for the three year old fillies and what a cracking group of three year olds we have assembled. Racing Twitter is always up and about and Verry Elleegant seems to be a horse that has been a hot topic this week. The main consensus seems to be that she has come up under the odds here based on the fact that she does too much wrong in a race. I concede that point to a certain extent. She still wants to race ungenerously and throw her head about. She did so when winning last start. It didn’t matter too much though as she had panels on her opposition. The concern is that as she steps up in trip and gets into races with a softer tempo she is going to get even keener and that could bring her undone. Chris Waller post race last time suggested that the nose roll she was wearing wasn’t doing her much good and that comes off here. I just noted a bit of confidence in Waller’s tone after that run that he was pretty confident he could get her right. I am going to back him and the horse in. I am an unabashed fan. From the time I saw her replays in New Zealand prior to her first Australian run here in the spring, I thought this is a serious racehorse. I know she has a bit to learn, but her two runs this time in have been excellent. She hit the line strongly at Flemington first up behind Amphitrite and then had a small setback which meant she was four weeks between runs into her last start run which was a dominant win here in the Phar Lap. She really powered away from her rivals over the final stages there in a completely dominant display. I can’t see anything from that race coming out and turning the tables on her as you would expect that Verry Elleegant would have plenty of improvement in her given the gap between runs last time. She draws ideally for James McDonald to get a gun run just off the speed. I am hopeful that she settles and if she does it should be all over. I think she is a very good horse and I am hoping she makes her Group One statement here. Keen to be with her. She comes up against a few rivals who bring different form references into the race. Nakeeta Jane took on the males in the Randwick Guineas last start and ran really well. El Dorado Dreaming beat all bar Dixie Blossoms in the Coolmore and then we have the fillies coming through the Kembla Grange Classic which was won in dominant fashion by Pohutukawa. I think she is the main danger. Particularly if the rain does come and we are on a heavy track or close enough to it than Pohutukawa and Verry Elleegant look the two fillies that will relish and lap up those conditions. I thought it was a really strong win by Pohutukawa last start. James McDonald got her out into clear open air, made the winning run around the home turn and she was strong through the line. She gives every impression she will lap up to the 2000m and like I said, if the rain arrives her chances will just continue to increase. She is on the way up and I expect her to be hard to beat so happy to save on her behind Verry Elleegant.

Betting strategy

I will have $70 the win on Verry Elleegant here and save with $20 the win on Pohutukawa and tempted to take the $7 on offer about her!

Race Outlay

$90

Race 8

5:10pm

Suggested

Mister Sea Wolf (No.1) Kaonic (No.7), Don’t Give A Damn (No.12) & Salsonic (No.13)

Dangers

Siege Of Quebec (No.2) & Seaway (No.8)

This is the Doncaster Prelude over the 1500m and it is another wide open race. I found this race pretty difficult as you can probably tell from above and am happy to play wide. Kaonic comes into the race third up and I feel he is building to a peak performance. His two runs back from a spell have been sound. They haven’t been spectacular but they have been good enough. He worked through the line nicely behind Dreamforce first up before he made ground quickly into the race last start and I thought he actually looked a winning chance coming into the straight but he just peaked on his run late. I think third up here rising to he 1500m he looks set to deliver a big performance. He has handled soft conditions in the past and I can see him sitting off the pace and coming with a big finish here so happy to be in his corner. I am intrigued by the preparation of Mister Sea Wolf into this race. He has had a couple of jump outs in Melbourne which he has gone well in but hasn’t beaten much opposition and comes into this race first up. He has a particularly good record first up. He races well here. He loves this distance and has a good record on soft ground. He just looks to tick a lot of boxes. The James McDonald engagement first up is intriguing and he draws a nice middle gate to get a good run back off the speed. At double figure odds I think he is well worth a ticket. Don’t Give A Damn was a hard horse to get a read on. He didn’t jump well first up or more to the point copped a bump shortly after the start and that had him on the back foot for most of the race. I thought he stuck on OK carrying the big weight there. I wouldn’t be surprised if he improved significantly here. His first two runs this time in have been well below his best but he has carried big weights and things just haven’t panned out for him form inside draws. He gets a few things in his favour here. He drops in weight and I think most significantly he draws out. That will give him time to build momentum early and just roll across at his own leisure rather than being bustled up to hold a spot from the inside gate. I think that could be a big factor. He loves this track and distance, he has performed well on soft ground but not heavy so he will be hoping not too much rain arrives and if it doesn’t I think he will give you a great sight up on speed so happy to be with him. Salsonic is another interesting runner. I was taken by his trial prior to his first up run and as such had something on him at massive odds where he ran third to Dreamforce and probably should have finished second. It was a good return. He has trialled well since too. He is a horse that has always had a decent amount of ability but just doesn’t win. He is down in the weights here for Tommy Berry, he will do no work in the run from an inside draw and if the breaks come his way I reckon he can run a cheeky race again. He isn’t $61 this week he is around the $15-20 mark which is probably short enough in my opinion but I get the feeling he is going well and for that reason I am happy to have something on him in what really is a wide open race. I don’t think I would be surprised if any of the thirteen were saluting here.

Betting strategy

I will have $25 the win on Kaonic, $20 the win on Don’t Give A Damn, $15 the win on Mister Sea Wolf and $10 the win on Salsonic here!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 9

5:45pm

Suggested

Mahalangur (No.7), Spring Charlie (No.9) & Who’s Knocking (No.11)

Dangers

Star Of The Seas (No.10) & Napoleon Solo (No.14)

This is a good race to finish the day on here. There are a couple of nice up and coming gallopers doing battle. Mahalangur was touched off by Star Of The Seas first up here two weeks ago on a very heavy track but I think with the benefit of that run now under his belt and a small weight turnaround in his favour that Mahalangur can turn the tables here. He raced really well in three runs through his spring campaign winning two of three and he looks to have come back well this time in. He was given a quiet trial prior to his first up run and his effort on speed over the 1350m on a heavy track there was excellent. Second up here over the 1400m he will no doubt be better for that run. He draws a nice middle gate to roll forward and get on speed for Tommy Berry and providing he has gone on from that first up run he is going to be hard to beat here. I am keen to be in his corner. Spring Charlie is another horse that comes into this race second up and he also looks really well placed here. He has won five of eight in his career and his first up run at Hawkesbury in the Provincial Championships heat was excellent. He was first up over 1400m there and carried 59kgs. He pretty much carried the field up to the runaway leader, he took over in the straight and looked the winner before his condition probably just gave out a bit late and he was cut down by Safado in the final strides. He should strip fitter for that here. He has had a nice trial at Wyong since then to keep him up to the mark over 1200m as he is five weeks between runs into this race. He draws a nice middle gate for Shinn to roll forward on him and he also gets weight relief down to 55.5kgs. He won his only start on soft ground impressively and a bit like Mahalangur, providing he has gone on from that first up run I think he will be hard to hold out here. Who’s Knocking is the other horse in the race I want to have something on. Her form this time in has been excellent. She won well at Canberra first up before winning again there second up and I reckon she was a touch unlucky that she didn’t defeat Snippets Land in the National Sprint on Canberra Cup Day. I am glad she didn’t as I think Snippets Land was about the only winner I backed that day. She is a lightly raced and talented mare that I think is ready for this step up. She draws out so she should have no traffic problems here on Saturday and she has won both starts on soft ground. I think she looks real dangerous and around the $10-12 mark looks a good bet.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on both Mahalangur and Spring Charlie and save with $15 the win on Who’s Knocking!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 1

12:10pm

Suggested

Cordoned (No.7), Power Command (No.10) & Bella Ochi (No.11)

Dangers

Boom Chicka Boom (No.4) & Masterati (No.5)

Racing returns to Doomben this Saturday in Brisbane and again the weather looks like it is going to play havoc which makes it very hard to get an early read on proceedings. There is the forecast from anywhere between 8 and 25mls of rain forecast for tomorrow and it is expected early so it could impact the whole day. It looks a good meeting too and I was much keener to play until I saw the forecast so I am going to be a bit more guarded now. I am going to get us up and running nice and early though. We kick off a bit later in the other two states but we will hopefully get the first winner and beer on the board nice and early at Doomben. It looks a nice race for Bella Ochi to resume in and kick off her campaign for the Ben Currie yard. I am not going to get too involved in the Ben Currie saga but clearly his horses are going very well at the moment and you have to give his horses the utmost respect if planning to bet in races where they are involved. This is a mare that showed really good talent early in her career and has gone around at some very short prices in her short career to date. I reckon she may have had a couple of issues last campaign as she just didn’t look to come up. Her trial leading into this first up run suggests he has come back well. The early market support is there for her and over the 1050m first up with Jeff Lloyd on from an inside gate she should jump on the bunny and be hard to run down. She has won on soft and heavy going too so fi the rain comes that won’t be an issue. Happy to be with her. I am saving on a couple of runners that are resuming from a spell here. The first of those is Cordonedwho typically runs a good race fresh and trialled well enough recently. He races well over these short course trips and I was surprised he come up such good odds in the market here and I definitely thought he was worth a small ticket at the price. Power Command got through her grades nicely last campaign and has trialled up well for her return. She has also won on soft ground and you have to respect the Lees yard when they bring one up from Newcastle to run here. She is also double figure odds and worth a saving ticket behind the favourite in my opinion who should be hard to beat.

Betting strategy

I will have $70 the win on Bella Ochi and save with $10 the win on both Cordoned and Power Command!

Race Outlay

$90

Race 5

2:42PM

Suggested

Tonsor (No.9)

Dangers

Courtza King (No.4) & Tawfiq Boy (No.5)

I think this galloper in Tonsor who makes his way up from Sydney for the shrewd Matthew Smith yard probably looks to be the best bet of the day anywhere in the country tomorrow. He just fits the bill of a horse coming up to this part of the world that should be too good. He is lightly raced and going through his grades nicely. He has won two of three this time in and the last two have been pretty dominant on soft tracks. That bodes well if the rain does arrive here. He has carried big weights at his last two also. He drops down to 54kgs here, he draws gate one to either lead or box seat for Robbie Fradd and at the moment while in black figures I think he is an excellent bet. I really can’t see him not starting in the red. He looks the best of the day for mine and very keen to be in his corner.

Betting strategy

As you can tell I am pretty keen on Tonsor here! The $2 with SportsBet looks good enough for me and I will have $105 the win on him locking in the even money!

Race Outlay

$105

Race 8

4:42pm

Suggested

River Racer (No.4) & Tisani Magic (No.11)

Dangers

River Racer (No.4) & Tisani Magic (No.11)

This looks a competitive race here. It is over the 1350m and we see a bit more value in this market than the other two races I am betting into on the program. Brains is an interesting runner. He had two real peak runs where he was outstanding in defeating Limerick Moon and Looks Like Elvis over the summer months. His last two runs over the 1600m two starts ago and then over the 1400m last start have been a notch or two back from the level he showed in those two wins. Even though he has a good winning record over the mile I thought he looked to run out the mile two starts back and then I thought he had probably come to the end of his preparation after the last start run. He has had a freshen up since then and is five weeks between runs into this race here. He has trialled up OK recently too for this. I want to see him ridden cold back off the speed. I think that is where he was at his best in those two wins in December and January. If the speed is on up front which I think it will be with a couple going forward from wide draws then he can get over the top of them. Happy to be with him. I Am Impinge ran well enough first up at Doomben behind the flying Mishani Vaidra. With natural improvement from that run he should be right in the finish here. He is a four year old that still looks to have some upside too. He draws a nice middle gate for James Orman, he gets down in the weights and I would expect him to be in the finish so happy to be with him. The other horse I am going to have something on is Prince Of Tie. He is likely to go forward from the wide draw and for that reason the engagement of Jeff Lloyd is key. Jeff is a master at firing on speed horses out of the gates from the wide draw and if he can do that here and come across and get control of the race then I think Prince Of Tie down in the weights could be hard to get past. At the double figure odds I think he is definitely worth a saving ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on I Am Impinge, $30 the win on Brains and $15 the win on Prince Of Tie and I am going to lock in the $14 about the latter with QLD TAB Fixed Odds!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 4

2:10pm

Suggested

Creativity (No.4), Seven Year Reward (No.10) & Huge Action (No.14)

Dangers

Bel Sonic (No.2) & Labuan Star (No.3)

We have another stand alone country meeting in Victoria this Saturday with Bendigo holding pride and place this weekend for their traditional Golden Mile race day. I have actually attended this race day a couple of times and it is a really good day. It is always a tough one from a punting perspective and this year is no exception. I found it very hard to narrow down a lot of the races as you will see from the preview below and have only come up with the four races to bet into. The weather looks like holding up in this area and I would expect that we would be racing on a good track. Typically Bendigo is a track that can play to horses out wide and running on but on this day it seems to play more towards horses on pace and closer to the fence I have noticed over the last few years. That inside ground seems to be protected for this meeting and therefore being up on speed particularly if the track is good is no disadvantage. Providing the track is not over watered I anticipate that being the case again. I am kicking the day off in the fourth race which is for the sprinters over the 1100m. This looks an open race. Seven Year Reward resumed from a spell with a pretty dominant on speed victory at Cranbourne which ended a fair run of outs for him and I am hoping with that win under his belt he might go on with the job now. I just thought for an 1100m race this was a race that was actually devoid of too many natural leaders. From gate four he will jump and land on the bunny and be hard to run down in my opinion. He carried 60kgs to win first up and drops down to just 52kgs here after the claim for young Teo Nugent. I think he is the one they are all going to have to run down here so happy to be in his corner. Creativity certainly looks the class runner in the race. She is now in the stables of Craig Widdison at Wodonga after formerly being with Ellerton & Zahra. She is a mare that has had quite a few barrier issues in her time but has always displayed good talent. She is typically very good early in her campaigns and she went well enough in a recent Wangaratta jump out to suggest that she will run well here. She draws out for Linda Meech but I would expect her to roll forward from that alley and be right in the finish so happy to be with her. Huge Action is the one at massive odds I could see running a cheeky race. He is a local trained on the track and will most likely have been set for this race. He has run well here in the past and at huge odds I thought he would be worth a small ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on Creativity and Seven Year Reward here and save with $10 the win on Huge Action!

Race Outlay

$80

Race 5

2:50pm

Suggested

La Bella Diosa (No.2) & Truly Discreet (No.5)

Dangers

Twitchy Frank (No.1) & Miss Siska (No.6)

This race is for the mares over the 1400m. I thought this was potentially one of the races that could be narrowed down. La Bella Diosa certainly looks well placed under the set weights and penalties conditions of this race. She gets in on the minimum weight but clearly has the highest handicap rating of any runner in the race. She is a mare that took on some of our better races through the spring and ran quite well. Even though she finished 15th in the Group One mares race on Derby Day she was only beaten just over five lengths by Shillelagh. Prior to that she had been competitive with the likes of I Am A Star, Savatiano and Invincibella which reads really well for a race of this nature. Her first up run in Sydney she got through the line really nicely behind Winter Bride and Spright which is again really good form. I think the key for here is to remain within striking distance. She draws the outside barrier so she will most likely go back but with just a small field of ten she should be close enough to be able to run over them in my opinion. I think providing you can make ground and there is no disadvantage to running on she is clearly the one to beat and happy to be in her corner. The horse I am saving on at a bit of odds is Truly Discreet. She took on a pretty unsuitable race at Moonee Valley first up over the 1200m. She got a long way back in that race but I thought she actually got through the line quite nicely. It was a race that was really controlled by those up on speed so I think her effort was better than what it appeared on paper. She gets to the 1400m second up here and draws to get a good run from gate two. I would expect her to certainly take up a much closer position in running and if she does that I would anticipate her being in the finish and I think she is a good bet around the $12-15 mark. The market has certainly come strongly for La Bella Diosa though in early markets she is in to around a $2.30 price now and I wouldn’t want or expect her to get too much shorter than that.

Betting strategy

The money just keeps rolling in for La Bella Diosa! I will have $75 the win on her and save with $10 the win on Truly Discreet!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 7

4:10pm

Suggested

Odeon (No.4), Haripour (No.9), Mantastic (No.10) & Zebulon (No.13)

Dangers

Furrion (No.3) & Plain Ciel (No.7)

This is a cracking edition of the Golden Mile. There are many many chances in this race. The good thing is that a lot of them come through the same races. The race won by Widgee Turf at Flemington two weeks ago and the race won by Mantastic on Adelaide Cup Day provide a large percentage of the runners in the race. While I concede the favourite Furrion a great winning chance I thought he was well enough found in the market given how open this race is. It is certainly not a race where I would have any horse rated under $5 and he has come up around the $3.80 mark. He comes into the race second up off a good run first up which was four weeks ago and draws very wide. I can certainly see him winning as I said, but I thought there might be a bit more value elsewhere. I thought Odeon had a terrific chance in the race. He hasn’t won for a little while now and is a horse that can find a way to get beat but I thought he was excellent first up and that run should have brought him on ideally for this second up assignment. He sat on speed there in what was a really solidly run race. He loomed to win the race but I reckon his condition just gave out over the final stages given he was first up. The first three across the line in that race were Widgee Turf, Hellova Street and Streets Of Avalon who had all come through strong recent racing and were rock hard fit and deep into their preparation. I think that told a tale over the final stages with Odeon. Second up into this race up to the mile he looks really well suited. He will go forward from a middle gate and land on speed and with quite a few of the main chances get back and run on types I think that could be a big advantage for him. I thought around that $14-15 mark he was an excellent bet here in this race. I have been in Zebulon’s corner at his last couple of runs and was particularly keen on him in the Widgee Turf race two weeks ago. He just seemed to be a little flat footed when Widgee Turf went past him about 400m from home but then picked up well again and went through the line strongly. He has just been held up inside horses at his last couple of runs so I am hoping in this race from the wide draw he will obviously get clear air to blend into the race at the right time. The way he went through the line last start suggests he is looking for the mile but for me that is the one question mark. While there have been excuses in his three mile runs he hasn’t been great in any of them and I just want to see him run a strong one. Had I been convinced on him running the mile I would have been really bullish about his chances here. I am still going to back him as I have been on him all preparation and certainly don’t want to lose on the race should he salute here as the horse is clearly going very well. The other horse from the Widgee Turf race I want to be on is Haripour at good odds. This horse was really well backed late first up and he ran a really good race. He was back midfield but got through the line really nicely. A key factor with this horse is that last preparation he improved significantly from his first up run to his second up run and if he can do that again here on Saturday I think he can be right in the finish. He draws a nice middle gate for Michael Dee to get a nice run off the speed and I think he can certainly be a factor in this race. Around the $15-20 mark I think he is an excellent bet. I am also going to have something on Mantastic who won the race over in Adelaide that quite a few of the other chances in this race come through. I backed him in that race when second up and he made up a stack of ground late to salute. He has an excellent record over the mile, he draws to get a good run not too far off the speed in gate four and I see no reason at all why he can’t be in the finish either in this open race so happy to be with him again.

Betting strategy

I will have $20 the win on Mantastic and Zebulon here! I will also have $15 the win on Odeon and Haripour and will lock in some early prices about the latter two! The $16 with TAB QLD looks massive for Odeon so will take that and will also lock in the $21 with Bet365 if you can about Haripour and if you can’t get on there the $18 is good enough with SportsBet!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 8

4:50pm

Suggested

Marcel From Madrid (No.1), Saccharo (No.5), Alsvior (No.11) & Smart Horse (No.17)

Dangers

Outrageous (No.2), Shamwow (No.14) & Mystery Love (No.16)

This is a wide open race here. It is the Bendigo Guineas over the 1400m for the three year olds. There look to be a host of winning chances and as you can see from above I am playing it pretty wide. I am pretty happy this horse down the bottom that is trained locally in Smart Horse has gained a start in the race. He debuted at Kyenton recently and turned in a stunning performance to win. He was caught a little bit wide early was dug up to whip around the horses in front of him and get outside the leader. He poured the pressure on a long way from home and just when you thought he had to get tired he just kept powering away and increasing the margin. It truly was a dominant win. I am backing him in to make the step up in grade and run well here. He draws a good middle gate to again roll forward and get up on speed and the way he raced on debut suggests the 1400m is going to be no issue whatsoever. Around the $10-11 mark (I wouldn’t be surprised if he started shorter) he should run a race here and happy to be with him. Saccharo was touched off surprisingly as a short priced favourite when resuming at Ballarat recently. He carried a big weight there and got caught a little bit wide and just went down in a three way finish. I think he will be much better for that run here second up and he should appreciate getting out to the 1400m. His form last campaign around the likes of Amphitrite and The Autumn Sun certainly read exceptionally well for a race of this nature. He draws to get a gun run just off the speed for Jordan Childs and I would certainly anticipate him getting into the finish. He looks a good bet around that $9-10 mark. Marcel From Madrid has chased home the flying Anjana at his past two starts. He hasn’t looked like getting close to her but his runs haven’t been too bad all the same. I think he will appreciate the step up to the 1400m here too the way he is racing. I thought his effort at The Valley last Friday night was better than it looked. He had to come very wide on the turn when the horse three wide fell back in his lap a bit and while he was hooking around that horse Anjana slipped up the inside and had the gap appear. Once Marcel From Madrid got balanced in the straight he really hit the line strongly I thought. He draws out here but I think this race is a bit of a notch or two back on tackling Anjana and if he can get into a trailing position three wide with cover from the wide draw I think he can be in the finish here so happy to be with him. The roughie bet in the race at big odds is Alsvior from the shrewd Sue Jaensch stable. I really respect Sue bringing this horse to this race and I think it is a sign that he is pretty talented. He was backed off the map from big odds in on debut where he was a good thing beat at Donald before he went to Hamilton last start and at much shorter odds but still well backed was able to get the job done. He looks a horse that will appreciate the wide open spaces here of Bendigo and I think there is some talent there and he is a type that will improve with racing. This is undoubtedly a pretty big step up in class but he is around the $20-30 mark and at that price I thought he was worth a small ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $20 the win on both Smart Horse and Saccharo here and will save with $15 the win on Marcel From Madrid and $10 the win on Alsvior!

Race Outlay

$65

Race 3

1:50pm

Suggested

In A Twinkling (No.2), Platinum Invador (No.3) & Carif (No.9)

Dangers

Madison County (No.1) & Cossetot (No.4)

The racing in Sydney over the past couple of weeks has been first class but I reckon we regress a bit here with this meeting. This is a bit of the calm before the storm over the next couple of weeks so to speak. I was at Rosehill when the race used to be on Slipper Day and Makybe Diva run down Grand Armee. It was one of the most magical moments I have experienced on a racecourse. Unfortunately this year’s edition is effectively a country cup field. It is pretty ordinary. Avilius is an odds on favourite and entitled to be so in my opinion. He clearly looks the class runner and providing he runs out the 2400m and has even luck he should be winning. It isn’t a race I will be getting involved in however. There are five other races on the program that I will be. Like Bendigo though I am playing the day pretty wide and am not super confident. The rain has eased throughout the week and the track is now up into the soft range but there is a fair bit of rain expected on Saturday in the morning which should see us certainly stay in the soft range and maybe back into heavy. I am kicking the day off in the third race which is for the three year olds over the 2000m. We see a few of the New Zealand raiders make their way to Australia for this race and the performance of Arrogant in the Rosehill Guineas last Saturday where he went so close to beating The Autumn Sun certainly gives me confidence that they will not only measure up but be very hard to beat here. Madison County is favourite for the race having found the line strongly behind The Autumn Sun in the Randwick Guineas a few weeks back. This is his first test over the 2000m though on what is most likely going to be a pretty testing Rosehill surface. For that reason I was keener to side with a couple of other New Zealanders who come through the New Zealand Derby recently with that tough 2400m run under their belt. In A Twinkling and Platinum Invador were both enormous runs in that race when finishing second and third respectively. In A Twinkling was wide all the way in that race and only went down in a bob of the head finish. I thought it was a super run. He really improved significantly in his two runs once he got up over the 2000m. He has James McDonald in the saddle here and I would expect him to be very strong at the end of the 2000m and hard to beat here so happy to be with him. Platinum Invador is just an out and out stayer. You can argue with a touch more luck he may have very well won the New Zealand Derby. He gave the leaders a monster start in that race and was ridden for luck attempting to duck and weave between runners. He just got held up a couple of times and had to stop and start his run a bit. He was charging at the end and I dare say had he had an unimpeded passage he would have went very close. He will relish the soft going, he will be strong at the end of 2000m and draws to get a good run hopefully not as far back off the speed here as last start for Blake Shinn. I am happy to be in his corner. The one at odds I am having something on is Carif. He looks to have come back from a spell in good order. He is certainly bred to be a superstar being by So You Think out of the gun mare Norzita. He really went through the line nicely at Newcastle when stepping up in trip last start. He looks a horse on the way up and if he can improve again into this race I think he can be competitive. Happy to have something on him at the big odds.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on In A Twinkling! I will also have $20 the win on Platinum Invador taking the $10 with QLD TAB Fixed Odds and $10 the win on Carif!

Race Outlay

$65

Race 5

3:10pm

Suggested

Ardrossan (No.4), Trekking (No.8) & Charge (No.12)

Dangers

Estijaab (No.6) & Brave Song (No.7)

This race is for the sprinters over the 1200m. This is a pretty tricky race I thought there were quite a few chances here. Ardrossan didn’t really enjoy his time in Australia when he came out here and had a campaign or two with Mick Price last year. He has since gone back to New Zealand though and been really good in three runs there. He won well first up in lower grade before he won well at Group 3 level second up. Last start he took on a hot Group One race where he was just touched off by Melody Belle and The Bostonian in a three way finish and they gapped the rest of the field. His run in that race over the 1400m was superb. He did all the work outside the leader and fought on really bravely before going down narrowly. I think that should have him well set up to be hard to run down here over the 1200m. There is good speed in the race and on a testing surface he certainly appeals in the knowledge that he has that 1400m run under his belt. He seems to relish soft ground, he has run well this way of going New Zealand and I can see him getting up on speed here and being really hard to get past so happy to be with him. I agonised over whether to back Trekking here. He trialled really well prior to his first up run where he ran well behind Easy Eddie in a race that was well controlled up on speed. Had this race been run on a dry track I would have been really confident about his chances I am just not as convinced about him on a soft surface. He has run well on soft ground I am just not sure he is at his top in this going. He seems to be going particularly well though and from the inside gate he will do no work in the run and should be strong late. I think he just needs a touch of luck from that inside draw and if he gets it he will be hard to hold out so happy to be in his corner. Charge is the horse I found a little bit difficult to get a line on. He ran really well first up and then was pretty plain in a fast Oakleigh Plate. He has been given a good break to recover from that run and I just feel that if he was to run to his best and the level he showed in winning at Moonee Valley on Cox Plate day in the spring then he could be a factor in a race like this. He has no weight on his back and I wouldn’t be surprised if he ran really well here so happy to have something on him.

Betting strategy

I will have $40 the win on Ardrossan and Trekking and save with $10 the win on Charge!

Race Outlay

$90

Race 6 - Vinery Stud Stakes

3:50pm

Suggested

Verry Elleegant (No.3) & Pohutukawa (No.8)

Dangers

Nakeeta Jane (No.1)

This is the highlight race of the day for me. It is the Group One Vinery Stud Stakes for the three year old fillies and what a cracking group of three year olds we have assembled. Racing Twitter is always up and about and Verry Elleegant seems to be a horse that has been a hot topic this week. The main consensus seems to be that she has come up under the odds here based on the fact that she does too much wrong in a race. I concede that point to a certain extent. She still wants to race ungenerously and throw her head about. She did so when winning last start. It didn’t matter too much though as she had panels on her opposition. The concern is that as she steps up in trip and gets into races with a softer tempo she is going to get even keener and that could bring her undone. Chris Waller post race last time suggested that the nose roll she was wearing wasn’t doing her much good and that comes off here. I just noted a bit of confidence in Waller’s tone after that run that he was pretty confident he could get her right. I am going to back him and the horse in. I am an unabashed fan. From the time I saw her replays in New Zealand prior to her first Australian run here in the spring, I thought this is a serious racehorse. I know she has a bit to learn, but her two runs this time in have been excellent. She hit the line strongly at Flemington first up behind Amphitrite and then had a small setback which meant she was four weeks between runs into her last start run which was a dominant win here in the Phar Lap. She really powered away from her rivals over the final stages there in a completely dominant display. I can’t see anything from that race coming out and turning the tables on her as you would expect that Verry Elleegant would have plenty of improvement in her given the gap between runs last time. She draws ideally for James McDonald to get a gun run just off the speed. I am hopeful that she settles and if she does it should be all over. I think she is a very good horse and I am hoping she makes her Group One statement here. Keen to be with her. She comes up against a few rivals who bring different form references into the race. Nakeeta Jane took on the males in the Randwick Guineas last start and ran really well. El Dorado Dreaming beat all bar Dixie Blossoms in the Coolmore and then we have the fillies coming through the Kembla Grange Classic which was won in dominant fashion by Pohutukawa. I think she is the main danger. Particularly if the rain does come and we are on a heavy track or close enough to it than Pohutukawa and Verry Elleegant look the two fillies that will relish and lap up those conditions. I thought it was a really strong win by Pohutukawa last start. James McDonald got her out into clear open air, made the winning run around the home turn and she was strong through the line. She gives every impression she will lap up to the 2000m and like I said, if the rain arrives her chances will just continue to increase. She is on the way up and I expect her to be hard to beat so happy to save on her behind Verry Elleegant.

Betting strategy

I will have $70 the win on Verry Elleegant here and save with $20 the win on Pohutukawa and tempted to take the $7 on offer about her!

Race Outlay

$90

Race 8

5:10pm

Suggested

Mister Sea Wolf (No.1) Kaonic (No.7), Don’t Give A Damn (No.12) & Salsonic (No.13)

Dangers

Siege Of Quebec (No.2) & Seaway (No.8)

This is the Doncaster Prelude over the 1500m and it is another wide open race. I found this race pretty difficult as you can probably tell from above and am happy to play wide. Kaonic comes into the race third up and I feel he is building to a peak performance. His two runs back from a spell have been sound. They haven’t been spectacular but they have been good enough. He worked through the line nicely behind Dreamforce first up before he made ground quickly into the race last start and I thought he actually looked a winning chance coming into the straight but he just peaked on his run late. I think third up here rising to he 1500m he looks set to deliver a big performance. He has handled soft conditions in the past and I can see him sitting off the pace and coming with a big finish here so happy to be in his corner. I am intrigued by the preparation of Mister Sea Wolf into this race. He has had a couple of jump outs in Melbourne which he has gone well in but hasn’t beaten much opposition and comes into this race first up. He has a particularly good record first up. He races well here. He loves this distance and has a good record on soft ground. He just looks to tick a lot of boxes. The James McDonald engagement first up is intriguing and he draws a nice middle gate to get a good run back off the speed. At double figure odds I think he is well worth a ticket. Don’t Give A Damn was a hard horse to get a read on. He didn’t jump well first up or more to the point copped a bump shortly after the start and that had him on the back foot for most of the race. I thought he stuck on OK carrying the big weight there. I wouldn’t be surprised if he improved significantly here. His first two runs this time in have been well below his best but he has carried big weights and things just haven’t panned out for him form inside draws. He gets a few things in his favour here. He drops in weight and I think most significantly he draws out. That will give him time to build momentum early and just roll across at his own leisure rather than being bustled up to hold a spot from the inside gate. I think that could be a big factor. He loves this track and distance, he has performed well on soft ground but not heavy so he will be hoping not too much rain arrives and if it doesn’t I think he will give you a great sight up on speed so happy to be with him. Salsonic is another interesting runner. I was taken by his trial prior to his first up run and as such had something on him at massive odds where he ran third to Dreamforce and probably should have finished second. It was a good return. He has trialled well since too. He is a horse that has always had a decent amount of ability but just doesn’t win. He is down in the weights here for Tommy Berry, he will do no work in the run from an inside draw and if the breaks come his way I reckon he can run a cheeky race again. He isn’t $61 this week he is around the $15-20 mark which is probably short enough in my opinion but I get the feeling he is going well and for that reason I am happy to have something on him in what really is a wide open race. I don’t think I would be surprised if any of the thirteen were saluting here.

Betting strategy

I will have $25 the win on Kaonic, $20 the win on Don’t Give A Damn, $15 the win on Mister Sea Wolf and $10 the win on Salsonic here!

Race Outlay

$70

Race 9

5:45pm

Suggested

Mahalangur (No.7), Spring Charlie (No.9) & Who’s Knocking (No.11)

Dangers

Star Of The Seas (No.10) & Napoleon Solo (No.14)

This is a good race to finish the day on here. There are a couple of nice up and coming gallopers doing battle. Mahalangur was touched off by Star Of The Seas first up here two weeks ago on a very heavy track but I think with the benefit of that run now under his belt and a small weight turnaround in his favour that Mahalangur can turn the tables here. He raced really well in three runs through his spring campaign winning two of three and he looks to have come back well this time in. He was given a quiet trial prior to his first up run and his effort on speed over the 1350m on a heavy track there was excellent. Second up here over the 1400m he will no doubt be better for that run. He draws a nice middle gate to roll forward and get on speed for Tommy Berry and providing he has gone on from that first up run he is going to be hard to beat here. I am keen to be in his corner. Spring Charlie is another horse that comes into this race second up and he also looks really well placed here. He has won five of eight in his career and his first up run at Hawkesbury in the Provincial Championships heat was excellent. He was first up over 1400m there and carried 59kgs. He pretty much carried the field up to the runaway leader, he took over in the straight and looked the winner before his condition probably just gave out a bit late and he was cut down by Safado in the final strides. He should strip fitter for that here. He has had a nice trial at Wyong since then to keep him up to the mark over 1200m as he is five weeks between runs into this race. He draws a nice middle gate for Shinn to roll forward on him and he also gets weight relief down to 55.5kgs. He won his only start on soft ground impressively and a bit like Mahalangur, providing he has gone on from that first up run I think he will be hard to hold out here. Who’s Knocking is the other horse in the race I want to have something on. Her form this time in has been excellent. She won well at Canberra first up before winning again there second up and I reckon she was a touch unlucky that she didn’t defeat Snippets Land in the National Sprint on Canberra Cup Day. I am glad she didn’t as I think Snippets Land was about the only winner I backed that day. She is a lightly raced and talented mare that I think is ready for this step up. She draws out so she should have no traffic problems here on Saturday and she has won both starts on soft ground. I think she looks real dangerous and around the $10-12 mark looks a good bet.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on both Mahalangur and Spring Charlie and save with $15 the win on Who’s Knocking!

Race Outlay

$85

Race 1

12:10pm

Suggested

Cordoned (No.7), Power Command (No.10) & Bella Ochi (No.11)

Dangers

Boom Chicka Boom (No.4) & Masterati (No.5)

Racing returns to Doomben this Saturday in Brisbane and again the weather looks like it is going to play havoc which makes it very hard to get an early read on proceedings. There is the forecast from anywhere between 8 and 25mls of rain forecast for tomorrow and it is expected early so it could impact the whole day. It looks a good meeting too and I was much keener to play until I saw the forecast so I am going to be a bit more guarded now. I am going to get us up and running nice and early though. We kick off a bit later in the other two states but we will hopefully get the first winner and beer on the board nice and early at Doomben. It looks a nice race for Bella Ochi to resume in and kick off her campaign for the Ben Currie yard. I am not going to get too involved in the Ben Currie saga but clearly his horses are going very well at the moment and you have to give his horses the utmost respect if planning to bet in races where they are involved. This is a mare that showed really good talent early in her career and has gone around at some very short prices in her short career to date. I reckon she may have had a couple of issues last campaign as she just didn’t look to come up. Her trial leading into this first up run suggests he has come back well. The early market support is there for her and over the 1050m first up with Jeff Lloyd on from an inside gate she should jump on the bunny and be hard to run down. She has won on soft and heavy going too so fi the rain comes that won’t be an issue. Happy to be with her. I am saving on a couple of runners that are resuming from a spell here. The first of those is Cordonedwho typically runs a good race fresh and trialled well enough recently. He races well over these short course trips and I was surprised he come up such good odds in the market here and I definitely thought he was worth a small ticket at the price. Power Command got through her grades nicely last campaign and has trialled up well for her return. She has also won on soft ground and you have to respect the Lees yard when they bring one up from Newcastle to run here. She is also double figure odds and worth a saving ticket behind the favourite in my opinion who should be hard to beat.

Betting strategy

I will have $70 the win on Bella Ochi and save with $10 the win on both Cordoned and Power Command!

Race Outlay

$90

Race 5

2:42PM

Suggested

Tonsor (No.9)

Dangers

Courtza King (No.4) & Tawfiq Boy (No.5)

I think this galloper in Tonsor who makes his way up from Sydney for the shrewd Matthew Smith yard probably looks to be the best bet of the day anywhere in the country tomorrow. He just fits the bill of a horse coming up to this part of the world that should be too good. He is lightly raced and going through his grades nicely. He has won two of three this time in and the last two have been pretty dominant on soft tracks. That bodes well if the rain does arrive here. He has carried big weights at his last two also. He drops down to 54kgs here, he draws gate one to either lead or box seat for Robbie Fradd and at the moment while in black figures I think he is an excellent bet. I really can’t see him not starting in the red. He looks the best of the day for mine and very keen to be in his corner.

Betting strategy

As you can tell I am pretty keen on Tonsor here! The $2 with SportsBet looks good enough for me and I will have $105 the win on him locking in the even money!

Race Outlay

$105

Race 8

4:42pm

Suggested

River Racer (No.4) & Tisani Magic (No.11)

Dangers

River Racer (No.4) & Tisani Magic (No.11)

This looks a competitive race here. It is over the 1350m and we see a bit more value in this market than the other two races I am betting into on the program. Brains is an interesting runner. He had two real peak runs where he was outstanding in defeating Limerick Moon and Looks Like Elvis over the summer months. His last two runs over the 1600m two starts ago and then over the 1400m last start have been a notch or two back from the level he showed in those two wins. Even though he has a good winning record over the mile I thought he looked to run out the mile two starts back and then I thought he had probably come to the end of his preparation after the last start run. He has had a freshen up since then and is five weeks between runs into this race here. He has trialled up OK recently too for this. I want to see him ridden cold back off the speed. I think that is where he was at his best in those two wins in December and January. If the speed is on up front which I think it will be with a couple going forward from wide draws then he can get over the top of them. Happy to be with him. I Am Impinge ran well enough first up at Doomben behind the flying Mishani Vaidra. With natural improvement from that run he should be right in the finish here. He is a four year old that still looks to have some upside too. He draws a nice middle gate for James Orman, he gets down in the weights and I would expect him to be in the finish so happy to be with him. The other horse I am going to have something on is Prince Of Tie. He is likely to go forward from the wide draw and for that reason the engagement of Jeff Lloyd is key. Jeff is a master at firing on speed horses out of the gates from the wide draw and if he can do that here and come across and get control of the race then I think Prince Of Tie down in the weights could be hard to get past. At the double figure odds I think he is definitely worth a saving ticket.

Betting strategy

I will have $35 the win on I Am Impinge, $30 the win on Brains and $15 the win on Prince Of Tie and I am going to lock in the $14 about the latter with QLD TAB Fixed Odds!

Race Outlay

$80

Back to top

Get Free Horse Reacing

Submit your email address and receive free horse racing tips

Become A Baron From $19.95

Explore Plans